Thursday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 4/15

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Thursday, April 15

Good Luck on day #104 of 2021!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Your talent is God's gift to you. What you do with it is your gift back to God.

[Udog]

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Odds for this week’s RBC Heritage golf tournament:
19-2— Dustin Johnson
13-1— Webb Simpson
17-1— Collin Morikawa, Patrick Cantlay
19-1— Daniel Berger
23-1— Tyrell Hatton
28-1— Cam Smith, Paul Casey, Will Zalatoris

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 562,428
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


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Armadillo: Thursday's Den: Doing some thinking out loud……..

13) White Sox 8, Indians 0:
— Carlos Rodon throws a no-hitter, allowing a hit batter in 9th inning.
— Last two years, Rodon started only 11 games; lot of injury issues.

— Already 2nd no-hitter this year, both with no walks, but one hit batter. Before this year, that had happened only four times in the previous 100 years.

12) Nationals 6, Cardinals 0— Yadier Molina is first player ever to catch 2,000+ games with the same team.

11) Coming into Wednesday’s games, major league batting average was only .235; last year it was .245, which was the lowest since 1972.

I’m thinking shifts will be outlawed next season; they want more offense in the game.

10) Near the end of last season, Angels’ SS Andrelton Simmons opted out of the season; he didn’t want to go into quarantine for the playoffs.

This year, now with Minnesota, Simmons opted not to get the vaccine.

This week, Simmons tested positive for COVID, so now he is in quarantine. Go figure.

9) Was weird seeing Blake Snell pitch for the Padres Tuesday night, throw 38 pitches and not finish the first inning. Teams are going to be very vigilant about monitoring pitch counts and inning counts this year, with last year having been a shortened season.

8) Minnesota rookie OF Alex Kirilloff is the first player ever whose first career hit came in a playoff game. He made his 2021 debut for the Twins yesterday.

7) Milwaukee’s Corbin Burnes is the first pitcher in the last 100 years to strike out 30+ batters in his first three starts of a season, without walking anyone.

6) Cleveland’s Shane Bieber has allowed five runs in 21.1 IP, striking out 35 guys, but he doesn’t have any wins; Indians didn’t score a run in the first five innings of any of those three games.

5) Toronto 5, Bronx 4:
— New York is 2-1 when Cole pitches, 3-6 with any other starter.
— DH Stanton got another day off; why? Is being a DH that strenuous?
— Bo Bichette hit a walk-off homer in the 9th inning.

4) Red Sox swept a twinbill in Minnesota; they’re first team ever to start a season 0-3, then win 9+ games in a row. Twins scored total of three runs in the two games.

3) Mets 5, Phillies 1:
— David Peterson pitched a strong game for the Mets.
— Peterson’s father was a horse trainer; he trained Seattle Slew the year after that great horse won the Triple Crown— owners had fired Billy Turner, the previous trainer.

2) College basketball stuff:
— Arizona named Gonzaga assistant Tommy Lloyd as their new coach.
— NC-Greensboro coach Wes Miller is now the Cincinnati coach.
— Joe Golding bolts from Abilene Christian to Texas-El Paso.

1) Gonzaga is a unique situation; they’re pretty much what UNLV was 30 years ago; I’m not sure a Pac-12 team hiring Mark Few’s right-hand man will translate well.
— Can he recruit top flight players to the desert?
— Can he recruit top flight players who will stay more than one year?
— Arizona has won A LOT over the last 35 years; can he satisfy a spoiled fanbase?

College basketball is changing drastically; every kid who makes two layups in a row either wants to jump to to the NBA or to a better conference. Very difficult to develop continuity.

[Udog]

951PHILADELPHIA -952 NY METS
NY METS are 16-34 SU (-21.4 Units) in home games as a favorite of -150 or more in the last 3 seasons.

953MIAMI -954 ATLANTA
MIAMI is 16-2 SU (13.6 Units) in road games vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons.

955SAN DIEGO -956 PITTSBURGH
SAN DIEGO is 7-18 SU (-12.8 Units) in road games after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games in the last 3 seasons.

957ARIZONA -958 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 96-67 SU (20.9 Units) vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the last 3 seasons.

959COLORADO -960 LA DODGERS
LA DODGERS are 26-14 SU (14 Units) vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons.

961SEATTLE -962 BALTIMORE
BALTIMORE is 26-11 SU (14.1 Units) vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons.

963BOSTON -964 MINNESOTA
BOSTON is 7-0 SU (8 Units) vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse in the current season.

965CLEVELAND -966 CHI WHITE SOX
CHI WHITE SOX is 28-20 SU (6 Units) as a favorite of -125 to -175 in the last 3 seasons.

967TEXAS -968 TAMPA BAY
TEXAS are 8-17 SU (-17.2 Units) in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons.

969TORONTO -970 KANSAS CITY
TORONTO is 73-88 SU (-37.1 Units) in road games vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing <=0.35 SB's/game since 1996.

[Udog]

MLB
Weather Report

Thursday, April 15

[Udog]

MLB
Dunkel

Thursday, April 15

[Udog]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, April 15

NL games
Philadelphia (6-6) @ Mets (5-3)
— Eflin is 0-0, 3.46 in two starts this year.
— Phillies split his two starts.
— over 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0-1
— He is 3-4, 5.21 in 11 starts vs New York.

— Phillies lost five of their last six games.
— Phillies lost five of their first six road games.
— Six of last nine games went over.
— scored run in first inning: 4-11
— record in first 5 innings: 4-6-2

— deGrom allowed one run in 14 IP in his two starts.
— Mets lost both of those games, scoring 3 runs.
— over/under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He is 8-1, 2.25 in 18 starts vs Philly.

— Mets won four of their last five games.
— Mets won four of their first five home games.
— Under 5-0 last five games.
— scored run in first inning: 2-8
— record in first 5 innings: 6-2

Miami (5-6) @ Atlanta (4-8)
— Rogers is 1-1, 2.70 in his first two starts.
— Marlins split his two starts.
— under 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He gave up five runs in four IP in one start vs Atlanta.

— Marlins won their last four games.
— Miami won four of its first five road games.
— under 5-2-1 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 3-11
— record in first 5 innings: 4-3-4

— Anderson is 0-0, 4.35 in his first two starts
— Braves split his two starts.
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1-1
— He is 0-1, 1.04 in two starts vs Miami.

— Braves lost its last four games.
— Atlanta is 2-4 in its first six home games.
— Over is 7-2 in their last nine games.
— scored run in first inning: 6-12
— record in first 5 innings: 3-5-4

San Diego (8-5) @ Pittsburgh (5-7)
— Paddack is 0-1, 6.75 in two starts this year.
— Padres split his first two starts.
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2
— He allowed two runs in five IP, in one start vs Pittsburgh.

— Padres won five of their last eight games.
— San Diego won four of its six five road games.
— Nine of last 12 games stayed under
— scored run in first inning: 3-13
— record in first 5 innings: 4-7-2

— Keller is 1-1, 4.50 in two starts.
— Pirates split his starts.
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against San Diego.

— Pirates won four of their first five games.
— Pittsburgh is 4-2 in its first six home games.
— over 5-3 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 2-12
— record in first 5 innings: 6-4-2

Arizona (4-8) @ Washington (3-6)
— Kelly is 0-2, 9.00 in two starts, both on road.
— Nationals lost both his starts
— under 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Washington.

— Arizona lost eight of first 12 games.
— Arizona is 2-5 on the road.
— over 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 2-12
— record in first 5 innings: 5-7

— Former D’back Corbin allowed six runs in 4.2 IP (80 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— Nationals lost his only start. 9-5.
— over 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1
— He gave up five runs in 5.1 IP, in his one start vs Arizona.

— Washington lost six of its first nine games.
— Nationals are 1-2 at home.
— under 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 3-9
— record in first 5 innings: 1-4-4

Colorado (3-9) @ Dodgers (10-2)
— Gomber is 0-2, 4.82 in his first two starts.
— Colorado lost both his two starts.
— under 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1-1
— He is 0-2, 8.18 in three starts vs LA.

— Colorado lost its last five games.
— Rockies lost their first five road games.
— Under 8-1 last nine games.
— scored run in first inning: 2-12
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-1

— Urias is 2-0, 2.84 in two starts.
— Dodgers won both his starts.
— over 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0
— He is 1-1, 5.01 in 11 games (8 starts) vs Colorado.

— Dodgers won ten of their last 11 games.
— Dodgers won their first five home games.
— Under is 7-2 in their last five games.
— scored run in first inning: 4-11
— record in first 5 innings: 7-2-2

AL games
Seattle (6-5) @ Baltimore (5-6)
— Dunn allowed three runs in 4.2 IP (92 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— Seattle won his only start.
— over 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Baltimore.

— Gonzales is 0-1, 10.45 in two starts.
— Seattle split his two starts.
— over 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2
— He is 0-1, 6.75 in three starts against Baltimore.

— Seattle won four of its last six games.
— Seattle won three of its first five road games.
— over 7-3-1
— scored run in first inning: 1-11
— record in first 5 innings: 3-7-1

— Harvey is 0-1, 5.59 in two starts.
— Orioles split his starts, both vs Boston.
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0
— He allowed one run in 5.2 IP, in his one start vs Seattle.

— Zimmerman is 1-0, 4.50 in two starts.
— Baltimore split his two starts.
— over 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Seattle.

— Orioles lost six of their last eight games.
— Baltimore lost four of its first five home games.
— Over is 4-0-1 in last five games.
— scored run in first inning: 3-11
— record in first 5 innings: 5-4-2

Boston (9-3) @ Minnesota (5-7)
— Richards is 0-1, 10.29 in his first two ’21 starts.
— Red Sox split his two starts.
— over 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 2-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1-1
— He is 2-1, 3.02 in seven games (6 starts) vs Minnesota.

— Boston won its last nine games, after an 0-3 start.
— Red Sox won their first six road games.
— Eight of last ten games went over
— scored run in first inning: 3-12
— record in first 5 innings: 4-5-3

— Pineda is 1-0, 2.45 in his first two starts.
— Twins split his two starts this year.
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0-1
— He is 5-5, 4.00 in 13 starts vs Boston.

— Twins lost six of their last eight games.
— Minnesota lost five of its six home games.
— over 6-6
— scores run in first inning: 6-12
— record in first 5 innings: 5-4-3

Cleveland (6-5) @ White Sox (6-6)
— Civale is 2-0, 2.45 in two starts, both vs Detroit.
— Indians won both his starts.
— over 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He is 3-2, 3.95 in five starts vs Chicago.

— Cleveland won five of their last eight games.
— Indians are 2-4 on the road.
— Cleveland didn’t get a hit last night.
— under 9-2
— scores run in first inning: 2-11
— record in first 5 innings: 3-7-1

— Lynn is 1-0, 1.32 in his first two starts.
— White Sox split his first two starts.
— under 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0-1
— He is 3-1, 1.04 in four starts vs Cleveland.

— Chicago won five of its last eight games.
— White Sox are 3-2 in their first five home games.
— under 8-4
— scored run in first inning: 2-12
— record in first 5 innings: 8-1-3

Texas (5-7) @ Tampa Bay (5-7)
— Lyles is 1-0, 4.50 in his two starts.
— Texas split his two starts.
— over 1-0-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0
— He is 0-0, 1.69 in two games (1 start) against Tampa Bay.

— Texas lost four of their last six games.
— Texas is 3-3 on the road.
— under 6-3 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 4-12
— record in first 5 innings: 7-4-1

— Hill is 1-0, 7.20 in his first two starts.
— Texas split his two starts, scoring 17 runs.
— over 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0-1
— He is 1-0, 1.35 in three games (1 start) against Texas.

— Tampa Bay lost three of their last four games.
— Rays split their first six home games.
— Eight of last 11 games went over
— scored run in first inning: 3-12
— record in first 5 innings: 4-4-4

Toronto (6-6) @ Kansas City (6-4)
— Blue Jays haven’t named a starter yet.

— Toronto won three of its last four games.
— Toronto split their first six road games.
— under 8-4
— scored run in first inning: 4-12
— record in first 5 innings: 4-8

— Junis blanked Indians for five IP (58 PT) in his first ‘21 start.
— Royals lost his first start, 4-2.
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0
— He is 1-1, 3.66 in three starts against Toronto.

— Royals are 6-4 in their first ten games.
— Royals are 4-2 at home.
— six of last seven games under
— scores run in first inning: 2-10
— record in first 5 innings: 5-4-1

Detroit (5-6) @ Oakland (5-7)
— Skubal is 0-1, 7.71 in two starts.
— Detroit was outscored 20-6 in those two games.
— over 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Oakland

— Detroit won its last three games.
— Detroit split its first six road games.
— under 8-4
— scored run in first inning: 4-12
— record in first 5 innings: 8-4

— Manaea is 0-1, 5.06 in two starts.
— A’s split those two games.
— over/under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1-1
— He is 2-1, 2.84 in three starts vs Detroit

— A’s won five of last six games, after an 0-6 start.
— All seven of their losses are by 4+ runs.
— Oakland lost five of its six home games.
— last four games went over.
— scored run in first inning: 4-12
— record in first 5 innings: 2-8-2

[Udog]

MLB

Thursday, April 15

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Trend Report
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Philadelphia @ NY Mets
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 8 games when playing NY Mets
NY Mets
NY Mets is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
NY Mets is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

Miami @ Atlanta
Miami
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Atlanta's last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games

Seattle @ Baltimore
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle's last 7 games
Seattle is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games at home

San Diego @ Pittsburgh
San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of San Diego's last 12 games
San Diego is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing San Diego
Pittsburgh is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games when playing San Diego

Boston @ Minnesota
Boston
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing at home against Boston

Cleveland @ Chi White Sox
Cleveland
Cleveland is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Cleveland is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games

Seattle @ Baltimore
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle's last 7 games
Seattle is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games at home

Arizona @ Washington
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games on the road
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Arizona

Texas @ Tampa Bay
Texas
Texas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Texas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Tampa Bay's last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games when playing at home against Texas

Toronto @ Kansas City
Toronto
Toronto is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Kansas City
Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Kansas City
Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing Toronto

Detroit @ Oakland
Detroit
Detroit is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 9 games on the road
Oakland
Oakland is 18-1 SU in its last 19 games when playing Detroit
Oakland is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Detroit

Colorado @ LA Dodgers
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games on the road
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 game


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