Announcement

**Udog** · 05-20-2021, 08:37 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Over/under win totals for NFL teams:
— Houston Texans 4.5, -115
— Indianapolis Colts 10, +100
— Jacksonville Jaguars 6.5, +110
— Kansas City Chiefs 12.5, -105
— Las Vegas Raiders 7, -115
— Los Angeles Chargers 9, -160

Remember, this year it is a 17-game schedule for first time.

**********

Armadillo: Thursday's Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….

13) 76-year old Tony LaRussa is already in the Hall of Fame as a manager, but he came back this season, after a 10-year absence, to manage the White Sox. So far, the results are mixed.

On the field, Chicago is doing well; they’re 26-16, atop the AL Central.

Off the field, there have been issues.
— LaRussa didn’t know the extra inning rule, and put closer Liam Hendriks in as a ghost runner to start an extra inning, when he could’ve used the guy who hit before Hendriks’ spot in the order. LaRussa has a law degree; this would qualify as malpractice.

— LaRussa went out of his way to publicly rip one of his players when the guy hit a home run off a position player while the White Sox led, 15-4. If he has a problem with the “unwritten rules” of the game, tell the guy in private. Publicly calling him clueless was a tone-deaf move.

— Despite their good record, White Sox are 2-9 in games where the winning scored from the 7th inning on- those games are where managers can make a difference.

If LaRussa loses the respect of the players, a promising season could go in the ashcan.

12) Grizzlies 100, Spurs 96:
— Valanciunas was +26 in his 38:00; they were minus-22 when he was on bench.
— DeRozan shot only 5-21 from the floor.
— Memphis visits the Warriors Friday night, in a play-in game.

Lakers 103, Warriors 100:
— Golden State was up 13 at the half.
— Caruso scored 14 points in 30:00 off bench for LA.
— Lakers move on to play Phoenix in the playoffs.

11) Padres 3, Rockies 0— Not only is Colorado 2-17 on the road, they’ve been shut out in seven of the 17 losses.

10) Why some teams win, and some teams lose; this trade was made July 31, 2018:
— Pittsburgh Pirates got Chris Archer.
— Tampa Bay Rays got Tyler Glasnow, Austin Meadows and a minor leaguer.

Archer was 6-12, 4.92 in 33 starts for the Pirates.
Glasnow is 16-9, 3.08 in 43 starts for the Rays.
Meadows has an .855 OPS in 224 games for Tampa Bay.

9) MLB teams with best record in games where winning scores from 7th inning on:
11-2— Cincinnati, Oakland
9-4— NY Mets
9-5— San Diego

MLB teams with worst record in games where winning scores from 7th inning on:
2-9— White Sox
4-11— Minnesota
5-13— Atlanta
4-8— LA Dodgers, Baltimore

8) Tigers 6, Mariners 2— Detroit has quietly won eight of its last ten games.

7) New York 2, Texas 0— Corey Kluber throws a no-hitter on 101 pitches, already the 7th no-hitter this season. Three teams (Seattle/Cleveland/Texas) have been no-hit three times each.

6) Scheduling quirk: A’s have played only nine of their first 44 games against AL West rivals, all of them against Houston. Astros played 29 of their first 43 games against division rivals.

5) Brandon Woodruff has been pitching really well for Milwaukee, but he hasn’t been getting lot of support at the plate; four of his nine starts have been 0-0 after five innings.

4) Mets traded for OF Cameron Maybin, then batted him 3rd in their game in Atlanta last night. 34-year old Maybin is on his 10th team in his 14-year career.

At the time of the trade, Maybin was hitting .103 in the minors; not sure why he batted third.

3) NBA hasn’t expanded since 2004; rumors are that the league will expand soon, to make up some of the money they lost during the pandemic. Cities rumored to be in the running for an expansion team: Seattle, Louisville, Las Vegas.

2) Sports betting was legalized in Florida this week.

1) Happy 84th birthday this week to the great 3B Brooks Robinson; had the chance to meet Mr Robinson long time ago, maybe 1990 or so, at an event in Glens Falls. Bunch of us were huddled around a TV, watching an NFL playoff game; something strange happened in the game; Brooks just shook his head and laughed “Can you believe people bet on this stuff?”

Very nice man, one of the greatest fielders ever. Happy birthday, sir.

**Udog** · 05-20-2021, 08:39 AM

MLB
Weather Report

Thursday, May 20

**Udog** · 05-20-2021, 08:41 AM

901SAN FRANCISCO -902 CINCINNATI
SAN FRANCISCO is 12-0 SU (12 Units) in road games as an underdog of +100 to +150 in the current season.

903WASHINGTON -904 CHICAGO CUBS
WASHINGTON is 5-14 SU (-13.2 Units) vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging <=0.5 errors/game over the last 2 seasons.

905MIAMI -906 PHILADELPHIA
MIAMI is 22-6 SU (14.5 Units) in road games vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons.

907PITTSBURGH -908 ATLANTA
ATLANTA is 4-18 SU (-13.4 Units) in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the current season.

909ARIZONA -910 LA DODGERS
ARIZONA is 14-4 SU (11.4 Units) vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.

911TAMPA BAY -912 BALTIMORE
BALTIMORE is 2-14 SU (-13.4 Units) in home games when playing on Thursday in the last 3 seasons.

913NY YANKEES -914 TEXAS
TEXAS are 18-7 SU (11.3 Units) vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse in the current season.

915HOUSTON -916 OAKLAND
OAKLAND is 16-6 SU (12.3 Units) vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities in the current season.

917MINNESOTA -918 LA ANGELS
MINNESOTA is 7-27 SU (-24.5 Units) vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the current season.

919MINNESOTA -920 LA ANGELS
MINNESOTA is 7-27 SU (-24.5 Units) vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the current season.

**Udog** · 05-20-2021, 08:44 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Thursday, May 20

**Udog** · 05-20-2021, 08:48 AM

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, May 20

NL games
San Francisco (27-16) @ Cincinnati (19-22)
— Cueto is 2-1, 3.62 in five starts.
— Giants are 3-2 in his starts.
— over 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-1
— He is 1-1, 3.51 in four starts vs his old team.

— Giants are 11-5 in their last 16 games.
— Giants are 7-7 in last 14 road games.
— Under is 7-2 in their last nine games.
— scored run in first inning: 12-43
— record in first 5 innings: 25-11-7

— Mahle is 1-0, 3.10 in his last five starts.
— Reds are 6-2 in his starts.
— over 6-1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-8
— you’re reading ***************.com
— record in first 5 innings: 6-1-1
— He is 0-2, 6.14 in three starts vs San Francisco.

— Cincinnati is 2-5 in its last seven games.
— Reds are 3-9 in last 12 home games.
— Over 18-8-3 last 29 games
— scored run in first inning: 9-41
— record in first 5 innings: 13-21-7

Miami (19-23) @ Philadelphia (22-21)
— Alcantara is 1-1, 5.48 in his last four starts.
— Marlins are 4-5 in his starts
— over 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 1-9
— record in first 5 innings: 4-4-1
— He is 4-1, 2.82 in six starts vs Philly.

— Marlins lost six of their last ten games.
— Miami is 5-9 in their last 14 road tilts.
— under 10-4-2 in their last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 13-42
— record in first 5 innings: 16-18-8

— Velasquez is 1-0, 1.59 in his last three starts (17 IP).
— Phillies are 3-2 in his starts
— under 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0-3
— He is 4-4, 4.88 in 17 starts vs Miami.

— Phillies lost four of their last six games.
— Phillies are 14-7 at home, 8-14 on road.
— over 7-4 last 11 home games.
— scored run in first inning: 18-43
— record in first 5 innings: 14-19-10

Pittsburgh (17-25) @ Atlanta (19-23)
— Crowe is 0-2, 3.86 in four starts.
— Pirates are 1-3 in his starts.
— under 4-0
— allowed run in first inning: 2-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2-1
— He gave up 3 runs in 2.1 IP, in his one start vs Atlanta.

— Pirates lost 14 of their last 19 games.
— Pittsburgh lost six of its last eight road games.
— under 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 9-42
— record in first 5 innings: 14-20-8

— Smyly is 2-0, 1.50 in his last two starts.
— Braves are 2-4 in his starts.
— over 5-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3-1
— He is 0-1, 4.58 in four games (3 starts) vs Pittsburgh.

— Braves lost six of their last nine games overall.
— Atlanta is 3-7 in its last ten home games.
— Over is 15-8 in their home games.
— scored run in first inning: 14-43
— record in first 5 innings: 20-17-6

Washington (17-22) @ Cubs (21-21)
— Ross is 0-2, 7.54 in his last three starts.
— Washington is 2-5 in his starts.
— under 4-2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-4-1
— He is 0-2, 3.54 in six games (5 starts) vs Chicago.

— Washington lost 10 of its last 15 games.
— Nationals are 8-12 on the road.
— under 12-6 last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 10-39
— record in first 5 innings: 12-17-10

— Williams is 0-1, 7.23 in his last five starts.
— Cubs are 4-4 in his starts.
— under 5-3
— allowed run in first inning: 2-8
— record in first 5 innings: 4-3-1
— He is 1-2, 5.49 in five games (4 starts) vs Washington.

— Cubs won four of their last six games.
— Chicago won seven of its last nine home games.
— Under is 7-4 in their last 11 games.
— scored run in first inning: 14-42
— record in first 5 innings: 18-18-6

Arizona (18-26) @ Dodgers (25-18)
— Smith is 0-3, 7.36 in five starts.
— Arizona is 1-4 in his starts
— over 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-4
— He threw 3.1 scoreless innings in a relief stint vs Los Angeles.

— Arizona lost 14 of its last 18 games.
— Arizona lost its last nine road games.
— under 5-2 last seven road games
— scored run in first inning: 8-44
— record in first 5 innings: 20-20-4

— Bullpen game for the Dodgers.

— Dodgers won seven of their last eight games.
— Dodgers are 9-6 in last 15 home games.
— over 16-7-1 last 24 games
— scored run in first inning: 10-43
— record in first 5 innings: 21-16-6

AL games
Tampa Bay (25-19) @ Baltimore (17-25)
— Hill is 1-1, 0.83 in his last four starts.
— Rays are 4-4 in his starts.
— over 5-3
— allowed run in first inning: 1-8
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2-3
— He is 2-0, 1.27 in 13 games (3 starts) vs Baltimore.

— Tampa Bay won its last six games.
— Rays are 12-3 in last 15 road games.
— Eight of last 11 road games went over
— scored run in first inning: 11-44
— record in first 5 innings: 16-17-11

— Kremer is 0-1, 3.38 in his last three starts.
— Orioles are 3-4 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4
— He allowed one run in five IP, in his one start vs Tampa Bay.

— Orioles lost 11 of their last 15 games.
— Baltimore is 11-8 on the road, 6-17 at home.
— over is 6-0 in their last six games.
— scored run in first inning: 12-42
— record in first 5 innings: 16-18-8

Boston (26-18) @ Toronto (23-18)
— Pivetta is 3-0, 2.86 in his last four starts.
— Red Sox are 7-1 in his starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 6-1-1
— He is 0-1, 5.40 in two starts vs Toronto.

— Boston is 4-5 in its last nine games.
— Red Sox won four of its last six road games.
— under 7-2-1 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 14-44
— record in first 5 innings: 21-15-8

— Matz is 1-1, 4.80 in his last three starts.
— Blue Jays are 5-3 in his starts.
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 0-8
— record in first 5 innings: 5-2-1
— He have up 3 runs in 5.1 IP, in his one start vs Boston.

— Toronto is 15-8 in its last 23 games.
— Toronto is 6-2 in last eight home games.
— over 13-7 last 20 games
— scored run in first inning: 13-41
— record in first 5 innings: 16-20-5

Minnesota (14-27) @ Angels (18-24)
— Berrios is 1-0, 4.38 in his last four starts.
— Twins are 4-4 in his starts.
— over 5-2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-8
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3-2
— He is 1-2, 6.35 in three starts vs Anaheim.

— Thorpe is 0-1, 5.00 in two starts.
— Twins are 0-2 in his starts.
— over 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1-1
— He allowed 2 runs in four IP, in one start vs Anaheim.

— Twins lost 25 of their last 34 games.
— Minnesota is 2-10 in last 12 road games.
— over 15-5 last 20 games
— scores run in first inning: 15-41
— record in first 5 innings: 14-18-9

— Canning is 2-0, 2.12 in his last three starts.
— Angels are 3-3 in his starts.
— over 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3
— He hasn’t pitched against Minnesota.

— Bundy is 0-5, 7.18 in his last six starts.
— Angels are 2-6 in his starts.
— under 6-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-8
— record in first 5 innings: 1-6-1
— He is 0-5, 4.98 in seven games (6 starts) vs Minnesota.

— Halos are 5-12 in last 17 games overall.
— Angels are 3-8 in their last 11 home games.
— over 8-3 last 11 home games
— scored run in first inning: 10-42
— record in first 5 innings: 17-22-3

Bronx (24-19) @ Texas (19-26)
— German is 3-0, 2.67 in his last five starts.
— New York won his last five starts.
— under 4-3
— allowed run in first inning: 3-7
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2-2
— He allowed six runs in 3.2 IP, in his one start vs Texas.

— New York won five of its last seven games.
— New York is 11-6 in its last 17 road games.
— over 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 10-43
— record in first 5 innings: 19-16-8

— Dunning is 1-3, 5.95 in his last four starts.
— Texas is 2-6 in his starts.
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 3-8
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4-1
— He hasn’t pitched against New York.

— Texas lost eight of its last nine games.
— Texas is 5-3 in last eight home games.
— under 14-8 at home.
— scored run in first inning: 12-45
— record in first 5 innings: 15-22-8

Houston (25-18) @ Oakland (26-18)
— Garcia is 1-0, 4.20 in his last three starts.
— Astros are 1-5 in his starts.
— under 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1-2
— He threw five shutout innings, in his one start vs Oakland.

— Astros won 10 of their last 13 games.
— Astros lost four of last six road games.
— over 11-5 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 15-43
— record in first 5 innings: 23-13-7

— Irvin is 3-2, 2.61 in his last six starts.
— A’s are 4-4 in his starts.
— under 6-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-8
— record in first 5 innings: 4-3-1
— He is 0-2, 7.45 in two starts vs Houston.

— A’s are 7-4 in their last 11 games.
— Oakland is 6-4 in its last ten home games.
— Over is 8-3 in their last 11 home games.
— scored run in first inning: 12-44
— record in first 5 innings: 18-16-10

**Udog** · 05-20-2021, 09:04 AM

MLB

Thursday, May 20

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Tampa Bay @ Baltimore
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 14-1 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games

San Francisco @ Cincinnati
San Francisco
San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 8 games when playing at home against San Francisco

NY Yankees @ Texas
NY Yankees
NY Yankees is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 7 games on the road
Texas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 6 games

Washington @ Chi Cubs
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Washington's last 16 games
Washington is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Chi Cubs is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home

Houston @ Oakland
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Oakland's last 11 games when playing Houston

Minnesota @ LA Angels
Minnesota
Minnesota is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games on the road
LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 8 of LA Angels's last 11 games at home

Miami @ Philadelphia
Miami
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Miami is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 9 games

Pittsburgh @ Atlanta
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing Pittsburgh

Boston @ Toronto
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Boston's last 13 games on the road
Boston is 17-6 ATS in its last 23 games on the road
Toronto
Toronto is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Toronto is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games

Minnesota @ LA Angels
Minnesota
Minnesota is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games on the road
LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 8 of LA Angels's last 11 games at home

Arizona @ LA Dodgers
Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games on the road
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
LA Dodgers is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Arizona

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 05-20-2021, 11:51 AM

Diamond Trends for Thursday May 20
Vince Akins

SU Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Arizona at L.A. Dodgers (10:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Dodgers are 12-0 SU since Sep 24, 2020 off a home game when their opponent's starter has an ERA of higher than 4.00 on the season.

SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Minnesota at L.A. Angels (4:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Angels are 0-11 SU since Aug 08, 2020 after they lost by one run last game.

OU Trend of the Day
Matchup: Pittsburgh at Atlanta (7:20 p.m. ET)

-- The Braves are 9-0 OU (6.50 ppg) since Aug 18, 2020 as a favorite off a home game in which Freddie Freeman had multiple hits.

Starter-Based Trend of the Day
Matchup: Minnesota at L.A. Angels (7:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Angels are 9-0-2 OU (4.73 ppg) since Jun 27, 2019 when Griffin Canning starts when they lost in his last start.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

Announcement

Thursday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 5/20

Thursday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 5/20

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