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**Udog** · 08-02-2020, 08:52 AM

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

Odds to win the golf tournament in Memphis today:
+240— Brendan Todd
4-1— BH An, Rickie Fowler
9-2— Brooks Koepka
15-2— Justin Thomas
30-1— Matthew Fitzpatrick
40-1— Louis Oosthuizen, Webb Simpson

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 153,989
Please wear a mask when you go out.

**********

Armadillo: Sunday's Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday…….

13) 34 years ago this weekend, I made my first-ever visit to Las Vegas; stayed at a motel across the street from Circus Circus. Drove in from Los Angeles with my sister. Here are some of the quick things I remember from that trip:

— There is a sign on the highway from Barstow to Las Vegas: “If you don’t turn your air conditioner off, your car will overheat” Alrighty then.
— It was 112 degrees when we drove onto the Strip.

12) I wanted to bet the Mets against the Montreal Expos; the guy at the counter looks at me and says “Nice pick, but the game started 90 minutes ago”. I had forgotten to change my watch to west coast time. Whoops.
— I did bet the Mets to win the World Series that weekend, so I can say that I won my first-ever bet in the desert.
— Went into a sporting goods store in the Forum shoppes; they had the hat of my every pro team up on the wall. My eyes lit up, and that was the moment when my hat collection started.

11) I was like Linda Blair in The Exorcist; my head was spinning around like a top. So much to see, so many numbers to consume. It was so damn hot, but it was definitely a different world than I was used to.
— We stayed around 12-14 hours, say several casinos, then drove back to LA in the middle of the night, when it had cooled off to 95 or so. Quite a day.

10) A’s 3, Mariners 2 (10)— Weird strategy by Seattle, very weird. Down a run but with a fast guy on 2nd and no one out in the 10th, their #2 hitter, tries to sacrifice on an 0-1 pitch, fouls it off, then looked like he was bunting for a hit on the 0-2 pitch, but he popped out to the pitcher.

Giving up an out when you’re down a run is weird, especially with a decent hitter up. Don’t get me wrong, I was glad they fouled it up, but it wasn’t good strategy. The extra inning rule needs to go after this season, but it is providing some interesting stuff to think about.

9) Braves 7, Mets 1— Freddie Freeman DH’d for only the third time in his career, which is weird since he’s been in the majors for 11 years now. Even playing for an NL team, you’d think he would’ve DH’s some in their games in AL ballparks.

8) Dodgers’ pitching ace Clayton Kershaw makes his 2020 debut Sunday in Arizona, on the same weekend that the Detroit Lions put Kershaw’s high school teammate Matthew Stafford on the COVID-19 list. This is why having an NFL season is going to be dicey; NFL quarterbacks are so valuable, a starter has to miss a few weeks/months, and that team is in the ashcan.

7) I’m an advocate of higher-seeded teams picking their opponents in the first round of the playoffs. It was done in the G League for a while; we do it in our fantasy baseball league.

Would make for a great TV show, when the #1 seed has to announce who they choose to play in the first round of the playoffs. Then #2 has to choose, and so on……

6) Raptors 107, Lakers 92— Kyle Lowry scored 33 points, grabbed 14 rebounds as Toronto beat the Lakers for the 11th straight time.

5) Pacers 127, 76ers 121— TJ Warren scored 53 points for Indiana, which was +18 in the 41:00 that Warren played, minus-12 in the 7:00 he sat out.

4) Angels 5, Astros 4 (10)- Halos had lost their previous 64 games when they trailed in the 9th inning or later.

3) Rhode Island mistakenly issued tax refund checks signed by Walt Disney and Mickey Mouse instead of the state treasurer and controller. Now, I could be Captain Obvious and call it a goofy thing to do, but I’d rather let you insert your own joke here.

2) RIP to the great actor Wilfred Brimley, who passed away this weekend at age 85; he had a great acting resume. I remember him most from The Firm, Tender Mercies and The Natural “I should’ve been a farmer” Tremendous career, distinctive voice. Rest in peace, sir.

1) St Louis-Milwaukee series was cancelled this weekend, then Brewers’ OF Lorenzo Cain opted out of playing anymore this season. Can’t say I blame him.

I love watching baseball, I’m enjoying these games, but the owners are putting the players at tremendous physical risk by forging ahead with this season. Part of me thinks we should just bag the whole thing and play again next year.

**Udog** · 08-02-2020, 08:55 AM

MLB line movement for August 2
Patrick Everson

Clayton Kershaw makes his 2020 debut Sunday, when the Dodgers face the Diamondbacks. Caesars sportsbooks opened Los Angeles a -160 road favorite, with Arizona +150 for a 4:10 p.m. ET start.

MLB betting odds are on the board and seeing some early action for the Sunday slate. Clayton Kershaw makes his 2020 debut for the Los Angeles Dodgers, while a Houston Astros-Los Angeles Angels clash is among other noteworthy games, and the nightcap is the conclusion of the Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees.

Multiple oddsmakers provided insights on MLB opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Sunday’s contests. Covers will update this action report with MLB sharp picks vs. public bets and line movement throughout the day.

MLB line movement

Kershaw was supposed to throw on Opening Day, but a sore back led to him being a last-minute scratch. With the left-hander on the hill Sunday for a 4:10 p.m. ET first pitch, the Dodgers opened -160 against Merrill Kelly and the host Arizona Diamondbacks (+150).

Multi-talented Shohei Ohtani, who was absolutely blitzed last week in his first pitching appearance since 2018, takes the ball again for the Angels against Josh James and the Astros. Los Angeles is a +110 home underdog at Caesars books, with Houston a -120 favorite in a 4:10 p.m. ET meeting.

Neither of the above games saw any line movement by late Saturday night.

The Yankees are out to a 6-1 start and looking for a three-game home sweep of the Red Sox in a 7:08 p.m. ET contest. Caesars held off on the opener for this contest, as Boston hadn’t yet designated a starter to counter New York’s James Paxton.

**Udog** · 08-02-2020, 09:02 AM

MLB
Weather Report

Sunday, August 2

**Udog** · 08-02-2020, 09:04 AM

901TAMPA BAY -902 BALTIMORE
BALTIMORE is 17-39 SU (-25.9 Units) in home games when the total is 10 or higher in the last 3 seasons.

903CINCINNATI -904 DETROIT
DETROIT is 23-56 SU (-36.1 Units) in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons.

905NY METS -906 ATLANTA
NY METS are 27-9 SU (17.1 Units) in road games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

909CHI WHITE SOX -910 KANSAS CITY
CHI WHITE SOX is 23-7 SU (15.3 Units) in road games in August games in the last 3 seasons.

911CLEVELAND -912 MINNESOTA
CLEVELAND is 63-39 SU (22.8 Units) vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons.

915PITTSBURGH -916 CHICAGO CUBS
PITTSBURGH is 48-63 SU (-28.8 Units) vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

919SAN DIEGO -920 COLORADO
SAN DIEGO is 0-8 SU (-8.8 Units) in road games after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games in the last 3 seasons.

921TEXAS -922 SAN FRANCISCO
SAN FRANCISCO is 7-29 SU (-24.9 Units) in home games when the total is 8.5 to 10 in the last 3 seasons.

923HOUSTON -924 LA ANGELS
LA ANGELS are 16-34 SU (-23.5 Units) vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better in the last 3 seasons.

925LA DODGERS -926 ARIZONA
ARIZONA is 28-15 SU (15.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

927OAKLAND -928 SEATTLE
OAKLAND is 45-24 SU (22.2 Units) vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

929BOSTON -930 NY YANKEES
NY YANKEES are 28-10 SU (17 Units) in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

935CINCINNATI -936 DETROIT
DETROIT is 23-56 SU (-36.1 Units) in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons.

**Udog** · 08-02-2020, 09:07 AM

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, August 2

National League
New York @ Atlanta
Mets (3-6):
Peterson allowed two runs in 5.2 IP (78 PT) in winning his MLB debut.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0

— Mets lost six of their last eight games.
— Under is 6-3 in New York games.

Braves (6-3):
Wright allowed five runs in 2.2 IP (54 PT) in his first ’20 start; he’s given up 8 runs in 4.2 IP in two games (1 start) against the Mets.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-1 Team in first 5 innings: 0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0

— Braves won six of their last eight games; they’re 4-0 at home.

Los Angeles @ Arizona
Dodgers (6-3):
Kershaw makes his ’20 debut; he is 16-10, 2.84 in 33 starts vs Arizona, 0-1, 7.36 in two starts LY.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0

— Dodgers won four of their last five games.
— Five of last six Dodger games stayed under the total.

Diamondbacks (3-6):
Kelly allowed one run in 7.2 IP (104 PT) in his ’20 debut; he is 0-0, 5.40 in two starts vs LA.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0

— Arizona lost six of its first nine games.
— Six of their last eight games stayed under.

San Diego @ Colorado
Padres (6-3):
Davies allowed three runs in five IP (81 PT) in his first ’20 start; he is 2-1, 3.48 in four starts vs Colorado.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 1-1 Totals: under 1-0

— Padres won six of their first nine games.
— Five of San Diego’s last eight games stayed under the total.

Rockies (5-2)
Senzatela allowed two runs in five IP (86 PT) in his first ’20 start; he is 6-1, 3.30 in 12 games (6 starts) vs San Diego, 2-0, 2.70 in two starts LY.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: over 1-0

— Colorado won five of its last six games.
— Five of Rockies’ seven games stayed under.

Pittsburgh @ Chicago
Pirates (2-6):
Brault threw two shutout innings (37 PT) in his first ’20 start; he is 0-2, 8.22 in 14 games (5 starts) vs Chicago.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-1 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: over 1-0

— Pirates lost six of their first eight games.
— Five of eight Pittsburgh games went over.

Cubs (6-2):
Lester threw five shutout innings (76 PT) in his first ’20 start; he is 12-6, 3.18 in 23 starts vs Pittsburgh (3-0, 3.16 in five starts LY).
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: over 1-0

— Cubs won six of their first eight games.
— Five of their last seven games went over.

American League
Chicago @ Kansas City
White Sox (4-4):
Cease allowed four runs in 2.1 IP (64 PT) in his first ’20 start; he allowed 13 runs in seven IP in losing two starts vs Minnesota.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-1 Team in first 5 innings: 0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-1 Totals: under 1-0

— White Sox split their first eight games.
— Under is 4-1 in Chicago road games.

Royals (3-6):
Junis is making his first ’20 start; he is 3-2, 5.10 in seven starts vs Chicago.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0

— Royals lost six of their first nine games (under 6-3).

Houston @ Anaheim
Astros (4-4):
James allowed three runs in three IP (75 PT) in his first ’20 start.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: over 1-0

— Astros split their first eight games (over 5-2-1).

Angels (3-6):
Ohtani faced six batters in his first ’20 start, but didn’t get any of them out; he is 0-1, 7.04 in two starts vs Houston.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-1 Team in first 5 innings: 0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-1 Totals: over 1-0

— Angels lost six of their first nine games.
— Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Angel games.

Boston @ Bronx
Red Sox (3-6):
Hall three runs in 2.1 IP (51 PT) in his ’20 debut.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-1 Team in first 5 innings: 0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0

— Boston lost five of its last seven games; they’re 2-1 on road.

Bronx (6-1):
Paxton allowed three runs in 1+ innings (41 PT) in his first ’20 start; he is 5-1, 2.88 in eight starts vs Boston.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-1 Team in first 5 innings: 0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: over 1-0

— Bronx won six of its first seven games.

Tampa Bay @ Baltimore
Rays (4-5):
Chirinos allowed one run in four IP (68 PT) in his first ’20 start; he is 4-2, 3.21 in six games (3 starts) vs Baltimore.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0

— Rays lost their last four games.
— Over is 5-3-1 in Tampa Bay games.

Orioles (4-3):
Milone allowed four runs in three IP (57 PT) in his first ’20 start; he is 3-4, 6.75 in eight games (5 starts) vs Tampa Bay.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-1 Team in first 5 innings: 0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: over 1-0

— Orioles won four of their first seven games.
— Over is 3-0-1 in last four Baltimore games.

Cleveland @ Minnesota
Indians (5-4):
Civale allowed two runs in six IP (100 PT) in his first ’20 start; he is 0-0, 1.64 in two starts vs Minnesota.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0

— Cleveland lost the last two nights, scoring one run.
— Under is 8-1 in Indian games.

Twins (5-2):
Bailey allowed two runs in five IP (80 PT) in his first ’20 start; he is 4-4, 4.91 in 11 starts vs Cleveland.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1Totals: under 1-0

— Minnesota won six of its first eight games.

Oakland @ Seattle
A’s (4-4):
Bassitt threw four shutout innings (66 PT) in his first ’20 start; he is 0-4, 4.58 in eight games (6 starts) vs Seattle.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0

— Oakland lost three of its last four games.
— A’s are 9-49 with RISP so far this season.

Mariners (4-4):
Former Athletic Graveman allowed seven runs in four IP (88 PT) in his first ’20 start; he’s never pitched against his old team (2015-18)
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-1 Team in first 5 innings: 0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: over 1-0

— Mariners won three of their last four games.
— Six of nine Seattle games went over the total.

Interleague
Cincinnati @ Detroit
Please remember, these are 7-inning games!!!!
Reds (2-5):
Bauer allowed one run in 6.1 IP (105 PT) in his first ’20 start; he is 10-5, 5.11 in 20 starts vs Detroit.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-1 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0

DeSclafani is making his first ’20 start; he is 36-37, 4.13 in 108 career starts, 9-9, 3.89 in 31 starts LY.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0

— Reds lost five of their first seven games.
— Five of their last six games went over.

Tigers (5-3):
MFulmer allowed four runs in 2.2 IP (47 PT) in his first ’20 start; he allowed three runs in 5.2 IP in his one start vs Cincinnati.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-1 Team in first 5 innings: 0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: over 1-0

Garcia allowed three runs in three IP (42 PT) in his first MLB start.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0

— Detroit won five of its first eight games.
— Under is 4-2 in Detroit’s last six games.

Texas @ San Francisco
Rangers (2-5):
Allard is making his first ’20 start; he is 5-3, 6.08 in 12 MLB games (10 starts)
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0

— Texas lost four of its last five games.
— Four of their first six games stayed under.

Giants (5-4):
Samardzija allowed five runs in four IP (75 PT) in his first ’20 start; he is 0-2, 6.30 in three starts vs Texas.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-1 Team in first 5 innings: 0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0

— Giants won five of their first nine games.
— Over is 4-0 in last four Giant games.

**Udog** · 08-02-2020, 09:09 AM

MLB

Sunday, August 2

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Trend Report
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Tampa Bay @ Baltimore
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Baltimore
Tampa Bay is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Baltimore
Baltimore is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
Baltimore is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

NY Mets @ Atlanta
NY Mets
NY Mets is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Mets's last 10 games on the road
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Mets
Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Mets

Chi White Sox @ Kansas City
Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games when playing Kansas City
Chi White Sox is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Kansas City
Kansas City is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox

Cleveland @ Minnesota
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games at home

Pittsburgh @ Chi Cubs
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Chi Cubs is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

San Diego @ Colorado
San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 9 of San Diego's last 10 games when playing on the road against Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing Colorado
Colorado
Colorado is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Colorado's last 10 games when playing at home against San Diego

Cincinnati @ Detroit
Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 10 games on the road
Detroit
Detroit is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati

Texas @ San Francisco
Texas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Texas's last 15 games
San Francisco
San Francisco is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Texas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games at home

LA Dodgers @ Arizona
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Dodgers's last 7 games
Arizona
Arizona is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona's last 8 games

Houston @ LA Angels
Houston
Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Angels's last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games

Oakland @ Seattle
Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing Seattle
Seattle
Seattle is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland

Boston @ NY Yankees
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games
NY Yankees
NY Yankees is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
NY Yankees is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Boston

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**Udog** · 08-02-2020, 10:03 AM

MLB
Long Sheet

Sunday, August 2

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TAMPA BAY (4 - 5) at BALTIMORE (4 - 3) - 1:05 PM
YONNY CHIRINOS (R) vs. TOM MILONE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 80-73 (+21.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 105-226 (-69.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 61-151 (-60.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 49-87 (-32.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 2-0 (+3.8 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

YONNY CHIRINOS vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
CHIRINOS is 1-2 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 4.15 and a WHIP of 1.154.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.1 units)

TOM MILONE vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
MILONE is 2-3 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 6.28 and a WHIP of 1.430.
His team's record is 2-3 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-4. (-3.7 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CINCINNATI (2 - 5) at DETROIT (5 - 3) - 12:10 PM
ANTHONY DESCLAFANI (R) vs. RONY GARCIA (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-1 (+4.6 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

ANTHONY DESCLAFANI vs. DETROIT since 1997
No recent starts.

RONY GARCIA vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY METS (3 - 6) at ATLANTA (6 - 3) - 1:10 PM
DAVID PETERSON (L) vs. KYLE WRIGHT (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 13-26 (-15.2 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 105-71 (+19.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 38-16 (+23.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 99-57 (+37.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 65-39 (+16.3 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 303-305 (+34.6 Units) against the money line in road games in day games since 1997.
NY METS are 475-497 (+31.7 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 4-1 (+3.0 Units) against NY METS this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

DAVID PETERSON vs. ATLANTA since 1997
No recent starts.

KYLE WRIGHT vs. NY METS since 1997
WRIGHT is 0-1 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 14.71 and a WHIP of 3.270.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHI WHITE SOX (4 - 4) at KANSAS CITY (3 - 6) - 2:05 PM
DYLAN CEASE (R) vs. JAKE JUNIS (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

DYLAN CEASE vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
CEASE is 0-1 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 6.00 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

JAKE JUNIS vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
JUNIS is 3-2 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 5.10 and a WHIP of 1.299.
His team's record is 4-3 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-4. (-2.7 units)

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CLEVELAND (5 - 4) at MINNESOTA (6 - 2) - 2:10 PM
AARON CIVALE (R) vs. HOMER BAILEY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 189-147 (-32.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 66-61 (-34.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 132-103 (-23.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 61-74 (-29.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 107-66 (+23.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 85-47 (+24.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
BAILEY is 37-59 (-26.7 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 2-1 (+0.9 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)

AARON CIVALE vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
CIVALE is 0-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 1.64 and a WHIP of 0.909.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

HOMER BAILEY vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
BAILEY is 4-4 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 4.91 and a WHIP of 1.415.
His team's record is 4-7 (-3.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-3. (+4.5 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PITTSBURGH (2 - 6) at CHICAGO CUBS (6 - 2) - 2:20 PM
STEVEN BRAULT (L) vs. JON LESTER (L)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 9-28 (-16.8 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 332-610 (-124.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
LESTER is 121-46 (+50.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
CHICAGO CUBS are 1880-1912 (-275.8 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1012-886 (-148.6 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 172-177 (-45.2 Units) against the money line in home games in August games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 951-941 (-168.0 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 923-954 (-205.9 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 911-830 (-155.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

STEVEN BRAULT vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
BRAULT is 0-2 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 7.60 and a WHIP of 1.690.
His team's record is 1-4 (-2.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-3. (-1.2 units)

JON LESTER vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
LESTER is 12-6 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.18 and a WHIP of 1.389.
His team's record is 14-9 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 11-12. (-2.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN DIEGO (6 - 3) at COLORADO (5 - 2) - 3:10 PM
ZACH DAVIES (R) vs. ANTONIO SENZATELA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 76-95 (-23.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 92-75 (+24.8 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 97-95 (+21.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 61-61 (+18.8 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 1-1 (-0.1 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

ZACH DAVIES vs. COLORADO since 1997
DAVIES is 2-1 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 3.48 and a WHIP of 1.452.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (+0.0 units)

ANTONIO SENZATELA vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
SENZATELA is 5-1 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 2.89 and a WHIP of 1.018.
His team's record is 5-1 (+4.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (-0.3 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS (2 - 5) at SAN FRANCISCO (5 - 4) - 4:05 PM
KOLBY ALLARD (L) vs. JEFF SAMARDZIJA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 82-89 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAMARDZIJA is 101-138 (-41.9 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
SAMARDZIJA is 19-37 (-20.2 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1997. (Team's Record)
SAMARDZIJA is 48-68 (-34.1 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
SAMARDZIJA is 2-11 (-11.4 Units) against the money line in home games in an inter-league game since 1997. (Team's Record)
SAMARDZIJA is 37-59 (-24.6 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997. (Team's Record)
SAMARDZIJA is 41-62 (-27.7 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-0 (+2.1 Units) against TEXAS this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

KOLBY ALLARD vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
No recent starts.

JEFF SAMARDZIJA vs. TEXAS since 1997
SAMARDZIJA is 0-2 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 6.30 and a WHIP of 1.250.
His team's record is 0-3 (-4.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-3. (-3.4 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (4 - 4) at LA ANGELS (3 - 6) - 4:10 PM
JOSH JAMES (R) vs. SHOHEI OHTANI (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 79-54 (-12.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 1-1 (+0.4 Units) against HOUSTON this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

JOSH JAMES vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
JAMES is 0-0 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.1 units)

SHOHEI OHTANI vs. HOUSTON since 1997
OHTANI is 0-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 7.05 and a WHIP of 1.958.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA DODGERS (6 - 3) at ARIZONA (3 - 6) - 4:10 PM
CLAYTON KERSHAW (L) vs. MERRILL KELLY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KERSHAW is 76-27 (+32.5 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997. (Team's Record)
ARIZONA is 951-852 (-107.9 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
ARIZONA is 59-80 (-41.5 Units) against the money line in home games after allowing 10 runs or more since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 2-1 (+0.8 Units) against ARIZONA this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

CLAYTON KERSHAW vs. ARIZONA since 1997
KERSHAW is 17-10 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 2.93 and a WHIP of 1.085.
His team's record is 19-15 (-3.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 18-15. (+1.4 units)

MERRILL KELLY vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
KELLY is 0-0 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.300.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OAKLAND (4 - 4) at SEATTLE (4 - 5) - 4:10 PM
CHRIS BASSITT (R) vs. KENDALL GRAVEMAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 112-111 (+8.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 100-69 (+19.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 198-111 (+39.8 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 since 1997.
OAKLAND is 92-71 (+27.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 36-18 (+17.4 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 129-97 (+25.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 979-898 (-125.1 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 1-1 (+0.8 Units) against OAKLAND this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

CHRIS BASSITT vs. SEATTLE since 1997
BASSITT is 0-4 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 4.64 and a WHIP of 1.576.
His team's record is 1-5 (-4.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-2. (+1.9 units)

KENDALL GRAVEMAN vs. OAKLAND since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (3 - 6) at NY YANKEES (6 - 1) - 7:08 PM
AUSTIN BRICE (R) vs. JAMES PAXTON (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against BOSTON this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

AUSTIN BRICE vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
No recent starts.

JAMES PAXTON vs. BOSTON since 1997
PAXTON is 5-1 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 2.70 and a WHIP of 0.920.
His team's record is 6-2 (+3.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-6. (-4.6 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CINCINNATI (2 - 5) at DETROIT (5 - 3) - 4:05 PM
TREVOR BAUER (R) vs. DANIEL NORRIS (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-1 (+4.6 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

TREVOR BAUER vs. DETROIT since 1997
BAUER is 9-6 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 5.11 and a WHIP of 1.461.
His team's record is 10-10 (-2.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 12-6. (+5.4 units)

DANIEL NORRIS vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 08-02-2020, 11:20 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Sunday, August 2

Cincinnati @ Detroit

Game 903-904
August 2, 2020 @ 12:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
(DeSclfni) 13.835
Detroit
(Garcia) 14.864
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
-160
9
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+140); Under

Tampa Bay @ Baltimore

Game 901-902
August 2, 2020 @ 1:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
(Chirinos) 17.401
Baltimore
(Milone) 16.095
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 1 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-185
10
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(-185); Over

NY Mets @ Atlanta

Game 905-906
August 2, 2020 @ 1:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Mets
(Peterson) 18.000
Atlanta
(Wright) 16.952
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Mets
by 1
13
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
-110
11
Dunkel Pick:
NY Mets
(-110); Over

Chicago White Sox @ Kansas City

Game 909-910
August 2, 2020 @ 2:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago White Sox
(Cease) 14.776
Kansas City
(Junis) 15.871
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago White Sox
-120
10 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(+100); Under

Cleveland @ Minnesota

Game 911-912
August 2, 2020 @ 2:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
(Civale) 17.148
Minnesota
(Clippard) 16.092
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
-115
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-105); Over

Pittsburgh @ Chicago Cubs

Game 915-916
August 2, 2020 @ 2:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
(Brault) 15.857
Chicago Cubs
(Lester) 14.928
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-185
9
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(+165); Over

San Diego @ Colorado

Game 919-920
August 2, 2020 @ 3:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Diego
(Davies) 17.946
Colorado
(Senzatela) 16.798
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego
by 1
15
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Diego
-125
13
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego
(-125); Over

Cincinnati @ Detroit

Game 935-936
August 2, 2020 @ 3:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
(TBD) 00.000
Detroit
(Norris) 00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati

Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
N/A

Texas @ San Francisco

Game 921-922
August 2, 2020 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas
(Allard) 16.358
San Francisco
(Smrdzja) 15.576
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Francisco
-115
9
Dunkel Pick:
Texas
(-105); Over

Oakland @ Seattle

Game 927-928
August 2, 2020 @ 4:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oakland
(Bassitt) 14.550
Seattle
(Graveman) 15.883
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oakland
-155
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(+135); Under

Houston @ LA Angels

Game 923-924
August 2, 2020 @ 4:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
(James) 15.886
LA Angels
(Ohtani) 16.911
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Angels
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-125
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Angels
(+105); Under

LA Dodgers @ Arizona

Game 925-926
August 2, 2020 @ 4:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Dodgers
(Kershaw) 18.073
Arizona
(Kelly) 13.895
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Dodgers
by 4
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-165
9
Dunkel Pick:
LA Dodgers
(-165); Over

Boston @ NY Yankees

Game 929-930
August 2, 2020 @ 7:08 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
(Brice) 14.161
NY Yankees
(Paxton) 18.424
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Yankees
by 4 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-225
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Yankees
(-225); Under

**Udog** · 08-02-2020, 12:51 PM

Diamond Trends for Sunday August 2
Vince Akins

SU Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Boston at New York Yankees (7:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Yankees are 10-0 SU since Apr 17, 2019 in the last game of a series off a game as a favorite in which they allowed 6 or fewer hits.

SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Tampa Bay at Baltimore (1:05 p.m. ET)

--The Orioles are 0-14 SU since Apr 06, 2004 as a home 170+ dog after they won and never trailed.

OU Trend of the Day
Matchup: Cleveland at Minnesota (2:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Twins are 0-12 OU (-2.21 ppg) since Apr 16, 2017 at home off a game as a favorite in which they shut out their opponent.

Starter-Based Trend of the Day
Matchup: Pittsburgh at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. ET)

-- The Cubs are 8-0 OU (3.06 ppg) since Jun 15, 2018 when Jon Lester starts after he had a WHIP of less than 1 in his last start.

Monster Trend of the Day
Matchup: Chicago White Sox at Kansas City (2:05 p.m. ET)

-- The White Sox are 0-7 while attempting to win three straight against the same opponent.

Announcement

Sunday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 8/2

Sunday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 8/2

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