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  • Monday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 4/26

    Trends and Indexes

    Monday, April 26

    Good Luck on day #116 of 2021!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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    -------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  • #2
    Go for it now. The future is promised to no one.

    Comment


    • #3
      Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

      Major league leaders in slugging %age (min 30 ABs):
      .804— Mike Trout, LAA
      .786— Ronald Acuna, Atl
      .753— JD Martinez, Bos
      .694— Nelson Cruz, Minn
      .667— Jesse Winker, Cinn
      .662— Shohei Ohtani, LAA
      Americans who have died from COVID-19: 570,987
      PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


      **********

      Armadillo: Monday's Den: Wrapping up a sports weekend

      13) Hitting is more difficult now because batters seldom face the same pitcher three times in a game; after the 5th inning, they generally see a different pitcher in every at-bat.

      In his Hall of Fame career, Mickey Mantle faced the same pitchers a lot more than guys do these days. Fewer teams, no interleague play, and starting pitchers lasted longer in games.

      Mantle faced these four pitchers the most:
      198 times— Billy Pierce
      161— Early Wynn
      138— Frank Lary
      128— Camilo Pascual

      By way of comparison, in his 10-year career, Manny Machado has faced these pitchers the most:
      56— CC Sabathia
      52— Chris Archer
      48— Jake Odorizzi
      41— David Price

      See what I mean?

      12) Arizona 5-7, Atlanta 0-0:
      — Tough day for the Braves, who got one hit in 14 innings.
      — Madison Bumgarner threw a 7-inning no-hitter; the only runner reached on an error.

      Three no-hitters already this season; there were no walks in those no-hitters.

      11) Padres 8, Dodgers 7 (11):
      — LA led this game 7-1 after six innings; over the last 50 years, teams that led by 6+ runs from the 7th inning on are 11-13,547. Seriously, 11 wins, 13,547 losses.
      — Max Muncy walked five times, first Dodger to do that since Greg Brock in 1983.

      10) In his three starts since tossing a no-hitter, San Diego’s Joe Musgrove has pitched only 14 innings. Padres need more innings out of their starting pitchers.

      9) There were 68 extra inning games last year, under the new extra-inning rule; 47 of the 68 games ended in the 10th inning, which is what MLB wants.

      8) Fernando Tatis Jr hit five homers in his last three games; I was playing against him in our fantasy league, so that made me queasy, but the good guys won. Tatis is hitting .246 with 7 homers, but he was explosive this weekend, for sure.

      Obscure trivia: Last major leaguer to hit 2+ homers in three consecutive games was Jeff DaVanon of the Angels, in 2003.

      Weird thing is, he hit only 33 career homers in eight years.

      7) Read something on the Interweb this weekend where David Wells said that throwing a no-hitter was a profitable thing, even after he retired.

      Wells said that he banked $300,000 or so a year, doing appearances with Don Larsen and David Cone, other New York pitchers who threw no-hitters. That dried up after 15 years or so, but still a pretty good deal.

      6) White Sox TV guys have been raving over hitting sensation Yermin Mercedes, who is batting .414 in 19 games this season, but they were stressing out Sunday over Mercedes’ tendency to slide head-first into first base, converged that he’s going to hurt one of his hands.

      5) Tampa Bay TV guys were laughing on air about the unpredictability of how the Rays handle their pitchers.

      Sunday, 21-year old sensation Luis Patino looked great in his MLB debut, but was removed after 42 pitches- looks like they’re going to let him go thru the lineup once, then take him out.

      Then they put Josh Fleming in; he gets two turns thru the lineup, no matter how well he is doing. Tampa Bay wins a lot of games on a short budget and they do it in a unique way, but it is a little funny that their own TV guys can’t figure it out beforehand.

      4) Penn State poached PG Jalen Pickett away from Siena; Pickett played 76 games in three years for Siena, which went 38-16 in MAAC games during that time, but there is a pretty big leap from the MAAC to the Big 14. We’ll see how this works out for him.

      3) Sign of the times; You can buy a Dr Fauci action figure online, for $20.

      2) Wizards 119, Cavaliers 110— Washington has won eight games in a row, is now the #10 seed in the Eastern Conference. They could be a tough out in the playoffs.

      1) If the baseball playoffs started today (they don’t):
      NL: Mets, Brewers, Dodgers. Wild Card: Padres @ Giants
      AL: Red Sox, Royals, A’s. Wild Card: White Sox @ Mariners

      Comment


      • #4
        901CHICAGO CUBS -902 ATLANTA
        CHICAGO CUBS are 30-50 SU (-25 Units) on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 in the last 3 seasons.

        903MIAMI -904 MILWAUKEE
        MIAMI is 18-2 SU (15.6 Units) in road games vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons.

        905PHILADELPHIA -906 ST LOUIS
        ST LOUIS are 420-422 SU (66.5 Units) in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better since 1996.

        907COLORADO -908 SAN FRANCISCO
        SAN FRANCISCO is 25-13 SU (15.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

        907COLORADO -908 SAN FRANCISCO
        GABE KAPLER is 25-13 SU (10.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record (Coach of SAN FRANCISCO)

        909CINCINNATI -910 LA DODGERS
        LA DODGERS are 102-75 SU (19.5 Units) against right-handed starters in the last 3 seasons.

        911KANSAS CITY -912 DETROIT
        DETROIT is 27-55 SU (-33.5 Units) in home games when the total is 8.5 to 10 in the last 3 seasons.

        913MINNESOTA -914 CLEVELAND
        CLEVELAND is 91-64 SU (22.3 Units) vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the last 3 seasons.

        915NY YANKEES -916 BALTIMORE
        BALTIMORE is 0-9 SU (-10.8 Units) in home games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the current season.

        917OAKLAND -918 TAMPA BAY
        OAKLAND is 11-3 SU (9.8 Units) vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the current season.

        Comment


        • #5
          MLB
          Weather Report

          Monday, April 26


          Comment


          • #6
            MLB
            Dunkel

            Monday, April 26


            Comment


            • #7
              MLB
              Armadillo's Write-Up

              Monday, April 26


              NL games
              Cubs (10-11) @ Atlanta (9-12)

              — Davies is 1-2, 8.80 in four starts.
              — Cubs are 2-2 in his starts.
              — under 2-2
              — allowed run in first inning: 1-4
              — record in first 5 innings: 2-2
              — He is 1-1, 3.50 in three starts vs Atlanta.

              — Cubs won four of their last six games.
              — Chicago is 2-4 on road.
              — 14 of last 20 games stayed under the total.
              — scored run in first inning: 6-21
              — record in first 5 innings: 9-10-2

              — Morton is 1-1, 3.91 in four starts.
              — Braves are 1-3 in his starts.
              — over 2-2
              — allowed run in first inning: 0-4
              — record in first 5 innings: 1-2-1
              — He 3-6, 5.05 in 14 starts vs Chicago.

              — Braves are 3-4 in their last seven games.
              — They scored no runs, had one hit Sunday’s twinbill.
              — Atlanta is 4-6 at home.
              — Over is 8-2 in their home games.
              — scored run in first inning: 7-21
              — record in first 5 innings: 7-9-5

              Miami (9-12) @ Milwaukee (13-8)
              — Rogers is 2-0, 1.00 in his last three starts.
              — Miami is 2-2 in his starts.
              — under 3-1
              — allowed run in first inning: 0-4
              — record in first 5 innings: 3-1
              — He hasn’t pitched against Milwaukee.

              — Marlins lost five of their last seven games.
              — Miami is 4-6 on the road.
              — under 5-3-1 last nine games
              — scored run in first inning: 6-21
              — record in first 5 innings: 7-9-5

              — Burnes has allowed one run in 24.1 IP in four starts.
              — Milwaukee is somehow only 2-2 in his starts.
              — under 3-0-1
              — allowed run in first inning: 0-4
              — record in first 5 innings: 3-0-1
              — He gave up 3 runs (1 earned) in 2.2 IP, in two relief stints vs Miami.

              — Brewers won 12 of their last 17 games.
              — Milwaukee is 4-5 at home.
              — under 8-2-1 last 11 games.
              — scored run in first inning: 7-21
              — record in first 5 innings: 10-7-4

              Philadelphia (10-11) @ St Louis (11-10)
              — Wheeler is 0-2, 5.40 in his last three starts.
              — Phillies are 1-3 in his starts.
              — over 2-2
              — allowed run in first inning: 1-4
              — record in first 5 innings: 2-2
              — He is 0-2, 5.87 in three starts vs St Louis.

              — Phillies lost 10 of their last 14 games.
              — Phillies are 2-7 on road.
              — 12 of last 18 games went over.
              — scored run in first inning: 7-21
              — record in first 5 innings: 7-10-4

              — Wainwright is 0-1, 3.18 in his last three starts.
              — Cardinals are 1-3 in his starts.
              — under 3-1
              — allowed run in first inning: 0-4
              — record in first 5 innings: 0-3-1
              — He is 7-3, 3.10 in 16 games (14 starts) vs St Louis.

              — Cardinals won their last three games.
              — St Louis won four of last five at home.
              — Under 4-2-1 last seven games.
              — scored run in first inning: 5-21
              — record in first 5 innings: 8-10-3

              Colorado (8-13) @ San Francisco (14-8)
              — Gomber is 1-1,, 3.44 in his last three starts.
              — Colorado is 1-3 in his starts.
              — under 3-1
              — allowed run in first inning: 1-4
              — record in first 5 innings: 1-2-1
              — He gave up one hit, two runs in 6.1 IP, in his one start vs San Francisco.

              — Colorado won five of its last seven games.
              — Rockies are 0-6 on the road.
              — Under 5-1 on the road.
              — scored run in first inning: 6-21
              — record in first 5 innings: 10-7-4

              — DeSclafani is 1-0, 2.14 in his four starts.
              — Giants are 2-2 in his starts.
              — under 3-1
              — allowed run in first inning: 0-4
              — record in first 5 innings: 2-1-1
              — He is 2-1, 3.13 in four starts vs Colorado.

              — Giants are 11-5 in their last 16 games.
              — Giants are 8-2 at home.
              — Under is 14-5-1 in their last 20 games.
              — scored run in first inning: 3-22
              — record in first 5 innings: 11-8-3

              Cincinnati (9-12) @ Dodgers (15-7)
              — Mahle is 1-1, 2.18 in his four starts.
              — Reds are 2-2 in his starts.
              — over 3-1
              — allowed run in first inning: 0-4
              — you’re reading ***************.com
              — record in first 5 innings: 3-1
              — He is 2-1, 2.12 in three starts vs Los Angeles.

              — Cincinnati lost seven in row, 11 of its last 14 games.
              — Reds are 7-5 at home, 2-7 on road.
              — Over 6-2-1 last nine games
              — scored run in first inning: 5-21
              — record in first 5 innings: 9-11-1

              — Urias is 3-0, 3.16 in his first four starts.
              — Dodgers are 4-0 in his starts.
              — under 2-2
              — allowed run in first inning: 2-4
              — record in first 5 innings: 4-0
              — He threw six shutout innings, in his one start vs Cincinnati.

              — Dodgers lost five of their last seven games.
              — Dodgers are 7-3 at home.
              — under 11-6 last 17 games
              — scored run in first inning: 7-22
              — record in first 5 innings: 12-7-3

              AL games
              Kansas City (13-7) @ Detroit (7-15)

              — Keller is 1-2, 12.00 in four starts.
              — Royals are 2-2 in his starts.
              — under 2-2
              — allowed run in first inning: 3-4
              — record in first 5 innings: 2-2
              — He is 3-3, 2.83 in 10 games (6 starts) vs Detroit.

              — Royals are 13-7 in their first 20 games.
              — Royals are 5-2 on the road.
              — 13 of last 17 games under
              — scores run in first inning: 3-20
              — record in first 5 innings: 9-8-3

              — Turnbull allowed one run in five IP (62 PT) in his first start.
              — Detroit is 1-0 in his starts.
              — over 1-0
              — allowed run in first inning: 1-1
              — record in first 5 innings: 1-0
              — He is 0-2, 3.27 in six starts vs Kansas City.

              — Detroit lost 12 of its last 16 games.
              — Detroit is 4-8 at home.
              — under 9-3 at home
              — scored run in first inning: 3-12 at home
              — record in first 5 innings: 6-5-1 at home

              Minnesota (7-13) @ Cleveland (9-11)
              — Berrios is 2-2, 3.00 in four starts.
              — Twins are 2-2 in his starts.
              — over 2-2
              — allowed run in first inning: 0-4
              — record in first 5 innings: 1-2-1
              — He is 5-3, 3.96 in 13 starts vs Cleveland.

              — Twins lost 11 of their last 13 games.
              — Minnesota lost its last four road games.
              — over 3-1 last four road games
              — scores run in first inning: 8-20
              — record in first 5 innings: 7-9-4

              — Plesac allowed 12 runs in 5.2 IP in his last two starts.
              — Indians are 1-3 when he starts.
              — under 2-2
              — allowed run in first inning: 2-4
              — record in first 5 innings: 1-3
              — He allowed five runs in 7 IP, in his one start vs Minnesota.

              — Cleveland lost seven of their last ten games.
              — Indians are 5-5 at home.
              — under 13-7
              — scores run in first inning: 5-20
              — record in first 5 innings: 6-12-2

              Bronx (9-12) @ Baltimore (9-12)
              — Garcia is making his first ’21 start.
              — He was 3-2, 4.98 in six starts as a rookie LY.
              — He gave up four runs in 4.2 IP in his one start vs Baltimore.

              — New York won four of its last six games.
              — New York is 5-5 on the road.
              — under 5-2 last seven games
              — scored run in first inning: 1-21
              — record in first 5 innings: 8-10-3

              — Harvey is 1-1, 5.12 in his first four starts.
              — Orioles split his four starts.
              — under 2-2
              — allowed run in first inning: 2-4
              — record in first 5 innings: 3-0-1
              — He is 1-0, 1.63 in four starts vs New York.

              — Orioles lost 12 of their last 18 games.
              — Baltimore is 7-4 on the road, 2-8 at home.
              — under is 4-1 in their last five home games.
              — scored run in first inning: 5-21
              — record in first 5 innings: 8-9-4

              Oakland (14-8) @ Tampa Bay (11-10)
              — Manaea is 2-0, 1.42 in his last three starts.
              — A’s are 3-1 in his starts.
              — over 3-1
              — allowed run in first inning: 1-4
              — record in first 5 innings: 2-1-1
              — He 1-1, 2.70 in three starts vs Tampa Bay.

              — A’s won 13 of their last 14 games.
              — All eight of their losses are by 4+ runs.
              — Oakland won six its last seven road games.
              — Under is 6-3 in their last nine games.
              — scored run in first inning: 6-22
              — record in first 5 innings: 10-9-3

              — Hill is 1-0, 8.82 in four starts.
              — Rays are 2-2 in his starts.
              — over 4-0
              — allowed run in first inning: 1-4
              — record in first 5 innings: 2-1-1
              — He is 1-1, 5.00 in six games (2 starts) vs Oakland.

              — Tampa Bay won six of its last nine games.
              — Rays are 4-6 at home.
              — 14 of last 21 games went over
              — scored run in first inning: 5-22
              — record in first 5 innings: 9-8-5

              Angels (10-10) @ Texas (9-13)
              — Ohtani is 0-0, 3.12 in two starts (8.2 IP).
              — Angels are 2-0 in his starts.
              — under 1-1
              — allowed run in first inning: 0-2
              — record in first 5 innings: 2-0
              — He threw 4 scoreless IP, in his one start vs Texas.

              — Halos are 4-8 in last 12 games overall.
              — Angels lost six of last eight road games.
              — over 6-2 last eight games
              — scored run in first inning: 4-20
              — record in first 5 innings: 9-9-2

              — Lyles is 1-1, 4.64 in four starts.
              — Texas is 2-2 in his starts.
              — over 2-1-1
              — allowed run in first inning: 0-4
              — record in first 5 innings: 3-1
              — He is 3-2, 5.22 in seven games (6 starts) against the Angels.

              — Texas lost four of its last five games.
              — Texas is 3-6 at home.
              — under 7-2 at home.
              — scored run in first inning: 4-22
              — record in first 5 innings: 10-9-3

              Seattle (13-9) @ Houston (10-11)
              — Sheffield is 1-1, 5.94 in three starts.
              — Seattle is 2-1 in his starts.
              — under 2-0-1
              — allowed run in first inning: 0-3
              — record in first 5 innings: 2-1
              — He gave up 2 runs in six IP in his one start vs Houston.

              — Seattle won seven of its last 11 games.
              — Seattle is 6-5 on the road.
              — over three of last four games
              — scored run in first inning: 6-22
              — record in first 5 innings: 7-13-2

              — Urquidy is 0-2, 5.14 in four starts.
              — Astros are 1-3 in his starts.
              — over 3-1
              — allowed run in first inning: 2-4
              — record in first 5 innings: 2-2
              — He is 0-0, 2.79 in two games (1 start) vs Seattle.

              — Astros lost 10 of their last 14 games.
              — Astros are 4-6 at home.
              — over 5-3 last eight home games
              — scored run in first inning: 4-21
              — record in first 5 innings: 9-9-3

              Comment


              • #8
                MLB

                Monday, April 26


                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                Trend Report
                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                Kansas City @ Detroit
                Kansas City
                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing Detroit
                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games on the road
                Detroit
                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City
                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Kansas City

                Minnesota @ Cleveland
                Minnesota
                Minnesota is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Cleveland
                The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Minnesota's last 10 games when playing Cleveland
                Cleveland
                Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
                The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cleveland's last 10 games when playing Minnesota

                NY Yankees @ Baltimore
                NY Yankees
                The total has gone OVER in 14 of NY Yankees's last 16 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
                NY Yankees is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
                Baltimore
                The total has gone OVER in 14 of Baltimore's last 16 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
                The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing NY Yankees

                Oakland @ Tampa Bay
                Oakland
                Oakland is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games
                Oakland is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
                Tampa Bay
                Tampa Bay is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
                The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games when playing Oakland

                Chi Cubs @ Atlanta
                Chi Cubs
                Chi Cubs is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
                Chi Cubs is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
                Atlanta
                The total has gone OVER in 11 of Atlanta's last 13 games at home
                Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs

                Miami @ Milwaukee
                Miami
                Miami is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
                The total has gone OVER in 11 of Miami's last 15 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
                Milwaukee
                Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami
                Milwaukee is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

                Philadelphia @ St. Louis
                Philadelphia
                The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
                Philadelphia is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing St. Louis
                St. Louis
                St. Louis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
                St. Louis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

                LA Angels @ Texas
                LA Angels
                The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games
                LA Angels is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
                Texas
                Texas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against LA Angels
                The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Texas's last 7 games at home

                Seattle @ Houston
                Seattle
                Seattle is 14-1 ATS in its last 15 games
                Seattle is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
                Houston
                Houston is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Seattle
                The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games at home

                Colorado @ San Francisco
                Colorado
                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games on the road
                Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
                San Francisco
                San Francisco is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
                San Francisco is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Colorado

                Cincinnati @ LA Dodgers
                Cincinnati
                Cincinnati is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
                The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
                LA Dodgers
                LA Dodgers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
                The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Dodgers's last 7 games when playing at home against Cincinnati


                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                Comment


                • #9
                  Diamond Trends for Monday April 26
                  Vince Akins

                  ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
                  Matchup: Seattle at Houston (8:10 p.m. ET)

                  -- The Mariners are 9-0 SU since Aug 21, 2020 after they drew 0-1 walks last game. Seattle was a dog in all 9 games.

                  ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
                  Matchup: Chicago Cubs at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. ET)

                  -- The Cubs are 0-14 SU since May 16, 2011 as a road dog of at least +140 after they were shutout last game.

                  OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
                  Matchup: Oakland at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. ET)

                  -- The Rays are 0-10 OU (-2.20 ppg) since Sep 02, 2020 when their starter went less than four innings in his last start.

                  OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
                  Matchup: Cincinnati at L.A. Dodgers (10:10 p.m. ET)

                  -- The Reds are 0-9 SU since Aug 02, 2018 when Tyler Mahle starts as a road dog when they lost in his last start.

                  Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

                  Comment

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