Weather Report
Monday, May 17
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Monday’s 6-pack
NFL over/under win totals for 2021:
— Arizona Cardinals 8.5, +100
— Atlanta Falcons 7.5, -105
— Baltimore Ravens 10.5, -150
— Buffalo Bills 10.5, -155
— Carolina Panthers 7.5, +100
— Chicago Bears 7.5, -115
Quote of the Day
“He’s never been better, I can say that. He’s been great for a long time, though, so it’s hard to say he’s at his best now because he’s been like this for years.”
Warriors coach Steve Kerr, talking about Steph Curry
Monday’s quiz
Who was the Seattle Mariners’ manager last time they made the playoffs? (Hint: He won a World Series managing a different team)
Sunday’s quiz
Philip Seymour Hoffman played A’s manager Art Howe in Moneyball.
Saturday’s quiz
Mark Jackson was coach of the Golden State Warriors before Steve Kerr.
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Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports weekend
13) Knicks 96, Celtics 92:
— Knicks finish 41-31, the #4 seed in the East
— Last time they made the playoffs? Eight years ago.
— Last year, Knicks ranked 27th in opponents’ field goal %age. This year? They rank #1
— Tom Thibodeau is an excellent coach.
12) Matchups for the NBA play-in tournament this week:
East:
— 7-8 game: Washington @ Boston
— 9-10 game: Charlotte @ Indiana
West:
— 7-8 game: Golden State @ LA Lakers
— 9-10 game: San Antonio @ Memphis
— Winner of the 7-8 games make the playoffs
— Loser of the 9-10 games is eliminated
— Winner of the 9-10 games play the loser of the 7-8 games, for the last spots.
11) Gambling can be stressful:
If you bet on the Brewers Sunday, they led Atlanta 8-0 after six innings- they took starter Freddy Peralta out of the game, figuring they’d coast home.
Then the Braves scored 7 runs in the top of the 7th, but Milwaukee held on to win, 10-9, not before inducing some heartburn in Brewer backers.
10) Gambling can be traumatic:
If you bet on Colorado Sunday, they led the Reds 6-0 after seven innings; they took starter Antonio Senzatela out after the first batter of the 8th inning reached base. Cincinnati went on to rally for an unlikely 7-6 win, avoiding a series sweep.
9) A’s 7, Minnesota 6— Can’t remember the last time I saw a team do less to score the winning run in the last inning.
— Batter reaches base on catcher’s interference.
— Next batter hits a tapper to the mound; pitcher throws to second, but the guy there is the 3B because of the shift— he isn’t used to turning double plays, and he misses the throw, which goes into centerfield. Runner goes to third base.
— Next pitch is a wild pitch, and the go-ahead run scores.
8) San Diego Padres are 14-1 when they score 5+ runs, 10-16 if they do not.
Arizona Diamondbacks are 17-6 when they score 5+ runs, 1-17 if they do not.
7) Since 2017, most home runs against one team:
26— Mike Trout, vs Seattle
24— Aaron Judge, vs Baltimore
23— JD Martinez, vs Baltimore
6) White Sox catcher Yasmani Grandal is only 10-76 (.132) at the plate this season, but he’s also walked 29 times- his on-base %age is .388, which is really good.
5) Cubs’ pitching has been shaky on the road; they’re 1-4 in road games where they’ve scored 6 or more runs. Overall, Chicago is 6-12 away from Wrigley.
4) Jeremy Hefner is the Mets’ pitching coach; he pitched in 50 games for the Mets in 2012-13, starting 36 of them.
Odd Fact of the Day: At the plate, Hefner was only 2 for 52, but one of the hits was a home run, off Joe Blanton of the Phillies.
3) Washington State’s football program has a guy whose job title is: Director of Transfer Recruiting. This is the new wave in college recruiting, poaching kids from other schools, because teams are sure as hell trying to poach your players.
2) Other NBA playoff matchups:
— East: Miami-Milwaukee, Atlanta-New York
— West: Portland-Denver, Dallas-LA Clippers
1) If the baseball playoffs started today (they don’t):
NL: Mets, Cardinals, Giants Wild Card: Los Angeles @ San Diego
AL: Red Sox, White Sox, A’s Wild Card: Toronto @ HoustonLeave a comment:
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DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD
05/16/2021 0-0-0 0.00% +0 Detail
05/15/2021 12-13-1 48.08% -765 Detail
05/14/2021 10-11-1 47.73% -1325 Detail
05/13/2021 14-6-0 70.00% +4075 Detail
05/12/2021 14-11-1 55.77% +1575 Detail
TOTALS.............50-41-3....54.94%.....+35.60Leave a comment:
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SUNDAY, MAY 16
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS
SF at PIT 01:05 PM
SF -165
U 8.0
+500 +500
NYY at BAL 01:05 PM
BAL +150
O 9.0
+500 +500
PHI at TOR 01:07 PM
PHI +140
U 10.5
+500 +500
CHC at DET 01:10 PM
CHC -145
O 8.0
+500 +500
NYM at TB 01:10 PM
TB -105
U 7.5
+500 +500
LAA at BOS 01:10 PM
BOS -145
O 9.5
+500 +500
OAK at MIN 02:10 PM
OAK -115
U 8.5
+500 +500
TEX at HOU 02:10 PM
TEX +160
O 8.0
+500 +500
ATL at MIL 02:10 PM
MIL -130
U 7.0
+500 +500
KC at CHW 02:10 PM
CHW -160
O 8.5
+500 +500
CIN at COL 03:10 PM
COL +100
O 11.5
+500 +500
CLE at SEA 04:10 PM
CLE -200
U 7.5
+500 +500
MIA at LAD 04:10 PM
MIA +125
O 7.5
+500 +500
WAS at ARI 04:10 PM
ARI -105
O 9.5
+500 +500
STL at SD 07:08 PM
STL +110
U 7.0Leave a comment:
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Diamond Trends for Sunday May 16
Vince Akins
SU Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Miami at L.A. Dodgers (4:10 p.m. ET)
-- The Dodgers are 28-0 SU since Jun 25, 2006 in the last game of a series as a home -200 or greater favorite after they won and never trailed last game.
SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Chicago Cubs at Detroit (1:10 p.m. ET)
-- The Tigers are 0-13 SU since May 06, 2018 in the last game of a series as a dog after they won by one run last game.
OU Trend of the Day
St. Louis at San Diego (7:08 p.m. ET)
-- The Cardinals are 0-11-2 OU (-3.15 ppg) since Jul 20, 2019 as a dog off a road game in which they hit multiple home runs.
Starter-Based Trend of the Day
Matchup: Chicago Cubs at Detroit (1:10 p.m. ET)
-- The Tigers are 0-7 SU since Jun 02, 2019 when Matthew Boyd starts in the last game of a series when they split the first two games.
Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)Leave a comment:
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SUNDAY NIGHT BASEBALL; Cardinals vs. Padres Preview
Kevin Rogers
Score Prediction - Cardinals 5, Padres 3
The Cardinals have yet to been swept in a series this season as they look to grab a win at San Diego tonight.
San Diego's lineup has been hit hard by COVID protocols with the likes of Fernando Tatis, Jr. and Eric Hosmer sidelined.
Kwang-hyun Kim has turned into a reliable starting pitcher for the Cardinals and should do enough to limit San Diego's offense and grab the win.
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres Best Bets
St. Louis +105
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres Game Odds
St. Louis +105
San Diego -130
St. Louis (+1.5) -200
San Diego (-1.5) +165
Over (7) -110
Under (7) -110
Kwang-hyun Kim takes the mound tonight as the Cardinals try to avoid the sweep against the Padres at Petco Park. (AP)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres Betting Analysis
Venue: Petco Park
Location: San Diego, California
TV-Time: ESPN - 7:00 p.m. ET
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres Current Form
The Cardinals remain atop the National League Central at 23-17 in spite of losing the last two games to the Padres.
St. Louis is 2-3 on its current road trip as the Cardinals own an 11-9 mark away from Busch Stadium.
The Padres are creeping closer to first place in the National League West as they sit only one half-game behind the Giants entering Sunday.
San Diego moved to 23-17 on the season after picking up its fifth win in the last six games on Saturday night.
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres Series History
The Padres knocked the Cardinals out of the playoffs last season by taking two of three games at Petco Park to advance to the National League Divisional Series.
San Diego has continued that run by beating St. Louis twice at Petco Park this weekend. The Padres edged the Cardinals on Friday night, 5-4 as -175 favorites.
On Saturday night, the Padres racked Cardinals' starter Adam Wainwright for six runs in the first three innings of a 13-3 rout. San Diego hit three home runs in the game, as the Padres broke above .500 at home, improving to 11-10.
Pitching Matchup
St. Louis: Kwang-hyun Kim (1-0, 2.74 ERA)
Kim has made five starts this season and the Cardinals have yet to lose with the southpaw on the mound.
The Korean hurler has allowed one earned run in each of his last four outings, while St. Louis owns an amazing 11-2 mark in his past 13 starts since 2020.
San Diego: Ryan Weathers (2-1, 0.81 ERA)
Weathers gets the job done whenever he takes the mound for the Padres, as the southpaw makes his fourth start on the season on Sunday.
The left-hander has given up only two earned runs in 22.1 innings of work, while making his first start since April 28 at Arizona.
The longest outing by Weathers this season was 5.2 innings in a 3-2 victory at Los Angeles on April 16, as he struck out six and allowed one hit.
Trends to Watch
St. Louis
5-2 vs. LHP starters
5-1 in last six series finales
San Diego
2-4 in home series finales
Under 5-1 in last six vs. LHP startersLeave a comment:
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MLB
Sunday, May 16
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Trend Report
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NY Yankees @ Baltimore
NY Yankees
NY Yankees is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
NY Yankees is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 8 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Baltimore's last 15 games when playing NY Yankees
San Francisco @ Pittsburgh
San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Francisco's last 7 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing at home against San Francisco
Philadelphia @ Toronto
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games on the road
Toronto
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
LA Angels @ Boston
LA Angels
LA Angels is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Angels's last 6 games
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games at home
Chi Cubs @ Detroit
Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games
Detroit
Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
NY Mets @ Tampa Bay
NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 8 of NY Mets's last 9 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
NY Mets is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games when playing at home against NY Mets
Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing NY Mets
Kansas City @ Chi White Sox
Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games on the road
Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games when playing at home against Kansas City
Chi White Sox is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games
Texas @ Houston
Texas
Texas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Houston
Texas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Atlanta @ Milwaukee
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games on the road
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 7 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games
Oakland @ Minnesota
Oakland
Oakland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Oakland is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Minnesota's last 9 games when playing at home against Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Minnesota's last 16 games
Cincinnati @ Colorado
Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Cincinnati's last 11 games on the road
Colorado
Colorado is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
Colorado is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Washington @ Arizona
Washington
Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing at home against Washington
Arizona is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Washington
Miami @ LA Dodgers
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games on the road
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Cleveland @ Seattle
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Seattle
Cleveland is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
Seattle
Seattle is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing Cleveland
St. Louis @ San Diego
St. Louis
St. Louis is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Diego
San Diego
San Diego is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
San Diego is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Leave a comment:
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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up
Sunday, May 16
NL games
San Francisco (23-16) @ Pittsburgh (17-22)
— Wood is 4-0, 1.80 in five starts.
— Giants are 4-1 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 4-0-1
— He is 3-3, 3.09 in nine starts vs Pittsburgh.
— Giants are 7-5 in their last 12 games.
— Giants are 3-7 in last ten road games.
— Over is 13-6-1 in their last 20 games.
— scored run in first inning: 10-39
— record in first 5 innings: 22-11-6
— Keller is 1-3, 9.15 in his last five starts.
— Pirates are 3-4 in his starts.
— over 4-3
— allowed run in first inning: 4-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-4-1
— He gave up 5 runs in five IP, in his one start vs San Francisco
— Pirates lost 11 of their last 16 games.
— Pittsburgh lost seven of its last ten home games.
— under 8-4 last 12 games
— scored run in first inning: 9-39
— record in first 5 innings: 14-18-7
Atlanta (19-20) @ Milwaukee (20-20)
— Ynoa is 3-0, 0.98 in his last three starts.
— Braves are 4-2 in his starts.
— under 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 4-1-1
— He gave up six runs in one inning of relief vs Milwaukee.
— Braves lost three of their last five games overall.
— Atlanta won its last five road games.
— Under is 8-4 in their last 12 games.
— scored run in first inning: 14-39
— record in first 5 innings: 19-15-5
— Peralta is 3-1, 2.92 in seven starts.
— Milwaukee is 4-3 in his starts.
— under 3-3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-3
— He is 1-1, 6.97 in three games (2 starts) vs Atlanta.
— Brewers lost 10 of their last 13 games.
— Milwaukee is 9-12 at home.
— under 6-1-2 last nine games.
— scored run in first inning: 9-40
— record in first 5 innings: 15-17-8
Cincinnati (18-19) @ Colorado (15-25)
— Former Rockie Hoffman is 0-2, 7.04 in his last four starts.
— Reds are 3-4 in his starts.
— over 6-0-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— you’re reading ***************.com
— record in first 5 innings: 2-4-1
— He is 5-8, 7.58 in 40 games (22 starts) at Coors Field.
— Cincinnati is 6-5 in its last 11 games.
— Reds are 8-12 on road.
— Over 16-6-3 last 25 games
— scored run in first inning: 8-37
— record in first 5 innings: 13-17-7
— Senzatela is 0-3, 6.94 in his last five starts.
— Colorado is 1-6 in his starts.
— under 5-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 1-4-2
— He gave up 12 runs in 10.1 IP in two starts vs Cincinnati.
— Colorado won three of its last four games.
— Rockies are 13-6 in their last 19 home games.
— over 9-2-1 last 12 home games.
— scored run in first inning: 15-40
— record in first 5 innings: 15-18-7
Washington (15-20) @ Arizona (18-22)
— Fedde is 1-3, 5.14 in his last four starts.
— Washington is 3-4 in his starts.
— under 5-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-4-1
— He is 1-1, 4.91 in two starts vs Arizona.
— Washington lost eight of its last 11 games.
— Nationals are 6-10 on the road.
— under 10-4 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 10-35
— record in first 5 innings: 10-16-9
— Weaver is 1-3, 6.56 in his last five starts.
— Arizona is 4-3 in his starts
— under 4-2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-4-1
— He is 0-2, 7.04 in two starts vs Washington.
— Arizona lost 10 of its last 14 games.
— Arizona is 7-5 in its last 12 home games.
— under 5-3 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 8-40
— record in first 5 innings: 19-18-3
Miami (17-22) @ Dodgers (22-17)
— Lopez is 0-2, 2.86 in his last five starts.
— Marlins are 3-5 in his starts.
— under 3-1-1 last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 1-8
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3-4
— He hasn’t pitched against the Dodgers.
— Marlins lost five of their last seven games.
— Miami is 3-8 in their last 11 road tilts.
— under 8-3-2 in their last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 13-39
— record in first 5 innings: 13-18-8
— Bullpen game for the Dodgers.
— Dodgers won their last four games.
— Dodgers are 6-5 in last 11 home games.
— over 15-4-1 last 20 games
— scored run in first inning: 9-39
— record in first 5 innings: 19-14-6
St Louis (23-17) @ San Diego (23-17)
— Kim is 1-0, 2.74 in five starts (23 IP)
— Cardinals are 5-0 in his starts.
— over 2-1-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 4-0-1
— He hasn’t pitched against San Diego.
— Cardinals lost three of their last four games.
— St Louis is 10-8 in its last 18 road games.
— Under 7-5-1 last 13 games.
— scored run in first inning: 12-40
— record in first 5 innings: 19-14-7
— Weathers has allowed two runs in 22.1 IP in eight games (3 starts).
— Padres are 2-1 in his starts- they might use an opener.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 3-0
— He hasn’t pitched against St Louis
— Padres are 10-5 in their last 15 games.
— San Diego is 6-2 in its last eight home games.
— over 6-2 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 11-40
— record in first 5 innings: 15-19-6
AL games
Kansas City (18-21) @ White Sox (23-15)
— Singer is 1-1, 3.38 in his last five starts.
— Royals are 2-5 in his starts.
— over 4-2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-4-1
— He is 0-1, 6.75 in two starts vs Chicago.
— Royals lost 12 of their last 14 games overall.
— Royals lost 7 of their last 9 road games.
— 11 of last 17 games went over
— scores run in first inning: 8-39
— record in first 5 innings: 16-18-5
— Cease is 2-0, 1.50 in his last three starts
— Chicago won his last four starts.
— over 5-1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1-3
— He is 2-1, 3.81 in five starts vs Kansas City.
— Chicago is 11-6 in its last 17 games.
— White Sox are 10-5 in last 15 home games.
— over 6-4-1 last 11 home games.
— scored run in first inning: 12-38
— record in first 5 innings: 25-6-7
Bronx (22-17) @ Baltimore (16-23)
— Montgomery is 1-0, 3.18 in his last three starts.
— New York is 5-2 in his starts.
— under 5-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-4-1
— He is 3-1, 2.63 in nine starts vs Baltimore.
— New York won 17 of its last 24 games.
— New York is 9-4 in its last 13 road games.
— under 15-10 last 25 games
— scored run in first inning: 8-39
— record in first 5 innings: 18-14-7
— Means is 3-0, 0.76 in his last five starts.
— Orioles are 6-2 in his starts.
— under 6-1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-8
— record in first 5 innings: 4-1-3
— He is 1-2, 6.23 in eight games (5 starts) vs New York.
— Orioles lost nine of their last 12 games.
— Baltimore is 11-8 on the road, 5-15 at home.
— under is 17-8 in their last 25 games.
— scored run in first inning: 10-39
— record in first 5 innings: 14-17-8
Angels (16-22) @ Boston (25-16)
— Quintana is 0-2, 6.75 in his last four starts.
— Angels are 2-4 in his starts.
— over 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 2-4
— He is 3-1, 3.99 in eight starts vs Boston.
— Halos are 3-10 in last 13 games overall.
— Angels are 5-8 in their last 13 road games.
— over 13-10 last 23 games
— scored run in first inning: 8-38
— record in first 5 innings: 16-20-2
— Eovaldi is 1-1, 5.48 in his last four starts.
— Red Sox are 5-3 in his starts.
— under 4-4
— allowed run in first inning: 2-8
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2-2
— He is 2-1, 4.18 in six starts against the Angels.
— Boston won seven of its last ten games.
— Red Sox are 10-5 in last 15 home games.
— under 6-0-1 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 13-41
— record in first 5 innings: 19-14-8
Texas (18-23) @ Houston (23-17)
— Gibson is 3-0, 1.53 in his last seven starts
— Rangers are 5-3 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 3-8
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2-3
— He is 4-2, 2.59 in nine starts vs Houston.
— Texas lost its last five games.
— Texas is 9-13 on the road.
— under 5-2 last seven road games.
— scored run in first inning: 12-41
— record in first 5 innings: 14-20-7
— McCullers is 1-0, 2.37 in his last three starts.
— Astros are 3-3 in his starts.
— over 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3-1
— He is 1-4, 4.23 in nine starts vs Texas.
— Astros won eight of their last ten games.
— Astros are 12-5 in last 17 home games.
— over 10-5 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 11-40
— record in first 5 innings: 20-13-7
Oakland (24-17) @ Minnesota (13-24)
— Bassitt is 3-0, 2.92 in his last six starts.
— A’s are 5-1 in his last six starts.
— under 4-1 last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-8
— record in first 5 innings: 4-1-3
— He is 1-0, 2.16 in five games (2 starts) vs Minnesota.
— A’s are 5-3 in their last eight games.
— Oakland is 11-6 on the road.
— Under is 7-1-1 in their last nine road games.
— scored run in first inning: 11-41
— record in first 5 innings: 17-14-10
— Maeda is 1-1, 4.50 in his last three starts.
— Twins are 2-5 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-3
— He gave up 7 runs in three IP, in his one start vs Oakland.
— Twins lost 22 of their last 30 games.
— Minnesota is 4-7 in last 11 home games.
— over 12-4 last 16 games
— scores run in first inning: 15-37
— record in first 5 innings: 14-15-8
Cleveland (21-16) @ Seattle (20-19)
— Bieber is 2-0, 3.37 in his last three starts.
— Indians are 6-2 in his starts.
— under 5-3
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4-1
— He is 1-0, 1.32 in two starts vs Seattle.
— Cleveland won 13 of its last 18 games.
— Indians won six of their last eight road games.
— under 5-3 last eight games
— scores run in first inning: 7-37
— record in first 5 innings: 12-19-6
— Bullpen game for the Mariners.
— Seattle is 5-8 in its last 13 games.
— Seattle is 9-6 in its last 15 home games.
— over 6-1-1 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 11-40
— record in first 5 innings: 16-20-4
Interleague games
Cubs (18-20) @ Detroit (14-25)
— Hendricks is 1-2, 8.04 in his last three starts.
— Cubs are 2-5 in his starts.
— over 6-1
— allowed run in first inning: 4-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-4-1
— He is 0-1, 3.75 in two starts vs Detroit.
— Cubs lost four of their last five games.
— Chicago is 4-12 in its last 16 road games.
— Under is 4-2 in their last six road games.
— scored run in first inning: 13-38
— record in first 5 innings: 15-17-6
— Boyd is 1-2, 2.17 in his last five starts.
— Detroit is 3-4 in his starts.
— under 4-3 in his starts
— allowed run in first inning: 0-7
— record in first 5 innings: 4-3
— He gave up a run in 0.2 IP, in one relief stint vs Chicago.
— Detroit won five of its last six games.
— Detroit is 9-11 at home.
— under 13-7 at home
— scored run in first inning: 7-39
— record in first 5 innings: 5-18-3 last 26 games
Mets (18-15) @ Tampa Bay (22-19)
— Stroman is 0-3, 5.31 in his last four starts.
— Mets are 4-3 in his starts.
— under 5-0-1 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3-1
— He is 5-6, 4.35 in 14 starts vs Tampa Bay.
— Mets are 9-4 in their last 13 games.
— Mets split their last eight road games.
— Under 12-7-1 last 20 games.
— scored run in first inning: 5-33
— record in first 5 innings: 16-14-3
— Yarbrough is 1-1, 2.63 in his last five games (24 IP)
— Rays probably use an opener here.
— Rays are 1-3 in his starts.
— over 4-0 in his starts
— allowed run in first inning: 2-4
— record in first 5 innings: 0-3-1
— He allowed a run in two IP, in one relief stint against the Mets.
— Tampa Bay split its last eight games.
— Rays are 6-7 in last 13 home games.
— 13 of last 21 games stayed under
— scored run in first inning: 11-41
— record in first 5 innings: 14-16-11
Philadelphia (21-19) @ Toronto (21-17)
— Anderson is 2-0, 3.77 in his last three starts.
— Phillies are 3-4 in his starts
— over 4-3
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4
— He threw 7 shutout innings, in his one start vs Toronto.
— Phillies won eight of their last 12 games.
— Phillies are 8-13 on the road.
— under 12-4 last 16 road games.
— scored run in first inning: 18-40
— record in first 5 innings: 14-16-10
— Ray is 1-1, 3.38 in six starts.
— Blue Jays are 3-3 in his starts.
— under 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-2
— He is 2-2, 5.51 in six starts vs Philly.
— Toronto is 13-7 in its last 20 games.
— Toronto is 5-6 in last 11 road games.
— over 11-6 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 12-38
— record in first 5 innings: 14-19-5
Sunday’s umpires:
SF-Pitt- Over is 3-1 in last four Blaser games.
Atl-Mil- Underdogs are 4-1 in Riggs games.
Cin-Colo- Favorites won five of six Additon games.
Wsh-Az- Under is 4-1 in Mahrley games.
Mia-LA- Road team is 6-1 in Bucknor games.
StL-SD- Favorites won three of last four Gibson games.
NY-Balt- Under is 5-1 in last six Timmons games.
LAA-Bos- Under is 5-2 in Willis games.
KC-Chi- Over is 6-1-1 in Moscoso games.
A’s-Min— Under is 4-1 in Libka games.
Tex-Hst- Over is 3-1 in last four Guccione games.
Clev-Sea- Favorites won six of last seven Barksdale games.
Chi-Det- Under is 5-2 in last seven Hoberg games.
NY-TB- Under is 5-2 in Miller games.
Phil-Tor- Over is 4-3 in Fletcher games.Leave a comment:
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901SAN FRANCISCO -902 PITTSBURGH
SAN FRANCISCO is 22-12 SU (11.9 Units) vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the current season.
903ATLANTA -904 MILWAUKEE
MILWAUKEE is 17-34 SU (-20.8 Units) vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons.
905CINCINNATI -906 COLORADO
CINCINNATI is 0-12 SU (-13.3 Units) vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities in the current season.
907MIAMI -908 LA DODGERS
LA DODGERS are 13-4 SU (8.6 Units) in home games in May games in the last 3 seasons.
909WASHINGTON -910 ARIZONA
WASHINGTON is 11-24 SU (-20.8 Units) vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse over the last 2 seasons.
911ST LOUIS -912 SAN DIEGO
ST LOUIS are 9-1 SU (7.9 Units) when the total is 7 or less in the current season.
913NY YANKEES -914 BALTIMORE
NY YANKEES are 8-20 SU (-15 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
915LA ANGELS -916 BOSTON
BOSTON is 12-2 SU (9.8 Units) when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.
917TEXAS -918 HOUSTON
TEXAS are 22-10 SU (10.6 Units) vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the current season.
919OAKLAND -920 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 7-24 SU (-21.5 Units) vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the current season.Leave a comment:
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Sunday’s 6-pack
MLB leaders in RBI:
33— JD Martinez Bos, Jose Abreu CWS
32— Jesus Aguilar, Mia
31— Trey Mancini Blt, Rafael Devers Bos
30— Mitch Haniger Sea, Yuli Gurriel Hst
29— Jared Walsh, LAA
28— Guerrero, Grichuk, Peralta
Quote of the Day
“Sometimes you have to go through the worst in order to get to the best.”
Anonymous
Sunday’s quiz
What well-known actor (now deceased) played A’s manager Art Howe in Moneyball?
Saturday’s quiz
Mark Jackson was coach of the Golden State Warriors before Steve Kerr.
Friday’s quiz
Roy Hobbs played for the New York Knights in Robert Redford’s baseball movie, The Natural.
************************************************** **
Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday
13) Tough day physically for some baseball stars:
— Bryce Harper has a bad shoulder, is day-to-day.
— JT Realmuto has a left wrist issue, is day-to-day.
— Corey Seager broke his right hand, is done for a while.
In a related issue, we’re all day-to-day.
12) Phillies have scored at least one first inning run 10 of their last 13 games, but with their two biggest stars banged up, that seems less likely to happen for a while.
11) Takes a lot of players for a team to make the playoffs in baseball, more than the 26 on a roster at one time. The 2012 A’s made an unlikely run to the playoffs with a lot of late-inning wins, one of which was when a guy named Brandon Hicks hit a walk-off homer vs Texas.
Hicks hit one of the biggest homers of that season for the A’s, but he only batted for them 70 times that whole season— a very unlikely hero.
10) Underrated TV channel is AMC, #254 on DirecTV. Did my writing tonight while watching Moneyball and A Few Good Men, two excellent movies.
9) Eagles-Cowboys have played on Sunday Night Football once every year since 2010, but this year they won’t, they’ll meet on Monday Night Football instead, in Week 3.
Sunday night games have become higher profile than the Monday night matchups; both those teams had losing records last year, which is probably why they got shuffled to Monday.
8) Albert Pujols is going to sign a deal with the Dodgers, to provide a bat off the bench; will he be their DH next year, when the universal DH probably kicks in for every team?
7) Last six times I’ve been to a McDonald’s (two different ones) the milkshake machine only worked once. This is a problem; their milkshakes are very good.
6) The Jimmy John’s commercials with Brad Garrett have become annoying; they’re on a lot, and they’re not funny.
5) I’ve been a big Bill James fan since I was in college; have always bought his books and read them. Don’t always agree with what he says, but he’s had a great impact on baseball, which is pretty awesome for a guy who was a security guard at a pork and beans company when he started writing those books.
In 1983, I wrote Bill James a letter and he answered me back, a hand-written note that is still around here somewhere. I’m wondering if/when things in baseball will start swinging back towards more traditional baseball thinking.
Will bullpens get worn out later this summer? Do starting pitchers need to be trained to go deeper into games? Is so much shifting a good idea? (Hopefully, shifting will be banned or greatly reduced soon).
4) Pirates 8, Giants 6— San Francisco led 6-2 in 7th inning, but Jacob Stallings hit a walk-off homer to send everyone home happy. Stallings’ father Kevin used to be the basketball coach at Vanderbilt and Pitt.
3) Tigers 9, Cubs 8— Chicago is 5-12 on the road; they’re going to be an interesting team to follow in July. Will they have a fire sale? Bryant/Rizzo would bring back a pretty good haul.
2) Astros 6, Rangers 5— Houston has won eight of its last ten games.
1) Six years ago today, we lost my dad, a very sad night. He was a great friend, an honest guy who loved to play golf and root for the Mets. I miss him every day.Leave a comment:
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SATURDAY, MAY 15
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS
OAK at MIN 04:05 PM
OAK +125
U 8.5
+500 +500
CHC at DET 04:10 PM
DET +125
O 9.0
+500 +500
LAA at BOS 04:10 PM
BOS +100
U 9.5
+500 +500
SF at PIT 06:35 PM
SF -120
O 7.5
+500 +500
NYY at BAL 07:05 PM
NYY -160
U 9.0
+500 +500
TEX at HOU 07:10 PM
HOU -165
O 8.5
+500 +500
ATL at MIL 07:10 PM
MIL +105
O 8.0
+500 +500
KC at CHW 07:10 PM
KC +167
O 8.0
+500 +500
PHI at TOR 07:37 PM
PHI -145
U 9.5
+500 +500
WAS at ARI 08:10 PM
ARI +100
U 9.5
+500 +500
CIN at COL 08:10 PM
CIN -170
O 11.0
+500 +500
STL at SD 08:40 PM
STL +110
U 7.0
+500 +500
CLE at SEA 09:10 PM
CLE -110
U 8.5
+500 +500
Leave a comment:
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Diamond Trends for Saturday May 15
Vince Akins
SU Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Kansas City at Chicago White Sox (7:10 p.m. ET)
-- The White Sox are 8-0 SU since Aug. 16, 2020 as a favorite off a game as a favorite in which they allowed 6+ runs.
SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: L.A. Angels at Boston (4:10 p.m. ET)
-- The Angels are 0-9 SU since Aug. 8, 2020 after they lost by one run.
OU Trend of the Day
Matchup: Cincinnati at Colorado (8:10 p.m. ET)
-- The Reds are 10-0-1 OU (3.32 ppg) since Sept. 10, 2020 on the road after they hit more home runs than their opponent last game.
Starter-Based Trend of the Day
Matchup: Washington at Arizona (8:10 p.m. ET)
-- The Nationals are 8-0 SU since Sept. 6, 2015 when Joe Ross starts as a favorite after he averageed more than four pitchers per atter in his last start.
Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)Leave a comment:
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MLB
Saturday, May 15
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Trend Report
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NY Mets @ Tampa Bay
NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Mets's last 8 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
NY Mets is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games when playing at home against NY Mets
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Mets
Oakland @ Minnesota
Oakland
Oakland is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Oakland's last 8 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Minnesota's last 8 games when playing at home against Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Minnesota's last 15 games
LA Angels @ Boston
LA Angels
LA Angels is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games
Boston is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing LA Angels
Chi Cubs @ Detroit
Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games
Detroit
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
San Francisco @ Pittsburgh
San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing at home against San Francisco
Pittsburgh is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Francisco
NY Yankees @ Baltimore
NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Yankees's last 7 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
NY Yankees is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 7 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
Kansas City @ Chi White Sox
Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
Kansas City is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games
Chi White Sox is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Texas @ Houston
Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas's last 6 games on the road
Texas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Houston
Houston
Houston is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Texas
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Atlanta @ Milwaukee
Atlanta
Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 12 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Philadelphia @ Toronto
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
Toronto
Toronto is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Toronto is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
Washington @ Arizona
Washington
Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
Arizona is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Washington
Cincinnati @ Colorado
Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games
Colorado
Colorado is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Colorado is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
St. Louis @ San Diego
St. Louis
St. Louis is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
St. Louis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
San Diego
San Diego is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of San Diego's last 19 games at home
Miami @ LA Dodgers
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 8 of LA Dodgers's last 9 games at home
Cleveland @ Seattle
Cleveland
Cleveland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Cleveland is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
Seattle
Seattle is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games at home
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