TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 7
Game Time(ET) Pick Units
MIN at CLE 06:10 PM
MIN +126
+500
DET at PIT 06:35 PM
DET +103
+500
NYM at MIA 06:40 PM
NYM -173
+500
TOR at NYY 07:05 PM
TOR +202
+500
KC at BAL 07:05 PM
KC -115
+500
TB at BOS 07:10 PM
TB -107
+500
WAS at ATL 07:20 PM
ATL -225
+500
PHI at MIL 07:40 PM
PHI -101
+500
CIN at CHC 07:40 PM
CIN -155
+500
SEA at HOU 08:10 PM
SEA +151
+500
SF at COL 08:40 PM
SF -215
+500
CHW at OAK 09:40 PM
OAK -126
+500
TEX at ARI 09:40 PM
TEX +144
O 8.5
+500 +500
LAA at SD 10:10 PM
LAA +275
+500
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MLB
Tuesday, September 7
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Trend Report
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Minnesota @ Cleveland
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Cleveland is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Detroit @ Pittsburgh
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
NY Mets @ Miami
NY Mets
NY Mets is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
NY Mets is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Miami
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Miami is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Kansas City @ Baltimore
Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Baltimore
Baltimore is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Baltimore is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games when playing at home against Kansas City
Toronto @ NY Yankees
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Yankees's last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 5 games
Tampa Bay @ Boston
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Boston's last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Boston's last 9 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Washington @ Atlanta
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 9 games
Washington is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta
Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games
Cincinnati @ Chi Cubs
Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games on the road
Cincinnati is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Chi Cubs is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Philadelphia @ Milwaukee
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Milwaukee is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
LA Dodgers @ St. Louis
LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of LA Dodgers's last 11 games
LA Dodgers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing St. Louis
St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games at home
St. Louis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
Seattle @ Houston
Seattle
Seattle is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Houston
Houston is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing at home against Seattle
San Francisco @ Colorado
San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado
San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing at home against San Francisco
Colorado is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games at home
Texas @ Arizona
Texas
Texas is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas's last 7 games
Arizona
Arizona is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Texas
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arizona's last 7 games
Chi White Sox @ Oakland
Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Chi White Sox's last 12 games when playing on the road against Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 7 games on the road
Oakland
Oakland is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games
LA Angels @ San Diego
LA Angels
LA Angels is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Diego
LA Angels is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Diego
San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 7 games when playing at home against LA Angels
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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up
Tuesday, September 7
NL games
Mets (69-69) @ Miami (57-80)
— Carrasco is 0-2, 6.52 in his last four starts.
— Mets are 3-4 in his starts.
— over 3-2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 6-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-5
— He is 0-0, 4.66 in two starts vs Miami this year.
— Mets won eight of last ten games.
— Mets are 4-2 in last six road games.
— over 3-2-1 last six road games.
— scored run in first inning: 35-139
— record in first 5 innings: 54-69-16
— Cabrera is 0-1, 5.23 in two starts.
— Marlins are 1-1 in his starts.
— under 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He gave up 3 runs in 4 IP vs New York August 31.
— Marlins lost 13 of last 19 games.
— Miami is 6-2 in last eight home games.
— under 12-4 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 35-137
— record in first 5 innings: 51-64-22
Washington (57-80) @ Atlanta (71-64)
— Espino is 1-0, 3.68 in his last three starts.
— Washington is 5-9 in his starts.
— over 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 5-14
— record in first 5 innings: 7-6-1
— He allowed 5 runs in 4 IP in August 15 start vs Atlanta.
— Washington is 15-37 in its last 52 games.
— Nationals are 4-12 in last 16 home games.
— over 23-9-2 last 34 games
— scored run in first inning: 43-139
— record in first 5 innings: 55-59-25
— Fried is 4-0, 2.08 in his last six starts.
— Braves are 13-10 in his starts.
— under 11-11-1
— allowed run in first inning: 10-23
— you’re reading ***************.com
— record in first 5 innings: 13-9-1
— He is 3-1, 5.56 in five starts vs Washington this year.
— Braves lost five of last seven games.
— Atlanta is 6-3 in last nine home games.
— under 12-3-2 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 49-136
— record in first 5 innings: 69-48-19
Philadelphia (71-66) @ Milwaukee (84-55)
— Nola is 0-1, 5.30 in his last seven starts.
— Phillies are 13-14 in his starts.
— over 7-4-1 last 12
— allowed run in first inning: 8-27
— record in first 5 innings: 13-13-1
— He is 4-0, 2.75 in seven starts vs Milwaukee.
— Phillies won eight of last ten games.
— Phillies are 39-28 at home, 32-38 on road.
— over 9-3 last 12 games.
— scored run in first inning: 44-137
— record in first 5 innings: 60-51-26
— Lauer is 1-1, 2.52 in his last five starts.
— Milwaukee is 7-8 in his starts.
— over 5-1-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 6-15
— record in first 5 innings: 8-5-2
— He is 1-1, 2.25 in two starts vs Philly.
— Brewers are 31-16 in last 47 games.
— Milwaukee is 6-3 in last nine home games.
— under 8-4-1 last 13 games.
— scored run in first inning: 46-139
— record in first 5 innings: 71-44-24
Cincinnati (73-66) @ Cubs (64-75)
— Miley is 3-1, 3.12 in his last six starts.
— Reds are 16-9 in his starts.
— over 6-1-1 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 9-25
— you’re reading ***************.com
— record in first 5 innings: 14-8-3
— He is 2-0, 2.74 in four starts vs Chicago this year.
— Cincinnati is 2-7 in its last nine games.
— Reds are 5-8 in last 13 road games.
— under 13-4 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 42-138
— record in first 5 innings: 66-55-18
— Sampson gave up a run in 4 IP (69 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— Cubs are 1-0 in his starts.
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0
— He gave up a run in 4 IP, in one start vs Cincinnati
— Cubs won their last seven games.
— Chicago is 7-1 in last eight home games.
— Over is 9-4 in last 13 games.
— scored run in first inning: 38-138
— record in first 5 innings: 55-68-15
Los Angeles (87-51) @ St Louis (69-67)
— bullpen game
— Dodgers are 28-11 in last 39 games.
— Dodgers are 8-2 in last ten road games.
— under 16-3-1 last 20 games
— scored run in first inning: 46-137
— record in first 5 innings: 73-43-21
— Happ is 3-1, 4.30 in six starts for St Louis.
— Cardinals are 3-3 in his starts.
— under 3-2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2
— He is 0-3, 2.74 in four starts vs Los Angeles.
— Cardinals are 5-5 in last ten games.
— St Louis is 3-7 in its last ten home games.
— Over is 4-2 in their last six games.
— scored run in first inning: 49-136
— record in first 5 innings: 63-53-20
San Francisco (88-50) @ Colorado (63-75)
— Webb is 4-0, 1.40 in his last eight starts.
— Giants are 15-4 in his starts.
— under 9-0 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 5-19
— record in first 5 innings: 10-6-3
— He is 1-1, 5.52 in three starts vs Colorado this year.
— Giants are 5-6 in last 11 games.
— Giants are 7-2 in last nine road games.
— Under is 16-7-1 in last 24 games.
— scored run in first inning: 44-138
— record in first 5 innings: 73-47-18
— Gonzalez is 0-1, 9.77 in his last four starts.
— Rockies are 6-11 in his starts.
— over 10-6-1
— allowed run in first inning: 7-17
— record in first 5 innings: 4-12-1
— He is 0-0, 3.60 in two starts vs San Francisco this year.
— Colorado is 12-10 in its last 22 games.
— Rockies are 45-25 at home, 18-50 on road.
— over 8-6 last 14 home games.
— scored run in first inning: 47-138
— record in first 5 innings: 55-64-19
AL games
Tampa Bay (87-51) @ Boston (79-61)
— Rasmussen is 0-0, 2.45 in six starts (22 IP).
— Rays are 4-2 in his starts.
— under 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1-2
— He is 0-0, 2.25 in two starts vs Boston this year.
— Tampa Bay won 27 of last 36 games.
— Rays won their last six road games.
— over 18-9-2 last 29 games.
— scored run in first inning: 45-138
— record in first 5 innings: 59-50-29
— Rodriguez is 2-0, 2.08 in his last two starts.
— Red Sox are 17-9 in his starts.
— under 7-3-1 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 8-26
— record in first 5 innings: 14-10-2
— He is 1-0, 3.63 in three starts vs Tampa Bay this year.
— Boston is 10-10 in its last 20 games.
— Red Sox are 9-4 in last 13 home games.
— under 6-5 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 48-140
— record in first 5 innings: 63-57-20
Kansas City (62-75) @ Baltimore (43-93)
— Kowar is 0-2, 11.25 in three starts.
— Kansas City is 0-3 in his starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Baltimore.
— Royals lost five of last eight games.
— Royals are 9-3 in last 12 road games.
— under 29-13-4 last 46 games.
— scores run in first inning: 32-140
— record in first 5 innings: 51-67-22
— Wells is 0-2, 9.00 in three starts.
— Baltimore is 0-3 in his starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-3
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2-1
— He hasn’t pitched against the Royals.
— Orioles are 4-27 in their last 31 games.
— Baltimore is 24-48 on road, 19-45 at home.
— under 5-1 last six games.
— scored run in first inning: 45-136
— record in first 5 innings: 42-76-18
Toronto (74-62) @ Bronx (78-59)
— Matz is 1-1, 3.04 in his last five starts.
— Toronto is 11-13 in his starts.
— over 13-11
— allowed run in first inning: 4-24
— record in first 5 innings: 13-8-3
— He is 2-3, 5.77 in 8 games (6 starts) vs New York.
— Toronto is 8-1 in last nine games.
— Blue Jays are 4-6 in last ten road games.
— Under is 13-4 in last 17 games.
— scored run in first inning: 39-135
— record in first 5 innings: 28-14-6 last 48
— Cole is 4-0, 0.73 in his last four starts.
— New York is 14-11 in his starts.
— under 12-11-2
— allowed run in first inning: 6-25
— record in first 5 innings: 14-6-5
— He is 2-0, 2.33 in three starts vs Toronto this year.
— New York is 2-7 since its 13-game win streak ended.
— New York is 8-3 in last 11 home games.
— over 23-17-1 last 41 games
— scored run in first inning: 30-137
— record in first 5 innings: 58-48-31
Minnesota (60-77) @ Cleveland (68-68)
— Gant is 0-3, 7.30 in three starts for Twins.
— Twins are 0-3 in his starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 0-3
— He is 1-0, 0.75 in 5 games (2 starts) vs Cleveland.
— Minnesota lost five of last eight games.
— Twins are 4-7 in last 11 road games.
— under 6-2-2 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 48-136
— record in first 5 innings: 41-70-25
— Civale is 3-0, 3.42 in his last four starts.
— His last start was June 21.
— Indians are 12-3 in his starts.
— under 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 6-15
— record in first 5 innings: 7-4-4
— He is 1-2, 3.52 in five starts vs Minnesota.
— Cleveland is 10-6 in last 16 games.
— Indians are 6-4 in last ten home games.
— under 12-8-1 last 21 home games
— scores run in first inning: 41-135
— record in first 5 innings: 54-61-20
Seattle (75-63) @ Houston (80-57)
— Gilbert is 0-3, 4.40 in his last six starts.
— Mariners are 12-7 in his starts.
— over 12-4 last 16
— allowed run in first inning: 3-19
— record in first 5 innings: 9-6-4
— He is 0-1, 8.38 in two starts vs Houston this year.
— Seattle won six of last eight games.
— Seattle is 10-3 in last 13 road games.
— over 4-0 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 43-138
— record in first 5 innings: 60-60-18
— Odorizzi is 1-1, 2.30 in his last three starts.
— Astros are 9-10 in his starts.
— over 6-2-1 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 3-19
— record in first 5 innings: 10-7-2
— He is 2-2, 3.92 in four starts vs Seattle this year.
— Astros lost five of last eight games.
— Astros are 7-2 in last nine home games.
— under 7-4-2 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 48-137
— record in first 5 innings: 74-44-19
White Sox (79-57) @ Oakland (74-63)
— They haven’t announced a starter.
— Chicago is 6-3 in last nine games.
— White Sox are 4-8 in last 12 road games.
— under 4-2-1 last seven road games.
— scored run in first inning: 41-137
— record in first 5 innings: 76-40-21
— Kaprielian is 2-0, 5.68 in his last seven starts.
— A’s are 10-8 in his starts.
— over 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 4-18
— record in first 5 innings: 9-5-4
— He hasn’t pitched against Chicago.
— A’s are 6-14 in their last 20 games.
— Oakland is 3-5 in last eight home games.
— Over is 7-3 in their last ten games.
— scored run in first inning: 40-137
— record in first 5 innings: 60-54-23
Interleague games
Detroit (65-74) @ Pittsburgh (49-87)
— Peralta is 0-2, 7.09 in his last seven starts.
— Detroit is 7-6 in his starts.
— under 6-6-1
— allowed run in first inning: 3-13
— record in first 5 innings: 8-3-2
— He is 2-2, 4.30 in seven starts vs Pittsburgh.
— Detroit is 8-14 in its last 22 games.
— Detroit is 8-4 in last 12 road games.
— under 21-12-2 last 35 games
— scored run in first inning: 28-139
— record in first 5 innings: 19-22-5 last 46
— They haven’t named a starter.
— Pirates are 13-36 in last 49 games.
— Pittsburgh is 5-3 in last eight home games.
— over 6-0 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 34-136
— record in first 5 innings: 42-78-16
Texas (49-88) @ Arizona (45-93)
— bullpen game
— Texas is 13-36 in last 49 games.
— Texas is 4-7 in last 11 road games.
— over 14-11-2 last 27 games.
— scored run in first inning: 27-137
— record in first 5 innings: 47-73-17
— Gallen is 1-1, 2.50 in his last three starts.
— Arizona is 4-14 in his starts.
— over 12-6
— allowed run in first inning: 5-18
— record in first 5 innings: 8-10
— He hasn’t pitched against Texas.
— Arizona lost eight of last nine games.
— Arizona is 7-6 in its last 13 home games.
— over 8-2 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 18-138
— record in first 5 innings: 52-74-12
Angels (68-70) @ San Diego (72-64)
— bullpen game
— Angels won five of last eight games.
— Angels are 1-5 in last six road games.
— over 5-2 last seven road games
— scored run in first inning: 41-138
— record in first 5 innings: 59-63-16
— Snell allowed 1 run in 14.2 IP in his last two starts.
— Padres are 12-13 in his starts.
— under 4-0-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 5-25
— record in first 5 innings: 11-12-2
— He is 1-1, 3.94 in three starts vs Anaheim.
— Padres lost 14 of last 21 games.
— San Diego lost five of last seven home games.
— under 9-4-2 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 40-136
— record in first 5 innings: 56-62-18
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Tuesday’s 6-pack
Six more interesting college football spreads for next week:
— Pitt (-3.5) @ Tennessee
— South Carolina @ East Carolina (-2)
— Air Force (-6.5) @ Navy
— Memphis (-4.5) @ Arkansas State
— Vanderbilt @ Colorado State (-6.5)
— San Diego State @ Arizona (-1)
Quote of the Day
“Crazy, wild game. It wasn’t pretty. It was beautiful at the end.”
Tampa Bay DH Hector Cruz
Tuesday’s quiz
What team did Archie Manning play most of his NFL career with?
Monday’s quiz
Greg Maddux made his MLB debut as a pinch-runner in the 16th inning of a game.
Sunday’s quiz
Danny Ford was Clemson’s coach the first time they won the football national title.
************************************
Tuesday’s Den: Wrapping up Labor Day weekend
13) Rays 11, Red Sox 10 (10)
— Boston led 7-1 after two innings.
— Austin Meadows tied game with an inside/park homer in 9th inning, first time that happened in major leagues since 2008 (Mark Teahen).
— Red Sox have 11 guys on the COVID list; because of that, they’re basically only MLB team working with a 40-man roster right now- they added SS Jose Iglesias, recently dropped by the Angels.
12) Ole Miss 43, Louisville 24:
— When the Louisville coach publicly criticizes his QB to a reporter at halftime, it isn’t good.
— ABC TV crew spent lot of 4th quarter talking about their dogs; this was a bad game.
Terrible job by MLB, by the way; only two major league games on Labor Day night?
11) This weekend, an average of 52.3 ppg were scored in I-A college football games, the lowest total for Labor Day weekend since 2009.
10) Giants 10, Rockies 5:
— Giants over/under win total this spring was 75.5; they’re 88-50 after this game.
9) Nationals 4, Mets 3:
— Washington scored twice in 9th for an unlikely win.
— 10 of Mets’ last 11 games were decided by one run.
8) An ex-Patriots player was quoted Monday as saying that rookie QB Mac Jones was tutoring Cam Newton on learning New England’s offense this summer, which may help explain why Newton is no longer on the Patriots.
7) Houston Texans named Tyrod Taylor (24-21-1 as an NFL starter) as their #1 QB for their game with Jacksonville Sunday. Deshaun Watson will be on the roster, but isn’t expected to be active; rookie Davis Mills is supposed to be Houston’s #2 QB.
6) Bad news for the Minnesota Gophers; star RB Mo Ibrahim will miss the rest of the season because of a leg injury he suffered against Ohio State. Ibrahim rushed 30 times for 163 yards before the injury.
5) Mentioned yesterday that UConn football coach Randy Edsall announced he’ll retire after the season; the school overruled him Monday— Edsall is gone immediately, after Huskies started the season 0-2, with a horrible loss to Holy Cross.
4) Over last seven weeks, St Louis Cardinals are 2-10 in games where the winning run scored in last three innings. Despite, St Louis is only 3.5 games out of the second Wild Card spot.
3) Royals’ 3B Hanser Alberto has batted 221 times this year; he’s walked TWICE. Twice. He walked five times in 224 PA’s last year. Not good.
2) Not only did I-AA Montana upset Washington Saturday, the Griz took home a $650,000 guarantee check for their trip to Washington.
1) Wild Card races:
NL: Los Angeles, San Diego
— Reds are a game behind San Diego, Phillies two games behind.
— Cardinals are 3.5 games behind, Mets 4.5 games.
AL: New York, Boston
— Toronto, Seattle are 3 games behind
— A’s are 3.5 games behind
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MLB September Record Opinions & Best Bets !!
DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD
09/06/2021........7-5-0.......58.33%........+12.30
09/05/2021......12-4-0........75.00%.......+32.60
09/04/2021......11-5-0........68.75%.......+36.00
09/03/2021......11-8-1........57.89%.......+14.40
09/02/2021........3-8-0........27.27%........-29.05
09/01/2021......4-12-0.......25.00%........-51.70
Totals:............48-42-1.......53.33%........+ 14.55
Best Bets:
09/06/2021.......5-3-0.......62.50%.......+ 15.90
09/05/2021.......4-0-0.....100.00%.......+ 31.35
09/04/2021.......3-3-0.......50.00%........+ 9.80
09/03/2021.......5-6-0.......45.45%........- .0.75
09/02/2021.......1-7-0.......12.50%.......- 31.50
09/01/2021.......3-6-0.......33.33%.......- 10.70
Totals.............21-25-0.......45.65%.......+ 14.10Leave a comment:
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Diamond Trends for Monday September 6
Vince Akins
SU Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Toronto at N.Y. Yankees (1:05 p.m. ET)
-- The Yankees are 12-0 since June 19, 2010 as favorites when they lost by favorites of at least -180 in each of their last two games.
SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: N.Y. Mets at Washington (1:05 p.m. ET)
-- The Nationals are 0-11 since August 2 facing divisional opponents that have better record than them, when they total is over 7 and they are not underdogs of +170 or more.
OU Trend of the Day
Matchup: Cincinnati at Chi. Cubs (2:20 p.m. ET)
-- The Reds are 0-8 OU in database history coming off a loss as a favorite of at least -220.
Starter-Based Trend of the Day
Matchup: Tampa Bay at Boston (1:00 p.m. ET)
-- The Rays are 7-0 OU when Ryan Yarbrough starts as a dog when the total is no more than nine.
Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)
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MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 6
Game Time(ET) Pick Units
TOR at NYY 01:05 PM
TOR +128
+500
NYM at WAS 01:05 PM
NYM -125
+500
KC at BAL 01:05 PM
KC -109
+500
TB at BOS 01:10 PM
TB +126
+500
DET at PIT 01:35 PM
PIT +127
+500
PHI at MIL 02:10 PM
PHI +121
+500
CIN at CHC 02:20 PM
CIN -147
+500
SF at COL 04:10 PM
SF -145
+500
LAD at STL 04:15 PM
STL +184
+500
MIN at CLE 06:10 PM
CLE +117
+500
SEA at HOU 07:10 PM
SEA +177
+500
TEX at LAA 09:07 PM
TEX +116
+500
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MLB
Monday, September 6
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Trend Report
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Kansas City @ Baltimore
Kansas City
Kansas City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore
Baltimore is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Baltimore is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Kansas City
NY Mets @ Washington
NY Mets
NY Mets is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
NY Mets is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Washington's last 18 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 8 games
Toronto @ NY Yankees
Toronto
Toronto is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto
NY Yankees is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games at home
Tampa Bay @ Boston
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Boston's last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Boston's last 8 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Detroit @ Pittsburgh
Detroit
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Pittsburgh's last 25 games when playing Detroit
Philadelphia @ Milwaukee
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Milwaukee
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
Milwaukee is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
Cincinnati @ Chi Cubs
Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games on the road
Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games at home
Chi Cubs is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
San Francisco @ Colorado
San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games
Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing at home against San Francisco
Colorado is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games at home
LA Dodgers @ St. Louis
LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of LA Dodgers's last 10 games
LA Dodgers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis
St. Louis
St. Louis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
Minnesota @ Cleveland
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Cleveland is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Seattle @ Houston
Seattle
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Houston
Houston is 21-3 SU in its last 24 games when playing at home against Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
Texas @ LA Angels
Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games when playing LA Angels
Texas is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
LA Angels
LA Angels is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Texas
LA Angels is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Texas
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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up
Monday, September 6
NL games
Mets (69-68) @ Washington (56-80)
— Williams is 0-0, 2.08 in two starts for Mets.
— Mets are 2-0 in his starts.
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0
— He is 1-2, 4.71 in six starts vs Washington.
— Mets won eight of last nine games.
— Mets are 4-1 in last five road games.
— over 3-1-1 last five road games.
— scored run in first inning: 34-138
— record in first 5 innings: 54-69-15
— Corbin is 1-5, 7.88 in his last six starts.
— Washington is 2-10 in his last 12 starts.
— over 8-2 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 11-26
— record in first 5 innings: 10-13-3
— He is 1-1, 5.40 in two starts vs New York this year.
— Washington is 14-37 in its last 51 games.
— Nationals are 3-12 in last 15 home games.
— over 23-8-2 last 33 games
— scored run in first inning: 42-138
— record in first 5 innings: 55-59-24
Philadelphia (70-66) @ Milwaukee (84-54)
— Wheeler is 1-1, 7.40 in his last three starts.
— Phillies are 15-12 in his starts.
— over 2-0-1 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 5-27
— record in first 5 innings: 10-9-8
— He is 2-1, 2.25 in six starts vs Milwaukee.
— Phillies won seven of last nine games.
— Phillies are 39-28 at home, 31-38 on road.
— over 8-3 last 11 games.
— scored run in first inning: 43-136
— record in first 5 innings: 59-51-26
— Woodruff is 2-0, 0.75 in his last two starts.
— Milwaukee is 16-10 in his starts.
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 6-26
— record in first 5 innings: 13-6-7
— He is 2-1, 0.73 in four starts vs Philly.
— Brewers are 31-15 in last 46 games.
— Milwaukee is 6-2 in last eight home games.
— under 8-3-1 last 12 games.
— scored run in first inning: 46-138
— record in first 5 innings: 71-43-24
Cincinnati (73-65) @ Cubs (63-75)
— Gray is 3-0, 1.00 in his last three starts.
— Reds are 12-9 in his starts.
— under 10-10-1
— allowed run in first inning: 5-21
— you’re reading ***************.com
— record in first 5 innings: 8-10-3
— He is 4-3, 3.06 in nine starts vs Chicago.
— Cincinnati is 2-6 in its last eight games.
— Reds are 5-7 in last 12 road games.
— under 12-4 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 42-137
— record in first 5 innings: 66-54-18
— Steele is 1-2, 3.92 in four starts.
— Cubs are 1-3 in his starts.
— over 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2
— He allowed 2 runs in 4 IP vs Cincy August 16.
— Cubs won their last six games.
— Chicago is 6-1 in last seven home games.
— Over is 9-3 in last 12 games.
— scored run in first inning: 37-137
— record in first 5 innings: 54-68-15
San Francisco (87-50) @ Colorado (63-74)
— Gausman is 0-0, 5.52 in his last three starts.
— Giants are 17-10 in his starts.
— over 7-2 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 8-27
— record in first 5 innings: 17-16-4
— He is 1-1, 5.06 in four starts vs Colorado.
— Giants are 4-6 in last ten games.
— Giants are 6-2 in last eight road games.
— Under is 16-6-1 in last 23 games.
— scored run in first inning: 43-137
— record in first 5 innings: 72-47-18
— Freeland is 4-0, 3.60 in his last six starts.
— Rockies are 10-8 in his starts.
— under 10-3 last 13
— allowed run in first inning: 6-18
— record in first 5 innings: 5-8-5
— He is 7-3, 3.41 in 16 starts vs San Francisco.
— Colorado is 12-9 in its last 21 games.
— Rockies are 45-24 at home, 18-50 on road.
— over 7-6 last 13 home games.
— scored run in first inning: 47-137
— record in first 5 innings: 55-63-19
Los Angeles (86-51) @ St Louis (69-66)
— Scherzer is 4-0, 1.29 in six starts for LA.
— Dodgers are 6-0 in his starts.
— under 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— you’re reading ***************.com
— record in first 5 innings: 6-0
— He is 3-6, 3.05 in 12 starts vs St Louis.
— Dodgers are 27-11 in last 38 games.
— Dodgers are 7-2 in last nine road games.
— under 15-3-1 last 19 games
— scored run in first inning: 45-136
— record in first 5 innings: 72-43-21
— Mikolas is 0-1, 5.51 in four starts.
— Cardinals are 2-2 in his starts.
— under 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1-1
— He is 1-1, 3.45 in 5 games (2 starts) vs Los Angeles.
— Cardinals are 5-4 in last nine games.
— St Louis is 3-6 in its last nine home games.
— Over is 4-1 in their last five games.
— scored run in first inning: 49-135
— record in first 5 innings: 63-52-20
AL games
Tampa Bay (86-51) @ Boston (79-60)
— Yarbrough is 2-0, 2.40 in his last three games.
— Rays are 12-7 in his starts.
— over 4-0 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 7-19
— record in first 5 innings: 6-8-5
— He is 4-3, 6.61 in 15 games (8 starts) vs Boston.
— Tampa Bay won 26 of last 35 games.
— Rays won their last five road games.
— over 17-9-2 last 28 games.
— scored run in first inning: 44-137
— record in first 5 innings: 59-49-29
— Sale is 3-0, 2.53 in four starts.
— Red Sox are 4-0 in his starts.
— under 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-4
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1
— He is 10-6, 2.95 in 19 starts vs Tampa Bay.
— Boston is 10-9 in its last 19 games.
— Red Sox are 9-3 in last 12 home games.
— under 6-4 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 47-139
— record in first 5 innings: 62-57-20
Kansas City (61-75) @ Baltimore (43-92)
— Bubic is 1-1, 8.10 in his last four starts.
— Kansas City is 10-5 in his starts.
— under 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 8-15
— record in first 5 innings: 5-8-2
— He allowed a run in 6 IP, in a relief stint vs Baltimore.
— Royals lost five of last seven games.
— Royals are 8-3 in last 11 road games.
— under 28-13-4 last 45 games.
— scores run in first inning: 32-139
— record in first 5 innings: 51-66-22
— bullpen game
— Orioles are 4-26 in their last 30 games.
— Baltimore is 24-48 on road, 19-44 at home.
— under 4-1 last five games.
— scored run in first inning: 45-135
— record in first 5 innings: 41-76-18
Toronto (73-62) @ Bronx (78-58)
— Ryu is 1-3, 5.64 in his last four starts.
— Toronto is 16-10 in his starts.
— over 12-5-1 last 18
— allowed run in first inning: 7-26
— record in first 5 innings: 16-9-1
— He is 2-1, 2.63 in four starts vs New York this year.
— Toronto is 7-1 in last eight games.
— Blue Jays are 3-6 in last nine road games.
— Under is 12-4 in last 16 games.
— scored run in first inning: 38-134
— record in first 5 innings: 27-14-6 last 47
— Taillon is 1-1, 9.22 in his last three starts.
— New York is 11-2 in his last 13 starts.
— over 10-2 last 12
— allowed run in first inning: 6-26
— record in first 5 innings: 11-8-7
— He is 1-1, 6.52 in two starts vs Toronto.
— New York lost five of last seven games.
— New York is 8-2 in last ten home games.
— over 23-16-1 last 40 games
— scored run in first inning: 30-136
— record in first 5 innings: 58-47-31
Minnesota (59-77) @ Cleveland (68-67)
— Ober is 1-1, 2.01 in his last four starts.
— Twins are 10-6 in his starts.
— over 8-3-2 last 13
— allowed run in first inning: 2-16
— record in first 5 innings: 6-7-3
— He gave up 3 runs in 6 IP in one start vs Cleveland.
— Minnesota lost five of last seven games.
— Twins are 3-7 in last ten road games.
— under 5-2-2 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 47-135
— record in first 5 innings: 40-70-25
— Allen is 0-0, 5.06 in his last three starts.
— Indians are 2-6 in his starts.
— under 5-3
— allowed run in first inning: 3-8
— record in first 5 innings: 2-5-1
— He gave up 6 runs in 1.1 IP, in one start vs Minnesota.
— Cleveland is 10-5 in last 15 games.
— Indians are 6-3 in last nine home games.
— under 11-8-1 last 20 home games
— scores run in first inning: 41-134
— record in first 5 innings: 54-60-20
Seattle (75-62) @ Houston (79-57)
— Kikuchi is 0-1, 5.40 in his last five starts.
— Mariners are 13-12 in his starts.
— over 13-12
— allowed run in first inning: 7-25
— record in first 5 innings: 12-9-4
— He is 1-2, 5.08 in five starts vs Houston this year.
— Seattle won six of last seven games.
— Seattle is 10-2 in last 12 road games.
— under 7-5 last 12 games
— scored run in first inning: 43-137
— record in first 5 innings: 60-59-18
— McCullers is 1-0, 3.06 in his last three starts.
— Astros are 14-9 in his starts.
— over 12-10-1
— allowed run in first inning: 5-23
— record in first 5 innings: 13-7-5
— He is 2-0, 3.18 in three starts vs Seattle this year.
— Astros lost five of last seven games.
— Astros are 6-2 in last eight home games.
— under 7-3-2 last 12 games
— scored run in first inning: 48-136
— record in first 5 innings: 73-44-19
Texas (48-88) @ Angels (68-69)
— Alexy threw five shutout IP in his first ‘21 start.
— Rangers are 1-0 in his starts.
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0
— He hasn’t pitched against Anaheim.
— Texas is 12-36 in last 48 games.
— Texas is 3-7 in last ten road games.
— over 14-10-2 last 26 games.
— scored run in first inning: 26-136
— record in first 5 innings: 46-73-17
— Barria is 0-2, 7.82 in his last four starts.
— Angels are 3-4 in his starts.
— over 4-0 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 3-7
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3-1
— He is 5-2, 3.18 in ninestarts vs Texas.
— Angels won five of last seven games.
— Angels are 7-7 in last 14 home games.
— over 9-6 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 41-137
— record in first 5 innings: 59-62-16
Interleague games
Detroit (65-73) @ Pittsburgh (48-87)
— Skubal is 0-2, 5.40 in his last three starts.
— Detroit is 10-14 in his starts.
— under 8-1 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 6-24
— record in first 5 innings: 10-24
— He threw 3 scoreless IP in a relief stint vs Pittsburgh.
— Detroit is 8-13 in its last 21 games.
— Detroit is 8-3 in last 11 road games.
— under 21-11-2 last 34 games
— scored run in first inning: 28-138
— record in first 5 innings: 19-21-5 last 45
— Wilson is 0-3, 4.32 in five starts for Pirates.
— Pirates are 1-4 in his starts.
— under 5-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Detroit.
— Pirates are 12-36 in last 48 games.
— Pittsburgh is 4-3 in last seven home games.
— over 5-0 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 33-135
— record in first 5 innings: 41-78-16
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Monday’s 6-pack
Six interesting college football spreads for next week:
— Oregon @ Ohio State (-14)
— Iowa @ Iowa State (-3.5)
— NC State (-2) @ Mississippi State
— Texas (-6) @ Arkansas
— Utah (-7) @ BYU
— Stanford @ USC (-17.5)
Quote of the Day
“After the Oregon game, they were like, ‘Screw you, Slovis. You cost us X amount of money” And they request money. I’m like, ‘C’mon man.’ My Facebook, I don’t even use it. It’s crazy to see the comments. My girlfriend’s Instagram and DMs. They find you.”
USC quarterback Kevon Slovis
Monday’s quiz
Which Hall of Fame pitcher made his MLB debut as a pinch-runner in the 16th inning of a game?
Sunday’s quiz
Danny Ford was Clemson’s coach the first time they won the football national title.
Saturday’s quiz
Coastal Carolina’s football team has nickname the Chanticleers.
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Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports weekend
13) Sunday, there was lot of action in late innings:
— Mets scored 6 runs in 9th inning
— Milwaukee scored 5 runs in 9th inning
— Cleveland scored 5 runs in 9th inning
— Seattle scored 7 runs in 11th inning.
Sunday was first day since 1940 that four teams scored 5+ runs in 9th inning or later.
12) Notre Dame 41, Florida State 38 (OT)
— FSU outscored Notre Dame 18-0 in 4th quarter to force OT
— Seminoles’ kicker missed a 38-yard FG in OT.
— FSU QB Milton came off bench to spark the rally; he hadn’t played in over two years, since a severe leg injury while he played for Central Florida.
11) Zeb Noland played QB for South Carolina Saturday; he threw four TD passes in Carolina’s win over a I-AA team Saturday, but here’s the thing: Noland is supposed to be a graduate assistant coach this year, not a player. But he played well Saturday.
The kid who is supposed to be the Gamecocks’ QB is hurt; the backup isfrom a I-AA school, so Noland got the nod to start- he played previously at Iowa State, North Dakota State.
10) Dallas Cowboys star G Zack Martin has COVID, is out for this week’s game in Tampa.
9) Big Sky football teams went 8-0 ATS vs I-A teams this weekend; seven of the eight teams were underdogs of 19+ points. Eastern Washington covered as a small favorite at UNLV.
8) Detroit took young pitcher Casey Mize out Sunday after three IP, 34 PT- they’re just trying to preserve his arm for next year. Several teams are doing this, trying to keep their guys healthy heading into the offseason.
7) Brewers 6, Cardinals 5— Daniel Vogelbach with a pinch-hit, walk-off grand slam.
6) Chicago White Sox are 6-7-2 in their last 15 series; they were 16-7-6 in their first 29 series.
5) Last week, Adam Wainwright started his 300th career game with Yadier Molina behind the plate; that’s the 4th-most starts for one battery in MLB history.
Mickey Lolich threw 324 games with Bill Freehan behind the plate; they hold the record.
4) Here is some guarantee money visiting teams got this weekend:
$1.9M— Kent State @ Texas A&M
$1.8M— Akron @ Auburn
$1.685M— UL-Monroe @ Kentucky
$1.55M—- Florida Atlantic @ Florida
Losing can be profitable.
3) Clemson lost Saturday night without allowing an offensive TD; last time they did that was 1983, when they also lost to Georgia, whose only TD came on a blocked punt.
2) Today is Labor Day, and one college football coach has already announced his retirement. UConn’s Randy Edsall is gone after this season. Huskies’ football program is a mess; they’ll be looking for a head coach with New England recruiting ties.
1) If the baseball playoffs started today: (they do not):
NL: Braves, Brewers, Giants Wild Card: San Diego @ Los Angeles
AL: Rays, White Sox, Astros. Wild Card: Boston @ Bronx
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MLB September Record Opinions & Best Bets !!
DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD
09/05/2021......12-4-0........75.00%.......+32.60
09/04/2021......11-5-0........68.75%.......+36.00
09/03/2021......11-8-1........57.89%.......+14.40
09/02/2021........3-8-0........27.27%........-29.05
09/01/2021......4-12-0.......25.00%........-51.70
Totals:............41-37-1.......52.56%........+ 2.25
Best Bets:
09/05/2021.......4-0-0.....100.00%.......+31.35
09/04/2021.......3-3-0.......50.00%........+ 9.80
09/03/2021.......5-6-0.......45.45%........- .0.75
09/02/2021.......1-7-0.......12.50%.......- 31.50
09/01/2021.......3-6-0.......33.33%.......- 10.70
Totals.............16-22-0.......42.10%.......- 1.80Leave a comment:
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