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Sunday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 4/11

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  • Sunday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 4/11

    Trends and Indexes

    Sunday, April 11

    Good Luck on day #101 of 2021!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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    -------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  • #2
    Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

    Updated odds to win The Masters:
    Even— Hideki Matsuyama
    9-2— Xander Shauffele
    10-1— Will Zalatoris, Justin Rose, Marc Leishman
    17-1— Jordan Spieth
    25-1— Corey Conners
    80-1— Brian Harman

    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 556,529
    PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


    **********

    Armadillo: Sunday's Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday

    13) This is very random, because it is 2:50am and my mind is wandering, but think back to a Giants-Eagles game in 1978, November 19 to be exact.

    Giants were 5-6, Eagles 6-5, both teams fighting to become playoff contenders. Giants led 14-0 early, 17-6 after three quarters- they led 17-13 and were killing the clock when QB Joe Pisarcik tried to handoff to a running back, but the exchange was fumbled, the Eagles ran the fumble in for the game-winning TD that propelled them to their first playoff game in 18 years.

    This game was unusually relevant for many reasons:

    — Teams didn’t take a knee back then; this game started teams taking a knee.
    — This was the first of four straight playoff years for the Eagles; they won the NFC in 1980.
    — Eagles’ DB who scored the winning TD? Herman Edwards.
    — Guy who coached the Giants that day? John McVay, Sean McVay’s grandfather.

    — John McVay was fired after that season, replaced by Ray Perkins. Perkins coached the Giants for four years, then replaced Bear Bryant as the coach at Alabama.
    — Eagles’ coach that day was Dick Vermeil, who had gone 9-19 his first two years in Philly; this game was the turning point for his program.
    — Vermeil left the Eagles after the ’82 season, went on TV for 14 years, then returned to the NFL with the Rams in 1997— he won the Super Bowl there, in his third season as head coach.

    You just wonder how many careers would’ve been different had that fumble never happened.

    Major league leaders after nine days:
    12) batting average:
    .556— Yermin Mercedes, CWS
    .471— Ryan Zimmerman, Wsh
    .462— Ketel Marte, Ariz
    .458— Nelson Crux, Minn

    11) runs scored:
    11— Jose Altuve, Hst
    10— Mark Canha, A’s
    9— Castellanos, Moustakas, Senzel, all on the Reds
    8— Mike Trout LAA, Garrett Hampson Colo, Adam Eaton CWS

    10) RBI’s::
    14— Tyler Naquin Cin/Nate Lowe Tex
    12— JD Martinez Bos
    11— Kyle Tucker Hst, Jonathan India Cin

    9) Mike Trout has been on base 22 of 39 times this season; he’s already walked 10 times.

    8) Tampa Bay 4, New York 0— Why does Aaron Hicks bat third? He isn’t a good hitter.

    — he’s a career .234 hitter, .331 OB%. For his CAREER
    — he’s hitting .147 this year.
    — He’s hit more than 15 homers once in his career.
    — You put this guy between Judge and Stanton in the lineup? Why?

    7) Arizona 8, Cincinnati 3— Reds are fun to watch; they have some guys who can hit, not sure how good their infield defense is. Suarez should be playing third. They have lot of outfielders; not sure what happens when Akiyama comes off the IL.

    6) Manager AJ Hinch got suspended for a year because of the Astros’ cheating thing, then he went to Detroit— the Astros didn’t hire him back after his suspension.

    Alex Cora got suspended for a year for the same thing, but the Red Sox brought him back as manager after the suspension was up. Whats the difference?

    5) Alex Rodriguez and billionaire Marc Lore are teaming up to buy the Minnesota Timberwolves of the NBA; Mr Lore used to be the CEO of Walmart eCommerce.

    4) Candidate for Bad Beat of the Week: If you had A-Rod’s Timberwolves (+8.5) Friday night, you went to bed a bit queasy- they lost 145-136, in overtime to the Celtics in Boston.

    3) Colorado Rockies’ OF Raimel Tapia walked Saturday, his first walk in his last 131 at-bats, which may explain why he got dropped from leadoff to the 6-spot in the order Saturday.

    Tapia is hitting .258 this year, with a .281 on-base %age. That ain’t good enough to bat leadoff.

    2) Marlins 3, Mets 0— Jacob deGrom has allowed one run in 14 IP this season, striking out 21 guys, but he doesn’t have a win, because the Mets usually don’t hit when he pitches. Guy is the best pitcher in baseball, with a 2.75 ERA, 1.05 WHIP in 184 career starts, but his record is only 70-51.

    1) Happy 85th birthday to the great football coach John Madden, who became way more famous later on, as a TV analyst/pitch man. Had the pleasure of meeting coach Madden in St Louis in 1995, after a Rams’ game; good guy, very big guy, pretty much like he seems on TV.

    Comment


    • #3
      MLB
      Weather Report

      Sunday, April 11


      Comment


      • #4
        951CHICAGO CUBS -952 PITTSBURGH
        PITTSBURGH is 18-5 SU (12.2 Units) with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) over the last 2 seasons.

        951CHICAGO CUBS -952 PITTSBURGH
        DEREK SHELTON is 18-5 SU (12.5 Units) with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) (Coach of PITTSBURGH)

        953MIAMI -954 NY METS
        NY METS are 8-18 SU (-13.8 Units) vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game in the last 3 seasons.

        955MILWAUKEE -956 ST LOUIS
        MILWAUKEE is 12-29 SU (-20.6 Units) vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

        957COLORADO -958 SAN FRANCISCO
        SAN FRANCISCO is 20-10 SU (12.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

        957COLORADO -958 SAN FRANCISCO
        GABE KAPLER is 20-10 SU (9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record (Coach of SAN FRANCISCO)

        959WASHINGTON -960 LA DODGERS
        WASHINGTON is 5-13 SU (-14.1 Units) in road games vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

        961CINCINNATI -962 ARIZONA
        ARIZONA is 35-21 SU (16.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the last 3 seasons.

        963PHILADELPHIA -964 ATLANTA
        ATLANTA is 102-83 SU (34.1 Units) in home games vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing <=0.35 SB's/game since 1996.

        965BOSTON -966 BALTIMORE
        BOSTON is 10-3 SU (6.7 Units) when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons.

        Comment


        • #5
          MLB
          Dunkel

          Sunday, April 11


          Comment


          • #6
            MLB
            Armadillo's Write-Up

            Sunday, April 11


            NL games
            Miami (2-6) @ Mets (2-3)

            — Miami hasn’t named a starting pitcher.

            — Marlins lost six of first eight games.
            — Miami split its first two road games.
            — under 4-0-1 last five games
            — scored run in first inning: 3-8
            — record in first 5 innings: 2-2-4

            — Stroman allowed one run in six IP (85 PT) in his first ’21 start.
            — He has never pitched against Miami.

            — Mets lost three of their first five games.
            — Mets split their first two home games.
            — Over 3-2
            — scored run in first inning: 0-5
            — record in first 5 innings: 3-2

            Milwaukee (4-4) @ St Louis (4-3)
            — Anderson allowed four runs in five IP (79 PT) in his first ’21 start.
            — He is 1-3, 3.32 in four starts vs St Louis, 0-2, 4.50 in two starts here.

            — Brewers split their first eight games.
            — Milwaukee won three of first five road games.
            — Under 5-3
            — scored run in first inning: 2-8
            — record in first 5 innings: 3-3-2

            — Ponce de Leon allowed one run in five IP (93 PT) in his first ’21 start.
            — He is 1-0, 2.00 in four games (3 starts) vs Milwaukee.

            — Cardinals won four of their last five games.
            — St Louis split its first two home games.
            — Under 3-1-1 last five games.
            — scored run in first inning: 2-8
            — record in first 5 innings: 2-5-1

            Colorado (3-6) @ San Francisco (5-3)
            — Marquez is 0-0, 3.60 in his first two ’21 starts.
            — He is 4-4, 5.53 in 10 starts vs San Francisco, 3-3, 4.46 in six starts here.

            — Colorado lost six of its last eight games.
            — Rockies lost their first two road games.
            — Under 5-1 last six games.
            — scored run in first inning: 2-9
            — record in first 5 innings: 6-2-1

            — DeSclafani allowed one run in five IP (86 PT) in his first ’21 start.
            — He is 1-1, 4.24 in three starts vs Colorado.

            — Giants are 5-3 in their first eight games.
            — Giants won their first two home games.
            — Last six games stayed under
            — scored run in first inning: 0-8
            — record in first 5 innings: 3-3-2

            Cubs (4-4) @ Pittsburgh (2-6)
            — Former Pirate Williams allowed two runs in six IP (85 PT) in his first ’21 start.
            — This is his first start against his old team.

            — Cubs split their first eight games.
            — Chicago split their first two road tilts.
            — Six of last seven games stayed under the total.
            — scored run in first inning: 4-8
            — record in first 5 innings: 3-4-1

            — Brubaker allowed one run in four IP (82 PT) in his first ’21 start.
            — He is 1-1, 1.84 in three games (2 starts) vs Chicago.

            — Pirates lost six of their first eight games.
            — Pittsburgh split its first two home games.
            — Under 4-4
            — scored run in first inning: 1-8
            — record in first 5 innings: 3-4-1

            Philadelphia (5-3) @ Atlanta (4-4)
            — Moore allowed two runs in 3.1 IP (74 PT) in his first ’21 start.
            — He allowed three runs in seven IP in his one start vs Atlanta.

            — Phillies won five of their first eight games.
            — Phillies lost their first two road games.
            — Last five games went over.
            — scored run in first inning: 4-8
            — record in first 5 innings: 4-3-1

            — Smyly allowed four runs in six IP (94 PT) in his first ’21 start.
            — This is his first start vs Philadelphia.

            — Braves won their last four games.
            — Atlanta won its first two home games.
            — Over is 4-1 in their last five games.
            — scored run in first inning: 3-8
            — record in first 5 innings: 2-3-3

            Cincinnati (6-2) @ Arizona (3-6)
            — DeLeon allowed two runs in five IP (81 PT) in his first ’21 start.
            — He allowed six runs (4 earned) in 3.2 IP in his one start vs Arizona.

            — Cincinnati won six of its last seven games, scoring 60 runs.
            — Reds split their first two road games.
            — Over 7-0-1
            — scored run in first inning: 3-8
            — record in first 5 innings: 5-2-1

            — Weaver allowed three runs in 5.2 IP (82 PT) in his first ’21 start.
            — He is 3-0, 5.06 in six games (5 starts) vs Cincinnati.

            — Arizona lost six of first nine games.
            — Arizona split its first two home games.
            — under 5-3 last eight games
            — scored run in first inning: 2-9
            — record in first 5 innings: 3-6

            Washington (1-4) @ Dodgers (7-2)
            — Scherzer allowed four runs in six IP (91 PT) in his first ’21 start
            — He is 5-4, 2.76 in 14 games (12 starts) vs LA, 4-2, 2.96 in eight starts here.

            — Washington lost four of its first five games.
            — Nationals are 02 on road; they’re still missing guys.
            — Over 3-2
            — scored run in first inning: 2-5
            — record in first 5 innings: 0-2-3

            — Kershaw is 1-1, 4.97 in his first two ’21 starts.
            — He is 12-3, 2.23 in 17 games (16 starts) vs Washington.

            — Dodgers won seven of their last eight games.
            — Dodgers won their first two home games.
            — Under is 4-2 in their last six games.
            — scored run in first inning: 3-9
            — record in first 5 innings: 5-2-2

            AL games
            Bronx (3-5) @ Tampa Bay (4-4)

            — Montgomery blanked Orioles for six IP (73 PT) in his first ’21 start.
            — He is 1-2, 5.14 in six starts vs Tampa Bay, five of which were in NYC. He threw two shutout innings in his one start at the Trop.

            — New York lost five of its first eight games.
            — New York lost its first two road games.
            — under 6-2
            — scored run in first inning: 0-8
            — record in first 5 innings: 4-4

            — Honeywell will be an opener in this game. He has been injury-prone, hasn’t pitched in a pro game since 2017.

            — Tampa Bay lost four of its last six games.
            — Rays won their first two home games.
            — Six of last seven games went over
            — scored run in first inning: 2-8
            — record in first 5 innings: 3-2-3

            Kansas City (3-3) @ White Sox (3-4)
            — Minor allowed four runs in six IP (93 PT) in his first ’21 start.
            — He is 0-2, 2.89 in seven games (2 starts) vs Chicago, 0-2, 3.38 in three games (2 starts) here.

            — Royals split their first six games.
            — Royals are 1-2 on the road.
            — last three games under
            — scores run in first inning: 1-6
            — record in first 5 innings: 3-3

            — Cease allowed three runs in 4.2 IP (92 PT) in his first ’21 start.
            — He is 2-1, 4.22 in four starts vs Kansas City.

            — Chicago won three of its last four games.
            — White Sox won their home opener Thursday.
            — over/under 4-4
            — scored run in first inning: 1-8
            — record in first 5 innings: 6-1-1

            Seattle (4-4) @ Minnesota (5-3)
            — Flexen blanked Giants for five IP (94 PT) in his first ’21 start.
            — He hasn’t pitched against Minnesota

            — Seattle lost three of its last five games.
            — Seattle split its first two road games.
            — over 5-3
            — scored run in first inning: 0-8
            — record in first 5 innings: 2-5-1

            — Shoemaker allowed one run in six IP (92 PT) in his first ’21 start.
            — He is 4-5, 4.42 in 15 games (13 starts) vs Seattle.

            — Twins won five of their last seven games.
            — Minnesota split its two home games.
            — over 4-4
            — scores run in first inning: 2-8
            — record in first 5 innings: 4-2-2

            Detroit (3-5) @ Cleveland (4-3)
            — Urena allowed six runs in three IP (81 PT) in his first ’21 start.
            — He hasn’t pitched against Cleveland.

            — Detroit lost five of their last six games.
            — Detroit lost its first two road games.
            — under 5-3
            — scored run in first inning: 3-8
            — record in first 5 innings: 5-3

            — Allen allowed two runs in five IP (72 PT) in his first ’21 start.
            — He allowed three runs in 4.2 IP in one relief appearance vs Detroit.

            — Cleveland won three of their last four games.
            — Indians won three of first four home games.
            — under 5-2
            — scores run in first inning: 2-7
            — record in first 5 innings: 2-5

            Boston (5-3) @ Baltimore (4-4)
            — Pivetta blanked Tampa Bay for five IP (92 PT) in first ’21 start.
            — He is 3-0, 2.41 in three starts vs Baltimore.

            — Boston won its last five games, after an 0-3 start.
            — Red Sox won their first two road games.
            — Last six games went over
            — scored run in first inning: 3-8
            — record in first 5 innings: 2-4-2

            — Lopez allowed four runs in 4.2 IP (75 PT) in his first ’21 start.
            — He allowed seven runs in six IP in two relief stints vs Boston.

            — Orioles lost four of their last five games.
            — Baltimore lost its first two home games.
            — under 4-4
            — scored run in first inning: 3-8
            — record in first 5 innings: 4-2-2

            Angels (6-3) @ Toronto (4-5)
            — Cobb allowed three runs in six IP (97 PT) in his first ’21 start.
            — He is 3-7, 5.10 in 13 starts vs Toronto.

            — Angels won six of their first nine games.
            — Halos won two of their first three road games.
            — over 5-4
            — scored run in first inning: 3-9
            — record in first 5 innings: 3-4-2

            — Blue Jays haven’t named a starting pitcher.

            — Toronto lost four of its last five games.
            — Toronto lost two of their first three home games.
            — under 6-3
            — scored run in first inning: 3-9
            — record in first 5 innings: 3-6
            — For now, Blue Jays are playing home games in Dunedin, FL

            Interleague games
            San Diego (6-3) @ Texas (3-5)

            — Morejon allowed two runs in four IP (64 PT) in his first ’21 start.

            — Padres won three of their last four games.
            — San Diego won its first two road games.
            — Seven of last eight games stayed under
            — scored run in first inning: 1-9
            — record in first 5 innings: 3-5-1

            — Foltynewicz allowed seven runs in four IP (95 PT) in his first ‘21 start.
            — He is 1-2, 5.06 in four starts vs San Diego.

            — Texas lost last two games, outscored 11-4.
            — Texas is 2-3 at home.
            — under 3-2 last five games
            — scored run in first inning: 3-8
            — record in first 5 innings: 5-3

            Comment


            • #7
              MLB

              Sunday, April 11


              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              Trend Report
              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              Boston @ Baltimore
              Boston
              Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
              Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
              Baltimore
              The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baltimore's last 8 games when playing Boston
              The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 8 games at home

              Chi Cubs @ Pittsburgh
              Chi Cubs
              The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games
              The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
              Pittsburgh
              The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
              The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games at home

              LA Angels @ Toronto
              LA Angels
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
              LA Angels is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Toronto
              Toronto
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Angels
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing LA Angels

              Detroit @ Cleveland
              Detroit
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
              The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Detroit's last 11 games
              Cleveland
              Cleveland is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Detroit
              Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

              Miami @ NY Mets
              Miami
              Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Mets
              Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
              NY Mets
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Mets's last 6 games at home
              The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Mets's last 8 games

              NY Yankees @ Tampa Bay
              NY Yankees
              The total has gone UNDER in 8 of NY Yankees's last 10 games
              The total has gone OVER in 9 of NY Yankees's last 12 games on the road
              Tampa Bay
              Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
              The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games

              Kansas City @ Chi White Sox
              Kansas City
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games on the road
              The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas City's last 8 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
              Chi White Sox
              Chi White Sox is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City
              Chi White Sox is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City

              Seattle @ Minnesota
              Seattle
              The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle's last 7 games when playing Minnesota
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
              Minnesota
              The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing Seattle
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle

              Milwaukee @ St. Louis
              Milwaukee
              The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Milwaukee's last 13 games on the road
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
              St. Louis
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games at home

              San Diego @ Texas
              San Diego
              San Diego is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas
              The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Diego's last 8 games
              Texas
              The total has gone OVER in 7 of Texas's last 8 games when playing San Diego
              The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Texas's last 21 games when playing at home against San Diego

              Colorado @ San Francisco
              Colorado
              The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Colorado's last 7 games
              Colorado is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
              San Francisco
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games
              San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

              Cincinnati @ Arizona
              Cincinnati
              The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 8 games
              Cincinnati is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
              Arizona
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games at home
              Arizona is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home

              Washington @ LA Dodgers
              Washington
              The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 8 games
              The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Washington's last 15 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
              LA Dodgers
              LA Dodgers is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
              LA Dodgers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

              Philadelphia @ Atlanta
              Philadelphia
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
              Atlanta
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games at home
              Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia


              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              Comment

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