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Monday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 4/5

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  • Monday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 4/5

    Trends and Indexes

    Monday, April 5

    Good Luck on day #95 of 2021!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  • #2
    Our chief want is someone who will inspire us to be what we know we could be.

    Comment


    • #3
      Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

      Active leaders in most sacrifice bunts, career:
      108— Clayton Kershaw
      100— Elvis Andrus
      85— Johnny Cueto
      67— Julio Teheran
      64— Brett Gardner
      60— Adam Wainwright

      Americans who have died from COVID-19: 554,522
      PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


      **********

      Armadillo: Monday's Den: Random thoughts on a spring day…….

      13) First thing today is a survey question; you know how the guy who wins the Masters picks the menu for the champions’ dinner the next year? He can choose anything he likes.

      If you won the Masters, what food would you serve at the champions’ dinner?

      E-mail me at [email protected] or text me, if you know my cell number. We’ll post the results later on.

      12) Tony LaRussa manages the White Sox now; he is 76 years old; there he was Sunday night, barking at 28-year old umpire Edwin Moscoso, who was working the plate. LaRussa probably has lot of clothes that are older than Moscoso.

      Chicago has a 3rd-string catcher/DH Yermin Mercedes, who got hits in his first eight AB’s this season, making him the first player since 1933 to do that. He is apparently a bad defensive catcher, but he can also hit. With Eloy Jimenez hurt, White Sox need another hitter.

      11) White Sox also have OF Billy Hamilton, who runs very fast but can’t hit; the guy has a career on-base %age of .296, a career OPS of .621- this is over nine years.

      Every time I see Hamilton bat, I hear my dad’s voice, what he always said about light hitters who ran very fast: “You can’t steal first base!!!”

      10) My A’s are off to a terrible start; they’re the first team in last 100 years to lose their first four games of the season to the same team, all by 4+ runs. Houston is a good team, but Brantley got hurt and missed Sunday’s game. A’s host the Dodgers next— yikes.

      9) Red Sox got swept at home by Baltimore, first time since 1948 that they lost their first three games of a season that were all at Fenway Park. Orioles led Sunday’s game 10-0 in third inning; the few fans that were there were not happy.

      8) Colorado Rockies have a pitcher named Tyler Kinley who apparently is a descendent of the former President William McKinley.

      On September 6, 1901, President McKinley was assassinated in Buffalo- he died eight days after he was shot. Fearing that anarchists might target the rest of the family, the Secret Service suggested that the family change their name a little, and that’s what happened.

      7) Speaking of pitchers in Colorado, if you’re a high school/college pitcher and the Rockies draft you, you have to get queasy, yes? Who succeeds pitching in such high altitude?

      6) Extra innings in the major leagues start with a runner on second base; there are a couple of baseball guys on TV who advocate intentionally walking the first hitter, saying it is easier to get out of a jam with a force play in effect, instead of just a guy on second.

      Don’t think any big league managers have tried that one yet; it conceivably could happen in the bottom half of the inning, if the score was tied. No one is going to put the winning run on base.

      5) Back to Colorado for a second; Saturday night, a Rockies runner steals second with two out, and a 1-2 count on Corey Seager. Rockies walk Seager intentionally to set up a force and bring Chris Taylor up, facing a righty pitcher. Can’t remember ever seeing an intentional walk when they count was 1-2.

      Taylor crossed up the strategy by banging a double off the leftfield wall.

      4) White Sox pitcher Lucas Giolito was miked in the dugout for a half inning of a game this weekend; he seemed at ease with a mike, which makes sense, since his grandfather was an actor named Warren Frost, who played George Costanza’s father-in-law on Seinfeld.

      Mr Frost had 36 acting credits, ranging from Death Valley Days to Matlock to Seinfeld; in 10-12 days, when Giolito’s playing days are done, he’ll make a good broadcaster.

      3) Maryland Terrapins have already poached transfers from Georgetown/Rhode Island this spring, as the new way to restock rosters isn’t so much recruiting high school kids as it is pillaging players from other schools. Georgetown has lost three starters the last two years.

      2) Last year, Mac MacClung bolted from Georgetown to Texas Tech, to play for coach Chris Beard, a very good coach. Imagine MacClung’s surprise last week when Beard bolted himself, from Lubbock to the Texas Longhorns. Transfer market goes both ways.

      1) QB Chase Daniel recently signed on as a backup with the LA Chargers; the guy is one of my heroes. He’s started five games in 11 years (five games!!!) but he’s banked $37.8M, plus the most popular guy on the team is usually the backup QB.

      261 career passes, $37.1M, plus he’ll be all set for a career as a coach or broadcaster when he retires. Thats a career you can get behind.

      Comment


      • #4
        MLB
        Weather Report

        Monday, April 5


        Comment


        • #5
          953ST LOUIS -954 MIAMI
          ST LOUIS are 871-803 SU (65.8 Units) vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season since 1996.

          955PITTSBURGH -956 CINCINNATI
          CINCINNATI is 97-157 SU (-75.7 Units) in home games after allowing 1 run or less since 1996.

          957NY METS -958 PHILADELPHIA
          NY METS are 307-446 SU (-183.6 Units) as a favorite of -150 or more since 1996.

          959MILWAUKEE -960 CHICAGO CUBS
          MILWAUKEE is 2-13 SU (-13.8 Units) vs. NL teams scoring 4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

          961SAN FRANCISCO -962 SAN DIEGO
          SAN DIEGO is 51-71 SU (-27.6 Units) vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse in the last 3 seasons.

          963MINNESOTA -964 DETROIT
          MINNESOTA is 1-13 SU (-13.2 Units) in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

          965TORONTO -966 TEXAS
          TEXAS are 32-49 SU (-21.9 Units) after having lost 2 of their last 3 games in the last 3 seasons.

          967KANSAS CITY -968 CLEVELAND
          CLEVELAND is 271-388 SU (-155.8 Units) in home games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games since 1996.

          969BALTIMORE -970 NY YANKEES
          NY YANKEES are 28-11 SU (20.1 Units) vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season in the last 3 seasons.

          971TAMPA BAY -972 BOSTON
          BOSTON is 3-21 SU (-20.1 Units) in home games after a game where the bullpen threw 6 or more innings in the last 3 seasons.

          Comment


          • #6
            MLB
            Dunkel

            Monday, April 5


            Comment


            • #7
              MLB
              Armadillo's Write-Up

              Monday, April 5


              Not a lot to go on for the first 7-10 days, but we’ll do what we can. Once the season gets rolling, we’ll be posting what I think is the most relevant information for each game. There will be a lot of information, once teams get couple weeks under their belts.

              NL games
              Pirates (1-2) @ Reds (2-1)

              Brubaker allowed one run in 5.1 IP in his one start vs Cincinnati. He was 1-3, 4.94 in 11 games (9 starts) as a rookie LY.

              — Pirates scored total of four runs their last two games.
              — Under is 2-1 in their games.

              DeLeon is making his 5th MLB start, first since 2016; he pitched once in relief vs Pittsburgh, walking both batters he faced.

              — Reds won two of three games, scoring 27 runs.
              — All three of their games went over.

              Cardinals (1-2) @ Marlins (1-2)
              Ponce de Leon is 2-7, 3.78 in 33 career games (20 starts); he threw six shutout innings in his one against Miami.

              — Cardinals lost two of three games, giving up 27 runs.
              — Over is 3-0 in St Louis games this year.

              Rogers was 1-2, 6.11 in seven starts as a rookie LY; he hasn’t pitched against St Louis.

              — Marlins lost two of three games vs Tampa Bay.
              — Over is 2-1 in Miami games.

              Mets (0-0) @ Phillies (3-0)
              deGrom is 8-1, 2.38 in 17 starts vs Philly; he is 3-0, 2.95 in eight starts here.

              This is the Mets’ season opener.

              Moore made two starts in 2019, didn’t pitch LY; he is 0-2, 6.75 in three starts against the Mets.

              — Phillies won first three games, outscoring Atlanta 9-3.
              — All three of their games stayed under.

              Brewers (1-2) @ Cubs (2-1)
              Anderson is 1-1, 2.66 in four starts vs Chicago, 2-3, 7.81 in seven starts at Wrigley.

              — Milwaukee lost 2 of 3 vs Minnesota, scoring two runs the last two days.
              — Two of their three games went over the total.

              Williams is 3-3, 3.09 in nine games (8 starts) vs Milwaukee.

              — Cubs beat Pittsburgh two of three to start the season.
              — Under is 2-1 in their games.

              Giants (1-2) @ Padres (3-1)
              DeSclafani is making his Giants’ debut; he is 1-0, 2.25 in four starts vs San Diego, 0-0, 1.50 in two starts at Petco.

              — Giants lost two of three games in Seattle.
              — Two of their three games went over the total.

              Morejon is 2-2, 6.26 in 14 MLB games (6 starts); he is 1-0, 4.50 in three games (2 starts) vs San Francisco.

              — San Diego won three of its first four games.
              — Three of their four games stayed under.

              American League
              Twins (1-1) @ Tigers (2-1)

              Shoemaker is 4-1, 0.68 in six starts vs Detroit, 1-0, 0.00 in one start here.

              — Twins won two of three games in Milwaukee.
              — Two of their three games went over the total.

              Urena is making his Detroit debut; he hasn’t pitched against the Twins.

              — Detroit won two of its first three games.
              — Tigers scored 11 runs in their first three games (under 2-1)

              Blue Jays (2-1) @ Rangers (1-2)
              Former Met Matz makes his Toronto debut here; he’s never faced Texas.

              — Toronto won two of three in the Bronx, giving up 8 runs.
              — Under is 3-0 in their games.

              Foltynewicz is making his Texas debut; he is 3-0, 3.91 in five games (4 starts) vs Toronto.

              — Rangers lost two of three in KC, despite scoring 21 runs.
              — Over is 2-0-1 in their games so far.

              Royals (2-1) @ Indians (1-2)
              Duffy is 4-12, 5.11 in 23 games (19 starts) vs Cleveland.

              — Royals won two of first three games, scoring 28 runs.
              — Over is 2-0-1 in their games so far.

              Allen started four games for San Diego in 2019, his only MLB starts. He hasn’t pitched against the Royals.

              — Indians lost two of their first three games.
              — Two of their first three games stayed under.

              Orioles (3-0) @ Bronx (1-2)
              Lopez is 1-1, 6.23 in three starts vs New York, 0-0, 5.14 in one start here.

              — Orioles swept Boston, outscoring Red Sox 18-5.
              — Under is 2-1 in their games.

              Montgomery is 2-1, 2.92 in seven starts vs Baltimore.

              — New York lost two of first three games, to Toronto.
              — Under is 3-0 in their games.

              Rays (2-1) @ Red Sox (1-2)
              Wacha allowed one run in five IP in his one start vs Boston.

              — Rays won two of three games in Miami, had yesterday off.
              — Over is 2-1 in their games.

              Pivetta is 21-30, 5.40 in 91 MLB games (73 starts); he’s never faced the Rays.

              — Boston got swept by the Orioles, outscored 18-5.
              — Under is 2-1 in their games.

              Astros (4-0) @ Angels (3-1)
              Garcia allowed four runs in 12.1 IP in five games (1 start) LY. He gave up one run in 4.1 IP in his one game against the Angels.

              — Houston won its first four games, all by 4+ runs.
              — Astros scored 35 runs in four games (over 4-0)

              Quintana is 3-1, 2.53 in seven starts vs Houston.

              — Angels won three of first four games, scoring 24 runs.
              — Over is 2-2 in their first four games.

              White Sox (1-3) @ Mariners (2-1)
              Rodon is 2-0, 1.89 in three starts vs Seattle, 0-0, 1.29 in one start here.

              — White Sox lost three of first four games.
              — Chicago allowed 20 runs in last three games (over 2-2)

              Sheffield allowed six runs in 4.1 IP in his one start vs Chicago.

              — Seattle won two of three from the Giants, had yesterday off.
              — Two of their three games went over the total.

              Interleague game
              Dodgers (3-1) @ A’s (0-4)

              May is 5-4, 2.98 in 26 MLB games (14 starts); he allowed two runs in five IP in his one start vs Oakland.

              — Dodgers won three of four games in Colorado.
              — Over is 2-2 in their first four games.

              Montas allowed five runs in four IP in his one start vs LA.

              — Oakland lost its first four games, all by 4+ runs.
              — A’s first four games went over the total.

              Comment


              • #8
                MLB

                Monday, April 5


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                Trend Report
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                Minnesota @ Detroit
                Minnesota
                Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
                Minnesota is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Detroit
                Detroit
                Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games

                Atlanta @ Washington
                Atlanta
                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games
                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games on the road
                Washington
                The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Atlanta
                The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games at home

                Toronto @ Texas
                Toronto
                The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games on the road
                The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
                Texas
                Texas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
                Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

                Kansas City @ Cleveland
                Kansas City
                The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games on the road
                Kansas City is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
                Cleveland
                The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games
                Cleveland is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home

                Baltimore @ NY Yankees
                Baltimore
                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
                Baltimore is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
                NY Yankees
                NY Yankees is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore
                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 5 games

                Pittsburgh @ Cincinnati
                Pittsburgh
                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
                Pittsburgh is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
                Cincinnati
                Cincinnati is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
                Cincinnati is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh

                St. Louis @ Miami
                St. Louis
                The total has gone OVER in 7 of St. Louis's last 8 games on the road
                The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games
                Miami
                Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis
                The total has gone OVER in 9 of Miami's last 13 games when playing at home against St. Louis

                NY Mets @ Philadelphia
                NY Mets
                The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets's last 6 games on the road
                The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
                Philadelphia
                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games at home

                Tampa Bay @ Boston
                Tampa Bay
                Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
                Tampa Bay is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Boston
                Boston
                The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
                The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay

                Milwaukee @ Chi Cubs
                Milwaukee
                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games on the road
                The total has gone UNDER in 19 of Milwaukee's last 25 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
                Chi Cubs
                Chi Cubs is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Milwaukee
                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games at home

                Houston @ LA Angels
                Houston
                The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing LA Angels
                The total has gone OVER in 7 of Houston's last 8 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
                LA Angels
                LA Angels is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
                The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 5 games when playing Houston

                LA Dodgers @ Oakland
                LA Dodgers
                The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Dodgers's last 8 games when playing on the road against Oakland
                LA Dodgers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
                Oakland
                The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games
                Oakland is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers

                San Francisco @ San Diego
                San Francisco
                The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games on the road
                The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games
                San Diego
                San Diego is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing San Francisco
                San Diego is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against San Francisco

                Chi White Sox @ Seattle
                Chi White Sox
                The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chi White Sox's last 7 games when playing Seattle
                Chi White Sox is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Seattle
                Seattle
                The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle's last 7 games when playing Chi White Sox
                Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home


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