MLB
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Friday, July 16
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Da Bum's 2021 Major League Baseball Transactions, News, Notes, Picks Etc. !!
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MLB
Friday, July 16
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Trend Report
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Minnesota @ Detroit
Minnesota
Minnesota is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Detroit
Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
Detroit
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Detroit is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Miami @ Philadelphia
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Miami
San Diego @ Washington
San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing Washington
San Diego is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Washington
Washington is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing San Diego
Boston @ NY Yankees
Boston
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 5 games at home
NY Yankees is 15-4 ATS in its last 19 games when playing at home against Boston
NY Mets @ Pittsburgh
NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Mets's last 8 games when playing Pittsburgh
NY Mets is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
Texas @ Toronto
Texas
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Texas's last 8 games on the road
Texas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games
Toronto is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Texas
Milwaukee @ Cincinnati
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games
Minnesota @ Detroit
Minnesota
Minnesota is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Detroit
Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
Detroit
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Detroit is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Tampa Bay @ Atlanta
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Tampa Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Miami @ Philadelphia
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Miami
Houston @ Chi White Sox
Houston
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Chi White Sox is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Baltimore @ Kansas City
Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baltimore's last 7 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City
Kansas City is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Kansas City is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Baltimore
San Francisco @ St. Louis
San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing St. Louis
San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
St. Louis
St. Louis is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against San Francisco
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
LA Dodgers @ Colorado
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Colorado
LA Dodgers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Colorado
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games at home
Colorado is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Seattle @ LA Angels
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle's last 7 games on the road
Seattle is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
LA Angels
LA Angels is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
LA Angels is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Chi Cubs @ Arizona
Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games
Chi Cubs is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
Cleveland @ Oakland
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Oakland
Oakland is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oakland's last 7 games when playing Cleveland
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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up
Friday, July 16
NL games
Miami (39-50) @ Philadelphia (44-44)
— Alcantara is 1-3, 3.69 in his last five starts.
— Marlins are 8-11 in his starts.
— under 8-0-2 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 4-18
— you’re reading ***************.com
— record in first 5 innings: 8-7-4
— He is 1-1, 1.29 in two starts vs Philly this year.
— Lopez is 3-1, 2.74 in his last five starts.
— Marlins are 10-9 in his starts.
— over 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 4-19
— you’re reading ***************.com
— record in first 5 innings: 7-7-5
— He is 1-1, 3.60 in five starts vs Philly.
— Marlins are 10-15 in their last 25 games.
— Miami is 5-14 in last 19 road games.
— over 5-2-1 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 21-87
— record in first 5 innings: 33-39-15
— Moore is 0-0, 2.70 in his last three starts.
— Phillies are 5-1 in his starts.
— over 5-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2-3
— He is 2-2, 4.71 in six starts vs Miami.
— Eflin is 2-0, 2.17 in his last five starts.
— Phillies are 7-9 in his starts.
— over 9-7
— allowed run in first inning: 5-16
— record in first 5 innings: 5-6-5
— He is 0-2, 4.50 in two starts vs Miami this year.
— Phillies are 7-3 in their last ten games.
— Phillies are 24-16 at home, 20-28 on road.
— over 7-1 last eight games.
— scored run in first inning: 30-88
— record in first 5 innings: 35-33-20
Mets (47-40) @ Pittsburgh (34-56)
— Stroman is 0-3, 6.00 in his last five starts.
— Mets are 9-9 in his starts.
— under 10-7-1
— allowed run in first inning: 3-18
— record in first 5 innings: 8-9-1
— He is 0-2, 3.50 in 4 games (3 starts) vs Pittsburgh
— Mets are 12-15 in their last 27 games.
— Mets are 3-6 in their last nine road games.
— over 7-4-1 last dozen games.
— scored run in first inning: 23-87
— record in first 5 innings: 39-37-11
— Brubaker is 0-5, 5.67 in his last six starts.
— Pirates are 4-12 in his starts.
— under 6-2-1 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 5-16
— record in first 5 innings: 24-10-2
— He gave up 6 runs in 5 IP, in one start vs New York.
— Pirates won five of last eight games.
— Pittsburgh split its last dozen home games.
— over 8-3 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 25-90
— record in first 5 innings: 27-50-13
San Diego (53-40) @ Washington (42-47)
— Paddack is 0-1, 13.50 in his last three starts.
— Padres are 9-7 in his starts.
— over 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 3-16
— record in first 5 innings: 6-9-1
— He gave up 9 runs in 2+ IP vs Washington last week.
— Padres are 4-7 in their last 11 games.
— San Diego is 4-12 in its last 16 road games.
— under 3-0 last three games
— scored run in first inning: 27-93
— record in first 5 innings: 35-42-16
— Scherzer is 3-0, 3.45 in his last six starts.
— Washington is 9-8 in his starts.
— under 11-6 (0-3 last 3)
— allowed run in first inning: 3-16
— record in first 5 innings: 7-5-5
— He gave up 7 runs in 3.2 IP vs San Diego last week.
— Washington lost nine of its last 11 games.
— Nationals lost their last four home games.
— over 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 29-88
— record in first 5 innings: 35-34-19
Milwaukee (53-39) @ Cincinnati (48-42)
— Woodruff is 2-1, 2.49 in his last four starts.
— Milwaukee is 12-6 in his starts.
— under 4-0 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 5-18
— record in first 5 innings: 9-3-6
— He is 3-3, 3.70 in 9 games (7 starts) vs Cincinnati.
— Brewers lost six of their last eight games.
— Milwaukee is 14-7 in its last 21 road games.
— under 7-1 last eight games.
— scored run in first inning: 32-92
— record in first 5 innings: 43-31-18
— Mahle is 0-1, 5.14 in his last four starts.
— Reds are 12-6 in his starts.
— under 7-2 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 5-18
— you’re reading ***************.com
— record in first 5 innings: 10-4-4
— He is 1-0, 3.00 in two starts vs Milwaukee this year.
— Cincinnati won nine of its last 11 games.
— Reds are 10-4 in last 14 home games.
— under 10-2 last 12 home games
— scored run in first inning: 24-90
— record in first 5 innings: 36-39-15
San Francisco (57-32) @ St Louis (44-46)
— Gausman is 1-2, 2.52 in his last four starts.
— Giants are 12-6 in his starts.
— over 3-2 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 4-18
— record in first 5 innings: 12-3-3
— He is 0-3, 3.97 in 7 games (3 starts) vs St Louis.
— Giants won their last four games.
— Giants are 5-3 in last eight road games.
— Under is 10-3 in their last 13 road games.
— scored run in first inning: 27-89
— record in first 5 innings: 50-27-12
— Wainwright is 4-0, 2.54 in his last six starts.
— Cardinals are 5-1 in his last six starts.
— under 10-7
— allowed run in first inning: 3-17
— record in first 5 innings: 7-5-5
— He is 8-7, 3.20 in 18 games (16 starts) vs San Francisco.
— Cardinals are 8-5 in last 13 games.
— St Louis is 4-0 in its last four home games.
— Under is 16-8-2 in their last 26 games.
— scored run in first inning: 29-90
— record in first 5 innings: 36-37-17
Cubs (44-46) @ Arizona (26-66)
— Hendricks is 4-0, 2.23 in his last six starts.
— Cubs are 9-2 in his last 11 starts.
— over 11-7
— allowed run in first inning: 6-18
— record in first 5 innings: 12-5-1
— He is 3-2, 3.38 in six starts vs Arizona.
— Cubs lost 19 of last 25 games.
— Chicago lost its last nine road games.
— Over is 5-1 in their last six games.
— scored run in first inning: 27-90
— record in first 5 innings: 39-39-12
— Kelly is 3-0, 2.05 in his last five starts.
— Arizona is 4-1 in his last five starts.
— over 6-3 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 6-19
— you’re reading ***************.com
— record in first 5 innings: 9-9-1
— He gave up 3 runs in 3.2 IP in one start vs Chicago.
— Arizona is 10-50 in its last 60 games.
— Arizona is 3-6 in its last nine home games.
— over 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 15-92
— record in first 5 innings: 33-53-6
Dodgers (56-35) @ Colorado (40-51)
— Urias is 2-0, 2.95 in his last three starts.
— Dodgers are 14-4 in his starts.
— over 12-4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 5-18
— you’re reading ***************.com
— record in first 5 innings: 11-5-2
— He is 1-0, 4.15 in two starts vs Colorado this year.
— Dodgers are 3-4 in their last seven games.
— Dodgers are 5-6 in last 11 road games.
— over 7-4-2 last 13 road games
— scored run in first inning: 26-91
— record in first 5 innings: 47-30-14
— Senzatela is 0-3, 5.25 in his last six starts.
— Rockies won his last four home starts.
— over 6-3-1 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 4-17
— you’re reading ***************.com
— record in first 5 innings: 4-10-3
— He gave up 12 runs in 6 IP, in two starts vs LA this year.
— Colorado is 15-10 in its last 25 games.
— Rockies are 31-17 at home, 9-34 on road.
— under 11-2 last 13 games.
— scored run in first inning: 26-91
— record in first 5 innings: 36-42-13
AL games
Minnesota (39-50) @ Detroit (40-51)
— Berrios is 0-1, 4.01 in his last five starts.
— Twins are 11-7 in his starts.
— over 9-4 last 13
— allowed run in first inning: 4-18
— record in first 5 innings: 7-6-5
— He is 0-0, 4.15 in two starts vs Detroit this year.
— Maeda is 1-0, 0.00 (11 IP) in his last two starts.
— Twins are 5-9 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 3-14
— record in first 5 innings: 4-5-5
— He is 1-0, 1.64 in two starts vs Detroit this year.
— Minnesota won its last four games.
— Twins are 1-5 in last six road games.
— over 7-4 last 11 road games
— scores run in first inning: 32-89
— record in first 5 innings: 27-43-19
— Urena is 0-4, 13.10 in his last six starts.
— Tigers are 6-10 in his starts.
— over 8-2 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 0-4
— record in first 5 innings: 6-16
— He 0-1, 9.82 in two starts vs Minnesota this year.
— Mize is 1-1, 4.00 in his last four starts.
— Tigers are 10-7 in his starts.
— under 13-3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 4-17
— record in first 5 innings: 7-6-4
— He is 0-1, 6.89 in four starts vs Minnesota.
— Detroit lost its last four games.
— Detroit is 5-3 in last eight home games.
— over 21-9-1 last 31 games
— scored run in first inning: 18-91
— record in first 5 innings: 6-2 last eight at home.
Boston (55-35) @ Bronx (46-42)
— Rodriguez is 1-1, 5.97 in his last six starts.
— Red Sox are 11-6 in his starts.
— over 7-1-1 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 7-17
— record in first 5 innings: 8-7-2
— He is 1-0, 3.97 in two starts vs New York this year.
— Boston is 18-10 in its last 28 games.
— Red Sox are 9-1 in last ten home games.
— over 6-1 last seven home games
— scored run in first inning: 32-90
— record in first 5 innings: 42-34-14
— German is 0-2, 10.57 in his last four starts.
— New York is 8-7 in his starts.
— over 4-2 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 6-6 last six
— record in first 5 innings: 5-6-4
— He is 0-1, 4.66 in two starts vs Boston this year.
— New York won five of its last six games.
— New York split its last 14 road games.
— over 18-11-1 last 30 games
— scored run in first inning: 24-88
— record in first 5 innings: 37-35-16
Baltimore (28-61) @ Kansas City (36-53)
— Akin is 0-4, 11.14 in his last five starts.
— Orioles are 1-6 in his starts.
— over 4-0 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 0-5-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Kansas City.
— Orioles are 4-8 in last 12 games.
— Baltimore is 15-31 on the road, 13-30 at home.
— over is 37-16-1 in their last 54 games.
— scored run in first inning: 28-89
— record in first 5 innings: 26-48-15
— Keller is 0-5, 6.86 in his last seven starts.
— Royals are 8-11 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 10-19
— record in first 5 innings: 7-10-2
— He is 1-0, 1.29 in two starts vs Baltimore.
— Royals lost 26 of their last 33 games.
— Royals are 5-4 in their last nine home games.
— under 5-3 last eight games.
— scores run in first inning: 17-89
— record in first 5 innings: 32-45-12
Texas (35-55) @ Toronto (45-42)
— Lyles is 3-0, 2.37 in his last three starts.
— Texas is 9-9 in his starts.
— over 9-8-1
— allowed run in first inning: 7-18
— record in first 5 innings: 6-11-1
— He is 1-0, 6.06 in 3 games (2 starts) vs Toronto.
— Texas is 2-5 in its last seven games.
— Texas is 4-20 in its last 24 road games.
— over 9-2-1 last dozen road games.
— scored run in first inning: 19-90
— record in first 5 innings: 31-46 -13
— Ray is 3-1, 2.08 in his last four starts.
— Toronto is 9-5 in his last 14 starts.
— Under 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 4-17
— record in first 5 innings: 10-4-3
— He is 2-1, 5.27 in five starts vs Texas
Houston (55-36) @ White Sox (54-35)
— McCullers is 3-1, 3.04 in his last four starts.
— Astros are 9-5 in his starts.
— over 7-6-1
— allowed run in first inning: 3-14
— record in first 5 innings: 7-6-1
— He is 3-1, 2.37 in five starts vs Chicago.
— Astros lost three of last four games.
— Astros are 10-2 in their last 12 road games.
— under 5-1-1 last seven road games
— scored run in first inning: 31-91
— record in first 5 innings: 47-30-14
— Cease is 2-1, 4.91 in his last four starts
— Chicago is 11-8 in his starts.
— over 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 7-19
— record in first 5 innings: 8-6-5
— He is 0-2, 7.71 in two starts vs Houston.
— Chicago won its last five games.
— White Sox won their last four home games.
— over 6-1 last seven home games.
— scored run in first inning: 25-89
— record in first 5 innings: 49-24-16
Seattle (48-43) @ Angels (45-44)
— Flexen is 3-0, 1.38 in his last five starts.
— Mariners are 12-4 in his starts.
— over 9-7
— allowed run in first inning: 4-16
— record in first 5 innings: 9-6-1
— He is 1-0, 2.45 in two starts vs Anaheim this year.
— Seattle won 17 of its last 24 games.
— Seattle is 5-2 in its last seven road games.
— over 10-4 last 14 road games
— scored run in first inning: 28-91
— record in first 5 innings: 42-42-7
— Heaney is 1-3, 8.38 in his last four starts.
— Angels are 6-9 in his starts.
— over 12-2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 5-15
— record in first 5 innings: 8-6-1
— He is 3-5, 4.02 in 13 starts vs Seattle.
— Halos are 7-3 in last ten games.
— Angels are 5-1 in last six home games.
— over 21-10-1 last 32 games
— scored run in first inning: 29-89
— record in first 5 innings: 39-39-11
Cleveland (45-42) @ Oakland (52-40)
— Morgan is 1-3, 8.44 in five starts.
— Indians are 2-3 in his starts.
— over 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3
— He hasn’t pitched against Oakland.
— Cleveland lost 12 of its last 17 games.
— Indians lost last five road games.
— over 35-18-1 last 54 games
— scores run in first inning: 29-88
— record in first 5 innings: 32-42-14
— Bassitt is 5-1, 2.86 in his last seven starts.
— A’s are 13-3 in his last 16 starts.
— under 10-6 last 16
— allowed run in first inning: 4-19
— record in first 5 innings: 11-3-5
— He is 0-1, 4.24 in three starts vs Cleveland.
— A’s won three of their last four games.
— Oakland is 2-4 in its last six home games.
— Under is 11-6 in their last 17 games.
— scored run in first inning: 29-92
— record in first 5 innings: 40-35-17
Interleague games
Tampa Bay (53-37) @ Atlanta (44-45)
— Wacha is 1-0, 0.82 in his last two starts (11 IP).
— Rays are 7-3 in his starts.
— over 5-3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-10
— record in first 5 innings: 4-3-3
— He is 0-4, 4.71 in 7 games (5 starts) vs Atlanta.
— Tampa Bay won six of its last seven games.
— Rays are 1-10 in last 11 road games.
— under is 4-0 in last four games.
— scored run in first inning: 27-90
— record in first 5 innings: 36-32-22
— Morton is 3-0, 1.91 in his last five starts.
— Braves are 10-8 in his starts.
— under 6-2-1 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 4-18
— you’re reading ***************.com
— record in first 5 innings: 11-5-2
— He is 2-3, 3.23 in five starts vs Tampa Bay.
— Braves won three of their last four games
— Atlanta is 7-3 in its last 10 home games.
— over 5-2 in last seven games.
— scored run in first inning: 32-89
— record in first 5 innings: 45-32-12
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901MIAMI -902 PHILADELPHIA
MIAMI is 25-9 SU (15.6 Units) vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse in the current season.
903NY METS -904 PITTSBURGH
NY METS are 4-12 SU (-12.6 Units) in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4 or less runs/game on the season in the current season.
905SAN DIEGO -906 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 16-29 SU (-18.3 Units) vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.
907MILWAUKEE -908 CINCINNATI
MILWAUKEE is 49-36 SU (14.1 Units) vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse in the current season.
909MIAMI -910 PHILADELPHIA
MIAMI is 25-9 SU (15.6 Units) vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse in the current season.
911SAN FRANCISCO -912 ST LOUIS
SAN FRANCISCO is 34-14 SU (23.1 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start in the current season.
913LA DODGERS -914 COLORADO
COLORADO is 16-1 SU (17.1 Units) in home games vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game in the current season.
915CHICAGO CUBS -916 ARIZONA
ARIZONA is 9-26 SU (-19.1 Units) vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better in the current season.
917MINNESOTA -918 DETROIT
MINNESOTA is 13-25 SU (-22.1 Units) in road games with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL) in the current season.
919BOSTON -920 NY YANKEES
NY YANKEES are 56-38 SU (14.2 Units) in home games in night games in the last 3 seasons.
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Friday’s 6-pack
Major league leaders in home runs:
33— Shohei Ohtani
28— Vladimir Guerrero, Fernando Tatis, Rafael Devers
25— Kyle Schwarber
24— Joey Gallo, Ronald Acuna
23— Matt Olson
22— Devers, AGarcia, Semien, Walsh
Quote of the Day.
“This is my third time around being a head coach. And to inherit this team coming off a 7-3 season with three losses by a combined 13 points, we’re in a little better position than most when you take over a new program.”
Texas football coach Steve Sarkisian
Friday’s quiz
In the movie Hoosiers, what number did Jimmy Chitwood wear?
Thursday’s quiz
Alex Rodriguez started his major league career with Seattle.
Wednesday’s quiz
Vince Coleman was last major leaguer to steal 100+ bases in one season, in 1987.
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Friday’s Den: Random stuff with weekend here…….
13) MLB extended Trevor Bauer’s paid suspension until July 27; with Clayton Kershaw hurt, doesn’t that force the Dodgers to trade for at least one starting pitcher? Right now, all they have is Buehler/Urias, with Gonsolin/Price stretching out to throw 80-90 pitches.
12) Bradley Beal is out of the Olympics, due to health/safety protocols. Big blow for the American basketball team.
11) Thursday was Opening Day at Saratoga, first time in two years they’ve had fans at the Spa oval, which is 25 miles from my house. Took me a while to find the races on TV; they don’t show the races on TVG, which is weird— FS2 has the Saratoga card.
People that were interviewed were excited to have things mostly back to normal; there were lot of people there. Saratoga is a big part of summer in this area, so it was a good day.
10) Seven NFL teams have new head coaches this season.
13 teams have new offensive coordinators, 15 have new DC’s.
9) Last two seasons, Chargers were 7-16 in games decided by 8 or fewer points; they were only 9-7 in games they led at halftime, 9-5 in games they led after three quarters, which is why they now have a new coach.
8) Since 2012, Jacksonville Jaguars are 39-105, five fewer wins than any other team (Cleveland).
There is some hope for the Jaguars; of the last seven head coaches to jump from college to the NFL, three of them made the playoffs in their first season.
7) Las Vegas Raiders have had one winning season in last 18 years; never thought I’d see them become one of the NFL’s worst franchises. Over last four years, Raiders ranked 29-30-31-28 in defensive efficiency. Not good.
6) Will having fans back in their stadium help the Minnesota Vikings?
From 2016-19, Vikings were 21-9-3 ATS at home; last year, they were 2-6 ATS.
5) Over last three years, Eagles are 10-18 ATS as a favorite, 7-11 as an underdog. Under is 17-7 in their home games, over 14-7 in their road tilts.
4) Detroit Lions were 14-34 SU last three years; they haven’t won a playoff game since 1991. Last three years, over is 21-10 in their games. Lions are 8-15-1 ATS in last 24 home games.
3) Carolina Panthers have a +12 advantage in rest days between games this season, the most any NFL team has had since 2002.
2) Cowboys play Atlanta in Week 10; figures to be an interesting game, with former Falcons coach Dan Quinn now the defensive coordinator in Dallas. Quinn went 43-42 in 5+ years as Atlanta’s coach, winning the NFC title in 2016. Falcons lost that Super Bowl, blowing 28-3 lead.
1) Happy birthday to the great actor Harrison Ford, who turned 79 this week.
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951BOSTON -952 NY YANKEES
BOSTON is 22-9 SU (13.8 Units) vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better in the current season.
MLB
Dunkel
Thursday, July 15
MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up
Thursday, July 15
Boston (55-36) @ Bronx (46-43)
— Rodriguez is 1-1, 5.97 in his last six starts.
— Red Sox are 11-6 in his starts.
— over 7-1-1 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 7-17
— record in first 5 innings: 8-7-2
— He is 1-0, 3.97 in two starts vs New York this year.
— Boston is 1-4 in its last five games.
— Red Sox are 5-7 in last dozen road games.
— under 5-1-1 last seven road games
— scored run in first inning: 33-91
— record in first 5 innings: 42-35-14
— Montgomery is 0-3, 4.76 in his last three starts.
— New York is 10-6 in his starts.
— under 9-7
— allowed run in first inning: 7-16
— record in first 5 innings: 4-10-2
— He is 1-1, 4.19 in seven starts vs Boston.
— New York won five of its last seven games.
— New York is 4-5 in its last nine home games.
— over 6-2-1 last nine home games
— scored run in first inning: 24-89
— record in first 5 innings: 38-35-16
MLB
Thursday, July 15
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Trend Report
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Boston @ NY Yankees
Boston
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 5 games at home
NY Yankees is 15-4 ATS in its last 19 games when playing at home against Boston
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Thursday’s 6-pack
Major league leaders in RBI:
73— Vladimir Guerrero
72— Rafael Devers
70— Shohei Ohtani
66— Jose Abreu
65— Jared Walsh
62— Aguilar, Duvall, AGarcia, JD Martinez
Quote of the Day
“God likes me!!! He really, really likes me!!! What a day!!! What a fabulous day!!!”
Richard Dreyfuss in Let It Ride
Thursday’s quiz
What team did Alex Rodriguez start his major league career with?
Wednesday’s quiz
Vince Coleman was last major leaguer to steal 100+ bases in one season, in 1987.
Tuesday’s quiz
Dave Parker won the first Home Run Derby, back in 1985.
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Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….
13) Few days ago, I talked about podcasts and how finding good ones can help make you smarter, but there are a lot of podcasts, so you have to shop wisely— they’re free, but if you are spending your time listening, you want to listen to good ones. Spend wisely.
Last few weeks, I’ve been listening to a fantasy baseball podcast— the main host is very good, but there are 2-3 other guys who chime in. One guy is talking about players who might not be as good in the 2nd half of the season, and he brings up Baltimore’s Cedric Mullins.
I just traded for Mullins in my fantasy league, so I’m listening and then it becomes obvious to me; this guy has no idea whether Mullins hits lefty or righty. Mullins used to switch-hit, but gave up the right side of the plate and has excelled as a lefty. This guy had no clue, so he’s giving me advice, but he’s never seen Mullins play, and the guy is a freakin’ All-Star.
Terrific.
12) Guy I know named Jim is a knowledgeable/loyal Orioles fan; if you admit to being an Oriole fan these days, your loyalty is unquestioned. He loves Mullins, a guy who is only 5-8 and never started on his high school team until he was a senior in high school, none of which matters now because he just started in the major league All-Star Game.
Jim also touts Grayson Rodriguez, a pitcher at AA Bowie, who is supposed to be big-time, once he gets to the majors. If you’re in a dynasty league, Rodriguez would be a good guy to add.
Unfortunately for me, someone in our league had already gobbled him up by the time I went to add him.
11) American League has won the last eight All-Star games; not really sure if there is any rhyme or reason to this, sometimes stuff just happens, without any real reason. Don’t think the AL is any better than the National League.
10) Several guys who played in Denver Tuesday night are rumored to be trade bait with the trade deadline two weeks away; Adam Frazier, Kris Bryant, Kyle Gibson, guys like that.
I suggested that some oddsmaker post a number on the number of All-Stars traded before the end of the month. Will the Cubs dump their guys? Minnesota? Royals?
9) If you like the NFL, study the NFL, bet on the NFL or play fantasy football, you should go find Warren Sharp’s football guide and buy it. This is a textbook of football knowledge; there is a ton of stuff in there, and it is useful. I get it very year now, and make myself smarter— I recommend it enthusiastically.
8) If you bet the Bengals under their season win total the last five years, you would’ve won all five years, the longest such streak in the NFL.
In two years under HC Zac Taylor, Cincinnati is 2-13-1 in one-score games, games decided by 8 or fewer points.
7) Since 2000, Dallas Cowboys have come in under their season win total 14 of 21 seasons; are the Cowboys’ totals posted too high, because they’re overhyped, being America’s Team?
Quick reminder that you probably don’t need, but the NFL season is now 17 games, something to remind yourself of when you start looking at season win totals.
6) Detroit Lions recovered only 33% of the fumbles in their games last year, the worst %age of any team since 2014.
Detroit will be fascinating to me because of Jared Goff; as an avid Rams’ fan, I have nothing bad to say about Goff. Obviously I don’t know what happened behind closed doors there last year, but Goff won lot of games, got to a Super Bowl. He did fine.
That said, this will be the first time in five years he won’t have Sean McVay’s voice in his helmet before every play. Detroit seems like they’re going to want to run the ball a lot; what they get out of Goff, especially late in the season in cold weather road games, will be interesting to see.
5) 66-year old Rick Barnes gets a 2-year contract extension from Tennessee; this probably is for the benefit of potential recruits. You see older coaches like Roy Williams, Mike Krzyzewski retiring and Barnes is 66, so this extension puts any retirement rumors to rest.
4) Australia 108, Nigeria 69— Watched some of this game, which was ugly; three of the better Australian guys didn’t even play. Then you think, Nigeria is down 40 here and they beat the Americans the other night, scoring 90 points. Yikes!!!!
Team USA’s roster earned $219M in the NBA last year; Nigeria’s roster earned $9M, Australia’s $44M. Losing to those two teams is staggering.
3) USA 108, Argentina 80— Can’t be lot of fun to be a writer covering a team coached by Gregg Popovich; kind of a surly guy who has won a lot, so he has clout and when his team plays like dirt, you look like a jackass if you ask him tough questions.
Whether they admit it or not, people had to breathe a sigh of relief after this game. Olympics start pretty soon; the American team needs to start playing better.
2) Australians have an 18-year old kid named Josh Giddey who won’t be in Tokyo for the Olympics, but is expected to be a fairly high draft pick by the NBA in two weeks. He looked really good in this game against Nigeria. Curious to see where he lands in the NBA.
1) Australia has never won a basketball medal at the Olympics; in 2016, they lost the bronze medal game 89-88 to Spain, which got me to thinking, there is a HUGE difference between finishing 3rd and 4th in the Olympics, maybe even a bigger difference between finishing 1st/2nd.
Those third place games have to be fiercely fought; you spend all this time prepping to play in the Olympics, you want to bring SOME MEDAL home, even a bronze one. Australians look like they have a legit shot to medal in Tokyo.
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Betting trend to know
The Under is 11-3 in MLB All-Star games dating back to 2006 (as far back as our MLB All-Star Game betting data goes)
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Tuesday’s 6-pack
Odds to win the British Open:
9-1— Jon Rahm
16-1— Brooks Koepka, Rory McIlroy
18-1— Johnson, Thomas, Schauffele
20-1— Jordan Spieth
25-1— Victor Hovland
30-1— DeChambeau, Morikawa, Oosthuizen
Quote of the Day
“I’ll never forget lining up for a play and Philip Rivers pointing to one of our LB’s and telling him he was lined up wrong based off the blitz we were about to run and being 100% correct haha.”
JJ Watt
Tuesday’s quiz
Who won the first Home Run Derby, back in 1985?
Monday’s quiz
In 2002, the A’s won 20 games in a row; their 20th win came against the Royals.
Sunday’s quiz
2004 was the last time the Americans didn’t win the Olympic gold medal in basketball- they won a bronze medal; Argentina won the gold medal that year.
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Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but………
13) This week is all about Shohei Ohtani and MLB’s obsession with promoting the guy, which is their business, I guess. Hopefully Ohtani’s people (and the Angels) are making sure he doesn’t get overextended or hurt. He is doing some unique things, but he is still human and needs to take care of himself.
Ohtani is batting leadoff and is starting pitcher in the All-Star Game. Here are his pitching stats for this year:
Ohtani: 4-1, 3.49 in 13 starts.
Kyle Gibson of Texas: 6-1, 2.29 in 17 starts
Maybe Kyle Gibson should be starting pitcher; I understand that no one outside of Arlington gives a rat’s ass about Gibson— he is 33, has been in the majors for nine years but he’s earned the right to start this All-Star Game, a big honor.
Plus, if Ohtani pitched in relief, casual fans might stick with the game a little longer, until Ohtani gets in. Lot of casual fans will change the channel as soon as he is done pitching.
12) MLB needs to promote its product better, the actual games, not just individuals; the last four Sunday nights, there have been only three games on ESPN and two of those were 7-inning games because they were parts of doubleheaders created by rainouts.
All Sunday night games should be 9 innings, no matter what.
11) The MLB amateur draft isn’t as fun as NFL/NBA drafts because we know so much less about the players being drafted. It is also more of a crapshoot; back in 1983, Roger Clemens was the 19th player taken in the draft, the 11th pitcher.
Whoops.
10) Teams with best record in games where winning run scored in last 3 innings:
22-8— Cincinnati
19-8— Seattle
17-10— Oakland
15-9— Boston
17-11— NY Mets
9) Teams with worst record in games where winning run scored in last 3 innings:
8-23— Arizona
8-19— Atlanta
9-17— Toronto
11-19— Texas
8-15— Baltimore, White Sox
8) There is a good website, umpscorecards.com that shows accuracy, consistency for the home plate umpire for every game.
Milwaukee beat the Reds 5-3 in a game Thursday; the home plate umpire Brian O’Nora had a rough night, missing 16% of pitches on the outside corner. Reds players were yelling at him as he left the field; ump scorecards had him 87% accurate overall— the average is 94% accurate.
7) From Juston Ray: Padraig Harrington won the British Open in 2007 and 2008. Since then, no Open champ finished in the top-25 at The Open the year before their win.
Cink – Cut
Oosthuizen- Cut
Clarke – T44
Els – Cut
Mickelson – Cut
McIlroy – Cut
Zach Johnson – T47
Stenson – T40
Spieth – T30
Molinari – Cut
Lowry – Cut
6) Only one golfer finished in the top 10 at the British Open in both 2018/2019:
Tony Finau
5) From Jason Logan on Twitter:
NBA playoff betting stats:
— favorites 48-34 ATS
— favorites of 3 or fewer points 13-13
— favored from 3.5-6 points 25-8 ATS
— favored of 6.5+ points 10-13
— Road favorites 15-10 ATS
— Teams off a loss 31-36 ATS
3) Phillies’ rookie reliever Damon Jones is the grandson of former NBA player Darrall Imhoff. Jones has yet to make his MLB debut, but is with the Phillies.
Darrall Imhoff scored over 5,700 points in his 12-year NBA career, and was once part of the package the Lakers sent to Philadelphia when they acquired Wilt Chamberlain in 1968.
2) Major league leaders in RBI from 7th inning on:
29— Mitch Haniger, Seattle
28— Eduardo Escobar, Arizona
1) John Wooden didn’t win a national title until his 16th year at UCLA, but then he won 10 of them in 12 years; sometimes it takes a while to become an overnight success.
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Home Run Derby Champions (Last 10 Years)
2020 - Cancelled
2019 - Pete Alonso, New York Mets
2018 - Bryce Harper, Washington
2017 - Aaron Judge, New York Yankees
2016 - Giancarlo Stanton, Miami
2015 - Todd Frazier, Cincinnati
2014 - Yoenis Cespedes, Oakland
2013 - Yoenis Cespedes, Oakland
2012 - Prince Fielder, Detroit
2011 - Robinson Cano, New York Yankees
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