Announcement

**Udog** · 08-24-2020, 08:29 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

MLB leaders in OPS, minimum 70 AB’s:
1.122— Nelson Cruz, Minn
1.119— Bryce Harper, Phil
1.115— Luke Voit, NYY
1.095— Brandon Lowe, TB
1.077— Jesse Winker, Cin
1.074— Mike Yastzremski, SF

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 175,380
Please wear a mask when you go out.

**********

Armadillo: Monday's Den: Thoughts on basketball, and other stuff……..

Allow me a minute here to pat myself on the back; I don’t do this very often, but in this case, I think it is deserved.

On one of the NBA games Sunday, they were talking about plus-minus as a mainstream stat and I felt ten feet tall. There was a time a long time ago where plus-minus got me laughed at.

My work study job in college (1977-82) was keeping stats for football/basketball games for our college team at Albany. My real love is basketball, and I’ve always tried to come up with different metrics to help the coaches I worked for measure their team. In short, I was a basketball nerd way before it was a profitable enterprise. My timing hasn’t always been the greatest.

One day we were driving back from a football game, and I was thinking about the upcoming basketball season; someone in the car was talking about hockey, and mentioned a player’s plus-minus. Plus/minus is the score of the game while that player was on the ice, minus any goals scored while someone had a man advantage. Plus/minus was and still is a big NHL stat.

Suddenly it dawned on me; why not do this for basketball? Why couldn’t each player have his own plus/minus for each game? So I started doing it; as far as I knew, no one else in America was using this as a basketball stat. Of course, I was wrong.

Philadelphia 76ers had a legendary stat guy named Harvey Pollack; he was doing plus-minus too, as part of his media package for 76ers games. I regret that I never got to meet Mr Pollack; I couldn’t learned a lot from him.

For one individual game, plus/minus can be misleading, but over the course of a season, it is a telling stat. Plus/minus for player combos is also a really good metric; some guys just mesh well together, and should be on the floor at the same time. Others should not be.

(Side note: the guy who subs in for the best player often suffers in plus/minus, since he doesn’t get to play with the best player).

Some of the best stuff that has happened in my life revolved around my work with basketball teams and statistics; U of Albany, Schenectady HS, Guilderland HS. Being a nerd is more fun than it looks like from the outside.

Elsewhere……..
9) I keep weird hours; I’m watching Korean baseball Saturday night/Sunday morning and I see on Twitter where someone is posting pics of horses getting ready to work out at Saratoga. To them, it was already Sunday morning. To me, it was still Saturday night.

8) Neighbors across the street must’ve had a hall of a party Saturday; before I went off to bed around 6am, I look out the window and there is a black Corvette parked diagonally on the lawn across the street. Pretty nice car to be parked like that.

7) Major league baseball season is roughly half-over; we’re also a week away from the trade deadline. Blue Jays acquired DH-type Daniel Vogelbach from Seattle. Toronto is 13-13, tied for the second Wild Card slot.

6) Tampa Bay Rays have eight different pitchers with a save this season; they also have nine pitchers on the Injured List.

NBA playoff games (all Game 4’s):
5) Dallas 135, Clippers 133 OT (series 2-2)
— Tremndous game; Dallas wins after trailing by 21 at one point.
— Luka Doncic is 3rd player in NBA postseason history with a 40-point, 15-rebound, 10-assist game, joining Charles Barkley (1993) and Oscar Robertson (1963)
— Last three games, Paul George is 10-47 from the floor.

4) Toronto 150, Brooklyn 122 (Raptors win, 4-0)
— Game was 77-68 at halftime.
— Toronto’s subs scored 100 points in this game. Their subs.
— Nets can begin their coaching search now.

3) Boston 110, Philadelphia 106 (Celtics win 4-0)
— Sixers were down a hoop when Tobias Harris was knocked out of the game.
— Natives are restless in Philly; hard to imagine coach Brown keeping his job.
— Kemba Walker led the Celtics with 32 points.

2) Utah 129, Denver 127 (Jazz lead 3-1)
— First playoff game ever where both teams had a guy score 50+ points.
— Joe Ingels played 35:00, didn’t score a point, but also didn’t have a turnover; he was +8
— Jamal Murray made 9-15 on the arc, scored 50 points in a losing cause.

1) If the baseball playoffs started today (they do not):
AL East- New York, Tampa Bay
AL Central- Minnesota, Cleveland
AL West- Oakland, Houston
AL Wild Cards- Chicago, Tor/Balt

NL East- Miami, Atlanta
NL Central- Chicago, St Louis
NL West- Los Angeles, San Diego
NL Wild Cards- Colo/NYM/SF

**Udog** · 08-24-2020, 08:31 AM

MLB public betting, line movement for August 24
Patrick Everson

Francisco Lindor and the Indians can take over first place in the AL Central this week with a good showing against the visiting Twins. Monday's opener is a -105 pick 'em at Caesars sportsbooks.

A new week kicks off, and MLB betting odds are up and getting attention for a dialed-down nine-game Monday schedule. The marquee matchup pits the Minnesota Twins against the Cleveland Indians, a battle of the top two teams in the AL Central, with the Chicago White Sox right on their heels.

Caesars sportsbooks provided insights on MLB opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Monday’s games.

MLB line movement

The Twins are 8-3 in their last 11 outings, and the Indians are 7-2 in their last nine, although they dumped two of three over the weekend against Detroit. Minnesota hands the ball to Kenta Maeda (3-0 2.27 ERA), but Cleveland counters with Aaron Civale (3-2, 2.91 ERA). So Caesars sportsbooks had this game a -105 pick ‘em late Sunday, after opening Twins -107/Indians -103. First pitch is at 7:10 p.m. ET.

The Kansas City Royals are 11-17, but they have Brad Keller on the mound Monday against the St. Louis Cardinals. Keller has won all three of his starts this season and, even more impressive, has a 0.00 ERA in 17 2/3 innings. Despite Keller’s stats, K.C. opened a +160 road underdog and moved to +165 at Caesars, with the Cardinals a -180 favorite in an 8:15 p.m. ET start.

Trevor Bauer (3-0, 0.84) puts his unbeaten mark and gaudy ERA on the line when the Cincinnati Reds travel to face the Milwaukee Brewers. Caesars opened Reds -135/Brewers +125, and that line was stable Sunday night for an 8:10 p.m. ET meeting.

MLB public betting

St. Louis was the top early pick in the Consensus, which is often a good indicator of where the public stands. The Cardinals were landing 67 percent of picks against the Cubs on Sunday night. The Reds were drawing 61 percent of early picks against the Brewers, and Twins-Indians was closer to two-way play, with Minnesota taking 57 percent of Consensus picks.

**Udog** · 08-24-2020, 08:36 AM

MLB
Weather Report

Monday, August 24

**Udog** · 08-24-2020, 08:37 AM

901TORONTO -902 TAMPA BAY
TORONTO is 17-6 SU (11.4 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start over the last 2 seasons.

903MIAMI -904 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 2-10 SU (-10.1 Units) vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse in the current season.

905CHICAGO CUBS -906 DETROIT
DETROIT is 2-12 SU (-13.8 Units) vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game in the current season.

07MINNESOTA -908 CLEVELAND
CLEVELAND is 72-46 SU (23.4 Units) vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons.

909CINCINNATI -910 MILWAUKEE
CINCINNATI is 4-11 SU (-10.3 Units) vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better in the current season.

911KANSAS CITY -912 ST LOUIS
ST LOUIS are 9-1 SU (7.9 Units) in home games when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons.

913OAKLAND -914 TEXAS
OAKLAND is 106-78 SU (20.2 Units) in the second half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

915LA ANGELS -916 HOUSTON
LA ANGELS are 46-56 SU (-15.6 Units) in road games as an underdog of +100 or higher in the last 3 seasons.

917COLORADO -918 ARIZONA
COLORADO is 8-22 SU (-18.8 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start over the last 2 seasons.

**Udog** · 08-24-2020, 08:39 AM

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, August 24

National League
Miami @ Washington
Marlins (11-11):
Lopez is 2-1, 2.82 in four starts this season.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-2 Team in first 5 innings: 2-2
Allowed run in first inning: 1-4 Totals: over 2-1-1

— Miami lost 10 of its last 14 games, after a 7-1 start.
— Over is 9-3 in their last 12. games.

Nationals (11-14):
Voth is 0-2, 5.50 in four starts this season.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-3 Team in first 5 innings: 2-2
Allowed run in first inning: 1-4 Totals: 2-2

— Washington split its last 12 games.
— Nationals lost six of their last eight home games.
— Over is 10-1 in their last 11 games.

Cincinnati @ Milwaukee
Reds (11-15):
Bauer is 3-0, 0.68 in four starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-1 Team in first 5 innings: 3-0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-4 Totals: under 3-1

— Cincinnati lost three of its last four games.
— Reds are 2-5 in their last seven road games.
— Under is 5-1 in the Reds’ last six games.

Brewers (11-15):
Anderson is 1-2, 4.24 in four starts this season.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-3 Team in first 5 innings: 2-2
Allowed run in first inning: 3-4 Totals: 2-2

— Milwaukee lost five of its last six games.
— Brewers lost six of their eight home games.
— Over is 5-3 in Milwaukee’s home games.

Colorado @ Arizona
Rockies (13-15):
Castellani is 0-2, 3.95 in his first three MLB starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-2 Team in first 5 innings: 1-1-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-3 Totals: under 2-1

— Rockies lost 12 of their last 14 games.
— Colorado lost its last six road games.
— Under is 5-1-1 in their last seven road games.

Diamondbacks (13-16):
Kelly is 2-1, 2.55 in his last three starts; he is 1-2, 7.64 in three starts vs Colorado
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-2 Team in first 5 innings: 1-2-2
Allowed run in first inning: 3-5 Totals: under 5-0

— Arizona lost its last five games, scoring six runs.
— Diamondbacks won their last seven home games.
— Under is 8-2 in their last ten games.

American League
Toronto @ Tampa Bay
Blue Jays (13-13):
Roark is 2-1, 5.29 in four starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-1 Team in first 5 innings: 1-2-1
Allowed run in first inning: 2-4 Totals: under 3-1

— Blue Jays are 9-7 in their last 16 games.
— Jays won seven of their last ten road games.
— Over is 7-4-2 in their last 13 games.

Rays (19-10):
Snell is 2-0, 3.00 in five starts this year (18 IP); he is 4-3, 2.78 in 12 starts vs Toronto.
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-1 Team in first 5 innings: 2-1-2
Allowed run in first inning: 0-5 Totals: 2-2-1

— Tampa Bay won 13 of its last 15 games.
— Rays won 10 of their 14 home games.
— Over is 7-3-3 in their last 13 games.

Minnesota @ Cleveland
Twins (19-10)
Maeda is 3-0, 2.27 in five starts this year, 2-0, 4.08 in three road outings.
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-1 Team in first 5 innings: 5-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-5 Totals: over 3-2

— Twins won eight of their last 11 games.
— Minnesota won four of its last six road games.
— Under is 8-1-1 in their last ten games.

Indians (17-11):
Civale is 3-2, 2.91 in five starts this season; he is 0-1, 2.65 in three starts vs Minnesota.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-2 Team in first 5 innings: 2-2-1
Allowed run in first inning: 2-5 Totals: under 4-1

— Cleveland won 11 of its last 16 games.
— Indians are 7-6 at home this season.
— Under is 19-8-1 in Cleveland games this season.

Oakland @ Texas
A’s (20-9):
Luzardo is 2-0, 3.54 in four starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-0 Team in first 5 innings: 2-1-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-4 Totals: 2-2

— Oakland won 17 of its last 22 games.
— A’s are 7-5 on the road this season.
— Under is 4-1 in their last five games

Rangers (10-17):
Lynn is 3-0, 1.60 in six starts this season, 2-0, 1.06 in three home starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-2 Team in first 5 innings: 2-1-3
Allowed run in first inning: 1-6 Totals: 3-3

— Texas lost its last eight games.
— Rangers are 7-6 at home this season.
— Over is 7-1 in their last eight games.

Anaheim @ Houston
Angels (9-20):
Sandoval is 0-3, 6.30 in four starts this season.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-3 Team in first 5 innings: 1-2-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-4 Totals: over 2-1-1

— Angels are 7-17 in their last 24 games.
— Halos lost eight of their last ten road games.
— Over is 10-2-2 in their last 14 games.

Astros (15-13):
Valdez is 2-0, 2.63 in his last two starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-2 Team in first 5 innings: 2-2
Allowed run in first inning: 2-4 Totals: 2-2

— Astros lost their last three games overall.
— Houston won their last six home games.
— Under is 5-1 in their last six home games.

Interleague
Chicago @ Detroit
Cubs (17-10):
Mills is 0-2, 9.31 in his last twi starts,
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-2 Team in first 5 innings: 3-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-4 Totals: 2-2

— Cubs are 4-7 in their last 11 games.
— Chicago won five of its seven road games.
— Over is 6-3 in their last nine games.

Tigers (11-15):
Mize allowed three runs in 4.1 IP (73 PT) in his MLB debut.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-1 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0

— Detroit lost 11 of its last 13 games.
— Tigers lost its last five home games.
— Over is 8-4 in their last 12 games.

Kansas City @ St Louis
Royals (11-17):
Keller has thrown 17.2 scoreless innings in winning his first three ’20 starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-0 Team in first 5 innings: 3-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-3 Totals: under 2-1

— Royals lost six of their last nine games.
— KC lost six of its last eight road games.
— Under is 9-0-1 in their last ten games.

Cardinals (9-8)
Flaherty is 1-0, 3.12 in two starts this season.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-0 Team in first 5 innings: 2-0
Allowed run in first inning: 1-2 Totals: over 2-0

— St Louis won three of its last four games.
— Cardinals won five of their seven home games this season.
— Under is 4-3 in their home games.

**Udog** · 08-24-2020, 08:42 AM

MLB

Monday, August 24

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Toronto @ Tampa Bay
Toronto
Toronto is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Toronto is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto

Miami @ Washington
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Washington's last 11 games
Washington is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Miami

Minnesota @ Cleveland
Minnesota
Minnesota is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Cleveland is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games

Chi Cubs @ Detroit
Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Chi Cubs's last 13 games on the road
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games at home
Detroit is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs

Oakland @ Texas
Oakland
Oakland is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Texas
Oakland is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Texas
Texas
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Texas's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas's last 6 games at home

Cincinnati @ Milwaukee
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games on the road
Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 9 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Milwaukee is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cincinnati

Kansas City @ St. Louis
Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Kansas City's last 10 games
St. Louis
St. Louis is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Kansas City
St. Louis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Kansas City

LA Angels @ Houston
LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games when playing Houston
Houston
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Houston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against LA Angels

Colorado @ Arizona
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing on the road against Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing Arizona
Arizona
Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 08-24-2020, 09:03 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Monday, August 24

Toronto @ Tampa Bay

Game 901-902
August 24, 2020 @ 3:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
(Roark) 17.090
Tampa Bay
(Snell) 18.499
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-220
8
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(-220); Over

Miami @ Washington

Game 903-904
August 24, 2020 @ 6:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
(Lopez) 14.527
Washington
(Voth) 17.230
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 2 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-120
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-120); Under

Chicago Cubs @ Detroit

Game 905-906
August 24, 2020 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Cubs
(Mills) 14.714
Detroit
(Mize) 15.668
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-140
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+120); Under

Minnesota @ Cleveland

Game 907-908
August 24, 2020 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
(Maeda) 15.579
Cleveland
(Civale) 16.959
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 1 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
-115
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-105); Under

Oakland @ Texas

Game 913-914
August 24, 2020 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oakland
(Luzardo) 15.456
Texas
(Lynn) 16.642
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oakland
-145
8
Dunkel Pick:
Texas
(+125); Under

Cincinnati @ Milwaukee

Game 909-910
August 24, 2020 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
(Bauer) 14.218
Milwaukee
(Anderson) 15.609
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
-145
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(+125); Under

Kansas City @ St. Louis

Game 911-912
August 24, 2020 @ 8:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
(Keller) 14.509
St. Louis
(Flaherty)16.889
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 2 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-180
8
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(-180); Under

LA Angels @ Houston

Game 915-916
August 24, 2020 @ 9:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Angels
(Sandoval) 15.779
Houston
(Valdez) 14.780
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Angels
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-155
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Angels
(+135); Over

Colorado @ Arizona

Game 917-918
August 24, 2020 @ 9:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
(Castellani) 13.534
Arizona
(Kelly) 15.961
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 2 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
-160
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(-160); Under

**Udog** · 08-24-2020, 09:48 AM

MLB
Long Sheet

Monday, August 24

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (13 - 13) at TAMPA BAY (19 - 10) - 3:10 PM
TANNER ROARK (R) vs. BLAKE SNELL (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ROARK is 6-15 (-12.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TAMPA BAY is 208-151 (+30.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 28-7 (+21.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 80-41 (+29.9 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 130-76 (+37.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
ROARK is 13-5 (+11.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 6-3 (+1.7 Units) against TORONTO this season
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.8 Units)

TANNER ROARK vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
ROARK is 2-0 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.18 and a WHIP of 1.294.
His team's record is 3-0 (+3.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-0. (+3.2 units)

BLAKE SNELL vs. TORONTO since 1997
SNELL is 4-3 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 2.93 and a WHIP of 1.217.
His team's record is 8-4 (+2.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-5. (+0.8 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (11 - 11) at WASHINGTON (11 - 14) - 6:05 PM
PABLO LOPEZ (R) vs. AUSTIN VOTH (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 4-9 (-9.6 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
WASHINGTON is 4-12 (-13.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
VOTH is 3-9 (-10.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 2-2 (+1.3 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.9 Units)

PABLO LOPEZ vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
LOPEZ is 0-2 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 8.86 and a WHIP of 1.880.
His team's record is 1-4 (-2.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-3. (-1.3 units)

AUSTIN VOTH vs. MIAMI since 1997
VOTH is 0-0 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 1.200.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO CUBS (17 - 10) at DETROIT (11 - 15) - 7:10 PM
ALEC MILLS (R) vs. CASEY MIZE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1891-1920 (-275.0 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 28-39 (-19.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 14-27 (-17.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 28-42 (-16.7 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1405-1433 (-209.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 930-957 (-202.4 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 916-836 (-157.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
DETROIT is 58-128 (-41.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 29-69 (-29.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 6-24 (-15.6 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 14-26 (-12.7 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 26-67 (-35.6 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 11-32 (-20.7 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 159-189 (-57.4 Units) against the money line in home games in August games since 1997.
DETROIT is 14-37 (-19.6 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 41-101 (-37.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 6-25 (-19.1 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 19-69 (-29.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

ALEC MILLS vs. DETROIT since 1997
No recent starts.

CASEY MIZE vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
No recent starts.

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MINNESOTA (19 - 10) at CLEVELAND (17 - 11) - 7:10 PM
KENTA MAEDA (R) vs. AARON CIVALE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MAEDA is 4-12 (-13.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)
MAEDA is 2-8 (-11.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday since 1997. (Team's Record)
MAEDA is 9-17 (-16.3 Units) against the money line in road games after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
MINNESOTA is 120-74 (+24.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 20-10 (+11.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 62-35 (+23.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 409-410 (+53.2 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 80-46 (+21.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 94-51 (+27.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 201-154 (-30.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 126-100 (-26.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 65-78 (-29.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-1 (+1.9 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.0 Units)

KENTA MAEDA vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
MAEDA is 1-0 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.333.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

AARON CIVALE vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
CIVALE is 0-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 2.65 and a WHIP of 0.882.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

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CINCINNATI (11 - 15) at MILWAUKEE (11 - 15) - 8:10 PM
TREVOR BAUER (R) vs. BRETT ANDERSON (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 86-102 (-20.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 64-100 (-32.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 11-19 (-11.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
ANDERSON is 40-44 (-19.8 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.1 Units)

TREVOR BAUER vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
BAUER is 1-0 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 0.667.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

BRETT ANDERSON vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
ANDERSON is 2-2 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 5.33 and a WHIP of 1.618.
His team's record is 3-2 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-4. (-3.3 units)

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KANSAS CITY (11 - 17) at ST LOUIS (9 - 8) - 8:15 PM
BRAD KELLER (R) vs. JACK FLAHERTY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 25-14 (+12.9 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 16-4 (+13.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 53-26 (+19.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

BRAD KELLER vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
KELLER is 1-1 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 3.46 and a WHIP of 0.923.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

JACK FLAHERTY vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
FLAHERTY is 2-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 0.714.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

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OAKLAND (20 - 9) at TEXAS (10 - 17) - 8:05 PM
JESUS LUZARDO (L) vs. LANCE LYNN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 52-42 (+15.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 27-17 (+14.3 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 116-74 (+29.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 202-112 (+42.3 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 since 1997.
OAKLAND is 98-75 (+28.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 17-5 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in August games this season.
OAKLAND is 59-36 (+16.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 72-46 (+19.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 140-102 (+30.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 72-44 (+19.8 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 114-57 (+35.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against TEXAS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

JESUS LUZARDO vs. TEXAS since 1997
LUZARDO is 0-0 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.800.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

LANCE LYNN vs. OAKLAND since 1997
LYNN is 2-1 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 4.67 and a WHIP of 1.408.
His team's record is 2-3 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-2. (+1.0 units)

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LA ANGELS (9 - 20) at HOUSTON (15 - 13) - 9:10 PM
PATRICK SANDOVAL (L) vs. FRAMBER VALDEZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 9-20 (-15.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 6-14 (-12.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
LA ANGELS are 4-11 (-8.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
LA ANGELS are 7-14 (-9.4 Units) against the money line in August games this season.
LA ANGELS are 38-60 (-24.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 1-7 (-7.8 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
LA ANGELS are 64-118 (-39.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 38-7 (+22.8 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 238-210 (+38.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
HOUSTON is 76-61 (-22.9 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 2-1 (+0.5 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

PATRICK SANDOVAL vs. HOUSTON since 1997
SANDOVAL is 0-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 5.69 and a WHIP of 1.422.
His team's record is 1-1 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

FRAMBER VALDEZ vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
VALDEZ is 2-1 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 1.69 and a WHIP of 1.063.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.2 units)

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COLORADO (13 - 15) at ARIZONA (13 - 16) - 9:40 PM
RYAN CASTELLANI (R) vs. MERRILL KELLY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 274-481 (-83.5 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 since 1997.
COLORADO is 30-39 (-13.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 98-93 (+6.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 958-854 (-101.8 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
ARIZONA is 675-617 (-81.6 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 2-1 (+1.2 Units) against COLORADO this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

RYAN CASTELLANI vs. ARIZONA since 1997
No recent starts.

MERRILL KELLY vs. COLORADO since 1997
KELLY is 1-2 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 7.64 and a WHIP of 1.471.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

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**Udog** · 08-24-2020, 01:49 PM

Diamond Trends - Monday
Vince Akins

SU Play ON Trend of the Day:
Matchup: Miami at Washington (6:05 p.m. ET)

The Nationals are 12-0 SU since Sep 26, 2018 as a home favorite coming off a home win by 5+ runs.

SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:
Matchup: Chicago Cubs at Detroit (7:10 p.m. ET)

The Tigers are 0-16 SU since Jun 25, 2019 at home off a game as a dog in which they struck out their opponent at least ten times.

OU Trend of the Day:
Matchup: Cincinnati at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. ET)

The Reds are 9-0 OU (3.22 ppg) since Jul 18, 2019 in the first game of a series with no rest after they scored in at most two separate innings last game.

Starter-Based Trend of the Day:
Matchup: Toronto at Tampa Bay (3:10 p.m. ET)

The Rays are 9-0 SU since Aug 20, 2017 when Blake Snell starts at home after winning his last two starts.

Twitter Submission of the Day:
Matchup: Minnesota at Cleveland (7:10 p.m. ET)

The Twins are 10-0 SU as away favorites in the series opener coming off an away win.

Announcement

Monday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 8/24

Monday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 8/24

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