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Monday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 10/14

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  • Monday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 10/14

    Trends and Indexes

    Monday, October 14

    Good Luck on day #287 of 2019!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  • #2
    Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

    Top six picks for Week 6 in Westgate Super Contest:

    6) Saints, +1.5 (810)- W

    5) Cowboys, -7 (811)- L

    4) Vikings, -3 (858)- W

    3) Seahawks, -1 (932)- W

    2) Jaguars, -1.5 (1,111)- L

    1) LA Rams, -3 (1,225)- L

    2019 record: 19-16-1


    **********

    Armadillo: Monday's Den: Wrapping up a sports Sunday……

    Texans 31, Chiefs 24
    — Texans covered six of last seven games when getting points on the road.
    — Houston ran for 192 yards; they ran 83 plays, Chiefs 47.
    — AFC South non-divisional road underdogs are 8-2 ATS

    — Chiefs lost consecutive home games for first time since 2013.
    — KC’s first three drives: 19 plays, 176 yards, 17 points.
    — KC’s last six drives: 29 plays, 145 yards, 7 points.

    Jets 24, Cowboys 22
    — Dallas lost its last three games after a 3-0 start.
    — Cowboys scored 31+ points in their three wins, were held to 10-24-22 in losses.
    — Dallas was 10-17 on third down, the Jets only 2-10.

    — Darnold proves that franchise QB’s are worth every penny.
    — He threw for 338 yards, including a 92-yard TD to Anderson.
    — Cowboys scored TD with 0:43 left but missed on tying 2-point play.

    Ravens 23, Bengals 17
    — Bengals ran opening kick back for TD; their next TD was with 1:28 left in game.
    — Winless Cincy has four losses by six or fewer points.
    — Bengals are 10-3 ATS in last 13 games as road underdogs.

    — Jackson ran ball for 152 yards, 4th-most ever by a QB.
    — First two Raven drives: 16 plays, 141 yards, 14 points.
    — Last seven Raven drives: 38 plays, 325 yards, 9 points.

    Seahawks 32, Browns 28
    — Seattle had four takeaways (+3), blocked a punt.
    — Seahawks trailed 20-6 in 2nd quarter, cut it to 20-18 by the half.
    — Seattle is 5-1 with four wins by four of fewer points.

    — Kitchens mismanaged his timeouts; needed one with 2:11 left for a challenge, but didn’t have it, and he might’ve won the challenge.
    — Cleveland is 6-14 ATS in last 20 games as a favorite.
    — Browns lost their first three home games; they play New England after their bye.

    Saints 13, Jaguars 6
    — Saints are 5-1, with no wins by more than seven points.
    — New Orleans is 19-8 ATS in their last 27 road games.
    — Saints are 4-0 SU/ATS with Teddy Bridgewater under center.

    — Jaguars’ first four drives: 14 plays, 33 yards, four punts.
    — New Orleans won field position in this game by 14 yards.
    — Jaguars gained only 226 yards, converted 4-14 third down plays.

    Vikings 38, Eagles 20
    — Eagles allowed Minnesota to gain 10.8 yards/pass attempt.
    — Philly is 9-25 on 3rd down last two games (32-57 in first four games).
    — This was first time this season Eagles were outscored in 2nd half (14-10).

    — Cousins was 22-29/333 passing with four TD’s.
    — Diggs caught seven balls for 167 yards and four TD’s.
    — Under Zimmer, Minnesota is 25-7-1 ATS as a home favorite

    Panthers 37, Buccaneers 26:
    — Carolina is now 4-0 with Allen at QB, scoring 31.3 ppg
    — Panthers sacked Winston seven times.
    — Carolina started 5 drives in TB territory, won field position by 14 yards.

    — Bucs turned ball over seven times on 75 plays.
    — Winston in first QB since 1996 (Mark Brunell) with 400+ PY, 5+ INT’s in same game.
    — Bucs allowed 31+ points in five of their six games.

    Redskins 17, Dolphins 16
    — McLaurin scored both Redskin TD’s, catching passes of 33-25 yards.
    — Washington ran ball 33 times, threw 25 passes in Callahan’s first game as HC.
    — NFC East teams are 4-12 ATS outside their division.

    — Fitzpatrick came off bench, rallied Dolphins for two 4th quarter TD’s, their first 2nd half points this season.
    — Miami scored with 0:06 left, went for 2 points and the win- they missed.
    — Dolphins were outscored 149-36 in their first four home games.

    49ers 20, Rams 7
    — Under Shanahan, SF is 10-7 ATS as a road underdog. 3-0 this year.
    — TE George Kittle had eight catches for 103 yards.
    — This was first time since 2001 that these rivals met when both sides were over .500.

    — Rams lost their last three games, after a 3-0 start.
    — Goff threw for 912 yards in previous two games, but had only 78 in this game.
    — LA converted only seven of last 31 third down plays.

    Cardinals 34, Falcons 33
    — Atlanta rallied back from down 27-10, scored TD with 1:53 left, but missed PAT.
    — Ryan was 30-36/356 passing, with four TD passes.
    — Falcons are 4-16 ATS in their last 20 road games

    — Arizona won its last two games by total of 4 points, after an 0-2-1 start.
    — Cardinals’ first five drives: 46 plays, 357 yards, three TD’s, two FG’s.
    — Arizona is 15-10-1 ATS in its last 26 games as a home underdog.

    Broncos 16, Titans 0
    — Tennessee lost 4 of last 5 games; they scored one TD on their last 25 drives.
    — Titans scored 43-24 points in their wins, 17-7-7-0 in losses.
    — Last four Tennessee games stayed under the total.

    — Denver won its last two games after an 0-4 start.
    — Broncos’ only TD here came on a 41-yard drive.
    — Denver held the Titans to 39 yards on 21 rushing attempts.

    Steelers 24, Chargers 17
    — Pittsburgh scored a defensive TD 4:09 into the game.
    — Steelers led 24-0 after three quarters, get win in Devlin’s first NFL start.
    — Pitt is 17-8-1 ATS in last 26 games as a road underdog

    — San Diego is 8th-largest city in country; why did Chargers leave there?
    — Sounded like crowd was at least 80% Steeler fans.
    — Chargers are 2-9 ATS in last 11 games as a home favorite.

    Comment


    • #3
      Commercial Photography
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-14-2019, 01:07 PM.

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      • #4
        MLB
        Weather Report

        Monday, October 14


        Commercial Photography

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        • #5
          909ST LOUIS -910 WASHINGTON
          WASHINGTON is 18-5 SU (12.5 Units) in home games after a 5 game span where the bullpen ERA was 6.50 or worse in the current season.




          MLB
          Dunkel

          Monday, October 14


          St. Louis @ Washington

          Game 909-910
          October 14, 2019 @ 7:38 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          St. Louis
          (Flaherty) 17.448
          Washington
          (Strasburg) 19.242
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Washington
          by 2
          6
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Washington
          -125
          7
          Dunkel Pick:
          Washington
          (-125); Under





          MLB
          Long Sheet

          Monday, October 14


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          ST LOUIS (94 - 75) at WASHINGTON (99 - 71) - 7:07 PM
          JACK FLAHERTY (R) vs. STEPHEN STRASBURG (R)
          Top Trends for this game.
          ST LOUIS is 9-15 (-10.9 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off this season.
          FLAHERTY is 29-34 (-15.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
          ST LOUIS is 94-75 (+3.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
          ST LOUIS is 29-22 (+8.4 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
          ST LOUIS is 87-76 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
          ST LOUIS is 15-2 (+14.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday this season.
          ST LOUIS is 86-69 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
          ST LOUIS is 485-436 (+59.0 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss since 1997.
          WASHINGTON is 181-151 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
          WASHINGTON is 214-185 (-57.0 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 since 1997.
          WASHINGTON is 93-72 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
          WASHINGTON is 6-13 (-16.9 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less over the last 3 seasons.
          WASHINGTON is 22-25 (-14.3 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.
          WASHINGTON is 111-96 (-9.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
          WASHINGTON is 96-85 (-22.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          ST LOUIS is 5-4 (+1.9 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
          7 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+5.8 Units)

          JACK FLAHERTY vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
          FLAHERTY is 0-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 1.600.
          His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

          STEPHEN STRASBURG vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
          STRASBURG is 3-2 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 2.50 and a WHIP of 1.093.
          His team's record is 5-3 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-2. (+3.8 units)

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




          MLB
          Armadillo's Write-Up

          Monday, October 14


          National League
          Cardinals @ Nationals (2-0)

          Flaherty is 2-1, 1.29 in his last five starts; he is 0-0, 1.80 in one start vs Washington, and is 1-1, 2.77 in two playoff starts.

          Strasburg is 4-0, 2.08 in his last seven starts; he is 3-2, 2.50 in eight starts vs St Louis, and is 3-2, 1.32 in six playoff games (5 starts).

          Cardinals haven’t had a hit in first six innings of either game in series so far, both losses. St Louis is in the playoffs for first time in four years, after making it every year from 2011-15. Cardinals are in NLCS for first time since 2014.

          Washington won the NLDS in dramatic fashion Wednesday, they’re 13-2 in last 15 games overall, and are in NLCS for the time since 1981, when they were the Montreal Expos.




          MLB

          Monday, October 14


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Trend Report
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          Washington Nationals
          Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
          Washington is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 8 games
          Washington is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing St. Louis
          Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis
          The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington's last 8 games when playing St. Louis
          Washington is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against St. Louis
          Washington is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against St. Louis
          St. Louis Cardinals
          St. Louis is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
          St. Louis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games
          St. Louis is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
          St. Louis is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games on the road
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games on the road
          St. Louis is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Washington
          St. Louis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington
          The total has gone UNDER in 7 of St. Louis's last 8 games when playing Washington
          St. Louis is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Washington
          St. Louis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-14-2019, 01:14 PM.

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