Announcement

**Udog** · 10-08-2020, 07:46 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

NFL leaders in receiving yards:
403— Stefan Diggs Buff, DK Metcalf, Sea
401— Amari Cooper, Dal
397— DeAndre Hopkins, Ariz
387— Terry McLaurin, Wash
377— Robby Anderson, Car
349— Calvin Ridley, Atl

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 211,513
PLEASE wear a mask when you go out.

**********

Armadillo: Thursday's Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….

13) Atlanta 2, Miami 0: (Braves lead 2-0)
— Rookie Anderson (from Albany area) tossed 5.2 scoreless innings.
— d’Arnaud, Swanson homered for the Braves.
— There were only seven hits total in this game.

12) Los Angeles 6, San Diego 5 (LA leads 2-0)
— Seager went 3-4, scored twice, knocked in two runs.
— Bellinger made a great catch, robbing Tatis of a HR in centerfield.
— First four guys in LA’s lineup went 7-15.

11) A’s 9, Houston 7 (Astros lead 2-1)
— Pinder tied game with a 3-run tater in 7th inning.
— Diekman/Hendriks shut Astros out over last 4.1 innings.
— Altuve had three hits, is starting to look like his old self.

10) Tampa Bay 8, New York 4 (Rays lead 2-1)
— Wendle, Arozarena had three hits each for Tampa Bay.
— Rays’ #8-9 hitters knocked in three runs each.
— Stanton hit two another homer for New York.

9) Tennessee Titans still aren’t practicing; Friday is the earliest their facility can open, as they struggle to escape the grip of COVID. Titans are supposed to play Buffalo Sunday; I’m thinking we’ll find out about a possible Week 18 being added to the regular season this weekend, with the extra week before the Super Bowl being removed to make room for it.

8) New England CB Stephon Gilmore tested positive for COVID, now the Patriots’ facility is closed until further notice- they’re supposed to host Denver Sunday.

7) New Orleans Saints have allowed 244 yards on pass interference penalties this year; no other team has allowed more than 100.

6) Not sure what I think about the cameras that are in the bases at the ballgames shown by Turner Sports this week. They’re not as good as pylon cameras at football games, that’s for sure.

Whoever suggested to put a camera in the pylons deserved a big promotion.

5) Jets will start Joe Flacco at QB this week; Sam Darnold has a banged-up shoulder. Jets lost the last six games Darnold didn’t start.

Washington benched Dwayne Haskins, will start Kyle Allen at QB this week.

4) Saturday’s LSU-Missouri football game with was switched from Baton Rouge to Columbia because of the big storm hitting Louisiana this weekend.

3) NHL is talking about starting next season January 1st. NBA is talking about mid-January; MLK Day sounds like a good starting point.

2) Get well soon to Indians manager Terry Francona, who underwent several surgeries in a four-day span and required an extended stay in intensive care at the Cleveland Clinic while dealing with medical issues that sidelined him for 46 of Cleveland’s 60 games this season.

The 61-year-old Francona plans to return to Cleveland in 2021; I hope he does.

1) Lot of yapping in the Padres-Dodgers series; I know people want the players to show their personalities more, but this showboating after home runs has gone up a lot, and it increases tensions, especially in playoff games. Someone’s going to get drilled pretty soon, and there aren’t supposed to be any fights in the COVID era.

When Cody Bellinger made that great catch last night, in the 6th inning, the pitcher threw his glove with joy and was pounding his chest like he just hit the lottery, as teams exchanged pleasantries from across the diamond.

I know I’ll sound like a miserable older guy here, but put a lid on it until the game is over, then be as happy as you want.

**Udog** · 10-08-2020, 07:49 AM

MLB public betting, line movement for October 8
Patrick Everson

Giancarlo Stanton and the Yankees need a win in Thursday's Game 4 to extend the ALDS against the Rays. Caesars sportsbooks opened New York a -117 favorite, with Tampa Bay +107.

MLB betting odds are on the board for Thursday’s schedule, with all eight contestants again on the field in the ALDS and NLDS. The Tampa Bay Rays can take command against the New York Yankees in Game 4, while the Los Angeles Dodgers go for a three-game sweep of the San Diego Padres.

Caesars sportsbooks provided insights on MLB opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Thursday’s games.

MLB line movement

Tampa Bay took the upper hand against New York with an 8-4 victory Wednesday to grab a 2-1 lead in the best-of-five series. Caesars books opened Game 4 at Yankees -117/Rays +107, and there was no movement through Wednesday night for this 7:10 p.m. ET first pitch.

Los Angeles held on for a 6-5 victory over San Diego on Wednesday night, taking a 2-0 NLDS lead and looking for a sweep in a 9:08 p.m. ET start tonight. With the late-night finish of Game 2, most sportsbooks held off on posting the Game 3 line Wednesday, so check back for updates.

The Oakland A’s climbed into their series against the Houston Astros, and not a moment too soon, winning a 9-7 shootout in Game 3 to pull within 2-1 in the ALDS. With Houston’s starter not set by late Wednesday night, the line for Thursday’s 3:35 p.m. ET contest wasn’t yet on the board.

Back in the NLDS, the Atlanta Braves can finish off the Miami Marlins in three games with a victory in a 2:08 p.m. ET clash. The Braves took a 2-0 series lead with a 2-0 victory Wednesday, and Caesars installed Atlanta as a -135 favorite for Game 3, with Miami +125.

MLB public betting

The Consensus, often a good measure of where the public stands, showed the Yankees getting 65 percent of picks through Wednesday night. Braves-Marlins was a little closer to two-way play, with an early lean to the underdog, as Miami was landing 57 percent of picks.

**Udog** · 10-08-2020, 07:51 AM

MLB
Weather Report

Thursday, October 8

**Udog** · 10-08-2020, 07:55 AM

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, October 8

Best-of-5 series

Miami vs Atlanta (2-0) (@ Houston)
Rookie Sanchez is 4-2, 3.07 in his first eight MLB starts.
— Marlins are 4-4 in his starts, 3-1 away from home.
— Under is 6-2 in his starts this year.
— Sanchez tossed five shutout innings in his first playoff start.
— Sanche is 1-0, 4.00 in two starts vs Atlanta.

— Marlins won five of their last eight games.
— Miami is in the playoffs for first time since 2003.
— Marlins are 20-16 away from home this season.
— Six of their last eight games stayed under the total.

Wright is 2-0, 2.84 in his last three starts; he is 0-2, 9.00 vs Miami this year.
— Braves are 4-4 in his starts, 2-3 away from home.
— Under is 5-3 in his starts this year.
— This will be his first playoff appearance.
— Wright is 0-2, 6.93 in three career starts vs Miami.

— Braves won nine of their last 12 games.
— Atlanta is in the playoffs for third year in a row.
— Braves are 18-14 away from home.
— Over is 6-4 in Atlanta’s last ten games.

— Braves are 8-4 against Miami this season.

Houston (2-1) vs Oakland (@ Los Angeles)
Javier is 3-1, 3.67 in his last five starts.
— Astros are 7-3 in his starts, 3-2 on the road.
— Under is 3-1 in his last five starts
— Javier threw four shutout innings in two playoff appearances.
— He is 0-2, 9.00 in three games (2 starts) vs Oakland.

— Houston won four of their first five playoff games.
— Astros are in the playoffs for 4th year in a row; they won the ’17 World Series.
— Houston is 13-24 on the road this season.
— Under is 9-4-1 in their last 14 games.

Montas is 2-2, 5.76 in his last four starts.
— Oakland is 6-5 in his starts, 1-4 on the road.
— Over is 4-1-2 in his last seven starts.
— He allowed one run in two IP in his first postseason appearance.
— Montas is 4-3, 4.50 in nine career games (7 starts) vs Houston.

— A’s are 3-3 in the playoffs; need a win here to keep the season going.
— Oakland is in playoffs for 3rd year in row, 6th time in nine years.
— A’s are 15-16 on the road this season.
— Over is 6-2-1 in their last nine games.

— A’s are 8-5 vs Houston this season, 1-2 this week.

New York vs Tampa Bay (2-1) (@ San Diego)
Montgomery is 0-1, 4.74 in his last four starts.
— New York is 6-4 in his starts, 1-3 on the road.
— Under is 6-4 in his starts.
— This is his first postseason start.
— Montgomery is 1-2, 5.14 in six career starts vs Tampa Bay.

— New York scored 40 runs in their first five playoff games.
— New York is in the playoffs for 4th year in a row.
— New York is 14-20 on the road this season.
— Over is 10-3 in their last 13 games.

Bullpen game for Tampa Bay

— Tampa Bay won eight of its last nine games overall.
— Rays are in playoffs for second year in a row.
— Tampa Bay is 22-12 away from home this season.
— Under is 8-6 in their last 14 games.

— Tampa Bay won 10 of 13 games with New York this season.

San Diego vs Los Angeles (2-0) (@ Arlington)
Bullpen game for both sides

— San Diego won five of its last eight games.
— Padres are in playoffs for first time since 2006.
— San Diego is 16-14 away from home.
— Over is 5-3-1 in their last nine games.

Bullpen game for both sides

— Dodgers are 47-17 this year; they won their last eight games.
— LA is in playoffs for 8th year in a row; they haven’t won a World Series since 1988.
— Los Angeles is 24-8 away from home.
— Under is 7-4-1 in their last 12 games.

— Dodgers are 7-4 vs San Diego this season.

**Udog** · 10-08-2020, 07:57 AM

MLB

Thursday, October 8

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Trend Report
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Atlanta @ Miami
Atlanta
Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Miami
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta

Oakland @ Houston
Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games
Oakland is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston
Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Tampa Bay @ NY Yankees
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Tampa Bay is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 5 games
NY Yankees is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home

LA Dodgers @ San Diego
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
LA Dodgers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing San Diego
San Diego
San Diego is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
San Diego is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games at home

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 10-08-2020, 09:13 AM

921ATLANTA -922 MIAMI
MIAMI is 22-9 SU (10.4 Units) in road games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the current season.

923OAKLAND -924 HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 23-34 SU (-14.9 Units) vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the current season.

925TAMPA BAY -926 NY YANKEES
TAMPA BAY is 16-4 SU (11.6 Units) in road games after having won 4 of their last 5 games in the current season.

927LA DODGERS -928 SAN DIEGO
LA DODGERS are 10-1 SU (8.9 Units) when playing on Thursday in the current season.

**Udog** · 10-08-2020, 09:52 AM

MLB
Long Sheet

Thursday, October 8

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (39 - 25) vs. MIAMI (33 - 31) - 2:08 PM
KYLE WRIGHT (R) vs. SIXTO SANCHEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 33-31 (+13.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MIAMI is 26-18 (+17.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ATLANTA is 138-93 (+23.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 121-72 (+39.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 14-3 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
ATLANTA is 177-121 (+43.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 61-41 (+19.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 8-4 (+1.9 Units) against MIAMI this season
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.7 Units)

KYLE WRIGHT vs. MIAMI since 1997
WRIGHT is 0-2 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 6.92 and a WHIP of 1.769.
His team's record is 0-3 (-3.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

SIXTO SANCHEZ vs. ATLANTA since 1997
SANCHEZ is 1-0 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 4.00 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

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OAKLAND (39 - 27) vs. HOUSTON (33 - 32) - 3:35 PM
FRANKIE MONTAS (R) vs. CRISTIAN JAVIER (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 8-5 (+2.6 Units) against HOUSTON this season
8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.3 Units)

FRANKIE MONTAS vs. HOUSTON since 1997
MONTAS is 4-3 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.55 and a WHIP of 1.369.
His team's record is 4-3 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-5. (-3.5 units)

CRISTIAN JAVIER vs. OAKLAND since 1997
JAVIER is 0-2 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 7.88 and a WHIP of 1.375.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

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TAMPA BAY (44 - 21) vs. NY YANKEES (36 - 29) - 7:10 PM
RYAN THOMPSON (R) vs. JORDAN MONTGOMERY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 44-21 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 31-14 (+10.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
TAMPA BAY is 28-14 (+9.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
TAMPA BAY is 17-5 (+12.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NY YANKEES are 9-14 (-11.1 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents this season.
NY YANKEES are 43-44 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 10-19 (-16.7 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
NY YANKEES are 13-16 (-9.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 10-3 (+8.7 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
8 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.8 Units)

RYAN THOMPSON vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
THOMPSON is 0-0 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.500.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

JORDAN MONTGOMERY vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
MONTGOMERY is 1-2 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 5.14 and a WHIP of 1.761.
His team's record is 3-3 (-0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.4 units)

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LA DODGERS (47 - 17) vs. SAN DIEGO (39 - 26) - 9:08 PM
JULIO URIAS (L) vs. ADRIAN MOREJON (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 8-4 (+1.8 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
6 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.7 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

JULIO URIAS vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
URIAS is 1-0 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 2.46 and a WHIP of 0.819.
His team's record is 2-1 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

ADRIAN MOREJON vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
MOREJON is 0-1 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 10-08-2020, 11:53 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Thursday, October 8

Atlanta @ Miami

Game 921-922
October 8, 2020 @ 2:08 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
(Wright) 17.328
Miami
(Sanchez) 14.848
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 2 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
-135
9
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(-135); Under

Oakland @ Houston

Game 923-924
October 8, 2020 @ 3:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oakland
(Montas) 15.931
Houston
(TBD) 14.874
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oakland
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-115
9
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(-105); Over

Tampa Bay @ NY Yankees

Game 925-926
October 8, 2020 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
(Thompson) 18.296
NY Yankees
(Montgmery) 15.851
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 2 1/2
12
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-140
9
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(+120); Over

LA Dodgers @ San Diego

Game 927-928
October 8, 2020 @ 9:08 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Dodgers
(TBD) 15.737
San Diego
(Morejon) 17.352
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego
by 1 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-210
9
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego
(+180); Under

Announcement

Thursday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 10/8

Thursday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 10/8

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