Diamond Trends for Thursday May 6
Vince Akins
ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Arizona at Miami (6:40 p.m. ET)
-- The Marlins are 7-0 SU since Jul 15, 2018 past the first game of a series at home after they shut out their opponent last game
ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Detroit at Boston (1:10 p.m. ET)
-- The Tigers are 0-16 SU since Aug 29, 2017 as a road dog coming off a one run road win.
OU Play Trend of the Day
Matchup: Milwaukee at Philadelphia (1:10 p.m. ET)
-- The Brewers are 0-13 OU (-2.69 ppg) since Sep 02, 2017 when Brandon Woodruff starts when the bullpen allowed more runs than he did in his last start.
Starter-Based Trend of the Day
Matchup: Cleveland at Kansas City (2:10 p.m. ET)
-- The Royals are 9-0 SU since Jun 07, 2014 when Danny Duffy starts as a home favorite when he had a WHIP of less than 1.00 in his last start and the Royals won.
Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)
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MLB
Thursday, May 6
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Trend Report
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Houston @ NY Yankees
Houston
Houston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Houston is 7-15 ATS in its last 22 games when playing NY Yankees
NY Yankees
NY Yankees is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
NY Yankees is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Milwaukee @ Philadelphia
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Milwaukee is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
Detroit @ Boston
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston
Boston is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Detroit
Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Detroit
Texas @ Minnesota
Texas
Texas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Texas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games at home
NY Mets @ St. Louis
NY Mets
NY Mets is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games
St. Louis
St. Louis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
St. Louis is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 games
Cleveland @ Kansas City
Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cleveland's last 8 games
Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games
Toronto @ Oakland
Toronto
Toronto is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Oakland
Toronto is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
Atlanta @ Washington
Atlanta
Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Washington
Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games
Arizona @ Miami
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games
Arizona is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Miami
Miami is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Arizona
Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Arizona
Tampa Bay @ LA Angels
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 7 games at home
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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up
Thursday, May 6
NL games
Milwaukee (17-14) @ Philadelphia (16-15)
— Woodruff is 2-0, 1.16 in his last five starts.
— Brewers are 5-1 in his starts
— under 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1-2
— He is 2-0, 0.50 in three starts vs Philly.
— Brewers lost their last four games.
— Milwaukee won seven of last 11 road games.
— under 10-5 on road.
— scored run in first inning: 9-31
— record in first 5 innings: 13-13-5
— Wheeler is 1-0, 3.92 in his last three starts.
— Phillies are 2-4 in his starts
— over 3-3
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3-1
— He is 1-1, 2.90 in five starts vs Milwaukee.
— Phillies are 7-5 in their last 12 games.
— Phillies are 12-6 at home.
— over 11-4 last 15 home games.
— scored run in first inning: 12-31
— record in first 5 innings: 11-12-8
Mets (12-13) @ St Louis (18-13)
— Walker is 1-1, 3.33 in five starts.
— Mets are 4-1 in his starts.
— under 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 4-1
— He is 0-1, 3.50 in three starts vs St Louis.
— Mets are 6-10 in their last 16 games.
— Mets are 6-9 on the road.
— Under 7-4-1 last dozen games.
— scored run in first inning: 5-25
— record in first 5 innings: 11-12-2
— Gant is 2-0, 0.82 in his last two starts.
— Cardinals are 3-2 in his starts.
— under 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 3-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-1
— He is 3-0, 0.87 in seven games (2 starts, 20.2 IP) vs New York.
— Cardinals won 10 of their last 13 games.
— St Louis is 7-3 in its last ten home games.
— Under 6-2-1 last nine home games.
— scored run in first inning: 10-31
— record in first 5 innings: 15-11-5
Arizona (15-15) @ Miami (13-16)
— Bumgarner is 3-0, 1.06 in his last three starts.
— Arizona is 3-3 in his starts
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 3-6
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2
— He is 2-4, 4.47 in ten starts vs Miami.
— Arizona won 10 of its last 15 games.
— Arizona is 6-3 in its last nine road games.
— over 10-3-1 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 5-30
— record in first 5 innings: 15-14-1
— Lopez is 0-1, 0.95 in his last three starts.
— Miami is 2-4 in his starts.
— under 2-2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2-3
— He allowed 3 runs in six IP, in his one start vs Arizona.
— Marlins lost nine of their last 15 games.
— Miami is 6-7 at home.
— under 5-3-2 last ten home games
— scored run in first inning: 9-29
— record in first 5 innings: 11-12-6
Atlanta (14-16) @ Washington (12-14)
— Smyly is 0-2, 9.95 in four starts.
— Braves are 0-4 in his starts.
— over 4-0 in his starts
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2-2
— He is 0-0, 2.57 in three games (2 starts) vs Washington.
— Braves lost four of their last six games.
— Atlanta is 7-9 on the road.
— Under is 3-0 in their last three games.
— scored run in first inning: 10-30
— record in first 5 innings: 13-12-5
— Lester blanked Miami for five IP (70 PT) in his first ‘21 start.
— Washington is 1-0 in his starts.
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-0-1
— He is 7-2, 2.30 in 11 starts vs Atlanta.
— Washington won four of its last six games.
— Nationals won five of their last seven home games.
— under 9-2 last 11 home games
— scored run in first inning: 7-26
— record in first 5 innings: 7-12-7
AL games
Houston (15-15) @ Bronx (16-14)
— McCullers is 1-0, 1.38 in last two starts.
— Astros are 2-3 in his starts.
— over 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-1
— He is 2-0, 2.59 in four starts vs New York
— Astros lost their last three games.
— Astros are 4-8 in last 12 road games.
— over 3-2 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 8-30
— record in first 5 innings: 13-11-6
— Former Astro Cole is 4-1, 1.43 in six starts.
— New York is 4-2 in his starts.
— over 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 5-0-1
— He gave up five runs in five IP, in his one start vs Houston.
— New York won 11 of its last 15 games.
— New York is 7-1 in its last eight home games.
— under 11-5 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 4-30
— record in first 5 innings: 14-12-4
Detroit (9-22) @ Boston (18-13)
— Turnbull is 1-2, 4.50 in three starts.
— Detroit is 1-2 in his starts.
— over 2-1 in his starts
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2
— He threw five shutout innings, in his one start vs Boston.
— Detroit lost 16 of its last 19 games.
— Detroit is 5-13 on the road.
— under 12-6 last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 2-18 on road
— record in first 5 innings: 3-14-1 on road
— Eovaldi is 4-1, 3.99 in his last five starts.
— Red Sox are 4-2 in his starts.
— under 3-3
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 4-1-1
— He is 2-0, 1.89 in three starts vs Detroit.
— Boston lost four of its last six games.
— Red Sox won three of last five home games.
— under six of last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 8-31
— record in first 5 innings: 14-11-6
Texas (15-17) @ Minnesota (11-18)
— Lyles is 0-2, 10.66 in his last three starts.
— Rangers are 3-3 in his starts.
— over 4-1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3
— He gave up 3 runs in 6.1 IP, in his one start vs Minnesota.
— Texas won five of its last seven games.
— Texas is 8-8 on road.
— over 7-3 last ten road games.
— scored run in first inning: 8-32
— record in first 5 innings: 12-16-4
— Pineda is 2-1, 2.96 in five starts.
— Twins are 3-2 in his starts.
— over 2-2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1-1
— He 2-4, 5.09 in eight starts vs Texas.
— Twins lost 16 of their last 22 games.
— Minnesota is 6-10 at home.
— over 7-1 last eight games
— scores run in first inning: 11-29
— record in first 5 innings: 12-11-6
Cleveland (16-13) @ Kansas City (16-13)
— McKenzie is 0-1, 7.20 in four starts.
— Indians are 1-3 in his starts.
— under 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2
— He is 1-0, 2.45 in three games (2 starts) vs KC.
— Cleveland won eight of its last ten games.
— Indians are 9-7 on the road.
— over 11-3-1 last 15 games
— scores run in first inning: 6-29
— record in first 5 innings: 8-17-4
— Duffy is 4-1, 1.20 in his first five starts.
— Royals are 4-1 in his starts.
— under 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 4-1
— He is 5-12, 4.82 in 24 games (20 starts) vs Cleveland.
— Royals lost five of their last six games.
— Royals are 8-8 at home.
— last seven games went over
— scores run in first inning: 5-29
— record in first 5 innings: 14-10-5
Tampa Bay (17-15) @ Angels (13-16)
— Fleming is 1-2, 2.18 in four games (20.2 IP).
— They may/may not use an opener here.
— Rays are 1-2 in his starts.
— under 3-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2
— He hasn’t pitched against the Angels.
— Tampa Bay is 6-8 in its last 14 games.
— Rays are 8-1 in last nine road games.
— eight of last 12 games stayed under
— scored run in first inning: 9-32
— record in first 5 innings: 12-12-8
— Heaney is 1-1, 2.95 in his last four starts.
— Angels are 2-3 in his starts.
— over 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2
— He is 0-3, 4.87 in four starts vs Tampa Bay.
— Halos lost five of last six games overall.
— Angels are 7-6 at home.
— over 9-5 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 8-29
— record in first 5 innings: 13-14-2
Toronto (15-14) @ Oakland (19-13)
— Ryu is 1-2, 2.93 in five starts.
— Blue Jays are 3-2 in his starts.
— under 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3
— He threw six shutout innings in his one start vs Oakland
— Toronto won seven of its last 11 games.
— Toronto lost three of last five road games.
— over 6-2 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 9-28
— record in first 5 innings: 11-14-4
— Fiers allowed three runs in six IP (83 PT) in his first ‘21 start.
— A’s are 0-1 in his starts.
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1
— He is 1-4, 4.22 in nine games (8 starts) vs Toronto.
— A’s are 6-6 in their last 12 games.
— Oakland won 11 of its last 14 home games.
— Under is 12-7 in their last 19 games.
— scored run in first inning: 8-32
— record in first 5 innings: 13-12-7Leave a comment:
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901MILWAUKEE -902 PHILADELPHIA
MILWAUKEE is 14-28 SU (-17.6 Units) vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons.
903NY METS -904 ST LOUIS
NY METS are 23-35 SU (-15.5 Units) in road games in the first half of the season in the last 3 seasons.
905ATLANTA -906 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 81-56 SU (19.4 Units) when the total is 8.5 to 10 in the last 3 seasons.
907ARIZONA -908 MIAMI
ARIZONA is 57-33 SU (23.3 Units) vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) in the last 3 seasons.
909HOUSTON -910 NY YANKEES
NY YANKEES are 14-2 SU (14.1 Units) in home games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons.
911DETROIT -912 BOSTON
DETROIT is 3-13 SU (-14.2 Units) vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the current season.
913TEXAS -914 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 3-14 SU (-11.7 Units) vs. good fielding teams - averaging <=0.6 errors/game in the current season.
915CLEVELAND -916 KANSAS CITY
CLEVELAND is 18-5 SU (12.9 Units) vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse over the last 2 seasons.
917TORONTO -918 OAKLAND
TORONTO is 8-17 SU (-15.3 Units) in road games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons.
919TAMPA BAY -920 LA ANGELS
LA ANGELS are 248-225 SU (0.5 Units) in home games when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1996.Leave a comment:
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Thursday’s 6-pack
NBA scoring leaders:
31.5— Curry, GState
30.9— Beal, Wash
29.0— Embiid, Phil
28.5— Doncic, Dal
28.5— Antetokounmpo, Milw
28.4— Lillard, Port
Americans who have died from COVID-19: 578,524
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.
Quote of the Day
“Yeah, right now it doesn’t matter at all to be honest with you. I was just happy I made a good pitch, I was struggling with the curveball recently, so I was just happy I got it over and got a swing and miss on it, so that is all I was happy about. I was just trying to keep my cool with him on first base. I’m glad Sevy (catcher Pedro Severino) made up for it by getting him out at second.”
Orioles P John Means, who threw a no-hitter Wednesday
Thursday’s quiz
Who was the last Baltimore Orioles pitcher to throw a complete game no-hitter?
Wednesday’s quiz
Actor Burgess Meredith played Mick, the boxing trainer in Rocky; he played The Penguin in the old Batman TV series.
Tuesday’s quiz
In the great TV show The Odd Couple, Felix Unger was a photographer (portraits a specialty)
************************************************** ***********
Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….
13) Orioles 6, Seattle 0:
— John Means threw MLB’s third no-hitter this season.
— Only baserunner reached on a wild pitch after a strikeout
— That is the only time in MLB history the only runner to reach in a no-hitter got on base via a wild pitch after a strikeout.
— Three no-hitters this year; there were no walks, but no perfect games.
— This was Baltimore’s first complete game no-hitter since 1969.
12) Indians 5, Royals 4:
— Cleveland is in a 3-way toe for first in AL Central
— Indians are 16-13, but they’re 8-17-4 in first 5-inning wagers; Terry Francona is a very good manager, plus they’ve played very well in late innings.
11) Early candidate for Bad Beat of the Year: Cavaliers (+12.5) lost 134-118 to Phoenix Tuesday, in overtime. Getting 12.5 points, they lost by freakin’ 16 in OT!!! No bueno.
10) Baseball’s new rules have created new situations, ones that the best managers aren’t used to. It turns out that Tony LaRussa didn’t know the new extra inning rules.
Wednesday afternoon, scoreless game in 10th inning in Cincinnati, LaRussa’s White Sox start the 10th inning with closer Liam Hendriks on second base— a pinch-hitter made the last four of the ninth inning for Chicago. Guy who makes the last out is the runner next inning.
Except for one scenario, if that runner would be the pitcher, then the manager can choose the guy bats before the pitcher to be the runner, but LaRussa didn’t know that. Now he does.
Hendriks, by the way, has batted three times in his 11-year career, going 0-2 with a walk— that walk happened six years ago.
9) This game was only fourth time in 18+ years that a game at Great American Ballpark was 0-0 after nine innings.
8) Phillies 5, Brewers 4:
— Game was 5-0 Phillies before they made an out.
— After it was 5-0, Freddy Peralta struck out the next six batters, and only allowed two more runners to reach base in four IP, but the damage had been done.
7) So far this season, Jose Altuve is batting .247; not good.
— He is 16-41 (.390) vs lefties.
— He is 3-36 (.083) vs righty pitchers.
6) Toronto Blue Jays will go back to playing home games in Buffalo June 1st; they’ve been playing home games in Dunedin, FL, at their spring training home. Hopefully before too much longer, they go back home to Toronto.
5) Cubs 6, Dodgers 5 (11)— Anthony Rizzo hit a walk-off single in a game he didn’t start; Cubs sweep LA, which has now lost 13 of its last 17 games.
4) Strange situation in the Mets-Cardinals game Wednesday; St Louis sent the interpreter to the mound so pitcher Kwang Hung Kim could confer with his infielders about who was covering which base. Problem is, that’s against the rules— interpreters can’t go on the field without a coach or manager.
Shortly after that, when pitching coach Mike Maddux tried to go to the mound to talk to Kim, there was a lengthy conference with the umpires, since no one seemed to know if the interpreter’s first visit counted as an official mound visit.
3) In his first 90 career at-bats against the Mets, St Louis SS Paul DeJong has 11 doubles, 10 homers and the incredibly high slugging percentage of .822.
2) Kyrie Irving got fined $35,000 by the NBA for repeatedly violating league rules regarding media access.
Really? This guy can just give away money like that?
Can someone please show him some Bill Belichick tapes, or let him watch Bull Durham, when Crash Davis lectures the rookie pitcher on how to use cliches in interviews. It is possible to talk without saying anything, politicians do it every day.
Just be boring, relentlessly boring, but don’t give your damn money away.
I know he is really, really rich (he makes $31M a year, has already banked around $157M in his career), but the money would be better served going to charity. Actually, I think fine money does go to charity, but it still makes no sense.
1) Tuesday night in Cincinnati, Dylan Cease threw six shutout innings for the White Sox, and also had three hits in Chicago’s 9-0 win.
He is the first AL starting pitcher to throw 6+ shutout innings, striking out at 10+ hitters and giving up fewer than three hits, while also getting three hits himself, since Catfish Hunter threw a perfect game for the A’s on May 8, 1968.
From the great researcher Christopher Kamka: Cease is the first White Sox pitcher with 3 hits through the 5th inning of a game since Don Larsen in 1961 at Washington.
Yes, that Don Larsen, the guy who threw a perfect game in the World Series.Leave a comment:
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Diamond Trends for Wednesday May 5
Vince Akins
ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: L.A. Dodgers at Chicago Cubs (7:40 p.m. ET)
-- The Dodgers are 11-0 SU since Jul 27, 2019 on the road after their opponent left 18+ men on base individually last game.
ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Toronto at Oakland (9:40 p.m. ET)
-- The Blue Jays are 0-16 SU since May 04, 2019 in not the first game of a series as a road dog after they allowed 6 or fewer hits.
OU Play Trend of the Day
Matchup: Milwaukee at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. ET)
-- The Phillies are 0-11-2 OU (-2.46 ppg) since Jun 18, 2016 as a home dog off a home game in which they did not score after the third inning.
Starter-Based Trend of the Day
Matchup: Atlanta at Washington (7:05 p.m. ET)
-- The Nationals are 11-0 OU (4.68 ppg) since Sep 17, 2018 when Erick Fedde starts after they used 5+ pitchers yesterday.
Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)Leave a comment:
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MLB
Wednesday, May 5
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Trend Report
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Chi White Sox @ Cincinnati
Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Chi White Sox is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 7 games
San Francisco @ Colorado
San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Francisco's last 8 games
Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games
Baltimore @ Seattle
Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Baltimore's last 19 games
Seattle
Seattle is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Baltimore
Seattle is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games at home
NY Mets @ St. Louis
NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Mets's last 7 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 12 of NY Mets's last 16 games on the road
St. Louis
St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
St. Louis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing NY Mets
Arizona @ Miami
Arizona
Arizona is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arizona's last 7 games on the road
Miami
Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
Atlanta @ Washington
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington
Washington
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games at home
Houston @ NY Yankees
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
Houston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
NY Yankees
NY Yankees is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
NY Yankees is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Milwaukee @ Philadelphia
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Milwaukee is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games at home
Detroit @ Boston
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games
Boston
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
LA Dodgers @ Chi Cubs
LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 10 of LA Dodgers's last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games on the road
Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
Chi Cubs is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
Texas @ Minnesota
Texas
Texas is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas's last 6 games on the road
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games
Cleveland @ Kansas City
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games
Cleveland is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games at home
Pittsburgh @ San Diego
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games on the road
San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of San Diego's last 17 games at home
San Diego is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
NY Mets @ St. Louis
NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Mets's last 7 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 12 of NY Mets's last 16 games on the road
St. Louis
St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
St. Louis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing NY Mets
Tampa Bay @ LA Angels
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 6 games at home
Toronto @ Oakland
Toronto
Toronto is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Oakland
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Oakland
Oakland is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing Toronto
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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up
Wednesday, May 5
NL games
Dodgers (17-14) @ Cubs (14-16)
— Buehler is 1-0, 3.13 in five starts.
— Dodgers are 3-2 in his starts.
— over 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 0-3-2
— He is 0-1, 5.27 in three games (2 starts) vs Chicago.
— Dodgers lost 12 of their last 16 games.
— Dodgers are 9-9 on the road.
— over 10-2 last dozen games
— scored run in first inning: 9-31
— record in first 5 innings: 14-12-5
— Alzolay is 1-2, 4.71 in four starts.
— Cubs are 1-3 in his starts.
— over 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Los Angeles.
— Cubs won three of their last four games.
— Chicago is 10-7 at home.
— Over is 7-2 in their last nine games.
— scored run in first inning: 10-30
— record in first 5 innings: 12-15-3
San Francisco (18-12) @ Colorado (11-19)
— Webb is 1-2, 3.95 in five starts.
— Giants are 3-2 in his starts.
— under 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2-2
— He is 2-0, 4.35 in four games (3 starts) vs Colorado.
— Giants are 15-9 in their last 24 games.
— Giants are 8-9 on the road.
— Over is 8-2-1 in their last 11 games.
— scored run in first inning: 8-30
— record in first 5 innings: 17-9-4
— Gray is 3-2, 3.41 in six starts.
— Colorado is 3-3 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2-1
— He is 1-6, 6.16 in 12 starts against the Giants.
— Colorado lost six of its last nine games.
— Rockies won five of last seven home games.
— over 8-1 last nine games.
— scored run in first inning: 9-30
— record in first 5 innings: 11-14-5
Arizona (15-14) @ Miami (12-16)
— Weaver is 0-2, 7.62 in his last three starts.
— Arizona is 3-2 in his starts
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3-1
— He is 0-1, 2.00 in three games (1 start) vs Miami.
— Arizona won 10 of its last 14 games.
— Arizona is 6-2 in its last eight road games.
— over 10-3 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 5-29
— record in first 5 innings: 15-13-1
— Lopez is 0-1, 0.95 in his last three starts.
— Miami is 2-4 in his starts.
— under 2-2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2-3
— He allowed 3 runs in six IP, in his one start vs Arizona.
— Marlins lost nine of their last 14 games.
— Miami is 5-7 at home.
— under 5-3-1 last nine home games
— scored run in first inning: 8-28
— record in first 5 innings: 10-12-6
Milwaukee (17-13) @ Philadelphia (15-15)
— Peralta is 3-0, 2.42 in five starts.
— Brewers are 4-1 in his starts
— under 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1-2
— He is 0-1, 4.50 in two games (1 start) vs Philly.
— Brewers lost their last three games.
— Milwaukee won seven of last ten road games.
— under 10-4 on road.
— scored run in first inning: 9-30
— record in first 5 innings: 13-12-5
— Former Brewer Anderson is 1-3, 5.40 in five starts.
— Phillies are 1-4 in his starts
— over 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-4
— He is 0-1, 6.55 in two starts against his old team.
— Phillies are 6-5 in their last 11 games.
— Phillies are 11-6 at home.
— over 10-4 last 14 home games.
— scored run in first inning: 11-30
— record in first 5 innings: 10-12-8
Atlanta (13-16) @ Washington (12-13)
— Fried comes off IL here; he is 0-1, 12.27 in three starts.
— Braves are 1-2 in his starts.
— over 2-1 in his starts
— allowed run in first inning: 2-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2
— He is 1-2, 6.48 in seven games (6 starts) vs Washington.
— Braves lost four of their last five games.
— Atlanta is 6-9 on the road.
— Over is 6-4 in their last ten games.
— scored run in first inning: 10-29
— record in first 5 innings: 12-12-5
— Fedde is 2-1, 2.81 in his last three starts
— Washington is 3-2 in his starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-1
— He is 0-2, 14.06 in five games (4 starts) vs Atlanta.
— Washington won four of its last five games.
— Nationals won five of their last six home games.
— under 8-2 last ten home games
— scored run in first inning: 7-25
— record in first 5 innings: 7-11-7
Mets (11-12) @ St Louis (17-12)
— Stroman is in five starts.
— Mets are 2-3 in his starts, scoring 13 runs.
— under 3-1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3
— He gave up a run in six IP, in his one start vs St Louis.
— Nightcap figures to be a bullpen game.
— Mets fired their batting coach after Monday’s game.
— Mets are 5-9 in their last 14 games.
— Mets are 5-8 on the road.
— Under 6-3-1 last ten games.
— scored run in first inning: 5-23
— record in first 5 innings: 10-11-2
— Oviedo allowed three runs in five IP (86 PT) in his first ‘21 start.
— Cardinals are 0-1 in his starts.
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-0-1
— He hasn’t pitched against New York.
— Kim is 1-0, 3.29 in three starts.
— Cardinals are 3-0 in his starts.
— over 2-0-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 3-0
— He hasn’t pitched against New York.
— Cardinals won nine of their last 11 games.
— St Louis is 6-2 in its last eight home games.
— Under 5-1-1 last seven home games.
— scored run in first inning: 9-29
— record in first 5 innings: 14-10-5
Pittsburgh (13-15) @ San Diego (16-14)
— Brubaker is 0-2, 3.75 in his last tw0 starts.
— Pirates are 2-3 in his starts.
— under 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-1
— He hasn’t pitched against San Diego.
— Pirates lost four of their last five games.
— Pittsburgh won six of last eight road tilts.
— under 5-1-1 last seven road games
— scored run in first inning: 7-28
— record in first 5 innings: 11-13-4
— Darvish is 3-1, 1.35 in his last five starts.
— Padres are 5-1 in his starts.
— over 3-3
— allowed run in first inning: 3-6
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2-3
— He is 3-2, 2.30 in seven starts vs Pittsburgh.
— Padres won seven of last 11 games.
— San Diego is 4-8 in its last 12 home games.
— under 8-2 last ten home games
— scored run in first inning: 9-31
— record in first 5 innings: 10-16-5
AL games
Houston (15-14) @ Bronx (15-14)
— Garcia is 0-2, 3.21 in three starts.
— Astros are 0-3 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against New York
— Astros won eight of their last 12 games.
— Astros are 4-7 in last 11 road games.
— over 3-1 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 8-29
— record in first 5 innings: 13-11-5
— Montgomery is 0-1, 5.66 in his last four starts.
— New York is 3-2 in his starts.
— under 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-4
— He is 0-1, 5.11 in three starts vs Houston.
— New York won 10 of its last 14 games.
— New York is 6-1 in its last seven home games.
— under 10-5 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 4-29
— record in first 5 innings: 14-12-3
Detroit (8-22) @ Boston (18-12)
— Mize is 0-3, 8.04 in his last three starts.
— Detroit is 2-3 in his starts.
— under 5-0 in his starts
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3
— He hasn’t pitched against Boston.
— Detroit lost 16 of its last 18 games.
— Detroit is 4-13 on the road.
— under 12-5 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 2-17 on road
— record in first 5 innings: 3-14 on road
— Perez is 0-2, 5.54 in three starts.
— Red Sox are 2-3 in his starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 3-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3-1
— He is 2-4, 6.81 in eight games (7 starts) vs Detroit.
— Boston lost three of its last five games.
— Red Sox won three of last four home games.
— under six of last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 8-30
— record in first 5 innings: 14-11-5
Texas (14-17) @ Minnesota (11-17)
— Yang is making his first MLB start.
— He’s allowed two runs in 8.2 IP, in two relief stints.
— Texas won four of its last six games.
— Texas is 7-8 on road.
— over 7-2 last nine road games.
— scored run in first inning: 8-31
— record in first 5 innings: 12-16-3
— Thorpe allowed 2 runs in four IP (60 PT) in his first ‘21 start.
— Twins are 0-1 in his starts.
— over 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Texas.
— Twins lost 15 of their last 21 games.
— Minnesota is 6-9 at home.
— over 7-0 last seven games
— scores run in first inning: 11-28
— record in first 5 innings: 12-11-5
Cleveland (15-13) @ Kansas City (16-12)
— Bieber is 2-1, 1.98 in his last five starts.
— Indians are 4-2 in his starts.
— under 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3-1
— He is 4-0, 3.59 in eight starts vs KC.
— Cleveland won seven of its last nine games.
— Indians are 8-7 on the road.
— over 10-3-1 last 14 games
— scores run in first inning: 6-28
— record in first 5 innings: 8-16-4
— Singer is 1-3, 4.63 in five starts.
— Royals are 2-3 in his starts.
— under 2-2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3-1
— He is 1-0, 1.38 in two starts vs Cleveland.
— Royals lost four of their last five games.
— Royals are 8-7 at home.
— last six games went over
— scores run in first inning: 5-28
— record in first 5 innings: 13-10-5
Tampa Bay (16-15) @ Angels (13-15)
— Yarbrough is 0-3, 5.67 in six games.
— They may/may not use an opener here.
— Rays are 1-3 in his starts.
— over 4-0
— allowed run in first inning: 2-4
— record in first 5 innings: 0-3-1
— He is 2-2, 7.25 in four games (2 starts) against the Angels.
— Tampa Bay is 5-8 in its last 13 games.
— Rays are 7-1 in last seven road games.
— seven of last 11 games stayed under
— scored run in first inning: 9-31
— record in first 5 innings: 12-11-8
— Ohtani is 1-0, 4.61 in three starts.
— Angels are 3-0 in his starts, scoring 22 runs.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 3-0
— He allowed two runs in 7.2 IP, in his one start vs Tampa Bay.
— Halos lost four of last five games overall.
— Angels are 7-5 at home.
— over 9-4 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 8-28
— record in first 5 innings: 12-14-2
Toronto (14-14) @ Oakland (19-12)
— Ray is 1-1, 2.78 in four starts.
— Blue Jays are 1-3 in his starts.
— under 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Oakland
— Toronto won six of its last ten games.
— Toronto lost three of last four road games.
— over 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 8-27
— record in first 5 innings: 11-14-2
— Bassitt is 2-0, 3.13 in his last four starts.
— A’s are 4-2 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2-1
— He is 0-1, 5.25 in two starts vs Toronto.
— A’s are 6-5 in their last 11 games.
— Oakland won 11 of its last 13 home games.
— Under is 12-6 in their last 18 games.
— scored run in first inning: 7-31
— record in first 5 innings: 13-12-6
Baltimore (14-16) @ Seattle (17-13)
— Means is 3-0, 1.70 in six starts.
— Baltimore is 4-2 in his starts.
— under 4-1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1-2
— He is 1-0, 3.00 in two starts vs Seattle.
— Orioles won six of their last ten games.
— Baltimore is 10-6 on the road, 4-10 at home.
— under is 12-4 in their last 16 games.
— scored run in first inning: 7-30
— record in first 5 innings: 11-13-6
— Kikuchi is 1-1, 4.40 in five starts.
— Seattle is 3-2 in his starts.
— over 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-1
— He gave up 3 runs in six IP, in his one start vs Baltimore.
— Seattle won four of its last six games.
— Seattle is 7-4 in its last 11 home games.
— over 3-2 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 7-31
— record in first 5 innings: 12-16-3
Interleague games
White Sox (16-12) @ Cincinnati (13-15)
— Keuchel is 1-1, 3.18 in his last three starts.
— Chicago is 4-2 in his starts.
— over 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 4-1-1
— He is 0-0, 2.50 in three starts vs Cincinnati.
— Chicago won 10 of its last 14 games.
— White Sox are 6-3 in last nine road games.
— over 3-1-1 last five games.
— scored run in first inning: 8-28
— record in first 5 innings: 19-4-5
— Gray is 0-2, 6.23 in three starts.
— Reds are 1-2 in his starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— you’re reading ***************.com
— record in first 5 innings: 0-3
— He is 4-0, 3.55 in six games (5 starts) vs Chicago.
— Cincinnati lost 10 of its last 14 games.
— Reds are 9-7 at home, 4-8 on road.
— Over 11-3-2 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 8-28
— record in first 5 innings: 12-13-3Leave a comment:
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951SAN FRANCISCO -952 COLORADO
COLORADO is 33-59 SU (-37.4 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start in the last 3 seasons.
953ARIZONA -954 MIAMI
ARIZONA is 57-33 SU (23.3 Units) vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) in the last 3 seasons.
955ATLANTA -956 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 10-22 SU (-19.4 Units) vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse over the last 2 seasons.
957MILWAUKEE -958 PHILADELPHIA
MILWAUKEE is 13-28 SU (-18.6 Units) vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons.
959LA DODGERS -960 CHICAGO CUBS
LA DODGERS are 104-80 SU (16 Units) against right-handed starters in the last 3 seasons.
961NY METS -962 ST LOUIS
NY METS are 23-35 SU (-15.5 Units) in road games in the first half of the season in the last 3 seasons.
963PITTSBURGH -964 SAN DIEGO
SAN DIEGO is 15-35 SU (-19.5 Units) with a team slugging percentage .390 or worse on the season (NL) in the last 3 seasons.
965BALTIMORE -966 SEATTLE
SEATTLE is 50-31 SU (16.3 Units) vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons.
967HOUSTON -968 NY YANKEES
NY YANKEES are 13-2 SU (12.4 Units) in home games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons.
969DETROIT -970 BOSTON
DETROIT is 3-12 SU (-12.8 Units) vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse in the current season.Leave a comment:
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Wednesday’s 6-pack
Odds to win the PGA Championship, later this month:
+1225— Justin Thomas
+1350— Jon Rahm
+1400— Dustin Johnson
+1600— Bryson DeChambeau
+1800— Jordan Spieth
+1900— Xavier Schauffele
Americans who have died from COVID-19: 577,651
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.
Quote of the Day
“As times keep going on, the game stays the same. I mean, the game has been the same since the Civil War. When it’s game time, when it’s my turn to hit in the box, it’s not Luis, its not Chili, it’s not the analytic department that’s in the box hitting. It’s Pete Alonso. It’s me. And that’s the same thing with every single one of those guys in the clubhouse.”
Pete Alonso, on the Mets changing hitting coaches
Wednesday’s quiz
Actor Burgess Meredith played Mick, the boxing trainer in Rocky; which villain did he play in the old Batman TV series?
Tuesday’s quiz
In the great TV show The Odd Couple, Felix Unger was a photographer (portraits a specialty)
Monday’s quiz
When Larry Bird/Magic Johnson played in the national title game in 1979 with Indiana State, Michigan State, DePaul/Pennsylvania were the other two teams in the Final Four that year. A team from the Ivy League made the Final Four.
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Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….
13) Giants 12-6, Rockies 4-8:
— Brandon Belt had five RBI in the first inning of the opener.
— Rockies scored six runs in the 7th inning of the nightcap.
— Charlie Blackmon hit a walk-off homer to get Colorado the split.
Think about it; it ain’t easy to get five RBI in one inning.
12) Cubs 7-4, Dodgers 1-3:
— Clayton Kershaw threw 39 pitches, got only three outs in the opener.
— Cubs won nightcap despite going 2-20 with men in scoring position.
— David Bote got the walk-off hit to give Chicago a sweep.
11) Kris Bryant is a third baseman, but he is versatile; this was the 12th game in a row that Bryant played in the outfield, instead of 3B- he also played some at 1B. Going to be really interesting to see if the Cubs trade Bryant this summer, and if so, to whom?
10) Mets fired their two hitting coaches; I had no idea there is also this analytical approach to hitting, where you just try to hit homers all the time, and pull the ball.
Chili Davis, the hitting coach who got fired, is an old-school coach who preached hitting line drives and spraying the ball. That isn’t what the Mets want, though, so a change was made.
Hope the new hitting coaches can fix Dom Smith; he is hitting .222 so far, and isn’t looking like the guy who hit .316 LY, sparking my fantasy team to an unexpectedly good season.
9) This was the first NFL Draft in 80 years where no Michigan State players were taken.
8) Last weekend, the Jets drafted two guys named Michael Carter:
— a North Carolina RB
— a Duke DB
When they turned in the card for the first Michael Carter they drafted, they originally thought they turned in the wrong card, but it wasn’t and they wound up with both of them anyway.
7) Denver Broncos RT Ja’Wuan James tore his achilles while working out on his own, which may turn out to be a very expensive injury.
Had the injury happened at the Broncos’ facility, the team would’ve been on the hook for the $10M he was supposed to be paid this season. But he was working out on his own, so the team isn’t obligated to pay him this season— he also opted out last year because of COVID.
6) Cubs’ 2B Javier Baez has struck out 40 times this season; 27 of the 40 third strikes were out of the strike zone— he has a tendency to chase pitches when behind in the count.
5) Dodgers lost P Dustin May for the season; he needs Tommy John surgery (elbow)
4) Jacob deGrom was scratched from his start last night because of “right lat inflammation”; he didn’t go on the IL yet. He has an 0.51 ERA in his first five starts.
Christian Yelich (back) went back on the IL again, after one day off the IL.
3) I read on the Interweb yesterday that dogs don’t like salt, which may explain why you never see them eating popcorn.
2) CC Sabathia is retired from baseball, but now his wife has become a player agent.
1) If the baseball playoffs started today (they don’t):
— NL: Phillies, Cardinals, Giants, Wild Card: LA or SD @ Milwaukee
— AL: Red Sox, CWS/KC, A’s. Wild Card: Seattle @ CWS or Kansas CityLeave a comment:
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Diamond Trends for Tuesday May 4
Vince Akins
ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Chicago White Sox at Cincinnati (6:40 p.m. ET)
-- The White Sox are 13-0 SU since Jun 06, 2005 as a road favorite off a home loss where they never led.
ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: San Francisco at Colorado (5:40 p.m. ET)
-- The Rockies are 0-11 SU since Aug 12, 2020 after they had 12+ hits last game.
OU Play Trend of the Day
Matchup: Texas at Minnesota (7:40 p.m. ET)
-- The Twins are 0-13 OU (-2.50 ppg) since Aug 09, 2019 at home after they allowed 5+ walks last game.
Starter-Based Trend of the Day
Matchup: Milwaukee at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. ET)
-- The Phillies are 12-0 SU since Jun 05, 2016 when Aaron Nola starts as a home -140+ favorite when they lost in his last start.
Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)Leave a comment:
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