Wednesday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 6/23

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Wednesday, June 23

Good Luck on day #174 of 2021!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

Major league leaders in walks:
56— Joey Gallo, Tex
54— Yasmani Grandal, CWS
47— Carlos Santana, KC/Max Muncy, LA
46— Yandy Diaz, TB
45— Yoan Moncada, CWS
44— Freddie Freeman Atl/Juan Soto Wash

**********

Armadillo: Wednesday's Den: Mid-week musings……..

13) Weird story broke this week, about how basketball players for the Wisconsin Badgers were unhappy with their coach last year; at one point, the seven seniors met with head coach Greg Gard and the three assistant coaches and aired their grievances.

Here’s the thing; someone RECORDED THE WHOLE THING, and it became public, which makes the head coach look really bad. Recruiting just became a whole lot harder.

Wisconsin had a very experienced team last year; their starting 5 was older than the starting 5 for one or two NBA teams. The pandemic created unusual circumstances, which created a lot of tension. When you don’t win as much as you think you should, sometimes that spills over.

12) Suns 104, Clippers 103:
— Phoenix ran great OB under play, scoring on alley-oop with 0:00.7 left.
— Cam Payne led the Suns with 29 points.
— Clippers are down 2-0 for third series in a row.
— Suns’ star Devin Booker broke his nose during this game, came back and finished the game, scoring 20 points.

11) Detroit Pistons won the NBA Draft Lottery; I always wonder what the kid who is supposed to be the #1 pick thinks when he finds out where he is probably headed. Cade Cunningham is from Texas; he needs to buy a parka or two. Detroit gets very cold in the winter.

10) In the 7-game Hawks-76ers series, a very dramatic series, Ben Simmons took a total of three shots in the 4th quarter, none in Games 4-7. One of the more interesting parts of this summer will be if the 76ers unload Simmons or keep him.

9) Suns’ G Chris Paul said he won’t be playing in the Olympics this summer; same thing for Kyle Lowry, who is a free agent.

If I owned an NBA team and was paying guys $20-$30M a year (or more) to play for our team, I sure as hell wouldn’t want them playing in the freakin’ Olympics.

8) Baseball injuries:
— Twins’ OF Byron Buxton broke his pinky, is on the IL.
— Mets’ P Marcus Stroman (hip) left his start early Tuesday
— Mets’ P Joey Lucchesi will have Tommy John surgery
— Braves’ P Max Fried (blister) went on the IL.

7) Arizona Diamondbacks have already used 51 players this season, most of any team; Milwaukee has used 49 players. Lot of frequent flyer miles for guys going between AAA and the big leagues.

6) Two years ago, Diamondbacks were 85-77, a pretty good team, and that was with Paul Goldschmidt already off to St Louis. Wheels have fallen off since then; they’re 21-54 this year.

5) Sounds like the college football playoff is going to expand from four teams to 12 teams in 2023; they’re going through the process to make it happen this summer, a slow process, but there is just too much money at stake for this not to happen.

4) Sports betting became legal in Louisiana this week, should begin by football season.

3) Someone in California did a lab test on a Subway tuna sub, but found no tuna; not really sure what they did find, but hopefully nothing too bad. I’ve had more than my share of their subs over the years, though I get subs at Jersey Mike’s now.

2) Doc Rivers won an NBA title coaching the Celtics in 2008, then made it to the Finals in 2010. At that point, his career playoff record was 46-40, 38-26 with Boston.

Since then, Rivers’ playoff record is 52-54; he hasn’t been back to the Finals. Overall his playoff record is 98-94.

1) Miami Marlins’ P Sandy Alcantara is pretty good, but his teammates don’t hit much for him:
— Last night, Marlins’ bullpen lost game 2-1 in ninth inning.
— His previous start, Alcantara lost 1-0 to St Louis in ninth inning. Not good.

[Udog]

MLB
Weather Report

Wednesday, June 23

[Udog]

901WASHINGTON -902 PHILADELPHIA
WASHINGTON is 44-20 SU (22 Units) after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games in the last 3 seasons.

903MILWAUKEE -904 ARIZONA
ARIZONA is 1-15 SU (-15.7 Units) vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.050 or better in the current season.

905ATLANTA -906 NY METS
NY METS are 18-6 SU (13.6 Units) vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.

907LA DODGERS -908 SAN DIEGO
LA DODGERS are 1-12 SU (-11.8 Units) vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better in the current season.

909HOUSTON -910 BALTIMORE
BALTIMORE is 5-17 SU (-15.7 Units) vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.

911KANSAS CITY -912 NY YANKEES
KANSAS CITY is 7-22 SU (-16.3 Units) with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) in the current season.

913BOSTON -914 TAMPA BAY
BOSTON is 11-1 SU (10.9 Units) vs. AL teams allowing 3.9 or less runs/game on the season in the current season.

915OAKLAND -916 TEXAS
OAKLAND is 10-0 SU (10 Units) when playing with a day off in the current season.

917CHI WHITE SOX -918 PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH is 5-16 SU (-13.2 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start in the current season.

919ST LOUIS -920 DETROIT
ST LOUIS are 38-23 SU (19.1 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) in the last 3 seasons.

[Udog]

MLB
Dunkel

Wednesday, June 23

[Udog]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, June 23

NL games
Washington (34-36) @ Philadelphia (34-36)
— Fedde is 2-0, 0.00 (19 IP) in his last three starts.
— Nationals are 6-4 in his starts.
— under 8-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-10
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4-3
— He is 2-5, 5.28 in 9 games (8 starts) vs Philly.

— Washington won eight of its last nine games.
— Nationals are 3-4 in last seven road games.
— under 22-6 last 28 games
— scored run in first inning: 20-70
— record in first 5 innings: 29-26-15

— Velasquez is 0-2, 7.94 in his last four starts.
— Phillies are 6-4 in his starts.
— under 6-4
— allowed run in first inning: 1-10
— record in first 5 innings: 5-2-3
— He is 2-2, 4.81 in nine starts vs Washington.

— Phillies are 8-6 in their last 14 games.
— Phillies are 21-13 at home, 13-23 on road.
— under 6-2 last eight games.
— scored run in first inning: 25-70
— record in first 5 innings: 25-29-16

Atlanta (35-37) @ Mets (37-31)
— Wright is 1-0, 3.48 in two starts, both in April.
— Braves are 2-0 in his starts.
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0
— He is 1-1, 5.02 in 4 games (3 starts) vs New York.

— Braves are 6-8 in their last 14 games
— Atlanta is 4-7 in its last 11 road games.
— over 6-4 in last ten games.
— scored run in first inning: 25-72
— record in first 5 innings: 36-25-11

— Megill is making his MLB debut here.
— He is 0-0, 3.77 in three AAA starts this year.

— Mets are 2-6 in their last eight games.
— Mets are 10-4 in their last 14 home games.
— under 13-5-1 last 19 home games.
— scored run in first inning: 15-68
— record in first 5 innings: 35-26-7

Milwaukee (41-33) @ Arizona (21-54)
— Woodruff is 3-1, 2.61 in his last five starts.
— Milwaukee is 10-4 in his starts.
— under 8-5-1
— allowed run in first inning: 4-14
— record in first 5 innings: 7-2-5
— He is 1-0, 4.80 in 4 games (3 starts) vs Arizona.

— Brewers lost six of their last nine games.
— Milwaukee is 10-4 in its last 14 road games.
— over 4-2-1 last seven road games.
— scored run in first inning: 23-74
— record in first 5 innings: 32-26-16

— CSmith is 0-2, 4.24 in five starts.
— Diamondbacks are 1-4 in his starts.
— under 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3-1
— He is 0-4, 4.15 in four starts vs Milwaukee.

— Arizona lost 18 of its last 19 games.
— Arizona is 3-15 in its last 18 home games.
— over 10-4 last 14 home games
— scored run in first inning: 13-75
— record in first 5 innings: 25-45-5

Dodgers (44-29) @ San Diego (44-32)
— Bauer is 2-3, 4.22 in his last five starts.
— Dodgers are 7-8 in his starts.
— under 10-5
— allowed run in first inning: 2-15
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-4
— He is 1-4, 4.05 in six starts vs San Diego.

— Dodgers won 10 of their last 14 games.
— Dodgers are 11-5 in their last 16 road games.
— over 4-2 last six road games
— scored run in first inning: 20-73
— record in first 5 innings: 38-25-10

— Musgrove is 0-2, 2.95 in his last three starts.
— Padres are 7-6 in his starts.
— under 7-5-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-13
— record in first 5 innings: 5-7-1
— He is 0-3, 5.03 in four starts vs Los Angeles.

— Padres won their last six games.
— San Diego is 7-4 in its last 11 home games.
— over six of last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 21-76
— record in first 5 innings: 29-35-12

AL games
Houston (45-28) @ Baltimore (23-50)
— Urquidy is 2-1, 4.44 in his last four starts.
— Astros are 8-4 in his starts.
— over 7-5
— allowed run in first inning: 4-12
— record in first 5 innings: 8-4
— He hasn’t pitched against Baltimore.

— Astros won 17 of their last 21 games.
— Astros are 7-2 in their last nine road games.
— over 7-2 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 28-73
— record in first 5 innings: 40-22-11

— Eshelman allowed one run in 4.2 IP (57 PT) in his first ‘21 start.
— Baltimore is 1-0 in his starts.
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0
— He threw 0.2 scoreless IP in a relief stint vs Houston.

— Orioles lost 12 of their last 13 games.
— Baltimore is 11-25 on the road, 12-25 at home.
— over is 24-12-1 in their last 37 games.
— scored run in first inning: 24-73
— record in first 5 innings: 23-36-14

Kansas City (33-38) @ Bronx (38-34)
— Duffy is 4-3, 2.38 in 7 starts; his last start was May 12.
— Royals are 4-3 in his starts.
— under 6-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-7
— record in first 5 innings: 4-3
— He is 3-3, 5.00 in 11 games (9 starts) vs New York.

— Royals lost 11 of their last 15 games.
— Royals are 4-8 in their last 12 road games.
— over 7-3-1 last 11 road games.
— scores run in first inning: 14-71
— record in first 5 innings: 27-35-9

— King is 0-2, 7.47 in four starts.
— New York is 1-3 in his starts.
— under 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 3-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Kansas City.

— New York won five of its last seven games overall.
— New York is 5-9 in its last 14 home games.
— over 10-4 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 18-72
— record in first 5 innings: 28-29-15

Boston (44-29) @ Tampa Bay (43-31)
— Richards is 0-2, 6.23 in his last five starts.
— Red Sox are 8-6 in his starts.
— over 5-2-1 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 8-14
— record in first 5 innings: 4-7-3
— He is 3-1, 4.22 in four starts vs Tampa Bay.

— Boston won seven of its last 11 games.
— Red Sox won eight of their last ten road games.
— over 9-4 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 24-73
— record in first 5 innings: 33-29-11

— Hill is 2-1, 3.25 in his last five starts.
— Rays are 9-5 in his starts.
— over 9-5
— allowed run in first inning: 2-14
— record in first 5 innings: 8-2-4
— He allowed 13 runs in 7 IP, in 7 games (1 start) vs Boston

— Tampa Bay lost its last seven games.
— Rays are 12-3 in last 15 home games.
— over is 6-2-1 in last nine home games.
— scored run in first inning: 23-74
— record in first 5 innings: 30-27-17

Oakland (45-30) @ Texas (26-47)
— Kaprielian is 4-1, 2.84 in seven starts.
— A’s are 5-2 in his starts.
— over 4-3
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Texas.

— A’s lost three of their last four games.
— Oakland is 9-6 in its last 15 road games.
— Over is 8-2 in their last ten games.
— scored run in first inning: 23-75
— record in first 5 innings: 34-27-14

— Foltynewicz is 0-3, 6.04 in his last five starts.
— Texas is 4-10 in his starts.
— last three over
— allowed run in first inning: 4-14
— record in first 5 innings: 2-9-3
— He allowed one run in 8.1 IP (2 games, 1 start) vs Oakland.

— Texas lost 11 of its last 14 games.
— Texas is 11-11 in its last 22 home games.
— over 7-2-1 last ten games.
— scored run in first inning: 16-73
— record in first 5 innings: 23-39-11

Interleague games
White Sox (43-30) @ Pittsburgh (26-43)
— Cease is 2-2, 7.23 in his last four starts
— Chicago is 8-6 in his starts.
— over 8-5-1
— allowed run in first inning: 5-14
— record in first 5 innings: 6-4-4
— He gave up 2 runs in 5 IP, in his one start vs Pittsburgh.

— Chicago lost its last five games.
— White Sox are 3-7 in their last ten road games.
— under 15-10-3 last 28 games.
— scored run in first inning: 22-73
— record in first 5 innings: 40-19-14

— DeJong is 0-1, 4.26 in four starts
— Pittsburgh is 1-3 in his starts.
— over 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3
— He gave up 2 runs in 6 IP, in his one start vs Chicago

— Pirates lost 11 of their last 14 games.
— Pittsburgh lost five of its last eight home games.
— under 12-10 last 22 home games
— scored run in first inning: 20-71
— record in first 5 innings: 20-40-11

St Louis (36-37) @ Detroit (31-42)
— Gant is 0-2, 7.94 in his last four starts.
— Cardinals are 5-7 in his starts.
— under 9-3
— allowed run in first inning: 4-12
— record in first 5 innings: 4-6-2
— He is 1-0, 2.08 in 3 games (1 start) vs Detroit.

— Cardinals lost four of their last five games.
— St Louis is 2-10 in its last 12 road games.
— Over is 10-4 in their last 14 road games.
— scored run in first inning: 25-73
— record in first 5 innings: 29-31-13

— Manning allowed 2 runs in five IP (77 PT) in his first MLB start.
— Tigers are 0-1 in his starts.
— over 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1
— He hasn’t pitched against St Louis

— Detroit lost three of its last five games.
— Detroit is 2-4 in its last six home games.
— over 10-3 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 15-73
— record in first 5 innings: 6-3 last nine at home

Toronto (36-35) @ Miami (31-41)
— Ray is 2-2, 3.95 in his last five starts.
— Toronto is 6-7 in his starts.
— under 8-5
— allowed run in first inning: 4-13
— record in first 5 innings: 6-4-3
— He is 3-3, 2.20 in 8 games (7 starts) vs Miami.

— Blue Jays are 6-9 in their last 15 games.
— Toronto split its last 12 road games.
— over 3-2 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 22-71
— record in first 5 innings: 31-30-10

— Rogers is 4-1, 2.22 in his last eight starts.
— Marlins are 8-6 in his starts.
— under 8-6
— allowed run in first inning: 1-14
— record in first 5 innings: 9-3-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Toronto.

— Marlins are 2-6 in their last eight games.
— Miami is 8-5 in its last 13 home tilts.
— under 9-5-1 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 15-70
— record in first 5 innings: 27-29-14

San Francisco (47-26) @ Angels (36-37)
— Gausman is 5-1, 5-1, 1.50 in his last six starts.
— Giants are 10-4 in his starts.
— under 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 3-14
— record in first 5 innings: 11-2-1
— He is 3-3, 5.36 in 7 starts against the Angels.

— Giants are 13-5 in their last 18 games.
— Giants are 7-3 in last ten road games.
— Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
— scored run in first inning: 21-73
— record in first 5 innings: 41-22-10

— Ohtani is 2-0, 2.65 in his last three starts.
— Angels are 6-4 in his starts.
— over 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 3-10
— record in first 5 innings: 3-10
— He hasn’t pitched against San Francisco.

— Halos won three of their last five games.
— Angels are 10-4 in last 14 home games.
— over 12-3 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 20-73
— record in first 5 innings: 32-33-8

Colorado (30-44) @ Seattle (38-36)
— Marquez is 3-2, 2.92 in his last six starts.
— Rockies are 8-7 in his starts.
— under 4-1-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 3-15
— you’re reading ***************.com
— record in first 5 innings: 8-6-1
— He is 1-1, 2.08 in two starts vs Seattle.

— Colorado won five of its last eight games.
— Rockies are 25-16 at home, 5-28 on road.
— over 4-3 last seven road games.
— scored run in first inning: 24-74
— record in first 5 innings: 28-37-9

— Sheffield is 2-3, 8.25 in his last five starts.
— Mariners are 6-6 in his starts.
— over 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 3-12
— record in first 5 innings: 7-5
— He threw six shutout IP, in his one start vs Colorado.

— Seattle won eight of its last nine games.
— Seattle is 12-3 in its last 15 home games.
— under 12-6-1 last 19 home games
— scored run in first inning: 24-75
— record in first 5 innings: 35-34-6

Wednesday’s umpires
Wsh-Phil- Over is 8-3 in Torres games
Mil-Ariz- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Blakney games
Atl-NY- Last four Kulpa games stayed under the total.
LA-SD- Over is 7-2 in last nine Hoye games.

Hst-Balt- Favorites won last five Beck games
KC-NY- Favorites won 7 of last 9 Morales games
Bos-TB- Under is 7-3-1 in Hallion games
A’s-Tex- Over is 7-5 in Fletcher games.

Chi-Pitt- Home side is 11-2 in last 13 Hudson games
StL-Det- Over is 7-4-2 in Dreckman games
SF-LAA- Home side won 8 of last 11 Additon games
Colo-Sea- Under is 7-5-1 in Guccione games
Tor-Mia- Favorites won 5 of last 7 Estabrook games

[Udog]

MLB

Wednesday, June 23

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Trend Report
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Chi White Sox @ Pittsburgh
Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games on the road
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games at home

Washington @ Philadelphia
Washington
Washington is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing Washington
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

St. Louis @ Detroit
St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 10 of St. Louis's last 14 games on the road
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing at home against St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games

Milwaukee @ Arizona
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
Milwaukee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Arizona's last 14 games at home

San Francisco @ LA Angels
San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games on the road
San Francisco is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 9 of LA Angels's last 11 games
LA Angels is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home

Colorado @ Seattle
Colorado
Colorado is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Colorado is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Seattle
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Houston @ Baltimore
Houston
Houston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Baltimore's last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Baltimore's last 13 games when playing Houston

Kansas City @ NY Yankees
Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 5 games when playing Kansas City
NY Yankees is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games when playing at home against Kansas City

Toronto @ Miami
Toronto
Toronto is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto

Atlanta @ NY Mets
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Atlanta is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
NY Mets
NY Mets is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta
NY Mets is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games at home

Boston @ Tampa Bay
Boston
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Boston
Tampa Bay is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home

Oakland @ Texas
Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing Texas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing on the road against Texas
Texas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas's last 6 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas's last 6 games when playing at home against Oakland

LA Dodgers @ San Diego
LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing San Diego
LA Dodgers is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
San Diego
San Diego is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
San Diego is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home


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[Udog]

Diamond Trends for Wednesday June 23
Vince Akins

SU Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: San Francisco at Los Angeles (4:07 p.m. ET)

-- The Giants are 11-0 SU since Sep. 20, 20202 after they didn't score after the third inning last game.

SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Chicago White Sox at Pittsburgh (12:35 p.m. ET)

-- The Pirates are 0-11 SU simce Jul. 2, 2018 as an underdog after they scored first then trailed before coming back to win last game.

OU Trend of the Day
Matchup: Milwaukee at Arizona (3:40 p.m. ET)

-- The Diamondbacks are 11-0 OU (4.27 ppg) since Aug. 05, 2020 past the first game of a series at home off a loss as a dog in which they never led.

Starter-Based Trend of the Day
Matchup: Washington at Philadelphia (1:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Phillies are 9-0 SU since Jul. 30, 2017 when Vince Velasquez starts at home after he had a WHIP of at least 2.00 in his last start.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)