Announcement

**Udog** · 07-30-2020, 08:31 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Prop bets for the Las Vegas Raiders this season:
— Over/under: Gross passing yards for Derek Carr- 3149.5
— Over/under TD passes for Derek Carr- 17.5
— Interceptions thrown by David Carr: 8.5 (under -130)
— Over/under rushing yards for Josh Jacobs: 1149.5
— Over/under receptions for Henry Ruggs III: 49.5
— Over/under receptions for Darren Waller: 69.5

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 150,402
Please wear a mask when you go out.

**********

Armadillo: Thursday's Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….

13) Dodgers 4, Astros 3 (13)— The new extra innings runs is supposed to prevent 13-inning games, but Dodgers were 2-15 with RISP, Houston 3-19- hard to score runs that way.

Dodger reliever Joe Kelly got an 8-game suspension for his antics Tuesday night, when he threw at two Astros hitters. In a 60-game season, that’s a long suspension.

12) Astros had been favored in 80 consecutive regular season games, before losing the last two nights to the Dodgers as home underdogs.

11) Philadelphia Phillies got the go-ahead to play ball again, will resume with a doubleheader at home against the Buffalo Blue Jays Saturday. Those games will be Blue Jay “home” games; they will bat last, but the games are in Philly.

10) Washington Nationals’ OF Juan Soto also got the OK to play ball, good news for the defending champs.

9) Giants 7, Padres 6- San Diego led 6-3 in 8th inning but blew the lead and Mike Yastrzemski walked it off with a leadoff homer in the 9th.

8) Good news for the Atlanta Braves; veteran OF Nick Markakis originally opted out of this season, but now has changed his mind and will play ball for the Braves.

7) Nevada sports books lost $453,000 for the month of June, the first time in almost seven years (83 months) that they showed red ink over an entire month.

6) Mets’ rookie SS Andres Gimenez got his first major league hit Wednesday night, a big night for him, and later added a triple. He also got picked off after the first hit, but it had to be an exciting night for the young man.

5) Rangers 7, Arizona 4— Lance Lynn blanked Arizona for six innings, allowing only three baserunners. Diamondbacks fouled off 32 of his 102 pitches; they got only one hit on the 55 swings they took against him.

4) Washington 4, Toronto 0 (10)— Max Scherzer and rookie Nate Pearson had a great pitching duel; game was scoreless after nine innings, before the Nationals posted a 4-spot in the top of the 10th inning.

3) Rosters are 30 right now; in about three weeks they’ll be down tp 26, and then there will be more of a strain will be put on bullpens, with four less bodies on each bench.

2) If the playoffs started Thursday morning (they don’t), playoff teams would be:
AL: Bronx, Tampa Bay, Minnesota, Cleveland, Houston, Oakland, Detroit, Toronto
NL: Miami, Atlanta, Chicago, Milwaukee, Colorado, Los Angeles, San Diego, New York

1) RIP to veteran basketball coach Lou Henson 88; he is best known for coaching Illinois, where he won 423 games in 21 years. He also coached at New Mexico State for 17 years.

RIP to former big league manager John McNamara, 88; he managed six teams, but was best known for being the Red Sox’ skipper in 1986.

**Udog** · 07-30-2020, 08:36 AM

MLB
Weather Report

Thursday, July 30

**Udog** · 07-30-2020, 08:37 AM

951CHICAGO CUBS -952 CINCINNATI
CHICAGO CUBS are 47-64 SU (-23.4 Units) on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 in the last 3 seasons.

953WASHINGTON -954 TORONTO
WASHINGTON is 81-47 SU (32.8 Units) vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons.

959KANSAS CITY -960 DETROIT
DETROIT is 22-54 SU (-34.7 Units) in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons.

961TAMPA BAY -962 ATLANTA
TAMPA BAY is 13-5 SU (9.4 Units) vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

963BOSTON -964 NY METS
BOSTON is 29-53 SU (-29.5 Units) vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better over the last 2 seasons.

965CLEVELAND -966 MINNESOTA
CLEVELAND is 18-7 SU (11.6 Units) in road games vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

967LA DODGERS -968 ARIZONA
ARIZONA is 27-14 SU (15.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

969SEATTLE -970 LA ANGELS
SEATTLE is 6-15 SU (-10.5 Units) in road games in July games in the last 3 seasons.

971SAN DIEGO -972 SAN FRANCISCO
SAN FRANCISCO is 8-29 SU (-24.4 Units) in home games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons.

973NY YANKEES -974 BALTIMORE
NY YANKEES are 50-31 SU (22.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

**Udog** · 07-30-2020, 08:39 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Thursday, July 30

Washington @ Toronto

Game 953-954
July 30, 2020 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
(Fedde) 17.978
Toronto
(Ryu) 16.403
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-130
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(+110); Over

Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati

Game 951-952
July 30, 2020 @ 6:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Cubs
(Darvish) 14.585
Cincinnati
(Castillo) 15.738
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
-120
9
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(-120); Under

NY Yankees @ Baltimore

Game 973-974
July 30, 2020 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Yankees
(Happ) 18.404
Baltimore
(Means) 15.144
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Yankees
by 3 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-210
10
Dunkel Pick:
NY Yankees
(-210); Over

Kansas City @ Detroit

Game 959-960
July 30, 2020 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
(Singer) 14.080
Detroit
(Nova) 15.008
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas City
-120
10
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+100); Under

Tampa Bay @ Atlanta

Game 961-962
July 30, 2020 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
(Yarbrough) 17.568
Atlanta
(Fried) 18.597
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
-135
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(-135); Under

Boston @ NY Mets

Game 963-964
July 30, 2020 @ 7:07 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
(Perez) 13.746
NY Mets
(Matz) 15.508
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Mets
by 2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Mets
-150
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Mets
(-150); Under

Cleveland @ Minnesota

Game 965-966
July 30, 2020 @ 7:07 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
(Bieber) 17.715
Minnesota
(Berrios) 16.573
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
-115
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-105); Over

LA Dodgers @ Arizona

Game 967-968
July 30, 2020 @ 9:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Dodgers
(Strpling) 16.772
Arizona
(Ray) 17.850
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-145
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(+125); Under

Seattle @ LA Angels

Game 969-970
July 30, 2020 @ 9:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
(Gonzales) 14.513
LA Angels
(Bundy) 15.552
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Angels
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Angels
-195
9
Dunkel Pick:
LA Angels
(-195); Under

San Diego @ San Francisco

Game 971-972
July 30, 2020 @ 9:45 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Diego
(Lamet) 14.884
San Francisco
(Gausman) 15.771
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Diego
-175
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(+155); Over

**Udog** · 07-30-2020, 08:42 AM

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, July 30

National League
Chicago @ Cincinnati
Cubs (4-2):
Darvish allowed three runs in four IP (73 PT) in his first ’20 start; he is 3-2, 3.60 in eight starts vs Cincinnati, 1-1, 3.86 in four starts here.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-1 Team in first 5 innings: 0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: over 1-0

— Cubs won four of their first six games.
— Four of their last five games went over.

Reds (2-4):
Castillo allowed one run in six IP (91 PT) in his first ’20 start; he is 4-2, 3.56 in 10 starts vs Chicago, 2-1, 3.24 in four starts LY.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-1 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 1-1 Totals: over 1-0

— Reds lost four of their first six games.
— Four of their last five games went over.

Los Angeles @ Arizona
Dodgers (4-2):
Stripling allowed one run in seven IP in his first ’20 start; he is 1-4, 3.86 in 23 games (8 starts) vs Arizona.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: over 1-0

— Dodgers won four of their first six games; they played 13 innings in Houston last night.

Diamondbacks (2-4):
Ray allowed three runs in 3.2 IP (97 PT) incise first ’20 start; he is 8-5, 3.15 in 20 starts vs LA, 1-2, 4.60 in five starts LY.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-1 Team in first 5 innings: 0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0

— Arizona lost four of its first six games; this is their home opener.

San Diego @ San Francisco
Padres (4-2):
Lamet allowed one run in five IP (80 PT) in his first ’20 start; he is 1-1, 3.09 in two starts vs SF.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0

— Padres won four of their first six games, but blew a 6-2 lead last nite.
— Four of San Diego’s last five games stayed under the total.

Giants (3-3):
Bullpen game for the Giants.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0

— Giants split their first six games.
— Under is 3-1 in last four Giant games.

American League
Bronx @ Baltimore
Bronx (3-1):
Happ is making his first ’20 start; he is 9-7, 3.60 in 24 starts vs Baltimore, 2-1, 6.85 in five starts LY.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: o-0

— Bronx won three of first four games.

Orioles (2-2):
Means missed his start last week with a sore arm; he is 1-2, 7.62 in five games (2 starts) vs Bronx.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0

— Orioles split their first four games.

Cleveland @ Minnesota
Indians (4-2):
Bieber threw six shutout innings in his first’20 start; he is 3-0, 4.14 in 8 games (7 starts) vs Minnesota, 1-0, 4.71 in four games (3 starts) here.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0

— Cleveland won four of its first six games (under 5-1)

Twins (4-1):
Berrios allowed five runs in four IP (78 PT) in his first ’20 start; he is 5-2, 3.92 in 11 starts vs Cleveland, 2-0, 2.55 in four starts LY.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 1-1Totals: under 1-0

— Minnesota won four of its first five games, scoring 36 runs.

Kansas City @ Detroit
Royals (2-4):
Singer allowed two runs in five IP (80 PT) in his MLB debut.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0

— Royals lost four of their first six games (under 4-2).

Tigers (4-2):
Nova allowed three runs in five IP (73 PT) in his first ’20 start; he is 3-2, 5.83 in eight starts vs KC.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-1 Totals: over 1-0

— Detroit won four of its first six games.
— Under is 3-1 in Detroit’s last four games.

Seattle @ Angels
Mariners (2-4):
Gonzales allowed four runs in 4.1 IP (73 PT) in his first ’20 start; he is 5-1, 4.17 in 12 starts vs Anaheim, 2-1, 5.61 in four starts LY.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-1 Team in first 5 innings: 0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: over 1-0

— Mariners lost four of first six games; they haven’t had a starter finish five innings yet.
— Five of six Seattle games went over the total.

Angels (2-4):
Bundy allowed one run in 6.2 IP (90 PT) in his ’20 debut; he is 1-1, 2.70 in four games (2 starts) vs Seattle.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0

— Angels lost four of their first six games.
— Over is 3-1 in last four Angel games.

Interleague
Toronto @ Washington
Game is in Washington, Blue Jays will bat last- this is their “home” game
Blue Jays (3-3):
Ryu allowed three runs in 4.2 IP (97 PT) in his first ’20 start; he is 2-1, 1.35 in five starts vs Washington.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: over 1-0

— Toronto split its first six games, all on the road- their first game in Buffalo, their temporary home, is August 11.

Nationals (2-4):
Fedde allowed allowed two runs in four IP (68 PT) in his ’20 debut.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: over 1-0

— Nationals lost four of first six games, scoring five runs in the four losses.
— Washington’s last four games stayed under.

Tampa Bay @ Atlanta
Rays (4-2):
Yarbrough blanked Toronto for 5.1 innings (69 PT) in his ’20 debut.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0

— Rays won four of their last five games, scoring 33 runs.

Braves (3-3):
Fried allowed two runs in five IP (67 PT) in his first ’20 start.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0

— Braves split their first six games.
— Three of last four Atlanta games went over.

Boston @ Mets
Red Sox (2-4):
Perez allowed five runs in five IP (84 PT) in his first ’20 start. He is 1-0, 2.81 in three games (2 starts) against the Mets.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-1 Team in first 5 innings: 0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0

— Boston lost four of its last five games, allowing 34 runs.

Mets (3-3):
Matz allowed one run in six IP (93 PT) in his first ’20 start. He’s never pitched against Boston.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-1 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0

— Mets split their first six games; they’re 1-3 at home.

**Udog** · 07-30-2020, 08:44 AM

MLB

Thursday, July 30

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Washington @ Toronto
Washington
Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Toronto
Toronto is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Washington
Toronto is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington

Chi Cubs @ Cincinnati
Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games
Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs

NY Yankees @ Baltimore
NY Yankees
NY Yankees is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing NY Yankees

Cleveland @ Minnesota
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Boston @ NY Mets
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games on the road
Boston is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Mets's last 10 games
NY Mets is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games

Tampa Bay @ Atlanta
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay

Kansas City @ Detroit
Kansas City
Kansas City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Detroit
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 9 games

LA Dodgers @ Arizona
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games on the road
LA Dodgers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Arizona
Arizona is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Seattle @ LA Angels
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle's last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games
LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Angels's last 7 games when playing at home against Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games at home

San Diego @ San Francisco
San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games
San Diego is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing San Francisco
San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 07-30-2020, 09:13 AM

MLB public betting, line movement, sharp money for July 30
Patrick Everson

Yu Darvish and the Cubs opened as +105 underdogs against the Cincinnati Reds on Thursday at PointsBet USA, although the favored Reds saw their line shift from -135 to -125.

MLB betting odds for Thursday’s games are posted and drawing early action. Among the noteworthy matchups is an NL Central clash between the Chicago Cubs and the Cincinnati Reds, and a game involving an NL West squad off to a good start in this shortened season.

PointsBet USA provided insights on MLB opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Thursday’s contests. Covers will update this action report with MLB sharp picks vs. public bets and line movement throughout the day.

MLB line movement

The Reds, behind Luis Castillo, opened -135 at PointsBet USA, but the first move was toward the underdog Cubs and Yu Darvish. Cincinnati ticked to -125 early, with Chicago at +105 for a 6:10 p.m. ET start.

In an AL Central meeting, the Cleveland Indians opened -115 road chalk against the Minnesota Twins (-105), and the matchup moved to a -110 pick 'em late Wednesday night. And on the West Coast, the San Diego Padres and San Francisco Giants wrap up a four-game series in San Francisco, though that line wasn’t posted by late Wednesday night. San Diego got out to a 4-1 start this season and was on its way to 5-1 Wednesday night before blowing a 6-3 eighth-inning lead to the Giants. First pitch tonight is at 9:45 p.m. ET.

**Udog** · 07-30-2020, 10:57 AM

MLB
Long Sheet

Thursday, July 30

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO CUBS (4 - 2) at CINCINNATI (2 - 4) - 6:10 PM
YU DARVISH (R) vs. LUIS CASTILLO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1878-1912 (-277.8 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 24-35 (-18.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 21-34 (-14.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 34-49 (-18.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 12-26 (-18.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 15-27 (-13.6 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 46-52 (-13.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1396-1427 (-211.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 909-830 (-157.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
DARVISH is 13-19 (-10.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DARVISH is 2-11 (-11.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DARVISH is 0-9 (-10.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DARVISH is 7-19 (-22.0 Units) against the money line in July games since 1997. (Team's Record)
DARVISH is 6-15 (-11.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DARVISH is 39-36 (-23.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
CINCINNATI is 60-95 (-30.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 31-44 (-17.2 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 2-1 (+1.1 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.1 Units)

YU DARVISH vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
DARVISH is 3-2 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 1.080.
His team's record is 5-3 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-5. (-2.6 units)

LUIS CASTILLO vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
CASTILLO is 4-2 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 3.56 and a WHIP of 1.239.
His team's record is 6-4 (+2.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-5. (-2.5 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (2 - 4) at TORONTO (3 - 3) - 4:05 PM
ERICK FEDDE (R) vs. HYUN-JIN RYU (L)
Top Trends for this game.
RYU is 21-3 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
RYU is 47-15 (+25.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
TORONTO is 9-16 (-11.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 2-1 (+1.3 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)

ERICK FEDDE vs. TORONTO since 1997
No recent starts.

HYUN-JIN RYU vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
RYU is 3-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 1.64 and a WHIP of 0.887.
His team's record is 4-2 (+1.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-4. (-3.4 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS CITY (2 - 4) at DETROIT (4 - 2) - 7:10 PM
BRADY SINGER (R) vs. IVAN NOVA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 46-122 (-39.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
NOVA is 14-9 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DETROIT is 51-115 (-38.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 31-49 (-19.4 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 24-59 (-30.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 406-403 (-81.8 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997.
DETROIT is 12-33 (-18.3 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 37-90 (-33.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 5-21 (-16.3 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 835-848 (-121.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 2-1 (+0.8 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

BRADY SINGER vs. DETROIT since 1997
No recent starts.

IVAN NOVA vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
NOVA is 3-2 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 5.83 and a WHIP of 1.584.
His team's record is 5-3 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-1. (+5.0 units)

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TAMPA BAY (4 - 2) at ATLANTA (3 - 3) - 7:10 PM
RYAN YARBROUGH (L) vs. MAX FRIED (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 102-71 (+16.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 95-80 (+21.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
FRIED is 23-8 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
FRIED is 18-6 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
FRIED is 13-3 (+9.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ATLANTA is 98-106 (-37.6 Units) against the money line in home games in an inter-league game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against ATLANTA this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.1 Units)

RYAN YARBROUGH vs. ATLANTA since 1997
YARBROUGH is 0-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 1.200.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

MAX FRIED vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
No recent starts.

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BOSTON (2 - 4) at NY METS (3 - 3) - 7:07 PM
MARTIN PEREZ (L) vs. STEVEN MATZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 86-82 (-31.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 762-665 (-78.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
BOSTON is 60-53 (-13.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 25-32 (-18.1 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 44-40 (-20.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 17-9 (+16.4 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 19-5 (+16.2 Units) against the money line in road games in an inter-league game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 2-1 (+0.1 Units) against BOSTON this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

MARTIN PEREZ vs. NY METS since 1997
PEREZ is 1-0 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 0.643.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

STEVEN MATZ vs. BOSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

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CLEVELAND (4 - 2) at MINNESOTA (4 - 1) - 7:07 PM
SHANE BIEBER (R) vs. JOSE BERRIOS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 188-145 (-31.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 115-93 (-28.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 131-101 (-22.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 60-72 (-28.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 105-65 (+22.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 70-40 (+19.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 83-46 (+23.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 109-131 (-41.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Thursday since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

SHANE BIEBER vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
BIEBER is 3-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 3.92 and a WHIP of 1.397.
His team's record is 6-1 (+4.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-5. (-3.3 units)

JOSE BERRIOS vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
BERRIOS is 5-2 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 3.92 and a WHIP of 1.016.
His team's record is 6-5 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-5. (+0.7 units)

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LA DODGERS (4 - 2) at ARIZONA (2 - 4) - 9:40 PM
ROSS STRIPLING (R) vs. ROBBIE RAY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 990-838 (-93.2 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.
ARIZONA is 950-850 (-107.1 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
ARIZONA is 668-615 (-87.9 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

ROSS STRIPLING vs. ARIZONA since 1997
STRIPLING is 1-2 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 4.41 and a WHIP of 1.377.
His team's record is 5-3 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-3. (+0.9 units)

ROBBIE RAY vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
RAY is 8-6 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.33 and a WHIP of 1.206.
His team's record is 12-9 (+6.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 12-9. (+2.6 units)

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SEATTLE (2 - 4) at LA ANGELS (2 - 4) - 9:40 PM
MARCO GONZALES (L) vs. DYLAN BUNDY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 55-53 (+15.4 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 58-58 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 41-27 (+16.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
BUNDY is 10-29 (-17.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 1-1 (+0.9 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

MARCO GONZALES vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
GONZALES is 5-1 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 4.17 and a WHIP of 1.275.
His team's record is 8-4 (+4.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-6. (-0.5 units)

DYLAN BUNDY vs. SEATTLE since 1997
BUNDY is 1-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 2.51 and a WHIP of 0.768.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.1 units)

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SAN DIEGO (4 - 2) at SAN FRANCISCO (3 - 3) - 9:45 PM
DINELSON LAMET (R) vs. KEVIN GAUSMAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 74-94 (-24.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 17-38 (-20.9 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 38-54 (-18.2 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 80-88 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 22-9 (+22.1 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 41-41 (+14.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 54-51 (+15.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-1 (+0.7 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

DINELSON LAMET vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
LAMET is 1-1 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.08 and a WHIP of 1.200.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

KEVIN GAUSMAN vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
No recent starts.

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NY YANKEES (3 - 1) at BALTIMORE (2 - 2) - 7:05 PM
J.A. HAPP (L) vs. JOHN MEANS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 55-22 (+22.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 103-225 (-71.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 53-110 (-42.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 61-151 (-66.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 36-81 (-34.5 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

J.A. HAPP vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
HAPP is 9-7 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.61 and a WHIP of 1.255.
His team's record is 12-12 (-5.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 12-11. (+0.2 units)

JOHN MEANS vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
MEANS is 0-2 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 12.26 and a WHIP of 2.180.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-2. (-2.3 units)

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**Udog** · 07-30-2020, 02:12 PM

Diamond Trends for Thursday July 30
Vince Akins

SU Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Washington at Toronto (4:05 p.m. ET)
-- The Nationals are 12-0 SU since Sep 23, 2019 off a game as a favorite in which they held a multiple-run lead.

SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Kansas City at Detroit (7:10 p.m . ET)

-- The Tigers are 0-10 SU since Jun 13, 2019 after they were tied at the end of 6 innings last game.

Over-Under Total Trend of the Day
Matchup: Tampa Bay at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Rays are 11-0 OU (4.86 ppg) since Jun 07, 2018 as a dog off a road game in which they allowed 12+ hits.

Starter-Based Trend of the Day
Matchup: Boston at N.Y. Mets (7:07 p.m. ET)

-- The Mets are 0-8-1 OU (-2.61 ppg) since Oct 13, 2015 when Steven Matz starts at home after their bullpen gave up 3+ runs yesterday.

Announcement

Thursday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 7/30

Thursday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 7/30

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