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Da Bum's 2021 Major League Baseball Transactions, News, Notes, Picks Etc. !!

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  • Udog
    replied
    MLB
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Friday, July 23


    NL games
    Arizona (29-68) @ Cubs (47-50)

    — Gallen is 0-3, 5.21 in his last five starts.
    — Arizona is 2-8 in his starts.
    — over 7-3
    — allowed run in first inning: 2-10
    — record in first 5 innings: 5-5
    — He gave up a run in 5.2 IP, in his one start vs Chicago.

    — Arizona won its last four games.
    — Arizona is 2-30 in its last 32 road games.
    — over 7-4 last 11 games
    — scored run in first inning: 15-98
    — record in first 5 innings: 38-54-6

    — Davies is 0-2, 4.50 in his last four starts.
    — Cubs are 10-10 in his starts.
    — under 9-6 last 15
    — allowed run in first inning: 5-20
    — record in first 5 innings: 7-9-4
    — He is 4-2, 3.49 in seven starts vs Arizona.

    — Cubs are 5-17 in last 22 games.
    — Chicago is 4-7 in its last 11 home games.
    — Over is 5-1 in their last six home games.
    — scored run in first inning: 27-97
    — record in first 5 innings: 41-44-12

    Atlanta (46-48) @ Philadelphia (46-48)
    — Fried is 4-1, 3.72 in his last five starts.
    — Braves are 8-7 in his starts.
    — over 5-0 last five
    — allowed run in first inning: 7-15
    — you’re reading ***************.com
    — record in first 5 innings: 9-5-1
    — He is 3-2, 4.08 in 12 games (6 starts) vs Philly.

    — Braves are 3-4 in their last seven games
    — Atlanta is 4-1 in its last five road games.
    — over 8-4 last 12 games.
    — scored run in first inning: 34-95
    — record in first 5 innings: 49-32-13

    — Wheeler is 2-1, 3.76 in his last four starts.
    — Phillies are 11-8 in his starts.
    — under 6-2 last eight
    — allowed run in first inning: 5-19
    — record in first 5 innings: 6-7-6
    — He is 1-1, 1.37 in three starts vs Atlanta this year.

    — Phillies are 1-4 in their last five games.
    — Phillies are 26-18 at home, 20-30 on road.
    — over 13-1 last 14 games.
    — scored run in first inning: 32-94
    — record in first 5 innings: 36-36-22

    San Diego (57-42) @ Miami (41-55)
    — Musgrove is 0-1, 7.85 in his last four starts.
    — Padres are 9-9 in his starts.
    — over 5-1 last six
    — allowed run in first inning: 4-18
    — record in first 5 innings: 6-9-3
    — He allowed a run in 5.2 IP, in his one start vs Miami.

    — Padres are 4-2 in their last six games.
    — San Diego is 8-14 in its last 22 road games.
    — under 3-1 last four games
    — scored run in first inning: 29-99
    — record in first 5 innings: 39-43-17

    — Thompson is 2-2, 3.21 in six starts.
    — Marlins are 2-4 in his starts.
    — under 5-1
    — allowed run in first inning: 3-6
    — record in first 5 innings: 2-4
    — He hasn’t pitched against San Diego.

    — Marlins are 12-20 in their last 32 games.
    — Miami is 6-5 in last 11 home games.
    — over 9-4-2 last 15 games
    — scored run in first inning: 22-96
    — record in first 5 innings: 34-43-19

    St Louis (49-48) @ Cincinnati (49-47)
    — LeBlanc is 0-2, 2.50 in four starts.
    — Cardinals are 2-2 in his starts.
    — under 3-1
    — allowed run in first inning: 1-4
    — record in first 5 innings: 0-1-3
    — He is 2-0, 1.62 in nine games (3 starts) vs Cincinnati.

    — Cardinals are 13-7 in last 20 games.
    — St Louis is 5-14 in its last 19 road games.
    — Under is 20-11-2 in their last 33 games.
    — scored run in first inning: 30-97
    — record in first 5 innings: 40-39-18

    — Mahle is 0-1, 5.81 in his last five starts.
    — Reds are 12-7 in his starts.
    — under 7-3 last ten
    — allowed run in first inning: 5-19
    — you’re reading ***************.com
    — record in first 5 innings: 11-4-4
    — He is 2-0, 3.75 in two starts vs St Louis this year.

    — Cincinnati lost five of its last six games.
    — Reds are 11-9 in last 20 home games.
    — under 12-6 last 18 home games
    — scored run in first inning: 27-96
    — record in first 5 innings: 39-41-16

    Pittsburgh (36-59) @ San Francisco (60-35)
    — Kuhl is 3-1, 2.30 in his last five starts.
    — Pirates are 7-5 in his starts.
    — over 8-4 (0-3 last 3)
    — allowed run in first inning: 5-12
    — record in first 5 innings: 6-3-3
    — He is 0-0, 3.00 in two starts vs San Francisco.

    — Pirates lost their last four games.
    — Pittsburgh is 2-8 in last ten road games.
    — over 12-5 last 17 games
    — scored run in first inning: 26-95
    — record in first 5 innings: 30-53-12

    — Cueto is 0-2, 5.63 in his last three starts.
    — Giants are 8-7 in his starts.
    — under 7-1 last eight
    — allowed run in first inning: 4-15
    — record in first 5 innings: 6-7-2
    — He is 21-4, 2.17 in 32 starts vs Pittsburgh.

    — Giants won seven of their last ten games.
    — Giants are 14-5 in last 19 home games.
    — Over is 8-4 in last 12 home games.
    — scored run in first inning: 29-95
    — record in first 5 innings: 53-29-13

    Colorado (42-54) @ Dodgers (59-38)
    — Gonzalez is 1-2, 5.57 in his last four starts.
    — Rockies are 5-10 in his starts.
    — over 9-3 last 12
    — allowed run in first inning: 5-15
    — you’re reading ***************.com
    — record in first 5 innings: 3-10-2
    — He is 2-2, 4.78 in 8 games (5 starts) vs LA.

    — Colorado is 17-13 in its last 30 games.
    — Rockies are 33-20 at home, 9-34 on road.
    — under 15-3 last 18 games.
    — scored run in first inning: 28-96
    — record in first 5 innings: 38-43-15

    — Price is 0-0, 2.03 in five starts (13.1 IP).
    — Most pitches he’s thrown in a game- 66.
    — Dodgers are 2-3 in his starts.
    — under 5-0
    — allowed run in first inning: 2-5
    — record in first 5 innings: 2-2-1
    — He is 1-2, 4.76 in 7 games (4 starts) vs Colorado.

    — Dodgers are 6-7 in last 13 games.
    — Dodgers are 8-3 in last 11 home games.
    — under 9-5-1 last 15 home games
    — scored run in first inning: 31-97
    — record in first 5 innings: 49-32-16

    AL games
    Bronx (50-45) @ Boston (59-38)

    — Cole allowed one run in 15 IP in his last two starts.
    — New York is 10-9 in his starts.
    — over 5-2 last seven
    — allowed run in first inning: 4-19
    — record in first 5 innings: 10-4-5
    — He is 1-1, 5.73 in two starts vs Boston this year.

    — New York won nine of its last 12 games.
    — New York is 7-6 in its last 13 road games.
    — under 4-1 last five road games
    — scored run in first inning: 24-95
    — record in first 5 innings: 40-36-19

    — Rodriguez is 2-1, 2.38 in his last four starts.
    — Boston is 12-6 in his starts.
    — over 7-2-1 last ten
    — allowed run in first inning: 6-18
    — record in first 5 innings: 9-7-2
    — He is 2-0, 2.65 in three starts vs New York this year.

    — Boston won its last three games.
    — Red Sox are 10-2 in last 12 home games.
    — over 3-1 last four games
    — scored run in first inning: 33-97
    — record in first 5 innings: 45-37-15

    Tampa Bay (58-39) @ Cleveland (48-46)
    — Fleming is 0-1, 8.16 in his last three games.
    — Rays are 2-5 in his starts.
    — over 4-3
    — allowed run in first inning: 1-7
    — you’re reading ***************.com
    — record in first 5 innings: 3-4
    — He threw 2.2 scoreless IP, in one relief stint vs Cleveland.

    — Tampa Bay won 11 of its last 14 games.
    — Rays are 4-1 in last five road tilts.
    — under is 6-2 in last eight games.
    — scored run in first inning: 29-97
    — record in first 5 innings: 37-37-23

    — Plesac is 3-0, 5.34 in his last five starts.
    — Indians are 7-5 in his starts.
    — over 3-1 last four
    — allowed run in first inning: 3-12
    — record in first 5 innings: 4-6-2
    — He gave up 4 runs in 5 IP, in one start vs Tampa Bay.

    — Cleveland lost 16 of its last 24 games.
    — Indians won three of last four home games.
    — over 11-5-1 last 17 home games
    — scores run in first inning: 30-94
    — record in first 5 innings: 35-45-14

    Angels (47-48) @ Minnesota (41-56)
    — Cobb is 2-0, 1.83 in his last three starts.
    — Angels are 10-4 in his starts.
    — over 10-4
    — allowed run in first inning: 2-14
    — record in first 5 innings: 9-4-1
    — He is 3-3, 6.27 in seven starts vs Minnesota.

    — Halos are 9-7 in last 16 games.
    — Angels are 5-10 in last 15 road games.
    — over 24-14-1 last 39 games
    — scored run in first inning: 29-95
    — record in first 5 innings: 41-42-12

    — Happ is 1-2, 7.85 in his last three starts.
    — Twins are 8-9 in his starts.
    — over 12-2 last 14
    — allowed run in first inning: 7-17
    — record in first 5 innings: 6-9-2
    — He is 2-6, 5.14 in nine starts vs Anaheim.

    — Minnesota lost six of its last eight games.
    — Twins are 4-1 in last five home games.
    — under 5-2 last seven home games
    — scored run in first inning: 34-97
    — record in first 5 innings: 29-48-20

    Detroit (47-51) @ Kansas City (39-55)
    — Peralta is 3-0, 0.75 in his last four starts.
    — Detroit is 3-3 in his starts.
    — over 3-3
    — allowed run in first inning: 0-6
    — record in first 5 innings: 5-1
    — He threw 1.1 scoreless IP in a relief stint vs Kansas City.

    — Detroit won its last seven games.
    — Detroit lost its last four road games.
    — over 24-13-1 last 38 games
    — scored run in first inning: 22-98
    — record in first 5 innings: 6-1-2 last nine on road.

    — Bubic is 0-3, 11.12 in his last four starts.
    — Kansas City is 5-3 in his starts.
    — over 6-0 last six
    — allowed run in first inning: 5-8
    — record in first 5 innings: 2-5-1
    — He is 0-0, 3.68 in 3 games (2 starts) vs Detroit.

    — Royals are 10-28 in last 38 games.
    — Royals are 2-5 in last seven home games.
    — under 7-5 last 12 home games.
    — scores run in first inning: 19-94
    — record in first 5 innings: 33-48-13

    Texas (35-62) @ Houston (58-39)
    — Allard is 0-5, 6.59 in his last five starts.
    — Texas is 1-8 in his starts.
    — under 7-2
    — allowed run in first inning: 2-9
    — record in first 5 innings: 1-7-1
    — He is 1-2, 2.25 in 5 games (2 starts) vs Houston.

    — Texas is 2-12 in its last 14 games.
    — Rangers lost last six games by combined 44-8.
    — Texas is 4-27 in its last 31 road games.
    — over 15-5-1 last 21 road games.
    — scored run in first inning: 19-97
    — record in first 5 innings: 31-53-13

    — Odorizzi is 0-2, 5.79 in his last two starts.
    — Astros are 4-7 in his starts.
    — under 3-1 last four
    — allowed run in first inning: 2-10
    — record in first 5 innings: 6-5
    — He is 4-1, 3.26 in eight starts vs Texas.

    — Astros are 4-6 in their last ten games.
    — Astros are 5-7 in last 12 home games.
    — over 9-3 last 12 home games
    — scored run in first inning: 33-97
    — record in first 5 innings: 51-32-14

    Oakland (56-42) @ Seattle (51-46)
    — Montas is 1-1, 2.70 in his last four starts.
    — A’s are 9-10 in his starts.
    — over 10-9
    — allowed run in first inning: 5-19
    — record in first 5 innings: 8-8-3
    — He is 2-2, 3.31 in 8 games (5 starts) vs Seattle.

    — A’s are 7-3 in last ten games.
    — Oakland is 5-3 in last eight road games.
    — Under is 16-7 in their last 23 games.
    — scored run in first inning: 30-98
    — record in first 5 innings: 43-36-19

    — Kikuchi is 0-2, 10.80 in his last two starts.
    — Mariners are 8-9 in his starts.
    — over 5-2 last seven
    — allowed run in first inning: 5-17
    — record in first 5 innings: 10-6-1
    — He is 1-2, 2.54 in seven starts vs Oakland

    — Seattle is 20-10 in its last 30 games.
    — Seattle is 3-2 in last five home games.
    — under 4-1 last five home games
    — scored run in first inning: 30-97
    — record in first 5 innings: 44-46-7

    Interleague games
    Washington (45-49) @ Baltimore (31-64)

    — Corbin is 1-3, 6.95 in his last four starts.
    — Nationals are 9-9 in his starts.
    — over 10-8
    — allowed run in first inning: 9-18
    — record in first 5 innings: 7-8-3
    — He is 1-2, 5.06 in 5 games (4 starts) vs Baltimore.

    — Washington is 3-7 in its last ten games.
    — Nationals lost last four road games.
    — over 9-3-1 last 13 games
    — scored run in first inning: 31-94
    — record in first 5 innings: 39-36-19

    — Lopez is 0-6, 7.29 in his last seven starts.
    — Orioles are 5-14 in his starts.
    — under 12-7
    — allowed run in first inning: 4-19
    — record in first 5 innings: 4-11-4
    — He is 0-1, 3.21 in 4 games (1 start) vs Washington.

    — Orioles are 7-11 in last 18 games.
    — Baltimore is 18-34 on road, 13-30 at home.
    — over is 41-18-1 in their last 60 games.
    — scored run in first inning: 30-95
    — record in first 5 innings: 29-50-16

    Toronto (48-44) @ Mets (50-43)
    — Ryu is 4-1, 3.34 in his last five starts.
    — Blue Jays are 11-7 in his starts.
    — over 7-3 last ten
    — allowed run in first inning: 6-18
    — record in first 5 innings: 10-7-1
    — He is 5-1, 1.23 in nine starts vs New York.

    — Toronto won four of last six games.
    — Blue Jays are 1-4 in last five road games.
    — Over is 5-1 in their last six games.
    — scored run in first inning: 30-92
    — record in first 5 innings: 4-7 last 11 on road

    — Megill is 0-0, 2.63 in five starts.
    — Mets are 4-1 in his starts.
    — under 3-2
    — allowed run in first inning: 0-5
    — record in first 5 innings: 3-1-1
    — He hasn’t pitched against Toronto.

    — Mets are 15-18 in their last 33 games.
    — Mets are 7-5 in their last 12 home games.
    — over 4-2 last six home games.
    — scored run in first inning: 25-93
    — record in first 5 innings: 41-40-12

    White Sox (58-38) @ Milwaukee (55-41)
    — Giolito is 2-0, 1.88 in his last two starts.
    — Chicago is 10-9 in his starts.
    — over 7-0 last seven
    — allowed run in first inning: 5-19
    — record in first 5 innings: 10-6-3
    — He allowed 2 runs in 6 IP in one start vs Milwaukee.

    — Chicago won nine of its last 12 games.
    — White Sox won their last five road games.
    — over 10-3 last 13 road games.
    — scored run in first inning: 28-96
    — record in first 5 innings: 53-27-16

    — Peralta is 3-2, 2.23 in his last eight starts.
    — Milwaukee is 11-6 in his starts.
    — under 6-2 last eight
    — allowed run in first inning: 3-17
    — record in first 5 innings: 9-4-4
    — He threw 3 scoreless IP, in a relief stint vs Chicago.

    — Brewers won three of last five games.
    — Milwaukee is 7-8 in its last 15 home games.
    — under 6-1-1 last eight home games.
    — scored run in first inning: 33-97
    — record in first 5 innings: 45-33-19


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  • Udog
    replied
    MLB
    Dunkel

    Friday, July 23





    Leave a comment:


  • Udog
    replied
    951ARIZONA -952 CHICAGO CUBS
    ARIZONA is 5-19 SU (-17.6 Units) in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start in the current season.

    953ATLANTA -954 PHILADELPHIA
    ATLANTA is 35-53 SU (-20.4 Units) vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the current season.

    955SAN DIEGO -956 MIAMI
    SAN DIEGO is 21-35 SU (-16.1 Units) vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in the current season.

    957ST LOUIS -958 CINCINNATI
    CINCINNATI is 0-11 SU (-12.1 Units) in home games vs. an NL team with a batting average of .245 or worse in the second half of the season in the current season.

    959PITTSBURGH -960 SAN FRANCISCO
    SAN FRANCISCO is 37-15 SU (25.3 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start in the current season.

    961COLORADO -962 LA DODGERS
    COLORADO is 4-14 SU (-16.4 Units) in road games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the current season.

    963NY YANKEES -964 BOSTON
    NY YANKEES are 12-23 SU (-14.8 Units) in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the current season.

    965TAMPA BAY -966 CLEVELAND
    TAMPA BAY is 30-12 SU (19 Units) vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) in the current season.

    967LA ANGELS -968 MINNESOTA
    MINNESOTA is 26-53 SU (-35 Units) vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the current season.

    969TEXAS -970 HOUSTON
    TEXAS are 13-28 SU (-20.8 Units) vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) in the current season.


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  • Udog
    replied
    Friday’s 6-pack
    Spreads for Labor Day weekend college football games:
    — Penn State at Wisconsin (-4)
    — West Virginia at Maryland (+4.5)
    — Indiana at Iowa (-4.5)
    — Texas Tech at Houston (+7)
    — Georgia at Clemson (-3.5)
    — Fresno State at Oregon (-20.5)

    Quote of the Day.
    “He (Hector Cruz) may be the best teammate I’ve ever seen in terms of the way he goes about his business, the way he puts his arm around people, the way he helps us become better in our front-office jobs and coaching-staff jobs. This guy is beyond special.”
    Minnesota Twins president Derek Falvey, who traded Cruz to Tampa Bay Thursday

    Friday’s quiz
    Who was the LA Rams’ QB, the first time they played in a Super Bowl?

    Thursday’s quiz
    Bo Jackson played in the NFL and the major leagues; he spent most of his baseball career with Kansas City.

    Wednesday’s quiz
    Alex Cora first managed the Red Sox in 2018; John Farrell managed Boston before he did.

    ********************************

    Friday’s Den: Random stuff with weekend here…….

    13) First domino of the baseball trade deadline season fell Thursday, with Minnesota dealing DH Nelson Cruz to Tampa Bay, for a couple of AAA pitching prospects.

    At age 41, Cruz has 19 homers, 50 RBI and a .370 on-base %age. He should be a big help.

    12) Cruz hit 216 home runs before his 35th birthday; he’s hit 220 homers since that birthday, which is 3rd all-time.

    11) Tampa Bay/Texas are allowing the worst OPS to opposing #9 hitters; Tampa Bay is 58-39, would host the Wild Card game if it were played today. Nothing they do is normal, but they do it very well.

    10) Detroit Tigers are 7-0 since the All-Star break; they’ve won their last nine home games. AJ Hinch is a damn good manager; he won the World Series in Houston, but may be doing his best work in Detroit right now.

    9) Giants 5, Dodgers 3:
    — Giants roughed up Kenley Jansen for 4 runs in 9th inning, after a replay reversal kept the game going.
    — San Francisco leads the Dodgers by 3 games, San Diego by 5.5 in the NL West.

    8) Boston 5, New York 4 (10):
    — Red Sox scored twice in 9th inning, twice in the 10th.
    — Hunter Renfroe walked it off with a 10th inning sac fly.
    — Kike Hernandez tied the game with a 9th inning double.
    — New York reliever Brooks Kriske threw four wild pitches in 10th inning– the most by one pitcher in a single extra inning in MLB history.

    7) If I was advising a young person who was looking to pursue a great career, I’d suggest they become an eye doctor. Being a beer distributor would also be good, but being an eye doctor must be very cool.

    Over the last 20 months, I’ve spent too way much time in doctor’s offices getting pictures taken of my eye, which has had two operations. Those two surgeons saved the vision in my right eye; can’t imagine how great it must be to save someone’s vision.

    Plus, I’m guessing eye doctors make a boatload of money.

    6) Padres 3, Marlins 2:
    — Blake Snell finished the 6th inning for only third time in 18 starts.
    — Snell came into this game with a 9.08 ERA in ten road outings.

    5) A’s 4, Seattle 1:
    — Sean Manaea threw 7 great innings (107 PT) to win opener of an important series.
    — Ramon Laureano knocked in two runs for the A’s.

    4) Cardinals 3, Cubs 2:
    — Chicago is 5-17 in its last 22 games; when do they resume dumping players?
    — I mean, Kris Bryant is on my fantasy team; I’d rather he get traded now, so he gets a full week for his new team next week.

    3) The Yermin Mercedes retirement story turned out to be a false alarm; he was in uniform for AAA Charlotte Thursday night, but didn’t play. Wouldn’t shock me if a contender that needed a bat off the bench traded for Mercedes in the next nine days.

    2) Jets assistant coach Greg Knapp died Thursday; he passed away from injuries suffered when he was struck by a car while biking in California last week. Knapp had a 25-year coaching career and was known for working with QB’s, like Peyton Manning/Steve Young. RIP, sir.

    1) If the baseball playoffs started today (they don’t):
    NL— Mets, Brewers, Giants. Wild Card: San Diego @ Los Angeles
    AL— Red Sox, White Sox, Astros. Wild Card: Oakland @ Tampa Bay

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  • StarDust Bum
    replied
    MLB July Opinions and Best Bets:

    07/22/2021.......5-6-0......45.45%......-6.05
    07/21/2021.......8-5-0......61.53%....+29.65
    07/20/2021...11-10-0.......52.38%......-1.00
    07/19/2021.......5-7-0.......41.66%....-23.65
    07/18/2021.....6-10-0.......37.50%....-19.35
    07/17/2021.....6-10-0.......37.50%....-28.85
    07/16/2021.......5-9-0.......35.71%....-22.95
    07/11/2021.......9-2-0.......81.82%...+41.60
    07/10/2021...... 8-7-0 ......53.33% ....+4.95
    07/09/2021.......9-5-0.......64.29%...+26.35
    07/08/2021.......3-6-0.......33.33%....-14.80
    07/07/2021.......6-6-0.......50.00%.....+0.25
    07/06/2021.......6-7-0.......46.15%......-9.90
    07/05/2021 ......5-5-0 ......50.00%.... - 6.45
    07/04/2021.....5-11-0.......31.25%.....-31.90
    07/03/2021.....11-4-0.......73.33%....+40.60
    07/02/2021.......6-8-0.......42.86%.....-10.45
    07/01/2021 ......4-7-0 ......36.36% ....-13.85


    Totals...........118-120-0 ......49.57% ....- 45.08


    ***************************


    Best Bets July:

    07/22/2021.2-5-0................28.57%.......-13.85
    07/21/2021.6-5-0................54.54%.......+19.65
    07/20/2021 6-6-0................50.00%........+2.30
    07/19/2021 3-2-0................60.00%........+7.00
    07/18/2021 5-6-0................45.45%........+0.50
    07/17/2021 0-4-0................00.00%........-20.00
    07/16/2021 2-4-0................33.33%.........-6.85
    07/11/2021 3-2-0................60.00%.......+11.45
    07/10/2021 3-4-0................42.85%.........+2.85
    07/09/2021 3-3-0................50.00%.........+9.00
    07/08/2021 2-4-0................33.33%..........-6.95
    07/07/2021 3-4-0................42.85%..........-0.70
    07/06/2021 3-3-0................50.00%.........+4.20
    07/05/2021 3-0-0...............100.00%.......+20.20
    07/04/2021 3-8-0................27.27%.........-19.15
    07/03/2021 4-3-0................57.14%........+11.50
    07/02/2021 0-6-0 ...............00.00%........ -30.00
    07/01/2021 3-5-0............... 37.50%......... - 3.55


    Totals.......50-71 0...............41.32%..........-12.20

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  • StarDust Bum
    replied
    minnesota - 144 is not a best bet.............as i never bet favorites !!

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  • StarDust Bum
    replied
    THURSDAY, JULY 22
    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


    TEX at DET 01:10 PM
    DET -139
    U 9.5
    +500 +500

    ATL at PHI 07:05 PM
    PHI +116
    +500

    TB at CLE 07:10 PM
    TB -143
    +500

    NYY at BOS 07:10 PM
    NYY +126
    +500

    CHC at STL 07:15 PM
    STL -119
    U 8.5
    +500 +500

    LAA at MIN 08:10 PM
    MIN -144
    +500

    SF at LAD 10:10 PM
    SF +153
    U 7.5

    +500 +500

    OAK at SEA 10:10 PM
    SEA +130
    +500

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  • Udog
    replied
    MLB
    Weather Report

    Thursday, July 22





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  • Udog
    replied
    Diamond Trends for Thursday July 22
    Vince Akins

    SU Play ON Trend of the Day
    Matchup: San Francisco at L.A. Dodgers (10:10 p.m. ET)

    -- The Dodgers are 15-0 SU since Apr. 1, 2018 in the last game of a series at home after they left fewer than 10 men on base individually.

    SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
    Matchup: Chi. Cubs at St. Louis (7:15 p.m. ET)

    -- The Cubs are 0-11 SU since Jun. 16, 2021 off a game as an underdog in which they scored first.

    OU Trend of the Day
    Matchup: L.A. Angels at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. ET)

    -- The Twins are 9-0-1 OU (2.8 ppg) since Sept. 25, 2020 as a favorite of -140 or more after they won and never trailed game prior.

    Starter-Based Trend of the Day
    Matchup: L.A. Angels at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. ET)

    -- The Angels are 10-0 OU (3.5 ppg) since Sept. 21, 2018 when Andrew Heaney starts as a road underdog of less than +200.

    Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)


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  • Udog
    replied
    MLB

    Thursday, July 22


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Texas @ Detroit
    Texas
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Texas's last 7 games when playing on the road against Detroit
    Texas is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Detroit
    Detroit
    Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

    Atlanta @ Philadelphia
    Atlanta
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
    Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
    Philadelphia
    Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta

    NY Yankees @ Boston
    NY Yankees
    NY Yankees is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 6 games when playing Boston
    Boston
    Boston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
    Boston is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home

    Tampa Bay @ Cleveland
    Tampa Bay
    Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
    Tampa Bay is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Cleveland
    Cleveland
    Cleveland is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
    Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

    San Diego @ Miami
    San Diego
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Diego's last 8 games when playing on the road against Miami
    San Diego is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    Miami
    Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Diego
    Miami is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against San Diego

    Chi Cubs @ St. Louis
    Chi Cubs
    Chi Cubs is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
    Chi Cubs is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games when playing St. Louis
    St. Louis
    St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
    St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

    LA Angels @ Minnesota
    LA Angels
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
    LA Angels is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
    Minnesota
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing LA Angels
    Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

    San Francisco @ LA Dodgers
    San Francisco
    San Francisco is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing LA Dodgers
    San Francisco is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
    LA Dodgers
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games at home
    LA Dodgers is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home

    Oakland @ Seattle
    Oakland
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oakland's last 7 games when playing on the road against Seattle
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games
    Seattle
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle's last 7 games when playing at home against Oakland
    Seattle is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games when playing at home against Oakland


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


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  • Udog
    replied
    MLB
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Thursday, July 22


    NL games
    Atlanta (45-48) @ Philadelphia (46-47)

    — Morton is 3-0, 2.31 in his last six starts.
    — Braves are 10-9 in his starts.
    — under 6-3-1 last ten
    — allowed run in first inning: 4-19
    — you’re reading ***************.com
    — record in first 5 innings: 12-5-2
    — He is 1-2, 7.71 in three starts vs Philly this year.

    — Braves lost four of their last six games
    — Atlanta is 3-1 in its last four road games.
    — over 8-4 in last 12 games.
    — scored run in first inning: 33-94
    — record in first 5 innings: 48-32-13

    — Moore is 0-0, 3.12 in his last four starts.
    — Phillies are 6-1 in his starts.
    — over 6-1
    — allowed run in first inning: 1-7
    — record in first 5 innings: 2-2-3
    — He is 1-0, 5.79 in 4 games (2 starts) vs Atlanta.

    — Phillies are 1-3 in their last four games.
    — Phillies are 26-17 at home, 20-30 on road.
    — over 12-1 last 13 games.
    — scored run in first inning: 32-93
    — record in first 5 innings: 36-35-22

    San Diego (56-42) @ Miami (41-54)
    — Snell is 1-1, 6.20 in his last five starts (20.1 IP).
    — Padres are 8-9 in his starts.
    — over 10-5 last 15
    — allowed run in first inning: 4-17
    — record in first 5 innings: 6-9-2
    — He is 1-1, 4.80 in three starts vs Miami.

    — Padres are 7-9 in their last 16 games.
    — San Diego is 7-14 in its last 21 road games.
    — over 8-5 last 13 games
    — scored run in first inning: 29-98
    — record in first 5 innings: 38-43-17

    — They haven’t named a starter.

    — Marlins are 12-19 in their last 31 games.
    — Miami is 6-4 in last ten home games.
    — over 9-3-2 last 14 games
    — scored run in first inning: 22-95
    — record in first 5 innings: 34-42-19

    Cubs (47-49) @ St Louis (48-48)
    — Alzolay is 0-5, 7.16 in his last six starts.
    — Cubs are 6-10 in his starts.
    — under 5-2-2 last nine
    — allowed run in first inning: 2-16
    — record in first 5 innings: 5-7-4
    — He is 0-2, 2.45 in three starts vs St Louis.

    — Cubs are 5-16 in last 21 games.
    — Chicago is 3-12 in its last 15 road games.
    — Over is 8-4 in their last 12 games.
    — scored run in first inning: 27-96
    — record in first 5 innings: 41-43-12

    — Kim won his last four starts, giving up 1 run in 24 IP.
    — Cardinals are 10-6 in his starts.
    — over 7-6-3
    — allowed run in first inning: 1-16
    — record in first 5 innings: 7-6-3
    — He is 1-0, 0.93 in two starts (9.2 IP) vs Chicago.

    — Cardinals are 12-7 in last 19 games.
    — St Louis is 8-2 in its last 10 home games.
    — Under is 19-11-2 in their last 32 games.
    — scored run in first inning: 29-96
    — record in first 5 innings: 39-39-18

    San Francisco (59-35) @ Dodgers (59-37)
    — DeSclafani is 2-1, 2.18 in his last three starts.
    — Giants are 13-6 in his starts.
    — under 4-1 last five
    — allowed run in first inning: 4-19
    — record in first 5 innings: 12-5-2
    — He is 0-2, 11.25 in three starts vs LA this year.

    — Giants won six of their last nine games.
    — Giants are 7-6 in last 13 road games.
    — Under is 12-6 in last 18 road games.
    — scored run in first inning: 28-94
    — record in first 5 innings: 53-28-13

    — Buehler is 2-0, 1.38 in his last two starts.
    — Dodgers are 13-6 in his starts.
    — over 11-7-1
    — allowed run in first inning: 4-19
    — record in first 5 innings: 8-6-5
    — He is 2-0, 2.20 in five starts vs SF this year.

    — Dodgers split their last 12 games.
    — Dodgers are 8-2 in last ten home games.
    — under 9-4-1 last 14 home games
    — scored run in first inning: 30-96
    — record in first 5 innings: 48-32-16

    AL games
    Texas (35-61) @ Detroit (46-51)

    — Foltynewicz gave up 10 runs in 1.2 IP in his last start.
    — Texas is 6-13 in his starts.
    — over 6-2 last eight
    — allowed run in first inning: 6-19
    — record in first 5 innings: 3-12-4
    — He gave up 5 runs in 5 IP, in his one start vs Detroit.

    — Texas is 2-11 in its last 13 games.
    — Rangers lost last five games by combined 37-3.
    — Texas is 4-26 in its last 30 road games.
    — over 14-5-1 last 20 road games.
    — scored run in first inning: 19-96
    — record in first 5 innings: 31-52-13

    — bullpen game

    — Detroit won its last six games.
    — Detroit is 11-3 in last 14 home games.
    — over 23-13-1 last 37 games
    — scored run in first inning: 21-97
    — record in first 5 innings: 11-2-1 last 14 at home.

    Bronx (50-43) @ Boston (58-37)
    —Montgomery is 0-4, 4.80 in his last four starts.
    — New York is 10-7 in his starts.
    — under 4-1 last five
    — allowed run in first inning: 7-17
    — record in first 5 innings: 4-11-2
    — He is 0-2, 4.50 in two starts vs Boston this year.

    — New York won nine of its last 11 games.
    — New York is 7-5 in its last 12 road games.
    — under 3-1 last four road games
    — scored run in first inning: 24-93
    — record in first 5 innings: 39-36-18

    — bullpen game

    — Boston is 4-6 in its last ten games.
    — Red Sox are 9-2 in last 11 home games.
    — over 5-2-1 last eight games
    — scored run in first inning: 33-95
    — record in first 5 innings: 45-35-15

    Tampa Bay (57-39) @ Cleveland (48-45)
    — Fleming is 0-1, 8.16 in his last three games.
    — Rays are 2-5 in his starts.
    — over 4-3
    — allowed run in first inning: 1-7
    — you’re reading ***************.com
    — record in first 5 innings: 3-4
    — He threw 2.2 scoreless IP, in one relief stint vs Cleveland.

    — Tampa Bay won 10 of its last 13 games.
    — Rays are 3-11 in last 14 road games, 3-1 in last four.
    — under is 5-2 in last seven games.
    — scored run in first inning: 29-96
    — record in first 5 innings: 37-36-23

    — Quantrill is 2-0, 3.18 in his last two starts.
    — Indians are 4-5 in his starts.
    — over 6-3
    — allowed run in first inning: 3-9
    — record in first 5 innings: 5-2-2
    — He allowed 2 runs in 5.1 IP, in one start vs Tampa Bay.

    — Cleveland lost 15 of its last 23 games.
    — Indians won its last three home games.
    — over 11-4-1 last 16 home games
    — scores run in first inning: 30-93
    — record in first 5 innings: 34-45-14

    Angels (46-48) @ Minnesota (41-55)
    — Heaney is 1-4, 8.49 in his last five starts.
    — Angels are 6-10 in his starts.
    — over 13-2-1
    — allowed run in first inning: 6-16
    — record in first 5 innings: 8-7-1
    — He is 0-0, 3.18 in two starts vs Minnesota.

    — Halos are 8-7 in last 15 games.
    — Angels are 4-10 in last 14 road games.
    — over 24-13-1 last 38 games
    — scored run in first inning: 29-94
    — record in first 5 innings: 40-42-12

    — Maeda is 1-0, 1.69 in his last three starts.
    — Twins are 5-10 in his starts.
    — over 8-7
    — allowed run in first inning: 3-15
    — record in first 5 innings: 4-5-6
    — He is 2-3, 4.56 in 6 games (5 starts) vs Anaheim.

    — Minnesota lost five of its last seven games.
    — Twins are 4-0 in last four home games.
    — over 5-3-1 last nine games
    — scored run in first inning: 34-96
    — record in first 5 innings: 29-47-20

    Oakland (55-42) @ Seattle (51-45)
    — Manaea is 0-4, 4.45 in his last five starts.
    — A’s are 12-7 in his starts.
    — under 6-3
    — allowed run in first inning: 5-19
    — record in first 5 innings: 9-6-4
    — He is 7-5, 3.42 in 13 starts vs Seattle.

    — A’s are 6-3 in last nine games.
    — Oakland is 4-3 in last seven road games.
    — Under is 15-7 in their last 22 games.
    — scored run in first inning: 30-97
    — record in first 5 innings: 42-36-19

    — Flexen is 4-0, 1.36 in his last six starts.
    — Mariners are 13-4 in his starts.
    — over 9-5 last 14
    — allowed run in first inning: 4-17
    — record in first 5 innings: 10-6-1
    — He gave up 5 runs in 6 IP, in his one start vs Oakland

    — Seattle is 20-9 in its last 29 games.
    — Seattle is 3-1 in last four home games.
    — under 3-1 last four home games
    — scored run in first inning: 30-96
    — record in first 5 innings: 44-45-7

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  • Udog
    replied
    MLB
    Dunkel

    Thursday, July 22





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  • Udog
    replied
    901ATLANTA -902 PHILADELPHIA
    ATLANTA is 34-53 SU (-21.4 Units) vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the current season.

    903SAN DIEGO -904 MIAMI
    MIAMI is 21-28 SU (-14.5 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start in the current season.

    905CHICAGO CUBS -906 ST LOUIS
    CHICAGO CUBS are 32-17 SU (12.6 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start in the current season.

    907SAN FRANCISCO -908 LA DODGERS
    SAN FRANCISCO is 36-15 SU (24.3 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start in the current season.

    909TEXAS -910 DETROIT
    DETROIT is 12-3 SU (11.6 Units) in home games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.

    911TAMPA BAY -912 CLEVELAND
    TAMPA BAY is 30-12 SU (19 Units) vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) in the current season.

    913NY YANKEES -914 BOSTON
    NY YANKEES are 12-23 SU (-14.8 Units) in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the current season.

    915LA ANGELS -916 MINNESOTA
    MINNESOTA is 26-53 SU (-35 Units) vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the current season.

    917OAKLAND -918 SEATTLE
    OAKLAND is 31-18 SU (14.5 Units) vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities in the current season.


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  • Udog
    replied
    Thursday’s 6-pack
    — Reds’ star OF Nick Castellanos has a microfracture in his right wrist.
    — Texas/Oklahoma seem primed for a move from Big X to SEC, which would be a major shakeup for college sports.
    — Cardinals 3, Cubs 2 (10)— Yadier Molina walked it off with an RBI double.
    — St Louis pitchers have hit 72 batters this year; next highest in MLB is San Diego (58)
    — Astros are 5-7 this year in games where they had shot at sweeping series.
    — White Sox’ DH Yermin Mercedes abruptly announced his retirement on Instagram last night; he is still on AAA Charlotte’s roster, so it isn’t official yet.

    Quote of the Day.
    “It’s affecting amateur coverage, pro coverage. At some point, you have to have meetings — and not just meetings with your scouts, but meetings with your front office, the executives, the general managers … it’s more than talking with your scouts and getting a pulse, ‘OK, we like him in the first round, we like him in the second round,’ or whatever.”
    An unnamed National League executive, talking about July’s schedule of events, which are different than they’ve been in recent years

    Thursday’s quiz
    Bo Jackson played in the NFL and the major leagues; which team did he spend most of his baseball career with?

    Wednesday’s quiz
    Alex Cora first managed the Red Sox in 2018; John Farrell managed Boston before he did.

    Tuesday’s quiz
    Rolf Benirschke was host of Wheel of Fortune for six months in 1989; before that, he kicked for the San Diego Chargers for ten years. [/SIZE]

    *********************

    Thursday’s Den: First draft of my Week 1 NFL article

    Dallas @ Tampa Bay

    — Last 4 years, Cowboys are 5-9-1 ATS as road underdogs.
    — Dallas lost three of last four road openers SU.
    — Cowboys are 10-4 ATS last 14 games as a dog in road openers.
    — Under is 6-3 in their last nine road openers.
    — Under is 5-2 in their last seven Week 1 games.

    — Defending Super Bowl champs are ATS in Week 1 the next year.
    — Tampa Bay was 3-2-1 ATS LY as a home favorite.
    — Buccaneers won three of last four Week 1 games.
    — Bucs won/covered three of last four home openers.
    — Tampa scored 27+ points in four of last five home openers.
    — Four of their last five Week 1 games went over.

    — Dallas won 7 of last 8 series games.
    — Cowboys lost 3 of last 5 visits here, scoring 6-0-7 points in losses.
    — Favorites are 5-2 ATS in last seven series games.

    ****************************

    Sunday games

    Pittsburgh @ Buffalo

    — Steelers opened on road last six years (3-2-1 SU, 2-3-1 ATS)
    — Steelers are 10-3 ATS in last 13 games as road underdogs.
    — Pittsburgh is 3-1-1 SU last five road openers.
    — Under is 7-1 in their last eight road openers.

    — Bills are 11-6 ATS in last 17 games as home favorites.
    — Home team won their last six Week 1 games.
    — Bills are 9-5 ATS last 14 home openers.
    — Buffalo is 6-2 ATS as a favorite in home openers.

    — Crowd should be mixed for this game; tough day for security guards.
    — Bills beat Pittsburgh last two years, after losing previous six meetings.
    — Steelers gained only 224 yards, lost 26-15 here LY; Buffalo scored on pick-6.
    — Pittsburgh won four of last five visits to Orchard Park.

    NJ Jets @ Carolina
    — Jets have new coach, new QB.
    — Jets started 0-1 four of last five years.
    — Last five years, Gang Green is 10-22-2 ATS as road dogs.
    — Jets are 11-4 ATS in last 15 road openers.
    — Over 5-2 last seven road openers.

    — Last 2 years, Panthers lost 30-27/34-30 at home in Week 1.
    — Last 5 years, Carolina is 10-16 ATS as a home favorite.
    — Panthers are 6-11-1 ATS last in 18 home openers.
    — Under 16-6-1 last 23 home openers.

    — Sam Darnold played 3 years for the Jets, going 13-25 as their QB.
    — Panthers are 3-2 in last five series games, scoring 30+ in all three wins.
    — Jets lost 30-20/30-3 in last two visits to Charlotte.

    Philadelphia @ Atlanta
    — New coach; 2nd-year QB started four games (1-3) LY.
    — Eagles won four of last five season openers.
    — Last 5 years, Eagles are 12-13 ATS as road underdogs.
    — Philly won 5 of last 7 Week 1 games on road.
    — Over 7-4-1 in their last dozen road openers.

    — New coach, new GM for Atlanta.
    — Last 5 years, Falcons are 15-18 ATS as home favorites.
    — Falcons lost four of last five Week 1 games.
    — Atlanta is 17-5 ATS in last 22 home openers.
    — Since 2004, Falcons are 8-1 ATS as a favorite in HO’s.
    — Over is 4-1 in Atlanta’s last five home openers.

    — Eagles are 11-5 in last 16 series games.
    — Philly lost last three visits here, by 4-2-4 points.
    — For what its worth, Matt Ryan is from Philadelphia

    Minnesota @ Cincinnati
    — Last three years, Vikings are 6-3 ATS as road favorites.
    — Minnesota won/covered four of last five Week 1 games.
    — Vikings are 0-3-1 SU, 0-4 ATS last four road openers.
    — This is first time in 5 years Vikings open on road.
    — Under 12-5 in their last 17 road openers.

    — Cincinnati started out 1-0 four of last seven years.
    — Bengals are 8-7-1 ATS last 16 games as home dogs.
    — Cincy won/covered once in last five home openers.
    — Bengals are 3-6-1 ATS as favorite in home openers.
    — Under is 9-4 in their last 13 home openers.

    — Coach Zimmer was Bengals’ DC from 2008-13.
    — Home side won last four series games.
    — Vikings lost last two visits here, 42-14/37-8.

    San Francisco @ Detroit
    — Last 2 years, 49ers won road opener 31-17/31-13.
    — 49ers won 8 of last 10 season openers.
    — Niners are 5-3 ATS last eight games as road favorite.
    — Under 6-1 last seven season openers.
    — Under 7-4-1 last dozen road openers.

    — New coach, new GM, new QB for Lions.
    — Pretty sure Detroit will try hard to run ball a lot.
    — 0-2-1 SU last three season openers (favored in all 3)
    — Lost four of last six home openers.
    — Over 8-3 last 11 home openers.
    — Lions’ last ten season openers went over the total.

    — 49ers won 8 of last 9 series games.
    — Favorites are 4-0-1 ATS in last five series games.
    — Niners won 2 of last 3 visits here, losing 32-15 in last visit, in 2015.

    Arizona @ Tennessee
    — Arizona is 1-3-1 SU in last five Week 1 games.
    — Cardinals lost 4 of last 5 road openers SU, but covered 10 of last 13.
    — Last 2 years, Arizona is 6-3-1 ATS as road underdogs.
    — Under 10-5 last 15 road openers.

    — Tennessee lost SU last three times they opened season at home.
    — Titans are 2-5 SU last seven home openers (2-7 ATS last nine)
    — Last five years, Tennessee is 14-11-2 ATS as home favorites.
    — Under is 6-3 in last nine home openers.

    — Arizona won three of last four series games.
    — Titans lost last meeting 12-7 in desert in 2017.
    — Redbirds split last two visits here; Tennessee gained 460-531 TY, though.

    Seattle @ Indianapolis
    — Seahawks split last six season openers SU.
    — Seattle is 8-4-1 ATS in last 13 games as road underdogs.
    — Seattle won last 2 road openers 28-26/38-25, after losing 11 of previous 12.
    — Seahawks are 3-12-1 ATS in last 16 road openers.
    — Over is 5-2 in last seven road openers.

    — Colts started out 0-1 the last seven years.
    — First game for Carson Wentz as a Colt.
    — Last three years, Indy is 9-10-1 ATS as a home favorite.
    — Won last two home openers, covered 3 of last 4.
    — Last five season openers went over total.

    — Colts won three of last five series games.
    — Seattle lost 34-28/34-17 in last two visits here.
    — Seahawks won last meeting 46-18 at home, in 2017.

    LA Chargers @ Washington
    — New coach, new OC for Chargers.
    — Bolts are 8-4-2 ATS last 14 games as road favorites.
    — Chargers are 4-0-1 ATS last five Week 1 road games.
    — Bolts are 6-2-1 ATS last nine road openers
    — Bolts are 10-5-1 ATS as underdogs in road openers.

    — QB Fitzpatrick gets to start for another NFL team.
    — Washington is 4-7 ATS in last 11 games as home underdogs.
    — Washington covered last three Week 1 games.
    — Washington is 1-4 ATS in last five home openers as a dog.
    — Washington is 2-7 SU in last nine home openers.
    — Over is 7-3 in their last ten home openers.

    — Chargers won four of last five series games.
    — Bolts split last two visits here, losing last visit, in 2013.

    Jacksonville @ Houston
    — First NFL game for Urban Meyer figures to be interesting.
    — Jaguars won season openers three of last four years.
    — Last 3 years, Jacksonville is 8-12-1 ATS as road underdogs.
    — Jaguars lost 11 of last 13 road openers, but covered last four.
    — Under is 12-6 in their last 18 road openers.

    — HC Culley is also new head coach; he’s never been a coordinator.
    — Texans are 9-14-1 ATS last 24 games as home favorites.
    — Texans lost three of last four home openers, scoring 14.5 ppg.
    — Houston is 1-5 ATS in last six home openers.
    — Under 10-6 in their last 16 home openers.

    — Texans won last six series games.
    — Jaguars are 6-3 ATS in last nine visits to Houston.
    — Two guys who have never been NFL head coaches before.

    Cleveland @ Kansas City
    — Browns are 2-19-1 SU in season openers (1-1-1 last three)
    — Last 5 years, Cleveland is 12-19-1 ATS as road underdogs.
    — Browns are 3-5-1 ATS last nine road openers.
    — Last five road openers stayed under total.

    — Chiefs won last six season openers, covered last four.
    — Last five years, they scored 33-42-38-40-34 in Week 1.
    — Last four years, Chiefs are 20-14 ATS as home favorites.
    — KC won last five home openers, covered last four.
    — Over 4-0-2 in their last six home openers.

    — Chiefs beat Cleveland 22-17 here in LY’s playoffs (led 19-3 at half).
    — Chiefs won last four series games, three by 6 or fewer points.
    — Browns covered last four visits to Arrowhead.

    Miami @ New England
    — Since 1994, under is 22-5 in Miami’s road openers (12-0 last 12)
    — Dolphins lost four of last six season openers.
    — Dolphins are 8-4 ATS in last dozen games as road underdogs.
    — Miami is 5-12 SU in last 17 road openers (5-3 ATS last 8)

    — Patriots started 1-0 in 15 of last 17 seasons.
    — New England won 7 of last 8 home openers (4-1 ATS last five)
    — Last five years, Patriots are 27-15-1 ATS as home favorites.
    — Under 7-2 last nine home openers.

    — These teams split their season series the last four years.
    — New England covered first meeting the last six years.
    — Dolphins lost 11 of last 12 visits to Foxboro (1-8 ATS last nine).

    Green Bay @ New Orleans
    — Green Bay won last six season openers (5-1 ATS)
    — Packers are 5-3 ATS in last eight games as road underdogs.
    — Green Bay won/covered last four Week 1 road games.
    — Over is 12-3 in their last 15 road openers.

    — Saints have new QB for first time since 2005.
    — Last 3 years, Saints are 10-14 ATS as home favorites.
    — New Orleans lost five of last seven season openers.
    — Saints are 1-5 ATS in last six home openers.
    — Last 3 years, scored 40-30-34 points in home opener.
    — Saints lost five of last seven season openers.

    — Teams split last eight series games.
    — Packers won 37-20 here LY, their first win in last four visits to Superdome.

    Denver @ NY Giants
    — Denver lost last four road openers, scoring 16.8 ppg.
    — Last 5 years, Broncos are 18-22 ATS on the road.
    — Broncos are 7-10 ATS last 17 road openers.

    — Giants started nine of last ten seasons 0-1.
    — Last four years, Giants are 9-22-1 ATS at home.
    — Big Blue is 1-8 SU, 0-9 ATS last nine home openers.
    — Giants scored 14.2 ppg in last five home openers.
    — Under 7-0 in their last seven home openers.

    — Denver won three of last five series games.
    — Broncos split last two series games played here.

    Chicago @ LA Rams
    — Chicago is 1-6 in last seven Week 1 games.
    — Bears are 2-4 ATS last six road openers.
    — Last five years, Chicago is 10-16-1 ATS as road underdogs.
    — Bears are 4-6 SU in last ten road openers.
    — Under 16-5 in their last 21 road openers.

    — First game for Stafford as Rams’ QB, after 12 years in Detroit.
    — Rams also have a new defensive coordinator.
    — Under McVay, Rams are 4-0 SU in Week 1.
    — Rams won/covered last six home openers.
    — Under McVay, LA is 14-12-1 ATS as home favorites.
    — Under is 4-1 in last five home openers.

    — First game with fans at SoFi Stadium.
    — Bears won six of last nine series games, but lost 24-10 here LY.
    — Chicago’s only TD in that game was scored by the defense.
    — Bears lost three of last four road series games, losing by 14-10-21 points.

    Baltimore @ Las Vegas
    — Baltimore won/covered last five season openers
    — Ravens won/covered four of last five road openers.
    — Baltimore is 12-5-1 ATS in last 18 games as road favorites.
    — Over is 9-4-1 in their last 14 road openers.

    — Las Vegas won four of last five season openers.
    — Raiders won three of last four home openers.
    — Last three years, Raiders are 7-7 ATS as home underdogs.
    — Las Vegas is 3-5 ATS in last eight tries as a dog in HO’s.
    — Over is 5-2 in their last seven home openers.

    — First game with fans at Allegiant Stadium.
    — Ravens won six of last eight series games.
    — Ravens split last four trips to Oakland; this is their first visit to Las Vegas.
    — Underdogs won three of last four series games SU.


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  • StarDust Bum
    replied
    MLB July Opinions and Best Bets:

    07/21/2021.......8-5-0......61.53%....+29.65
    07/20/2021...11-10-0.......52.38%......-1.00
    07/19/2021.......5-7-0.......41.66%....-23.65
    07/18/2021.....6-10-0.......37.50%....-19.35
    07/17/2021.....6-10-0.......37.50%....-28.85
    07/16/2021.......5-9-0.......35.71%....-22.95
    07/11/2021.......9-2-0.......81.82%...+41.60
    07/10/2021...... 8-7-0 ......53.33% ....+4.95
    07/09/2021.......9-5-0.......64.29%...+26.35
    07/08/2021.......3-6-0.......33.33%....-14.80
    07/07/2021.......6-6-0.......50.00%.....+0.25
    07/06/2021.......6-7-0.......46.15%......-9.90
    07/05/2021 ......5-5-0 ......50.00%.... - 6.45
    07/04/2021.....5-11-0.......31.25%.....-31.90
    07/03/2021.....11-4-0.......73.33%....+40.60
    07/02/2021.......6-8-0.......42.86%.....-10.45
    07/01/2021 ......4-7-0 ......36.36% ....-13.85


    Totals...........113-114-0 ......49.77% ....- 39.75


    ***************************


    Best Bets July:

    07/21/2021.6-5-0................54.54%.......+19.65
    07/20/2021 6-6-0................50.00%........+2.30
    07/19/2021 3-2-0................60.00%........+7.00
    07/18/2021 5-6-0................45.45%........+0.50
    07/17/2021 0-4-0................00.00%........-20.00
    07/16/2021 2-4-0................33.33%.........-6.85
    07/11/2021 3-2-0................60.00%.......+11.45
    07/10/2021 3-4-0................42.85%.........+2.85
    07/09/2021 3-3-0................50.00%.........+9.00
    07/08/2021 2-4-0................33.33%..........-6.95
    07/07/2021 3-4-0................42.85%..........-0.70
    07/06/2021 3-3-0................50.00%.........+4.20
    07/05/2021 3-0-0...............100.00%.......+20.20
    07/04/2021 3-8-0................27.27%.........-19.15
    07/03/2021 4-3-0................57.14%........+11.50
    07/02/2021 0-6-0 ...............00.00%........ -30.00
    07/01/2021 3-5-0............... 37.50%......... - 3.55


    Totals.......48-66 0...............42.10%..........+ 1.65

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