TUESDAY, JULY 6
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS
TOR at BAL 07:05 PM
TOR -186
+500
ATL at PIT 07:05 PM
PIT +166
+500
LAD at MIA 07:10 PM
MIA +118
+500
MIL at NYM 07:10 PM
MIL +226
+500
PHI at CHC 08:05 PM
PHI -139
+500
DET at TEX 08:05 PM
DET +156
+500
CHW at MIN 08:10 PM
CHW -118
+500
OAK at HOU 08:10 PM
HOU -152
+500
CIN at KC 08:10 PM
CIN -153
+500
BOS at LAA 09:38 PM
BOS -112
+500
COL at ARI 09:40 PM
COL +118
+500
STL at SF 09:45 PM
SF -131
O 8.0
+500 +500
NYY at SEA 10:10 PM
SEA +148
+500
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Diamond Trends for Tuesday July 6
Vince Akins
SU Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Oakland at Houston (8:10 p.m. ET)
-- The Astros are 12-0 SU since May 11, 2021 at home off a game as a favorite in which they held a multiple-run lead.
SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Colorado at Arizona (9:40 p.m. ET)
-- The Diamondbacks are 0-13 SU since Apr 28, 2021 after they allowed 6 or fewer hits last game.
OU Trend of the Day
Matchup: St. Louis at San Francisco (9:45 p.m. ET)
-- The Cardinals are 0-10 OU (-3.55 ppg) since Jun 21, 2019 as a dog after a game that was tied at the end of at least six separate innings.
Starter-Based Trend of the Day
Matchup: Atlanta at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. ET)
-- The Pirates are 8-0 SU since Aug 03, 2017 when Chad Kuhl starts at home when they scored less than 3 runs in his last start.
Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)Leave a comment:
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MLB
Tuesday, July 6
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Trend Report
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Toronto @ Baltimore
Toronto
Toronto is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Toronto is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Baltimore
Baltimore is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games at home
Atlanta @ Pittsburgh
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games on the road
Atlanta is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games at home
LA Dodgers @ Miami
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
Milwaukee @ NY Mets
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing NY Mets
Milwaukee is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
NY Mets is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
Philadelphia @ Chi Cubs
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Detroit @ Texas
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Texas
Texas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games
Oakland @ Houston
Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Oakland's last 12 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games on the road
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Houston's last 12 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games at home
Cincinnati @ Kansas City
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games
Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Kansas City's last 11 games when playing Cincinnati
Chi White Sox @ Minnesota
Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chi White Sox's last 8 games on the road
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games at home
Boston @ LA Angels
Boston
Boston is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
LA Angels
LA Angels is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Boston
LA Angels is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Colorado @ Arizona
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Colorado's last 7 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arizona's last 7 games when playing at home against Colorado
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Colorado
St. Louis @ San Francisco
St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games on the road
St. Louis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 9 of San Francisco's last 12 games when playing St. Louis
Washington @ San Diego
Washington
Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Diego
Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Diego
San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego's last 5 games at home
San Diego is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home
NY Yankees @ Seattle
NY Yankees
NY Yankees is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games when playing Seattle
NY Yankees is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Leave a comment:
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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up
Tuesday, July 6
NL games
Dodgers (53-32) @ Miami (36-47)
— Gonsolin is 0-0, 2.77 in four starts (13 IP).
— Dodgers are 4-0 in his starts.
— under 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 3-4
— record in first 5 innings: 4-0
— He hasn’t pitched against Miami.
— Dodgers are 9-5 in their last 14 games.
— Dodgers are 10-6 in their last 16 road games.
— over 6-3 last nine road games
— scored run in first inning: 24-85
— record in first 5 innings: 43-28-14
— Lopez is 2-1, 2.08 in his last three starts.
— Marlins are 8-9 in his starts.
— over 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 4-17
— record in first 5 innings: 6-6-5
— He gave up 2 runs in 5 IP, in one start vs Los Angeles.
— Marlins are 7-12 in their last 19 games.
— Miami is 3-5 in its last eight home games.
— under 15-10-1 last 26 games
— scored run in first inning: 18-81
— record in first 5 innings: 32-34-15
Atlanta (41-43) @ Pittsburgh (31-53)
— Anderson is 1-1, 2.45 in his last three starts.
— Braves are 9-7 in his starts.
— under 8-7-1
— allowed run in first inning: 6-16
— you’re reading ***************.com
— record in first 5 innings: 6-7-3
— He threw 6 shutout IP, in his one start vs Pittsburgh.
— Braves are 12-14 in their last 26 games
— Atlanta is 5-9 in its last 14 road games.
— under 9-4-1 in last 14 games.
— scored run in first inning: 30-84
— record in first 5 innings: 43-30-11
— Kuhl is 2-1, 2.76 in his last three starts.
— Pirates are 5-5 in his starts.
— over 8-2
— allowed run in first inning: 5-10
— record in first 5 innings: 5-3-2
— He gave up 3 runs in 5 IP, in one start vs Atlanta.
— Pirates lost six of last eight games.
— Pittsburgh is 10-10 in its last 20 home games.
— under 5-4-1 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 24-84
— record in first 5 innings: 25-48-11
Milwaukee (51-35) @ Mets (44-37)
— Anderson is 0-2, 5.63 in his last six starts.
— Milwaukee is 6-6 in his starts.
— under 5-2-1 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 3-12
— record in first 5 innings: 4-6-2
— He hasn’t pitched against New York.
— Brewers won 13 of their last 16 games.
— Milwaukee won seven of last ten road games.
— over 6-5 last 11 road games.
— scored run in first inning: 29-86
— record in first 5 innings: 40-28-18
— deGrom is 1-0, 2.14 in his last four starts.
— Mets are 10-4 in his starts.
— over 3-0-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-14
— He is 3-3, 4.80 in eight starts vs Milwaukee.
— Mets are 9-12 in their last 21 games.
— Mets are 19-7 in their last 26 home games.
— under 6-2 last eight home games.
— scored run in first inning: 19-81
— record in first 5 innings: 37-34-10
Philadelphia (40-42) @ Cubs (42-43)
— Nola is 0-1, 9.49 in his last three starts.
— Phillies are 8-9 in his starts.
— over 8-8-1
— allowed run in first inning: 7-17
— record in first 5 innings: 9-7-1
— He is 3-1, 4.26 in five starts vs Chicago.
— Phillies are 7-9 in their last 16 games.
— Phillies are 24-16 at home, 16-26 on road.
— under 12-8 last 20 games.
— scored run in first inning: 27-82
— record in first 5 innings: 31-31-20
— Arrieta is 0-2, 8.69 in his last five starts.
— Cubs are 1-6 in his last seven starts.
— under 7-3 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 6-16
— record in first 5 innings: 4-11-1
— He is 4-2, 4.06 in six starts vs Philly.
— Cubs lost 10 in row, 16 of last 20 games.
— Chicago is 11-5 in its last 16 home games.
— Under is 23-11 in their last 34 games.
— scored run in first inning: 25-85
— record in first 5 innings: 37-36-12
Colorado (37-48) @ Arizona (23-62)
— Gray is 1-1, 4.73 in his last three starts.
— Rockies are 6-8 in his starts.
— over 7-2 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 5-14
— you’re reading ***************.com
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-3
— He is 1-1, 4.34 in three starts vs Arizona this year.
— Colorado is 12-7 in its last 19 games.
— Rockies are 31-17 at home, 6-31 on road.
— under 7-0 last seven games.
— scored run in first inning: 26-85
— record in first 5 innings: 33-39-13
— Kelly is 3-0, 1.80 in his last three starts.
— Arizona is 7-10 in his starts.
— over 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 5-17
— record in first 5 innings: 7-9-2
— He is 1-3, 7.06 in five starts vs Colorado.
— Arizona lost 47 of its last 54 games.
— Arizona is 2-11 in its last 13 home games.
— under 6-3 last nine home games
— scored run in first inning: 14-85
— record in first 5 innings: 27-52-6
St Louis (42-44) @ San Francisco (52-31)
— Wainwright is 3-0, 2.12 in his last five starts.
— Cardinals are 8-8 in his starts.
— under 10-6
— allowed run in first inning: 3-16
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-5
— He is 7-7, 3.09 in 17 games (15 starts) vs San Francisco.
— Cardinals won six of their last nine games.
— St Louis is 3-12 in its last 15 road games.
— Under is 14-6-2 in their last 22 games.
— scored run in first inning: 25-85
— record in first 5 innings: 33-35-17
— Cueto is 2-1, 4.00 in his last three starts.
— Giants are 8-5 in his starts.
— under 6-0 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 3-13
— record in first 5 innings: 6-6-1
— He is 7-9, 3.92 in 24 starts vs St Louis.
— Giants are 18-10 in their last 28 games.
— Giants are 11-4 in last 15 home games.
— Over is 7-3 in their last ten home games.
— scored run in first inning: 23-83
— record in first 5 innings: 45-26-12
Washington (41-42) @ San Diego (50-37)
— Corbin is 0-2, 7.59 in his last two starts.
— Washington is 8-8 in his starts.
— under 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 8-16
— record in first 5 innings: 6-7-3
— He is 6-8, 4.30 in 20 games (15 starts) vs San Diego.
— Washington lost four of its last five games.
— Nationals are 6-2 in last eight road games.
— under 8-6 last 14 road games
— scored run in first inning: 28-83
— record in first 5 innings: 34-30-19
— Weathers is 1-1, 4.15 in his last six starts.
— Padres are 5-4 in his starts.
— over 4-2 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 1-9
— record in first 5 innings: 6-3
— He hasn’t pitched against Washington.
— Padres won 12 of their last 17 games.
— San Diego is 9-2 in its last 11 home games.
— over 13 of last 19 games
— scored run in first inning: 27-87
— record in first 5 innings: 34-38-15
AL games
Toronto (43-39) @ Baltimore (27-56)
— Matz is 1-1, 6.62 in his last four starts
— Toronto is 3-7 in his last 10 starts.
— over 7-4 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 1-14
— record in first 5 innings: 8-4-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Baltimore.
— Blue Jays won 10 of their last 14 games.
— Toronto won its last four road games.
— under 4-2 last six road games
— scored run in first inning: 26-82
— record in first 5 innings: 39-32-11
— bullpen game
— Orioles split their last six games.
— Baltimore is 15-31 on the road, 12-26 at home.
— over is 31-16-1 in their last 48 games.
— scored run in first inning: 28-84
— record in first 5 innings: 25-44-15
White Sox (50-35) @ Minnesota (35-48)
— Rodon is 0-1, 4.24 in his last three starts
— Chicago is 9-5 in his starts.
— under 9-5
— allowed run in first inning: 2-14
— record in first 5 innings: 6-4-4
— He is 5-3, 4.94 in 10 starts vs Minnesota.
— Chicago is 6-10 in its last 16 games.
— White Sox are 2-8 in last ten road games.
— over 11-3 last 14 road games.
— scored run in first inning: 25-83
— record in first 5 innings: 45-23-16
— Berrios is 0-0, 4.15 in his last three starts.
— Twins are 7-2 in his last nine starts.
— over 8-3 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 4-16
— record in first 5 innings: 7-4-5
— He is 12-2, 2.77 in 18 starts vs Chicago.
— Minnesota lost five of its last seven games.
— Twins are 6-7 in last 13 home games.
— over 17-5-1 last 23 home games
— scores run in first inning: 32-83
— record in first 5 innings: 27-38-18
Detroit (39-46) @ Texas (33-52)
— Urena is 0-4, 14.00 in his last five starts.
— Tigers are 6-9 in his starts.
— over 4-0 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 6-15
— record in first 5 innings: 2-10-3
— He gave up 5 runs in 5 IP, in one start vs Texas.
— Detroit is 10-7 its last 17 games.
— Detroit is 4-1 in its last five road games.
— over 18-7 last 25 games
— scored run in first inning: 17-86
— record in first 5 innings: 3-5-1 last nine on road.
— Dunning is 1-2, 5.29 in his last four starts.
— Texas is 4-12 in his starts.
— over 6-3-2 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 7-16
— record in first 5 innings: 6-8-2
— He allowed 3 runs in 4.1 IP, in one start vs Detroit.
— Texas won seven of its last 12 games.
— Texas is 5-3 in its last eight home games.
— over 14-7-2 last 23 games.
— scored run in first inning: 18-85
— record in first 5 innings: 30-43-12
Oakland (49-37) @ Houston (52-33)
— Bassitt is 4-0, 1.93 in his last five starts.
— A’s are 13-4 in his starts.
— under 9-5 last 14
— allowed run in first inning: 3-17
— record in first 5 innings: 10-3-4
— He is 3-3, 3.67 in nine starts vs Houston.
— A’s lost 10 of their last 15 games.
— Oakland is 3-6 in its last nine road games.
— Under is 7-4 in their last 11 games.
— scored run in first inning: 26-86
— record in first 5 innings: 37-33-16
— Valdez is 5-1, 2.61 in his last six starts.
— Astros are 5-2 in his starts.
— over 4-3
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 6-1
— He is 0-1, 2.25 in 3 games (1 start) vs Oakland.
— Astros won their last four games.
— Astros are 10-4 in their last 14 home games.
— over 12-8-1 last 21 games
— scored run in first inning: 30-85
— record in first 5 innings: 46-26-13
Boston (54-32) @ Angels (42-42)
— Eovaldi is 2-0, 0.61 in his last two starts.
— Red Sox are 11-6 in his starts.
— under 5-3 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 2-17
— record in first 5 innings: 11-4-2
— He is 2-1, 4.58 in seven starts vs Anaheim.
— Boston is 17-7 in its last 24 games.
— Red Sox are 11-5 in their last 16 road games.
— over 15-11 last 26 games
— scored run in first inning: 30-86
— record in first 5 innings: 41-31-14
— Ohtani is 2-0, 4.94 in his last five starts.
— Angels are 7-5 in his starts.
— over 5-0 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 4-12
— record in first 5 innings: 6-3-3
— He allowed 3 runs in 2 IP, in his one start vs Boston.
— Halos are 6-7 in last 13 games.
— Angels are 3-4 in last seven home games.
— over 20-7 last 27 games
— scored run in first inning: 26-85
— record in first 5 innings: 36-38-11
Bronx (42-41) @ Seattle (45-40)
— Taillon is 2-0, 4.63 in his last two starts.
— New York is 6-9 in his starts.
— over 3-1-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 3-15
— record in first 5 innings: 7-6-2
— He allowed a run in 6 IP, in one start vs Seattle.
— New York lost seven of its last nine games.
— New York is 3-6 in its last nine road games.
— over 16-8-1 last 25 games
— scored run in first inning: 22-83
— record in first 5 innings: 33-34-16
— Sheffield is 0-3, 9.87 in his last four starts.
— Mariners are 7-7 in his starts.
— over 6-3 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 3-14
— record in first 5 innings: 7-7
— He allowed 5 runs in 4.1 IP, in one start vs New York.
— Seattle won 14 of its last 18 games.
— Seattle is 9-3 in its last 12 home games.
— under 5-3 last eight home games
— scored run in first inning: 25-85
— record in first 5 innings: 40-38-7
Interleague games
Cincinnati (44-40) @ Kansas City (35-49)
— Castillo is 2-2, 2.37 in his last six starts.
— Reds are 5-12 in his starts.
— under 4-0 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 8-17
— you’re reading ***************.com
— record in first 5 innings: 6-9-2
— He is 0-1, 2.89 in two starts vs Kansas City.
— Cincinnati won its last five games.
— Reds are 2-5 in last seven road games.
— over 5-2 last seven road games
— scored run in first inning: 23-84
— record in first 5 innings: 32-37-15
— Bubic is 0-3, 11.37 in his last three starts.
— Royals are 4-3 in his starts.
— over 5-2
— allowed run in first inning: 5-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-4-1
— He gave up 5 runs in five IP, in one start vs Cincinnati.
— Royals lost 22 of their last 28 games.
— Royals are 4-8 in their last 12 home games.
— over 12-8 last 20 home games.
— scores run in first inning: 17-84
— record in first 5 innings: 30-42-12
Leave a comment:
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951ATLANTA -952 PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH is 8-20 SU (-15.3 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start in the current season.
953MILWAUKEE -954 NY METS
MILWAUKEE is 27-14 SU (16.1 Units) vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better in the current season.
955LA DODGERS -956 MIAMI
MIAMI is 37-22 SU (11.6 Units) vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse in the current season.
957PHILADELPHIA -958 CHICAGO CUBS
CHICAGO CUBS are 11-4 SU (9.7 Units) in home games vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the current season.
959COLORADO -960 ARIZONA
COLORADO is 10-22 SU (-21.1 Units) in road games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse in the current season.
961ST LOUIS -962 SAN FRANCISCO
SAN FRANCISCO is 31-11 SU (22.1 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start in the current season.
963WASHINGTON -964 SAN DIEGO
WASHINGTON is 11-2 SU (10.7 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start in the current season.
965TORONTO -966 BALTIMORE
BALTIMORE is 9-22 SU (-16.2 Units) vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.
967CLEVELAND -968 TAMPA BAY
TAMPA BAY is 26-10 SU (15.7 Units) vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) in the current season.
969DETROIT -970 TEXAS
TEXAS are 12-31 SU (-22.1 Units) when playing with a day off in the last 3 seasons.Leave a comment:
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Tuesday’s 6-pack
— Phillies 13, Cubs 3— Cubs have lost 10 games in a row.
— 2B Eric Sogard pitched in three of those ten games.
— Joey Chestnut banked $10,000 for winning the hot dog eating contest.
— Blue Jays have requested a return to Toronto by July 30.
— Tigers’ 3B coach Chip Hale is leaving to be baseball coach at U of Arizona.
— Today’s Indians-Rays game was ppd because of cruddy weather in Florida; they’ll play a doubleheader Wednesday.
Quote of the Day
“Sometimes the loudest person in the room is not the person who has all the facts on their side or the truth on their side. Sometimes there’s a lot of wisdom in silence.”
Aaron Rodgers
Tuesday’s quiz
Other than Joey Chestnut, who was the last male to win the Nathan’s hot dog eating contest?
Monday’s quiz
Joe Girardi was the manager of the Bronx Bombers before Aaron Boone.
Sunday’s quiz
NFL Hall of Famer Kurt Warner played his college football at Northern Iowa.
****************************************
Tuesday’s Den: Week 1-2 trends for NFC teams
Cardinals:
— 1-3-1 in last five Week 1 games.
— 0-4-1 in last five home openers.
— Under 7-2 last nine home openers.
— 10-3 ATS last 13 road openers.
— 1-4 SU last five road openers.
— Under 10-5 last 15 road openers.
Falcons:
— 1-4 in last five Week 1 games.
— 17-5 ATS in last 22 home openers.
— Since 2004, 8-1 ATS as a favorite in HO’s.
— Over 4-1 last five home openers.
— Lost last three road openers.
— 5-12 ATS last 17 road openers (under 13-4).
Panthers:
— Host Sam Darnold’s old team (Jets) in Week 1.
— Last 2 years, lost 30-27/34-30 at home in Week 1.
— 6-11-1 ATS last 18 home openers.
— Under 16-6-1 last 23 home openers.
— 4-8 ATS last dozen road openers.
— Over 4-1 last five road openers.
Bears:
— 1-6 in last seven Week 1 games.
— 2-5 SU/ATS last seven home openers.
— Under 4-0 last four home openers.
— 4-6 last ten road openers.
— 2-4 ATS last six road openers.
— Under 16-5 last 21 road openers.
Cowboys:
— Under 5-2 last seven Week 1 games.
— Won last four home openers, scoring 35-40 points in last two.
— Over 8-6 last 14 home openers.
— Lost three of last four road openers.
— 10-4 ATS last 14 games as an underdog in road openers.
— Under 6-3 last nine road openers.
Lions:
— Last ten season openers went over the total.
— 0-2-1 SU last three season openers (favored in all 3)
— Lost four of last six home openers.
— Over 8-3 last 11 home openers.
— 3-6 ATS last nine road openers.
— Five of last six road openers went over.
Packers:
— Won last six season openers (5-1 ATS)
— Over 7-3 last ten season openers.
— Won 8 in row, 13 of last 14 home openers (11-3 ATS)
— Under 3-1 last four home openers.
— Won/covered last four Week 1 road games.
— Over 12-3 last 15 road openers.
Rams:
— Under McVay, Rams are 4-0 SU in Week 1.
— Won/covered last six home openers.
— Under is 4-1 in last five home openers.
— Under McVay, Rams are 4-0 in road openers, covering last three
— Last four road openers, Rams scored 41-33-30-37 points.
— Over is 3-1 in last four road openers.
Vikings:
— This is first time in 5 years they open on road.
— Won/covered four of last five Week 1 games.
— Won/covered five of last six home openers.
— Under is 6-1 in last seven home openers.
— 0-3-1 SU, 0-4 ATS last four road openers.
— Under 12-5 last 17 road openers.
Giants:
— Started nine of last ten seasons 0-1.
— 1-8 SU, 0-9 ATS last nine home openers.
— Scored 14.2 ppg in last five home openers.
— Under 7-0 last seven home openers.
— Lost 9 of last 11 road openers (3-7-1 ATS)
— Under 4-1 last five road openers.
Saints:
— Lost five of last seven season openers.
— 1-5 ATS in last six home openers.
— Last 3 years, scored 40-30-34 points in home opener.
— Last five home openers went over total.
— 3-12 ATS in last 15 road openers.
— Over 9-4 last 13 road openers.
Eagles:
— Won four of last five season openers.
— Won four of last five home openers.
— Won 5 of last 7 Week 1 games on road.
— Despite that, are 3-9 ATS in last 12 home openers.
— Lost last 3 road openers, giving up 27-24-27 points.
— Over 7-4-1 last dozen road openers.
49ers:
— Won 8 of last 10 season openers.
— Under 6-1 last seven season openers.
— Won 7 of last 10 home openers (0-4 ATS last four)
— Under 6-1 last seven home openers.
— Last 2 years, won road opener 31-17/31-13.
— Under 7-4-1 last dozen road openers.
Seahawks:
— Split last six season openers SU.
— Won 17 of last 18 home openers (14-4 ATS)
— Under 16-3-1 last 20 home openers.
— Won last 2 road openers 28-26/38-25, after losing 11 of previous 12.
— 3-12-1 ATS in last 16 road openers.
— Over 5-2 last seven road openers.
Buccaneers:
— Won three of last four Week 1 games.
— Four of last five Week 1 games went over.
— Won/covered three of last four home openers.
— Scored 27+ points in four of last five home openers.
— 7-4 ATS in last 11 road openers.
— Over 4-1 in last five road openers.
Washington:
— Covered last three Week 1 games.
— 1-4 ATS in last five home openers as a dog.
— 2-7 SU in last nine home openers.
— Over 7-3 last ten home openers.
— Covered four of last five road openers.
— Over is 8-4 in last dozen road openers.Leave a comment:
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MLB July Opinions and Best Bets:
07/05/2021 5-5-0 50.00% - 6.45
07/04/2021.....5-11-0.......31.25%.....-31.90
07/03/2021.....11-4-0.......73.33%....+40.60
07/02/2021.......6-8-0.......42.86%.....-10.45
07/01/2021 ......4-7-0 ......36.36% ....-13.85
Totals............31-35-0 ......46.96% ....-22.05
***************************
Best Bets July:
07/05/2021 3-0-0...............100.00%.......+20.20
07/04/2021 3-8-0................27.27%.........-19.15
07/03/2021 4-3-0................57.14%........+11.50
07/02/2021 0-6-0 ...............00.00%........ -30.00
07/01/2021 3-5-0............... 37.50%......... - 3.55
Totals........9-19- 0...............32.14%.........- 20.90Leave a comment:
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Diamond Trends for Monday July 5
Vince Akins
SU Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Philadelphia at Chicago Cubs (8:05 p.m. ET)
-- The Cubs are 10-0 SU since May 07, 2021 as a favorite when the opposing starter has an ERA of at least 4.00 on the season.
SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: L.A. Dodgers at Miami (6:40 p.m. ET)
-- The Marlins are 0-14 SU since Apr 02, 2018 as a home dog of at least +140 off a game as a dog in which they scored 6+ runs.
OU Trend of the Day
Matchup: Chicago White Sox at Minnesota (7:10 p.m. ET)
-- The Twins are 11-0-1 OU (4.50 ppg) since Apr 05, 2021 off a game as a favorite in which they allowed 6 or fewer hits.
Starter-Based Trend of the Day
Matchup: L.A. Dodgers at Miami (6:40 p.m. ET)
-- The Dodgers are 10-0-2 OU (3.96 ppg) since Jun 27, 2019 when Walker Buehler starts on the road when they won as an home favorite in his last start.
Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)
Leave a comment:
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MONDAY, JULY 5
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS
STL at SF 06:05 PM
SF -201
+500
LAD at MIA 06:40 PM
LAD -153
+500
ATL at PIT 07:05 PM
PIT +161
+500
CHW at MIN 07:10 PM
MIN +102
+500
CLE at TB 07:10 PM
TB -205
+500
MIL at NYM 07:10 PM
MIL -123
+500
PHI at CHC 08:05 PM
CHC -139
+500
DET at TEX 08:05 PM
DET +141
+500
CIN at KC 08:10 PM
KC -117
+500
BOS at LAA 09:38 PM
BOS -119
+500Leave a comment:
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MLB
Monday, July 5
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Trend Report
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St. Louis @ San Francisco
St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of St. Louis's last 7 games
San Francisco
San Francisco is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home
San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis
LA Dodgers @ Miami
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Atlanta @ Pittsburgh
Atlanta
Atlanta is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games on the road
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 10 games at home
Milwaukee @ NY Mets
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
Milwaukee is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing NY Mets
NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
NY Mets is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games at home
Cleveland @ Tampa Bay
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Cleveland's last 13 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 9 games
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Chi White Sox @ Minnesota
Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games
Chi White Sox is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox
Philadelphia @ Chi Cubs
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Chi Cubs
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Chi Cubs is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Detroit @ Texas
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing Texas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games
Texas
Texas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Texas is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Detroit
Cincinnati @ Kansas City
Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Cincinnati's last 10 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Kansas City's last 10 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 7 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Boston @ LA Angels
Boston
Boston is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
LA Angels
LA Angels is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Boston
LA Angels is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Washington @ San Diego
Washington
Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Diego
Washington is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against San Diego
San Diego
San Diego is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego's last 6 games at home
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Leave a comment:
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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up
Monday, July 5
NL games
St Louis (41-44) @ San Francisco (52-30)
— Kim is 1-1, 3.26 in his last four starts.
— Cardinals are 2-6 in his last eight starts.
— over 6-4-3
— allowed run in first inning: 1-13
— record in first 5 innings: 5-6-2
— He hasn’t pitched against San Francisco.
— Cardinals won five of their last eight games.
— St Louis is 2-12 in its last 14 road games.
— Under is 14-5-2 in their last 21 games.
— scored run in first inning: 25-84
— record in first 5 innings: 33-35-16
— Gausman is 5-2, 1.88 in his last eight starts.
— Giants are 11-5 in his starts.
— under 6-3 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 4-16
— record in first 5 innings: 11-3-2
— He is 0-2, 4.60 in 6 games (2 starts) vs St Louis.
— Giants are 18-9 in their last 27 games.
— Giants are 11-3 in last 14 home games.
— Over is 6-3 in their last nine home games.
— scored run in first inning: 23-82
— record in first 5 innings: 45-26-11
Dodgers (53-31) @ Miami (35-47)
— Buehler is 5-1, 2.08 in his last six starts.
— Dodgers are 5-1 in his road starts.
— under 3-1-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 4-16
— record in first 5 innings: 7-5-4
— He is 1-1, 3.86 in four starts vs Miami.
— Dodgers are 9-4 in their last 13 games.
— Dodgers are 10-5 in their last 15 road games.
— over 5-3 last eight road games
— scored run in first inning: 24-84
— record in first 5 innings: 43-27-14
— Rogers is 0-2, 3.24 in his last three starts.
— Marlins are 8-8 in his starts.
— under 10-6
— allowed run in first inning: 2-16
— record in first 5 innings: 9-5-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Los Angeles.
— Marlins are 6-12 in their last 18 games.
— Miami is 2-5 in its last seven home games.
— under 15-9-1 last 25 games
— scored run in first inning: 18-80
— record in first 5 innings: 31-34-15
Atlanta (41-42) @ Pittsburgh (30-53)
— Fried is 3-1, 2.63 in his last four starts.
— Braves are 6-6 in his starts.
— under 6-5-1
— allowed run in first inning: 7-12
— you’re reading ***************.com
— record in first 5 innings: 7-4-1
— He is 1-0, 4.91 in two starts vs Pittsburgh.
— Braves are 12-13 in their last 25 games
— Atlanta is 5-8 in its last 13 road games.
— under 9-3-1 in last 13 games.
— scored run in first inning: 29-83
— record in first 5 innings: 43-29-11
— DeJong is 0-3, 6.59 in his last three starts.
— Pirates are 1-5 in his starts.
— under 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-6
— record in first 5 innings: 1-5
— He hasn’t pitched against Atlanta.
— Pirates lost six of last seven games.
— Pittsburgh is 9-10 in its last 19 home games.
— under 5-3-1 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 24-83
— record in first 5 innings: 24-48-11
Milwaukee (51-34) @ Mets (43-37)
— Woodruff is 3-1, 3.30 in his last five starts.
— Milwaukee is 12-4 in his starts.
— under 10-5-1
— allowed run in first inning: 4-16
— record in first 5 innings: 9-2-5
— He is 2-0, 1.80 in two starts vs New York.
— Brewers won 13 of their last 15 games.
— Milwaukee won seven of last nine road games.
— over 6-4 last ten road games.
— scored run in first inning: 29-85
— record in first 5 innings: 40-28-17
— Megill is 0-0, 4.82 in two starts.
— Mets are 2-0 in his starts.
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Milwaukee.
— Mets are 8-12 in their last 20 games.
— Mets are 18-7 in their last 25 home games.
— under 5-2 last seven home games.
— scored run in first inning: 19-80
— record in first 5 innings: 37-34-9
Philadelphia (39-42) @ Cubs (42-42)
— Moore is 0-1, 7.31 in four starts.
— Phillies are 3-1 in his starts.
— over 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2-2
— He is 0-2, 6.00 in two starts vs Chicago.
— Phillies are 6-9 in their last 15 games.
— Phillies are 24-16 at home, 15-26 on road.
— under 12-7 last 19 games.
— scored run in first inning: 27-81
— record in first 5 innings: 31-31-19
— Davies is 3-2, 3.14 in his last five starts.
— Cubs are 10-7 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 4-17
— record in first 5 innings: 7-7-3
— He is 2-1, 5.19 in three starts vs Philly.
— Cubs lost 9 in row, 15 of last 19 games.
— Chicago is 11-4 in its last 15 home games.
— Under is 23-10 in their last 33 games.
— scored run in first inning: 25-84
— record in first 5 innings: 37-36-11
Washington (40-42) @ San Diego (50-36)
— Lester is 2-2, 6.53 in his last nine starts.
— Washington is 6-6 in his starts.
— over 6-3 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 6-12
— record in first 5 innings: 6-4-2
— He is 3-1, 4.24 in eight starts vs San Diego.
— Washington lost its last four games.
— Nationals are 5-2 in their last seven road games.
— under 8-5 last 13 road games
— scored run in first inning: 27-82
— record in first 5 innings: 34-30-18
— Musgrove is 0-2, 4.13 in his last five starts.
— Padres are 9-6 in his starts.
— over last three
— allowed run in first inning: 3-15
— record in first 5 innings: 6-7-2
— He is 0-2, 5.73 in 3 games (2 starts) vs Washington.
— Padres won 12 of their last 16 games.
— San Diego is 9-1 in its last 10 home games.
— over 12 of last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 27-86
— record in first 5 innings: 34-38-14
AL games
White Sox (50-34) @ Minnesota (34-48)
— Cease is 4-1, 4.33 in his last five starts
— Chicago is 10-6 in his starts.
— over 9-6-1
— allowed run in first inning: 6-16
— record in first 5 innings: 8-4-4
— He is 1-0, 4.09 in two starts vs Minnesota this year.
— Chicago is 6-9 in its last 15 games.
— White Sox are 2-7 in last nine road games.
— over 10-3 last 13 road games.
— scored run in first inning: 25-82
— record in first 5 innings: 45-22-16
— Ober is 0-1, 5.84 in six starts.
— Twins are 3-3 in his starts.
— over 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3
— He is 0-1, 11.05 in two starts vs Chicago this year.
— Minnesota lost five of its last six games.
— Twins are 5-7 in last dozen home games.
— over 16-5-1 last 22 home games
— scores run in first inning: 32-82
— record in first 5 innings: 26-38-18
Cleveland (42-39) @ Tampa Bay (48-36)
— Allen is 0-3, 23.82 in his last three starts.
— Indians are 1-4 in his starts.
— under 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-4
— He hasn’t pitched against Tampa Bay.
— Cleveland lost eight of its last nine games.
— Indians are 3-6 in last nine road games.
— over 30-16-1 last 47 games
— scores run in first inning: 29-81
— record in first 5 innings: 29-39-13
— Hill is 1-1, 5.66 in his last four starts.
— Rays are 9-7 in his starts.
— over 10-6
— allowed run in first inning: 3-16
— record in first 5 innings: 9-3-4
— He is 1-1, 4.82 in 10 games (3 starts) vs Cleveland.
— Tampa Bay lost five of its last six games.
— Rays are 7-2 in last nine home games.
— over is 5-2-1 in last eight home games.
— scored run in first inning: 26-84
— record in first 5 innings: 32-31-21
Detroit (38-46) @ Texas (33-51)
— Peralta is 1-1, 4.26 in three starts.
— Tigers are 1-2 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1
— He is 1-0, 3.48 in 6 games (1 start) vs Texas.
— Detroit is 9-7 its last 16 games.
— Detroit is 3-1 in its last four road games.
— over 17-7 last 24 games
— scored run in first inning: 17-85
— record in first 5 innings: 2-5-1 last eight on road.
— Allard is 1-4, 3.66 in six starts.
— Texas is 1-5 in his starts.
— under 5-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 1-4-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Detroit.
— Texas won seven of its last 11 games.
— Texas is 5-2 in its last seven home games.
— over 13-7-2 last 22 games.
— scored run in first inning: 18-84
— record in first 5 innings: 30-42-12
Boston (53-32) @ Angels (42-41)
— Perez is 2-0, 3.86 in his last three starts.
— Red Sox are 10-6 in his starts.
— under 7-2-1 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 5-16
— record in first 5 innings: 8-5-3
— He is 6-5, 4.02 in 15 starts vs Anaheim.
— Boston is 16-7 in its last 23 games.
— Red Sox are 10-5 in their last 15 road games.
— over 15-10 last 25 games
— scored run in first inning: 30-85
— record in first 5 innings: 40-31-14
— Suarez is making his first ’21 start.
— He is 3-1, 1.98 in nine relief stints this year (27.1 IP)
— He gave up 4 runs in five IP in one start vs Boston.
— Halos split their last 12 games.
— Angels split their last six home games.
— over 20-6 last 26 games
— scored run in first inning: 26-84
— record in first 5 innings: 36-37-11
Interleague games
Cincinnati (43-40) @ Kansas City (35-48)
— Gutierrez is 0-2, 8.22 in his last three starts.
— Reds are 3-4 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 3-7
— you’re reading ***************.com
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Kansas City.
— Cincinnati won its last four games.
— Reds are 1-5 in last six road games.
— over 5-1 last six road games
— scored run in first inning: 23-83
— record in first 5 innings: 32-37-14
— Minor is 1-3, 6.04 in his last four starts.
— Royals are 8-9 in his starts.
— over 8-5 last 13
— allowed run in first inning: 4-17
— record in first 5 innings: 7-9-1
— He is 3-1, 2.91 in five starts vs Cincinnati.
— Royals lost 21 of their last 27 games.
— Royals are 4-7 in their last 11 home games.
— over 12-7 last 19 home games.
— scores run in first inning: 17-83
— record in first 5 innings: 30-42-11Leave a comment:
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901ST LOUIS -902 SAN FRANCISCO
SAN FRANCISCO is 30-12 SU (20.6 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start in the current season.
903LA DODGERS -904 MIAMI
MIAMI is 36-22 SU (10.6 Units) vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse in the current season.
905ATLANTA -906 PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH is 7-20 SU (-16.3 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start in the current season.
907MILWAUKEE -908 NY METS
MILWAUKEE is 27-13 SU (17.3 Units) vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better in the current season.
909PHILADELPHIA -910 CHICAGO CUBS
PHILADELPHIA is 3-13 SU (-11.3 Units) in road games when playing on Monday in the last 3 seasons.
911WASHINGTON -912 SAN DIEGO
WASHINGTON is 17-6 SU (11.9 Units) vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better in the current season.
913CHI WHITE SOX -914 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 19-44 SU (-35.2 Units) with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) in the current season.
915CLEVELAND -916 TAMPA BAY
TAMPA BAY is 25-10 SU (14.7 Units) vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) in the current season.
917DETROIT -918 TEXAS
TEXAS are 12-31 SU (-22.1 Units) when playing with a day off in the last 3 seasons.
919BOSTON -920 LA ANGELS
BOSTON is 19-5 SU (14.3 Units) in road games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the current season.Leave a comment:
Leave a comment: