Announcement

**Udog** · 10-11-2020, 01:58 AM

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

NFL’s all-time regular season passing yardage leaders:
78,422— Drew Brees
75,946— Tom Brady
71,940— Peyton Manning
71,838— Brett Favre
61,361— Dan Marino
60,255— Philip Rivers

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 214,171
PLEASE wear a mask when you go out.

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Armadillo: Sunday's Den: Wrapping up a college football Saturday

13) Oklahoma 53, Texas 45 OT:
— Texas scored two TD’s in last 3:17 to force OT.
— Both kickers missed a field goal in one of the OT’s.
— Oklahoma benched QB Rattler in 2nd quarter, but he played 2nd half.
— Texas is 1-2 in Big X: 63-56/31-33/45-53. Wild games.

12) Texas A&M 41, Florida 38:
— Florida QB Kyle Trask is named after Kyle Field, where A&M plays their games; both his parents went to Texas A&M.
— Gators led 28-17 with 5:00 left in third quarter.
— A&M gained 543 yards, converted 12-15 on third down.
— Aggies scored 10 points in last 4:30, kicking a 26-yard FG for the win.

11) Missouri 45, LSU 41:
— LSU had ball 1st-and-goal on 1-yard line in last minute, didn’t score- they threw the ball on 3rd and 4th down.
— LSU is 1-2, with 44-34/45-41 losses. Tough time to be the defensive coordinator.
— Missouri gained 586 yards, threw for 406.
— LSU scored 41 points, despite going 0-10 on third down.

10) Duke 38, Syracuse 24— Misleading final score:
— Total yardage: 645-286, Duke
— First downs: 36-11, Duke
— Blue Devils ran ball for 363 yards.
— If I looked at the team stats without knowing the score, would’ve said Duke, by 28-30 points, but Blue Devils were minus-4 in turnovers, which kept Syracuse within reach.

9) Auburn 30, Arkansas 28:
— Auburn led 17-0 midway thru second quarter.
— Tigers kicked 39-yard FG with 0:07 left for the win, but a controversial call on a spiked ball/fumble in the last minute saved Auburn’s bacon.
— Arkansas QB Franks was 22-30/318 yards passing, with four TD’s.
— Auburn ran for 259 yards on a soggy field; surprisingly, no turnovers either way.

8) Alabama 63, Ole Miss 48:
— Total yardage was 723-647; truly terrible defense.
— Ole Miss allowed 51-41-63 points in their first three games.
— Alabama ran 71 plays, only 7 on third down- they converted 6 of them.
— Crimson Tide gained 723 yards on 71 plays, over 10 yards/play.

7) Upsets of the Week:
— Missouri (+14) 45, LSU 41
— Kansas State (+10.5) 21, TCU 14
— NC State (+7) 21, Virginia 14
— Boston College (+6.5) 31, Pitt 30
— Middle Tennessee (+6.5) 31, FIU 28
— Texas A&M (+6) 41, Florida 38
— East Carolina (+6) 44, South Florida 24

6) Boston College 31, Pittsburgh 30 OT:
— BC led 24-14 with 3:00 left in third quarter.
— Pitt’s kicker tied game with a 58-yard FG in last minute, then missed a PAT in overtime.
— Pitt was only 4-18 on 3rd down, but converted 3-4 on 4th down.

5) Georgia 44, Tennessee 21:
— Georgia poached QB’s from Wake Forest/USC to play this year, but former walk-on Bennett is now the starter, and the Dawgs are 3-0- he was 16-27/238 passing in this game.
— Bennett had to go play at Smith JC in Mississippi before Georgia gave him a scholarship.
— Dawgs ran football for 193 yards, outgained Tennessee 431-214.

4) Kentucky 24, Mississippi State 2:
— Two weeks ago, Miss State QB Costello threw for 623 yards; he got benched in this game, came back in 4th quarter and threw a pick-6. No bueno.
— Kentucky lost 42-41 to Ole Miss last week, so great job by their defense here.

3) NC State 38, Virginia 21:
— Virginia turned ball over four times (-3), converted only 4-18 on 3rd down.
— Cavaliers threw ball for 323 yards, outgained State 405-363.
— Wolfpack is off to a 3-1 start, despite playing three road games.

2) Home favorites/home underdogs against spread, by conference:
AAC 2-3-1……2-0
ACC 6-6-1……6-2
Big X 6-3……3-2
C-USA 0-7……1-2
SEC 5-6……5-4
Sun Belt 1-1……3-1

1) I miss watching Pac-12 football until 2am on Saturday nights; look forward to when they start their season, on November 7th.

**Udog** · 10-11-2020, 01:59 AM

MLB public betting, line movement October 11
Patrick Everson

Caesars sportsbooks opened the ALCS Game 1 at Rays -150/Astros +130, and there was no movement through Saturday evening. The total opened 8.5 (Under -120), and that also didn’t move Saturday night

MLB betting odds are on the board for the lone Sunday matchup, Game 1 of the ALCS. The defending AL champion Houston Astros are seeking their third World Series berth in the last four seasons, while the Tampa Bay Rays aim to reach the Fall Classic for just the second time in franchise history.

FanDuel Sportsbook provided insights on MLB opening lines and early movement, sharp money and public betting for Sunday’s ALCS game. Covers will update this action report with MLB sharp picks vs. public bets and line movement through game time.

MLB line movement

Wild-card Houston has rolled through the postseason so far, going 5-1 while sweeping a best-of-three series against Minnesota and beating Oakland in four games, capped by Thursday’s 11-6 victory. Top-seeded Tampa Bay needed all five games against the New York Yankees in the ALDS, advancing Friday night with a 5-1 victory.

Caesars sportsbooks opened Game 1 at Rays -150/Astros +130, and there was no movement through Saturday evening. The total opened 8.5 (Under -120), and that also didn’t move Saturday night. First pitch is at 7:37 p.m. ET Sunday, at San Diego’s Petco Park.

MLB public betting

The consensus is often indicative of where the public stands, and early on, it’s with the underdog for Game 1. Through Saturday evening, the Astros were attracting 68 percent of picks against the Rays.

The total saw more two-way play, with 56 percent of early consensus picks on the Under.

**Udog** · 10-11-2020, 02:02 AM

MLB
Weather Report

Sunday, October 11

961HOUSTON -962 TAMPA BAY
TAMPA BAY is 31-22 SU (11.4 Units) in home games vs. good fielding teams - averaging <=0.6 errors/game over the last 2 seasons.

MLB
Long Sheet

Sunday, October 11

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HOUSTON (34 - 32) at TAMPA BAY (45 - 22) - 7:37 PM
LANCE MCCULLERS JR. (R) vs. BLAKE SNELL (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

LANCE MCCULLERS JR. vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
MCCULLERS JR. is 1-2 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.79 and a WHIP of 1.211.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

BLAKE SNELL vs. HOUSTON since 1997
SNELL is 2-3 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 4.54 and a WHIP of 1.458.
His team's record is 4-3 (+2.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-5. (-3.3 units)

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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, October 11

Best-of-7 series

Houston vs Tampa Bay (@ San Diego)
Valdez is 4-0, 1.42 in his last four starts.
— Houston is 8-4 in his starts, 5-2 away from home.
— Under is 3-1 in his last four starts.
— Valdez is 2-0, 1.50 in his two playoff starts.
— He hasn’t pitched against Tampa Bay.

— Astros won five of six playoff games; they scored 33 runs in their last four games.
— Houston is in playoffs for 4th year in a row; they won World Series in 2017, lost World Series last season.
— Over is 3-3 in their playoff games.
— Astros are 14-24 on road, but won five of last six road tilts.

Snell is 1-2, 3.32 in his last four starts.
— Tampa Bay is 9-5 in his starts, 4-2 away from home.
— Over is 7-2 in his last nine starts.
— Snell is 1-2, 2.81 in five playoff games (3 starts).
— He is 2-2, 4.73 in six career starts vs Houston.

— Tampa Bay won five of its seven playoff games; they eliminated New York Friday, so quick turnaround here.
— Rays are in playoffs for second year in a row.
— Tampa Bay is 25-13 away from home this season.
— Under is 4-3 in their playoff games.

— Rays lost ALDS 3-2 to Houston last season.

**Udog** · 10-11-2020, 09:03 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Sunday, October 11

Houston @ Tampa Bay

Game 961-962
October 11, 2020 @ 7:37 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
(Valdez) 15.351
Tampa Bay
(Snell) 17.704
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 2 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-150
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(-150); Under

MLB

Sunday, October 11

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Trend Report
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Houston @ Tampa Bay
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Houston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Houston

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Announcement

Sunday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 10/11

Sunday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 10/11

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