Announcement

**Udog** · 04-29-2021, 08:17 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Odds for this week’s Valspar Championship:
17-2— Justin Thomas
10-1— Dustin Johnson
20-1— Paul Casey, Viktor Hovland, Patrick Reed
22-1— Corey Conners
28-1— Scottie Scheffler
31-1— Russ Henley, Sungjae Im, Louis Oosthuizen
Americans who have died from COVID-19: 573,420
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

**********

Armadillo: Thursday's Den: Doing some thinking out loud……..

13) NFL Draft will happen in Cleveland Thursday-Saturday; six years ago, the NFL pushed back its draft to help promote the movie Draft Day, but Radio City Music Hall wasn’t available for the later date, so they took the NHL’s lead and moved the draft to Chicago that year.

They quickly realized they had stumbled upon a great idea, moving the draft around the country, mostly to cities that will never host a Super Bowl. It is good for the league.

12) Thursday is just the first round; Rams haven’t had a first round pick since 2016, so my laptop will be doing double duty- there are five baseball games tonight, too.

11) Carolina Panthers are switching to FieldTurf in their home stadium this year, leaving the NFL with 14 artificial turf fields, 16 grass fields (two stadiums are shared by teams).

10) Carolina traded QB Teddy Bridgewater to Denver Thursday, getting a 6th-round pick from the Broncos. Panthers acquired Sam Darnold from the Jets, making Bridgewater expendable.

Someone posted a betting ticket on Twitter, where a guy wagered $1,000 at 20-1 odds a few weeks ago, that Bridegwater would take the Broncos’ first snap from center in September. He is either really smart, really lucky or he had some inside knowledge.

9) Suns 109, Clippers 101— Phoenix clinches its first playoff appearance in 11 years; Monty Williams has to be NBA Coach of the Year, right?

8) Chicago White Sox are 12-10 so far this year, but if you bet them in first 5 innings play, then they’re 15-2-5; they’ve trailed only two of 22 games after the 5th inning. Their bullpen hasn’t been good. Chicago is 2-7 in games where the winning run scored from the 7th inning on.

7) I am convinced that major league umpires have been schooled to call more strikes on check swings this season, probably to quicken pace of play. MLB wants quicker games, but they also want more scoring; can’t have both of those things, fellas.

6) Nolan Ryan struck out seven guys late in his career, whose fathers he had struck out earlier in his career.

5) Braves 10, Cubs 0— Chicago used three position players to pitch in this game; they’re 10-14 and in last place in the NL Central. Maybe I’m just a miserable older person, but if my team was losing 10-0, I wouldn’t be yukking it up while the first baseman pitched. I understand that it is a long season and all, but the Cubs don’t look like a team that cares a whole lot.

4) Red Sox 1, Mets 0— Mets scored one run the last two nights; they’ve scored a total of 13 runs in Jacob deGrom’s five starts, and he knocked in a couple of those himself.

Fans are booing Francisco Lindor already; who is going to be the first guy who gets booed who says he misses last year’s cardboard cutouts?

3) Ole Miss fired offensive line coach/running game coordinator Randy Clements, three days after its spring football game. The firing was for football reasons and not related to any off-the-field issues, but Ole Miss led the SEC in rushing yardage last year.

Must be an interesting story tucked away in there somewhere.

2) End of this month meant scouring the Extra Innings Package, trying to find a decent pitcher to add to my fantasy squad. You never have pitching in keeper leagues, especially this year, when younger pitchers might hit an innings limit later on and get shut down for the year.

Long time ago, maybe 10-12 years ago, I had this guy pitching for the Padres; my pitching staff had fallen apart and I was clutching at straws trying to find capable pitchers. It wasn’t going well; this guy was pitching against Arizona and Tom Candiotti was the TV analyst.

Candiotti spent about two innings explaining why this guy would never be an effective starting pitcher in the majors; I went to my computer and cut the guy, while he was still pitching in the game. Candiotti was right; the guy wound up going 4-10 for San Diego that year.

1) Haven’t decided yet what format tomorrow’s den will take; there will be a ton of info to go thru, as all four team sports, plus golf are going on. If I do a running diary, it is more likely to be Friday than tonight.

It is good to be getting back to normal, that’s for sure.

**Udog** · 04-29-2021, 08:19 AM

MLB
Weather Report

Thursday, April 29

**Udog** · 04-29-2021, 08:23 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Thursday, April 29

**Udog** · 04-29-2021, 08:25 AM

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, April 29

NL games
Philadelphia (12-12) @ St Louis (12-12)
— Nola is 2-1, 2.84 in five starts.
— Phillies are 4-1 in his starts
— under 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1-1
— He is 5-2, 1.90 in seven starts vs St Louis.

— Phillies lost 11 of their last 17 games.
— Phillies are 4-8 on road.
— under 6-2 last eight road games.
— scored run in first inning: 8-24
— record in first 5 innings: 7-11-6

— Kim is 1-0, 4.15 in two starts.
— Cardinals are 2-0 in his starts
— over 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0
— He gave up three runs in three IP at Philly April 17.

— Cardinals won four of their last six games.
— St Louis won five of last eight home games.
— Under 7-2-1 last ten games.
— scored run in first inning: 6-24
— record in first 5 innings: 9-10-5

Cubs (10-14) @ Atlanta (12-12)
— Alzolay is 0-2, 5.00 in three starts.
— Cubs are 0-3 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1-1
— He gave up one run in 4.2 IP in one start vs Atlanta.

— Cubs lost their last five games.
— Chicago is 2-7 on road.
— 15 of last 23 games stayed under the total.
— scored run in first inning: 6-24
— record in first 5 innings: 9-13-2

— Wilson is 1-1, 6.00 in two starts (1-1).
— Braves are 1-1 in his starts.
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He is 1-0, 5.79 in two starts vs Chicago.

— Braves won five of their last seven games.
— Atlanta won last three home games.
— Over is 10-3 in their home games.
— scored run in first inning: 9-24
— record in first 5 innings: 10-9-5

Dodgers (16-9) @ Milwaukee (14-10)
— Bauer is 2-0, 2.10 in his last four starts.
— Dodgers are 3-2 in his starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-0-2
— He is 2-1, 2.66 in three starts vs Milwaukee.

— Dodgers lost seven of their last ten games.
— Dodgers are 8-4 on the road.
— over 6-0 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 7-25
— record in first 5 innings: 13-8-4

— Lauer is making his first ’21 start.
— He is 14-19, 4.75 in 57 games (54 starts)
— He is 5-0, 2.11 in seven starts vs Los Angeles.

— Brewers won 13 of their last 20 games.
— Milwaukee is 5-7 at home.
— under 8-5-1 last 14 games.
— scored run in first inning: 7-24
— record in first 5 innings: 11-9-4

Colorado (9-15) @ Arizona (12-12)
— Senzatela is 0-2, 7.24 in his last three starts.
— Colorado is 1-4 in his starts.
— under 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3-1
— He is 3-6, 5.43 in 13 games (10 starts) vs Arizona, 2-4, 5.08 in 9 games (5 starts) here.

— Colorado won six of its last ten games.
— Rockies are 1-8 on the road.
— over 4-0 last four road games.
— scored run in first inning: 7-24
— record in first 5 innings: 10-10-4

— Weaver is 1-2, 4.75 in four starts.
— Arizona is 2-2 in his starts
— under 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3
— He is 1-2, 6.84 in 7 games (6 starts) vs Colorado.

— Arizona won seven of its last nine games.
— Arizona is 3-4 at home.
— over 6-2 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 5-24
— record in first 5 innings: 12-11-1

AL games
Bronx (11-13) @ Baltimore (10-14)
— Montgomery is 0-1, 6.32 in his last three starts.
— New York is 3-1 in his starts.
— under 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3
— He is 3-1, 2.51 in eight starts vs Baltimore.

— New York won six of its last nine games.
— New York is 7-6 on the road.
— under 8-2 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 2-24
— record in first 5 innings: 10-11-3

— Lopez is 1-2, 6.92 in three starts.
— Baltimore is 1-2 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-3
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2-1
— He is 4-0, 2.97 in six games (4 starts) vs New York.

— Orioles lost 14 of their last 21 games.
— Baltimore is 7-4 on the road, 3-10 at home.
— under is 7-1 in their last eight home games.
— scored run in first inning: 6-24
— record in first 5 innings: 9-11-4

Oakland (15-10) @ Tampa Bay (13-12)
— Bassitt is 2-0, 3.17 in his last three starts.
— A’s are 3-2 in his starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2
— He is 0-1, 1.86 in two games (1 start) vs Tampa Bay.

— A’s lost three of their last four games.
— Oakland won seven its last ten road games.
— Under is 9-3 in their last 12 games.
— scored run in first inning: 6-25
— record in first 5 innings: 11-10-4

— Yarbrough is 0-2, 5.27 in five games (3 starts).
— He allowed one run in 10.2 IP, in his last two games.
— They may/may not use an opener.
— He gave up five runs in 13.2 IP (1-0, 3.29), in three relief stints vs Oakland.

— Tampa Bay won three of its last five games.
— Rays are 6-7 at home.
— last five games stayed under
— scored run in first inning: 7-25
— record in first 5 innings: 10-9-6

Seattle (13-12) @ Houston (13-11)
— Kikuchi is 0-1, 5.70 in four starts.
— Seattle is 2-2 in his starts.
— over 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2-1
— He is 0-2, 6.46 in six starts vs Houston.

— Seattle lost five of its last six games.
— Seattle is 6-9 on the road.
— under 3-1 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 6-25
— record in first 5 innings: 8-15-2

— Garcia is 0-1, 4.00 in two starts.
— Astros are 0-2 in his starts.
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Seattle.

— Astros won six of their last seven games.
— Astros are 7-6 at home.
— over 6-3 last nine home games
— scored run in first inning: 5-24
— record in first 5 innings: 11-10-3

Boston (16-9) @ Texas (10-15)
— Perez is 0-1, 5.71 in four starts.
— Red Sox are 3-1 in his starts.
— over 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 3-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2-1
— He is 1-0, 4.91 in two starts vs Texas.

— Boston is 4-1 in its last five games.
— Red Sox are 8-1 on the road.
— under last three games
— scored run in first inning: 6-25
— record in first 5 innings: 10-10-5

— Gibson is 2-0, 0.86 in his last three starts.
— Texas is 3-1 in his starts.
— under 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1-1
— He is 2-4, 3.63 in seven starts vs Boston.

— Texas lost six of its last eight games.
— Texas is 4-8 at home.
— under 9-3 at home.
— scored run in first inning: 7-25
— record in first 5 innings: 11-11-3

Detroit (8-16) @ White Sox (12-10)
— Mize is 1-2, 5.23 in four starts.
— Detroit is 2-2 in his starts.
— under 4-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2
— He is 0-0, 4.66 in two starts against the White Sox.

— Boyd is 2-2, 2.08 in five starts.
— Detroit is 2-3 in his starts.
— under 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2
— He is 4-8, 5.16 in 16 starts against the White Sox.

— Detroit lost 10 of its last 12 games.
— Detroit is 4-7 on the road.
— under 10-1 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 2-11 on road
— record in first 5 innings: 3-8 on road

— Rodon is 3-0, 0.95 in three starts.
— Chicago is 3-0 in his starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 3-0
— He is 2-2, 6.82 in six starts vs Detroit.

— Cease is 0-0, 4.15 in four starts.
— Chicago is 1-3 in his starts.
— over 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1-2
— He is 5-0, 2.86 in five starts vs Detroit.

— Chicago won six of its last eight games.
— White Sox are 6-4 at home.
— under 7-3 at home.
— scored run in first inning: 8-22
— record in first 5 innings: 15-2-5

**Udog** · 04-29-2021, 08:36 AM

MLB

Thursday, April 29

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY Yankees @ Baltimore
NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Yankees's last 8 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Baltimore's last 8 games at home

Oakland @ Tampa Bay
Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oakland's last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games at home

Philadelphia @ St. Louis
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing St. Louis
St. Louis
St. Louis is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of St. Louis's last 7 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

Seattle @ Houston
Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
Seattle is 14-4 ATS in its last 18 games
Houston
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
Houston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

Detroit @ Chi White Sox
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Detroit
Chi White Sox is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Detroit

Chi Cubs @ Atlanta
Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs

LA Dodgers @ Milwaukee
LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Dodgers's last 8 games when playing Milwaukee
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 8 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games at home

Boston @ Texas
Boston
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Boston is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Texas's last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas's last 6 games when playing Boston

Detroit @ Chi White Sox
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Detroit
Chi White Sox is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Detroit

Colorado @ Arizona
Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games on the road
Arizona
Arizona is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Arizona's last 10 games at home

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 04-29-2021, 08:38 AM

951PHILADELPHIA -952 ST LOUIS
ST LOUIS are 243-206 SU (81.3 Units) in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start since 1996.

953CHICAGO CUBS -954 ATLANTA
ATLANTA is 5-16 SU (-12.6 Units) after a game they hit 4 or more home runs in the last 3 seasons.

955LA DODGERS -956 MILWAUKEE
MILWAUKEE is 0-11 SU (-12.1 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive overs in the last 3 seasons.

957COLORADO -958 ARIZONA
COLORADO is 10-27 SU (-22 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start in the last 3 seasons.

959NY YANKEES -960 BALTIMORE
BALTIMORE is 4-14 SU (-12.3 Units) vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the current season.

961OAKLAND -962 TAMPA BAY
TAMPA BAY is 11-3 SU (9.1 Units) vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better in the current season.

963SEATTLE -964 HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 137-102 SU (24.8 Units) off 2 straight home wins against division rivals since 1996.

965BOSTON -966 TEXAS
BOSTON is 9-0 SU (9 Units) in road games in all games in the current season.

965BOSTON -966 TEXAS
BOSTON is 9-0 SU (9.3 Units) vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the current season.

969DETROIT -970 CHI WHITE SOX
DETROIT is 7-0 SU (7 Units) in road games as an underdog of +200 or more over the last 2 seasons.

**Udog** · 04-29-2021, 11:53 AM

Diamond Trends for Thursday April 29
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Boston at Texas (8:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Red Sox are 13-0 SU since Aug 01, 2017 as a favorite off a game as a dog in which Rafael Devers had multiple hits.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Seattle at Houston (2:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Astros are 0-6 SU since Sep 23, 2020 in the last game of a series as a favorite when playing a team that has a worse record.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: N.Y. Yankees at Baltimore (1:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Orioles are 8-0-1 OU (2.39 ppg) since Sep 08, 2019 at home off a home loss by 5+ runs.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Colorado at Arizona (9:40 p.m. ET)

-- The Rockies are 0-10 SU since Jun 23, 2019 when Antonio Senzatela starts as a road dog when their bullpen gave up runs in each of their last two games.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

Announcement

Thursday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 4/29

Thursday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 4/29

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment