Announcement

**Udog** · 09-10-2020, 09:05 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

NFL teams with most room under the salary cap:
$34.74M— Cleveland
$32.24M— New England
$31.31M— NJ Jets
$30.95M— Jacksonville
$26.03M— Washington
$25.43M— Denver

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 190,589
Please wear a mask when you go out.

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Armadillo: Thursday's Den: Nobody asked me, but……..

13) A courageous gambler in New Jersey wagered $22,000 on the New Orleans Saints to win the Super Bowl, at 11-1 odds.

This isn’t related to that note, but over the last nine seasons, Saints are 2-15 ATS in Weeks 1-2 of each season. New Orleans is favored over Tom Brady’s Buccaneers Sunday.

12) Over the last decade, which NFL quarterback is the most profitable on to bet on Week 1?
I’ll post the answer below.

11) Justin Timberlake has become an investor in a group trying to bring major league baseball to Nashville; I’m thinking MLB will expand to 32 teams fairly soon; Nashville, Portland, Montreal are among the teams who are potential homes for new teams.

10) What do these people have in common?
John McCain, John McEnroe, Amy Adams, Bruce Willis

They were all born overseas, with their parents stationed in the military.

9) Houston Astros are 22-22, have lot of injuries; they’re 3-14 in California this season.

8) Other than Jacob deGrom, Mets’ starting pitchers have a 6.47 ERA this year.

7) Random opinion; Dave Parker should be in the Hall of Fame; Cubs’ TV guys were talking about the greatest RF’s ever and Jim Deshaies is throwing out a few names, all-time greats, and Parker is right in there with them. Hopefully he’ll get his day soon.

6) The best compliment a coach can give a basketball player; tie game, 2:00 to play, and you’re on the floor. Who finishes a close game is way more important than who starts the game.

5) Tuesday night, Oakland reliever Lou Trivino became the first reliever since 2005 to pitch the last inning of a win, getting the last three outs on three pitches. That has happened only seven times since 1988.

4) Duke Blue Devils were 2-4-1 ATS as an underdog last year, after going 27-10-1 from 2013-18.

12a) Answer to quiz: Over the last decade, Andy Dalton is 6-2-1 ATS in Week 1, making him the NFL’s most profitable QB in Week 1 games. He is the backup in Dallas now.

3) Toronto 125, Boston 122, 2OT (series 3-3)
— This was big-time basketball at its finest; high quality, intense game.
— Four Raptors played 50:00+.
— Kyle Lowry scored 33; shot 6-10 on the arc, 6-10 inside the arc.
— Four Boston subs played a total of only 39:00.

2) LA Clippers 96, Denver 87 (LA leads 3-1)
— Clippers led 26-12 after first quarter, then held Denver off.
— Other than Nokic, Denver starters were 10-28 from the floor.
— Nuggets were down 3-1 in last series, and won that one.

1) If the baseball playoffs started today (they do not):
AL East- Tampa Bay, Toronto
AL Central- Chicago, Cleveland
AL West- Oakland, Houston
AL Wild Cards- Minnesota, New York

NL East- Atlanta, Philadelphia
NL Central- Chicago, St Louis
NL West- Los Angeles, San Diego
NL Wild Cards- Miami, San Francisco

**Udog** · 09-10-2020, 09:07 AM

MLB public betting, line movement September 10
Patrick Everson

Gerrit Cole and the Yankees meet the Orioles on Thursday to open a four-game series. New York, aiming to regain its early-season form, is a solid -250 favorite at Caesars sportsbooks.

MLB betting odds are on the board and getting attention for a 12-game Thursday schedule. Among the noteworthy matchups, the slumping New York Yankees are hoping for a return to form as they open a four-game series against the Baltimore Orioles.

Caesars sportsbooks provided insights on MLB opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Thursday’s games.

MLB line movement

New York halted a dreadful 5-15 freefall Tuesday with a 7-2 victory over the Toronto Blue Jays in Buffalo, the home of the Blue Jays in this unusual season. Gerrit Cole (4-3, 3.63 ERA) will try to help the Yankees make it two in a row in a 7:05 p.m. ET first pitch against visiting Baltimore.

Although the Orioles took three of four from the Yankees a few days ago, New York opened a hefty -250 at Caesars books and moved to -270 late Wednesday night.

Out on the left coast, the San Francisco Giants and San Diego Padres are playing pretty good ball of late. Both are 8-2 in their last 10, with San Fran on a five-game run and San Diego on a 4-0 upswing. With the Giants playing late against the visiting Mariners on Wednesday night, sportsbooks held off on posting this game.

The Houston Astros and Oakland Athletics wrap up a four-game series with a 3:40 p.m. ET start, after the A’s nabbed a 3-2 win at home Wednesday. Caesars opened at Oakland -144/Houston +134, and there was no line movement through late Wednesday night.

MLB public betting

The Consensus is often a good indicator of where the public is, and despite recent form, the Yankees are the lean against the Orioles. As of late Wednesday night, New York was attracting 65 percent of early picks. The A’s were landing 61 percent of early picks against the Astros.

The early leader for the most popular public play is the St. Louis Cardinals in Game 1 of a doubleheader against the Detroit Tigers. St. Louis was taking 78 percent of Consensus picks for a 2:15 p.m. ET contest.

**Udog** · 09-10-2020, 09:12 AM

MLB
Weather Report

Thursday, September 10

**Udog** · 09-10-2020, 09:14 AM

951HOUSTON -952 OAKLAND
OAKLAND is 26-14 SU (16.1 Units) in home games vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

953LA ANGELS -954 TEXAS
LA ANGELS are 4-15 SU (-12.1 Units) vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse in the current season.

955ATLANTA -956 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 5-14 SU (-12.9 Units) vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.

957KANSAS CITY -958 CLEVELAND
CLEVELAND is 15-5 SU (9.5 Units) as a favorite of -150 or more in the current season.

959PHILADELPHIA -960 MIAMI
MIAMI is 18-6 SU (11.2 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start over the last 2 seasons.

961BOSTON -962 TAMPA BAY
BOSTON is 0-7 SU (-9.3 Units) when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 62%) in the current season.

963BALTIMORE -964 NY YANKEES
BALTIMORE is 21-5 SU (16 Units) vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the current season.

965CINCINNATI -966 CHICAGO CUBS
CINCINNATI is 4-14 SU (-13.5 Units) vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing <=0.35 SB's/game in the current season.

967SAN FRANCISCO -968 SAN DIEGO
SAN DIEGO is 30-51 SU (-26.1 Units) after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the last 3 seasons.

969LA DODGERS -970 ARIZONA
ARIZONA is 24-10 SU (14.8 Units) in home games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better over the last 2 seasons.

971DETROIT -972 ST LOUIS
DETROIT is 5-13 SU (-11.8 Units) vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing <=0.35 SB's/game in the current season.

973DETROIT -974 ST LOUIS
DETROIT is 5-13 SU (-11.8 Units) vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing <=0.35 SB's/game in the current season.

**Udog** · 09-10-2020, 09:17 AM

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, September 10

National League
Atlanta @ Washington
Braves (25-18):
bullpen game
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-0 Team in first 5 innings: 2-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-2 Totals: 1-1

— Braves are 2-4 in their last six games- they scored 22 runs last nite.
— Atlanta won its last four road games.
— Over is 9-2-2 in their last 13 games.

Nationals (16-25):
Voth is 0-3, 13.94 in his last three starts; he is 0-2, 5.93 in three home starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-6 Team in first 5 innings: 2-5
Allowed run in first inning: 3-7 Totals: over 4-1 last five

— Washington won four of its last five games.
— Nationals are 3-9 in their last 12 home games, but won last two.
— Under is 3-0 in their last three home games.

Philadelphia @ Miami
Phillies (21-18)
Arrieta is 3-4, 6.48 in seven starts, 2-2, 4.22 on the road.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-4 Team in first 5 innings: 2-4-1
Allowed run in first inning: 2-7 Totals: 3-3-1

— Philly won 12 of its last 16 games.
— Phillies won five of their last seven road games.
— Over is 6-3-1 in their last 10 road games.

Marlins (19-19):
Alcantara is 2-1, 5.94 in three starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-1 Team in first 5 innings: 1-1-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-3 Totals: over 2-1

— Miami won three of its last five games overall.
— Marlins lost nine of their last ten home games.
— Under is 4-1 in their last five home games.

Cincinnati @ Chicago
Reds (19-24)
Gray hasn’t pitched since a lousy start nine days ago; he is 1-1, 3.31 in three road starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 5-3 Team in first 5 innings: 6-2
Allowed run in first inning: 2-8 Totals: over 3-0-2 last five

— Cincinnati is 4-6 in its last ten games.
— Reds are 5-7 in their last 12 road games.
— Under is 13-2-1 in the Reds’ last 16 road games.

Cubs (25-19):
Alzolay is 0-1, 3.52 in two starts (7.2 IP)
Teams’ record in his starts: 11 Team in first 5 innings: 1-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-2 Totals: under 1-0-1

— Cubs lost four of their last six games overall.
— Chicago is 7-11 in its last 18 home games.
— Under is 7-0-1 in their last eight games.

San Francisco @ San Diego
Giants (23-21):
Cahill is 0-0, 2.65 in five starts (17 IP)
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-1 Team in first 5 innings: 3-1-1
Allowed run in first inning: 2-5 Totals: under 4-1

— Giants won eight of their last ten games.
— SF won three of its last four road games.
— Over is 6-4 in Giants’ last 10 road games.

Padres (28-17)
Paddack is 1-3, 6.93 in his last five starts; he is 2-2, 4.08 in five home starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-5 Team in first 5 innings: 3-3-3
Allowed run in first inning: 4-9 Totals: over 8-1

— San Diego won 18 of its last 23 games.
— Padres are 10-2 in their last 12 home games.
— Over is 8-4 in their last 12 home games.

Los Angeles @ Arizona
Dodgers (32-12)
May is 0-0, 3.00 in his last four starts (21 IP); he is 1-0, 5.40 in four road starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 6-2 Team in first 5 innings: 2-3-3
Allowed run in first inning: 1-8 Totals: under 5-3

— Dodgers won eight of their last ten games.
— LA won 12 of its last 15 road games.
— Over is 10-3-1 in their last 14 road games.

Diamondbacks (15-29):
Bumgarner is 0-4, 8.86 in five starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-5 Team in first 5 innings: 0-4-1
Allowed run in first inning: 2-5 Totals: over 4-1

— Arizona lost 18 of its last 20 games overall.
— Diamondbacks lost seven of their last eight home games.
— Under is 14-6 in their last 20 games.

American League
Houston @ Oakland
Astros (22-22):
Urquidy allowed two runs in 3.2 IP (63 PT) in his one ’20 start.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-1 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: over 1-0

— Astros is 7-12 in their last 19 games overall.
— Houston lost 10 of its last 11 road games.
— Over is 14-7 in their last 21 games.

A’s (26-15):
Manaea is 3-0, 2.93 in his last three starts; he is 2-1, 5.00 in four home starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 5-3 Team in first 5 innings: 4-4
Allowed run in first inning: 3-8 Totals: over 5-1 last six

— Oakland is 7-7 in its last 14 games.
— A’s won 14 of their last 17 home games.
— Under is 11-6 in their last 17 games

Kansas City @ Cleveland
Royals (16-28):
Singer is 0-3, 6.86 in his last four starts; he is 0-2, 4.91 in five road outings.
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-4 Team in first 5 innings: 1-5-2
Allowed run in first inning: 4-8 Totals: 4-4

— Royals lost 16 of their last 24 games.
— KC is 4-7 in its last 11 road games.
— Under is 16-7-2 in their last 25 games.

Indians (26-17):
Civale is 0-2, 5.00 in his last three starts; he is 1-1, 3.50 in three home starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-4 Team in first 5 innings: 3-3-2
Allowed run in first inning: 2-8 Totals: under 6-2

— Cleveland is 9-5 in its last 14 games.
— Indians are 6-8 in their last 14 home games.
— Under is 9-4-2 in Cleveland’s last 15 games.

Anaheim @ Texas
Angels (17-27):
Bundy is 3-1, 2.82 in his last six starts; he is 2-0, 2-0, 2.53 in three road starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 5-3 Team in first 5 innings: 6-2
Allowed run in first inning: 3-8 Totals: over 6-2

— Angels won five of their last seven games.
— Halos are 2-11 in their last 13 road games.
— Over is 6-2-1 in Angels’ last nine road games.

Rangers (15-27):
Gibson is 0-2, 8.14 in his last four starts; he is 0-4, 8.27 at home.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-7 Team in first 5 innings: 2-6
Allowed run in first inning: 4-8 Totals: over 4-3-1

— Texas lost 18 of its last 23 games.
— Rangers lost six of their last ten home games.
— Over is 8-4-2 in their last 14 home games.

Boston @ Tampa Bay
Red Sox (15-29):
Bullpen game
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0

— Red Sox are 3-7 in their last ten games.
— Boston is 5-12 in its last 17 road games.
— Under is 7-3 in their last ten road games.

Rays (28-15):
Fleming is 3-0, 3.52 in three starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-0 Team in first 5 innings: 2-0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-3 Totals: 1-1-1

— Tampa Bay won 22 of its last 29 games.
— Rays won six of their last eight home games.
— Over is 5-3-1 in their last nine home games

Baltimore @ Bronx
Orioles (20-22):
Akin is 0-0, 1.86 in his first two MLB starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-1-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-2 Totals: under 2-0

— Orioles won four of their last five games.
— Baltimore is 2-6 in its last eight road games.
— Under is 5-3 in their last eight road games.

Bronx (22-21):
Cole is 0-3, 7.88 in his last three starts; he is 2-1, 2.92 in four home starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-4 last four Team in first 5 innings: 5-3-1
Allowed run in first inning: 4-9 Totals: under 3-1 last four

— Bronx is 6-14 in its last 20 games.
— New York won four of its last six home games.
— Under is 4-1 in their last five games.

Interleague
Detroit @ St Louis
Tigers (19-22):
Skubal is 1-1, 4.70 in four starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-2 Team in first 5 innings: 2-1-1
Allowed run in first inning: 2-4 Totals: 2-2

34-year old Zimmerman is making his first ’20 start; he was 1-13, 6.91 in 23 starts LY.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0

— Detroit lost five of its last seven games.
— Tigers lost four of their last five road games.
— Under is 4-1 in their last five road games.

Cardinals (18-17)
Flaherty is 2-1, 2.95 in five starts this year (21.1 IP)
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-2 Team in first 5 innings: 3-2
Allowed run in first inning: 3-5 Totals: over 3-2

Gomber threw 2.2 scoreless innings in his only ’20 start (55 PT)
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: 0-0-1

— St Louis won seven of its last 11 games.
— Cardinals are 2-5 in their last seven home games.
— Over is 4-1 in Cardinals’ last five home games.

**Udog** · 09-10-2020, 09:19 AM

MLB

Thursday, September 10

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Trend Report
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Detroit @ St. Louis
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing St. Louis
Detroit is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing St. Louis
St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing Detroit
St. Louis is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games

Houston @ Oakland
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Houston's last 11 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Oakland
Oakland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games

LA Angels @ Texas
LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Angels's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 6 games
Texas
Texas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Angels
Texas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Angels

Detroit @ St. Louis
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing St. Louis
Detroit is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing St. Louis
St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing Detroit
St. Louis is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games

Atlanta @ Washington
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing Washington
Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Kansas City @ Cleveland
Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games
Kansas City is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games

Philadelphia @ Miami
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
Philadelphia is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games
Miami
Miami is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games at home

Boston @ Tampa Bay
Boston
Boston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Boston
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Baltimore @ NY Yankees
Baltimore
Baltimore is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Baltimore's last 17 games when playing NY Yankees
NY Yankees
NY Yankees is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 15 of NY Yankees's last 17 games when playing Baltimore

Cincinnati @ Chi Cubs
Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 8 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chi Cubs's last 8 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

San Francisco @ San Diego
San Francisco
San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
San Francisco is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Diego
San Diego
San Diego is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home
San Diego is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

LA Dodgers @ Arizona
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
LA Dodgers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Arizona
Arizona is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Arizona's last 20 games

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**Udog** · 09-10-2020, 10:13 AM

MLB
Long Sheet

Thursday, September 10

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HOUSTON (22 - 22) at OAKLAND (26 - 15) - 3:40 PM
JOSE URQUIDY (R) vs. SEAN MANAEA (L)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 6-14 (-9.6 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 18-21 (-14.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 46-40 (-13.8 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 122-80 (+28.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 68-35 (+21.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 16-5 (+11.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 64-40 (+17.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 83-52 (+24.7 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 145-108 (+28.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 6-3 (+2.9 Units) against HOUSTON this season
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.5 Units)

JOSE URQUIDY vs. OAKLAND since 1997
URQUIDY is 0-0 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 0.400.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

SEAN MANAEA vs. HOUSTON since 1997
MANAEA is 2-5 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.48 and a WHIP of 1.283.
His team's record is 3-9 (-5.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-6. (-1.5 units)

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LA ANGELS (17 - 27) at TEXAS (15 - 27) - 4:05 PM
DYLAN BUNDY (R) vs. KYLE GIBSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 17-27 (-14.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 8-18 (-14.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
LA ANGELS are 6-15 (-10.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
LA ANGELS are 2-9 (-8.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
LA ANGELS are 19-40 (-19.1 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 8-21 (-16.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
LA ANGELS are 6-13 (-13.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
TEXAS is 56-46 (+16.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 30-19 (+15.8 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 32-16 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
GIBSON is 53-28 (+23.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
LA ANGELS are 214-194 (+33.4 Units) against the money line in road games in day games since 1997.
GIBSON is 2-10 (-10.7 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 5-0 (+6.0 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

DYLAN BUNDY vs. TEXAS since 1997
BUNDY is 3-1 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.100.
His team's record is 3-2 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+1.0 units)

KYLE GIBSON vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
GIBSON is 3-3 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 4.90 and a WHIP of 1.290.
His team's record is 6-5 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-4. (+1.6 units)

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ATLANTA (25 - 18) at WASHINGTON (16 - 25) - 6:05 PM
ROBBIE ERLIN (L) vs. AUSTIN VOTH (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 124-86 (+19.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 21-5 (+13.9 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 105-81 (+28.4 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 111-69 (+33.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 71-58 (+15.4 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 166-116 (+39.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 16-25 (-12.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 6-12 (-10.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
VOTH is 3-12 (-13.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 3-3 (+2.1 Units) against ATLANTA this season
5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+5.0 Units)

ROBBIE ERLIN vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
ERLIN is 0-3 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 15.53 and a WHIP of 2.401.
His team's record is 0-3 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-3. (-3.1 units)

AUSTIN VOTH vs. ATLANTA since 1997
VOTH is 0-2 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 5.55 and a WHIP of 1.479.
His team's record is 1-4 (-2.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.1 units)

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KANSAS CITY (16 - 28) at CLEVELAND (26 - 17) - 6:10 PM
BRADY SINGER (R) vs. AARON CIVALE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 58-141 (-39.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 210-160 (-31.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 133-105 (-28.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 4-5 (+3.1 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.8 Units)

BRADY SINGER vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
SINGER is 0-0 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+2.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

AARON CIVALE vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (21 - 18) at MIAMI (19 - 19) - 6:40 PM
JAKE ARRIETA (R) vs. SANDY ALCANTARA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 31-52 (-23.0 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 19-19 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MIAMI is 16-12 (+9.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MIAMI is 15-9 (+13.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 2-1 (+2.6 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

JAKE ARRIETA vs. MIAMI since 1997
ARRIETA is 8-1 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 3.55 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 8-3 (+3.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-1. (+7.8 units)

SANDY ALCANTARA vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
ALCANTARA is 4-1 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 2.50 and a WHIP of 1.361.
His team's record is 4-1 (+6.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-4. (-3.5 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (15 - 29) at TAMPA BAY (28 - 15) - 6:40 PM
MIKE KICKHAM (L) vs. JOSH FLEMING (L)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 15-29 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BOSTON is 23-31 (-18.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 9-21 (-13.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
BOSTON is 70-73 (-22.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 28-43 (-25.6 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 50-47 (-21.3 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 33-59 (-31.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 217-156 (+32.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 5-1 (+3.6 Units) against BOSTON this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

MIKE KICKHAM vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
No recent starts.

JOSH FLEMING vs. BOSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BALTIMORE (20 - 22) at NY YANKEES (22 - 21) - 7:05 PM
KEEGAN AKIN (L) vs. GERRIT COLE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 121-245 (-62.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 23-67 (-29.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 73-167 (-62.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 75-168 (-53.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 17-18 (-15.0 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 3-3 (+2.6 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.8 Units)

KEEGAN AKIN vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
AKIN is 0-0 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 1.313.
His team's record is 1-0 (+2.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

GERRIT COLE vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
COLE is 1-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 2.10 and a WHIP of 0.857.
His team's record is 3-1 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-1. (+1.8 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CINCINNATI (19 - 24) at CHICAGO CUBS (25 - 19) - 8:15 PM
SONNY GRAY (R) vs. ADBERT ALZOLAY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 19-24 (-12.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CINCINNATI is 46-59 (-17.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 13-20 (-13.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CINCINNATI is 6-12 (-11.7 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
GRAY is 59-65 (-27.1 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
GRAY is 35-40 (-22.4 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
GRAY is 16-5 (+12.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHICAGO CUBS are 1899-1929 (-277.9 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1021-896 (-152.0 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 481-417 (-78.2 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 61-63 (-12.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1413-1441 (-211.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 922-843 (-160.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 5-4 (+0.7 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.9 Units)

SONNY GRAY vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
GRAY is 4-2 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 2.38 and a WHIP of 0.768.
His team's record is 5-2 (+3.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (-0.2 units)

ADBERT ALZOLAY vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN FRANCISCO (23 - 21) at SAN DIEGO (28 - 17) - 9:10 PM
TREVOR CAHILL (R) vs. CHRIS PADDACK (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 23-21 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 51-51 (+24.4 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 17-12 (+14.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 53-52 (+19.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 18-13 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 68-69 (+9.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 14-9 (+8.6 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
SAN DIEGO is 81-100 (-29.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 54-76 (-28.9 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 35-41 (-15.8 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 2-1 (+0.3 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.8 Units)

TREVOR CAHILL vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
CAHILL is 2-4 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 1.640.
His team's record is 4-5 (-2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-7. (-6.2 units)

CHRIS PADDACK vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
PADDACK is 1-0 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 2.86 and a WHIP of 0.955.
His team's record is 2-2 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA DODGERS (32 - 12) at ARIZONA (15 - 29) - 9:40 PM
DUSTIN MAY (R) vs. MADISON BUMGARNER (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 1009-848 (-94.9 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.
LA DODGERS are 92-57 (+33.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Thursday since 1997.
ARIZONA is 959-861 (-109.3 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
ARIZONA is 10-25 (-15.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
ARIZONA is 675-623 (-89.1 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 8-1 (+6.8 Units) against ARIZONA this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

DUSTIN MAY vs. ARIZONA since 1997
No recent starts.

MADISON BUMGARNER vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
BUMGARNER is 15-14 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 2.73 and a WHIP of 1.088.
His team's record is 18-17 (+3.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 12-21. (-9.4 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (19 - 22) at ST LOUIS (18 - 17) - 2:15 PM
TARIK SKUBAL (L) vs. JACK FLAHERTY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 66-135 (-36.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 72-224 (-79.0 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +175 to +250 since 1997.
DETROIT is 47-108 (-35.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 7-31 (-22.7 Units) against the money line after allowing 10 runs or more over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 25-74 (-25.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 57-30 (+17.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 9-18 (-13.9 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.
FLAHERTY is 32-37 (-16.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

TARIK SKUBAL vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
No recent starts.

JACK FLAHERTY vs. DETROIT since 1997
FLAHERTY is 0-0 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.600.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (19 - 22) at ST LOUIS (18 - 17) - 5:15 PM
JORDAN ZIMMERMANN (R) vs. AUSTIN GOMBER (L)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 66-135 (-36.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 25-74 (-25.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 57-30 (+17.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 9-18 (-13.9 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JORDAN ZIMMERMANN vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
ZIMMERMANN is 0-6 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 6.57 and a WHIP of 1.381.
His team's record is 2-7 (-4.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-5. (-3.0 units)

AUSTIN GOMBER vs. DETROIT since 1997
GOMBER is 0-0 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 09-10-2020, 10:16 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Thursday, September 10

Detroit @ St. Louis

Game 971-972
September 10, 2020 @ 2:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
(Skubal) 12.095
St. Louis
(Flaherty) 16.492
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 4 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-220
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(-220); Over

Houston @ Oakland

Game 951-952
September 10, 2020 @ 3:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
(Urquidy) 14.459
Oakland
(Manaea) 16.226
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oakland
by 2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oakland
-140
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(-140); Under

LA Angels @ Texas

Game 953-954
September 10, 2020 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Angels
(Bundy) 16.202
Texas
(Gibson) 14.608
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Angels
by 1 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Angels
-180
9
Dunkel Pick:
LA Angels
(-180); Over

Detroit @ St. Louis

Game 973-974
September 10, 2020 @

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
(Zmmrmnn) 15.312
St. Louis
(Gomber) 13.873
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-180
7
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+160); Under

Atlanta @ Washington

Game 955-956
September 10, 2020 @ 6:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
(Erlin) 15.209
Washington
(Voth) 16.154
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1
13
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
-150
10
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(+130); Over

Kansas City @ Cleveland

Game 957-958
September 10, 2020 @ 6:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
(Singer) 15.226
Cleveland
(Civale) 14.064
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
-200
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(+170); Under

Philadelphia @ Miami

Game 959-960
September 10, 2020 @ 6:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
(Arrieta) 14.713
Miami
(Alcantara) 15.767
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
-120
9
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(+100); Over

Boston @ Tampa Bay

Game 961-962
September 10, 2020 @ 6:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
(Kickham) 15.103
Tampa Bay
(Fleming) 16.589
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 1 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-190
9
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(-190); Under

Baltimore @ NY Yankees

Game 963-964
September 10, 2020 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
(Akin) 16.764
NY Yankees
(Cole) 18.338
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Yankees
by 1 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-250
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Yankees
(-250); Over

Cincinnati @ Chicago Cubs

Game 965-966
September 10, 2020 @ 8:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
(Gray) 14.204
Chicago Cubs
(Alzolay) 15.739
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago Cubs
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
-135
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago Cubs
(+115); Under

San Francisco @ San Diego

Game 967-968
September 10, 2020 @ 9:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
(Cahill) 16.766
San Diego
(Paddack) 18.122
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego
by 1 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Diego
-210
9
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego
(-210); Under

LA Dodgers @ Arizona

Game 969-970
September 10, 2020 @ 9:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Dodgers
(May) 15.421
Arizona
(Bumgarner) 16.440
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-190
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(+165); Over

**Udog** · 09-10-2020, 12:53 PM

Diamond Trends - Thursday
Vince Akins

SU Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Baltimore at N.Y. Yankees (7:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Yankees are 14-0 SU since Jul 28, 2006 at home off a road win in which they scored first but then trailed at some point.

SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Kansas City at Cleveland (6:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Royals are 0-20 SU since Jul 30, 2011 as a road dog of more than +115 after they shut out their opponent last game.

OU Trend of the Day
Matchup: Houston at Oakland (3:40 p.m. ET)

-- The Astros are 0-9 OU (-3.39 ppg) since May 25, 2016 as a dog off a game as a dog where they allowed 5+ walks.

Starter-Based Trend of the Day
Matchup: San Francisco at San Diego (9:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Padres are 7-0-2 OU (2.89 ppg) since Jun 04, 2019 when Chris Paddack starts as a favorite when they lost in his last start.

Twitter Submission of the Day
Teams: Milwaukee and Atlanta

-- Teams are 12-1-1 OU since 2010 coming off an 18+ run win.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

Announcement

Thursday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 9/10

Thursday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 9/10

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