Announcement

**Udog** · 10-26-2020, 10:56 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Home favorites/home underdogs in college football leagues:
AAC: 2-8-1 HF……4-3 HU
ACC: 11-9-1 HF……9-3 HU
Big 14: 3-1 HF……2-1 HU
Big X: 8-4-1 HF……4-3 HU
C-USA: 1-11 HF……2-3 HU
MW: 2-1 HF……2-0 HU
SEC: 7-7 HF……8-7 HU
Sun Belt: 6-3 HF……3-1 HU

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 225,197
PLEASE wear a mask when you go out.

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Armadillo: Monday's Den: Wrapping up a sports Sunday

Browns 37, Cincinnati 34
— Mayfield threw a 24-yard TD pass with 0:11 left to win this exciting game.
— Browns’ last five drives: 40 plays, 379 yards, five TD’s (34 points)
— Cleveland split its four road games, giving up 37 ppg.
— Last 4+ years, Cleveland is 1-5 ATS as a road favorite.
— Five of their last six games went over the total.

— Bengals had ball in Cleveland red zone on 7 of their 8 drives.
— Rookie QB Burrow threw for 406 yards; Bengals scored TD’s on their last two drives.
— Bengals scored 30-34 points against Cleveland this year, but lost both games.
— Cincinnati is 5-1-1 ATS this season.
— Divisional home underdogs are 8-0 ATS so far this season.

Washington 25, Cowboys 3
— Dallas is first team EVER to allow 20+ first half points, six games in a row.
— Last six games, Dallas is minus-14 in turnovers.
— Cowboys are 0-7 ATS this year; their two wins by total of 4 points.
— Cowboys are 3-7 ATS in last nine games as a road favorite.
— Dallas offense in 2nd half: 19 plays, 30 yards, 3 first downs, zero points.

— Washington outrushed Dallas 208-83.
— Washington had lost its previous five games, before this easy win.
— This is only 2nd win for Washington in last nine series games.
— Washington in 1st half, on 5 drives: 33 plays, 276 yards, three TD’s.
— Washington sacked two Dallas QB’s 6 times; they KO’d Andy Dalton.

Lions 23, Atlanta 22
— Stafford threw an 11-yard TD pass on the last play of the game for the win.
— Prater made FG’s of 50-51-49 yards; the game-winning PAT was 50 yards long.
— Lions allowed 27+ points in their three losses; 22-23-16 in their wins.
— Detroit won field position by 12-yard average.
— NFC North teams are 13-5 ATS outside the division.

— Atlanta scored a TD with 1:04 left, instead of taking a knee that would’ve ended the game, and that gave Detroit the chance they needed to win the game.
— Atlanta lost all four of its home games, giving up 28.5 ppg.
— Falcons are 5-10 ATS in last 15 games as a home favorite.
— Home side lost six of last eight series games.
— NFC South teams are 1-7 ATS in non-divisional home games.

New Orleans 27, Panthers 24
— Carolina just barely missed a 65-yard FG with 1:55 left that would’ve tied it.
— Panthers ran ball only 14 times for 37 yards- they only ran 43 plays overall.
— Carolina converted 6-9 third down plays; New Orleans 12-14.
— Carolina is 15-10 ATS in last 25 games as a road underdog.
— Team leading at halftime won all seven Carolina games.

— New Orleans outgained Panthers 415-283.
— Saints allowed 23-29-27-24 points in their wins, 34-37 in losses.
— New Orleans is 7-14 ATS in its last 21 games as a home favorite.
— Saints had ball six times; three TD’s, two FG’s and a fumble.
— All six of their games went over the total.
— Saints won seven of last eight series games; four of their last five series wins were by 5 or fewer points.

Bills 18, NJ Jets 10
— Buffalo won game without scoring a TD; they made 6-8 FG’s.
— Bills had ball nine times, and tried FG’s on 8 of the 9 drives.
— Buffalo won field position by 10 yards, ran 72 plays, to 51 for Jets.
— Total yardage in game: 422-190, Bills.
— Last time Buffalo won without scoring a TD? Week 13 of 2007, in a 17-16 win at Washington.

— Jets haven’t won yet, but they covered here- they’ve lost all their home games by 18-9-20-8 points.
— Weird thing is, they’re +4 in turnovers the last four games, but were still outscored by a combined 109-48.
— Jets in second half: 16 plays, four yards, 2 first downs, no points.
— Four of their last five games stayed under the total.
— Divisional home underdogs are 8-0 ATS so far this season.

Packers 35, Houston 20
— Packers scored TD’s on four of their first six drives.
— Green Bay won five of its six games, losing in Week 6 to Tampa.
— Packers are 3-0 in domes this season, scoring 43-37-35 points.
— Green Bay converted 7-12 3rd down plays; they did have a punt blocked.
— NFC North teams are 13-5 ATS outside the division.

— Texans lost six of their first seven games, giving up 28+ points in every game.
— Total yardage was close: 379-365 Packers, but Green Bay led 21-0 at the half.
— Houston is 3-6 ATS in last nine games as a home underdog.
— AFC South non-divisional underdogs are 3-6 ATS.

Steelers 27, Tennessee 24
— Steelers won first six games (5-1 ATS), scoring 30.5 ppg.
— Pittsburgh’s first two drives: 29 plays, 136 yards, two TD’s, TOP: 16:23.
— Steelers led 24-7 at halftime, then hung on for dear life.
— Pittsburgh won six of last eight series games.
— Over is 3-1-1 in their last five games.

— Tennessee has played five games decided by 3 or fewer points or in OT.
— Titans scored 17+ points in 2nd half, in each of their last four games.
— Tennessee ran only 56 plays in this game; Steelers ran 74.
— Over is 3-1-1 in Titans’ last five games.
— AFC South teams are 7-10 ATS outside the division.

49ers 33, New England 6
— 49ers ran ball for 197 yards, outgained New England 467-247
— Niners are 4-0 if they score 24+ points, 0-3 if they score less than 24.
— 49ers are 13-7 ATS in last 20 games as a road underdog.
— NFC West teams are 13-7 ATS outside the division.
— First half overs are 66-37-2 so far this season.

— Patriots lost last three games, scoring two TD’s on 30 drives, with 11 turnovers.
— New England ran only 49 plays, were 1-6 on 3rd down, threw four INTs.
— Last three games, Patriots are minus-9 in turnovers, were outscored 41-9 in first half.
— Newton was benched in this game after going 9-15/98 with three INT’s.
— AFC East teams are 5-11 ATS outside the division.

Chiefs 43, Denver 16
— Chiefs scored 43, and didn’t convert a third down (0-8).
— Chiefs are 4-0 on foreign soil, winning by 3-14-9-27 points.
— KC is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games as a road favorite.
— Chiefs scored a defensive TD and ran a kick back for a TD.
— Chiefs won last ten series games, last three by total of 96-25.

— Denver turned ball over four times, allowed a kick return TD.
— Broncos lost all three of their home games, 16-14/28-10/43-16.
— Chiefs won their last four visits to Denver.
— Divisional home underdogs are now 8-1 ATS so far this season.

Buccaneers 45, Las Vegas 20
— Buccaneers’ last 7 drives: five touchdowns, one FG.
— Tampa Bay won five of its last six games, scoring 36.5 ppg.
— Bucs are allowing only 66.3 rushing yards/game.
— Last 4+ years, Tampa Bay is 5-2 ATS as a road favorite.
— NFC South non-divisional road teams are 6-3 ATS.

— Raiders scored 34-34-40 points in their wins, 20-23-20 in losses.
— Las Vegas has led only one of its games at halftime, beck in Week 1.
— All six of their games went over the total.
— Raiders didn’t have a sack or a takeaway, allowed 8.2 yards/pass attempt.

LA Chargers 39, Jaguars 29
— Jaguars trailed 16-0 early, then scored three straight TD’s, last one on a blocked punt.
— Jaguars lost last six games, are 0-5 ATS in last five.
— Jacksonville gave up 33.2 ppg in its last six games.
— Jaguars are 5-11-1 ATS in last 17 games as a road underdog.
— AFC South teams are 6-12 ATS outside the division.

— Rookie QB Herbert threw for 347 yards, got his first NFL win.
— Chargers outgained Jacksonville 484-294.
— Last five times Bolts had ball: 31 plays, 264 yards, three TD’s, FG, missed FG
— Herbert ran 9 times for 66 yards; he was LA’s leading rusher.
— AFC West teams are 11-5-2 ATS outside the division.

Arizona 37, Seahawks 34 OT
— Lockett caught 15 passes for 200 yards, three TD’s.
— Seahawks had 42-yard TD nullified by a holding penalty with 1:04 left in OT.
— Seattle won five of its first six games, scoring 33.7 ppg.
— Road team is 9-2-1 SU in last 12 series games.
— First loss for Seahawks in their last seven visits to the desert.
— Five of their six games went over the total.

— Cardinals scored 10 points in last 2:28 to send game to OT.
— Only time Arizona led the game was when they kicked FG in OT.
— Murray threw for 360 yards, three TD’s; ran ball for 67 yards and a TD.
— Arizona DB Budda Baker picked off a 1st half pass and appeared to headed for a TD, but was caught from behind by Seattle WR Metcalf. Cardinals didn’t score on the ensuing drive.
— Divisional home underdogs are now 9-1 ATS so far this season.

Dodgers 4, Rays 2 (LA leads 3-2)
— Dodgers scored twice in first inning, hung on from there.
— LA bullpen got the last 10 outs without allowing a run.
— Pederson homered for the Dodgers.
— Game 5 is Tuesday night.

**Udog** · 10-26-2020, 10:57 AM

Day off for the World Series....

Will post any game 6 info that comes out today....

**Udog** · 10-26-2020, 12:20 PM

961TAMPA BAY -962 LA DODGERS
LA DODGERS are 23-13 SU (11.6 Units) vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the current season.

MLB
Dunkel

Tuesday, October 27

Tampa Bay @ LA Dodgers

Game 961-962
October 27, 2020 @ 8:08 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
(Snell) 17.501
LA Dodgers
(Gonsolin) 16.434
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-145
8
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(+125); Over

MLB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, October 27

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TAMPA BAY (51 - 28) vs. LA DODGERS (55 - 22) - 8:08 PM
BLAKE SNELL (L) vs. TONY GONSOLIN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 51-28 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 26-11 (+11.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
TAMPA BAY is 35-19 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 39-16 (+19.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TAMPA BAY is 23-10 (+14.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SNELL is 25-12 (+14.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LA DODGERS are 149-154 (-35.7 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 3-2 (+0.1 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.1 Units)

BLAKE SNELL vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
SNELL is 0-0 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 2.70 and a WHIP of 0.900.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

TONY GONSOLIN vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
GONSOLIN is 0-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 6.77 and a WHIP of 1.504.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

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MLB

Tuesday, October 27

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Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Tampa Bay @ LA Dodgers
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games
LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games

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**Udog** · 10-26-2020, 06:18 PM

MLB public betting, line movement October 27
Patrick Everson

Corey Seager and the Dodgers look to finish off the Rays on Tuesday in Game 6 of the World Series. The SuperBook at Westgate opened Los Angeles a -140 favorite and set the total at 8.5.

MLB betting odds are on the board and already getting action for Tuesday night’s Game 6 of the World Series at Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas. The Los Angeles Dodgers can claim their first championship since 1988 with a victory over the Tampa Bay Rays.

The SuperBook at Westgate provided insights on MLB opening lines and early movement, sharp money and public betting for Tuesday’s Game 6 and the updated World Series odds.

MLB line movement

UPDATE 3:15 P.M. ET MONDAY: DraftKings opened Game 6 at Dodgers -155/Rays +130 and moved a few cents in just the past few minutes, to -148/+125. The total is stable at 8.

Clayton Kershaw pitched a solid 5 2/3 innings Sunday night, and Los Angeles earned a 4-2 victory to take a 3-2 lead over Tampa Bay in the best-of-seven World Series. The SuperBook quickly posted the Game 6 line at Dodgers -140/Rays +130, and there was no movement through late Sunday night.

The SuperBook opened the total at 8.5, and the only move Sunday night was a modest price adjustment to Under -115. First pitch is at 8:08 p.m. ET Tuesday.

MLB public betting

UPDATE 3:15 P.M. ET MONDAY: Early Game 6 action at DraftKings is tilted toward the underdog Rays, who are attracting 63 percent of moneyline bets and 74 percent of moneyline handle. There's more consensus on the total, with 69 percent of bets/80 percent of money on the Over.

Odds to win the World Series

Prior to Game 5, The SuperBook had the series price at Dodgers -200/Rays +175. Now, with Los Angeles one step away from the title, it’s up to Dodgers -650/Rays +475.

Behind the counter, SuperBook oddsmakers would much prefer this matchup get to Game 7 and, from there, Tampa Bay to win.

“The Rays are awesome for us,” SuperBook executive director John Murray said prior to Game 1. “We’re a small loser to the Dodgers.”

Announcement

Monday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 10/26

Monday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 10/26

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