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**Udog** · 09-30-2020, 08:35 AM

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

Six interesting spreads for Week 4 NFL games:
— Chargers @ Tampa Bay (-7)
— Ravens (-13) @ Washington
— NJ Giants @ LA Rams (-13)
— New England @ Kansas City (-7)
— Buffalo (-3) @ Las Vegas
— Philadelphia @ San Francisco (-7)

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 205,268
Please wear a mask when you go out.

**********

Armadillo: Wednesday's Den: Mid-week musings……..

13) Tennessee Titans had three players, five staff members test positive for COVID; they shut down their facility until Saturday. Minnesota Vikings also shut down their facility until their contact tracing is finished, since they hosted the Titans Sunday. No word yet if this changes this weekend’s schedule at all.

12) NFL teams with the most plays of 20+ yards this season:
19— Buffalo
18— LA Rams
17— Dallas
16— Detroit, Green Bay, Minnesota

11) NFL teams with the fewest plays of 20+ yards this season:
6— Cincinnati
7— NJ Jets
8— Carolina
9— NJ Giants, New Orleans, Miami, Tennessee

10) NFL defenses that have allowed the fewest plays of 20+ yards this year:
8— Tampa Bay
9— Jacksonville, LA Rams, LA Chargers
10— Kansas City, NJ Giants

9) NFL defenses that allowed the most plays of 20+ yards this year:
18— Atlanta
15— Chicago, Green Bay, Minnesota
14— Detroit, Seattle, Tennessee, Cincinnati, Baltimore

8) Lamar Jackson has started 27 NFL games; the team leading at halftime won every game. Ravens trailed six of those games at the half.

7) Denver Broncos will start their 3rd different QB in four weeks Thursday, when Brett Rypien gets his first NFL start against the Jets in Swamp Stadium.

6) Cincinnati Reds are first major league team EVER to have more walks than singles over the course of a season; Reds walked 239 times, had 221 singles. Granted it was a 60-game season, but that’s a lot of walks, or not a lot of singles.

5) Houston 4, Minnesota 1— Greinke got out of a 30-pitch first inning without allowing a run, but only lasted four innings. Valdez was stellar with five shutout innings of relief, Brantley knocked in a couple run and Minnesota lost its 17th straight playoff game, dating back to 2004.

4) Chicago 4, Oakland 1— Lucas Giolito had a perfect game into the 7th inning; Jose Abreu hit a 2-run homer, as the White Sox won in their first playoff game since 2008.

Giolito’s grandfather was an actor who played Susan’s father on Seinfeld.

3) Tampa Bay 3, Toronto 1— Blake Snell allowed three baserunners while throwing 5.2 scoreless innings; Tampa Bay had gotten saves from 12 different pitchers this season, but Fairbanks got this save, and he wasn’t one of those 12 guys. Incredible juggling of a pitching staff.

2) New York 12, Cleveland 3— Shane Bieber picked a bad night to have a bad night; he gave up seven runs over 4.2 IP. New York hit four home runs; they send Tanaka out to the moumd for the two-game sweep Wednesday.

1) The presidential debate was so tedious/annoying last night, I put the WNBA game on- much better to watch. What an embarrassment. Our country desires better than this.

**Udog** · 09-30-2020, 08:37 AM

MLB public betting, line movement September 30
Patrick Everson

Mookie Betts and the top-seeded Dodgers open the NL wild-card round Wednesday night against the Brewers. FanDuel pegged Los Angeles a hefty -245 favorite, with Milwaukee at +210.

MLB betting odds are on the board for Wednesday’s wild-card playoff schedule, and it is full, as all eight series are in play. Four teams are already one win away from advancing, after posting victories Tuesday, and the World Series favorite Los Angeles Dodgers open their series against the Milwaukee Brewers.

FanDuel Sportsbook provided insights on MLB opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Wednesday’s games.

MLB line movement

Los Angeles posted the best record in the majors in this shortened regular season, at 43-17, including 10-2 in its last 12 games. Milwaukee went 2-4 in its last six and barely made the postseason, as the NL’s eighth seed and the only playoff team under .500, with a 29-31 mark.

As such, it should be no surprise that the Dodgers opened -245 and the Brewers +210 for a 10:08 p.m. ET first pitch.

The New York Yankees are the road team against the Cleveland Indians, but the Pinstripes got to Shane Bieber and Co. in a 12-3 Game 1 rout Tuesday and can advance with a win in Wednesday’s 7:08 p.m. ET contest. FanDuel opened at Yankees -126/Indians +108, and there was no movement by late Tuesday.

The Chicago Cubs open their best-of-3 series against the visiting Miami Marlins in a 2:08 p.m. ET start. FanDuel has Chicago at -164 and Miami +144, and there was no line movement through Tuesday night.

The defending AL champion Houston Astros got the No. 6 seed and therefore had to go on the road against the Minnesota Twins. But Houston got a 4-1 win Tuesday and can move on with a victory in Wednesday’s 1:08 p.m. ET meeting. Although it’s an early start, the line for this game wasn’t posted late Tuesday night.

MLB public betting

The Cincinnati Reds-Atlanta Braves tilt, which begins the day at 12:08 p.m. ET, is a pitcher’s duel of Trevor Bauer (5-4, 1.73 ERA) and Max Fried (7-0, 2.25 ERA). The Braves were -126 favorites at FanDuel late Tuesday, but the Reds were getting 68 percent of tickets and 67 percent of cash on the moneyline.

By contrast, the Consensus had the Braves landing 63 percent of picks through Tuesday night. The Consensus also had 75 percent of early picks on the Dodgers, against the Brewers.

Marlins-Cubs had Chicago taking 61 percent of bets and 68 percent of money at FanDuel. And interestingly, +142 underdog St. Louis was attracting 61 percent of tickets/58 percent of money at San Diego for a 5:08 p.m. ET matchup.

**Udog** · 09-30-2020, 08:38 AM

MLB
Weather Report

Wednesday, September 30

**Udog** · 09-30-2020, 08:42 AM

939NY YANKEES -940 CLEVELAND
NY YANKEES are 4-12 SU (-10.5 Units) in road games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the current season.

941HOUSTON -942 MINNESOTA
HOUSTON is 19-33 SU (-17.7 Units) vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the current season.

943TORONTO -944 TAMPA BAY
TAMPA BAY is 76-56 SU (14.4 Units) in home games against right-handed starters in the last 3 seasons.

945CHI WHITE SOX -946 OAKLAND
CHI WHITE SOX is 20-6 SU (14.5 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start in the current season.

947MIAMI -948 CHICAGO CUBS
MIAMI is 13-2 SU (10.6 Units) in road games vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the current season.

949ST LOUIS -950 SAN DIEGO
ST LOUIS are 10-21 SU (-13.1 Units) on the road when the total is 7 to 7.5 in the last 3 seasons.

951CINCINNATI -952 ATLANTA
ATLANTA is 7-1 SU (5.9 Units) after scoring 1 run or less in the current season.

953MILWAUKEE -954 LA DODGERS
MILWAUKEE is 28-40 SU (-16 Units) in road games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games in the last 3 seasons.

**Udog** · 09-30-2020, 08:44 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Wednesday, September 30

Cincinnati @ Atlanta

Game 951-952
September 30, 2020 @ 12:08 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
(Bauer) 16.597
Atlanta
(Fried) 18.054
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
-125
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(-125); Under

Houston @ Minnesota

Game 941-942
September 30, 2020 @ 1:08 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
(Urquidy) 14.340
Minnesota
(Berrios) 16.417
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
-150
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-150); Under

Miami @ Chicago Cubs

Game 947-948
September 30, 2020 @ 2:08 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
(Alcantara) 14.564
Chicago Cubs
(Hendricks) 15.720
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago Cubs
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-160
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago Cubs
(-160); N/A

Chicago White Sox @ Oakland

Game 945-946
September 30, 2020 @ 3:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago White Sox
(Keuchel) 15.065
Oakland
(Bassitt) 16.536
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oakland
by 1 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oakland
-120
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(-120); Over

Toronto @ Tampa Bay

Game 943-944
September 30, 2020 @ 4:07 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
(Ryu) 16.600
Tampa Bay
(Glasnow) 18.501
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-160
7
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(-160); Under

St. Louis @ San Diego

Game 949-950
September 30, 2020 @ 5:08 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
(Kim) 14.385
San Diego
(Paddack) 17.227
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego
by 3
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Diego
-160
8
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego
(-160); Over

NY Yankees @ Cleveland

Game 939-940
September 30, 2020 @ 7:08 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Yankees
(Tanaka) 15.146
Cleveland
(Carrasco) 16.246
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-120
8
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(+100); Over

Milwaukee @ LA Dodgers

Game 953-954
September 30, 2020 @ 10:08 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
(Suter) 13.730
LA Dodgers
(Buehler) 17.360
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Dodgers
by 4 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-230
8
Dunkel Pick:
LA Dodgers
(-230); Over

**Udog** · 09-30-2020, 08:47 AM

MLB
Long Sheet

Wednesday, September 30

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY YANKEES (33 - 27) at CLEVELAND (35 - 25) - 7:00 PM
MASAHIRO TANAKA (R) vs. CARLOS CARRASCO (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

MASAHIRO TANAKA vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
TANAKA is 3-2 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 3.35 and a WHIP of 1.209.
His team's record is 4-3 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-3. (+0.6 units)

CARLOS CARRASCO vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
CARRASCO is 3-5 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.99 and a WHIP of 1.242.
His team's record is 4-6 (-1.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-6. (-3.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (29 - 31) at MINNESOTA (36 - 24) - 1:00 PM
LANCE MCCULLERS JR. (R) vs. JOSE BERRIOS (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

LANCE MCCULLERS JR. vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
MCCULLERS JR. is 0-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 6.48 and a WHIP of 1.560.
His team's record is 0-3 (-4.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.2 units)

JOSE BERRIOS vs. HOUSTON since 1997
BERRIOS is 2-3 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 6.43 and a WHIP of 1.905.
His team's record is 2-3 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-3. (-3.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (32 - 28) at TAMPA BAY (40 - 20) - 4:00 PM
TAIJUAN WALKER (R) vs. TYLER GLASNOW (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 6-4 (-0.5 Units) against TORONTO this season
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.8 Units)

TAIJUAN WALKER vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
WALKER is 0-0 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 7.00 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

TYLER GLASNOW vs. TORONTO since 1997
GLASNOW is 0-2 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 6.17 and a WHIP of 1.457.
His team's record is 2-4 (-3.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (-0.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHI WHITE SOX (35 - 25) at OAKLAND (36 - 24) - 3:00 PM
DALLAS KEUCHEL (L) vs. CHRIS BASSITT (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

DALLAS KEUCHEL vs. OAKLAND since 1997
KEUCHEL is 6-6 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 3.06 and a WHIP of 1.182.
His team's record is 12-8 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-9. (-0.6 units)

CHRIS BASSITT vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
BASSITT is 2-1 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 3.04 and a WHIP of 1.226.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+1.9 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (31 - 29) at CHICAGO CUBS (34 - 26) - 2:00 PM
PABLO LOPEZ (R) vs. KYLE HENDRICKS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 31-29 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MIAMI is 16-14 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
MIAMI is 24-17 (+14.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1908-1936 (-278.3 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1025-898 (-150.2 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 959-948 (-168.3 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1420-1447 (-212.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 938-966 (-205.4 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

PABLO LOPEZ vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
LOPEZ is 0-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 1.200.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

KYLE HENDRICKS vs. MIAMI since 1997
HENDRICKS is 3-1 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 1.28 and a WHIP of 0.973.
His team's record is 5-2 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-2. (+3.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ST LOUIS (30 - 28) at SAN DIEGO (37 - 23) - 5:00 PM
KWANG-HYUN KIM (L) vs. DINELSON LAMET (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 11-17 (-10.3 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
ST LOUIS is 8-2 (+8.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 7 or less this season.
ST LOUIS is 8-2 (+7.9 Units) against the money line in road games in day games this season.
ST LOUIS is 14-6 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
SAN DIEGO is 86-104 (-29.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

KWANG-HYUN KIM vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
No recent starts.

DINELSON LAMET vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
LAMET is 0-1 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CINCINNATI (31 - 29) at ATLANTA (35 - 25) - 12:00 PM
TREVOR BAUER (R) vs. MAX FRIED (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 106-116 (-17.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 21-36 (-14.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 30-47 (-20.6 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 13-17 (-10.3 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
ATLANTA is 134-93 (+19.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 66-43 (+20.8 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 173-121 (+39.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 8-0 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
FRIED is 32-9 (+18.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
FRIED is 17-3 (+13.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ATLANTA is 33-47 (-26.8 Units) against the money line in playoff games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

TREVOR BAUER vs. ATLANTA since 1997
BAUER is 1-0 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.476.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+1.8 units)

MAX FRIED vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
FRIED is 1-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 0.667.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (29 - 31) at LA DODGERS (43 - 17) - 10:00 PM
JOSH LINDBLOM (R) vs. WALKER BUEHLER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 52-27 (+20.9 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 102-88 (+19.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 192-205 (-67.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday since 1997.
LA DODGERS are 1018-852 (-92.4 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JOSH LINDBLOM vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
No recent starts.

WALKER BUEHLER vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
BUEHLER is 0-2 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 2.89 and a WHIP of 0.911.
His team's record is 1-2 (-2.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-0. (+3.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 09-30-2020, 08:49 AM

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, September 30

American League
Astros (1-0) @ Twins
Undecided starter

— Houston is 10-23 on the road this year; they’re 4-8 in last 12 road tilts.
— Astros are 8-8 in their last 16 games overall.
— Houston is in playoffs for 4th year in a row; they won World Series in 2017, lost World Series last season.
— Under is 7-2-1 in their last ten games.

Berrios is 4-0, 2.14 in his last six starts.
— Twins are 6-5 in his starts, 3-2 at home.
— Under is 5-1-2 in his last eight starts.
— He is 2-3, 6.43 in five starts against Houston.
— Berrios is 0-1, 5.14 in two playoff games (1 start)

— Twins have now lost 17 straight playoff games, dating back to 2004.
— Minnesota is 24-8 at home this season.
— Twins won five of their last eight games overall.
— Minnesota is in playoffs for third time in four years; they haven’t made the ALCS since 2002.
— Over is 4-3-1 in their last eight games.

White Sox (1-0) @ A’s
Keuchel is 4-0, 1.59 in his last seven starts.
— White Sox are 7-4 in his starts, 4-2 on road.
— Under is 7-4 in his starts.
— Keuchel is 6-6, 3.06 in 22 games (20 starts) vs Oakland.
— Keuchel is 4-2, 3.47 in 12 playoff games (11 starts).

— Chicago is in playoffs for first time since 2008.
— White Sox is 2-6 in its last eight road games, but they won yesterday.
— Chicago lost eight of its last ten games overall.
— Four of last five White Sox games went over the total.

Bassitt allowed one run in 19.2 IP in winning his last three starts.
— Oakland is 7-3 in his starts, 4-1 at home.
— Under is 8-2 in his starts this year.
— Bassitt is 2-1, 3.04 in four starts vs Chicago.
— This is his first postseason start.

— A’s are in playoffs for third year in a row- they haven’t advanced in playoffs since 2006.
— Oakland lost six of its last nine games overall; their best player, 3B Chapman is out for the year.
— A’s are 22-11 at home this season.
— Oakland scored 15 runs total in its last six games.
— Under is 4-1-1 in their last six games.

Blue Jays @ Rays (1-0)
Ryu is 3-1, 2.70 in his last five starts; he is 0-0, 3.86 in two starts against the Rays this season.
— Toronto is 9-3 in his starts this year, 4-3 on the road.
— Under is 5-2 in his last seven starts.
— Ryu is 0-0, 3.86 in two starts vs Tampa Bay
— 3-2, 4.05 in eight career playoff starts.

— Toronto is in the playoffs for first time since 2016.
— Blue Jays are used to being on the road; they played “home” games this year in Buffalo.
— Toronto is 15-20 on the road this season.
— Blue Jays won six of their last nine games overall.
— Over is 11-5 in their last 16 games.

Glasnow is 5-0, 2.97 in his last six starts.
— Rays are 9-2 in his starts this year, 4-1 at home.
— Over is 4-1 in his last five starts.
— Glasnow is 0-2, 6.17 in six starts vs Toronto.
— Glasnow is 0-2, 7.71 in two career playoff starts.

— Tampa Bay is in playoffs for second year in a row.
— Rays are 21-9 at home this season.
— Tampa Bay won 10 of its last 12 games overall.
— Under is 11-3 in Rays’ last 14 games.
— Rays are 7-4 vs Toronto this season, 5-3 in the Trop.

New York (1-0) @ Indians
Tanaka is 2-2, 4.81 in his last four starts.
— New York is 5-5 in his starts, 0-4 on the road— they scored total of three runs in his four road outings.
— His last three starts went over the total.
— Tanaka is 5-3, 1.76 in eight playoff starts.
— Tanaka is 2-2, 4.00 in six starts vs Cleveland.

— New York is in playoffs for 4th year in a row, 22nd time in 26 years
— New York 12-18 on the road this season.
— They lost six of their last nine games overall.
— Under is 3-2 in their last five games.

Carrasco is 1-1, 1.41 in his last five starts.
— Cleveland is 5-6 in his starts, 2-4 at home.
— Over is 6-3-2 in his starts this year.
— Carrasco is 5-5, 4.04 in 12 games vs New York (9 starts)
— Carrasco allowed two runs in 11 IP in two career playoff starts.

— Indians are in playoffs for 4th time in five years.
— Cleveland Is 18-13 at home this year.
— Indians are 9-3 in their last 12 games.
— Under is 4-3 in their last seven games.

National League
Cincinnati (31-29) @ Atlanta (35-25)
Bauer is 2-1, 1.24 in his last four starts
— Reds are 6-5 in his starts, 4-2 on the road.
— Under is 7-1 in his last eight starts.
— He is 1-0, 3.86 in four career starts vs Atlanta.
— Bauer is 1-4, 3.81 in 10 playoff games (6 starts).

— Reds went 11-3 down stretch to make the playoffs.
— Cincy is in playoffs for first time since 2013.
— Reds are 15-16 on the road this year, going 5-3 in last eight road tilts.
— Cincy is 7-6 vs lefty starters.
— Over is 4-2-1 in their last seven games.

Fried is 4-0, 2.70 in his last six starts.
— Braves are 10-1 in his starts, 5-1 at home.
— His last three starts went over the total.
— Fried is 1-1, 5.14 in three games vs Cincinnati (one start).
— This is his first playoff start; he’s allowed five runs in 6.1 IP in eight relief stints the last two postseasons.

— Braves went 7-6 in last 13 games, 1-3 in last four.
— Atlanta is in playoffs for the third year in a row.
— Atlanta is 19-11 at home this season.
— Five of their last six games went over the total.

Miami @ Chicago
Alcantara is 3-2, 4.93 in six starts this year, 2-0, 2.13 on the road.
— Marlins are 4-2 when he starts, winning both road outings.
— Over is 3-3 in his starts this year.
— Alcantara is 0-1, 5.68 in four games (2 starts) vs Chicago.
— This is his first playoff appearance.

— Miami went 8-8 in its last 16 games, winning three of last four.
— Marlins are in playoffs for first time since
— Miami went 20-14 on the road (11-15 at home).
— Over is 8-4 in their last dozen games.

Hendricks is 3-1, 1.45 in his last five starts,
— Cubs are 7-5 in his starts, 4-2 at home.
— His last four starts stayed under the total.
— Hendricks is 3-1, 1.28 in seven career starts vs Miami.
— He is 2-3, 2.98 in 11 playoff games (10 starts).

— Cubs lost six of their last nine games.
— Chicago is 19-14 at home this season.
— Cubs are in playoffs for fifth time in six years; they won World Series in 2016.
— Under is 7-4 in their last 11 games, 0-3 in last three.

St Louis @ San Diego
32-year old Korean rookie Kim is 3-0, 1.85 in seven starts this year.
— St Louis is 5-2 in his starts, 3-1 on the road.
— Under is 4-3 in his starts.
— He’s never pitched against San Diego, or in the playoffs.

— Cardinals went 8-4 down stretch to make the playoffs.
— St Louis is in playoffs for 8th time in 12 years, 2nd time in last five.
— Cardinals are 16-15 on the road this season.
— Under is 7-2 in their last nine games.

Paddack is 2-2, 4.94 in his last five starts.
— San Diego’s #1-2 starters are both hurt; they’re 6-6 in Paddack’s starts, 5-2 at home.
— Paddack is 1-0, 2.93 in two starts vs St Louis (9.2 IP)
— Over is 9-3 in his starts this year.
— This is his first postseason start.

— San Diego won its last three games, and 13 of last 19.
— Padres are in playoffs for first time since 2006.
— San Diego is 10-10 vs lefty starters (27-13 vs RHP)
— Under is 5-3-1 in their last nine games.

Milwaukee @ Los Angeles
Undecided starter

— Milwaukee got in despite going 3-5 in its last eight games.
— Brewers are 14-17 on the road this season.
— Milwaukee is in playoffs for third year in a row.
— Over is 12-4 in their last 16 games.

Buehler is 1-0, 4.42 in eight starts this year.
— Dodgers are 7-1 in his starts, 4-0 at home.
— Under is 5-3 in Buehler starts.
— Buehler allowed one run in seven IP in his one start vs Milwaukee.
— He is 1-1, 2.72 in six career postseason starts.

— Dodgers went 43-17 this year, winning their last four games.
— LA is 21-9 in Chavez Ravine this season.
— Dodgers are in playoffs for 8th year in a row; their last World Series title was 1988.
— Three of their last four games went over.

**Udog** · 09-30-2020, 08:54 AM

MLB

Wednesday, September 30

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Trend Report
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Cincinnati @ Atlanta
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games at home

Houston @ Minnesota
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Houston's last 13 games
Houston is 15-7 ATS in its last 22 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
Minnesota is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games at home
Minnesota is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Houston

Miami @ Chi Cubs
Miami
Miami is 17-5 ATS in its last 22 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 9 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Miami
Chi Cubs is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Miami

Chi White Sox @ Oakland
Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games
Oakland
Oakland is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
Oakland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox

Toronto @ Tampa Bay
Toronto
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Tampa Bay is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

St. Louis @ San Diego
St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games
St. Louis is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
San Diego
San Diego is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis
San Diego is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis

NY Yankees @ Cleveland
NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 6 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 9 of NY Yankees's last 13 games
Cleveland
Cleveland is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Cleveland is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing NY Yankees

Milwaukee @ LA Dodgers
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 7 games
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
LA Dodgers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

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**Udog** · 09-30-2020, 08:58 AM

NL Wild Card Cheat Sheet
Kevin Rogers

The 60-game Major League Baseball season flew by and what remains are 16 teams playing for the World Series. This year's postseason is unique from several standpoints as the most teams ever will participate for the crown, while the final three rounds will be played at neutral sites.

The opening round involves a best-of-three series with the higher seed as the host. The three division champions in each league are the top three seeds, while the next three seeds are the second-place finishers from each division.

The final two teams to qualify for the playoffs in each league are the Wild Card teams, as Milwaukee is the only returning Wild Card squad from 2019, although the Brewers owned a losing record this season.

National League

#1 Los Angeles Dodgers vs. #8 Milwaukee Brewers

LAD: 43-17 SU, 21-9 Home, 27-26-7 O/U
MIL: 29-31 SU, 14-16 Road, 25-30-5 O/U

Series Price

Los Angeles -340
Milwaukee +280

Series Schedule

Game 1 - Wednesday, Sept. 30 - 10 p.m. ET (ESPN)
Game 2 - Thursday, Oct. 1 - TBD
Game 3 - Friday, Oct. 2 - (If Necessary)

Is this the season the Dodgers finally break through and win the franchise's first World Series title since 1988? Los Angeles wrapped up its eighth straight NL West title, while looking for its third World Series appearance in the last four years. The Dodgers finished with the most runs in baseball this season (349) and the lowest ERA (3.02), while their .717 winning percentage (granted shortened season) was higher than the 2001 Mariners' squad that finished with the most wins ever (116).

The Brewers lost their season finale to the Cardinals, but thanks to the Giants and Phillies also losing on Sunday, Milwaukee is back in the postseason for the third straight season. In 2018, the Brewers hooked up with the Dodgers in the National League Championship Series and ultimately fell to Los Angeles in seven games.

Milwaukee went 11-12 on the road against playoff clubs this season, while Los Angeles played only nine home games against postseason teams, going 5-4.

#2 Atlanta Braves vs. #7 Cincinnati Reds

ATL: 35-25 SU, 19-11 Home, 32-23-5 O/U
CIN: 31-29 SU, 15-15 Road, 26-32-2 O/U

Series Price

Atlanta -140
Cincinnati +120

Series Schedule

Game 1 - Wednesday, Sept. 30 - 12 p.m. ET (ESPN)
Game 2 - Thursday, Oct. 1 - TBD
Game 3 - Friday, Oct. 2 - (If Necessary)

The Braves wrapped up their third consecutive NL East crown, but Atlanta failed to escape the Divisional Round in 2018 and 2019. It will be another tough go as Atlanta battles Cincinnati, while the Braves try to win their first playoff series since 2001.

Cincinnati showcases its strong three-headed monster atop its pitching rotation with Trevor Bauer, Luis Castillo, and Sonny Gray. Bauer finished 5-4 on the season, but compiled a 1.73 ERA, which ranked tops in the National League. The Reds went 10-12 on the road against playoff teams in 2020, but closed the season going 6-1 in their final series openers.

Atlanta actually performed better at home against playoff teams (10-4) than non-playoff squads (9-7), as the Braves went a perfect 4-0 at home against the Rays and Yankees.

#3 Chicago Cubs vs. #6 Miami Marlins

CHC: 34-26 SU, 17-13 Home, 29-30-1 O/U
MIA: 31-29 SU, 16-14 Road, 32-27-1 O/U

Series Price

Chicago -240
Miami +200

Series Schedule

Game 1 - Wednesday, Sept. 30 - 2 p.m. ET (ABC)
Game 2 - Thursday, Oct. 1 - TBD
Game 3 - Friday, Oct. 2 - (If Necessary)

The Marlins seemed like they had no shot at the playoffs prior to the season, while COVID-19 related issues sidelined Miami the first week. However, the Fish started at 7-1 and remained in playoff contention for the entire 60-game campaign for their first postseason appearance since 2003, when they captured their second World Series title.

On the way to that championship, the Marlins rallied past the Cubs in seven games of the National League Championship Series. Chicago looks for its long-term revenge after 17 years as the Cubs are back in the playoffs for the fifth time in six seasons. Yu Darvish is in the running for the NL Cy Young award as the Cubs' right-hander was tied for the league lead in victories with eight and finished second in the NL in ERA.

Miami held its own against playoff teams on the road this season at 7-8, capped off by a series victory over the Yankees this past weekend in the Bronx. The Cubs played 43 of its 60 games against playoff squads this season and racked up a 24-19 mark.

#4 San Diego Padres vs. #5 St. Louis Cardinals

SD: 37-23 SU, 17-13 Road, 28-30-2 O/U
STL: 30-28 SU, 15-13 Away, 24-29-5 O/U

Series Price

San Diego -240
St. Louis +200

Series Schedule

Game 1 - Wednesday, Sept. 30 - 5 p.m. ET (ESPN2)
Game 2 - Thursday, Oct. 1 - TBD
Game 3 - Friday, Oct. 2 - (If Necessary)

In spite of being listed as the fourth seed, the Padres posted the second-best record in the National League this season. San Diego started this shortened season at 11-13, but caught fire and pulled off a remarkable 26-13 mark the rest of the way, including a 13-6 record at Petco Park.

The Cardinals were forced to miss nearly three weeks due to a COVID-19 outbreak early in the season, but found a way to make up nearly all of their postponed games for the exception of two. St. Louis took care of business on Sunday by beating Milwaukee to finish in second place of the NL Central and avoid playing an extra game or two at Detroit if necessary.

The Redbirds alternated wins and losses down the stretch in their final nine games, while going 20-21 against playoff teams. The Padres are making their first postseason appearance since 2006, when they also faced the Cardinals that season and ended up losing to St. Louis in four games of the NLDS.

Announcement

Wednesday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 9/30

Wednesday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 9/30

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