Monday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 8/9

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Monday, August 9

Good Luck on day #221 of 2021!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Major league leaders in strikeouts:
181— Zach Wheeler, Phil
176— Gerrit Cole, NYY
160— Carlos Rodon CWS/Brandon Woodruff, Milw
159— Dylan Cease, CWS/Robbie Ray, Tor
157— Corbin Burnes, Milw/Kevin Gausman SF, Max Scherzer, LA
154— Freddie Peralta Milw/Yu Darvish, SD

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Armadillo: Monday's Den: Wrapping up a sports weekend……


13) Former Rams’ WR Isaac Bruce got inducted into the Hall of Fame this week; he caught the winning TD pass in Super Bowl XXXIV, my favorite football game ever.

Turns out I saw Isaac Bruce play four years before he played for the Rams, though I didn’t know it at the time.

Fall of 1990, I’m at a junior college game in Los Angeles; Santa Monica College vs West LA Junior College- my sister went to Santa Monica at the time. Really good football, not many fans there watching. The next year, the coach at West LA College went to Memphis State, and took 10 guys from West LA with him, one of whom was Isaac Bruce.

Opening Day of 1995 NFL season, Rams upset the Packers in Green Bay; Isaac Bruce blocked a punt for the Rams that day. I’m sitting in a bar watching on the satellite dish, thumbing thru the Rams’ media guide, reading his biography and it finally dawns on me; Isaac Bruce was playing that day I was at the game in Santa Monica.

1,024 receptions, 91 touchdowns later, he’s a Hall of Famer. Congrats!!!

12) Interesting barroom debate: is Eli Manning a first-ballot Hall of Famer?

He won two Super Bowls, but his regular season W-L record was only .500, the same exact resume as Jim Plunkett, who isn’t in the Hall of Fame at all. Manning played longer than Plunkett (117-117 vs 72-72 regular season record); I’m pretty sure he’ll get in the Hall eventually, but I wouldn’t vote for him the first year he is eligible.

11) Reds 3, Pirates 2:
— Pirates lost their last 12 games in Cincinnati.
— Reds are only 2.5 games behind San Diego in Wild Card race.
— Reds have nine more games with Pittsburgh this season.

10) Tampa Bay swept the Orioles this weekend, outscoring Baltimore 19-2 in innings 7-9. Rays have trailed in 35 of their wins this season, most of any MLB team.

9) Toronto 9, Boston 8:
— Red Sox led 7-2 at one point; they had won 56 games in row when they led by 5+ runs.
— Good news for Boston: Chris Sale is expected to pitch for them Saturday.

8) Rockies 13, Marlins 8— Colorado is 25-9 in its last 34 home games, the best home record in the majors during that time. Rockies scored 34 runs in sweeping this 3-game series.

7) Barry Bonds hit home runs off 449 different pitchers, the most ever; Albert Pujols has homered off of 440 guys, Alex Rodriguez 422.

6) New York 1B Anthony Rizzo declined to get the COVID vaccine, now he’s tested positive for COVID, so he has to sit out while his team is fighting in a pennant race. Maybe its me, but a guy making $16.5M should do everything he can to play as much as he can, and getting vaccinated is the best way to stay healthy, at least that’s what doctors/nurses say.

You know, the smart people.

5) Seattle 2, New York 0— Mariners are 4-9 since they traded closer Kendall Graveman to the Astros; has to be lot of heat on GM Jerry DiPoto.

4) White Sox 9, Cubs 3— Pittsburgh/Arizona are getting only 33% of their runs from home runs, lowest %age in the majors; White Sox are next lowest, at 38%, but they homered three times in the first inning of this game Sunday night.

I have no clue what the Cubs plan is moving forward; for a big market team to go in the tank like this is nonsensical. They’re basically a AAA team right now.

3) Americans wound up winning 39 gold medals at the Olympics, coming in under the 43.5 mark that was the betting line.

2) RIP to Bobby Bowden the great football coach; he passed away at age 91.
— Coach Bowden won 377 games, 2nd-most all-time in D-I.
— He was 377-129-4 as a head coach, 304-97-4 at Florida State
— He was 20-9-1 in bowl games.
— Coach Bowden won two national titles at FSU (1993, 1999)
— He has two sons who coach D-I football.

RIP, coach.

1) If the baseball playoffs started today (they don’t):
NL: Phillies, Brewers, Giants. Wild Card: San Diego @ Los Angeles
AL: Rays, White Sox, Astros. Wild Card: Boston @ Oakland

[Udog]

901MILWAUKEE -902 CHICAGO CUBS
MILWAUKEE is 32-18 SU (18.4 Units) vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better in the current season.

903MIAMI -904 SAN DIEGO
MIAMI is 22-8 SU (13.3 Units) vs. NL teams allowing 4.0 or less runs/game on the season in the current season.

905CHI WHITE SOX -906 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 28-57 SU (-38.6 Units) vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse in the current season.

907NY YANKEES -908 KANSAS CITY
KANSAS CITY is 13-31 SU (-21.4 Units) with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) in the current season.

909CINCINNATI -910 CLEVELAND
CINCINNATI is 20-6 SU (11.7 Units) in road games vs. good fielding teams - averaging <=0.6 errors/game in the current season.




MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, August 9

NL games
Milwaukee (66-46) @ Cubs (52-61)
— Peralta is 2-1, 2.08 in his last seven starts.
— Milwaukee is 14-6 in his starts.
— under 7-4 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 3-20
— record in first 5 innings: 11-4-5
— He is 2-0, 2.14 in four starts vs Chicago this year.

— Brewers are 13-7 in last 20 games.
— Milwaukee is 9-1 in last 10 road games.
— over 6-1-2 last eight road games.
— scored run in first inning: 38-112
— record in first 5 innings: 57-34-21

— Mills is 1-1, 4.24 in his last three starts.
— Cubs are 4-6 in his starts.
— under 7-3
— allowed run in first inning: 3-10
— record in first 5 innings: 4-4-2
— He is 1-1, 2.70 in six games (3 starts) vs Milwaukee.

— Cubs are 10-28 in last 38 games.
— Chicago is 3-8 in its last 11 home games.
— Over is 5-1-1 in last seven home games.
— scored run in first inning: 33-113
— record in first 5 innings: 46-54-13

Miami (47-65) @ San Diego (64-49)
— Thompson is 0-2, 4.38 in his last five starts.
— Marlins are 2-7 in his starts.
— under 7-2
— allowed run in first inning: 4-9
— you’re reading ***************.com
— record in first 5 innings: 2-6-1
— He gave up 3 runs in 5 IP in July 23 start vs San Diego.

— Marlins lost last three games, giving up 34 runs.
— Miami is 3-9 in last 12 road games.
— over 10-2-1 last 13 road games
— scored run in first inning: 26-112
— record in first 5 innings: 41-51-20

— Musgrove is 2-0, 1.42 in his last three starts.
— Padres are 11-10 in his starts.
— over 6-3 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 4-21
— you’re reading ***************.com
— record in first 5 innings: 9-9-3
— He is 2-0, 2.31 in two starts vs Miami.

— Padres are 11-9 in their last 20 games.
— San Diego is 4-6 in last ten home games.
— over 9-1-1 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 35-113
— record in first 5 innings: 47-48-18

AL games
White Sox (66-46) @ Minnesota (48-64)
— Giolito is 0-2, 4.50 in his last three starts.
— Chicago is 11-11 in his starts.
— over 9-1 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 6-22
— record in first 5 innings: 11-8-3
— He is 2-0, 2.57 in two starts vs Minnesota this year.

— Chicago won its last three games.
— White Sox are 5-5 in last ten road games.
— under 5-2 last seven road games.
— scored run in first inning: 31-112
— record in first 5 innings: 62-33-17

— bullpen game

— Minnesota is 9-14 in its last 23 games.
— Twins are 2-5 in last seven home games.
— over 8-3-1 last 12 games
— scored run in first inning: 38-112
— record in first 5 innings: 34-56-22

Bronx (61-51) @ Kansas City (49-62)
— Taillon is 3-0, 2.37 in his last five starts.
— New York is 11-10 in his starts.
— over 7-3-1 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 5-21
— record in first 5 innings: 10-7-4
— He is 1-0, 0.68 in two starts vs Kansas City.

— New York is 20-8 in last 28 games.
— New York is 5-1 in last six road games.
— over 12-2 last 14 road games
— scored run in first inning: 25-112
— record in first 5 innings: 44-42-26

— Hernandez is 2-0, 0.82 in his last two starts.
— Kansas City is 3-1 in his starts.
— over 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2
— He gave up 2 runs in 2 IP, in a relief stint vs New York.

— Royals lost six of last nine games.
— Royals are 6-1 in last seven home games.
— under 14-3-2 last 19 games.
— scores run in first inning: 23-113
— record in first 5 innings: 41-56-16

Interleague games
Cincinnati (61-51) @ Cleveland (54-55)
— Castillo is 3-0, 2.37 in his last three starts.
— Reds are 8-4 in his last 12 starts.
— over 14-9
— allowed run in first inning: 9-23
— you’re reading ***************.com
— record in first 5 innings: 11-10-2
— He is 0-2, 4.80 in three starts vs Cleveland.

— Cincinnati is 14-8 in its last 22 games.
— Reds are 6-2 in last eight road games.
— over 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 34-112
— record in first 5 innings: 54-43-15

— Hentges is 0-3, 13.94 in his last three starts.
— Indians are 4-4 in his starts.
— over 4-3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-8
— record in first 5 innings: 1-6-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Cincinnati.

— Cleveland is 14-25 in last 39 games.
— Indians are 3-1 in last four home games.
— under 6-3 last nine home games
— scores run in first inning: 33-109
— record in first 5 innings: 39-53-17




MLB

Monday, August 9

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Trend Report
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Cincinnati @ Cleveland
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Cleveland
Cleveland is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Cincinnati
Cleveland is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

Milwaukee @ Chi Cubs
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
Milwaukee is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games at home

NY Yankees @ Kansas City
NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of NY Yankees's last 10 games on the road
Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Yankees

Chi White Sox @ Minnesota
Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi White Sox's last 8 games on the road
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

Miami @ San Diego
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games on the road
Miami is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing San Diego
San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 6 games when playing Miami
San Diego is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games


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MLB
Dunkel

Monday, August 9

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MLB
Weather Report

Monday, August 9

[Udog]

Diamond Trends for Monday August 9
Vince Akins

SU Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: N.Y. Yankees at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Yankees are 14-0 SU since Sep 01, 2004 as a favorite of at least -140 after a game as a home favorite in which they were shutout.

SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Miami at San Diego (10:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Marlins are 0-11 SU since May 21, 2021 off a road game in which they scored first.

OU Trend of the Day
Matchup: Cincinnati at Cleveland (6:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Indians are 8-0 OU (2.38 ppg) since Jul 27, 2009 as a dog of at least +140 off a comeback win as a favorite.

Starter-Based Trend of the Day
Matchup: Chicago White Sox at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. ET)

-- The White Sox are 9-0 OU (2.44 ppg) since May 09, 2021 when Lucas Giolito starts against a team they defeated the last time he faced them.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)