Wednesday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 10/16

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Wednesday, October 16

Good Luck on day #289 of 2019!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

Interesting college football games on this week’s card:

— UCLA @ Stanford (-6.5)

— Indiana (-6) @ Maryland

— Boise State (-6.5) @ BYU

— TCU (-3.5) @ Kansas Sate

— Texas A&M (-6.5) @ Ole Miss

— Tulane @ Memphis (-4.5)


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Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Mid-week musings……

13) Washington 7, St Louis 4— At one point in May, the Nationals were 19-31, 8.5 games out of first place, only 1.5 games ahead of the woeful Marlins. Manager Dave Martinez seemed certain to be fired, but now he is here, managing the first Wild Card team to make a World Series since Giants/Royals in 2014.

12) Sitting on the airplane coming home last night, and find out the Rams cleaned house a little Tuesday; starting CB Aqib Talib was put on the IR, the other starting CB Marcus Peters got traded to the Ravens for a reserve LB.

Later LA acquired a reserve lineman from the Browns, and they traded a couple of #1 picks to the Jaguars for disgruntled star CB Jalen Ramsey, who hopefully now will be gruntled.

11) Rams took QB Jared Goff in the first round of the 2016 draft; here are their 1st round picks since then:

2017: Traded to Tennessee to help get the pick they used to take Goff.
2018: Traded to New England for WR Brandin Cooks.
2019: Traded to Atlanta for multiple lower picks.
2020-21: Traded to Jacksonville for Jalen Ramsey.

10) Now that I’m back from my excellent vacation to Las Vegas, a story from my 2nd night there; I’m leaving the person’s name out, because it isn’t relevant or right, but this was kind of fun.

I’m sitting at the Vdara hotel bar, shooting the breeze with some guy from Sacramento who owns a lot of buildings and is apparently wealthy; his very attractive wife is sitting next to him, laughing at his quips as he tells me in detail how he met her a few years ago, they fell in love, they both dumped their spouses, and finally got married a few months ago. Alrighty then.

A couple of women sit at the bar near us, and Mr Sacramento starts bantering with them; the women are old high school friends from Florida who are having a reunion. Mr Sacramento asks them if they’re from Canada; I’m not sure why.

At one point, one of the two women asks us, “Any of you baseball fans?” I say that I am, and she points to her friend— “This is Player X’s mom”. Player X is a major league player who happened to have been on my fantasy team the last couple years.

I quickly impress Mrs X by blurting out some useless info about her son, then tell her I traded him in April, before his best hot streak of the season. She mocked me for trading her son, but we became buddies and talked baseball and other stuff for the next hour or so.

Unfortunately for me she is married and a nice lady, so it ended there, but it made me laugh at myself. Also, the two guys I got for her son are both OK players, the pitcher I got is a good prospect.

Originally called that a quick story, but had to delete the word quick. Moving right along……

9) Win for me; flew home during a Presidential debate, so I missed it. Also missed couple of playoff games, but followed along on Twitter on the airplane. Politicians? Not so much.

8) NFL underdogs are 55-35-1 ATS so far this season, 40-20-1 on the road.

7) From AdamJT: Dallas Cowboys are the only NFL team that hasn’t started a drive in its opponent’s territory so far this season. The other 31 teams have started an average of 5.9 drives in opponents’ territory, and four teams have started 10+.

6) Tennessee Titans will start Ryan Tannehill at QB Sunday against the struggling Chargers, benching Marcus Mariota; if my favorite NFL team had Tannehill/Mariota at QB, I wouldn’t be a happy human.

Tannehill was a wide receiver until his junior year at Texas A&M; maybe he should play for the Bengals, since it was Mike Sherman who made Tannehill a QB, and Bengals’ coach Zac Taylor is Sherman’s son-in-law.

5) First college basketball game on CBS College Sports November 5: Utah @ Nevada, which is a pretty good game for opening night, Steve Alford’s first game coaching the Wolf Pack.

4) Phil Mickelson is ranked #47 in the world this week; he hasn’t been ranked outside the top-50 in the World Golf Rankings since November 28, 1993.

3) Major League Baseball plans to open a 17,000-square-foot flagship retail store in Manhattan next summer, at 50th St and 6th Ave; what took them so long?

2) Cardinals’ manager Mike Shildt mentioned the other day how data exists showing that the average fly ball was traveling 4.5 fewer feet during the playoffs, as opposed to the regular season.

1) Washington winning the NLCS leaves the Seattle Mariners as the only major league team that has never played in a World Series.

[Udog]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, October 16

American League
Astros (2-1) @ New York
Urquidy is 2-1, 3.95 this year, in nine games (41 IP, 7 starts); he threw 1.2 scoreless innings in his one playoff appearance.

Bullpen game for New York. Hard to handicap bullpen games.

Astros are in ALCS for third year in a row; they won 2017 World Series Home teams won seven of ten NY-Houston games this year, with NYY winning three of five games played in the Big Apple. Houston bullpen pitched only two innings in Tuesday’s win.

New York lost the ALCS to Houston two years ago; they haven’t been in a World Series since 2009. Rain is expected.




MLB

Wednesday, October 16

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Trend Report
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New York Yankees
NY Yankees is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
NY Yankees is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 5 games
NY Yankees is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
NY Yankees is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of NY Yankees's last 15 games at home
NY Yankees is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 6 games when playing Houston
NY Yankees is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Houston
NY Yankees is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Houston
Houston Astros
Houston is 15-7 ATS in its last 22 games
Houston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Houston is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games
Houston is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Houston is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Houston's last 16 games on the road
Houston is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
Houston is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
Houston is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees


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[Udog]

MLB
Long Sheet

Wednesday, October 16

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HOUSTON (112 - 58) at NY YANKEES (107 - 61) - 8:08 PM
JOSE URQUIDY (R) vs. J.A. HAPP (L)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 46-36 (-14.0 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 11-13 (-16.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday this season.
HOUSTON is 32-26 (-9.1 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
HOUSTON is 93-74 (-19.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 107-61 (+16.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY YANKEES are 59-25 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
NY YANKEES are 42-13 (+17.8 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
NY YANKEES are 22-4 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss this season.
NY YANKEES are 49-29 (+19.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
HAPP is 20-7 (+13.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HOUSTON is 43-13 (+24.2 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 6-4 (+1.5 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.6 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

JOSE URQUIDY vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
No recent starts.

J.A. HAPP vs. HOUSTON since 1997
HAPP is 5-3 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.518.
His team's record is 5-5 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-6. (-2.6 units)

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[Udog]

It's unlikely that game 4 of the ALCS goes tonight, with strong winds & rain in the forecast for New York City.

Temperatures in the low 60's with rain & 17 to 20 mph winds blowing in from right field.

[Udog]

[Udog]

MLB
Dunkel

Wednesday, October 16


Houston @ NY Yankees

Game 917-918
October 16, 2019 @ 8:08 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
(TBD) 17.504
NY Yankees
(TBD) 16.443
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-125
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(+105); Over

[Udog]

Raining out Wednesday's action did the host Yankees a solid as they aim to regroup. Masahiro Tanaka will now get the ball instead of host of relievers that were expected to work against Houston's Jose Urquidy, who will also be skipped in favor of Zack Greinke.