The bum's mlb 2020 shorthen season news,trends picks !

[StarDust Bum]

TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 29

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

HOU at MIN 02:08 PM
MIN -175
O 7.5
+500 +500

CHW at OAK 03:08 PM
OAK +110
U 7.5
+500 +500

TOR at TB 05:07 PM
TOR +170
O 7.5
+500 +500

NYY at CLE 07:08 PM
CLE -110
O 6.5
+500 +500

[StarDust Bum]

RECORD THRU THE WORLS SERIES:


DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

10/01/2020 1-5-0 16.67% -2100 Detail

09/30/2020 9-7-0 56.25% +900 Detail

09/29/2020 2-6-0 25.00% -2525 Detail

TOTALS..........12-18-0.......40.00.......-3725

[StarDust Bum]

Friday’s 6-pack

Odds to win the college hoop national title next April:

10-1— Gonzaga
12-1— Baylor
14-1— Villanova
16-1— Kentucky
18-1— Virginia
20-1— Duke, Texas Tech


Americans who have died from COVID-19: 206,005
Please wear a mask when you go out.


Quote of the Day
“We know that we can win. We do. But we know that we’ve got to play perfect, man. We know we can’t not rebound and not get back. So coming into Game 2, all the adversity, backs against the wall, yadda, yadda, yadda, we got to win.”
Miami Heat star Jimmy Butler, whose team will be missing two starters tonight

Friday’s quiz
Which NFL team drafted John Elway?

Thursday’s quiz
New York Jets were first AFL team to beat an NFL team in a Super Bowl, Super Bowl III

Wednesday’s quiz
The first Super Bowl was played in the LA Coliseum.


**********************************


Friday’s Den: Wrapping up a busy Thursday

13) From James Logan: This week’s NFL games come with an average over/under of 49.9 points; since 2006, that would be the highest average over/under for any NFL weekend.
48.7- Week 11, 2018
48.2- Week 3, 2020
48.0- Week 10, 2018
47.8- Week 8, 2018
47.7- Week 9, 2018
47.3- Week 5, 2018
47.3- Week 7, 2018
47.1- Week 13, 2018
46.9- Week 11, 2014
46.8- Week 2, 2019

Ironic thing is that in those ten weeks, under wound up going 85-59-1 (59%)

12) Penalties per game are down about 1.5 flags per game over the previous four years; holding calls are down roughly 40%. Another reason for more scoring, higher totals.

11) Reader named Greg sent me this stat Thursday morning: over last 33 NFL games, if you bet first half totals, over is now 26-7, 16-1 in the last 17 games played.

Good weather is part of it, but is it easier to run an offense with no crowd noise? Fair question.

10) A’s 6, White Sox 4 (Oakland wins series 2-1)
— 17 pitchers were used in this game; none of them got more than six outs.
— Chicago led 3-0 after third inning.
— A’s win their first playoff series since 2006.
— For season, White Sox wound up 15-0 vs lefty starters, 23-27 vs righties.
— Tim Anderson had nine hits in three games for Chicago.

9) Braves 5, Reds 0 (Atlanta wins series 2-0):
— Cincinnati scored zero runs in 22 innings in this series. Zero. None. Bupkis.
— Rookie Anderson threw six shutout innings for Atlanta.
— Ozuna, Duvall both homered in a 4-run 8th inning.

8) Padres 11, Cardinals 9 (series 1-1):
— St Louis led 4-2 after five innings, before the Padres’ bats exploded.
— Fernando Tatis homered twice, knocked in five runs.
— 17 pitchers were used in this game, too.

7) Dodgers 3, Brewers 0 (LA wins series 2-0)
— Kershaw threw eight shutout innings, struck out 13.
— Milwaukee had a guy picked off first when they were down 3-0 in 8th inning; no bueno.
— At no point this season were the Brewers ever over .500.

6) Sunday’s Steeler-Titans game was postponed until later this season, after more Tennessee players tested positive for COVID.

5) Marlins’ OF Starling Marte broke his pinkie Wednesday; he can still pinch-run or play the field, but he can’t swing a bat for a while.

4) Philadelphia 76ers acted quickly, named Doc Rivers their new head coach.

3) Week or so ago, New York catcher Gary Sanchez was called for catcher’s interference three times in a 5-game stretch; he is the first major league catcher to do that since Vic Roznovsky of the Cubs, on September 28-29, 1965.

2) Philadelphia Eagles have been outscored 49-16 in second half of games this year.

1) Denver 37, NJ Jets 28:
— McManus drilled a 52-yard FG with 3:08 left for the win.
— Rookie QB Rypien was 19-31/242 in his first NFL start, but he did throw three INT’s.
— AFC West teams are 7-3-1 ATS outside their division.

— Jets had six personal fouls in this game, four in the first half.
— Jets lost their first four games, allowing 32.5 ppg.
— Jets are 6-11-1 ATS in their last 18 home games.

[StarDust Bum]

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

Odds to win the college hoop national title next April:
10-1— Gonzaga
12-1— Baylor
14-1— Villanova
16-1— Kentucky
18-1— Virginia
20-1— Duke, Texas Tech

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 206,005
Please wear a mask when you go out.


**********

Armadillo: Friday's Den: Wrapping up a busy Thursday

13) From James Logan: This week’s NFL games come with an average over/under of 49.9 points; since 2006, that would be the highest average over/under for any NFL weekend.
48.7- Week 11, 2018
48.2- Week 3, 2020
48.0- Week 10, 2018
47.8- Week 8, 2018
47.7- Week 9, 2018
47.3- Week 5, 2018
47.3- Week 7, 2018
47.1- Week 13, 2018
46.9- Week 11, 2014
46.8- Week 2, 2019

Ironic thing is that in those ten weeks, under wound up going 85-59-1 (59%)

12) Penalties per game are down about 1.5 flags per game over the previous four years; holding calls are down roughly 40%. Another reason for more scoring, higher totals.

11) Reader named Greg sent me this stat Thursday morning: over last 33 NFL games, if you bet first half totals, over is now 26-7, 16-1 in the last 17 games played.

Good weather is part of it, but is it easier to run an offense with no crowd noise? Fair question.

10) A’s 6, White Sox 4 (Oakland wins series 2-1)
— 17 pitchers were used in this game; none of them got more than six outs.
— Chicago led 3-0 after third inning.
— A’s win their first playoff series since 2006.
— For season, White Sox wound up 15-0 vs lefty starters, 23-27 vs righties.
— Tim Anderson had nine hits in three games for Chicago.

9) Braves 5, Reds 0 (Atlanta wins series 2-0):
— Cincinnati scored zero runs in 22 innings in this series. Zero. None. Bupkis.
— Rookie Anderson threw six shutout innings for Atlanta.
— Ozuna, Duvall both homered in a 4-run 8th inning.

8) Padres 11, Cardinals 9 (series 1-1):
— St Louis led 4-2 after five innings, before the Padres’ bats exploded.
— Fernando Tatis homered twice, knocked in five runs.
— 17 pitchers were used in this game, too.

7) Dodgers 3, Brewers 0 (LA wins series 2-0)
— Kershaw threw eight shutout innings, struck out 13.
— Milwaukee had a guy picked off first when they were down 3-0 in 8th inning; no bueno.
— At no point this season were the Brewers ever over .500.

6) Sunday’s Steeler-Titans game was postponed until later this season, after more Tennessee players tested positive for COVID.

5) Marlins’ OF Starling Marte broke his pinkie Wednesday; he can still pinch-run or play the field, but he can’t swing a bat for a while.

4) Philadelphia 76ers acted quickly, named Doc Rivers their new head coach.

3) Week or so ago, New York catcher Gary Sanchez was called for catcher’s interference three times in a 5-game stretch; he is the first major league catcher to do that since Vic Roznovsky of the Cubs, on September 28-29, 1965.

2) Philadelphia Eagles have been outscored 49-16 in second half of games this year.

1) Denver 37, NJ Jets 28:
— McManus drilled a 52-yard FG with 3:08 left for the win.
— Rookie QB Rypien was 19-31/242 in his first NFL start, but he did throw three INT’s.
— AFC West teams are 7-3-1 ATS outside their division.

— Jets had six personal fouls in this game, four in the first half.
— Jets lost their first four games, allowing 32.5 ppg.
— Jets are 6-11-1 ATS in their last 18 home games.

[StarDust Bum]

MLB public betting, line movement for October 2
Patrick Everson

Starter Sixto Sanchez and the Marlins look to finish off the Cubs in Friday's Game 2 of the best-of-3 wild-card series. However, Chicago has Yu Darvish on the hill and is a -200 favorite at FanDuel.

MLB betting odds are up for Friday’s wild-card playoffs schedule, with only two games after three more teams advanced to the divisional round with Thursday victories. The Chicago Cubs extended their season by at least a day after Game 2 was postponed, so they’ll again look to avoid elimination against the Miami Marlins.

FanDuel Sportsbook provided insights on MLB opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Friday’s games.

MLB line movement

Chicago hopes an extra day proves good for Yu Darvish, who is 8-3 with a 2.01 ERA heading into this must-win situation. The Cubs, dealt a 5-1 Game 1 loss on Wednesday, went up as -200 favorites in Game 2 at FanDuel, with Miami +174 for a 2:08 p.m. ET first pitch. There was no line movement through Thursday night.

The San Diego Padres had a great regular season, but it looked like the postseason was going to be a short one. San Diego lost Game 1 to the St. Louis Cardinals 7-4, then trailed 6-2 in the sixth inning of Game 2 Thursday. But the Padres’ offense caught fire en route to an 11-9 win to force Friday’s Game 3, at 10:08 p.m. ET.

With starters not set, most sportsbooks didn’t post Game 3 until Friday morning, so check back.

MLB public betting

The Cubs are the more public team by a mile, but early betting splits at FanDuel showed two-way action, with 55 percent of bets on the Marlins and money dead even through Thursday night.

[StarDust Bum]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, October 2

Best-of-3 series

National League
Miami (1-0) @ Chicago
Rookie Sanchez is 3-2, 3.46 in his first seven MLB starts.
— Marlins are 3-4 in his starts, 2-1 on the road.
— Under is 5-2 in his starts.
— He’s never faced Chicago; this is his first playoff appearance.

— Miami is 9-8 in its last 17 games, winning four of last five.
— Marlins are in playoffs for first time since 2003.
— Miami is 21-14 on the road (11-15 at home).
— Over is 8-5 in their last thirteen games.

Darvish is 0-2, 4.74 in his last three starts; he is 5-3, 2.73 in nine home starts.
— Cubs are 8-3 in his starts, 6-3 at home.
— Under is 5-1 in his last six starts.
— Darvish is 2-4, 5.81 in six playoff starts.
— He is 2-1, 6.06 in five career starts vs Miami.

— Chicago had only four hits in yesterday’s 5-1 loss.
— Cubs lost seven of their last ten games overall.
— Chicago is 19-15 at home this season.
— Cubs are in playoffs for fifth time in six years; they won World Series in 2016.
— Under is 8-4 in their last 12 games.

St Louis @ San Diego (series 1-1)
Flaherty is 2-2, 7.11 in his last four starts.
— St Louis is 5-4 in his starts, 2-2 on the road.
— Over is 5-4 in his starts this year.
— Flaherty is 1-0, 1.10 in three starts vs San Diego.
— He is 1-1, 4.24 in three career playoff starts.

— Cardinals are 9-5 in their last 14 games.
— St Louis is in playoffs for 8th time in 12 years, 2nd time in last five.
— Cardinals are 17-16 on the road this season.
— Under is 7-4 in their last 11 games.

Sounds like a bullpen game for the Padres.

— San Diego is 14-7 in their last 21 games.
— Padres are in playoffs for first time since 2006.
— San Diego is 28-13 vs right-handed starters.
— Over is 5-0 in their last five games.




MLB

Friday, October 2

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Trend Report
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Miami @ Chi Cubs
Miami
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Miami
Chi Cubs is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Miami

St. Louis @ San Diego
St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games on the road
St. Louis is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego's last 6 games
San Diego is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

[StarDust Bum]

MLB
Dunkel

Friday, October 2

Miami @ Chicago Cubs

Game 971-972
October 2, 2020 @ 2:08 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
(Sanchez) 15.137
Chicago Cubs
(Darvish) 16.547
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago Cubs
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-200
7
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago Cubs
(-200); Under

St. Louis @ San Diego

Game 977-978
October 2, 2020 @ 7:08 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
(Flaherty) 15.015
San Diego
(TBD) 16.597
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego
by 1 1/2
12
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Diego
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego
N/A




MLB
Long Sheet

Friday, October 2

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (32 - 29) at CHICAGO CUBS (34 - 27) - 2:08 PM
SIXTO SANCHEZ (R) vs. YU DARVISH (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 32-29 (+13.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MIAMI is 17-14 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
MIAMI is 25-17 (+16.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1908-1937 (-279.9 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1025-899 (-151.9 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 18-28 (-22.2 Units) against the money line in home games in October games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 219-239 (-54.8 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 959-949 (-170.0 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1420-1448 (-214.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 1-0 (+1.6 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

SIXTO SANCHEZ vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
No recent starts.

YU DARVISH vs. MIAMI since 1997
DARVISH is 2-1 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 6.07 and a WHIP of 1.575.
His team's record is 4-1 (+1.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+1.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ST LOUIS (31 - 29) at SAN DIEGO (38 - 24) - 7:08 PM
JACK FLAHERTY (R) vs. ADRIAN MOREJON (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 1-1 (+0.5 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

JACK FLAHERTY vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
FLAHERTY is 1-0 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 1.10 and a WHIP of 1.164.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.0 units)

ADRIAN MOREJON vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
No recent starts.

[StarDust Bum]

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 2

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

MIA at CHC 02:08 PM

MIA +175

O 7.0

[StarDust Bum]

STL at SD 07:08 PM

STL +115

O 9.0

[StarDust Bum]

RECORD THRU THE WORLS SERIES:


DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

10/05/2020 0-4-0 0.00% -2325 Detail

10/02/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -725 Detail

10/01/2020 1-5-0 16.67% -2100 Detail

09/30/2020 9-7-0 56.25% +900 Detail

09/29/2020 2-6-0 25.00% -2525 Detail

TOTALS....13-25-0 34.21% 67.75