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Friday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 10/18

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  • Friday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 10/18

    Trends and Indexes

    Friday, October 18

    Good Luck on day #291 of 2019!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  • #2
    Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

    Over/under win totals for the NBA this season:

    33.5— Bulls

    31.5— Thunder

    27.5— Knicks, Grizzlies

    26.5— Wizards

    24.5— Cavaliers

    23.5— Hornets


    **********

    Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here….

    13) Chiefs 30, Broncos 6:
    — Costly win; star QB Mahomes left in 2nd quarter with an injured knee.
    — Word is that Mahomes dislocated his knee; an MRI will show if there was any ligament damage.
    — Chiefs broke game open with a defensive TD when they were leading 13-6.

    — Denver’s offense stunk; Troy Aikman seemed annoyed with Joe Flacco’s effort.
    — Broncos missed an easy FG, failed on a fake punt; not their best night.
    — Denver is 13-26 in its last 39 games.

    12) Houston 8, New York 3— Astros grab a 3-1 series lead, with Verlander/Cole in line to pitch the next two games.

    11) Chiefs’ backup QB is Matt Moore, who is 15-15 as an NFL starter in his 11 years in the NFL, mostly with the Dolphins. He’s started only five games since 2012.

    My lasting memory of Moore was on HBO’s Hard Knocks, when he was talking to then-rookie QB Ryan Tannehill, who said he didn’t know who the other three teams in the AFC East were.

    “How can you not know that?!?!” Moore was as incredulous as I was.

    10) How would you like to be Gerrit Cole’s agent? Cole hasn’t lost a game since May 22; Astros won his last 16 starts and after the World Series Cole will be a free agent. He earned $13.5M this year, figures to more than double that going forward. 3% (agents’ fee) of $27M is $810,000.

    9) Next two years, by the way, Astros are on the hook with Zack Greinke at $35M a year, and Justin Verlander at $33M a year. 3% of $35M is $1.05M.

    8) UCLA 34, Stanford 16— Cardinals fall to 3-4; they’re down to their #3 QB and are in danger of their first losing season since 2008.

    7) QB Brock Osweiler retired from the NFL this week, with a career record of 15-15 and career earnings of $41,396,679. Being a backup QB is profitable work.

    6) In September, state of Pennsylvania took in $194.5M in sports bets, wth $19.3M in revenue, with 81.2% of the bets via online/mobile wagers.

    5) Duke’s basketball team is allergic to true road games, but they seem to like Madison Square Garden in NYC:
    Nov 5-6: Duke vs. Kansas…….Michigan State vs. Kentucky
    Nov 21-22: Duke vs Cal……..Georgetown vs Texas

    4) Mets told Brooklyn Cyclones’ manager Edgardo Alfonzo that his contract won’t be renewed, even though he won the New York-Penn League championship this season. Go figure.

    3) Atlantic 14, Mountain West will have a challenge series next (2020-21) basketball season, which should help their non-conference schedules; MW recently had the same thing with the MVC. Hopefully some of the games will find their way to TV (CBS College Sports?)

    2) Sill trying to process that John Beilein is coaching the Cleveland Cavaliers; would love to know how guys like him, Billy Donovan, Brad Stevens compare coaching NBA with college ball.

    1) Personal update; my eye operation will be Wednesday, which means that this site will get its first extended downtime since 2001 for a week or so, starting next week.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-18-2019, 12:02 PM.

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    • #3

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      • #4
        MLB
        Armadillo's Write-Up

        Friday, October 18


        American League
        Astros (3-1) @ New York

        Verlander is 4-1, 2.88 in his last six starts; he is 8-7, 3.55 in 22 starts vs NYY, and is 14-8, 3.18 in in 28 playoff games (27 starts).

        Paxton is 4-0, 2.81 in his last seven starts; he is 8-4, 3.24 in 14 starts vs Houston, and is 0-0, 5.14 in two playoff starts.

        Astros are in ALCS for third year in a row; they won 2017 World Series. Astros won their last three games in this series, can win the AL title tonight.

        New York lost the ALCS to Houston two years ago; they haven’t been in a World Series since 2009.




        MLB

        Friday, October 18


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        Trend Report
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        New York Yankees
        NY Yankees is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 5 games
        NY Yankees is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
        NY Yankees is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games at home
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 5 games at home
        NY Yankees is 17-8 ATS in its last 25 games when playing Houston
        NY Yankees is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
        NY Yankees is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against Houston
        NY Yankees is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Houston
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 6 games when playing at home against Houston
        Houston Astros
        Houston is 16-7 ATS in its last 23 games
        Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games
        Houston is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
        Houston is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games on the road
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games on the road
        The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Houston's last 17 games on the road
        Houston is 8-17 ATS in its last 25 games when playing NY Yankees
        Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
        Houston is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
        Houston is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees


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        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-18-2019, 12:03 PM.

        Comment


        • #5
          MLB
          Dunkel

          Friday, October 18



          Houston @ NY Yankees

          Game 921-922
          October 18, 2019 @ 7:08 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Houston
          (Verlander) 17.251
          NY Yankees
          (Paxton) 15.685
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Houston
          by 1 1/2
          8
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          NY Yankees
          -135
          7 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Houston
          (+115); Over
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-18-2019, 12:04 PM.

          Comment


          • #6
            921HOUSTON -922 NY YANKEES
            NY YANKEES are 48-21 SU (29 Units) vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) in the current season.




            MLB
            Long Sheet

            Friday, October 18


            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            HOUSTON (113 - 58) at NY YANKEES (107 - 62) - 7:08 PM
            JUSTIN VERLANDER (R) vs. JAMES PAXTON (L)
            Top Trends for this game.
            HOUSTON is 47-36 (-12.8 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
            NY YANKEES are 107-62 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
            NY YANKEES are 42-14 (+16.5 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
            NY YANKEES are 22-5 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss this season.
            NY YANKEES are 49-30 (+18.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
            HOUSTON is 49-23 (+15.0 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
            HOUSTON is 43-13 (+24.2 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            HOUSTON is 7-4 (+2.7 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
            6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.4 Units)

            JUSTIN VERLANDER vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
            VERLANDER is 12-7 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.27 and a WHIP of 1.202.
            His team's record is 16-13 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 13-14. (-2.6 units)

            JAMES PAXTON vs. HOUSTON since 1997
            PAXTON is 8-4 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.25 and a WHIP of 1.265.
            His team's record is 8-7 (+0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-9. (-4.2 units)

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            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-18-2019, 12:12 PM.

            Comment


            • #7
              Sabathia dislocated shoulder, big league career over
              October 18, 2019
              By The Associated Press


              NEW YORK (AP) CC Sabathia's major league career is over.

              The 39-year-old left-hander was dropped from the Yankees' AL Championship Series roster on Friday, a day after he dislocated a joint in his pitching shoulder during the eighth inning of New York's Game 4 loss to Houston.

              Sabathia was replaced by right-hander Ben Heller. New York trailed 3-1 in the best-of-seven series, and even if the Yankees and advanced Sabathia would not be eligible to return to the active roster.

              A six-time All-Star and the 2007 AL Cy Young Award winner with Cleveland, Sabathia finished with a 251-161 regular-season record with 3,093 strikeouts. He announced before the season that this was going to be his last year, and he made four trips to the injured list caused by his balky right knee.

              His body gave out on his 20th pitch to the Astros. He walked off the mound toward second, spoke with head athletic trainer Steve Donahue and tried a warmup toss, hoping somehow to push through, but he had to leave.

              Even Houston's Gerrit Cole and George Springer joined in the applause as fans gave Sabathia limped off a standing ovation. When he reached the dugout, his face contorted, Sabathia took four steps down toward the clubhouse, then sat near the bottom, his back to the field, as Donahue tried to console him.

              ''Every single time he went out there, you had to rip the ball or his jersey off to get him off that mound,'' Yankees slugger Aaron Judge said. ''He got everything out of that arm. That's a warrior right there.''

              Boone said Sabathia could be replaced on the roster Friday, making him ineligible even should the Yankees come back and advance.

              ''It stinks,'' reliever Zack Britton said. ''It's heartbreaking to watch him leave the field like that. I know how much pain he was in.''
              Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-18-2019, 12:14 PM.
              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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