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**Udog** · 10-11-2019, 08:36 AM

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

Odds to win the NBA title this year:

3-1— Lakers

4-1— Clippers

5-1— Bucks

8-1— Warriors, Rockets, 76ers

12-1— Jazz

15-1— Celtics, Nuggets

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Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Clearing out a cluttered mind…….

13) Astros 6, Rays 1— Clock strikes midnight for the Cinderella Rays, who took Houston to the brink in this series, but Astros scored four runs in the first inning and that was that. ALCS will be New York-Houston, which should be very interesting.

12) Astros’ ace Gerrit Cole had struck out at least one batter in 73 consecutive innings before he didn’t get a strikeout in the third inning last night; not only is that the longest such streak in the majors since 1961, the next highest streak was only 40 (Pedro Martinez, 1999).

11) Patriots 35, Giants 14— New England scored TD’s on a blocked punt and a fumble return; Giants also scored a TD on a fumble return. Game was 21-14 with 9:00 to play.

Total yardage was 427-213 NE; Giants had 10 first downs, four turnovers (-2).

10) South Point Casino in Las Vegas has interesting prop bets; what college team scores the first TD of the day, and then which team scores the most points.

Favorites for first TD:
7-1: Georgia, Oklahoma, Toledo
8-1: Indiana, Michigan

Favorite to score the most points Saturday: Louisiana Tech 8-1

9) Steph Curry scored 40 points in an exhibition game Thursday; Golden State has a much different roster as they open their new arena this fall- no Klay Thompson, Durant is gone, so there will be nights where Curry will have to go off for the Warriors to win.

8) Villanova/Seton Hall are the favorites to win Big East basketball this winter.

UCLA is picked to finish 8th in the Pac-12, which seems weird to type.

7) Over last 12 years, unbeaten NFL teams who are an underdog from Week 6 on are 7-6 ATS. 49ers fit that bill Sunday.

6) Pittsburgh Steelers apparently had a full-contract practice Wednesday, with the team 1-4 and sinking fast; that is unusual in the NFL. Looks like their #3 QB gets his first NFL start against the Chargers Sunday, in a game between two struggling franchises.

5) Phillies fired manager Gabe Kapler after two mediocre seasons where his players went in the tank on him in September both years. Oddly, the Phillies fired both trainers and their pitching coach, but invited all the other coaches back for next season.

If a new manager doesn’t get to pick his own coaches, that usually signals a bad job.

4) No idea why, but the last three years, San Jose State’s leading scorer has transferred out of the program all three years, which is why the Spartans are 9-45 in Mountain West games during that time.

Over the last 22 years, San Jose State has never won half its conference games, though they were 17-16 overall in 2010-11. Seems like a school in California should have at least some success.

3) UL-Monroe 24, Texas State 14— 3-3 WarHawks clinched the win/covered the spread with a TD with 1:46 left; Texas State completed 20-39 passes, but for only 92 yards.

2) 30 or so years ago, had some problems with my teeth and as a result I gave up Snickers bars, switching to the softer Three Musketeers candy bars.

This week, I had my first Snickers bars since then; they still taste great!!!

1) One of the best parts of coming to Las Vegas is meeting new people/making new friends, from all over the country. Thursday was a good day/night for that, making new friends from Ohio, New Jersey, Georgia and a few who live here in the desert. Overall, an excellent day.

**Udog** · 10-11-2019, 08:40 AM

NLCS - Nationals vs. Cardinals
Kevin Rogers

2019 Head-to-Head Matchups (St. Louis 5-2, Under 5-1-1)

St. Louis vs. Washington (Nationals Park)
April 29 – Cardinals 6, Nationals 3 (Over 8 ½)
April 30 – Cardinals 3, Nationals 2 (Under 9 ½)
May 1 – Cardinals 5, Nationals 1 (Under 7 ½)
May 2 – Nationals 2, Cardinals 1 (Under 8 ½)

Washington vs. St. Louis (Busch Stadium)
September 16 – Cardinals 4, Nationals 2 (Under 8)
September 17 – Nationals 6, Cardinals 2 (Push 8)
September 18 – Cardinals 5, Nationals 1 (Under 8)

The top two teams in the National League are watching the Championship Series from home as the Braves and Dodgers were each bounced at home in decisive Game 5’s of the Divisional Series. The two clubs still standing with the World Series as their next goal are the Cardinals and Nationals, who begin the NLCS at Busch Stadium.

Although Washington (93-69) finished with a better regular season record than St. Louis (91-71), the Cardinals have home-field advantage in the series due to them winning the National League Central title. The Nationals were four outs away from getting knocked out in the Wild Card round against the Brewers before Washington rallied for three runs in the eighth inning of a 4-3 shocker to advance to the NLDS.

The Nats took the two-time National League champion Dodgers to Game 5 and were on their way to elimination, but Washington pulled out another epic comeback. And they did this against three-time Cy Young winner Clayton Kershaw as the Nationals hit back-to-back homers off the Dodgers’ ace in a rare relief appearance off the bats of Anthony Rendon and Juan Soto to tie the game at 3-3. Howie Kendrick’s grand slam in the 10th inning put Washington ahead for good and lifted the Nats to a 7-3 victory and the franchise’s first ever playoff series win, which includes their history as the Montreal Expos dating back to 1969.

The Cardinals last won a World Series title in 2011 against the Rangers, while St. Louis is in the postseason for the first time since 2015. The Redbirds went back and forth in the NLDS against the Braves as each team split the first two games at SunTrust Park and Games 3 and 4 at Busch Stadium. St. Louis exploded for 10 runs in the first inning of the winner-take-all Game 5 in Atlanta as the Cardinals crushed the Braves, 13-1 to make their first NLCS appearance since 2014.

The starting pitching advantage lies with the Nationals, who are led by Max Scherzer and Stephen Strasburg. Washington used both its aces in relief appearances during crucial wins early in the postseason, as Scherzer shut down the Dodgers in Game 4 of the NLDS as a -120 favorite, 6-1. The three-time Cy Young winner rebounded from a tough outing against the Brewers in the Wild Card victory to allow four hits and one earned run in seven innings as Washington is 2-3 in his five postseason starts.

Strasburg picked up a no-decision in the Game 5 triumph at Los Angeles as he gave up three earned runs in six innings. The right-hander beat the Dodgers in Game 2 of the NLDS by striking out 10 batters in six innings of a 4-2 win as a +140 underdog. Since Strasburg threw 105 pitches on Wednesday, he will likely start again in Game 3 at Nationals Park on Monday night.

In two outings this season against the Cardinals, the Nationals went 1-1 with Strasburg starting, which included a 2-1 home victory on May 2 as he struck out nine batters in 6.2 innings of work. Scherzer, the St. Louis native, lost twice to his hometown squad in 2019 by exact 5-1 scores, as he was tagged for five runs in 6.2 innings on September 18 in spite of striking out 11 batters.

Veteran Anibal Sanchez will get the call to start the series opener for Washington as the hurler turned in a solid performance in Game 3 against the Dodgers. Sanchez yielded one run and four hits, while striking out nine batters in five innings, but the Dodgers exploded for seven runs in the sixth inning to erase a 2-1 deficit in a 10-4 runaway. The Nationals have won eight of Sanchez’s last 10 road starts since late May, including four victories as an underdog.

Adam Wainwright helped the Cardinals capture the 2006 championship as the team’s closer, but 13 years later, the right-hander will start the opener of the NLCS. Since July, St. Louis has won 13 of Wainwright’s past 17 outings, including a 5-1 home underdog triumph over Scherzer and the Nationals on September 18. In four of Wainwright’s previous five starts at Busch Stadium, he has not allowed a run, including in the 3-1 Game 3 loss to Atlanta in which the Braves scored all three of their runs in the ninth inning.

Jack Flaherty will never receive better run support than the 10-0 advantage taken by the Cardinals in the first inning of the Game 5 blowout in Atlanta. Flaherty helped the Cards clinch a spot in the NLCS by tossing six innings and striking out eight to turn in his 10th consecutive quality start since late August. St. Louis has compiled an 11-6 mark in his past 17 trips to the mound, including a 5-1 ledger at home, while allowing two earned runs or less 12 times during this span.

The Cardinals captured three of four meetings in D.C. back in late April/early May, including two wins as a road underdogs. St. Louis grabbed two of three matchups at Busch Stadium in mid-September, as five of the final six meetings finished UNDER the total. In their previous postseason get-together back in the 2012 NLDS, the Nationals were ready to close out the Cardinals in Game 5 by jumping out to a 6-0 lead. St. Louis kept chipping away and scored four runs in the ninth inning to stun Washington, 9-7, but the Cardinals were ousted by the eventual World Champion Giants in the NLCS.

**Udog** · 10-11-2019, 08:42 AM

MLB
Weather Report

Friday, October 11

**Udog** · 10-11-2019, 08:49 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Friday, October 11

Washington @ St. Louis

Game 901-902
October 11, 2019 @ 8:08 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
(Sanchez) 17.720
St. Louis
(Mikolas) 18.776
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-130
8
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(-130); Under

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, October 11

Nationals @ Cardinals
Sanchez is 3-0, 2.63 in his last four starts; he is 2-4, 3.44 in eight starts vs St Louis, and is 2-5, 2.98 in nine playoff games (8 playoff starts).

Mikolas is 1-1, 3.03 in his last six games (5 starts); he is 2-2, 4.85 in five games (4 starts) vs Washington, and is 1-0, 1.50 in two playoff games (1 start).

Washington won the NLDS in dramatic fashion Wednesday, they’re 12-2 in last 14 games overall, and are in NLCS for the time since 1981, when they were the Montreal Expos. Nationals are 2-5 vs St Louis this season, losing three of four games here.

St Louis is in the playoffs for first time in four years, after making it every year from 2011-15. Cardinals are in NLCS for first time since 2014.

MLB

Friday, October 11

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Trend Report
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St. Louis Cardinals
St. Louis is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
St. Louis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of St. Louis's last 9 games
St. Louis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
St. Louis is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games at home
St. Louis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
St. Louis is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing Washington
St. Louis is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Washington
St. Louis is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Washington
Washington Nationals
Washington is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
Washington is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games
Washington is 17-8 ATS in its last 25 games on the road
Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis
Washington is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing St. Louis
Washington is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
Washington is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against St. Louis

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**Udog** · 10-11-2019, 10:48 AM

901WASHINGTON -902 ST LOUIS
WASHINGTON is 28-11 SU (17.7 Units) vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season in the current season.

MLB
Long Sheet

Friday, October 11

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WASHINGTON (97 - 71) at ST LOUIS (94 - 73) - 8:08 PM
ANIBAL SANCHEZ (R) vs. MILES MIKOLAS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 179-151 (-17.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 48-50 (-18.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 21-28 (-16.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 21-25 (-15.5 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 110-96 (-10.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 94-85 (-24.8 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 94-73 (+5.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 21-11 (+10.0 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
ST LOUIS is 74-57 (+4.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ST LOUIS is 281-187 (+63.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
MIKOLAS is 42-23 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 27-39 (-22.7 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 5-2 (+4.2 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.8 Units)

ANIBAL SANCHEZ vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
SANCHEZ is 2-4 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 3.44 and a WHIP of 1.228.
His team's record is 2-6 (-4.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-5. (-3.7 units)

MILES MIKOLAS vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
MIKOLAS is 2-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 4.21 and a WHIP of 1.325.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)

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**Udog** · 10-11-2019, 11:16 AM

Playoff Series Odds

Home Team listed first - Best of 7 Games (2-3-2)
(Opening Odds in parentheses)

National League Championship Series

Series Odds - St. Louis vs. Washington
Team Opening Odds
Cardinals +100
Nationals -120

Exact Game Prices

St. Louis vs. Washington

American League Championship Series

Series Odds - Houston vs. New York
Team Opening Odds
Astros -185
Yankees +155

Exact Game Prices

Houston vs. New York

National League Divisional Series

Series Odds - Atlanta vs. St. Louis (Cardinals win 3-2)
Team Opening Odds Prior to Game 2 Prior to Game 3 Prior to Game 4 Prior to Game 5
Braves -120 +175 -120 -450 -104
Cardinals +100 -200 +100 +350 -103

Series Odds - Los Angeles vs. Washington (Nationals win 3-2)
Team Opening Odds Prior to Game 2 Prior to Game 3 Prior to Game 4 Prior to Game 5
Dodgers -240 -425 -180 -425 -170
Nationals +190 +325 +150 +325 +150

American League Divisional Series

Series Odds - New York vs. Minnesota (Yankees win 3-0)
Team Opening Odds Prior to Game 2 Prior to Game 3
Yankees -245 -500 -6000
Twins +210 +395 +1600

Series Odds - Houston vs. Tampa Bay (Series tied 2-2)
Team Opening Odds Prior to Game 2 Prior to Game 3 Prior to Game 4 Prior to Game 5
Astros -250 -900 -10000 -2000 -290
Rays +200 +600 +2000 +1000 +200

Exact Game Prices

Atlanta vs. St. Louis
Cardinals Win in 3 Games +750
Cardinals Win in 4 Games +350
Cardinals Win in 5 Games +390 WIN
Braves Win in 3 Games +550
Braves Win in 4 Games +400
Braves Win in 5 Games +370

Los Angeles vs. Washington
Nationals Win in 3 Games +950
Nationals Win in 4 Games +540
Nationals Win in 5 Games +545 WIN
Dodgers Win in 3 Games +440
Dodgers Win in 4 Games +275
Dodgers Win in 5 Games +295

New York vs. Minnesota
Twins Win in 3 Games +1450
Twins Win in 4 Games +575
Twins Win in 5 Games +600
Yankees Win in 3 Games +325 WIN
Yankees Win in 4 Games +270
Yankees Win in 5 Games +300

Houston vs. Tampa Bay
Rays Win in 3 Games +1750
Rays Win in 4 Games +750
Rays Win in 5 Games +675
Astros Win in 3 Games +265
Astros Win in 4 Games +240
Astros Win in 5 Games +315 WIN

Announcement

Friday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 10/11

Friday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 10/11

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