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Monday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 8/2

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  • Monday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 8/2

    Trends and Indexes

    Monday, August 2

    Good Luck on day #214 of 2021!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


  • #2
    Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

    Major league leaders in total bases:
    240— Vladimir Guerrero Tor/Shohei Ohtani LAA
    220— Rafael Devers, Bos
    218— Marcus Semien, Tor
    212— Cedric Mullins, Balt
    211— Matt Olson, A’s
    209— Jesse Winker Cin/Salvador Perez KC

    **********

    Armadillo: Monday's Den: Wrapping up a sports weekend

    13) Been wondering about this for a couple years, and stumbled upon the answer Sunday; an Olympic gold medal is worth $800, if you melted it down. A silver medal would be worth $500 or so, a bronze medal $5. Don’t melt down your bronze medals.

    12) Was watching the Spain-Slovenia basketball game at 5am couple nights ago, they finally showed a basketball game on regular TV. Slovenia won; Spain will play the American team in the Round of 8 coming up next.

    Recent US-Spain games in Olympic/World Cup games:
    2016— USA won 82-76 in Olympic semifinals
    2012— USA won 107-100 in gold medal game.
    2008— USA won 118-107 in gold medal game.

    Closer than you might think, right?

    11) There will be even more basketball on TV next week, when the NBA Summer League kicks off from Las Vegas, from August 8-17. I’ve been to the summer league few times; it is excellent entertainment, guys play their butts off, trying to get invited to NBA camps, or to get lucrative contracts overseas. Not too many guys take days off for load management in summer league.

    10) Imagine being Dave Martinez or David Ross, managers of Nationals/Cubs; you’re trying like hell to lead your team to a winning season, then in the middle of the pennant race, your boss dumps eight of your best players in trades for prospects. Not good.

    Translations: Cubs/Nationals will suck next year and who gets blamed when the team sucks? The manager, not the GM who traded away all the good players. Time to update your resumes, guys.

    It is especially tough for Dave Martinez, who won the freakin’ World Series two years ago.

    9) Not to rub it in any, but Kris Bryant homered in his debut for the Giants Sunday, after Javier Baez, Anthony Rizzo did the same thing for their new teams.

    8) Young guy who is a cashier at the grocery store I go to often wears a Javier Baez Cubs jersey while he works; wonder if he’ll get a new Baez jersey or switch to another Cubs player.

    7) Last month, Mets drafted Vanderbilt P Kumar Rocker with the 10th pick in the baseball draft, but they opted not to sign him this week, because of issues/non-issues with his elbow. They forfeit his rights and instead get the 11th pick in next year’s draft.

    Kumar Rocker can go back and play at Vanderbilt next year, but scumweasel agent Scott Boras indicated that Rocker won’t be doing that. If there really is something wrong with his elbow, another year of pitching for free isn’t going to help his elbow or his bank account any.

    On the bright side of the Mets bungling this deal is that Houston did the same thing a few years ago, and with their comp pick, they drafted Alex Bregman, so this many still work out for them.

    6) Mets went 14-13 in July, which doesn’t sound like much, but they doubled their division lead during the month, from 2 to 4 games. NL East ain’t that strong this year.

    5) Bronx Bombers haven’t scored a first inning run in their last 19 games; with the top-heavy lineup they’ve assembled the last few days, that should change soon.

    4) Minnessota Vikings fired their offensive line coach because he refused to take the COVID vaccine, but now their backup QB Kellen Mond tested positive for COVID and starting QB Kirk Cousins is a close contact, so training camp will be messed up for a few days, at least on the offensive side of the ball.

    3) Orioles’ P Matt Harvey has had a rocky road the last few years, but something he’s doing is working; in his last three starts, Harvey threw 18.1 scoreless innings, winning all three starts for a pretty bad team.

    2) A’s 8, Angels 3— Oakland is 4-1 since the Starling Marte trade was announced. Yan Gomes hit a long home run Sunday, and P Daulton Jefferies got his first big league win.

    Some A’s fans were bitching on social media because Oakland traded Jesus Luzardo to Miami, so Jefferies’ win Sunday shuts them up for now, since he is filling Luzardo’s shoes.

    Newly-acquired Josh Harrison is wearing #1 for the A’s; couldn’t remember many A’s who wore #1 since 2B Dick Green did during the 70’s glory days, so I looked it up.

    From 1976-2009, no A’s player wore number 1; long time. Ka’ai Tom wore it for nine games earlier this year, Franklin Barreto wore it few years ago, but since Billy Martin wore #1 while he managed the A’s 40 years ago, its mostly been in mothballs.

    1) Wonder what it is like to turn down an offer for $44M to play 82 basketball games? Chris Paul turned down his player option of $44M from Phoenix for next season- that would’ve worked out to $536,585.37 per game, and HE TURNED IT DOWN!?!?!?!?

    Will be very curious how much he winds up signing for, or does he just bolt to the Knicks, where his endorsement potential would be through the roof.

    Kawhi Leonard turned down a $36M option for next year and he’s recovering from a torn ACL. Go figure.

    Comment


    • #3
      951PHILADELPHIA -952 WASHINGTON
      WASHINGTON is 15-26 SU (-16.4 Units) vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse in the current season.

      953NY METS -954 MIAMI
      NY METS are 4-15 SU (-15.8 Units) in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4 or less runs/game on the season in the current season.

      955PITTSBURGH -956 MILWAUKEE
      PITTSBURGH is 10-19 SU (-16.8 Units) in road games with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) in the current season.

      957SAN FRANCISCO -958 ARIZONA
      ARIZONA is 8-29 SU (-24.4 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start in the current season.

      959CLEVELAND -960 TORONTO
      TORONTO is 30-18 SU (11.3 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start in the current season.

      961BALTIMORE -962 NY YANKEES
      NY YANKEES are 14-2 SU (11.8 Units) in home games as a favorite of -200 or more over the last 2 seasons.

      963SEATTLE -964 TAMPA BAY
      TAMPA BAY is 35-14 SU (23.5 Units) vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) in the current season.

      965LA ANGELS -966 TEXAS
      TEXAS are 3-17 SU (-18.2 Units) vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season in the current season.

      Comment


      • #4
        MLB
        Dunkel

        Monday, August 2


        Comment


        • #5
          MLB
          Armadillo's Write-Up

          Monday, August 2


          NL games
          Philadelphia (52-53) @ Washington (49-56)

          — bullpen game

          — Phillies are 6-9 in their last 15 games.
          — Phillies are 31-21 at home, 21-32 on road.
          — over 17-7 last 24 games.
          — scored run in first inning: 35-105
          — record in first 5 innings: 40-42-23

          — Gray gave up 2 runs in 4 IP (79 PT) in his one start for LA.
          — He also got 19 whiffs on 38 swings, which is good.
          — Dodgers were 1-0 in his starts.
          — under 1-0
          — allowed run in first inning: 1-1
          — record in first 5 innings: 0-0-1
          — He hasn’t pitched against Philly.

          — Washington is 7-13 in its last 20 games.
          — Nationals are 5-8 in last 13 home games.
          — under 7-4 last 11 games
          — scored run in first inning: 35-104
          — record in first 5 innings: 44-40-20

          Mets (55-49) @ Miami (44-61)
          — Megill is 1-0, 1.04 in his last five starts.
          — Mets are 6-1 in his starts.
          — under 5-2
          — allowed run in first inning: 0-7
          — record in first 5 innings: 5-1-1
          — He hasn’t pitched against Miami.

          — Mets are 20-24 in their last 44 games.
          — Mets are 3-1 in last four road games.
          — under 8-3-2 last 13 games.
          — scored run in first inning: 27-104
          — record in first 5 innings: 45-47-12

          — Luzardo was 1-3, 6.75 in six starts for Oakland.
          — He was 2-2, 6.52 in eight AAA starts since he was on IL.
          — A’s were 3-3 in his starts.
          — over 4-2
          — allowed run in first inning: 1-6
          — record in first 5 innings: 1-4-1
          — He hasn’t pitched against the Mets.

          — Marlins are 15-25 in their last 40 games.
          — Miami is 3-8 in last 11 home games.
          — under 6-1 last seven home games
          — scored run in first inning: 24-105
          — record in first 5 innings: 38-47-20

          Pittsburgh (40-65) @ Milwaukee (63-43)
          — Wilson was 2-3, 5.88 in eight starts for Atlanta.
          — Braves were 2-5 in his starts.
          — under 4-4
          — allowed run in first inning: 4-8
          — record in first 5 innings: 3-4
          — He gave up 4 runs in 4 IP in his one start vs Milwaukee.

          — Pirates is 4-9 in last 13 games.
          — Pittsburgh is 4-9 in last 13 road games.
          — over 17-8-1 last 26 games
          — scored run in first inning: 29-104
          — record in first 5 innings: 34-58-12

          — Lauer is 2-1, 1.54 in his last four starts.
          — Milwaukee is 4-6 in his starts.
          — over 5-4-1
          — allowed run in first inning: 3-10
          — record in first 5 innings: 5-4-1
          — He is 1-2, 3.13 in five starts vs Pittsburgh.

          — Brewers are 10-4 in last 14 games.
          — Milwaukee is 2-6 in last eight home games.
          — under 7-1-1 last nine home games.
          — scored run in first inning: 37-106
          — record in first 5 innings: 52-34-20

          San Francisco (66-39) @ Arizona (33-73)
          — DeSclafani is 0-2, 6.14 in his last three starts.
          — Giants are 14-7 in his starts.
          — over 3-1 last four
          — allowed run in first inning: 4-21
          — record in first 5 innings: 11-7-3
          — He is 2-0, 2.63 in two starts vs Arizona this year.

          — Giants are 9-7 since All-Star break.
          — Giants are 7-3 in last ten road games.
          — Over is 6-4 in last 10 road games.
          — scored run in first inning: 31-105
          — record in first 5 innings: 57-35-13

          — Widener is 0-1, 7.82 in his last three starts.
          — Arizona is 4-4 in his starts.
          — under 4-4
          — allowed run in first inning: 1-8
          — record in first 5 innings: 1-8
          — He gave up 3 runs in 3.2 IP in two relief stints vs San Francisco.

          — Arizona is 6-5 in its last 11 games.
          — Arizona is 5-2 in its last seven home games.
          — over 11-7 last 18 games
          — scored run in first inning: 15-105
          — record in first 5 innings: 38-59-8

          AL games
          Cleveland (51-51) @ Toronto (54-48)

          — Morgan is 1-3, 7.86 in six starts.
          — Indians are 3-3 in his starts.
          — over 4-2
          — allowed run in first inning: 1-6
          — record in first 5 innings: 2-4
          — He gave up 6 runs in 2.2 IP in a May 28 start vs Toronto.

          — Cleveland is 11-21 in last 32 games.
          — Indians is 4-10 in last 14 road games.
          — over 9-5 last 14 road games
          — scores run in first inning: 32-102
          — record in first 5 innings: 37-49-16

          — Ray is 3-1, 1.82 in his last four starts.
          — Toronto is 5-2 in his last seven starts.
          — under 7-4 last 11
          — allowed run in first inning: 5-20
          — record in first 5 innings: 12-5-3
          — He threw a scoreless inning in relief vs Cleveland.

          — Toronto won its last four games.
          — Blue Jays are 3-0 in Toronto so far.
          — Under is 7-2-1 in last ten games.
          — scored run in first inning: 32-102
          — record in first 5 innings: 11-5 last 16

          Baltimore (37-67) @ Bronx (56-48)
          — Lopez is 0-0, 7.94 in his last three starts.
          — Orioles are 7-14 in his starts.
          — under 13-8
          — allowed run in first inning: 5-21
          — record in first 5 innings: 5-12-4
          — He is 0-2, 9.28 in three starts vs New York this year.

          — Orioles are 9-5 in last 14 games.
          — Baltimore is 20-36 on road, 17-31 at home.
          — over is 43-24-1 in their last 65 games.
          — scored run in first inning: 34-105
          — record in first 5 innings: 35-54-16

          — Heaney was 1-1, 4.76 in his last three starts for Anaheim.
          — Angels were 7-11 in his starts.
          — over 14-3-1
          — allowed run in first inning: 7-18
          — record in first 5 innings: 10-7-1
          — He is 1-0, 5.40 in three starts vs Baltimore.

          — New York is 15-6 in last 21 games.
          — New York is 5-1 in last six home games.
          — over 7-2-1 last 10 home games
          — scored run in first inning: 24-104 (0 of last 19)
          — record in first 5 innings: 43-40-21

          Seattle (56-50) @ Tampa Bay (64-42)
          — Flexen is 2-2, 3.86 in his last four starts.
          — Mariners are 13-6 in his starts.
          — over 11-8
          — allowed run in first inning: 5-19
          — record in first 5 innings: 10-8-1
          — He gave up 5 runs in 3 IP in one start vs Tampa Bay.

          — Seattle is 25-14 in its last 39 games.
          — Seattle is 6-4 in last ten road games.
          — over 6-2 last eight games
          — scored run in first inning: 33-106
          — record in first 5 innings: 48-49-9

          — Wacha was 1-0, 4.05 in four July starts.
          — Rays are 9-4 in his starts.
          — over 3-1 last four
          — allowed run in first inning: 3-13
          — record in first 5 innings: 4-4-5
          — He is 0-2, 8.25 in three starts vs Seattle.

          — Tampa Bay won its last four games.
          — Rays are 15-5 in last 20 home tilts.
          — under is 8-5 last 13 home games.
          — scored run in first inning: 34-106
          — record in first 5 innings: 42-38-26

          Angels (51-52) @ Texas (37-67)
          — Suarez is 1-3, 9.64 in four starts.
          — Angels are 1-3 in his starts.
          — under 3-1
          — allowed run in first inning: 2-4
          — record in first 5 innings: 1-3
          — He gave up 3 runs in 4 IP, in one start vs Texas.

          — Angels lost four of last six games.
          — Angels are 4-3 in last seven road games.
          — under 9-4 last 13 games
          — scored run in first inning: 35-105
          — record in first 5 innings: 46-46-13

          — Dunning is 1-1, 2.70 in his last four starts.
          — Rangers are 4-1 in his last five starts.
          — over 4-1 last five
          — allowed run in first inning: 8-19
          — record in first 5 innings: 8-9-3
          — He is 0-2, 11.00 in two starts vs Anaheim this year.

          — Texas lost 14 of last 17 games, but won last 2.
          — Texas is 5-6 in last 11 home games.
          — over 6-4-1 last 11 home games.
          — scored run in first inning: 19-105
          — record in first 5 innings: 33-58-14

          Comment


          • #6
            MLB

            Monday, August 2


            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            Trend Report
            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            Cleveland @ Toronto
            Cleveland
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games on the road
            Cleveland is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
            Toronto
            Toronto is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
            Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

            Philadelphia @ Washington
            Philadelphia
            The total has gone OVER in 10 of Philadelphia's last 13 games on the road
            The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 8 games when playing on the road against Washington
            Washington
            The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 8 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
            Washington is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

            Baltimore @ NY Yankees
            Baltimore
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
            NY Yankees
            NY Yankees is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Baltimore
            The total has gone UNDER in 9 of NY Yankees's last 10 games

            NY Mets @ Miami
            NY Mets
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing Miami
            NY Mets is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Miami
            Miami
            Miami is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing NY Mets
            The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games at home

            Seattle @ Tampa Bay
            Seattle
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
            Seattle is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
            Tampa Bay
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
            Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

            LA Angels @ Texas
            LA Angels
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Angels's last 5 games on the road
            LA Angels is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas
            Texas
            Texas is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against LA Angels
            Texas is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against LA Angels

            Pittsburgh @ Milwaukee
            Pittsburgh
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games on the road
            The total has gone OVER in 8 of Pittsburgh's last 11 games when playing Milwaukee
            Milwaukee
            Milwaukee is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Pittsburgh
            Milwaukee is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Pittsburgh

            San Francisco @ Arizona
            San Francisco
            San Francisco is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing Arizona
            San Francisco is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Arizona
            Arizona
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games at home
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games


            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            Comment


            • #7
              MLB
              Weather Report

              Monday, August 2





              Comment


              • #8
                Diamond Trends for Monday August 2
                Vince Akins

                SU Play ON Trend of the Day
                Matchup: Seattle at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. ET)

                -- The Rays are 10-0 SU since Sep 18, 2020 off a home game in which they left fewer than 10 men on base.

                SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
                Matchup: N.Y. Mets at Miami (7:10 p.m. ET)

                -- The Marlins are 0-12 SU since May 21, 2021 off a game as a dog in which they scored first.

                OU Trend of the Day
                Matchup: San Francisco at Arizona (9:40 p.m. ET)

                -- The Diamondbacks are 0-11-1 OU (-3.00 ppg) since Aug 14, 2017 in the first game of a series with no rest after they lost by at least five runs last game.

                Starter-Based Trend of the Day
                Matchup: Seattle at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. ET)

                -- The Mariners are 7-0 OU (3.86 ppg) since Apr 11, 2021 when Chris Flexen starts as a road dog.

                Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)


                Comment

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