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  • Wednesday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 4/7

    Trends and Indexes

    Wednesday, April 7

    Good Luck on day #97 of 2021!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  • #2
    We shall never know all the good that a simple smile can do.

    Comment


    • #3
      Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

      Since 2000, colleges with most defensive backs taken in NFL Draft:
      32— Ohio State
      25— Alabama, LSU
      24— Florida, Miami, Virginia Tech
      20— Florida State
      19— Clemson, USC, Notre Dame
      18— Georgia, Texas

      Americans who have died from COVID-19: 556,307
      PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


      **********

      Armadillo: Wednesday's Den: Mid-week musings……..

      We’re doing a survey this week; you know how the guy who wins the Masters picks the menu for the champions’ dinner the next year? He can choose anything he likes.

      If you won the Masters, what food would you serve at the champions’ dinner?

      E-mail me at [email protected] or text me, if you know my cell number. We’ll post the results later on this week.

      13) Once a week, I order take-out food from an Olive Garden restaurant near my house; I order by phone, pay with a credit card, drive there, text them with what number parking space I’m in, and they bring my food out. It is a tremendous service and not very expensive.

      So this week it is nice out, so I’m sitting there in my car with the window open, waiting for my food, and this woman in a car two spaces away is on her phone, cursing her kids out. Loudly.

      “You bleeping kids!!! You better bleeping do what I said, or I’m calling your bleeping father to knock the bleep out of you!!!” She wasn’t happy.

      I had to put my COVID mask on to hide my laughing. Luckily the guy came out with my food and I was on my way. Hope the kids enjoyed their dinner.

      12) How would you like to be Deshaun Watson’s agent? Couple of months ago, it probably was a great gig; 25-year old QB, what could go wrong? Lets say he plays 12 more years in the NFL, at $25M a year, which is probably conservative; that’s $300M in salary for the next 12 years.

      Agent’s take is 3%, so that’s $9M for the agent. For representing one guy; these top agents have dozens of clients, so they’re cleaning up, but if Watson’s career blows up because of his current legal problems, that could be $9M or so down the drain. No bueno.

      11) Dodgers 5, A’s 1
      — Oakland is now 0-6, which isn’t good.
      — All four of their losses were by 4+ runs. A loss is a loss, but still…….
      — Last time the A’s were 0-6, their sixth loss was against Boston, whose starting pitcher that day was………Babe Ruth.

      10) The new extra inning format was designed to prevent games from going deep into the night, but Tuesday we had these two scores:
      — Red Sox 6, Rays 5 (12)
      — Arizona 10, Colorado 8 (13)

      Ryan McMahon hit three homers and a double for Colorado, and they still lost.

      9) Today is the day Jay Bruce finds out if he is staying in the Bronx this season, or moving on to another big league team. He homered Tuesday, making his case to stay, but when the Rangers traded 2B Roughned Odor to Bronx, it seemed to pave the way for Bruce to leave town— you figure DJ Lemahieu moves to 1B, and Odor plays 2B.

      If there was a DH in the National League, Bruce wouldn’t have to worry about employment, but not sure how many openings there are right now for guys with his skill set.

      8) Texas-El Paso basketball coach Rodney Terry quit to be an assistant coach at Texas; he is the second head coach to quit, in order to join Chris Beard’s Longhorn staff. Terry was at UTEP for three years, going 29-27 the last two years, 16-18 in C-USA games- he was head coach at Fresno State for seven years before that.

      7) Baylor Bears were the first team since UCLA in 1968 (with Lew Alcindor), to win both the national semifinal and final by 15+ points. Very impressive.

      6) San Jose State hired former Colorado State/Nebraska coach Tim Miles, who has his work cut out with the Spartans, and that’s being kind.

      My records go back to 1997; San Jose State hasn’t had a winning record in conference play once in that time- they went 17-16 one year, but were 5-11 in the WAC.

      Coach Miles has a great podcast which will probably get put on hold now; he’s a pleasant guy and we wish him luck. What he needs more than luck are some new recruits.

      5) Warriors 122, Bucks 121:

      — Golden State wins for only 2nd time in last nine games.
      — Bucks played without their star, Giannis Antetokounmpo
      — Steph Curry scored 41 points; he is great fun to watch.

      4) Padres’ SS Fernando Tatis has slight tearing in his labrum, but there is no damage to his rotator cuff; the Padres say he doesn’t require surgery. He is on the IL, will be tested in ten days or so; it is his non-throwing shoulder, but he hurt it while batting, so its hard to imagine this injury just goes away without some kind of surgery or extended rest.

      3) Nationals 6, Braves 5:
      — Juan Soto walked it off with a 9th inning single.
      — Max Scherzer gave up homers in 1st, 2nd, 3rd innings, for first time in his 378 career starts.
      — Braves are already 0-4.
      — Nationals were playing their opener, after they put ten players on the IL.

      2) Chicago Bears’ coach Matt Nagy will be calling plays again this fall, which may mean he was given the “make the playoffs or else” ultimatum. If he’s going to get fired, it might as well be his fault. Andy Dalton is Chicago’s new QB, which should be interesting.

      1) As you probably already know, I’m a big LA Rams fan; had NFL Network on this week and the talking heads on their morning show all agreed that they’d rather have Sam Darnold on their team than Jared Goff. Seriously? Let’s examine the facts.

      Darnold: three years, 13-25 record. No playoff games. 45 TD’s, 39 INT’s
      Goff: five years, 42-27 record, 3-3 playoffs. 107 TD, 55 INT’s. Won an NFC title.

      Goff is in Detroit now, but wake up people, he’s a pretty good QB.
      — Won a playoff game in Seattle 12 days after his broken thumb was operated on
      — Won an NFC title game 34-31 in New Orleans
      — Beat Chiefs and Patrick Mahomes 54-51 in a Monday night game.

      Yeah, he’s had better coaching than Darnold, and Goff’s contract is a burden on the salary cap, but he’s won big games for the last four years. Its about time people who supposedly know the sport acknowledge that.

      Comment


      • #4
        951PITTSBURGH -952 CINCINNATI
        PITTSBURGH is 49-59 SU (-24.9 Units) vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season in the last 3 seasons.

        953MILWAUKEE -954 CHICAGO CUBS
        MILWAUKEE is 5-20 SU (-18.8 Units) vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

        955ATLANTA -956 WASHINGTON
        WASHINGTON is 132-107 SU (14.3 Units) in all games in the last 3 seasons.

        959ST LOUIS -960 MIAMI
        MIAMI is 118-85 SU (24.5 Units) in home games in day games since 1996.

        961SAN FRANCISCO -962 SAN DIEGO
        SAN DIEGO is 119-202 SU (-103.2 Units) in home games as a favorite of -150 or more since 1996.

        963ARIZONA -964 COLORADO
        COLORADO is 433-539 SU (-159.9 Units) at home with a money line of -100 to -150 since 1996.

        965MINNESOTA -966 DETROIT
        MINNESOTA is 2-13 SU (-12.2 Units) in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

        967TAMPA BAY -968 BOSTON
        TAMPA BAY is 626-647 SU (-176.3 Units) in road games with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) since 1996.

        969KANSAS CITY -970 CLEVELAND
        CLEVELAND is 271-389 SU (-156.9 Units) in home games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games since 1996.

        971TORONTO -972 TEXAS
        TEXAS are 3-11 SU (-11 Units) vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

        Comment


        • #5
          MLB
          Weather Report

          Wednesday, April 7


          Comment


          • #6
            MLB
            Dunkel

            Wednesday, April 7


            Comment


            • #7
              MLB
              Armadillo's Write-Up

              Wednesday, April 7


              NL games
              Atlanta (0-4) @ Washington (1-0)

              — Fried allowed two runs in five IP (94 PT) in his first ’21 start.
              — He is 1-2, 5.09 in six games (5 starts) vs Washington.

              — 2nd game will be a bullpen game

              — Braves lost their first four games.
              — Atlanta is 0-4 on the road.
              — Under is 3-1 in their games.
              — scored run in first inning: 1-4
              — record in first 5 innings: 0-3-1

              — Strasburg is 14-12, 4.07 in 34 starts vs Atlanta.

              — Fedde is 0-1, 12.56 in four games (3 starts) vs Atlanta.

              — Washington won its season opener yesterday.
              — Nationals are 1-0 at home
              — Over 1-0
              — scored run in first inning: 0-1
              — record in first 5 innings: 0-0-1

              Pittsburgh (1-4) @ Cincinnati (4-1)
              — Kuhl gave up two runs in three IP (63 PT) in his first start.
              — He is 2-2, 3.19 in seven starts vs Cincinnati, 0-2, 4.60 in three starts here.

              — Pirates lost four of their first five games.
              — Pittsburgh is 1-4 on the road.
              — Under 3-2
              — scored run in first inning: 1-5
              — record in first 5 innings: 1-3-1

              — Castillo gave up 10 runs in 3.1 IP (73 PT) in his first ’21 start.
              — He is 4-3, 2.64 in ten starts vs Pittsburgh.

              — Cincinnati won its last four games.
              — Reds are 4-1 at home.
              — Over 4-0-1
              — scored run in first inning: 2-5
              — record in first 5 innings: 3-1-1

              Milwaukee (2-3) @ Cubs (3-2)
              — Woodruff allowed three runs in four IP (78 PT) in his first start.
              — He is 0-1, 4.65 in eight games (6 starts) vs Chicago, 0-1, 4.76 in four games (2 starts) here.

              — Brewers lost three of last four games.
              — Milwaukee split its two road games.
              — Under 3-2
              — scored run in first inning: 1-5
              — record in first 5 innings: 1-3-1

              — Hendricks allowed three runs in three IP (63 PT) in his first ’21 start.
              — He is 9-6, 2.84 in 23 starts vs Milwaukee.

              — Cubs won three of first five games.
              — Chicago is 3-2 at home.
              — Last four games stayed under the total.
              — scored run in first inning: 2-5
              — record in first 5 innings: 3-2

              Mets (1-1) @ Philadelphia (4-1)
              — Peterson allowed five runs in two IP in his one start vs Philly.

              — Mets split their first two games.
              — Mets are 1-1 on the road.
              — Over 2-0
              — scored run in first inning: 0-2
              — record in first 5 innings: 2-0

              — Nola allowed two runs in 6.2 IP in his first ’21 start.
              — He is 8-2, 3.30 in 16 starts against the Mets.

              — Phillies won four of their first five games.
              — Phillies are 4-1 at home.
              — Under 3-2
              — scored run in first inning: 2-5
              — record in first 5 innings: 3-2

              San Francisco (2-3) @ San Diego (4-2)
              — Gausman allowed one run in 6.2 IP (90 PT) in his first ’21 start.
              — He allowed three runs in 5.1 IP in two games (1 start) vs San Diego.

              — Giants lost three of their first five games.
              — Giants are 2-3 on the road.
              — Last three games stayed under
              — scored run in first inning: 1-5
              — record in first 5 innings: 2-2-1

              — Snell threw 4.2 shutout innings (86 PT) in his first ’21 start.
              — He’s never pitched against San Francisco.

              — Padres won four of their first six games.
              — San Diego is 4-2 at home.
              — Last five games stayed under
              — scored run in first inning: 1-6
              — record in first 5 innings: 2-3-1

              St Louis (3-2) @ Miami (1-4)
              — Flaherty gave up six runs in 4.1 IP (94 PT) in his first ’21 start.
              — He is 0-2, 5.25 in two starts vs Miami.

              — Cardinals won three of first five games.
              — St Louis is 3-2 on the road.
              — Over 3-2
              — scored run in first inning: 2-5
              — record in first 5 innings: 2-3

              — Lopez blanked the Rays for five IP (77 PT) in his first ’21 start.
              — He allowed two runs in seven IP in his one start vs St Louis.

              — Marlins lost four of first five games.
              — Miami is 1-4 at home.
              — under 3-2
              — scored run in first inning: 2-5
              — record in first 5 innings: 1-1-3

              Arizona (1-3) @ Colorado (1-3)
              — Bumgarner gave up six runs in four IP (91 PT) in his first ’21 start.
              — He is 17-8, 3.20 in 36 starts vs Colorado, 6-6, 4.56 in 17 starts here.

              — Arizona lost for first five games, all on road.
              — home/away
              — under 3-2
              — scored run in first inning: 2-5
              — record in first 5 innings: 2-3

              — Senzatela allowed seven runs in 3.1 IP (70 PT) in his first ’21 start.
              — He is 2-6, 6.19 in 13 games (9 starts) vs Arizona.

              — Colorado lost for first five games, all at home.
              — home/away
              — over 4-1
              — scored run in first inning: 0-5
              — record in first 5 innings: 3-2

              AL games
              Kansas City (3-1) @ Cleveland (1-3)

              — Junis is 3-7, 6.38 in 14 games (13 starts) vs Cleveland, 2-3, 4.19 in 7 starts here.

              — Royals won three of their first four games.
              — Royals are 1-0 on the road.
              — over 2-1-1
              — scores run in first inning: 1-4
              — record in first 5 innings: 2-2

              — Bieber allowed three runs in six IP (95 PT) in his first ’21 start.
              — He is 4-0, 3.70 in seven starts against the Royals.

              — Cleveland lost three of their first four games.
              — Indians are 0-1 at home.
              — under 3-1
              — scores run in first inning: 1-4
              — record in first 5 innings: 0-4

              Minnesota (3-2) @ Detroit (3-2)
              — Maeda gave up two runs in 4.1 IP (88 PT) in his first ’21 start.
              — He is 1-2, 4.88 in four starts vs Detroit, 0-2, 5.25 in two starts here.

              — Twins won three of their first five games.
              — Minnesota is 3-2 on the road.
              — over 3-2
              — scores run in first inning: 2-5
              — record in first 5 innings: 3-1-1

              — Boyd blanked the Indians for 5.2 IP (92 PT) in his first ’21 start.
              — He is 8-7, 4.60 in 21 starts vs Minnesota.

              — Detroit won three of their first five games.
              — Detroit is 3-2 at home.
              — under 3-2
              — scored run in first inning: 1-5
              — record in first 5 innings: 4-1

              Tampa Bay (2-3) @ Boston (2-3)
              — Yarbrough blanked Miami for 5.2 IP (65 PT) in his first ’21 start.
              — He is 3-2, 5.64 in 11 games (5 starts) vs Boston.

              — Tampa Bay lost its last three games.
              — Rays are 2-3 on the road.
              — Last four games went over
              — scored run in first inning: 0-5
              — record in first 5 innings: 1-1-3

              — Eovaldi allowed one run in 5.1 IP (89 PT) in his first ’21 start.
              — He is 2-5, 5.48 in 10 games (8 starts) vs Tampa Bay.

              — Boston lost three of its first five games.
              — Boston is 2-3 at home.
              — Last three games went over
              — scored run in first inning: 1-5
              — record in first 5 innings: 1-3-1

              Toronto (3-2) @ Texas (2-3)
              — Ryu allowed two runs in 5.2 IP (92 PT) in his first ’21 start.
              — He has never pitched against Texas.

              — Toronto won three of their first five games.
              — Toronto is 3-2 on the road.
              — under 4-1
              — scored run in first inning: 2-5
              — record in first 5 innings: 2-3

              — Gibson gave up five runs in 0.1 IP in his first start last week.
              — He is 4-1, 4.61 in nine starts vs Toronto.

              — Texas lost three of their first five games.
              — Texas is 1-1 at home.
              — over 3-1-1
              — scored run in first inning: 3-5
              — record in first 5 innings: 3-2

              White Sox (3-3) @ Seattle (2-3)
              — Keuchel allowed six runs in four IP (69 PT) in his first ’21 start.
              — He is 9-8, 3.25 in 20 games (19 starts) vs Seattle.

              — Chicago split its first six games.
              — White Sox are 3-3 on the road.
              — over/under 3-3
              — scored run in first inning: 1-6
              — record in first 5 innings: 4-1-1

              — Dunn is 4-1, 4.13 in 14 MLB starts the last two years.
              — He’s never pitched against the White Sox.

              — Seattle lost three of its first five games.
              — Seattle is 2-3 at home.
              — over 3-2
              — scored run in first inning: 0-5
              — record in first 5 innings: 2-3

              Baltimore (3-2) @ Bronx (3-2)
              — Means banked Boston for seven IP in his first ’21 start.
              — He is 1-2, 7.17 in seven games (4 starts) vs New York.

              — Orioles won three of their first five games.
              — Baltimore is 3-2 on road.
              — under 3-2
              — scored run in first inning: 1-5
              — record in first 5 innings: 2-2-1

              — Taillon is making his first start since 2019, when he started 7 games.
              — He’s never pitched against the Orioles.

              — New York won three of their last four games.
              — New York is 3-2 at home.
              — under 4-1
              — scored run in first inning: 0-5
              — record in first 5 innings: 4-1

              Interleague game
              Dodgers (5-1) @ Oakland (0-6)

              — Bauer allowed four wins in 6.2 IP (96 PT) in his first ’21 start.
              — He is 1-4, 3.72 in eight starts vs Oakland.

              — Dodgers won their last five games.
              — Dodgers are 5-1 on the road.
              — over 4-2
              — scored run in first inning: 2-6
              — record in first 5 innings: 4-2

              — Luzardo gave up five runs in five IP (92 PT) in his first ’21 start.
              — He allowed three runs in three IP in a relief stint vs LA.

              — A’s lost their first six games, all by 4+ runs.
              — Oakland is already 0-6 at home.
              — over 5-1
              — scores run in first inning: 3-6
              — record in first 5 innings: 0-6

              Comment


              • #8
                MLB

                Wednesday, April 7


                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                Trend Report
                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                Atlanta @ Washington
                Atlanta
                The total has gone OVER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing Washington
                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games on the road
                Washington
                The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 8 games when playing Atlanta
                The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games at home

                Pittsburgh @ Cincinnati
                Pittsburgh
                The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games when playing Cincinnati
                The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Pittsburgh's last 13 games
                Cincinnati
                Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
                Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh

                Tampa Bay @ Boston
                Tampa Bay
                The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Boston
                The total has gone OVER in 8 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games when playing on the road against Boston
                Boston
                The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
                The total has gone OVER in 8 of Boston's last 9 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

                Kansas City @ Cleveland
                Kansas City
                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games on the road
                Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
                Cleveland
                The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Cleveland's last 13 games when playing at home against Kansas City
                The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Kansas City

                Minnesota @ Detroit
                Minnesota
                Minnesota is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
                Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
                Detroit
                Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota
                The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota

                Toronto @ Texas
                Toronto
                The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games on the road
                The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
                Texas
                Texas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
                Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

                Milwaukee @ Chi Cubs
                Milwaukee
                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games on the road
                Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
                Chi Cubs
                The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chi Cubs's last 8 games at home
                The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games

                Atlanta @ Washington
                Atlanta
                The total has gone OVER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing Washington
                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games on the road
                Washington
                The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 8 games when playing Atlanta
                The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games at home

                LA Dodgers @ Oakland
                LA Dodgers
                LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
                LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
                Oakland
                The total has gone OVER in 7 of Oakland's last 8 games
                The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games at home

                NY Mets @ Philadelphia
                NY Mets
                The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets's last 5 games
                The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets's last 5 games on the road
                Philadelphia
                The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing NY Mets
                Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

                St. Louis @ Miami
                St. Louis
                St. Louis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Miami
                St. Louis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami
                Miami
                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing St. Louis
                The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Miami's last 11 games

                San Francisco @ San Diego
                San Francisco
                The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing on the road against San Diego
                San Francisco is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
                San Diego
                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 5 games at home
                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 5 games

                Chi White Sox @ Seattle
                Chi White Sox
                Chi White Sox is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle
                Chi White Sox is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
                Seattle
                The total has gone OVER in 7 of Seattle's last 9 games when playing Chi White Sox
                The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games at home

                Baltimore @ NY Yankees
                Baltimore
                The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 8 games when playing NY Yankees
                The total has gone OVER in 17 of Baltimore's last 23 games when playing NY Yankees
                NY Yankees
                NY Yankees is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore
                NY Yankees is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore

                Arizona @ Colorado
                Arizona
                Arizona is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Colorado
                The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing Colorado
                Colorado
                The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing Arizona
                The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona


                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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