Announcement

**Udog** · 04-28-2021, 07:36 AM

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

States with the biggest (legal) sports betting handles in March:
$860M— New Jersey
$641M— Nevada
$560M— Pennsylvania
$384M— Michigan
$317M— Indiana
$301M— Colorado
Americans who have died from COVID-19: 572,201
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

**********

Armadillo: Wednesday's Den: Mid-week musings

13) Julius Erving listed his top two all-time NBA teams; they raised some eyebrows.
1st team:
— Oscar Robertson, Jerry West, Elgin Baylor, Bill Russell, Wilt Chamberlain

2nd team:
— Magic Johnson, Michael Jordan, Larry Bird, Karl Malone, Kareem Abdul-Jabbar

Again, this is Julius Erving saying this, not me. We all have our own opinions.

12) Indians 7, Twins 4:
— Minnesota was 36-24 last year; they’re 7-15 this year.
— Twins are 0-7 in one-run games, 0-5 in extra innings.
— Franmil Reyes hit two homers for Cleveland.

11) Dodgers’ 1B Max Muncy had a stretch over the weekend where he reached base nine out of ten times, but problem is, he didn’t have any hits in that span, just 8 walks and a HBP.

In his last nine games, Muncy is 1-26, with 12 walks.

10) These Kentucky Derby notes are from ESPN’s Chris Fallica:
— Last time a horse won the Kentucky Derby from the #14 post? 1961 (Carry Back)
— Since then, eight horses from the 14-post have been top three betting choices.
— Last five years, the 14-post has been a top-4 betting choice all five years, but only one of those horses cracked the trifecta.

9) Dallas 133, Golden State 103
— Mavericks ended the first quarter on a 25-0 run.
— Dallas made 18-35 shots behind the arc.
— Apparently Golden State had been playing better since they stopped practicing; their last practice was April 8, but they got squashed in this game.

8) 38-year old Arthur Smith is the Atlanta Falcons’ new head coach; his father is the guy who founded FedEx. The younger Smith played college football at North Carolina, was recently the offensive coordinator for the Tennessee Titans.

7) Blue Jays 9, Nationals 5:
— Vladimir Guerrero Jr becomes youngest player in MLB history with a 3-HR, 7 RBI game.

6) Baseball stuff:
— Bronx Bombers acquired LHP Wandy Peralta and a player to be named later from San Francisco Giants in exchange for OF Mike Tauchman.
— Reliever Jerry Blevins retired after a 13-year career, spent with four teams.

5) 29-year old Drew Valentine is the new basketball coach at Loyola Chi, replacing Porter Moser, who bolted to Oklahoma. Valentine graduated from college only eight years ago.

4) NHL is going to get a lot more exposure, with NBC Sports Network going off the air this summer. NHL has new deals with ESPN/Turner; will Charles Barkley give his hockey picks before games?

3) 529 different players have played in at least one NBA game this season.

2) There is going to be a 6-team baseball draft league, leading up to July’s amateur draft, with all six managers being former major league players. Amateur players who are hoping to be drafted will play ball; I’m assuming they’ll use wooden bats, which they don’t use in college.

Baseball draft has traditionally been the first week in June, with the short season leagues getting underway couple weeks later, but those leagues are out of business now, as MLB took over the minor leagues, starting this season.

1) If you’ve hit more sacrifice flies than you’ve been walked/hit bye pitch, then your on-base %age will actually be lower than your batting average. Sacrifice bunts don’t count as at-bats, but sacrifice flies do.

**Udog** · 04-28-2021, 07:41 AM

MLB
Weather Report

Wednesday, April 28

**Udog** · 04-28-2021, 07:47 AM

901MIAMI -902 MILWAUKEE
MIAMI is 20-2 SU (17.6 Units) in road games vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons.

903CINCINNATI -904 LA DODGERS
LA DODGERS are 33-20 SU (13 Units) vs. good fielding teams - averaging <=0.6 errors/game over the last 2 seasons.

905CHICAGO CUBS -906 ATLANTA
ATLANTA is 0-10 SU (-10.2 Units) in home games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse in the current season.

907PHILADELPHIA -908 ST LOUIS
ST LOUIS are 24-16 SU (6.4 Units) in home games when the total is 9 to 9.5 in the last 3 seasons.

909SAN DIEGO -910 ARIZONA
ARIZONA is 37-21 SU (19.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the last 3 seasons.

911COLORADO -912 SAN FRANCISCO
SAN FRANCISCO is 26-14 SU (15.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

911COLORADO -912 SAN FRANCISCO
GABE KAPLER is 26-14 SU (10.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record (Coach of SAN FRANCISCO)

913MINNESOTA -914 CLEVELAND
MINNESOTA is 3-13 SU (-11.8 Units) vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the current season.

915NY YANKEES -916 BALTIMORE
NY YANKEES are 1-11 SU (-11.9 Units) in road games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) over the last 2 seasons.

917OAKLAND -918 TAMPA BAY
TAMPA BAY is 334-279 SU (27.1 Units) in home games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games since 1996.

**Udog** · 04-28-2021, 07:52 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Wednesday, April 28

**Udog** · 04-28-2021, 07:55 AM

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, April 28

NL games
Cubs (10-13) @ Atlanta (11-12)
— Hendricks is 1-2, 5.68 in four starts.
— Cubs are 1-3 in his starts.
— under 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2-1
— He is 1-2, 4.55 in six games (5 starts) vs Atlanta.

— Cubs lost their last four games.
— Chicago is 2-6 on road.
— 15 of last 22 games stayed under the total.
— scored run in first inning: 6-23
— record in first 5 innings: 9-12-2

— Ynoa is 0-1, 4.20 in three starts.
— Braves are 1-2 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1-1
— He gave up 6 runs in four IP, in one start vs Chicago.

— Braves won four of their last six games.
— Atlanta is 6-6 at home.
— Over is 9-3 in their home games.
— scored run in first inning: 8-23
— record in first 5 innings: 9-9-5

Miami (10-13) @ Milwaukee (14-9)
— Alcantara is 0-2, 3.64 in five starts.
— Miami is 2-3 in his starts.
— under 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-1
— He is 1-0, 3.60 3 games (1 start) vs Milwaukee.

— Marlins lost six of their last nine games.
— Miami is 5-7 on the road.
— over 3-1-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 7-23
— record in first 5 innings: 8-10-5

— Milwaukee hasn’t named a starter.

— Brewers won 13 of their last 19 games.
— Milwaukee is 5-6 at home.
— under 8-4-1 last 13 games.
— scored run in first inning: 7-23
— record in first 5 innings: 11-8-4

Philadelphia (11-12) @ St Louis (12-11)
— Velasquez allowed two runs in four IP (67 PT) in his first ’21 start
— He is in MLB starts.
— He is 1-2, 5.04 in five games (4 starts) vs St Louis.

— Phillies lost 11 of their last 16 games.
— Phillies are 3-8 on road.
— under 5-2 last seven road games.
— scored run in first inning: 8-23
— record in first 5 innings: 7-11-5

— Oviedo is making his first ’21 start.
— He was 0-3, 5.47 in three starts LY.
— He is making his first start vs Philly.

— Cardinals won four of their last five games.
— St Louis won five of last seven home games.
— Under 6-2-1 last nine games.
— scored run in first inning: 6-23
— record in first 5 innings: 9-10-4

San Diego (13-12) @ Arizona (12-11)
— Weathers threw 9.1 scoreless IP in two starts, both vs LA.
— Those are his only two MLB starts.
— He threw 3 scoreless innings in a relief stint vs Arizona.

— Padres won three of last five games.
— San Diego is 8-4 on the road.
— three of last four games went over
— scored run in first inning: 6-25
— record in first 5 innings: 8-14-3

— Weaver is 1-2, 4.75 in four starts.
— Arizona is 2-2 in his starts
— under 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3
— He is 2-5, 3.79 in eight starts vs San Diego.

— Arizona won seven of its last eight games.
— Arizona is 3-3 at home.
— over 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 5-23
— record in first 5 innings: 12-10-1

Colorado (9-14) @ San Francisco (15-9)
— Marquez is 1-1, 3.45 in five starts.
— Colorado is 3-2 in his starts.
— over 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1-1
— He is 4-5, 5.46 in 11 starts vs San Francisco, 3-4, 4.50 in 8 starts here.

— Colorado won six of its last nine games.
— Rockies are 1-7 on the road.
— Under 5-3 on the road.
— scored run in first inning: 7-23
— record in first 5 innings: 10-9-4

— Wood allowed one run in 12 IP in two starts, both vs Miami.
— Giants are 2-0 in his starts.
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0
— He is 4-3, 6.52 in 15 games (12 starts) vs Colorado.

— Giants are 12-6 in their last 18 games.
— Giants are 9-3 at home.
— Under is 14-7-1 in their last 22 games.
— scored run in first inning: 5-24
— record in first 5 innings: 13-8-3

Cincinnati (11-12) @ Dodgers (15-9)
— Gray is 0-1, 7.88 in two starts.
— Reds are 1-1 in his starts.
— over 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— you’re reading ***************.com
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2
— He is 1-1, 1.80 in two starts vs Los Angeles.

— Cincinnati lost 11 of its last 16 games.
— Reds are 7-5 at home, 4-7 on road.
— Over 8-2-1 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 6-23
— record in first 5 innings: 10-11-2

— Kershaw is 2-1, 1.38 in his last four starts.
— Dodgers are 3-2 in his starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2
— He is 3-2, 2.54 in 11 starts vs Cincinnati.

— Dodgers lost seven of their last nine games.
— Dodgers are 7-5 at home.
— over 5-0 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 7-24
— record in first 5 innings: 12-8-4

AL games
Minnesota (7-15) @ Cleveland (11-11)
— Happ is 1-0, 1.69 in three starts.
— Twins are 1-2 in his starts.
— under 3-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1-1
— He is 3-2, 4.19 in seven games (6 starts) vs Cleveland.

— Twins lost 13 of their last 15 games.
— Minnesota lost its last six road games.
— over 4-1-1 last six road games
— scores run in first inning: 9-22
— record in first 5 innings: 7-10-5

— Allen gave up nine runs in 4.1 IP, in his last two starts.
— Indians are 1-3 when he starts.
— under 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3
— He hasn’t pitched against Minnesota.

— Cleveland won their last three games.
— Indians are 7-5 at home.
— over 5-2-1 last eight games
— scores run in first inning: 6-22
— record in first 5 innings: 6-13-3

Bronx (10-13) @ Baltimore (10-13)
— German is 1-2, 6.92 in three starts.
— New York is 1-2 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-3
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2-1
— He is 4-0, 2.97 in six games (4 starts) vs Baltimore.

— New York won five of its last eight games.
— New York is 6-6 on the road.
— under 7-2 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 2-23
— record in first 5 innings: 9-11-3

— Orioles haven’t named a starter.

— Orioles lost 13 of their last 20 games.
— Baltimore is 7-4 on the road, 3-9 at home.
— under is 6-1 in their last seven home games.
— scored run in first inning: 6-23
— record in first 5 innings: 9-10-4

Oakland (15-9) @ Tampa Bay (12-12)
— Irvin is 2-2, 3.86 in four starts.
— A’s are 2-2 in his starts.
— under 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Tampa Bay.

— A’s won 14 of their last 16 games.
— Oakland won seven its last nine road games.
— Under is 8-3 in their last 11 games.
— scored run in first inning: 6-24
— record in first 5 innings: 11-9-4

— Glasnow is 2-1, 2.95 in his last three starts.
— Rays are 3-2 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Oakland.

— Tampa Bay lost four of its last six games.
— Rays are 5-7 at home.
— last four games stayed under
— scored run in first inning: 7-24
— record in first 5 innings: 9-9-6

Angels (11-11) @ Texas (10-14)
— Cobb is 1-0, 6.91 in three starts.
— Angels are 2-1 in his starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1-1
— He is 1-1, 2.90 in six starts vs Texas.

— Halos are 5-9 in last 14 games overall.
— Angels lost seven of last ten road games.
— over 7-3 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 5-22
— record in first 5 innings: 10-10-2

— Dunning is 1-0, 3.06 in four starts (18 IP).
— Texas is 1-3 in his starts.
— under 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against the Angels.

— Texas lost five of its last seven games.
— Texas is 4-7 at home.
— under 8-3 at home.
— scored run in first inning: 6-24
— record in first 5 innings: 11-10-3

Detroit (8-16) @ White Sox (12-10)
— Mize is 1-2, 5.23 in four starts.
— Detroit is 2-2 in his starts.
— under 4-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2
— He is 0-0, 4.66 in two starts against the White Sox.

— Detroit lost 10 of its last 12 games.
— Detroit is 4-7 on the road.
— under 10-1 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 2-11 on road
— record in first 5 innings: 3-8 on road

— Rodon is 3-0, 0.95 in three starts.
— Chicago is 3-0 in his starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 3-0
— He is 2-2, 6.82 in six starts vs Detroit.

— Chicago won six of its last eight games.
— White Sox are 6-4 at home.
— under 7-3 at home.
— scored run in first inning: 8-22
— record in first 5 innings: 15-2-5

Seattle (13-11) @ Houston (12-11)
— Dunn is 1-0, 3.68 in three starts.
— Seattle is 3-0 in his starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2
— He threw two scoreless innings, in his one start vs Houston.

— Seattle lost four of its last five games.
— Seattle is 6-7 on the road.
— under last three games
— scored run in first inning: 6-24
— record in first 5 innings: 7-15-2

— Greinke is 2-1, 2.76 in five starts.
— Astros are 4-1 in his starts.
— under 3-1 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-1
— He is 8-2, 2.09 in 17 games (15 starts) vs Seattle.

— Astros won five of their last six games.
— Astros are 6-6 at home.
— over 5-3 last eight home games
— scored run in first inning: 5-23
— record in first 5 innings: 11-9-3

Interleague games
Kansas City (14-8) @ Pittsburgh (12-11)
— Minor is 2-1, 4.64 in four starts.
— Royals are 3-1 in his starts.
— under 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2-1
— He is 0-1, 5.00 in three starts against Pittsburgh.

— Royals are 14-8 in their first 22 games.
— Royals are 6-3 on the road.
— 15 of last 19 games under
— scores run in first inning: 3-22
— record in first 5 innings: 10-8-4

— Keller is 1-2, 7.16 in four starts.
— Pirates are 2-2 in his starts.
— under 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 3-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2-1
— He hasn’t pitched against the Royals.

— Pirates won four of their last five games.
— Pittsburgh is 5-3 at home.
— under 4-1-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 7-23
— record in first 5 innings: 10-9-4

Washington (8-12) @ Toronto (11-11)
— Fedde is 1-1, 3.07 in his last three starts (14.2 IP).
— Washington split his four starts.
— under 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2-1
— He gave up 2 runs in 3.1 IP, in his one start vs Toronto.

— Washington is 3-5 in its last eight games.
— Nationals are 3-7 on the road.
— under 12-5-1 last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 6-20
— record in first 5 innings: 4-10-6

— Matz is 4-0, 2.31 in his first four starts.
— Toronto is 4-0 in his starts.
— under 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-4
— record in first 5 innings: 4-0
— He is 1-7, 4.83 in 15 games (14 starts) vs Washington.

— Toronto won four of its last five games.
— Toronto is 4-3 at home in Florida.
— under 15-7
— scored run in first inning: 8-22
— record in first 5 innings: 10-10-2

Boston (15-9) @ Mets (9-9)
— Pivetta is 2-0, 3.48 in four starts.
— Red Sox are 3-1 in his starts.
— over 4-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 3-0-1
— He is 3-2, 6.08 in eight games (7 starts) against the Mets.

— Boston is 3-1 in its last four games.
— Red Sox are 7-1 on the road.
— over 3-2 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 6-24
— record in first 5 innings: 9-10-5

— deGrom is 2-1, 1.24 in four starts.
— Mets are 2-2 in his starts.
— under 2-1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2
— He is 0-1, 3.32 in three starts vs Boston.

— Mets lost six of their last nine games.
— Mets are 6-3 at home.
— Under 7-1-1 at home.
— scored run in first inning: 4-18
— record in first 5 innings: 9-8-1

**Udog** · 04-28-2021, 12:13 PM

Diamond Trends for Wednesday April 28
Vince Akins

SU Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Boston at N.Y. Mets (6:40 p.m. ET)

-- The Red Sox are 13-0 SU since Aug 29, 2014 as a road dog of at least +140 off a game as a dog in which they left fewer than 10 men on base.

SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Cincinnati at L.A. Dodgers (4:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Reds are 0-16 SU since May 25, 2011 coming off a game as a road dog where they scored first, then trailed and came back to win.

OU Trend of the Day
Matchup: Minnesota at Cleveland (1:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Twins are 0-12 OU (-2.42 ppg) since Jun 23, 2019 past the first game of a series as a favorite off a game as a favorite in which they allowed 5+ walks.

Starter-Based Trend of the Day
Matchup: Colorado at San Francisco (9:45 p.m. ET)

-- The Rockies are 0-10 SU since Aug 03, 2018 when German Marquez starts on the road when they won as an home favorite in his last start.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

Announcement

Wednesday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 4/28

Wednesday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 4/28

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