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Thursday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 5/6

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  • Thursday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 5/6

    Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, May 6

    Good Luck on day #126 of 2021!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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  • #2
    I hated every minute of training, but I said, 'Don't quit. Suffer now and live the rest of your life as a champion.'

    Comment


    • #3
      Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

      NBA scoring leaders:
      31.5— Curry, GState
      30.9— Beal, Wash
      29.0— Embiid, Phil
      28.5— Doncic, Dal
      28.5— Antetokounmpo, Milw
      28.4— Lillard, Port
      Americans who have died from COVID-19: 578,524
      PLEASE
      wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


      **********

      Armadillo: Thursday's Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….

      13) Orioles 6, Seattle 0:
      — John Means threw MLB’s third no-hitter this season.
      — Only baserunner reached on a wild pitch after a strikeout
      — That is the only time in MLB history the only runner to reach in a no-hitter got on base via a wild pitch after a strikeout.
      — Three no-hitters this year; there were no walks, but no perfect games.
      — This was Baltimore’s first complete game no-hitter since 1969.

      12) Indians 5, Royals 4:
      — Cleveland is in a 3-way toe for first in AL Central
      — Indians are 16-13, but they’re 8-17-4 in first 5-inning wagers; Terry Francona is a very good manager, plus they’ve played very well in late innings.

      11) Early candidate for Bad Beat of the Year: Cavaliers (+12.5) lost 134-118 to Phoenix Tuesday, in overtime. Getting 12.5 points, they lost by freakin’ 16 in OT!!! No bueno.

      10) Baseball’s new rules have created new situations, ones that the best managers aren’t used to. It turns out that Tony LaRussa didn’t know the new extra inning rules.

      Wednesday afternoon, scoreless game in 10th inning in Cincinnati, LaRussa’s White Sox start the 10th inning with closer Liam Hendriks on second base— a pinch-hitter made the last four of the ninth inning for Chicago. Guy who makes the last out is the runner next inning.

      Except for one scenario, if that runner would be the pitcher, then the manager can choose the guy bats before the pitcher to be the runner, but LaRussa didn’t know that. Now he does.

      Hendriks, by the way, has batted three times in his 11-year career, going 0-2 with a walk— that walk happened six years ago.

      9) This game was only fourth time in 18+ years that a game at Great American Ballpark was 0-0 after nine innings.

      8) Phillies 5, Brewers 4:
      — Game was 5-0 Phillies before they made an out.
      — After it was 5-0, Freddy Peralta struck out the next six batters, and only allowed two more runners to reach base in four IP, but the damage had been done.

      7) So far this season, Jose Altuve is batting .247; not good.
      — He is 16-41 (.390) vs lefties.
      — He is 3-36 (.083) vs righty pitchers.

      6) Toronto Blue Jays will go back to playing home games in Buffalo June 1st; they’ve been playing home games in Dunedin, FL, at their spring training home. Hopefully before too much longer, they go back home to Toronto.

      5) Cubs 6, Dodgers 5 (11)— Anthony Rizzo hit a walk-off single in a game he didn’t start; Cubs sweep LA, which has now lost 13 of its last 17 games.

      4) Strange situation in the Mets-Cardinals game Wednesday; St Louis sent the interpreter to the mound so pitcher Kwang Hung Kim could confer with his infielders about who was covering which base. Problem is, that’s against the rules— interpreters can’t go on the field without a coach or manager.

      Shortly after that, when pitching coach Mike Maddux tried to go to the mound to talk to Kim, there was a lengthy conference with the umpires, since no one seemed to know if the interpreter’s first visit counted as an official mound visit.

      3) In his first 90 career at-bats against the Mets, St Louis SS Paul DeJong has 11 doubles, 10 homers and the incredibly high slugging percentage of .822.

      2) Kyrie Irving got fined $35,000 by the NBA for repeatedly violating league rules regarding media access.

      Really? This guy can just give away money like that?

      Can someone please show him some Bill Belichick tapes, or let him watch Bull Durham, when Crash Davis lectures the rookie pitcher on how to use cliches in interviews. It is possible to talk without saying anything, politicians do it every day.

      Just be boring, relentlessly boring, but don’t give your damn money away.

      I know he is really, really rich (he makes $31M a year, has already banked around $157M in his career), but the money would be better served going to charity. Actually, I think fine money does go to charity, but it still makes no sense.

      1) Tuesday night in Cincinnati, Dylan Cease threw six shutout innings for the White Sox, and also had three hits in Chicago’s 9-0 win.

      He is the first AL starting pitcher to throw 6+ shutout innings, striking out at 10+ hitters and giving up fewer than three hits, while also getting three hits himself, since Catfish Hunter threw a perfect game for the A’s on May 8, 1968.

      From the great researcher Christopher Kamka: Cease is the first White Sox pitcher with 3 hits through the 5th inning of a game since Don Larsen in 1961 at Washington.

      Yes, that Don Larsen, the guy who threw a perfect game in the World Series.

      Comment


      • #4
        MLB
        Weather Report

        Thursday, May 6


        Comment


        • #5
          901MILWAUKEE -902 PHILADELPHIA
          MILWAUKEE is 14-28 SU (-17.6 Units) vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

          903NY METS -904 ST LOUIS
          NY METS are 23-35 SU (-15.5 Units) in road games in the first half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

          905ATLANTA -906 WASHINGTON
          WASHINGTON is 81-56 SU (19.4 Units) when the total is 8.5 to 10 in the last 3 seasons.

          907ARIZONA -908 MIAMI
          ARIZONA is 57-33 SU (23.3 Units) vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) in the last 3 seasons.

          909HOUSTON -910 NY YANKEES
          NY YANKEES are 14-2 SU (14.1 Units) in home games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons.

          911DETROIT -912 BOSTON
          DETROIT is 3-13 SU (-14.2 Units) vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the current season.

          913TEXAS -914 MINNESOTA
          MINNESOTA is 3-14 SU (-11.7 Units) vs. good fielding teams - averaging <=0.6 errors/game in the current season.

          915CLEVELAND -916 KANSAS CITY
          CLEVELAND is 18-5 SU (12.9 Units) vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

          917TORONTO -918 OAKLAND
          TORONTO is 8-17 SU (-15.3 Units) in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

          919TAMPA BAY -920 LA ANGELS
          LA ANGELS are 248-225 SU (0.5 Units) in home games when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1996.

          Comment


          • #6
            MLB
            Dunkel

            Thursday, May 6


            Comment


            • #7
              MLB
              Armadillo's Write-Up

              Thursday, May 6


              NL games
              Milwaukee (17-14) @ Philadelphia (16-15)

              — Woodruff is 2-0, 1.16 in his last five starts.
              — Brewers are 5-1 in his starts
              — under 4-2
              — allowed run in first inning: 2-6
              — record in first 5 innings: 3-1-2
              — He is 2-0, 0.50 in three starts vs Philly.

              — Brewers lost their last four games.
              — Milwaukee won seven of last 11 road games.
              — under 10-5 on road.
              — scored run in first inning: 9-31
              — record in first 5 innings: 13-13-5

              — Wheeler is 1-0, 3.92 in his last three starts.
              — Phillies are 2-4 in his starts
              — over 3-3
              — allowed run in first inning: 2-6
              — record in first 5 innings: 2-3-1
              — He is 1-1, 2.90 in five starts vs Milwaukee.

              — Phillies are 7-5 in their last 12 games.
              — Phillies are 12-6 at home.
              — over 11-4 last 15 home games.
              — scored run in first inning: 12-31
              — record in first 5 innings: 11-12-8

              Mets (12-13) @ St Louis (18-13)
              — Walker is 1-1, 3.33 in five starts.
              — Mets are 4-1 in his starts.
              — under 3-2
              — allowed run in first inning: 0-5
              — record in first 5 innings: 4-1
              — He is 0-1, 3.50 in three starts vs St Louis.

              — Mets are 6-10 in their last 16 games.
              — Mets are 6-9 on the road.
              — Under 7-4-1 last dozen games.
              — scored run in first inning: 5-25
              — record in first 5 innings: 11-12-2

              — Gant is 2-0, 0.82 in his last two starts.
              — Cardinals are 3-2 in his starts.
              — under 4-1
              — allowed run in first inning: 3-5
              — record in first 5 innings: 2-2-1
              — He is 3-0, 0.87 in seven games (2 starts, 20.2 IP) vs New York.

              — Cardinals won 10 of their last 13 games.
              — St Louis is 7-3 in its last ten home games.
              — Under 6-2-1 last nine home games.
              — scored run in first inning: 10-31
              — record in first 5 innings: 15-11-5

              Arizona (15-15) @ Miami (13-16)
              — Bumgarner is 3-0, 1.06 in his last three starts.
              — Arizona is 3-3 in his starts
              — over 3-1 last four
              — allowed run in first inning: 3-6
              — record in first 5 innings: 4-2
              — He is 2-4, 4.47 in ten starts vs Miami.

              — Arizona won 10 of its last 15 games.
              — Arizona is 6-3 in its last nine road games.
              — over 10-3-1 last 14 games
              — scored run in first inning: 5-30
              — record in first 5 innings: 15-14-1

              — Lopez is 0-1, 0.95 in his last three starts.
              — Miami is 2-4 in his starts.
              — under 2-2-2
              — allowed run in first inning: 1-6
              — record in first 5 innings: 1-2-3
              — He allowed 3 runs in six IP, in his one start vs Arizona.

              — Marlins lost nine of their last 15 games.
              — Miami is 6-7 at home.
              — under 5-3-2 last ten home games
              — scored run in first inning: 9-29
              — record in first 5 innings: 11-12-6

              Atlanta (14-16) @ Washington (12-14)
              — Smyly is 0-2, 9.95 in four starts.
              — Braves are 0-4 in his starts.
              — over 4-0 in his starts
              — allowed run in first inning: 1-4
              — record in first 5 innings: 0-2-2
              — He is 0-0, 2.57 in three games (2 starts) vs Washington.

              — Braves lost four of their last six games.
              — Atlanta is 7-9 on the road.
              — Under is 3-0 in their last three games.
              — scored run in first inning: 10-30
              — record in first 5 innings: 13-12-5

              — Lester blanked Miami for five IP (70 PT) in his first ‘21 start.
              — Washington is 1-0 in his starts.
              — under 1-0
              — allowed run in first inning: 0-1
              — record in first 5 innings: 0-0-1
              — He is 7-2, 2.30 in 11 starts vs Atlanta.

              — Washington won four of its last six games.
              — Nationals won five of their last seven home games.
              — under 9-2 last 11 home games
              — scored run in first inning: 7-26
              — record in first 5 innings: 7-12-7

              AL games
              Houston (15-15) @ Bronx (16-14)

              — McCullers is 1-0, 1.38 in last two starts.
              — Astros are 2-3 in his starts.
              — over 3-2
              — allowed run in first inning: 1-5
              — record in first 5 innings: 2-2-1
              — He is 2-0, 2.59 in four starts vs New York

              — Astros lost their last three games.
              — Astros are 4-8 in last 12 road games.
              — over 3-2 last five games
              — scored run in first inning: 8-30
              — record in first 5 innings: 13-11-6

              — Former Astro Cole is 4-1, 1.43 in six starts.
              — New York is 4-2 in his starts.
              — over 4-2
              — allowed run in first inning: 1-6
              — record in first 5 innings: 5-0-1
              — He gave up five runs in five IP, in his one start vs Houston.

              — New York won 11 of its last 15 games.
              — New York is 7-1 in its last eight home games.
              — under 11-5 last 16 games
              — scored run in first inning: 4-30
              — record in first 5 innings: 14-12-4

              Detroit (9-22) @ Boston (18-13)
              — Turnbull is 1-2, 4.50 in three starts.
              — Detroit is 1-2 in his starts.
              — over 2-1 in his starts
              — allowed run in first inning: 1-3
              — record in first 5 innings: 1-2
              — He threw five shutout innings, in his one start vs Boston.

              — Detroit lost 16 of its last 19 games.
              — Detroit is 5-13 on the road.
              — under 12-6 last 18 games
              — scored run in first inning: 2-18 on road
              — record in first 5 innings: 3-14-1 on road

              — Eovaldi is 4-1, 3.99 in his last five starts.
              — Red Sox are 4-2 in his starts.
              — under 3-3
              — allowed run in first inning: 2-6
              — record in first 5 innings: 4-1-1
              — He is 2-0, 1.89 in three starts vs Detroit.

              — Boston lost four of its last six games.
              — Red Sox won three of last five home games.
              — under six of last nine games
              — scored run in first inning: 8-31
              — record in first 5 innings: 14-11-6

              Texas (15-17) @ Minnesota (11-18)
              — Lyles is 0-2, 10.66 in his last three starts.
              — Rangers are 3-3 in his starts.
              — over 4-1-1
              — allowed run in first inning: 1-6
              — record in first 5 innings: 3-3
              — He gave up 3 runs in 6.1 IP, in his one start vs Minnesota.

              — Texas won five of its last seven games.
              — Texas is 8-8 on road.
              — over 7-3 last ten road games.
              — scored run in first inning: 8-32
              — record in first 5 innings: 12-16-4

              — Pineda is 2-1, 2.96 in five starts.
              — Twins are 3-2 in his starts.
              — over 2-2-1
              — allowed run in first inning: 0-5
              — record in first 5 innings: 3-1-1
              — He 2-4, 5.09 in eight starts vs Texas.

              — Twins lost 16 of their last 22 games.
              — Minnesota is 6-10 at home.
              — over 7-1 last eight games
              — scores run in first inning: 11-29
              — record in first 5 innings: 12-11-6

              Cleveland (16-13) @ Kansas City (16-13)
              — McKenzie is 0-1, 7.20 in four starts.
              — Indians are 1-3 in his starts.
              — under 2-2
              — allowed run in first inning: 0-4
              — record in first 5 innings: 2-2
              — He is 1-0, 2.45 in three games (2 starts) vs KC.

              — Cleveland won eight of its last ten games.
              — Indians are 9-7 on the road.
              — over 11-3-1 last 15 games
              — scores run in first inning: 6-29
              — record in first 5 innings: 8-17-4

              — Duffy is 4-1, 1.20 in his first five starts.
              — Royals are 4-1 in his starts.
              — under 4-1
              — allowed run in first inning: 0-5
              — record in first 5 innings: 4-1
              — He is 5-12, 4.82 in 24 games (20 starts) vs Cleveland.

              — Royals lost five of their last six games.
              — Royals are 8-8 at home.
              — last seven games went over
              — scores run in first inning: 5-29
              — record in first 5 innings: 14-10-5

              Tampa Bay (17-15) @ Angels (13-16)
              — Fleming is 1-2, 2.18 in four games (20.2 IP).
              — They may/may not use an opener here.
              — Rays are 1-2 in his starts.
              — under 3-0
              — allowed run in first inning: 1-3
              — record in first 5 innings: 1-2
              — He hasn’t pitched against the Angels.

              — Tampa Bay is 6-8 in its last 14 games.
              — Rays are 8-1 in last nine road games.
              — eight of last 12 games stayed under
              — scored run in first inning: 9-32
              — record in first 5 innings: 12-12-8

              — Heaney is 1-1, 2.95 in his last four starts.
              — Angels are 2-3 in his starts.
              — over 4-1
              — allowed run in first inning: 1-5
              — record in first 5 innings: 3-2
              — He is 0-3, 4.87 in four starts vs Tampa Bay.

              — Halos lost five of last six games overall.
              — Angels are 7-6 at home.
              — over 9-5 last 14 games
              — scored run in first inning: 8-29
              — record in first 5 innings: 13-14-2

              Toronto (15-14) @ Oakland (19-13)
              — Ryu is 1-2, 2.93 in five starts.
              — Blue Jays are 3-2 in his starts.
              — under 4-1
              — allowed run in first inning: 0-5
              — record in first 5 innings: 2-3
              — He threw six shutout innings in his one start vs Oakland

              — Toronto won seven of its last 11 games.
              — Toronto lost three of last five road games.
              — over 6-2 last eight games
              — scored run in first inning: 9-28
              — record in first 5 innings: 11-14-4

              — Fiers allowed three runs in six IP (83 PT) in his first ‘21 start.
              — A’s are 0-1 in his starts.
              — under 1-0
              — allowed run in first inning: 0-1
              — record in first 5 innings: 0-1
              — He is 1-4, 4.22 in nine games (8 starts) vs Toronto.

              — A’s are 6-6 in their last 12 games.
              — Oakland won 11 of its last 14 home games.
              — Under is 12-7 in their last 19 games.
              — scored run in first inning: 8-32
              — record in first 5 innings: 13-12-7

              Comment


              • #8
                MLB

                Thursday, May 6


                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                Trend Report
                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                Houston @ NY Yankees
                Houston
                Houston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
                Houston is 7-15 ATS in its last 22 games when playing NY Yankees
                NY Yankees
                NY Yankees is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
                NY Yankees is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games

                Milwaukee @ Philadelphia
                Milwaukee
                Milwaukee is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
                Milwaukee is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
                Philadelphia
                Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
                The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games

                Detroit @ Boston
                Detroit
                The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing Boston
                The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing on the road against Boston
                Boston
                Boston is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Detroit
                Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Detroit

                Texas @ Minnesota
                Texas
                Texas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
                Texas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
                Minnesota
                The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota's last 8 games
                The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games at home

                NY Mets @ St. Louis
                NY Mets
                NY Mets is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
                The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games
                St. Louis
                St. Louis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
                St. Louis is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 games

                Cleveland @ Kansas City
                Cleveland
                Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
                The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cleveland's last 8 games
                Kansas City
                The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games at home
                The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games

                Toronto @ Oakland
                Toronto
                Toronto is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Oakland
                Toronto is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
                Oakland
                The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games
                The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto

                Atlanta @ Washington
                Atlanta
                Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Washington
                Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Washington
                Washington
                The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games at home
                The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games

                Arizona @ Miami
                Arizona
                The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games
                Arizona is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
                Miami
                Miami is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Arizona
                Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Arizona

                Tampa Bay @ LA Angels
                Tampa Bay
                Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
                Tampa Bay is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
                LA Angels
                The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
                The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 7 games at home


                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                Comment


                • #9
                  Diamond Trends for Thursday May 6
                  Vince Akins

                  ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
                  Matchup: Arizona at Miami (6:40 p.m. ET)

                  -- The Marlins are 7-0 SU since Jul 15, 2018 past the first game of a series at home after they shut out their opponent last game

                  ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
                  Matchup: Detroit at Boston (1:10 p.m. ET)

                  -- The Tigers are 0-16 SU since Aug 29, 2017 as a road dog coming off a one run road win.

                  OU Play Trend of the Day
                  Matchup: Milwaukee at Philadelphia (1:10 p.m. ET)

                  -- The Brewers are 0-13 OU (-2.69 ppg) since Sep 02, 2017 when Brandon Woodruff starts when the bullpen allowed more runs than he did in his last start.

                  Starter-Based Trend of the Day
                  Matchup: Cleveland at Kansas City (2:10 p.m. ET)

                  -- The Royals are 9-0 SU since Jun 07, 2014 when Danny Duffy starts as a home favorite when he had a WHIP of less than 1.00 in his last start and the Royals won.

                  Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

                  Comment

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