Announcement

**Udog** · 06-03-2021, 09:26 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Odds to win the Memorial golf tournament:
9-1— Jon Rahm
14-1— Bryson DeChambeau, Rory McIlroy
16-1— Hovland, Morikawa, Spieth, Thomas
20-1— Patrick Cantlay, Xander Schauffele
22-1— Hideki Matsuyama, Tony Finau
31-1— Shane Lowry

**********

Armadillo: Thursday's Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….

13) 10-12 years ago, I read a book about college football called Meat Market, written by Bruce Feldman. It was mostly all about the recruiting period from December to Signing Day a few weeks later, and it dealt with the Ole Miss football program, then coached by Ed Orgeron.

After reading that book 10-12 years ago, if you had told me that Orgeron would making $8M a year coaching LSU in 2021, I’d have laughed at you, laughed loudly. I came away with two main questions after reading the book:

— Why would this guy give any outsider access to his program?
— Why would anyone, anyone hire this guy to be a head coach????

12) But, 10-12 years later, Orgeron has won a national title at LSU and now makes $8M a year. Go figure. He is a GREAT recruiter, and the Brady/Burrow OC/QB combination hit the jackpot for him in 2019- they’re both in the NFL now.

This week, LSU fired its offensive line coach; this fall, they’ll have two new coordinators, a new passing game coordinator, and now a new OL coach, after last year’s 5-5 disappointment.

We will see if LSU’s success is sustainable; will they land Arch Manning, the prize recruit in Louisiana? I’ve heard the kid has some relatives who were good quarterbacks, but they all played at either Ole Miss or Tennessee.

11) Dodgers 14, Cardinals 3— St Louis starter Carlos Martinez faced 12 batters; 10 of them scored. This was the most runs the Dodgers scored in the first inning of any game since May 21, 1952, when they whacked the Reds 19-1, in front of 11,580 fans at Ebbets Field.

Some notes from that game:
— Brooklyn’s pitcher Chris Van Cuyk went 4-5 in the game.
— Gil Hodges, manager of the ’69 Mets, batted 7th for the Dodgers.
— Rube Walker was the Dodgers’ catcher, and the ’69 Mets’ pitching coach.
— Guy named Dick Williams subbed in for Duke Snider late in the game; he is better known as the manager who won two World Series for the A’s in the 70’s.

10) Speaking of Dick Williams, my Mt Rushmore of Oakland A’s managers:
— Dick Williams— Only 3 years, but 3 division titles, 2 World Series titles.
— Bob Melvin— The current skipper is totally underrated, a great manager.
— Tony LaRussa— Won three straight AL titles from 1988-90.
— Art Howe— The movie Moneyball did him a huge disservice; he was an excellent skipper.

9) My Mt Rushmore of Rams head coaches:
— Dick Vermeil— Won Super Bowl XXXIV, the greatest football game ever.
— Sean McVay— Four winning seasons, three playoff spots, hopefully lot more to come.
— John Robinson— Restored team from dumpster fire status in the 80’s, had misfortune of coaching at same time that the 49ers had their great teams.
— Chuck Knox— His Rams were perennial playoff teams in the 70’s.

8) Mike Krzyzewski is going to retire as Duke’s basketball coach after this coming season; he’s been Duke’s coach since 1980, has won five national titles at Duke. Assistant coach Jon Scheyer has been named the next coach— good luck there.

7) I won’t mention the guy’s name, because it is today’s trivia question on this site, but the poor bastard who replaced John Wooden at UCLA went 52-9 in two seasons, but it wasn’t close to being good enough— he left after two seasons, and started up a brand new program halfway across the country. Guy was a hell of a coach, though, but Wooden, just like Krzyzewski will be, was an impossible act to follow.

Some casino should run a prop bet: who replaces Jon Scheyer as Duke’s coach in 2024?

6) There will be scapegoats; Danny Ainge is out as the head of basketball operations with the Celtics- Brad Stevens replaces him. Stevens will help choose his successor as head coach.

Random fact: Celtics have won one NBA title since 1986.

5) Mavericks 105, Clippers 100:
— Road team has won all five series games.
— Luke Doncic had 42 points, 14 assists.
— Dallas was minus-10 in the 5:00 Doncic sat out.

4) Knicks, Wizards, Grizzlies all got eliminated Wednesday night.

3) Two baseball games went over the total in the first inning Wednesday; Cards-Dodgers, and Mets-Arizona.

2) Now there is a story that Colorado Rockies might be hesitant to deal free agent-t0 be Trevor Story, figuring they won’t get that much for him anyway, since the team will only have him for half a season or so.

Not sure the Rockies’ front office has any idea what they’re doing- they already fired the GM earlier this season. Bud Black is a very good manager, but players win games, managers put the players in position to win the games, but if the players aren’t good enough, forget about it.

Losing Story this winter without getting anything in return would be baseball malpractice.

1) How baseball has changed; Game 1 of the 1974 World Series, A’s @ Dodgers. A’s lead 2-1 in the 5th inning, but starter Ken Holtzman struggles, and the A’s replace him with Rollie Fingers, their closer. They put their closer in the game in the fifth inning!!!!

Fingers threw 4.1 innings, gave up one run, before Catfish Hunter got the last out in a 3-2 win. The freakin’ closer got 13 outs in one game, so when you hear people say how modern closers are the best ever, consider that one for a second. Rollie Fingers was bleeping awesome.

**Udog** · 06-03-2021, 09:28 AM

MLB
Weather Report

Thursday, June 3

**Udog** · 06-03-2021, 09:32 AM

901WASHINGTON -902 ATLANTA
WASHINGTON is 12-26 SU (-16.3 Units) vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in the current season.

903MIAMI -904 PITTSBURGH
MIAMI is 3-9 SU (-10.5 Units) in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start in the current season.

905ARIZONA -906 MILWAUKEE
MILWAUKEE is 16-35 SU (-21.6 Units) vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

907CINCINNATI -908 ST LOUIS
CINCINNATI is 12-25 SU (-18.9 Units) vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the current season.

909CHICAGO CUBS -910 SAN FRANCISCO
SAN FRANCISCO is 34-17 SU (19.1 Units) vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the current season.

911NY METS -912 SAN DIEGO
SAN DIEGO is 17-39 SU (-22.6 Units) with a team slugging percentage .390 or worse on the season (NL) in the last 3 seasons.

913TAMPA BAY -914 NY YANKEES
TAMPA BAY is 15-2 SU (14.5 Units) in road games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better in the current season.

915BOSTON -916 HOUSTON
BOSTON is 42-62 SU (-29 Units) vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season in the last 3 seasons.

917DETROIT -918 CHI WHITE SOX
CHI WHITE SOX is 9-1 SU (10.8 Units) in home games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities in the current season.

919MINNESOTA -920 KANSAS CITY
MINNESOTA is 4-22 SU (-21.9 Units) vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in the current season.

**Udog** · 06-03-2021, 09:34 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Thursday, June 3

**Udog** · 06-03-2021, 09:36 AM

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, June 3

NL games
Washington (23-29) @ Atlanta (25-28)
— Corbin is 1-1, 6.32 in his last three starts.
— Washington is 5-5 in his starts.
— over 4-2 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 6-10
— record in first 5 innings: 3-5-2
— He is 6-4, 2.45 in 14 games (12 starts) vs Atlanta.

— Washington lost six of its last nine games.
— Nationals are 10-14 on the road.
— under 8-2 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 13-52
— record in first 5 innings: 20-21-11

— Davidson allowed 3 runs in six IP (72 PT) in his first ‘21 start.
— Braves are 0-1 in his starts.
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Washington.

— Braves lost four of their last five games.
— Atlanta is 5-3 in its last eight home games.
— over 6-4 in last ten games.
— scored run in first inning: 20-53
— record in first 5 innings: 27-20-6

Miami (24-30) @ Pittsburgh (20-34)
— Poteet is 2-1, 2.95 in his last four starts.
— Marlins are 2-2 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Pittsburgh.

— Marlins lost six of their last seven games.
— Miami is 5-12 in their last 17 road tilts.
— under 18-7-2 in their last 27 games
— scored run in first inning: 13-54
— record in first 5 innings: 19-25-10

— TAnderson is 0-2, 10.20 in his last three starts.
— Pirates are 5-5 in his starts.
— over 4-0 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 4-10
— record in first 5 innings: 4-4-2
— He is 1-3, 3.96 in five starts vs Miami.

— Pirates lost 23 of their last 31 games.
— Pittsburgh lost five of its last seven home games.
— under 8-3 last 11 home games
— scored run in first inning: 14-54
— record in first 5 innings: 17-29-8

Arizona (20-37) @ Milwaukee (29-26)
— Duplantier allowed 4 runs in 4.2 IP (86 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— Arizona is 0-1 in his starts.
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Milwaukee.

— Arizona lost 15 of its last 17 games.
— Arizona lost its last 13 road games.
— over 6-0 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 10-57
— record in first 5 innings: 22-31-4

— Houser is 0-2, 6.00 in his last three starts.
— Milwaukee is 5-5 in his starts.
— over 4-1-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 5-10
— record in first 5 innings: 4-6
— He threw 1.1 scoreless IP in a relief stint vs Arizona

— Brewers won eight of their last 11 games.
— Milwaukee is 5-7 in its last 12 home games.
— over 4-2-1 last seven home games.
— scored run in first inning: 14-55
— record in first 5 innings: 22-20-13

Cincinnati (24-29) @ St Louis (31-25)
— Gutierrez allowed one run in five IP (67 PT) in his first MLB start.
— Reds are 0-1 in his starts.
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1
— He hasn’t pitched against the Phillies.

— Cincinnati is 7-12 in its last 19 games.
— Reds are 5-3 in last eight road games.
— Over 3-1 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 12-53
— record in first 5 innings: 19-27-7

— Wainwright is 3-1, 4.35 in his last five starts.
— Cardinals are 4-6 in his starts.
— under 6-4
— allowed run in first inning: 1-10
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4-3
— He is 10-14, 5.35 in 30 starts vs Cincinnati.

— Cardinals are 6-7 in their last 13 games.
— St Louis is 6-2 in its last eight home games.
— five of last six games went over.
— scored run in first inning: 20-56
— record in first 5 innings: 26-20-10

Cubs (32-23) @ San Francisco (34-21)
— Davies is 1-0, 1.65 in his last five starts.
— Cubs are 8-3 in his starts.
— under 4-2 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 3-11
— record in first 5 innings: 5-3-3
— He is 1-2, 2.10 in six starts vs San Francisco.

— Cubs won 14 of their last 17 games.
— Chicago is 6-1 in last seven road games.
— Under is 17-7 in their last 24 games.
— scored run in first inning: 17-55
— record in first 5 innings: 28-19-8

— DeSclafani is 2-2, 5.64 in his last six starts.
— Giants are 7-4 in his starts
— over 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 1-11
— record in first 5 innings: 6-3-2
— He is 4-3, 3.91 in 12 starts vs Chicago.

— Giants won six of their last eight games.
— Giants are 15-8 at home.
— Over is 6-3-1 in their last ten games.
— scored run in first inning: 16-55
— record in first 5 innings: 30-17-8

Mets (27-21) @ San Diego (34-23)
— Walker is 4-0, 1.54 in his last six starts.
— Mets are 8-1 in his starts.
— under 5-4
— allowed run in first inning: 0-9
— record in first 5 innings: 7-1-1
— He is 3-1, 1.33 in five starts vs San Diego.

— Mets won six of their last seven games.
— Mets are 5-7 in their last 12 road games.
— Over 4-0 last four games.
— scored run in first inning: 10-48
— record in first 5 innings: 24-18-6

— Darvish is 5-0, 2.36 in his last seven starts.
— Padres are 10-1 in his starts.
— over 4-0 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3-5
— He is 2-0, 3.24 in five starts vs New York.

— Padres lost their last four games.
— San Diego won its last 10 home games.
— over 7-2 last nine home games
— scored run in first inning: 14-57
— record in first 5 innings: 21-27-9

AL games
Tampa Bay (35-22) @ Bronx (31-25)
— Yarbrough is 2-3, 4.26 in 11 games (7 starts).
— They may use an opener.
— Rays are 4-3 in his starts.
— over 6-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3-2
— He is 4-2, 2.54 in eight games (0 starts) vs New York.

— Tampa Bay won 16 of its last 20 games.
— Rays won nine of last 11 road games.
— over is 13-6 in last 19 games.
— scored run in first inning: 16-57
— record in first 5 innings: 22-19-16

— Cole is 4-1, 1.76 in his last seven starts.
— New York is 6-5 in his starts.
— under 6-3 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 1-11
— record in first 5 innings: 7-1-3
— He is 1-4, 3.36 in nine starts vs Tampa Bay.

— New York lost six of its last nine games.
— New York is 8-4 in its last 12 home games.
— under 12-2 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 13-56
— record in first 5 innings: 23-21-12

Boston (32-23) @ Houston (31-24)
— Perez is 3-0, 2.65 in his last three starts.
— Red Sox are 6-4 in his starts.
— under 5-4
— allowed run in first inning: 3-10
— record in first 5 innings: 4-3-3
— He is 7-4, 2.70 in 12 starts vs Houston.

— Boston lost its last three games.
— Red Sox are 2-5 in their last seven road games.
— under 3-1-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 17-56
— record in first 5 innings: 26-21-9

— Odorizzi is 0-2, 6.75 in four starts (13.1 IP).
— Astros are 1-3 in his starts.
— over 3-0-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2
— He is 4-6, 4.70 in 18 starts vs Boston.

— Astros won their last four games.
— Astros won 10 of their last 14 home games.
— over 20-8 last 28 games
— scored run in first inning: 21-55
— record in first 5 innings: 31-16-8

Detroit (23-32) @ White Sox (33-22)
— Mize is 2-0, 1.74 in his last five starts.
— Detroit is 6-4 in his starts.
— under 9-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-10
— record in first 5 innings: 5-3-2
— He is 0-1, 4.60 in three starts vs Chicago.

— Detroit won four of its last five games.
— Detroit is 6-4 in its last ten road games.
— under 6-1-1 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 10-55
— record in first 5 innings: 7-1-1 last nine on road

— Lynn is 5-0, 1.91 in his last six starts
— Chicago is 6-3 in his starts.
— under 6-3
— allowed run in first inning: 0-9
— record in first 5 innings: 7-0-2
— He is 3-3, 3.96 in six starts vs Detroit.

— Chicago is 5-2 in its last seven games.
— White Sox are 7-1 in last eight home games.
— under 8-2 last ten games.
— scored run in first inning: 16-56
— record in first 5 innings: 31-12-13

Minnesota (22-33) @ Kansas City (25-26)
— Happ is 1-1, 7.36 in his last three starts.
— Twins are 4-5 in his starts.
— over 6-0 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 4-9
— record in first 5 innings: 5-3-1
— He is 6-3, 4.12 in ten starts vs Kansas City.

— Twins won eight of their last 13 games.
— Minnesota is 4-3 in its last seven road games.
— over 24-9-1 last 34 games
— scores run in first inning: 18-55
— record in first 5 innings: 19-25-11

— Bubic is 1-0, 1.59 in three starts.
— Royals are 3-0 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1-1
— He 1-2, 5.52 in four games (3 starts) vs Minnesota.

— Royals won nine of their last 13 games.
— Royals are 6-1 in their last seven home games.
— over 5-0-1 last six games.
— scores run in first inning: 12-52
— record in first 5 innings: 20-24-8

Seattle (28-29) @ Angels (25-30)
— Sheffield is 3-3, 6.12 in his last six starts.
— Mariners are 5-4 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 1-9
— record in first 5 innings: 5-4
— He is 1-2, 6.59 in three starts against the Angels.

— Seattle won seven of its last ten games.
— Seattle is 2-8 in its last 10 road games.
— under 7-3 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 17-57
— record in first 5 innings: 25-26-6

— Canning is 3-1, 3.96 in his last five starts.
— Angels are 4-4 in his starts.
— over 6-2
— allowed run in first inning: 3-8
— record in first 5 innings: 4-4
— He is 1-0, 1.47 in three starts vs Seattle.

— Halos won six of their last nine games.
— Angels won their last three home games.
— over 14-4 last 18 home games
— scored run in first inning: 14-55
— record in first 5 innings: 23-27-6

Interleague games
Texas (22-35) @ Colorado (22-34)
— Foltynewicz is 0-2, 4.08 in his last six starts
— Texas is 4-7 in his starts.
— under 8-3
— allowed run in first inning: 2-11
— record in first 5 innings: 2-6-3
— He is 0-4, 4.39 in 9 games (7 starts) vs Colorado.

— Texas lost 11 of its last 14 games.
— Texas lost its last 14 road games.
— under 12-4 last 16 road games.
— scored run in first inning: 12-57
— record in first 5 innings: 17-30-10

— Gray is 0-3, 7.52 in his last four starts.
— Rockies are 5-6 in his starts.
— over 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 3-11
— record in first 5 innings: 5-4-2
— He is 1-0, 4.86 in three starts vs Texas.

— Colorado won its last three games.
— Rockies are 8-2 in last ten home games.
— over 10-6-1 last 17 home games.
— scored run in first inning: 17-56
— record in first 5 innings: 21-26-9

**Udog** · 06-03-2021, 09:39 AM

MLB

Thursday, June 3

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Washington @ Atlanta
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games on the road
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing Washington
Atlanta is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Washington

Tampa Bay @ NY Yankees
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 21-2 ATS in its last 23 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games
NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of NY Yankees's last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of NY Yankees's last 11 games at home

Boston @ Houston
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Boston's last 10 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Houston's last 10 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games when playing at home against Boston

Texas @ Colorado
Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas's last 5 games on the road
Colorado
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Colorado's last 8 games when playing Texas

Miami @ Pittsburgh
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games on the road
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Pittsburgh's last 11 games at home
Pittsburgh is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Miami

Arizona @ Milwaukee
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Arizona
Milwaukee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

Detroit @ Chi White Sox
Detroit
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Detroit is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing Detroit
Chi White Sox is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Detroit

Minnesota @ Kansas City
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Minnesota's last 11 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City
Kansas City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Kansas City is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Minnesota

Cincinnati @ St. Louis
Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 7 games when playing St. Louis
St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games
St. Louis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

Seattle @ LA Angels
Seattle
Seattle is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Angels
LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Angels's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Angels's last 6 games

Chi Cubs @ San Francisco
Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Chi Cubs is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
San Francisco
San Francisco is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

NY Mets @ San Diego
NY Mets
NY Mets is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games
San Diego
San Diego is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
San Diego is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 06-03-2021, 09:55 AM

Diamond Trends for Thursday June 3
Vince Akins

SU Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Boston at Houston (2:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Red Sox are 10-0 SU since Jun. 22, 2014 in the last game of a series as the underdog after they lost by one run last game.

SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Seattle at L.A. Angels (9:38 p.m. ET)

-- The Mariners are 0-19 SU since Jun. 13, 2019 as a road underdog of at least +140 when seeking same season revenge vs. their opponents starting pitcher.

OU Trend of the Day
Matchup: Arizona at Milwaukee (7:40 p.m. ET)

-- The Diamondbacks are 0-9 OU (-2.72 ppg) since Sept. 3, 2020 on the road after they lost by one run last game.

Starter-Based Trend of the Day
Matchup: Washington at Atlanta (12:20 p.m. ET)

-- The Nationals are 0-7 SU since Jun. 06, 2019 when Patrick Corbin starts as an underdog when they lost in his last start.

Announcement

Thursday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 6/3

Thursday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 6/3

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