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  • Thursday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 8/6

    Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, August 6

    Good Luck on day #219 of 2020!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

    — Marlins 1-2, Orioles 0-1- Miami swept a doubleheader, despite scoring a total of three runs in the two games.
    — Washington ace Max Scherzer (hamstring) left his start after one inning Wednesday.
    — Dodgers 7, Padres 6- Chris Taylor threw out the tying run at the plate from left field to end the game.
    — A’s 6, Texas 4— Oakland won its last five games.
    — Nuggets 132, Spurs 126- Denver scored 43 points in 4th quarter.
    — Thunder 105, Lakers 86— OKC held Anthony Davis to 9 points in 29:00.


    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 156,906
    Please wear a mask when you go out.


    **********

    Armadillo: Thursday's Den: Doing some thinking out loud……..

    Good to be back; have a lot of people to thank, but I’ll do that down the road a little.

    13) First of all, Dr Fauci says he has gotten death threats and his family has been harassed, because he is a scientist who tells the truth. What the actual bleep? Who threatens a scientist because he tells us how to avoid catching a virus that can kill us?

    He isn’t a politician, he is a 78-year old doctor who has worked for six Presidents and has an impeccable record. Who would threaten him?

    There are some very evil people in this country; they need to go back under their rock.

    12) Had eye surgery Tuesday; the doctor says things went well, and in a few weeks I’ll have some new glasses and I’ll be seeing like my old self again. When you’re sitting by yourself in a reclining chair waiting to be operated on, some thoughts run through your head……

    11) Nurses might be the most underrated people in our society; they help sick people get better, they do lot of the dirty work, while doctors make the bigger money. Yesterday I was reminded of when my dad was very ill 6-7 years ago, sitting in his room and watching the nurses do their jobs with (mostly) good cheer. A very honorable profession.

    10) Kansas City Royals used 20 different pitchers in their first 11 games; rosters go down from 30 guys to 28 Thursday, so hopefully that means bullpens will be little thinner, and hitters can face the same pitchers more often, which will help to increase scoring.

    9) ESPN’s Jon Sciambi came up with an interesting stat:
    — In his 2,164 major league games, Lou Gehrig faced 342 different pitchers.
    — In his 1,205 major league games, Mike Trout has faced 835 pitchers.

    8) Last year, only 24% of starting pitchers threw 100+ pitches in their starts; ten years ago, half of major league starters threw 100+ pitches.

    7) Why is Dodgers’ reliever Joe Kelly still pitching? He got suspended last week, then appealed- hear the damn appeal already!!! They can’t do that on a Zoom call?

    6) There was a delay in the Pirates-Twins game Tuesday when a drone was hovering over Target Field; took 10-15 minutes for the thing to go away.

    5) Fred VanVleet of the Raptors set a career high with 36 points the other night; weird thing is that in that whole game, he scored only one 2-point basket. He was 7-12 on the arc, 13-13 on the foul line, 1-4 inside the arc.

    4) TJ Warren of the Indiana Pacers scored 117 points in three games down in the Orlando bubble; an impressive display of scoring.

    3) Braves lost pitching ace Mike Soroka to a torn achilles tendon this week; difficult loss to overcome.

    2) UConn is the first I-A college football team to cancel its football season for this year.

    1) Some good COVID news; Lions’ QB Matthew Stafford had a false positive test last week, so he is healthy and good to go for training camp. Glad to hear he is healthy.

    Comment


    • #3
      MLB public betting, line movement for August 6
      Patrick Everson

      Aaron Judge has been on fire so far in the shortened season, with seven homers through 11 games. Judge and the Yankees are -151 favorites against the Phillies on Thursday night.

      MLB betting odds hit the board and drew some early dollars for Thursday’s matchups. The Yankees wrap up their four-game home set against the Phillies, while the defending American League champion Astros aim to avoid falling back to .500.

      Caesars sportsbooks provided insights on MLB opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Thursday’s contests.

      MLB line movement

      Aaron Judge has already pounded out seven home runs through 11 games, helping the Yankees to a 9-2 start, including a split of Wednesday’s doubleheader against the Phillies. New York opened -155 at Caesars books for a 6:05 p.m. ET first pitch, with Philadelphia +145 late Wednesday evening, and the line moved to -151/+141 within a few minutes.

      The Astros gave up two touchdowns Wednesday in absorbing a 14-7 shelling from the Diamondbacks. For Thursday’s 7:07 p.m. ET start, Houston opened -133 and dropped to -123 within about an hour Wednesday night, with Arizona +113. And the always-popular Cubs, out of the gate with a 9-2 record, opened -170 and dialed back a tick to -166 against the struggling Royals (+153) in another 7:07 p.m. ET game.

      MLB public betting

      In the Consensus, no team is getting more early love than the Cubs, landing 85 percent of the picks against the Royals. But the Yankees aren’t far behind at 82 percent against the Phillies.

      Comment


      • #4
        MLB
        Weather Report

        Thursday, August 6




        Comment


        • #5
          901MINNESOTA -902 PITTSBURGH
          MINNESOTA is 8-1 SU (6.9 Units) against right-handed starters in the current season.

          903SAN FRANCISCO -904 COLORADO
          SAN FRANCISCO is 26-11 SU (12.9 Units) in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

          905TEXAS -906 OAKLAND
          TEXAS are 2-10 SU (-11.6 Units) in road games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better over the last 2 seasons.

          905TEXAS -906 OAKLAND
          CHRIS WOODWARD is 2-10 SU (-9 Units) in road games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better (Coach of TEXAS)

          907LA ANGELS -908 SEATTLE
          LA ANGELS are 15-4 SU (10.6 Units) after 9 consecutive games versus division rivals over the last 2 seasons.

          909CINCINNATI -910 CLEVELAND
          CLEVELAND is 39-20 SU (17 Units) after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the last 3 seasons.

          915TORONTO -916 ATLANTA
          ATLANTA is 69-65 SU (-2.5 Units) in home games against right-handed starters in the last 3 seasons.

          917CHICAGO CUBS -918 KANSAS CITY
          KANSAS CITY is 1-11 SU (-11.1 Units) in home games against NL Central opponents in the last 3 seasons.

          919HOUSTON -920 ARIZONA
          ARIZONA is 33-14 SU (17.6 Units) in home games as an underdog of +100 or higher in the last 3 seasons.

          921MILWAUKEE -922 CHI WHITE SOX
          MILWAUKEE is 24-28 SU (-16 Units) in road games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 2 seasons.

          925NY YANKEES -926 PHILADELPHIA
          PHILADELPHIA is 72-114 SU (-50 Units) vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse since 1996.

          927BALTIMORE -928 MIAMI
          BALTIMORE is 22-48 SU (-23.4 Units) when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 62%) in the last 3 seasons.

          Comment


          • #6
            MLB
            Dunkel

            Thursday, August 6


            Minnesota @ Pittsburgh

            Game 901-902
            August 6, 2020 @ 1:35 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Minnesota
            (Maeda) 17.310
            Pittsburgh
            (Burbaker) 13.790
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Minnesota
            by 3 1/2
            8
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Minnesota
            -200
            9
            Dunkel Pick:
            Minnesota
            (-200); Under

            San Francisco @ Colorado


            Game 903-904
            August 6, 2020 @ 3:10 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            San Francisco
            (Anderson) 17.405
            Colorado
            (Freeland) 16.552
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            San Francisco
            by 1
            13
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Colorado
            -200
            12 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            San Francisco
            (+170); Over

            Texas @ Oakland


            Game 905-906
            August 6, 2020 @ 3:40 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Texas
            (Minor) 14.257
            Oakland
            (Fiers) 17.141
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Oakland
            by 3
            7
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Oakland
            -150
            8 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Oakland
            (-150); Under

            LA Angels @ Seattle


            Game 907-908
            August 6, 2020 @ 4:10 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            LA Angels
            (Bundy) 14.337
            Seattle
            (Walker) 15.292
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Seattle
            by 1
            11
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            LA Angels
            -170
            8 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Seattle
            (+150); Over

            NY Yankees @ Philadelphia


            Game 925-926
            August 6, 2020 @ 6:05 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            NY Yankees
            (Mntgmery) 17.361
            Philadelphia
            (Eflin) 15.535
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            NY Yankees
            by 2
            12
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            NY Yankees
            -150
            9 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            NY Yankees
            (-150); Over

            Cincinnati @ Cleveland


            Game 909-910
            August 6, 2020 @ 6:10 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Cincinnati
            (Castillo) 14.025
            Cleveland
            (Carrasco) 15.821
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Cleveland
            by 2
            4
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Cleveland
            -120
            8
            Dunkel Pick:
            Cleveland
            (-120); Under

            Chicago Cubs @ Kansas City


            Game 917-918
            August 6, 2020 @ 7:07 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Chicago Cubs
            (Chatwood) 16.070
            Kansas City
            (Keller) 12.503
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Chicago Cubs
            by 3 1/2
            8
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Chicago Cubs
            -170
            9
            Dunkel Pick:
            Chicago Cubs
            (-170); Under

            Houston @ Arizona


            Game 919-920
            August 6, 2020 @ 7:07 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Houston
            (Bielak) 14.776
            Arizona
            (Gallen) 15.998
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Arizona
            by 1
            13
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Houston
            -135
            9
            Dunkel Pick:
            Arizona
            (+115); Over

            Toronto @ Atlanta


            Game 915-916
            August 6, 2020 @ 7:10 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Toronto
            (Pearson) 17.478
            Atlanta
            (Toussaint) 16.474
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Toronto
            by 1
            11
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Atlanta
            -130
            9
            Dunkel Pick:
            Toronto
            (+110); Over

            Baltimore @ Miami


            Game 927-928
            August 6, 2020 @ 7:35 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Baltimore
            (LeBlanc) 15.732
            Miami
            (Yamamoto) 17.446
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Miami
            by 1 1/2
            5
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Miami
            No Line
            N/A
            Dunkel Pick:
            Miami
            N/A

            Milwaukee @ Chicago White Sox

            Game 921-922
            August 6, 2020 @ 8:10 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Milwaukee
            (Lindblom) 16.331
            Chicago White Sox
            (Gonzalez) 15.296
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Milwaukee
            by 1
            7
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Chicago White Sox
            -130
            9
            Dunkel Pick:
            Milwaukee
            (+110); Under

            Comment


            • #7
              MLB

              Thursday, August 6


              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              Trend Report
              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              Minnesota @ Pittsburgh
              Minnesota
              Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
              Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
              Pittsburgh
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
              The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games when playing Minnesota

              San Francisco @ Colorado
              San Francisco
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games on the road
              San Francisco is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Colorado
              Colorado
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing at home against San Francisco
              Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

              Texas @ Oakland
              Texas
              The total has gone OVER in 6 of Texas's last 7 games on the road
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas's last 6 games
              Oakland
              Oakland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
              Oakland is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Texas

              LA Angels @ Seattle
              LA Angels
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 6 games when playing Seattle
              The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Angels's last 8 games
              Seattle
              The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Seattle's last 12 games at home
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing LA Angels

              NY Yankees @ Philadelphia
              NY Yankees
              NY Yankees is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
              NY Yankees is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
              Philadelphia
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games at home
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Yankees

              Cincinnati @ Cleveland
              Cincinnati
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games on the road
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games
              Cleveland
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games
              Cleveland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati

              Houston @ Arizona
              Houston
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games on the road
              Arizona
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing Houston
              Arizona is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Houston

              Chi Cubs @ Kansas City
              Chi Cubs
              Chi Cubs is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
              The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chi Cubs's last 8 games on the road
              Kansas City
              The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Kansas City's last 8 games when playing Chi Cubs
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs

              Toronto @ Atlanta
              Toronto
              Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games
              Atlanta
              Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
              Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto

              Baltimore @ Miami
              Baltimore
              The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Baltimore's last 8 games when playing Miami
              Baltimore is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
              Miami
              Miami is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Baltimore
              Miami is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Baltimore

              Milwaukee @ Chi White Sox
              Milwaukee
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
              Chi White Sox
              Chi White Sox is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee


              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              Comment


              • #8
                MLB
                Long Sheet

                Thursday, August 6


                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                MINNESOTA (10 - 2) at PITTSBURGH (2 - 10) - 1:35 PM
                KENTA MAEDA (R) vs. J.T. BRUBAKER (R)
                Top Trends for this game.
                MAEDA is 9-16 (-14.2 Units) against the money line in road games after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
                MINNESOTA is 111-66 (+27.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                MINNESOTA is 58-29 (+28.4 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
                MINNESOTA is 88-47 (+27.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
                MINNESOTA is 415-453 (+31.7 Units) against the money line in road games after a win since 1997.
                MINNESOTA is 65-26 (+19.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
                PITTSBURGH is 9-32 (-20.8 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
                PITTSBURGH is 31-67 (-25.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

                Head-to-Head Series History
                MINNESOTA is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
                2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

                KENTA MAEDA vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
                MAEDA is 2-1 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 4.42 and a WHIP of 0.873.
                His team's record is 2-1 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.1 units)

                J.T. BRUBAKER vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
                No recent starts.

                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                SAN FRANCISCO (6 - 7) at COLORADO (8 - 3) - 3:10 PM
                SHAUN ANDERSON (R) vs. KYLE FREELAND (L)
                Top Trends for this game.
                FREELAND is 34-24 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
                FREELAND is 13-3 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
                FREELAND is 24-11 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997. (Team's Record)
                SAN FRANCISCO is 83-92 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                SAN FRANCISCO is 45-43 (+22.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
                SAN FRANCISCO is 42-44 (+13.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
                COLORADO is 87-65 (-40.9 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -175 to -250 since 1997.

                Head-to-Head Series History
                COLORADO is 2-1 (+0.4 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
                2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

                SHAUN ANDERSON vs. COLORADO since 1997
                ANDERSON is 0-0 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 7.72 and a WHIP of 2.144.
                His team's record is 1-1 (+0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

                KYLE FREELAND vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
                FREELAND is 6-3 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.12 and a WHIP of 1.281.
                His team's record is 7-5 (+0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-7. (-3.5 units)

                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                TEXAS (3 - 7) at OAKLAND (8 - 4) - 3:40 PM
                MIKE MINOR (L) vs. MICHAEL FIERS (R)
                Top Trends for this game.
                OAKLAND is 104-69 (+23.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                OAKLAND is 107-62 (+31.6 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
                OAKLAND is 22-9 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons.
                OAKLAND is 37-13 (+22.1 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
                OAKLAND is 105-54 (+29.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
                FIERS is 23-10 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
                FIERS is 14-3 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
                FIERS is 12-0 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
                FIERS is 22-8 (+16.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
                FIERS is 23-7 (+18.4 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
                FIERS is 23-8 (+16.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
                TEXAS is 54-55 (+9.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
                MINOR is 22-14 (+16.1 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)

                Head-to-Head Series History
                OAKLAND is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against TEXAS this season
                1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

                MIKE MINOR vs. OAKLAND since 1997
                MINOR is 2-3 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 5.56 and a WHIP of 1.235.
                His team's record is 2-4 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-2. (+1.1 units)

                MICHAEL FIERS vs. TEXAS since 1997
                FIERS is 4-3 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 5.37 and a WHIP of 1.209.
                His team's record is 8-4 (+3.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-2. (+4.7 units)

                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                LA ANGELS (4 - 8) at SEATTLE (5 - 8) - 4:10 PM
                DYLAN BUNDY (R) vs. TAIJUAN WALKER (R)
                Top Trends for this game.
                SEATTLE is 43-29 (+17.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
                LA ANGELS are 26-6 (+17.5 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 seasons.
                LA ANGELS are 237-205 (+43.4 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
                LA ANGELS are 212-191 (+34.2 Units) against the money line in road games in day games since 1997.
                SEATTLE is 980-901 (-127.1 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
                SEATTLE is 87-97 (-31.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Thursday since 1997.
                SEATTLE is 484-469 (-105.6 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997.

                Head-to-Head Series History
                SEATTLE is 3-2 (+2.8 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
                4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.9 Units)

                DYLAN BUNDY vs. SEATTLE since 1997
                BUNDY is 1-2 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 3.10 and a WHIP of 0.836.
                His team's record is 1-2 (-1.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

                TAIJUAN WALKER vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
                WALKER is 3-2 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 5.23 and a WHIP of 1.102.
                His team's record is 4-2 (+1.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-2. (+1.9 units)

                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                CINCINNATI (5 - 7) at CLEVELAND (7 - 6) - 6:10 PM
                LUIS CASTILLO (R) vs. CARLOS CARRASCO (R)
                Top Trends for this game.
                CINCINNATI is 14-28 (-13.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
                CINCINNATI is 161-223 (-59.9 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game since 1997.
                CLEVELAND is 191-149 (-32.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
                CLEVELAND is 217-223 (-56.2 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game since 1997.
                CLEVELAND is 118-96 (-28.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
                CLEVELAND is 134-105 (-23.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
                CLEVELAND is 16-19 (-15.2 Units) against the money line after shutting out their opponent over the last 3 seasons.
                CLEVELAND is 103-87 (-34.3 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
                CARRASCO is 5-18 (-15.0 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1997. (Team's Record)
                CARRASCO is 46-46 (-22.3 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
                CARRASCO is 0-6 (-9.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

                Head-to-Head Series History
                CLEVELAND is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
                3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)

                LUIS CASTILLO vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
                CASTILLO is 0-0 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 1.000.
                His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

                CARLOS CARRASCO vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
                CARRASCO is 3-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.68 and a WHIP of 1.125.
                His team's record is 5-0 (+5.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-0. (+5.1 units)

                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                TORONTO (4 - 5) at ATLANTA (8 - 5) - 7:10 PM
                NATE PEARSON (R) vs. TOUKI TOUSSAINT (R)
                Top Trends for this game.
                ATLANTA is 107-73 (+18.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                ATLANTA is 151-104 (+39.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
                ATLANTA is 100-107 (-36.8 Units) against the money line in home games in an inter-league game since 1997.

                Head-to-Head Series History
                TORONTO is 1-1 (+0.2 Units) against ATLANTA this season
                1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

                NATE PEARSON vs. ATLANTA since 1997
                No recent starts.

                TOUKI TOUSSAINT vs. TORONTO since 1997
                No recent starts.

                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                CHICAGO CUBS (10 - 2) at KANSAS CITY (3 - 10) - 7:15 PM
                TYLER CHATWOOD (R) vs. BRAD KELLER (R)
                Top Trends for this game.
                CHICAGO CUBS are 1884-1912 (-271.8 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
                CHICAGO CUBS are 27-35 (-15.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
                CHICAGO CUBS are 35-49 (-17.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
                CHICAGO CUBS are 13-26 (-17.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
                CHICAGO CUBS are 25-41 (-18.2 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
                CHICAGO CUBS are 1399-1427 (-208.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
                CHICAGO CUBS are 927-954 (-201.9 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997.
                CHICAGO CUBS are 240-230 (-53.4 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1997.
                CHICAGO CUBS are 915-830 (-151.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
                KANSAS CITY is 324-456 (-115.9 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
                KANSAS CITY is 47-125 (-41.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

                Head-to-Head Series History
                CHICAGO CUBS is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
                2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

                TYLER CHATWOOD vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
                CHATWOOD is 0-1 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 3.97 and a WHIP of 1.323.
                His team's record is 0-2 (-2.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

                BRAD KELLER vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
                KELLER is 0-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 6.00 and a WHIP of 1.667.
                His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                HOUSTON (6 - 5) at ARIZONA (4 - 8) - 7:15 PM
                BRANDON BIELAK (L) vs. ZAC GALLEN (R)
                Top Trends for this game.
                ARIZONA is 952-854 (-108.6 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.

                Head-to-Head Series History
                ARIZONA is 1-1 (+0.3 Units) against HOUSTON this season
                2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

                BRANDON BIELAK vs. ARIZONA since 1997
                No recent starts.

                ZAC GALLEN vs. HOUSTON since 1997
                No recent starts.

                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                MILWAUKEE (4 - 5) at CHI WHITE SOX (7 - 5) - 8:10 PM
                JOSH LINDBLOM (R) vs. GIO GONZALEZ (L)
                Top Trends for this game.
                CHI WHITE SOX are 79-94 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                CHI WHITE SOX are 35-29 (+18.1 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 3 seasons.
                CHI WHITE SOX are 51-53 (+17.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
                MILWAUKEE is 195-150 (+28.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
                MILWAUKEE is 128-91 (+25.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
                MILWAUKEE is 89-76 (+18.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

                Head-to-Head Series History
                CHI WHITE SOX is 2-1 (+1.1 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
                2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

                JOSH LINDBLOM vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
                No recent starts.

                GIO GONZALEZ vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
                GONZALEZ is 2-5 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 5.24 and a WHIP of 1.509.
                His team's record is 5-5 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-7. (-4.8 units)

                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                NY YANKEES (9 - 2) at PHILADELPHIA (2 - 4) - 6:00 PM
                JORDAN MONTGOMERY (L) vs. ZACH EFLIN (R)
                There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                Head-to-Head Series History
                NY YANKEES is 2-1 (+0.9 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
                1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

                JORDAN MONTGOMERY vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
                No recent starts.

                ZACH EFLIN vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
                EFLIN is 1-0 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.857.
                His team's record is 1-0 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                BALTIMORE (5 - 6) at MIAMI (5 - 1) - 7:35 PM
                WADE LEBLANC (L) vs. JORDAN YAMAMOTO (R)
                There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                Head-to-Head Series History
                MIAMI is 3-0 (+3.3 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
                3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)

                WADE LEBLANC vs. MIAMI since 1997
                LEBLANC is 1-2 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 7.29 and a WHIP of 1.572.
                His team's record is 2-2 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)

                JORDAN YAMAMOTO vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
                No recent starts.

                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                Comment


                • #9
                  MLB
                  Dunkel

                  Thursday, August 6


                  Minnesota @ Pittsburgh

                  Game 901-902
                  August 6, 2020 @ 1:35 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  Minnesota
                  (Maeda) 17.310
                  Pittsburgh
                  (Burbaker) 13.790
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  Minnesota
                  by 3 1/2
                  8
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  Minnesota
                  -200
                  9
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  Minnesota
                  (-200); Under

                  San Francisco @ Colorado


                  Game 903-904
                  August 6, 2020 @ 3:10 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  San Francisco
                  (Anderson) 17.405
                  Colorado
                  (Freeland) 16.552
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  San Francisco
                  by 1
                  13
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  Colorado
                  -200
                  12 1/2
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  San Francisco
                  (+170); Over

                  Texas @ Oakland


                  Game 905-906
                  August 6, 2020 @ 3:40 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  Texas
                  (Minor) 14.257
                  Oakland
                  (Fiers) 17.141
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  Oakland
                  by 3
                  7
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  Oakland
                  -150
                  8 1/2
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  Oakland
                  (-150); Under

                  LA Angels @ Seattle


                  Game 907-908
                  August 6, 2020 @ 4:10 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  LA Angels
                  (Bundy) 14.337
                  Seattle
                  (Walker) 15.292
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  Seattle
                  by 1
                  11
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  LA Angels
                  -170
                  8 1/2
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  Seattle
                  (+150); Over

                  NY Yankees @ Philadelphia


                  Game 925-926
                  August 6, 2020 @ 6:05 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  NY Yankees
                  (Mntgmery) 17.361
                  Philadelphia
                  (Eflin) 15.535
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  NY Yankees
                  by 2
                  12
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  NY Yankees
                  -150
                  9 1/2
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  NY Yankees
                  (-150); Over

                  Cincinnati @ Cleveland


                  Game 909-910
                  August 6, 2020 @ 6:10 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  Cincinnati
                  (Castillo) 14.025
                  Cleveland
                  (Carrasco) 15.821
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  Cleveland
                  by 2
                  4
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  Cleveland
                  -120
                  8
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  Cleveland
                  (-120); Under

                  Chicago Cubs @ Kansas City


                  Game 917-918
                  August 6, 2020 @ 7:07 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  Chicago Cubs
                  (Chatwood) 16.070
                  Kansas City
                  (Keller) 12.503
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  Chicago Cubs
                  by 3 1/2
                  8
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  Chicago Cubs
                  -170
                  9
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  Chicago Cubs
                  (-170); Under

                  Houston @ Arizona


                  Game 919-920
                  August 6, 2020 @ 7:07 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  Houston
                  (Bielak) 14.776
                  Arizona
                  (Gallen) 15.998
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  Arizona
                  by 1
                  13
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  Houston
                  -135
                  9
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  Arizona
                  (+115); Over

                  Toronto @ Atlanta


                  Game 915-916
                  August 6, 2020 @ 7:10 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  Toronto
                  (Pearson) 17.478
                  Atlanta
                  (Toussaint) 16.474
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  Toronto
                  by 1
                  11
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  Atlanta
                  -130
                  9
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  Toronto
                  (+110); Over

                  Baltimore @ Miami


                  Game 927-928
                  August 6, 2020 @ 7:35 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  Baltimore
                  (LeBlanc) 15.732
                  Miami
                  (Yamamoto) 17.446
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  Miami
                  by 1 1/2
                  5
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  Miami
                  No Line
                  N/A
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  Miami
                  N/A

                  Milwaukee @ Chicago White Sox

                  Game 921-922
                  August 6, 2020 @ 8:10 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  Milwaukee
                  (Lindblom) 16.331
                  Chicago White Sox
                  (Gonzalez) 15.296
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  Milwaukee
                  by 1
                  7
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  Chicago White Sox
                  -130
                  9
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  Milwaukee
                  (+110); Under

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Hitters slumping in MLB, cutdown day
                    The Associated Press

                    A look at what's happening around the majors today:

                    OFF BASE

                    Star hitters Christian Yelich, Gary Sanchez, Hunter Pence and others are slumping badly in a season where hitters across the majors are struggling to find base hits. The league-wide batting average entering Wednesday's games was .232, down from .252 last year. It's the lowest mark ever, below the .237 average posted in 1968, despite the addition of the designated hitter to the NL.

                    CUTDOWN DAY

                    Cuts are coming for players around the majors as teams trim their active rosters from 30 players to 28, per plans agreed to by MLB and the union before the start of this virus-shortened 60-game season. The sides decided Tuesday that rosters will remain at 28 through the World Series, instead of dropping to 26 on Aug. 20 as initially planned.

                    SCHERZER AILING

                    The Nationals will see how Max Scherzer is feeling, a day after the three-time Cy Young Award winner exited a start after just one inning because of trouble with his right hamstring.

                    Scherzer threw 27 pitches against the Mets and labored, his fastball in the low 90s mph. He said his hamstring problem first showed up a week ago, went away, then showed up again Tuesday when he was sprinting.

                    The Nationals already are missing World Series MVP Stephen Strasburg, who has a nerve issue in his pitching hand.

                    NOBODY BETTER

                    Guess which team is tied for the best winning percentage in the majors? The Miami Marlins, that's who. The undermanned Marlins swept a seven-inning doubleheader Wednesday in Baltimore by scores of 1-0 and 2-1 to improve to 5-1 this season. They've won three straight against the Orioles since emerging from a coronavirus layoff that left them with a roster filled with call-ups, free agents and rookies. Miami allowed a total of one run and 10 hits in those three games at Camden Yards. Pretty impressive for a club that was inactive for eight days after 18 players tested positive for COVID-19. Miami, which lost 105 games last year, will try to keep it going against Baltimore as Don Mattingly looks for his 282nd win as Marlins manager, which would break a tie with Jack McKeon for the most in franchise history.

                    NICE START

                    Kenta Maeda (2-0, 1.64 ERA) will try to remain unbeaten since being traded from the Dodgers to Minnesota in the offseason. The 32-year-old right-hander has helped the Twins open up quick this year. He pitches at PNC Park, with Pirates rookie JT Brubaker making his first major league start. Minnesota has won six in a row to match the best start in franchise history at 10-2. Pittsburgh has lost seven straight and owns the worst record in the majors at 2-10.

                    CATCH-UP CARDS

                    The Cardinals expect to have another workout at Busch Stadium while getting ready to resume their virus-interrupted season. St. Louis hasn't played since June 29 -- at 2-3, its next game is scheduled for Friday night at home against the Cubs.

                    Quarantined in Milwaukee earlier this week after 13 positive COVID-19 tests in their traveling party -- All-Stars Yadier Molina and Paul DeJong among them -- the Cardinals returned to St. Louis on Wednesday and held a light workout.

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Diamond Trends for Thursday August 6
                      Vince Akins

                      SU Play ON Trend of the Day
                      Matchup: Toronto at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. ET)

                      -- The Braves are 15-0 SU since Jun 01, 2019 before game 90 of the season as a home favorite of more than -130 when playing a team that has a worse record.


                      SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
                      Matchup: Toronto at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. ET)

                      -- The Blue Jays are 0-15 SU since Jul 11, 2018 on the road when their opponents starter has an ERA of less than 2.50 on the season.


                      OU Total Trend of the Day
                      Matchup: Cincinnati at Cleveland (6:10 p.m. ET)

                      -- The Indians are 0-9 OU (-3.17 ppg) since Sep 06, 2019 when they scored two or fewer runs for their starter in his last start.


                      Starter-Based Trend of the Day
                      Matchup: San Francisco at Colorado (3:10 p.m. ET)

                      -- The Rockies are 0-10 OU (-3.50 ppg) since Apr 30, 2018 when Kyle Freeland starts after he had a WHIP of less than 1 in his last start.


                      Twitter Submission of the Day
                      Matchup: Chicago Cubs at Kansas City (7:07 p.m. ET)

                      -- The Royals are 0-5 since 4/29/19 when Brad Keller starts as a home dog, being outscored 42-9 in those games.

                      Comment

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