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Monday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 5/3

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  • Monday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 5/3

    Trends and Indexes

    Monday, May 3

    Good Luck on day #123 of 2021!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  • #2
    One may miss the mark by aiming too high as too low.

    Comment


    • #3
      Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

      Over last 5 years, colleges with most NFL Draft picks:
      51— Alabama
      43— Ohio State
      39— LSU
      36— Michigan
      33— Florida
      30— Georgia
      Americans who have died from COVID-19: 574,383
      PLEASE
      wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


      **********

      Armadillo: Monday's Den: Wrapping up a sports Sunday

      13) Oy.

      A’s pitcher Jesus Luzardo has a hairline fracture in his left (throwing hand) pinkie; apparently Luzardo was playing a video game before his start Saturday and bumped his hand on a desk, and broke his finger, which explains why he pitched badly against the Orioles.

      12) Reds 13, Cubs 12:
      — Cincy 3B Mike Moustakas homered, doubled, got hit by a pitch and grounded into two double plays- you don’t see that every day.

      It is possible that Cubs’ manager David Ross is overmatched in this job; Reds had winning run on third with no one out in 10th inning, and Nick Castellanos up— he was already 4-5 for the game, with two homers.

      Castellanos up, Votto on deck, you have to walk both of them, create a force at the plate and bring up Moustakas, who had already grounded into two double plays. But no, they pitch to the red-hot Castellanos, he singles to center, game over.

      Both teams hit five homers in this game.

      11) Mets 8, Phillies 7:
      — Bryce Harper hurt his wrist late in this game (check status)
      — Rhys Hoskins appeared to hit a game-tying 3-run homer in 9th inning, but replays showed the ball hit the top of the fence, so Hoskins got a double.
      — Two bullpens gave up 12 runs in seven IP; the starters were pretty good.

      10) Braves’ catcher Travis d’Arnaud tore ligaments in his thumb, will have surgery and is on the 60-day disabled list, big loss for Atlanta.

      9) Giants 7, Padres 1— In four starts since his no-hitter, Joe Musgrove is 0-3, 5.21.

      8) Cleveland P Triston McKenzie threw 57 pitches Saturday; only one fair ball was hit. He walked four, struck out six hitters, gave up five runs in two IP.

      7) A’s 7, Orioles 5— Oakland CF Ramon Laureano had a great 8th inning; with the score 5-5, he robbed DJ Stewart of extra bases with a great catch against the CF fence to end the top of the inning, then he hit a 2-run homer in the bottom of the 8th to send everyone home happy.

      Oakland is 7-0 this season in games where winning run scores from the 7th inning on.

      6) Watching games all day Sunday on DirecTV, following the progress of guys on my fantasy team, the CBSSports.com fantasy website is faster than my satellite dish.

      Results of plays would pop up on my screen before the pitcher threw the ball on my TV— has to be a 2-second delay.

      5) Heading into Sunday’s games, these teams had the worst bullpen ERA’s:
      6.68— Detroit
      5.51— Cincinnati
      5.11— Colorado

      4) Dodgers 16, Milwaukee 4— AJ Pollock knocked in 8 runs, Matt Beaty knocked in 7 runs, as Dodgers took out the frustrations from their recent skid out on a tired Brewer pitching staff.

      3) Of the seven teams in first place or tied for first place, five of them have given up more runs than they’ve scored, which is kind of weird.

      2) If the baseball playoffs started today (they don’t):
      — NL: Wash/NYM, Brewers, Giants, Wild Card: Cardinals @ Dodgers
      — AL: Red Sox, Royals, A’s. Wild Card: Mariners @ White Sox

      1) 65 SEC players were taken in the NFL Draft, the most of any league. 8 of the first 38 players taken came from Alabama; that has to help their recruiting, not that it needs a lot of help.

      Comment


      • #4
        MLB
        Weather Report

        Monday, May 3


        Comment


        • #5
          951MILWAUKEE -952 PHILADELPHIA
          MILWAUKEE is 12-28 SU (-19.6 Units) vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

          953LA DODGERS -954 CHICAGO CUBS
          CHICAGO CUBS are 315-397 SU (-104.8 Units) vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse since 1996.

          955NY METS -956 ST LOUIS
          ST LOUIS are 421-422 SU (67.5 Units) in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better since 1996.

          957SAN FRANCISCO -958 COLORADO
          SAN FRANCISCO is 27-15 SU (16.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

          957SAN FRANCISCO -958 COLORADO
          GABE KAPLER is 27-15 SU (10.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record (Coach of SAN FRANCISCO)

          959PITTSBURGH -960 SAN DIEGO
          DEREK SHELTON is 21-8 SU (12.2 Units) with a team slugging percentage .390 or worse on the season (NL) (Coach of PITTSBURGH)

          959PITTSBURGH -960 SAN DIEGO
          PITTSBURGH is 21-8 SU (11.3 Units) with a team slugging percentage .390 or worse on the season (NL) over the last 2 seasons.

          961TEXAS -962 MINNESOTA
          TEXAS are 11-18 SU (-15.5 Units) in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons.

          963CLEVELAND -964 KANSAS CITY
          CLEVELAND is 94-70 SU (16.9 Units) vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the last 3 seasons.

          965TAMPA BAY -966 LA ANGELS
          LA ANGELS are 248-224 SU (1.6 Units) in home games when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1996.

          Comment


          • #6
            MLB
            Dunkel

            Monday, May 3


            Comment


            • #7
              MLB
              Armadillo's Write-Up

              Monday, May 3


              NL games
              Milwaukee (17-11) @ Philadelphia (13-15)

              — Houser is 2-2, 4.01 in five starts.
              — Brewers are 3-2 in his starts
              — over 3-2
              — allowed run in first inning: 2-5
              — record in first 5 innings: 2-3
              — He gave up one run in five IP, in three relief stints vs Philly.

              — Brewers won 16 of their last 24 games.
              — Milwaukee won seven of last eight road games.
              — under 9-3 on road.
              — scored run in first inning: 7-28
              — record in first 5 innings: 13-10-5

              — Velasquez is 0-0, 5.40 in two starts.
              — Phillies are 1-1 in his starts
              — under 2-0
              — allowed run in first inning: 0-2
              — record in first 5 innings: 0-0-2
              — He have up 16 runs in 10.2 IP in four games (4 starts) vs Milwaukee.

              — Phillies are 4-5 in their last nine games.
              — Phillies are 9-6 at home.
              — over 9-3 last 12 home games.
              — scored run in first inning: 9-28
              — record in first 5 innings: 8-12-8

              Dodgers (17-12) @ Cubs (12-16)
              — Buehler is 1-0, 3.13 in five starts.
              — Dodgers are 3-2 in his starts.
              — over 3-2
              — allowed run in first inning: 1-5
              — record in first 5 innings: 0-3-2
              — He is 0-1, 5.27 in three games (2 starts) vs Chicago.

              — Dodgers lost 10 of their last 14 games.
              — Dodgers are 9-7 on the road.
              — over 8-2 last ten games
              — scored run in first inning: 9-29
              — record in first 5 innings: 14-10-5

              — Hendricks is 1-2, 10.54 in his last three starts.
              — Cubs are 1-4 in his starts.
              — over 4-1
              — allowed run in first inning: 3-5
              — record in first 5 innings: 1-3-1
              — He is 2-3, 6.00 in five starts vs Los Angeles.

              — Cubs lost seven of their last nine games.
              — Chicago is 8-7 at home.
              — Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
              — scored run in first inning: 9-28
              — record in first 5 innings: 10-15-3

              Mets (11-11) @ St Louis (16-12)
              — Lucchesi is 0-1, 9.00 in two starts (6 IP).
              — Mets are 0-2 in his starts, scoring five runs
              — over 1-1
              — allowed run in first inning: 1-2
              — record in first 5 innings: 0-2
              — He gave up 2 runs in 5.1 IP, in his one start vs St Louis.

              — Mets lost eight of their last 13 games.
              — Mets are 5-7 on the road.
              — Under 6-2-1 last nine games.
              — scored run in first inning: 5-22
              — record in first 5 innings: 10-10-2

              — Wainwright is 0-2, 2.77 in his last four starts.
              — Cardinals are 1-4 in his starts.
              — under 4-1
              — allowed run in first inning: 0-5
              — record in first 5 innings: 0-3-2
              — He is 5-6, 4.72 in 14 games (12 starts) vs New York.

              — Cardinals won eight of their last ten games.
              — St Louis is 6-2 in its last six home games.
              — Under 8-4-2 last 14 games.
              — scored run in first inning: 8-28
              — record in first 5 innings: 13-10-5

              San Francisco (17-11) @ Colorado (10-18)
              — Sanchez is 1-1, 2.22 in five starts (24.1 IP).
              — Giants are 1-4 in his starts.
              — last three starts over
              — allowed run in first inning: 2-5
              — record in first 5 innings: 2-2-1
              — He is 1-1, 3.38 in three starts vs Colorado.

              — Giants are 14-8 in their last 22 games.
              — Giants are 7-8 on the road.
              — Over is 6-2-1 in their last nine games.
              — scored run in first inning: 6-28
              — record in first 5 innings: 15-9-4

              — Marquez is 1-0, 3.13 in four home starts.
              — Colorado is 3-3 in his starts, 3-1 at home.
              — over 4-2
              — allowed run in first inning: 1-6
              — record in first 5 innings: 3-2-1
              — He is 4-6, 5.67 in 12 starts against the Giants.

              — Colorado lost five of its last seven games.
              — Rockies won four of last five home games.
              — under 7-4-1 last 12 home games.
              — scored run in first inning: 9-28
              — record in first 5 innings: 11-12-5

              Pittsburgh (12-15) @ San Diego (16-13)
              — TAnderson is 2-0, 2.20 in his last three starts.
              — Pirates are 3-2 in his starts.
              — under 5-0
              — allowed run in first inning: 1-5
              — record in first 5 innings: 3-1-1
              — He is 4-2, 2.53 in 10 games (9 starts) vs San Diego.

              — Pirates lost their last four games.
              — Pittsburgh won five of last seven road tilts.
              — under 4-1-1 last six road games
              — scored run in first inning: 7-27
              — record in first 5 innings: 10-13-4

              — Bullpen game for the Padres.

              — Padres won six of last nine games.
              — San Diego is 3-7 in its last ten home games.
              — six of last eight games went over
              — scored run in first inning: 9-29
              — record in first 5 innings: 10-15-4

              AL games
              Texas (13-16) @ Minnesota (10-16)

              — Dunning is 0-1, 4.58 in his last four starts.
              — Texas is 1-4 in his starts.
              — under 3-2
              — allowed run in first inning: 3-5
              — record in first 5 innings: 2-2-1
              — He gave up 2 runs (1 earned) in 7 IP, in one start vs Minnesota.

              — Texas won three of its last four games.
              — Texas is 6-7 on road.
              — over 5-2 last seven road games.
              — scored run in first inning: 7-29
              — record in first 5 innings: 12-14-3

              — Maeda is 0-2, 10.38 in his last three starts.
              — Twins are 1-4 in his starts.
              — over 3-2
              — allowed run in first inning: 1-5
              — record in first 5 innings: 1-2-2
              — He gave up 3 runs in six IP in 2 games (1 start) vs Texas.

              — Twins lost 14 of their last 19 games.
              — Minnesota is 5-8 at home.
              — over 5-0 last five games
              — scores run in first inning: 10-26
              — record in first 5 innings: 10-11-5

              Cleveland (13-13) @ Kansas City (16-10)
              — Civale is 4-0, 3.21 in five starts.
              — Indians are 4-1 in his starts.
              — over 4-1
              — allowed run in first inning: 3-5
              — record in first 5 innings: 1-2-2
              — He gave up 4 runs in six IP, in his one start vs KC.

              — Cleveland won five of its last seven games.
              — Indians are 6-7 on the road.
              — over 8-3-1 last 12 games
              — scores run in first inning: 6-26
              — record in first 5 innings: 8-15-3

              — Lefty Lynch is making his MLB debut.

              — Royals are 7-3 in their last ten games.
              — Royals are 8-5 at home.
              — last four games went over
              — scores run in first inning: 5-26
              — record in first 5 innings: 12-10-4

              Tampa Bay (14-15) @ Angels (13-13)
              — Glasnow is 3-1, 1.69 in six starts.
              — Rays are 4-2 in his starts.
              — over 3-3
              — allowed run in first inning: 2-6
              — record in first 5 innings: 3-1-2
              — He gave up one run in six IP, in two starts against the Angels.

              — Tampa Bay is 3-8 in its last 11 games.
              — Rays are 5-1 in last six road games.
              — seven of last nine games stayed under
              — scored run in first inning: 8-29
              — record in first 5 innings: 10-11-8

              — Ohtani is 1-0, 4.61 in three starts.
              — Angels are 3-0 in his starts.
              — over 2-1
              — allowed run in first inning: 1-3
              — record in first 5 innings: 3-0
              — He gave up 2 runs in 7.2 IP, in one start vs Tampa Bay.

              — Halos won four of last seven games overall.
              — Angels are 7-3 at home.
              — over 7-4 last 11 games
              — scored run in first inning: 8-26
              — record in first 5 innings: 12-12-2

              Toronto (13-12) @ Oakland (17-12)
              — Matz is 1-1, 9.35 in his last two starts.
              — He was 3-0, 1.47 in his first three starts.
              — Blue Jays are 4-1 in his starts.
              — over 3-2
              — allowed run in first inning: 0-5
              — record in first 5 innings: 4-1
              — He gave up 3 runs in five IP, in one start vs Oakland

              — Toronto won six of its last eight games.
              — Toronto won three of last four road games.
              — over 4-1 last five games
              — scored run in first inning: 8-25
              — record in first 5 innings: 11-12-2

              — Montas is 1-1, 5.06 in his last three starts.
              — A’s are 3-2 in his starts.
              — over 3-2
              — allowed run in first inning: 2-5
              — record in first 5 innings: 2-1-2
              — He gave up 3 runs in 0.2 IP, in one relief stint vs Toronto.

              — A’s lost five of their last eight games.
              — Oakland won nine of its last 11 home games.
              — Under is 11-5 in their last 16 games.
              — scored run in first inning: 7-29
              — record in first 5 innings: 11-12-6

              Baltimore (13-15) @ Seattle (16-12)
              — Kremer is 0-2, 8.40 in four starts.
              — Baltimore is 2-2 in his starts.
              — under 2-2
              — allowed run in first inning: 0-4
              — record in first 5 innings: 1-3
              — He gave up 4 runs in three IP, in one start vs Seattle.

              — Orioles won five of their last eight games.
              — Baltimore is 9-5 on the road, 4-10 at home.
              — under is 10-4 in their last 14 games.
              — scored run in first inning: 7-28
              — record in first 5 innings: 11-12-5

              — Seattle hasn’t named a starter.

              — Seattle won three of its last four games.
              — Seattle is 6-3 in its last nine home games.
              — under 5-3 last eight games
              — scored run in first inning: 7-29
              — record in first 5 innings: 11-16-2

              Comment


              • #8
                MLB

                Monday, May 3


                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                Trend Report
                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                Milwaukee @ Philadelphia
                Milwaukee
                Milwaukee is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
                Milwaukee is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
                Philadelphia
                The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games at home
                The total has gone OVER in 15 of Philadelphia's last 22 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

                LA Dodgers @ Chi Cubs
                LA Dodgers
                The total has gone OVER in 8 of LA Dodgers's last 10 games
                LA Dodgers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
                Chi Cubs
                Chi Cubs is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
                Chi Cubs is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers

                Texas @ Minnesota
                Texas
                Texas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas's last 6 games
                Minnesota
                The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games
                Minnesota is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Texas

                NY Mets @ St. Louis
                NY Mets
                The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets's last 6 games when playing St. Louis
                The total has gone OVER in 11 of NY Mets's last 15 games on the road
                St. Louis
                St. Louis is 12-1 ATS in its last 13 games
                St. Louis is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

                Cleveland @ Kansas City
                Cleveland
                Cleveland is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
                Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
                Kansas City
                Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
                Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland

                San Francisco @ Colorado
                San Francisco
                San Francisco is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
                The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games
                Colorado
                The total has gone OVER in 8 of Colorado's last 9 games
                Colorado is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games at home

                Tampa Bay @ LA Angels
                Tampa Bay
                Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
                Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
                LA Angels
                The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 7 games at home
                LA Angels is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games at home

                Toronto @ Oakland
                Toronto
                Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
                Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
                Oakland
                Oakland is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home
                Oakland is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games

                Pittsburgh @ San Diego
                Pittsburgh
                Pittsburgh is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Diego
                Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Diego
                San Diego
                The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
                The total has gone UNDER in 12 of San Diego's last 15 games at home

                Baltimore @ Seattle
                Baltimore
                Baltimore is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
                The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Baltimore's last 17 games
                Seattle
                Seattle is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
                Seattle is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home


                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                Comment


                • #9
                  Diamond Trends for Monday May 3
                  Vince Akins

                  ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
                  Matchup: N.Y. Mets at St. Louis (7:45 p.m. ET)

                  -- The Cardinals are 8-0 SU since Aug 16, 2007 when Adam Wainwright starts when he went 8 or more innings in his last start and the Cardinals lost.

                  ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
                  Matchup: L.A. Dodgers at Chicago Cubs (7:40 p.m. ET)

                  -- The Cubs are 0-11 SU since Jun 18, 2019 at home after they lost by one run last game.

                  OU Play Trend of the Day
                  Matchup: L.A. Dodgers at Chicago Cubs (7:40 p.m. ET)

                  -- The Cubs are 0-10 OU (-3.30 ppg) since Sep 18, 2016 when Kyle Hendricks starts at home after their bullpen gave up 3+ runs yesterday.

                  Starter-Based Trend of the Day
                  Matchup: L.A. Dodgers at Chicago Cubs (7:40 p.m. ET)

                  -- The Dodgers are 12-0 SU since Apr 28, 2018 when Walker Buehler starts as a -140+ favorite after their bullpen gave up 3+ runs yesterday.

                  Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

                  Comment

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