Announcement

**Udog** · 10-20-2020, 09:00 AM

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

Six interesting spreads for Week 7 of the NFL:
— Giants @ Eagles (-3.5)
— Browns (-3.5) @ Bengals
— Cowboys (-3) @ Redskins
— Lions @ Falcons (-3)
— Panthers @ Saints (-7.5)
— Bills (-12.5) @ Jets

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 220,020
PLEASE wear a mask when you go out.

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Armadillo: Tuesday's Den: Nobody asked me, but……..

13) Chiefs 26, Buffalo 17
— Chiefs won all three of their road games, 2by 3-14-9 points.
— KC is 11-7 ATS in last 18 games following a SU loss.
— Under is 4-1-1 in their games this season.
— Chiefs are 7-3 ATS in last ten games as a road favorite.

— Buffalo lost its last two games, giving up 68 points, after a 4-0 start.
— Buffalo is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games as a home underdog.
— Game was played on a rainy, cruddy night in western New York.
— Chiefs ran the football for 245 yards; they outgained Buffalo, 466-206.

12) Cardinals 38, Dallas 10:
— Arizona’s first three drives: 16 plays, 23 yards, three punts.
— Redbirds’ next four drives: 26 plays, 240 yards, four TD’s.
— Arizona ran the ball for 261 yards.
— Cardinals scored 38 points despite Murray completing 9-24 passes.
— Arizona is 3-1 on the road this season.

— Last five games, Dallas has allowed 39-38-49-34-38 points.
— Ezekiel Elliott lost fumbles on two of his first eight touches.
— With 11:30 left in 3rd quarter, play-by-play guy said that Dallas lacked enthusiasm, a nice way of saying they quit. No one disagreed with him.
— NFC East teams are 4-14 ATS outside their division, 1-9 at home.

11) Why did Red Sox trade Mookie Betts? Isn’t it good to have great players on your team?

10) Last three Georgia-Alabama games, Dawgs led all three games at halftime, then got outscored by a combined 68-17 in second half and lost all three.

9) Tennessee Vols signed a new defensive line coach to a 2-year contract this year, but they fired the guy Sunday, after only four games. Must be an interesting story there.

8) Social media flipped out Saturday night, when Tampa Bay took starter Charlie Morton out of the game despite Morton having thrown only 66 pitches. Everything worked out and the Rays won, but analytics people are obsessed with the idea that facing hitters a third time in a game is a bad idea, even if the pitcher doing it is way better than the reliever.

Thats part of what makes life interesting, different ideas being debated.

7) When the Tampa Bay Rays won the American League in 2008, it was also their first-ever winning season; they became a franchise in 1998. Starting in ’08, they’ve been over .500 nine of the last 13 years.

6) Of the 32 current NFL head coaches, 11 of them were also head coaches at a previous stop.

10 defensive coordinators, 7 offensive coordinators have previously been head coaches.

5) Tennessee Titans lost OT Taylor Lewan for the year with a torn ACL; big loss.

4) You wonder how much playing these weeknight games on national TV will help recruiting for Sun Belt, AAC football programs that are getting an unusually high amount of TV exposure.

It is good football, the games have been fun to watch; kids are going to see the games, and it has to help their recruiting a little bit, no?

3) Long time ago, there was a guy who played in the ABA named Wes Bialosuknia; he played at UConn in college, played one year for the Oakland Oaks, scoring 8.7 ppg.

He had a great nickname; the Typographical Terror.

2) Leads seem to less safe in the NFL this year; in six weeks of play, at least one team every week has blown a lead of 16+ points, with the Bengals doing it this past week- they led the Colts 21-0 in Indianapolis Sunday, lost 31-27.

1) One of the great broadcasters of all-time announced his retirement this week; Mike Emrick is one of, if not the best hockey play-by-play guy ever (with the late Dan Kelly). Few years ago, Emrick was very nice to a friend of mine’s son, who is an up-and-coming hockey announcer. He is just a classy guy and was great fun to listen to. Enjoy your retirement!!!

**Udog** · 10-20-2020, 09:04 AM

MLB public betting, line movement October 20
Patrick Everson

Mookie Betts and the L.A. Dodgers rode a Game 7 win and NLCS comeback against the Atlanta Braves to return to the World Series, where the Superbook at Westgate installed them as -215 favorites

MLB betting odds move on to the final frontier of this shortened season, the World Series. The Los Angeles Dodgers and Tampa Bay Rays both needed seven games in their respective league championship series, and now they’ll meet in the Fall Classic.

Multiple oddsmakers provided insights on MLB opening lines and early movement, sharp money and public betting for World Series odds as a whole and Tuesday’s Game 1. Covers will update this action report with MLB sharp picks vs. public bets and line movement through game time.

The SuperBook put up its price to win the best-of-7 World Series late Sunday night, opening at Dodgers -215/Rays +185. There was apparently a little Tampa Bay money early, with a move to Dodgers -200/Rays +175.

John Murray, executive director of The SuperBook, was hoping for Braves-Rays, a big win-win, as both sides would’ve been very good for the house. But he’ll settle for Rays-Dodgers.

“The Rays are awesome for us,” Murray said. “We’re a small loser to the Dodgers.”

That’s no surprise, with Las Vegas books always attracting plenty of Dodger dollars, and surely more will show up on the series price and on a game-by-game basis over the next week or so.

Meanwhile, PointsBet USA opened Dodgers -182/Rays +145, and the first move was significant, to Dodgers -200/Rays +160. Patrick Eichner, director of communications for PointsBet USA, said Los Angeles represents a substantial loss should it claim the championship, while Tampa Bay would be a big win.

“The Dodgers were the second-most-bet team to win, behind the Yankees,” Eichner said. “The Rays only account for about 4 percent of the overall bet count on the (World Series) market.”

MLB line movement

UPDATE 2 P.M. ET MONDAY: DraftKings opened Game 1 at Dodgers -175/Rays +148, and the first moves were down, as the moneyline is now Los Angeles -162/Tampa Bay +138. The total is stable at 8.

The Dodgers rallied from a 3-1 NLCS deficit against the Braves, finishing with a 4-3 Game 7 victory on Sunday night. On the flip side, the Rays blew a 3-0 ALCS lead against the Astros, but came through with a 4-2 Game 7 win Saturday.

Although Game 1 starters weren’t set late Sunday night, The SuperBook went ahead and posted the line at Dodgers -165/Rays +155, with a total of 8. There was no movement Sunday night for Tuesday’s tilt, with first pitch at 8:09 p.m. ET.

MLB public betting

UPDATE 2 P.M. ET MONDAY: It's two-way action early on Game 1 at DraftKings, with 55 percent of tickets on the Rays and 59 percent of money on the favored Dodgers. Ticket count on the total is two-way, with the Over at 56 percent, though money is more pronounced on the Over, at 70 percent.

**Udog** · 10-20-2020, 09:06 AM

MLB
Weather Report

Tuesday, October 20

**Udog** · 10-20-2020, 09:10 AM

951TAMPA BAY -952 LA DODGERS
LA DODGERS are 40-27 SU (11.5 Units) vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the current season.

MLB
Dunkel

Tuesday, October 20

Tampa Bay @ LA Dodgers

Game 951-952
October 20, 2020 @ 8:09 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
(Glasnow) 16.129
LA Dodgers
(Kershaw) 19.006
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Dodgers
by 3
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-175
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Dodgers
(-175); Under

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, October 20

World Series

Tampa Bay vs Los Angeles (@ Arlington)
Glasnow is 4-1, 3.86 in his last six starts.
— Rays are 12-3 in his starts this season.
— Under is 3-3 in his last six starts.
— Glasnow allowed six runs in four IP in three relief stints vs LA.
— He is 2-3, 5.47 in six postseason starts.

— Tampa Bay is 13-5 in its last 18 games; they survived blowing a 3-0 series lead vs Houston, and their bullpen had the last two days off.
— Rays are 49-25 this season.
— Under is 8-1 in their last eight games.
— Tampa Bay lost its only previous World Series, in 2008.

Kershaw is 3-1, 3.60 in his last five starts.
— Dodgers are 10-3 in his starts this season.
— Over is 5-2 in his last seven starts.
— Kershaw is 11-12, 4.31 in 35 playoff games (28 starts).
— He is 2-0, 1.88 in two career starts against the Rays.

— Dodgers are 52-20 this year; they rallied from down 3-1 to win the NLCS.
— Dodgers are in playoffs for the 8th year in a row.
— LA is 31-11 away from home this season.
— Over is 4-2 in their last six games.
— Dodgers haven’t won World Series since 1988; they lost World Series in 2017-18.

MLB

Tuesday, October 20

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Trend Report
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Tampa Bay @ LA Dodgers
Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Tampa Bay's last 16 games on the road
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home
LA Dodgers is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games

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Announcement

Tuesday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 10/20

Tuesday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 10/20

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