Monday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 6/28

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Monday, June 28

Good Luck on day #179 of 2021!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Six interesting college football spreads on Labor Day weekend:
— North Carolina (-6) @ Virginia Tech
— Michigan State @ Northwestern (-7.5)
— Western Michigan @ Michigan (-17.5)
— Penn State @ Wisconsin (-4)
— Indiana @ Iowa (-6)
— Alabama (-18.5) vs Miami (@ Atlanta)

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Armadillo: Monday's Den: Wrapping up a sports weekend

13) Few years ago, maybe 10 years ago, I’m at the NBA Summer League in Las Vegas, which is good stuff. You pay $30 or so for the day, sit in air conditioning all day when it is 110 outside, watch really good basketball and the concession stand is pretty good.

I’m sitting there with a buddy watching games and this very large human sits in front of us; the guy is probably a bodybuilder, and he launches into a spiel how he bet on this game and he was going to win, because “……..they posted a bad spread” at the sportsbook.

Uh-oh.

“Team A is an underdog here; they won by 20 yesterday; they’re going to kill Team B!!!”

One small problem; teams don’t always play the same guys in every summer league game- they have to see all the prospects play. The guys who won by 20 for Team A yesterday were sitting at the end of the bench, watching the other guys get blown out of the gym by Team B.

The bodybuilder didn’t catch on; I considered telling him, but they often kill the messenger, so we just moved to another seat at halftime. Moral of the story: they don’t post bad spreads.

12) May 12, 2001, AJ Burnett threw a no-hitter for the Marlins in San Diego, a strange game.

— Burnett threw a no-hitter while walking 9 guys, striking out 7.
— Game was only 3-0, so having that many men on base had to be dicey.
— Read where he threw 129 pitches, facing 36 hitters.

Guys on the Padres that day included Rickey Henderson and current major league coaches Dave Magadan, Phil Nevin, Mark Kotsay. San Diego stole three bases that day, but didn’t score.

11) Pirates 7, Cardinals 2— Young man named Max Kranick made his MLB debut in this game, a game he will never forget. Kranick retired all 15 batters he faced, and on only 50 pitches. His minor league record isn’t that great, but this performance sure was.

Pirates led 7-0 when they took him out. A great day for Sam Kranick.

10) San Francisco Giants are 10-2 after a day off this year, best in the major leagues.

9) So far in June, other than Adam Wainwright, St Louis starting pitchers are 0-12 with an ERA of over 7.00.

8) Arizona Diamondbacks snapped their 24-game road losing skid Saturday night, but then blew a 4-2 lead in 7th inning Sunday, and lost 5-4 in San Diego. Arizona is having a terrible season.

7) June 27, 2003 the Red Sox scored 14 runs in the first inning against the Marlins- they scored 10 runs before they made an out. Marlins threw 91 pitches, just in the first inning. Long night for the Marlins, but they got over it and wound up winning the World Series that year.

6) Jesse Chavez pitches for the Braves these days; he’s been traded 8 times in his career:
July 31, 2006— Traded from Texas to Pittsburgh for Kip Wells.
November 3, 2009— Pirates traded him to Tampa Bay for Akinori Iwamura.
December 11, 2009— 38 days later, Rays traded him to Atlanta for Rafael Soriano
July 31, 2010— Braves traded him to Kansas City in a 5-player deal.
October 21, 2011— Blue Jays acquired him on waivers from the Royals.
August 24, 2012— A’s purchased his contract from Toronto.
November 20, 2015— A’s traded him back to Toronto for Liam Hendriks.
August 1, 2016— Toronto traded him to the Dodgers for Mike Bolsinger.
July 19, 2018— Texas traded him to the Cubs for Tyler Thomas.

He’s also signed as a free agent five different times; he must pack really well.

5) Boston is 47-31, Bronx is 40-37, 6.5 games behind. Red Sox are 6-0 against Bronx this year, so they’re pretty much equal against everyone else.

4) Bucks 113, Hawks 102:
— Milwaukee grabs a 2-1 series lead.
— Middleton scored 38 points, was +16 for the game.
— Trae Young left with a sprained ankle, came back, scored 35 points.

3) Peyton Manning is going to be hosting a gameshow on NBC on Tuesday nights; College Bowl, pitting teams of college students against each other. This was a TV show from 1959-70, back when Archie Manning was in college.

Guess it will interesting to see Peyton Manning as a quizmaster; Aaron Rodgers did pretty well as a guest host on Jeopardy!

2) Of all the college basketball teams in the top five conferences, Purdue/Stanford are the only two teams that haven’t poached a transfer for this coming season.

1) Happy birthday to the great comedian Mel Brooks, who turns 95 today; this guy is a comic genius. Remember the old TV show Get Smart? It was back when I was a little kid, in the 60’s, about bumbling spies. Funny show.

Agent Maxwell Smart had a phone inside his shoe; he would talk into the heel. We laughed about it then, but it was the first cellphone!!! Mel Brooks is a genius; happy birthday!!!

[Udog]

MLB
Weather Report

Monday, June 28

[Udog]

951PITTSBURGH -952 COLORADO
COLORADO is 13-1 SU (13 Units) in home games vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game in the current season.

953PHILADELPHIA -954 CINCINNATI
CINCINNATI is 10-3 SU (6.7 Units) in home games when the total is 9 to 9.5 in the current season.

955NY METS -956 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 51-30 SU (18 Units) after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games in the last 3 seasons.

957CHICAGO CUBS -958 MILWAUKEE
MILWAUKEE is 9-1 SU (10.3 Units) vs. an excellent bullpen whose ERA is 2.70 or better in the current season.

959ARIZONA -960 ST LOUIS
ARIZONA is 9-20 SU (-15.8 Units) in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse in the current season.

961SAN FRANCISCO -962 LA DODGERS
SAN FRANCISCO is 21-2 SU (18.8 Units) as a road underdog of +100 or higher in the current season.

963LA ANGELS -964 NY YANKEES
NY YANKEES are 54-36 SU (14.4 Units) in home games in night games in the last 3 seasons.

965DETROIT -966 CLEVELAND
CLEVELAND is 19-7 SU (12.5 Units) vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse in the current season.

967KANSAS CITY -968 BOSTON
BOSTON is 26-16 SU (12 Units) vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in the current season.

969MINNESOTA -970 CHI WHITE SOX
CHI WHITE SOX is 14-4 SU (14.2 Units) in home games vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) in the current season.

[Udog]

MLB
Dunkel

Monday, June 28

[Udog]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, June 28

NL games
Pittsburgh (29-47) @ Colorado (31-47)
— TAnderson is 0-3, 5.59 in his last five starts.
— Pirates are 7-7 in his starts.
— over 7-1 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 6-14
— record in first 5 innings: 5-6-3
— He threw 5 shutout innings in his one start vs Colorado.

— Pirates won six of their last nine games.
— Pittsburgh is 3-12 in its last 15 road games.
— over 9-5-3 last 17 road games
— scored run in first inning: 22-76
— record in first 5 innings: 23-42-11

— Freeland is 0-3, 8.10 in six starts.
— Rockies are 2-4 in his starts.
— under 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— you’re reading ***************.com
— record in first 5 innings: 1-4-1
— He is 2-2, 4.73 in five starts vs Pittsburgh.

— Colorado split its last dozen games.
— Rockies are 25-16 at home, 6-31 on road.
— over 5-0-1 last six home games.
— scored run in first inning: 25-78
— record in first 5 innings: 30-38-10

Philadelphia (36-39) @ Cincinnati (38-38)
— Howard is 0-3, 3.93 in five starts.
— Phillies are 2-3 in his starts.
— under 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3
— He hasn’t pitched against Cincinnati.

— Phillies are 3-6 in their last nine games.
— Phillies are 21-14 at home, 15-25 on road.
— under 9-4 last 13 games.
— scored run in first inning: 25-75
— record in first 5 innings: 28-29-18

— Miley is 2-0, 2.25 in his last five starts.
— Reds are 8-5 in his starts.
— over 5-0 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 4-13
— you’re reading ***************.com
— record in first 5 innings: 7-4-2
— He is 3-1, 3.09 in five starts vs Philly.

— Cincinnati lost seven of its last ten games.
— Reds are 6-3 in last nine home games.
— under 5-0 last five home games
— scored run in first inning: 21-76
— record in first 5 innings: 31-32-13

Mets (40-34) @ Washington (38-38)
— Eickhoff threw 4 shutout IP in his first ’21 start (77 PT).
— Mets are 0-1 in his starts.
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1
— He is 1-1, 2.70 in five starts vs Washington.

— Mets are 5-8 in their last 13 games.
— Mets are 5-7 in their last 12 road games.
— under 5-1 last six games.
— scored run in first inning: 16-73
— record in first 5 innings: 36-28-9

— Nationals haven’t named a starter

— Washington won 11 of its last 14 games.
— Nationals are 7-1 in their last eight home games.
— under 14-3 last 17 home games
— scored run in first inning: 23-75
— record in first 5 innings: 30-29-16

Cubs (42-36) @ Milwaukee (45-33)
— Hendricks is 8-0, 2.60 in his last eight starts.
— Cubs are 10-5 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 5-15
— record in first 5 innings: 10-4-1
— He is 10-6, 2.73 in 25 starts vs Milwaukee.

— Cubs are 4-9 in their their last 13 games.
— Chicago is 5-10 in its last 15 road games.
— Under is 19-8 in their last 27 games.
— scored run in first inning: 22-78
— record in first 5 innings: 35-33-10

— Peralta is 4-1, 1.29 in his last eight starts.
— Milwaukee is 10-4 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 1-14
— record in first 5 innings: 7-3-4
— He is 4-1, 3.38 in 9 games (4 starts) vs Chicago.

— Brewers won seven of their last eight games.
— Milwaukee won its last three home games.
— over 8-6 last 14 home games.
— scored run in first inning: 24-78
— record in first 5 innings: 34-27-17

Arizona (22-57) @ St Louis (37-41)
— bullpen game

— Arizona lost 21 of its last 23 games.
— Arizona lost 25 of its last 26 road games.
— over 6-0 last six road games
— scored run in first inning: 14-79
— record in first 5 innings: 26-48-5

— bullpen game

— Cardinals lost eight of their last ten games.
— St Louis is 5-3 in its last eight home games.
— Under is 8-4-2 in their last 14 games.
— scored run in first inning: 25-77
— record in first 5 innings: 29-35-13

San Francisco (50-27) @ Dodgers (47-31)
— DeSclafani is 4-0, 1.33 in his last four starts.
— Giants are 11-4 in his starts.
— over 8-4 last 12
— allowed run in first inning: 3-15
— record in first 5 innings: 10-3-2
— He is 1-6, 6.43 in eight starts vs LA.

— Giants are 16-6 in their last 22 games.
— Giants are 8-3 in last 11 road games.
— Over is 7-4 in their last 11 games.
— scored run in first inning: 21-77
— record in first 5 innings: 43-23-11

— Bauer is 2-3, 4.26 in his last six starts.
— Dodgers are 7-9 in his starts.
— under 10-6
— allowed run in first inning: 3-16
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-5
— He gave up a run in 6.1 IP, in his one start vs SF.

— Dodgers lost four of their last seven games.
— Dodgers are 8-3 in their last 11 home games.
— under 7-0 last seven home games
— scored run in first inning: 22-78
— record in first 5 innings: 40-26-12

AL games
Angels (36-40) @ Bronx (40-36)
— Bundy is 1-3, 9.75 in his last six starts.
— Angels are 4-9 in his starts.
— under 8-5
— allowed run in first inning: 2-13
— record in first 5 innings: 2-9-2
— He is 2-6, 6.52 in 13 games (11 starts) vs New York.

— Halos lost five of their last six games.
— Angels are 8-12 in last 20 road games.
— over 15-4 last 19 games
— scored run in first inning: 21-77
— record in first 5 innings: 32-34-11

— King is 0-2, 6.64 in five starts.
— New York is 2-3 in his starts.
— over 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 4-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Anaheim.

— New York lost its last three games.
— New York is 4-1 in its last five home games.
— over 12-6-1 last 19 games
— scored run in first inning: 19-77
— record in first 5 innings: 29-32-16

Detroit (33-44) @ Cleveland (41-32)
— Manning is 1-1, 3.37 in two starts.
— Tigers are 1-1 in his starts.
— over 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Cleveland.

— Detroit split its last ten games.
— Detroit is 5-4 in its last nine road games.
— over 11-7 last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 16-78
— record in first 5 innings: 3-7 last 10 on road.

— Morgan is 0-2, 10.32 in three starts.
— Indians are 1-2 in his starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Detroit.

— Cleveland is 14-10 in its last 24 games.
— Indians are 8-1 in last nine home games.
— over 26-14 last 40 games
— scores run in first inning: 27-74
— record in first 5 innings: 28-34-12

Kansas City (33-42) @ Boston (46-31)
— Duffy is 0-2, 4.61 in his last three starts.
— Royals are 5-3 in his starts.
— under 6-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-8
— record in first 5 innings: 4-3-1
— He is 0-6, 7.26 in eight starts vs Boston.

— Royals lost 16 of their last 20 games.
— Royals are 4-13 in their last 17 road games.
— over 9-4-3 last 16 road games.
— scores run in first inning: 15-76
— record in first 5 innings: 27-40-10

— Richards is 0-3, 7.48 in his last six starts.
— Red Sox are 8-7 in his starts.
— over 6-2-1 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 9-15
— record in first 5 innings: 4-8-3
— He is 2-1, 3.16 in 11 games (5 starts) vs Kansas City.

— Boston is 10-6 in its last 16 games.
— Red Sox are 14-5 in their last 19 home games.
— over 11-7 last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 27-78
— record in first 5 innings: 36-30-12

Baltimore (24-53) @ Houston (48-29)
— Eshelman is 0-1, 7.27 in two starts.
— Baltimore is 1-1 in his starts.
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He gave up 6 runs in 4.2 IP, in 2 games (1 start) vs Houston.

— Orioles lost 16 of their last 18 games.
— Baltimore is 12-28 on the road, 12-26 at home.
— over is 27-14-1 in their last 42 games.
— scored run in first inning: 25-78
— record in first 5 innings: 23-41-14

— Greinke is 4-0, 2.73 in his last five starts.
— Astros are 12-4 in his starts.
— over 11-1 last 12
— allowed run in first inning: 1-16
— record in first 5 innings: 8-4-4
— He is 3-2, 4.73 in 10 games (8 starts) vs Baltimore.

— Astros won 20 of their last 26 games.
— Astros are 10-1 in their last 11 home games.
— over 9-5 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 29-78
— record in first 5 innings: 43-24-11

Minnesota (32-43) @ White Sox (44-31)
— Maeda is 2-0, 4.40 in his last six starts.
— Twins are 3-8 in his starts.
— over 6-5
— allowed run in first inning: 1-11
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4-4
— He is 2-0, 3.60 in four starts vs Chicago.

— Minnesota won seven of its last nine games.
— Twins won their last four road games.
— over 6-4 last ten road games
— scores run in first inning: 29-76
— record in first 5 innings: 25-34-17

— Giolito is 3-1, 2.93 in his last seven starts
— Chicago is 7-8 in his starts.
— over 8-7
— allowed run in first inning: 3-15
— record in first 5 innings: 7-5-3
— He is 5-7, 4.74 in 14 starts vs Minnesota.

— Chicago lost seven of its last nine games.
— White Sox are 15-6 in last 21 home games.
— under 11-5-2 last 18 home games.
— scored run in first inning: 23-77
— record in first 5 innings: 42-20-15

[Udog]

MLB

Monday, June 28

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Trend Report
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Pittsburgh @ Colorado
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Colorado
Colorado is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games at home

Philadelphia @ Cincinnati
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games

LA Angels @ NY Yankees
LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 9 of LA Angels's last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 12 of LA Angels's last 15 games
NY Yankees
NY Yankees is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
NY Yankees is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against LA Angels

NY Mets @ Washington
NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Mets's last 7 games
Washington
Washington is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
Washington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against NY Mets

Kansas City @ Boston
Kansas City
Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Boston
Boston
Boston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Kansas City

Detroit @ Cleveland
Detroit
Detroit is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
Cleveland
Cleveland is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
Cleveland is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Detroit

Minnesota @ Chi White Sox
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota
Chi White Sox is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Minnesota

Baltimore @ Houston
Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Baltimore's last 14 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing Houston
Houston
Houston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Chi Cubs @ Milwaukee
Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games on the road
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Milwaukee is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home

Arizona @ St. Louis
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona's last 7 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of St. Louis's last 7 games when playing at home against Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing Arizona

San Francisco @ LA Dodgers
San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Francisco's last 7 games on the road
San Francisco is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Dodgers's last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games when playing San Francisco


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[Udog]

Diamond Trends for Monday June 28
Vince Akins

SU Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Brewers are 13-0 SU since Jun 03, 2021 off a game as a favorite in which they struck out their opponent at least ten times.

SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Baltimore at Houston (8:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Orioles are 0-10 SU since Sep 23, 2020 on the road after they allowed 12+ hits last game.

OU Trend of the Day
Matchup: Minnesota at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Twins are 10-0-1 OU (4.55 ppg) since Apr 05, 2021 off a game as a favorite in which they allowed 6 or fewer hits.

Starter-Based Trend of the Day
Matchup: Baltimore at Houston (8:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Astros are 10-0 SU since Oct 08, 2020 when Zack Greinke starts after they used 5+ pitchers yesterday.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)