Announcement

**Udog** · 07-01-2021, 07:46 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Top states in sports betting handle in May 2021:
$814M— New Jersey
$478M— Nevada
$447M— Pennsylvania
$258M— Michigan
$254M— Indiana
$249M— Colorado

**********

Armadillo: Thursday's Den: Pac-12 football knowledge:

Arizona:
— New coach Fisch has been an assistant to both Bill Belichick, Sean McVay.
— Arizona hasn’t been to a bowl game since 2017.
— Since 2013, Wildcats are 7-21 ATS as a road underdog.
— Pete Carroll’s son Brennan is Arizona’s offensive coordinator.

Arizona State:
— ASU is 15-13 SU under Herm Edwards, with a +32 turnover ratio.
— Under Edwards, Sun Devils are 5-10 ATS as a favorite, 9-4 as an underdog.
— ASU has a QB with 16 career starts; their OL has four starters back.

California
— Coach Wilcox is 18-7 ATS as an underdog.
— Last three years, Cal is 0-7-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Since 2012. Golden Bears are 19-36 ATS coming off a loss.

Colorado
— As a head coach, Dorrell is 23-9-2 ATS at home, 13-15 on road.
— Last four years, Colorado is 6-12-1 ATS coming off a loss.
— Buffs lost last four bowls, last two by 38-8/55-23 scores.

Oregon:
— Since 2016, Ducks are 12-20-1 ATS coming off a win.
— HC Cristobal is 12-18 ATS as a home favorite, 12-7 as a road favorite.
— QB Brown started 28 games at Boston College.

Oregon State
— Last winning season: they went 7-6 in 2013.
— HC Smith is 3-9-1 ATS as a home underdog, 11-3 as a road dog.
— Last two years, 10 of their 22 games were decided by 6 or fewer points.

USC
— Trojans were +5 in turnovers LY, after going -10/-10 previous two years.
— Last four years, USC is 7-12 ATS as a home favorite.
— Since 2012, they’re 4-12 ATS as a road underdog.
— Allowed 37.4 ppg in last five bowls, going 2-3 (wins were 45-42/52-49).

Stanford
— Since 2016, Stanford is 8-13 ATS as a home favorite, 8-4-1 as road faves.
— Cardinal started 0-2 LY, won their last four games by total of 10 points.
— Stanford’s last three bowl games were decided by total of 5 points (2-1)

UCLA
— Since 2015, UCLA is 8-16 ATS as a home favorite.
— Bruins are 4-16-1 ATS in last 21 non-conference games.
— UCLA’s last bowl was in 2017; in their last three bowls, they allowed 35-37-35 points.

Utah:
— Last four years, Utah is 14-5 ATS as home favorites.
— Utes are 23-9-1 ATS in last 33 games as a favorite.
— Last three years, Utah is 2-5-1 ATS out of conference.
— HC Whittingham is 11-3 SU in bowls, but lost his last two.

Washington:
— Last five years, Washington is 43-15 SU.
— Last three years, Huskies are 6-11 ATS at home.
— Since 2013, Washington is 1-6 ATS as a home underdog.

Washington State
— In 2019; Wazzu blew a 49-17 lead to UCLA, losing 67-63; they were 3-0 coming into that game, are 4-10 since that day.
— Last two years, Coogs are 2-6 ATS as an underdog.
— Wazzu is 0-4 ATS in its last four bowls.
— QB Jarrett Guarantano started 30 games at Tennessee.

**Udog** · 07-01-2021, 07:53 AM

MLB
Weather Report

Thursday, July 1

**Udog** · 07-01-2021, 07:56 AM

901MIAMI -902 PHILADELPHIA
MIAMI is 3-10 SU (-11.7 Units) in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start in the current season.

903LA DODGERS -904 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 47-23 SU (21.7 Units) after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games in the last 3 seasons.

905MILWAUKEE -906 PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH is 7-18 SU (-14.1 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start in the current season.

907SAN DIEGO -908 CINCINNATI
CINCINNATI is 7-17 SU (-16 Units) vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better over the last 2 seasons.

909NY METS -910 ATLANTA
ATLANTA is 5-18 SU (-16.4 Units) vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game in the current season.

911ST LOUIS -912 COLORADO
COLORADO is 28-10 SU (21.6 Units) in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the current season.

913SAN FRANCISCO -914 ARIZONA
SAN FRANCISCO is 29-10 SU (21.1 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start in the current season.

915LA ANGELS -916 NY YANKEES
LA ANGELS are 11-20 SU (-16.2 Units) vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) in the current season.

917SEATTLE -918 TORONTO
TORONTO is 24-13 SU (9.8 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start in the current season.

919KANSAS CITY -920 BOSTON
BOSTON is 27-18 SU (10.9 Units) vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in the current season.

**Udog** · 07-01-2021, 08:00 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Thursday, July 1

**Udog** · 07-01-2021, 08:03 AM

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, July 1

NL games
Miami (34-45) @ Philadelphia (37-41)
— Lopez is 2-0, 1.38 in his last two starts.
— Marlins are 8-8 in his starts.
— over 5-0 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 3-16
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-5
— He is 1-1, 3.60 in five starts vs Philly.

— Marlins are 5-10 in their last 15 games.
— Miami is 4-12 in its last 16 road games.
— under 13-8-1 last 22 games
— scored run in first inning: 18-77
— record in first 5 innings: 30-32-15

— Eflin is 0-0, 2.65 in his last three starts.
— Phillies are 5-9 in his home starts.
— over 8-6
— allowed run in first inning: 4-14
— record in first 5 innings: 4-6-4
— He is 5-5, 4.38 in 12 starts vs Miami.

— Phillies are 4-8 in their last 12 games.
— Phillies are 22-15 at home, 15-26 on road.
— under 10-6 last 16 games.
— scored run in first inning: 26-78
— record in first 5 innings: 30-30-18

Dodgers (49-31) @ Washington (40-38)
— Gonsolin is 0-0, 2.77 in four starts (13 IP).
— Dodgers are 4-0 in his home starts.
— under 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 3-4
— record in first 5 innings: 4-0
— He hasn’t pitched against Washington.

— Dodgers are 5-4 in their last nine games.
— Dodgers are 6-5 in their last 11 road games.
— over 4-1 last five road games
— scored run in first inning: 24-80
— record in first 5 innings: 42-26-12

— Corbin is 2-1, 2.66 in his last three starts.
— Washington is 8-7 in his starts.
— over 8-7
— allowed run in first inning: 8-15
— record in first 5 innings: 6-6-3
— He is 5-10, 3.71 in 20 starts vs LA.

— Washington won 14 of its last 17 games.
— Nationals are 10-1 in their last 11 home games.
— under 15-5 last 20 home games
— scored run in first inning: 26-78
— record in first 5 innings: 33-29-16

Milwaukee (48-33) @ Pittsburgh (29-50)
— Burnes is 1-0, 3.18 in his last five starts.
— Milwaukee is 6-7 in his starts.
— over 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 2-13
— record in first 5 innings: 6-3-4
— He is 3-0, 3.19 in 15 games (3 starts) vs Pittsburgh.

— Brewers won 10 of their last 11 games.
— Milwaukee won four of last five road games.
— under 3-0 last three road games.
— scored run in first inning: 27-81
— record in first 5 innings: 37-27-17

— Crowe is 1-1, 7.71 in his last four starts.
— Pirates are 4-6 in his starts.
— over 4-1-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 4-10
— record in first 5 innings: 2-6-2
— He gave up 2 runs in five IP, in one start vs Milwaukee.

— Pirates lost last three games, scoring two runs.
— Pittsburgh is 8-7 in its last 15 home games.
— under 4-0-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 23-79
— record in first 5 innings: 23-45-11

San Diego (48-33) @ Cincinnati (39-40)
— Weathers is 1-1, 4.09 in his last five starts.
— Padres are 5-3 in his starts.
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 1-8
— record in first 5 innings: 6-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Cincinnati.

— Padres won 11 of their last 12 games.
— San Diego is 3-9 in its last 12 road games.
— over 11 of last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 25-82
— record in first 5 innings: 33-36-13

— Castillo is 2-2, 1.99 in his last five starts.
— Reds are 4-12 in his starts.
— under 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 8-16
— you’re reading ***************.com
— record in first 5 innings: 5-9-2
— He is 2-3, 3.48 in six starts vs San Diego.

— Cincinnati lost nine of its last 13 games.
— Reds are 7-5 in last 12 home games.
— under 6-2 last eight home games
— scored run in first inning: 23-79
— record in first 5 innings: 31-35-13

Mets (41-35) @ Atlanta (38-41)
— deGrom is 4-0, 0.55 in his last six starts.
— Mets won his last eight starts.
— under 7-5-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-13
— record in first 5 innings: 8-3-2
— He is 9-7, 1.88 in 24 starts vs Atlanta.

— Mets are 6-10 in their last 16 games.
— Mets are 6-9 in their last 15 road games.
— under 6-3 last nine games.
— scored run in first inning: 17-76
— record in first 5 innings: 36-31-9

— Anderson is 1-1, 2.82 in his last four starts.
— Braves are 1-5 in his last six starts.
— under 8-7
— allowed run in first inning: 5-15
— you’re reading ***************.com
— record in first 5 innings: 5-7-3
— He is 1-2, 4.50 in three starts vs New York.

— Braves are 9-12 in their last 21 games
— Atlanta is 6-4 in its last ten home games.
— under 7-2 in last nine games.
— scored run in first inning: 27-79
— record in first 5 innings: 40-28-11

St Louis (40-41) @ Colorado (34-47)
— Wainwright is 3-0, 2.08 in his last four starts.
— Cardinals are 8-7 in his starts.
— under 9-6
— allowed run in first inning: 3-15
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-4
— He is 11-1, 1.41 in 16 games (12 starts) vs Colorado.

— Cardinals won their last four games.
— St Louis is 1-9 in its last ten road games.
— Under is 10-5-2 in their last 17 games.
— scored run in first inning: 25-80
— record in first 5 innings: 32-35-13

— Senzatela is 0-2, 6.26 in his last four starts.
— Rockies are 4-11 in his starts.
— over 5-2-1 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 4-15
— you’re reading ***************.com
— record in first 5 innings: 4-9-2
— He is 2-3, 5.70 in six starts vs St Louis.

— Colorado is 9-6 in its last 15 games.
— Rockies are 28-16 at home, 6-31 on road.
— over 5-3-1 last nine home games.
— scored run in first inning: 25-81
— record in first 5 innings: 33-38-10

San Francisco (50-29) @ Arizona (22-59)
— Cueto is 2-0, 2.08 in his last two starts.
— Giants are 8-4 in his starts.
— under 5-0 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 3-12
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-1
— He is 11-3, 3.21 in 19 starts vs Arizona.

— Giants are 16-8 in their last 24 games.
— Giants are 8-5 in last 13 road games.
— Under is 4-0 in their last four games.
— scored run in first inning: 21-79
— record in first 5 innings: 43-25-11

— Kelly is 2-0, 0.69 in his last two starts.
— Arizona is 6-10 in his starts.
— over 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 4-16
— record in first 5 innings: 6-9-1
— He is 2-2, 3.48 in six starts vs San Francisco.

— Arizona lost 45 of its last 51 games.
— Arizona is 1-9 in its last ten home games.
— under 4-2 last six home games
— scored run in first inning: 14-82
— record in first 5 innings: 26-50-6

AL games
Angels (39-41) @ Bronx (41-39)
— Canning is 1-0, 3.24 in his last three starts.
— Angels are 5-7 in his starts.
— over 7-5
— allowed run in first inning: 4-12
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-1
— He hasn’t pitched against New York.

— Halos lost six of their last nine games.
— Angels are 10-13 in last 23 road games.
— over 17-5 last 22 games
— scored run in first inning: 23-80
— record in first 5 innings: 33-36-11

— Montgomery is 0-1, 4.84 in his last four starts.
— New York is 10-4 in his starts.
— under 8-6
— allowed run in first inning: 6-14
— record in first 5 innings: 4-8-2
— He gave up 2 runs in 5.2 IP, in his one start vs Anaheim.

— New York lost five of its last six games.
— New York is 5-3 in its last eight home games.
— over 14-7-1 last 22 games
— scored run in first inning: 22-80
— record in first 5 innings: 31-33-16

Seattle (42-39) @ Toronto (41-37)
— Kikuchi is 2-0, 0.92 in his last three starts.
— Mariners are 7-7 in his starts.
— over 7-7
— allowed run in first inning: 3-14
— record in first 5 innings: 9-4-1
— He threw a 2-hit shutout in his one start vs Toronto.

— Seattle won 11 of its last 14 games.
— Seattle is 6-8 in its last 14 road games.
— over 10-3 last 13 road games
— scored run in first inning: 24-81
— record in first 5 innings: 38-36-7

— Ryu is 2-0, 3.32 in his last three starts
— Toronto is 9-6 in his starts.
— over 6-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 5-15
— record in first 5 innings: 8-6-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Seattle.

— Blue Jays won eight of their last ten games.
— Toronto lost six of its last ten home games.
— over 12-7 last 19 home games
— scored run in first inning: 24-78
— record in first 5 innings: 37-31-10

Kansas City (33-45) @ Boston (49-31)
— Bubic is 0-2, 10.38 in his last three starts.
— Royals are 4-2 in his starts.
— over 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 4-6
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3-1
— He gave up 2 runs in 2.2 IP, in a relief stint vs Boston.

— Royals lost 19 of their last 23 games.
— Royals are 4-16 in their last 20 road games.
— over 11-5-3 last 19 road games.
— scores run in first inning: 17-79
— record in first 5 innings: 28-41-11

— Eovaldi is 1-1, 2.45 in his last three starts.
— Red Sox are 10-6 in his starts.
— under 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 2-16
— record in first 5 innings: 10-4-2
— He is 2-1, 4.26 in 5 games (3 starts) vs Kansas City.

— Boston is 13-6 in its last 19 games.
— Red Sox are 17-5 in their last 22 home games.
— over 13-8 last 21 games
— scored run in first inning: 29-81
— record in first 5 innings: 37-31-13

Minnesota (32-45) @ White Sox (46-31)
— Berrios is 2-0, 2.97 in his last five starts.
— Twins are 10-5 in his starts.
— over 7-3 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 4-15
— He is 12-2, 2.65 in 17 starts vs Chicago.

— Minnesota won seven of its last 11 games.
— Twins won four of their last six road games.
— over 8-4 last 12 road games
— scores run in first inning: 31-78
— record in first 5 innings: 25-36-17

— Rodon is 1-1, 2.22 in his last four starts
— Chicago is 8-5 in his starts.
— under 8-2 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 5-15
— record in first 5 innings: 6-4-3
— He is 5-3, 4.73 in 10 games (9 starts) vs Minnesota.

— Chicago lost seven of its last 11 games.
— White Sox are 17-6 in last 23 home games.
— under 11-7-2 last 20 home games.
— scored run in first inning: 24-79
— record in first 5 innings: 44-20-15

Texas (31-49) @ Oakland (48-34)
— Dunning is 1-2, 5.00 in his last four starts.
— Texas is 3-12 in his starts.
— over 7-6-2
— allowed run in first inning: 7-15
— record in first 5 innings: 5-8-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Oakland.

— Texas won five of its last seven games.
— Texas lost 20 of its last 22 road games.
— over 9-6-2 last 17 games.
— scored run in first inning: 17-80
— record in first 5 innings: 27-41-12

— Manaea is 3-2, 1.13 in his last five starts.
— A’s are 11-5 in his starts.
— under 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 4-16
— record in first 5 innings: 8-4-4
— He is 7-2, 3.41 in 13 starts vs Texas.

— A’s lost seven of their last 11 games.
— Oakland won seven of its last eight home games.
— Over is 10-7 in their last 17 games.
— scored run in first inning: 26-82
— record in first 5 innings: 37-30-15

Houston (48-32) @ Cleveland (42-34)
— Valdez is 4-1, 2.62 in his last five starts.
— Astros are 4-2 in his starts.
— under 3-3
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 5-1
— He threw 2 shutout IP in a relief stint vs Cleveland .

— Astros lost five of their last six games.
— Astros are 6-2 in their last eight road games.
— over 11-6 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 29-81
— record in first 5 innings: 43-26-12

— Mejia is 0-2, 5.66 in five starts.
— Indians are 3-2 in his starts.
— under 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 3-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Houston.

— Cleveland lost four of its last five games.
— Indians are 9-3 in last dozen home games.
— over 29-14 last 43 games
— scores run in first inning: 29-77
— record in first 5 innings: 29-36-12

**Udog** · 07-01-2021, 08:06 AM

MLB

Thursday, July 1

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Trend Report
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LA Angels @ NY Yankees
LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 11 of LA Angels's last 13 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games
NY Yankees
NY Yankees is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games when playing at home against LA Angels
NY Yankees is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing LA Angels

Seattle @ Toronto
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games at home
Toronto is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games

Kansas City @ Boston
Kansas City
Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Kansas City is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Boston
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Minnesota @ Chi White Sox
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games
Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games at home
Chi White Sox is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota

Texas @ Oakland
Texas
Texas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Oakland
Oakland is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
Oakland is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Miami @ Philadelphia
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Miami is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Miami
Philadelphia is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games

LA Dodgers @ Washington
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games
Washington
Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Milwaukee @ Pittsburgh
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Milwaukee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games

San Diego @ Cincinnati
San Diego
San Diego is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
San Diego is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing at home against San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 8 games at home

Houston @ Cleveland
Houston
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Houston

NY Mets @ Atlanta
NY Mets
NY Mets is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
NY Mets is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games
Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home

St. Louis @ Colorado
St. Louis
St. Louis is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Colorado
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Colorado
Colorado is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games at home
Colorado is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home

San Francisco @ Arizona
San Francisco
San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of San Francisco's last 9 games on the road
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Arizona's last 15 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games at home

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 07-01-2021, 10:24 AM

Diamond Trends for Thursday July 1
Vince Akins

SU Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Texas at Oakland (3:37 p.m. ET)

-- The Athletics are 17-0 SU since Jul 4, 2017 as a home favorite of more than -135 after they did not score a run after the third inning.

SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Milwaukee at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Pirates are 0-11 SU since May 19, 2021 as a dog off a game as a dog in which they had six or fewer hits.

OU Trend of the Day
Matchup: Minnesota at Chicago White Sox (2:10 p.m. ET)

-- The White Sox are 0-11 OU (-2.27 ppg) since May 10, 2015 in the last game of a series after a game as a home favorite in which they won by 5+ runs.

Starter-Based Trend of the Day
Matchup: N.Y. Mets at Atlanta (7:20 p.m. ET)

-- The Mets are 10-0 SU since Aug. 10, 2017 when Jacob deGrom starts on the road when their starter went fewer than 6 innings their last two games.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

Announcement

Thursday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 7/1

Thursday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 7/1

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