Monday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 4/19

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Monday, April 19

Good Luck on day #109 of 2021!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Either you run the day or the day runs you.

[Udog]

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Major league leaders in RBI:
18— JD Martinez, Bos
16— Acuna, Turner, Lowe
15— Tyler Naquin, Cin
14— Devers, Franco, Haniger, Hosmer,
13— McKinstry, Moran, Shaw, Walsh
12— Seven guys have knocked in 12 runs.

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 566,549
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


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Armadillo: Monday's Den: Wrapping up a sports weekend……

13) AL East standings:
10-6- Boston
8-8- Tampa Bay
7-9- Toronto
7-9- Baltimore
5-10- Bronx

Have to be some coaches in the Bronx who are queasy about their future employment; season is almost 10% over, and they’re scoring 3.67 runs/game.

For a team with an Opening Day payroll of $197,675,220, more is expected.

12) Russell Brandt writes an interesting article about football on espn.com; this week he told a story about the day Green Bay drafted Aaron Rodgers. Very interesting stuff.

NFL teams grade all players before the draft and assign them grades, as to which round they should be drafted in. For the 2005, the Packers had 20 players with first round grades, and they had the 24th pick. If no first round players are available, teams would look to trade out of the first roumd.

That year, when the 24th pick came around, only one player was available with a first round grade; Aaron Rodgers. Considering the Packers already had Brett Favre, this was a dilemma, but when no one called to ask about a trade, Green Bay drafted the player with the first round grade and things turned out pretty well.

11) NFL Draft is coming up in 10 days, so ESPN will obsess over that and the NBA and continue to ignore baseball, except on Sunday nights. Not sure why they do that, but they do.

10) I posted this yesterday:
Red Sox 7, White Sox 4:
— Boston wore bright yellow jerseys with light blue hats; they looked like a cross between UCLA and the Oakland Invaders of the old USFL. No idea what that was about, but if a team is known as the RED Sox, maybe they should have some red in there.

As it turns out, the jerseys represents the color scheme of the Boston Marathon, which is usually held on Patriots’ Day, which is today (Monday).

9) Mets 2, Rockies 1— Not sure what Colorado’s business plan is; they’re 4-12 this year, they dealt their biggest star (Nolan Arenado), will probably trade Trevor Story, their future isn’t very bright. Feel bad for manager Bud Black; he basically has zero chance to win with that roster.

Rockies have very good TV announcers; they’re going to spend lot of time pumping up Denver’s hosting the All-Star Game in July. Not much else to talk about.

8) In Denver, it is illegal to lend a vacuum to a next-door neighbor, but it’s perfectly okay to lend a vacuum to a friend down the street. No idea why, I’m just the messenger here.

7) This, from football expert Warren Sharp:
Over the last two years, the Cincinnati Bengals have held a lead at some point in 24 of their 32 games, but they won only six games of those 24 games. Not good.

6) Jay Bruce retired Sunday, ending his 14-year career in which he hit 319 homers.

5) They were talking about this on Sunday Night Baseball; over last decade, Cubs have developed only five pitchers who started a major league game, which is pretty bad. They made a priority of developing position players, and acquiring pitchers, via trades/free agency.

4) Indians 6, Reds 3— Shane Bieber is first pitcher ever to strike out 10+ guys in each of his first four starts of a season.

3) 47-year old Stewart Cink won the RBC Heritage golf tournament by four shots; his son was his caddy, which had to be cool.

Cink went 12 years without winning a PGA Tour event, before winning the Safeway Open last September; he had previously won this tournament twice, way back in 2000, 2004. Cink is also the fourth player to win twice in the same PGA Tour season after turning 47.

2) Most walk-off wins, since the start of the 2018 season:
28— A’s
22– Blue Jays
20— Braves, Brewers

Monday’s Oakland-Minnesota game has already been postponed, because of the Twins’ COVID issues; a doubleheader is scheduled Tuesday. Twins-Angels didn’t play Saturday or Sunday.

1) Braves 13, Cubs 4— Kyle Hendricks is first Cubs’ pitcher ever to give up four home runs in the first inning of a game.

[Udog]

MLB
Weather Report

Monday, April 19

[Udog]

951ST LOUIS -952 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 32-18 SU (16.4 Units) in home games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the last 3 seasons.

953SAN FRANCISCO -954 PHILADELPHIA
SAN FRANCISCO is 12-23 SU (-13.3 Units) against NL East opponents in the last 3 seasons.

955MILWAUKEE -956 SAN DIEGO
Jayce Tingler is 20-8 SU (11.2 Units) vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game (Coach of SAN DIEGO)

955MILWAUKEE -956 SAN DIEGO
SAN DIEGO is 20-8 SU (14 Units) vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons.

957CHI WHITE SOX -958 BOSTON
BOSTON is 11-0 SU (12.6 Units) vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse in the current season.

959TAMPA BAY -960 KANSAS CITY
TAMPA BAY is 628-649 SU (-177.5 Units) in road games with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) since 1996.

961TEXAS -962 LA ANGELS
TEXAS are 2-11 SU (-13.8 Units) in road games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 2 seasons.

963MINNESOTA -964 OAKLAND
MINNESOTA is 2-16 SU (-16.3 Units) in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

965LA DODGERS -966 SEATTLE
LA DODGERS are 22-11 SU (13.8 Units) vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better over the last 2 seasons.

[Udog]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, April 19

NL games
San Francisco (9-6) @ Philadelphia (8-7)
— Gausman is 1-0, 3.20 in three starts.
— Phillies are 2-1 in his starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1
— He is 0-3, 6.56 in five games (4 starts) vs Philly.

— Giants are 9-6 in their first 14 games.
— Giants are 4-5 on the road.
— 11 of last 13 games stayed under
— scored run in first inning: 2-15
— record in first 5 innings: 6-6-3

— Anderson is 0-1, 4.00 in his first two starts.
— Phillies are 0-2 in his starts.
— over 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2
— He is 3-2, 4.76 in nine starts vs San Francisco.

— Phillies lost six of their last nine games.
— Phillies are 7-2 at home, 1-5 on road.
— Eight of last 12 games went over.
— scored run in first inning: 6-14
— record in first 5 innings: 6-7-2

St Louis (7-8) @ Washington (5-8)
— Flaherty is 2-0, 0.82 in his last two starts.
— Cardinals won his first three starts.
— over 2-0-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0-1
— He is 1-0, 1.80 in two starts vs Washington.

— Cardinals lost six of their last eight games.
— St Louis is 5-4 on the road.
— Over 5-3-1 on road.
— scored run in first inning: 3-15
— record in first 5 innings: 4-9-2

— Ross threw 11 shutout innings in his first two starts.
— Nationals split those games.
— under 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0-1
— He is 3-0, 2.86 in six games (4 starts) vs St Louis.

— Washington won three of its last five games.
— Nationals are 3-4 at home.
— under 8-3 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 4-13
— record in first 5 innings: 2-6-5

Milwaukee (8-7) @ San Diego (10-7)
— Woodruff is 0-0, 2.12 in his first three starts.
— Milwaukee is 2-1 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1-1
— He is 0-1, 4.50 in three games (2 starts) vs San Diego.

— Brewers won seven of their last 11 games.
— Milwaukee is 4-2 on road.
— under 4-2 on road.
— scored run in first inning: 6-15
— record in first 5 innings: 7-5-3

— Musgrove is 1-0, 3.06 in his first three starts.
— Padres are 3-0 in his starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1-2
— He is 0-2, 6.14 in five starts vs Milwaukee.

— Padres lost four of their last six games.
— San Diego is 5-5 at home.
— 11 of last 16 games stayed under
— scored run in first inning: 4-17
— record in first 5 innings: 6-9-2

AL games
White Sox (8-8) @ Boston (10-6)
— Giolito is 1-0, 2.55 in three starts.
— White Sox lost two of his first three starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0-1
— He is 0-0, 3.71 in three starts vs Boston.

— Chicago is 7-5 in its last dozen games.
— White Sox are 5-5 on the road.
— under 7-2 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 6-16
— record in first 5 innings: 11-1-4

— Eovaldi is 2-1, 2.08 in his first three starts.
— Red Sox won two of his three starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0-1
— He is 1-1, 5.59 in three games (2 starts) vs Chicago.

— Boston won 10 of its last 13 games.
— Red Sox are 4-5 at home.
— Nine of last 14 games went over
— scored run in first inning: 3-16
— record in first 5 innings: 4-8-4

Tampa Bay (8-8) @ Kansas City (9-5)
— Fleming allowed one run in five IP (84 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— Rays are 0-1 in his starts.
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Kansas City.

— Tampa Bay won its last three games.
— Rays are 5-4 in their first nine road games.
— 11 of last 15 games went over
— scored run in first inning: 4-16
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-5

— Duffy allowed one run in 12 IP in his first two starts.
— Royals won his first two starts.
— under 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0
— He is 2-1, 2.68 in six starts vs Tampa Bay.

— Royals are 9-5 in their first 14 games.
— Royals are 7-3 at home.
— nine of last 11 games under
— scores run in first inning: 3-14
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-3

Texas (7-9) @ Angels (8-5)
— Arihara is 1-1, 3.68 in his first three starts.
— Texas is 1-2 in his starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1
— He hasn’t pitched against the Angels.

— Texas won four of its last six games.
— Texas won its last three road games.
— under 9-4 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 4-16
— record in first 5 innings: 9-5-2

— Bundy is 0-1, 3.15 in his first three starts.
— Angels are 1-2 in his starts.
— under 3-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2-1
— He is 5-1, 2.91 in nine games (7 starts) vs Texas.

— Angels won eight of their first 13 games.
— Halos are 5-2 at home.
— over 7-6
— scored run in first inning: 3-13
— record in first 5 innings: 5-6-2

Interleague games
Dodgers (13-3) @ Seattle (10-6)
— May is 1-0, 1.75 in his two starts.
— Dodgers won his first two starts.
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0
— He hasn’t pitched against Seattle.

— Dodgers won 13 of their last 15 games.
— Dodgers are 7-3 on the road.
— under 9-4 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 5-16
— record in first 5 innings: 10-4-2

— Sheffield is 0-1, 6.55 in two starts.
— Seattle split his two starts.
— under 1-0-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He hasn’t started against the Dodgers.

— Seattle won eight of its last 11 games.
— Seattle is 5-4 at home.
— over 8-6-2
— scored run in first inning: 2-16
— record in first 5 innings: 5-9-2

[Udog]

MLB

Monday, April 19

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Trend Report
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Chi White Sox @ Boston
Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chi White Sox's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Chi White Sox's last 12 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston
Boston is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games
Boston is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games

St. Louis @ Washington
St. Louis
St. Louis is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of St. Louis's last 13 games when playing Washington
Washington
Washington is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing St. Louis
Washington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing St. Louis

San Francisco @ Philadelphia
San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Francisco's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of San Francisco's last 13 games
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against San Francisco
Philadelphia is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against San Francisco

Tampa Bay @ Kansas City
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games when playing Kansas City
Kansas City
Kansas City is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Kansas City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Texas @ LA Angels
Texas
Texas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas's last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Angels's last 6 games when playing at home against Texas
LA Angels is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Milwaukee @ San Diego
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 7 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Milwaukee's last 14 games on the road
San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of San Diego's last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Diego's last 7 games when playing Milwaukee

LA Dodgers @ Seattle
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
LA Dodgers is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Seattle
Seattle is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle's last 7 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers


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[Udog]

MLB
Dunkel

Monday, April 19

[Udog]

Diamond Trends for Monday April 19
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: L.A. Dodgers at Seattle (10:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Dodgers are 11-0 SU since Sep 01, 2019 on the road when they are off a loss in which they held the lead.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Tampa Bay at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Royals are 0-11 SU since Aug 07, 2017 as a home dog off a game as a favorite in which they scored in more innings than their opponent.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: L.A. Dodgers at Seattle (10:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Mariners are 9-0 OU (3.94 ppg) since Aug 17, 2020 as a dog after their opponent left fewer than 10 men on base individually last game.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: St. Louis at Washington (7:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Nationals are 7-0 SU since Apr 20, 2016 when Joe Ross starts after he had a WHIP of less than 1 in his last start.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)