Announcement

**Udog** · 07-05-2021, 08:01 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Odds to win the MAC in football this fall:
5-2— Toledo
7-2— Ball State, Buffalo
5-1— Western Michigan
6-1— Ohio U
10-1— Central Michigan
12-1— Kent State, Miami
25-1— Eastern Michigan
75-1— Northern Illinois
200-1— Akron, Bowling Green

**********

Armadillo: Monday's Den: Wrapping up a sports weekend

13) What are the best/worst days to have birthdays?

I’m thinking July 5th is on the worst list, along with December 24 and 26, maybe January 2.

July 4th would be on the good list, along with December 31st.

What do you think? Let me know………[email protected]

12) These are facts; do with them what you will:

— Madison Bumgarner threw a no-hitter April 25; Arizona then lost its next 24 road games.
— John Means threw a no-hitter May 5; Orioles lost their next 20 road games.
— Cubs threw a combined no-hitter June 24; Cubs are 0-9 since that game.

Bumgarner/Means are both hurt now, by the way.

11) Cubs had 11 hits in their 3-2 loss to Cincinnati Sunday, ending a streak of 20 games in a row with 8 or fewer hits. Cubs are just third team in last 100 years to go 20 consecutive games with 8 or fewer hits (’72 Mets, ’68 Bronx).

10) Nevada sportsbooks banked a profit of $27.1M in May, their all-time record for May.

9) I cannot imagine eating 76 hot dogs (and buns) in 10:00, but Joey Chestnut did that Sunday and won the Nathan’s contest for the 14th time. I can’t watch those guys eat anymore; it makes me want to puke, seriously. No way is it healthy.

I do remember the movie Meatballs, when Larry Fink beats “The Stomach” in a hot dog eating contest, or as Bill Murray put it, “weenie war.” The actor who played “The Stomach” wound up being a high school football coach about 30 miles from here.

8) Has to be a little awkward when umpires are constantly checking pitchers’ hats for foreign substances right after an inning.

Miami’s Sandy Alcantara was getting squeezed by the home plate ump Saturday, then after the inning the guy was checking his hat/belt. Alcantara had to be biting his tongue.

7) Sunday night was 22nd time this season the Diamondbacks had 2 or fewer hits thru six innings; they’re 1-21 in those games. Arizona has lost 45 games in a row when they score 4 or fewer runs, an ignominious record.

6) Braves 8, Marlins 7 (10):
— Atlanta tied game with four runs in 9th inning.
— Pitcher Max Fried got the walk-off hit as a pinch-hitter in 10th inning.

5) Colorado Rockies have nine walk-off hits, most in the majors this season.

4) NFL Network had the 1999 Rams’ highlight film on Sunday night; damn right I watched it. Was pretty cool that Martin Sheen narrates it; I watch a lot of West Wing re-runs on my laptop as I write this space (am listening to one right now) so it is excellent that President Bartlet narrated the Greatest Show on Turf’s highlight film.

3) Speaking of my Rams’ fandom, 40 years ago this week, Vince Ferragamo made his debut playing QB for Montreal in the CFL. It didn’t go well in Canada for Ferragamo, who had led the Rams to the Super Bowl in 1979- he was 15-5 as QB of the Rams before going to Canada, 11-13 when he came back. He later played for Buffalo and the Packers.

Ferragamo got a raw deal from the Rams, who were very dysfunctional back then; they should’ve made sure he never freakin’ went to Canada, but that’s water under the bridge now.

2) If you care about such things, over is 606-597-42 in baseball totals this season. Under was 11-5 Sunday; teams play more of their bench players on Sunday. May have to check that angle out as we go along.

1) RIP to football coach Terry Donahue, who passed away this weekend at age 77. Coach Donahue coached UCLA from 1976-95, going 151-74-8, 98-51-5 in Pac-12 games, 8-4-1 in bowl games. Coach Donahue replaced the great Dick Vermeil at UCLA; he later worked as an analyst for CBS, then worked in the 49ers’ front office.

Coach Donahue was inducted into the College Football Hall of Fame in 2000. RIP, sir.

**Udog** · 07-05-2021, 08:02 AM

MLB
Weather Report

Monday, July 5

**Udog** · 07-05-2021, 08:07 AM

901ST LOUIS -902 SAN FRANCISCO
SAN FRANCISCO is 30-12 SU (20.6 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start in the current season.

903LA DODGERS -904 MIAMI
MIAMI is 36-22 SU (10.6 Units) vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse in the current season.

905ATLANTA -906 PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH is 7-20 SU (-16.3 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start in the current season.

907MILWAUKEE -908 NY METS
MILWAUKEE is 27-13 SU (17.3 Units) vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better in the current season.

909PHILADELPHIA -910 CHICAGO CUBS
PHILADELPHIA is 3-13 SU (-11.3 Units) in road games when playing on Monday in the last 3 seasons.

911WASHINGTON -912 SAN DIEGO
WASHINGTON is 17-6 SU (11.9 Units) vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better in the current season.

913CHI WHITE SOX -914 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 19-44 SU (-35.2 Units) with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) in the current season.

915CLEVELAND -916 TAMPA BAY
TAMPA BAY is 25-10 SU (14.7 Units) vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) in the current season.

917DETROIT -918 TEXAS
TEXAS are 12-31 SU (-22.1 Units) when playing with a day off in the last 3 seasons.

919BOSTON -920 LA ANGELS
BOSTON is 19-5 SU (14.3 Units) in road games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the current season.

**Udog** · 07-05-2021, 08:10 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Monday, July 5

**Udog** · 07-05-2021, 08:10 AM

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, July 5

NL games
St Louis (41-44) @ San Francisco (52-30)
— Kim is 1-1, 3.26 in his last four starts.
— Cardinals are 2-6 in his last eight starts.
— over 6-4-3
— allowed run in first inning: 1-13
— record in first 5 innings: 5-6-2
— He hasn’t pitched against San Francisco.

— Cardinals won five of their last eight games.
— St Louis is 2-12 in its last 14 road games.
— Under is 14-5-2 in their last 21 games.
— scored run in first inning: 25-84
— record in first 5 innings: 33-35-16

— Gausman is 5-2, 1.88 in his last eight starts.
— Giants are 11-5 in his starts.
— under 6-3 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 4-16
— record in first 5 innings: 11-3-2
— He is 0-2, 4.60 in 6 games (2 starts) vs St Louis.

— Giants are 18-9 in their last 27 games.
— Giants are 11-3 in last 14 home games.
— Over is 6-3 in their last nine home games.
— scored run in first inning: 23-82
— record in first 5 innings: 45-26-11

Dodgers (53-31) @ Miami (35-47)
— Buehler is 5-1, 2.08 in his last six starts.
— Dodgers are 5-1 in his road starts.
— under 3-1-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 4-16
— record in first 5 innings: 7-5-4
— He is 1-1, 3.86 in four starts vs Miami.

— Dodgers are 9-4 in their last 13 games.
— Dodgers are 10-5 in their last 15 road games.
— over 5-3 last eight road games
— scored run in first inning: 24-84
— record in first 5 innings: 43-27-14

— Rogers is 0-2, 3.24 in his last three starts.
— Marlins are 8-8 in his starts.
— under 10-6
— allowed run in first inning: 2-16
— record in first 5 innings: 9-5-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Los Angeles.

— Marlins are 6-12 in their last 18 games.
— Miami is 2-5 in its last seven home games.
— under 15-9-1 last 25 games
— scored run in first inning: 18-80
— record in first 5 innings: 31-34-15

Atlanta (41-42) @ Pittsburgh (30-53)
— Fried is 3-1, 2.63 in his last four starts.
— Braves are 6-6 in his starts.
— under 6-5-1
— allowed run in first inning: 7-12
— you’re reading ***************.com
— record in first 5 innings: 7-4-1
— He is 1-0, 4.91 in two starts vs Pittsburgh.

— Braves are 12-13 in their last 25 games
— Atlanta is 5-8 in its last 13 road games.
— under 9-3-1 in last 13 games.
— scored run in first inning: 29-83
— record in first 5 innings: 43-29-11

— DeJong is 0-3, 6.59 in his last three starts.
— Pirates are 1-5 in his starts.
— under 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-6
— record in first 5 innings: 1-5
— He hasn’t pitched against Atlanta.

— Pirates lost six of last seven games.
— Pittsburgh is 9-10 in its last 19 home games.
— under 5-3-1 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 24-83
— record in first 5 innings: 24-48-11

Milwaukee (51-34) @ Mets (43-37)
— Woodruff is 3-1, 3.30 in his last five starts.
— Milwaukee is 12-4 in his starts.
— under 10-5-1
— allowed run in first inning: 4-16
— record in first 5 innings: 9-2-5
— He is 2-0, 1.80 in two starts vs New York.

— Brewers won 13 of their last 15 games.
— Milwaukee won seven of last nine road games.
— over 6-4 last ten road games.
— scored run in first inning: 29-85
— record in first 5 innings: 40-28-17

— Megill is 0-0, 4.82 in two starts.
— Mets are 2-0 in his starts.
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Milwaukee.

— Mets are 8-12 in their last 20 games.
— Mets are 18-7 in their last 25 home games.
— under 5-2 last seven home games.
— scored run in first inning: 19-80
— record in first 5 innings: 37-34-9

Philadelphia (39-42) @ Cubs (42-42)
— Moore is 0-1, 7.31 in four starts.
— Phillies are 3-1 in his starts.
— over 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2-2
— He is 0-2, 6.00 in two starts vs Chicago.

— Phillies are 6-9 in their last 15 games.
— Phillies are 24-16 at home, 15-26 on road.
— under 12-7 last 19 games.
— scored run in first inning: 27-81
— record in first 5 innings: 31-31-19

— Davies is 3-2, 3.14 in his last five starts.
— Cubs are 10-7 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 4-17
— record in first 5 innings: 7-7-3
— He is 2-1, 5.19 in three starts vs Philly.

— Cubs lost 9 in row, 15 of last 19 games.
— Chicago is 11-4 in its last 15 home games.
— Under is 23-10 in their last 33 games.
— scored run in first inning: 25-84
— record in first 5 innings: 37-36-11

Washington (40-42) @ San Diego (50-36)
— Lester is 2-2, 6.53 in his last nine starts.
— Washington is 6-6 in his starts.
— over 6-3 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 6-12
— record in first 5 innings: 6-4-2
— He is 3-1, 4.24 in eight starts vs San Diego.

— Washington lost its last four games.
— Nationals are 5-2 in their last seven road games.
— under 8-5 last 13 road games
— scored run in first inning: 27-82
— record in first 5 innings: 34-30-18

— Musgrove is 0-2, 4.13 in his last five starts.
— Padres are 9-6 in his starts.
— over last three
— allowed run in first inning: 3-15
— record in first 5 innings: 6-7-2
— He is 0-2, 5.73 in 3 games (2 starts) vs Washington.

— Padres won 12 of their last 16 games.
— San Diego is 9-1 in its last 10 home games.
— over 12 of last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 27-86
— record in first 5 innings: 34-38-14

AL games
White Sox (50-34) @ Minnesota (34-48)
— Cease is 4-1, 4.33 in his last five starts
— Chicago is 10-6 in his starts.
— over 9-6-1
— allowed run in first inning: 6-16
— record in first 5 innings: 8-4-4
— He is 1-0, 4.09 in two starts vs Minnesota this year.

— Chicago is 6-9 in its last 15 games.
— White Sox are 2-7 in last nine road games.
— over 10-3 last 13 road games.
— scored run in first inning: 25-82
— record in first 5 innings: 45-22-16

— Ober is 0-1, 5.84 in six starts.
— Twins are 3-3 in his starts.
— over 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3
— He is 0-1, 11.05 in two starts vs Chicago this year.

— Minnesota lost five of its last six games.
— Twins are 5-7 in last dozen home games.
— over 16-5-1 last 22 home games
— scores run in first inning: 32-82
— record in first 5 innings: 26-38-18

Cleveland (42-39) @ Tampa Bay (48-36)
— Allen is 0-3, 23.82 in his last three starts.
— Indians are 1-4 in his starts.
— under 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-4
— He hasn’t pitched against Tampa Bay.

— Cleveland lost eight of its last nine games.
— Indians are 3-6 in last nine road games.
— over 30-16-1 last 47 games
— scores run in first inning: 29-81
— record in first 5 innings: 29-39-13

— Hill is 1-1, 5.66 in his last four starts.
— Rays are 9-7 in his starts.
— over 10-6
— allowed run in first inning: 3-16
— record in first 5 innings: 9-3-4
— He is 1-1, 4.82 in 10 games (3 starts) vs Cleveland.

— Tampa Bay lost five of its last six games.
— Rays are 7-2 in last nine home games.
— over is 5-2-1 in last eight home games.
— scored run in first inning: 26-84
— record in first 5 innings: 32-31-21

Detroit (38-46) @ Texas (33-51)
— Peralta is 1-1, 4.26 in three starts.
— Tigers are 1-2 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1
— He is 1-0, 3.48 in 6 games (1 start) vs Texas.

— Detroit is 9-7 its last 16 games.
— Detroit is 3-1 in its last four road games.
— over 17-7 last 24 games
— scored run in first inning: 17-85
— record in first 5 innings: 2-5-1 last eight on road.

— Allard is 1-4, 3.66 in six starts.
— Texas is 1-5 in his starts.
— under 5-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 1-4-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Detroit.

— Texas won seven of its last 11 games.
— Texas is 5-2 in its last seven home games.
— over 13-7-2 last 22 games.
— scored run in first inning: 18-84
— record in first 5 innings: 30-42-12

Boston (53-32) @ Angels (42-41)
— Perez is 2-0, 3.86 in his last three starts.
— Red Sox are 10-6 in his starts.
— under 7-2-1 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 5-16
— record in first 5 innings: 8-5-3
— He is 6-5, 4.02 in 15 starts vs Anaheim.

— Boston is 16-7 in its last 23 games.
— Red Sox are 10-5 in their last 15 road games.
— over 15-10 last 25 games
— scored run in first inning: 30-85
— record in first 5 innings: 40-31-14

— Suarez is making his first ’21 start.
— He is 3-1, 1.98 in nine relief stints this year (27.1 IP)
— He gave up 4 runs in five IP in one start vs Boston.

— Halos split their last 12 games.
— Angels split their last six home games.
— over 20-6 last 26 games
— scored run in first inning: 26-84
— record in first 5 innings: 36-37-11

Interleague games
Cincinnati (43-40) @ Kansas City (35-48)
— Gutierrez is 0-2, 8.22 in his last three starts.
— Reds are 3-4 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 3-7
— you’re reading ***************.com
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Kansas City.

— Cincinnati won its last four games.
— Reds are 1-5 in last six road games.
— over 5-1 last six road games
— scored run in first inning: 23-83
— record in first 5 innings: 32-37-14

— Minor is 1-3, 6.04 in his last four starts.
— Royals are 8-9 in his starts.
— over 8-5 last 13
— allowed run in first inning: 4-17
— record in first 5 innings: 7-9-1
— He is 3-1, 2.91 in five starts vs Cincinnati.

— Royals lost 21 of their last 27 games.
— Royals are 4-7 in their last 11 home games.
— over 12-7 last 19 home games.
— scores run in first inning: 17-83
— record in first 5 innings: 30-42-11

**Udog** · 07-05-2021, 08:11 AM

MLB

Monday, July 5

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

St. Louis @ San Francisco
St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of St. Louis's last 7 games
San Francisco
San Francisco is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home
San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis

LA Dodgers @ Miami
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Atlanta @ Pittsburgh
Atlanta
Atlanta is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games on the road
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 10 games at home

Milwaukee @ NY Mets
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
Milwaukee is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing NY Mets
NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
NY Mets is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games at home

Cleveland @ Tampa Bay
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Cleveland's last 13 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 9 games
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland

Chi White Sox @ Minnesota
Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games
Chi White Sox is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox

Philadelphia @ Chi Cubs
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Chi Cubs
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Chi Cubs is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Detroit @ Texas
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing Texas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games
Texas
Texas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Texas is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Detroit

Cincinnati @ Kansas City
Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Cincinnati's last 10 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Kansas City's last 10 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 7 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

Boston @ LA Angels
Boston
Boston is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
LA Angels
LA Angels is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Boston
LA Angels is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

Washington @ San Diego
Washington
Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Diego
Washington is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against San Diego
San Diego
San Diego is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego's last 6 games at home

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 07-05-2021, 12:39 PM

Diamond Trends for Monday July 5
Vince Akins

SU Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Philadelphia at Chicago Cubs (8:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Cubs are 10-0 SU since May 07, 2021 as a favorite when the opposing starter has an ERA of at least 4.00 on the season.

SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: L.A. Dodgers at Miami (6:40 p.m. ET)

-- The Marlins are 0-14 SU since Apr 02, 2018 as a home dog of at least +140 off a game as a dog in which they scored 6+ runs.

OU Trend of the Day
Matchup: Chicago White Sox at Minnesota (7:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Twins are 11-0-1 OU (4.50 ppg) since Apr 05, 2021 off a game as a favorite in which they allowed 6 or fewer hits.

Starter-Based Trend of the Day
Matchup: L.A. Dodgers at Miami (6:40 p.m. ET)

-- The Dodgers are 10-0-2 OU (3.96 ppg) since Jun 27, 2019 when Walker Buehler starts on the road when they won as an home favorite in his last start.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

Announcement

Monday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 7/5

Monday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 7/5

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