Announcement

**Udog** · 04-10-2021, 09:34 AM

Our greatest weakness lies in giving up. The most certain way to succeed is always to try just one more time.

**Udog** · 04-10-2021, 09:34 AM

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

Updated odds to win The Masters:
4-1— Jordan Spieth
6-1— Justin Rose, Justin Thomas
8-1— Will Zalatoris
12-1— Tony Finau, Brian Harman
16-1— Hideki Matsuyama, Xander Shauffele
18-1— Marc Leishman

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 556,529
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

**********

Armadillo:Saturday's Den: Doing some thinking out loud……..

13) Padres 3, Texas 0:
— Joe Musgrove threw a no-hitter for San Diego.
— Padres have played 8,206 games; this was their first no-hitter.
— San Diego has thrown 30 one-hitters, been no-hit 10 times themselves.
— Only Texas baserunner was a hit batsman.
— Musgrove grew up in San Diego, is a lifelong Padre fan.

12) Way back when, July 21, 1970; Padres were playing the Mets at home. San Diego’s 2nd year in the major leagues. Clay Kirby was throwing a no-hitter through 8 innings, but San Diego still trailed 1-0; they pinch-hit for Kirby in the bottom of the 8th (future Toronto manager Cito Gaston was the pinch-hitter).

The relief pitcher gave up two runs in the top of the 9th, Padres lost 3-0, but 51 years later, they finally get their first no-hitter.

11) Victor Caratini was San Diego’s catcher last night.

Last season, there were two no-hitters in the major leagues, Lucas Giolito for the White Sox, Alec Mills for the Cubs.

Catcher for Alec Mills’ no-hitter? Victor Caratini.

10) Seattle got four outs from newly acquired P James Paxton this season, before his arm blew out and now he needs Tommy John surgery and is out for the next year-plus.

9) 41-year old Rich Hill pitches for Tampa Bay: he’s had an interesting career:

2005-08— 18-17, 4.37 in 64 games (54 starts) for the Cubs.
2009— 3-3, 7.80 in 14 games (13 starts) for Baltimore
2010-12— allowed four runs in 31.2 total IP in relief, for Boston.
2013— allowed 30 runs in 38.2 IP in 63 relief stints for Cleveland.

2014— faced four batters for the Angels, didn’t get any of them out
2014— allowed one run in 5.1 IP in 14 relief stints for Bronx.
2015— 2-1, 1.55 in four starts for Boston
2016— 9-3, 2.25 in 14 starts for the A’s

2016-19— 30-16, 3.16 in 68 starts for the Dodgers
2020— 2-2, 3.03 in eight starts for Minnesota.
2021— Now he pitches for Tampa Bay. Quite a career.

8) Tejay Antone is a relief pitcher for the Reds; his father played football at Oklahoma, was on the Sooners’ 1975 national title team.

7) Cincinnati Bearcats fired basketball coach John Brannen Friday; this season a lot of players complained about the coach, some of them transferred and when you go 12-11 at a school that is used to winning, people aren’t very loyal.

Brannen went 32-21 in two years at Cincinnati, after going 81-51 in four years at Northern Kentucky.

I read a fairly long article about the situation, which didn’t name any specific complaints that the players had, other than Brannen had rules about what players could/couldn’t wear at team functions— stuff like that appears to have turned the players against him.

This season was probably lot harder on the players than we realize— they were basically alone all the time, even when they ate. Tensions ran high; apparently at Cincinnati, they boiled over.

6) Clippers’ defensive stalwart Patrick Beverley broke a bone in his left hand, had surgery on it, is out a minimum of 3-4 weeks.

5) Duncan Robinson is in his third year in the NBA, scoring 13.1 ppg for Miami; he’s scored 12.2 ppg in his pro career, is a career 42.5% shooter behind the arc. Not bad for a kid who played his freshman year of college at Division III Williams College.

He transferred from Williams to Michigan after one year; this almost never happens. D-3 basketball is good quality, but there is generally a huge gap in size/athletic ability between those levels. Kids in Division III are paying to go to college, plus they play ball.

Robinson actually scores more now than he did in college; he scored 9.3 ppg in three years at Michigan. Shooting is at a premium in the NBA, especially 6-7 guys who can shoot.

4) Hawks 120, Bulls 108:
— Chicago’s Zach LaVine scored 39 points in first half, but Chicago’s whole team was outscored 67-42 in the second half.
— Much-improved Atlanta has spurted since hiring Nate McMillan as its coach; they’re 28-25 and are the #5-seed in the East.

3) Dodgers 1, Nationals 0— Justin Turner’s 6th-inning homer was the only run, as LA won its home opener, and got its World Series rings, which are very large.

2) Angels 7, Toronto 1— Shohei Ohtani knocked in four runs for the 6-2 Angels.

1) A’s 6, Houston 2— Sean Manaea pitched six stellar innings, as Oakland got a much-needed win. Lowrie, Olson, Canha homered for the A’s.

**Udog** · 04-10-2021, 09:36 AM

901MIAMI -902 NY METS
NY METS are 8-18 SU (-13.8 Units) vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game in the last 3 seasons.

903MILWAUKEE -904 ST LOUIS
MILWAUKEE is 12-29 SU (-20.6 Units) vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

905COLORADO -906 SAN FRANCISCO
COLORADO is 203-221 SU (-82.8 Units) in road games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities since 1996.

907CHICAGO CUBS -908 PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH is 18-5 SU (12.2 Units) with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) over the last 2 seasons.

907CHICAGO CUBS -908 PITTSBURGH
DEREK SHELTON is 18-5 SU (12.5 Units) with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) (Coach of PITTSBURGH)

909PHILADELPHIA -910 ATLANTA
ATLANTA is 101-83 SU (32.4 Units) in home games vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing <=0.35 SB's/game since 1996.

911CINCINNATI -912 ARIZONA
ARIZONA is 34-21 SU (15.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the last 3 seasons.

913WASHINGTON -914 LA DODGERS
WASHINGTON is 4-13 SU (-15.1 Units) in road games vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

915NY YANKEES -916 TAMPA BAY
NY YANKEES are 79-48 SU (26.2 Units) against division opponents in the last 3 seasons.

917SEATTLE -918 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 15-3 SU (11.7 Units) in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.

**Udog** · 04-10-2021, 09:40 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Saturday, April 10

**Udog** · 04-10-2021, 09:44 AM

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, April 10

NL games
Miami (1-6) @ Mets (2-2)
— Rogers allowed three runs in four IP (77 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 1-0, 2.00 in two starts vs New York.

— Marlins lost six of first seven games.
— Miami lost its road opener Thursday.
— under 3-0-1 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 3-7
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2-4

— deGrom blanked Philly for is IP (77 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 10-9, 3.00 in 26 starts vs Miami.

— Mets split their first four games.
— Mets won their home opener Thursday.
— Over 3-1
— scored run in first inning: 0-4
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1

Milwaukee (3-4) @ St Louis (4-2)
— Houser allowed two runs in five IP (77 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 1-2, 4.91 in nine games (4 starts) vs Chicago, 0-1, 6.23 in four games (2 starts) here.

— Brewers lost four of their first seven games.
— Milwaukee split its first four road games.
— Under 5-2
— scored run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3-2

— Martinez allowed four runs in five IP (77 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 6-5, 2.23 in 29 games (15 starts) vs Milwaukee.

— Cardinals won their last four games.
— St Louis won its home opener Thursday.
— Under 3-0-1 last four games.
— scored run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-4-1

Colorado (3-5) @ San Francisco (4-3)
— Gonzalez is making his first ’21 start.
— He is 0-2, 5.31 in five games (4 starts) vs San Francisco, 0-1, 5.23 in two starts here.

— Colorado lost five of its last seven games.
— Rockies lost their road opener Friday.
— Under 4-1 last five games.
— scored run in first inning: 2-8
— record in first 5 innings: 5-2-1

— Webb allowed three runs in 5.1 IP (97 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 2-0, 4.02 in three games (2 starts) vs Colorado.

— Giants are 4-3 in their first seven games.
— Giants won their home opener Friday.
— Last five games stayed under
— scored run in first inning: 0-7
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2-2

Cubs (4-3) @ Pittsburgh (1-6)
— Davies allowed two runs in 5.2 IP (88 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 5-5, 4.34 in 15 starts vs Pittsburgh, 2-3, 4.29 in seven starts here.

— Cubs are 4-3 in their first seven games.
— Chicago won its road opener Thursday.
— Last six games stayed under the total.
— scored run in first inning: 3-7
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3-1

— Keller allowed three runs in three IP (77 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 0-3, 7.20 in four starts vs Chicago.

— Pirates lost six of their first seven games.
— Pittsburgh lost its home opener Thursday.
— Under 4-3
— scored run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-4-1

Philadelphia (5-2) @ Atlanta (3-4)
— Eflin allowed one run in seven IP in his first ’21 start.
— He is 5-3, 3.22 in ten starts against the Braves, 3-1, 4.43 in four starts here.

— Phillies won five of their first seven games.
— Phillies lost their road opener Friday.
— Last four games went over.
— scored run in first inning: 3-7
— record in first 5 innings: 4-3

— Anderson allowed one run in five IP (88 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He allowed one run in five IP in his one start vs Philadelphia.

— Braves won their last three games.
— Atlanta won its home opener Friday.
— Over is 3-1 in their last four games.
— scored run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3-2

Cincinnati (6-1) @ Arizona (2-6)
— Hoffman allowed one run in five IP (77 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 1-3, 9.79 in 10 games (5 starts) vs Arizona, 0-1, 6.94 in five games (2 starts) here.

— Cincinnati won its last six games, scoring 57 runs.
— Reds won their road opener last night.
— Over 6-0-1
— scored run in first inning: 3-7
— record in first 5 innings: 5-1-1

— Riley Smith is making his first MLB start; he allowed three runs (2 earned) in five IP in relief at San Diego last Saturday.

— Arizona lost six of first eight games.
— Arizona lost its home opener last night.
— under 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 2-8
— record in first 5 innings: 2-6

Washington (1-3) @ Dodgers (5-2)
— Nationals haven’t named a starting pitcher.

— Washington lost three of its first four games.
— Nationals lost their road opener Friday, are still missing guys.
— Over 2-2
— scored run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1-3

— Urias allowed one run in seven IP (79 PT) in his first ’21 start
— He is 0-0, 2.25 in three games (2 starts) vs Washington.

— Dodgers won six of their last seven games.
— Dodgers won their home opener Friday.
— Under is 4-1 in their last five games.
— scored run in first inning: 3-8
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2-2

AL games
Bronx (3-4) @ Tampa Bay (2-4)
— German allowed three runs in three IP (68 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 3-0, 5.73 in five games (4 starts) vs Tampa Bay, 1-0, 8.10 in three games (2 starts) here.

— New York lost four of its first seven games.
— New York lost its road opener Friday.
— under 5-2
— scored run in first inning: 0-7
— record in first 5 innings: 4-3

— Archer is making his first start since 2019.
— He is 6-7, 3.14 in 18 starts vs New York.

— Tampa Bay lost four of its last four games.
— Rays won their home opener Friday.
— Last six games went over
— scored run in first inning: 0-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-3

Kansas City (3-3) @ White Sox (3-4)
— Minor allowed four runs in six IP (93 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 0-2, 2.89 in seven games (2 starts) vs Chicago, 0-2, 3.38 in three games (2 starts) here.

— Royals split their first six games.
— Royals are 1-2 on the road.
— last three games under
— scores run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3

— Cease allowed three runs in 4.2 IP (92 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 2-1, 4.22 in four starts vs Kansas City.

— Chicago won three of its last four games.
— White Sox won their home opener Thursday.
— over/under 4-4
— scored run in first inning: 1-8
— record in first 5 innings: 6-1-1

Seattle (3-4) @ Minnesota (5-2)
— Kikuchi allowed three runs in six IP (89 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He hasn’t pitched against Minnesota

— Seattle lost three of its last four games.
— Seattle lost its road opener Thursday.
— over 5-2
— scored run in first inning: 0-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-5

— Former Mariner Pineda allowed one run in five IP (81 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 2-1, 4.50 in five starts vs Seattle.

— Twins won five of their last six games.
— Minnesota won its home opener Thursday.
— over 4-3
— scores run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2-1

Oakland (2-7) @ Houston (6-2)
— Montas allowed seven runs in 2.2 IP (90 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 4-3, 4.50 in nine games (7 starts) against the Astros.

— A’s lost seven of their first nine games.
— All seven of their losses are by 4+ runs.
— under 4-0 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 3-9
— record in first 5 innings: 0-7-2

— Urquidy allowed two runs in 4.1 IP (101 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 0-1, 2.93 in three starts vs Oakland.

— Astros won six of their first eight games.
— Astros split their first two home tilts.
— over 5-3
— scored run in first inning: 3-8
— record in first 5 innings: 5-1-2

Detroit (3-4) @ Cleveland (3-3)
— Skubal allowed two runs in 5.1 IP (87 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 0-0, 3.52 in two starts vs Cleveland.

— Detroit lost four of their last five games.
— Detroit lost its road opener Friday.
— under 5-2
— scored run in first inning: 3-7
— record in first 5 innings: 5-2

— Civale allowed three runs in seven IP (91 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 4-0, 2.67 in five starts against the Tigers.

— Cleveland split their first six games.
— Indians won two of first three home games.
— under 5-1
— scores run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 1-5

Boston (4-3) @ Baltimore (4-2)
— Richards allowed six runs in two IP (61 PT) in first ’21 start.
— He is 0-3, 6.82 in nine games (5 starts) vs Baltimore, 0-2, 3.50 in four games (2 starts) here.

— Boston won its last four games, after an 0-3 start.
— Red Sox won their road opener.
— Last five games went over
— scored run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-4-1

— Zimmerman allowed three runs in six IP (73 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 1-0, 3.60 in two games (1 start) vs Boston.

— Orioles lost three of their last four games.
— Baltimore lost its home opener Thursday.
— under 4-3
— scored run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2-1

Angels (6-2) @ Toronto (3-5)
— Quintana allowed four runs in 3.1 IP (86 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 7-2, 1.88 in ten starts vs Toronto.

— Angels won six of their first eight games.
— Halos won their first two road games.
— over 4-4
— scored run in first inning: 3-8
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3-2

— Matz allowed one run in 6.1 IP (92 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— Matz has never faced the Angels.

— Toronto lost its last four games.
— Toronto lost their first two home games.
— under 6-2
— scored run in first inning: 3-8
— record in first 5 innings: 2-6
— For now, Blue Jays are playing home games in Dunedin, FL

Interleague games
San Diego (5-3) @ Texas (3-4)
— Paddack allowed three runs in four IP (89 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He gave up one run in six IP in his one start vs Texas.

— Padres lost three of their last five games.
— San Diego won its road opener Friday- Musgrove threw a no-hitter.
— Last seven games stayed under
— scored run in first inning: 1-8
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4-1

— Lyles allowed two runs in 5.2 IP (76 PT) in his first ‘21 start.
— He is 3-5, 5.34 in 15 games (11 starts) vs San Diego.

— Texas won three of its last five games.
— Texas is 2-2 at home.
— under 3-1 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 3-7
— record in first 5 innings: 4-3

**Udog** · 04-10-2021, 09:48 AM

MLB

Saturday, April 10

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Trend Report
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Miami @ NY Mets
Miami
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games on the road
NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Mets's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games at home

NY Yankees @ Tampa Bay
NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Yankees's last 9 games
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Yankees

Kansas City @ Chi White Sox
Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas City's last 8 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City
Chi White Sox is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City

Seattle @ Minnesota
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Seattle
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

Milwaukee @ St. Louis
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

Oakland @ Houston
Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oakland's last 8 games when playing Houston
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games at home
Houston is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games

Colorado @ San Francisco
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games
Colorado is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games
San Francisco is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Colorado

Detroit @ Cleveland
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Detroit's last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
Cleveland
Cleveland is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games

Chi Cubs @ Pittsburgh
Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs

Boston @ Baltimore
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 7 games at home
Baltimore is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Boston

San Diego @ Texas
San Diego
San Diego is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 5 games
Texas
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Texas's last 7 games when playing San Diego
Texas is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home

LA Angels @ Toronto
LA Angels
LA Angels is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Toronto
LA Angels is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Toronto
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Toronto's last 11 games at home

Philadelphia @ Atlanta
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games at home
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

Cincinnati @ Arizona
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games
Arizona
Arizona is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games at home

Washington @ LA Dodgers
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
LA Dodgers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

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**Udog** · 04-10-2021, 09:50 AM

MLB
Weather Report

Saturday, April 10

Announcement

Saturday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 4/10

Saturday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 4/10

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