Announcement

**Udog** · 10-10-2019, 07:14 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Trends for this week’s NFL games:

— New England is 7-1 ATS in last eight games as a non-divisional home favorite.

— Jets are 4-9 ATS in last 13 games vs NFC teams.

— Miami covered twice of last nine games vs NFC teams.

— Bengals are 9-3 in last 12 games as a road underdog.

— Dallas is 9-3-1 ATS in its last 13 games as a non-divisional road favorite.

— Falcons covered three of last 16 games outside their division.

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Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud……

I had a good writeup all set for this spot today, then I watched the Dodgers’ game Wednesday night and had to start all over again…….

13) Nationals 7, Dodgers 3 (10)— Tough night for LA fans; Dodgers blew a 3-1 8th inning lead, giving up back/back home runs. Howie Kendrick hit a 10th inning grand slam for the win.

Clayton Kershaw has never allowed home runs on consecutive pitches in the regular season; it has happened to him twice in playoff games.

12) There have been two extra inning grand slams in playoff history; Howie Kendrick last night and Nelson Cruz in Game 2 of the 2011 ALCS.

Max Scherzer was at both games; he was the starter for the losing Tigers in that 2011 game.

Twins exercised Cruz’ $12M team option for 2020; the way he hit this year, that is a bargain.

11) Kendrick has played 14 years in the major league and has hit two grand slams, both of which came in extra innings.

10) Road teams are now 4-9 all-time in winner-take-all games that went to extra innings, with three of the four wins coming in the last four years.

9) Cardinals 13, Braves 1— St Louis is fourth team ever to score 10+ runs in an inning in a playoff game:

1929— Philadelphia A’s Game 4 of WS vs Chicago (B7)
1968— Detroit Game 6 of WS vs St Louis (T3)
2002— LA Angels Game 5 of ALCS vs Milwaukee (B7)
2019— St Louis Game 5 of NLDS vs Atlanta (T1)

8) Atlanta Braves hold a dubious major league record; they’re the only team to be eliminated from the playoffs at home for five consecutive seasons (2000-04).

7) Home teams in winner-take-all playoff games:
MLB— 56-60 (48.3%)
NHL— 133-91 (59.4%)
NBA— 177-62 (74.1%)

6) San Antonio Spurs have gone over their season win total 11 of the last 14 years.

5) Someone at the Westgate SuperBook wagered $5,000 at 8-1 odds this week that New England will finish the regular season 16-0.

4) Since 2016, teams coming off a loss are 5-21-1 ATS when playing the Patriots.

3) When Oregon trailed the Cal Bears 7-0 at halftime Saturday, it was the first scoreless 1st half for the Ducks since a 30-24 home loss to Indiana in 2004.

2) Why did the Houston Rockets used to be the NBA franchise worth the most money? Because Yao Ming played for Houston, and the Rockets’ resulting lucrative connection to China was worth a boatload of cash. Notice I said “was”

One critical tweet from Rockets’ GM Daryl Morey has turned the Chinese government against the NBA and it is unclear whether the damage can be undone, which is going to cost everyone associated with the league a lot of money. A lot. Mucho dinero.

1) There were reports Wednesday that NBA teams preparing for the 2020-21 season are thinking the salary cap could drop as much as 15% after this season, all because of one 6-word tweet.

**Udog** · 10-10-2019, 07:18 AM

**Udog** · 10-10-2019, 07:20 AM

MLB
Weather Report

Thursday, October 10

**Udog** · 10-10-2019, 07:22 AM

951TAMPA BAY -952 HOUSTON
TAMPA BAY is 5-13 SU (-11.3 Units) in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.

MLB
Dunkel

Thursday, October 10

Tampa Bay @ Houston

Game 951-952
October 10, 2019 @ 7:07 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
(Glasnow) 15.518
Houston
(Cole) 16.939
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-270
7
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-270); Under

MLB
Long Sheet

Thursday, October 10

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TAMPA BAY (99 - 68) at HOUSTON (109 - 57) - 7:07 PM
TYLER GLASNOW (R) vs. GERRIT COLE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 189-140 (+26.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 25-13 (+12.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 80-67 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 129-95 (+20.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 117-70 (+30.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 79-72 (+21.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 22-14 (+10.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
HOUSTON is 7-10 (-9.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday this season.
HOUSTON is 70-46 (-10.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
HOUSTON is 32-25 (-10.1 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
HOUSTON is 90-73 (-20.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 46-40 (-17.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 6-5 (+3.6 Units) against HOUSTON this season
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.6 Units)

TYLER GLASNOW vs. HOUSTON since 1997
GLASNOW is 1-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 2.89 and a WHIP of 1.501.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.3 units)

GERRIT COLE vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
COLE is 1-2 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 2.70 and a WHIP of 0.990.
His team's record is 3-2 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-2. (+0.8 units)

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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, October 10

American League
Rays @ Astros (2-2)
Glasnow is 0-1, 2.51 in his last five starts (16.2 IP); he is 1-1, 2.89 in two starts vs Houston, and is 0-1, 4.15 in one playoff start.

Cole is 6-0, 1.03 in his last six starts; he is 1-2, 4.05 in four starts vs Tampa Bay, and is 3-3, 3.19 in six playoff starts.

Rays are in playoffs for first time since 2013. Tampa Bay is 1-3 in the ALCS, winning their first one in 2008, losing the last three.

Houston is in playoffs for 4th time in five years; they won 2017 World Series, lost ALCS LY. Astros are 5-6 vs Tampa Bay this year; home side won nine of the 11 games, including all four games in this series. Lot of pressure on the heavily favored Astros here.

MLB

Thursday, October 10

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Trend Report
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Houston Astros
Houston is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
Houston is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games
Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Houston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games at home
Houston is 6-15 ATS in its last 21 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
Houston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 10 games
Tampa Bay is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 15-6 ATS in its last 21 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games when playing Houston
Tampa Bay is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston
Tampa Bay is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston

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Announcement

Thursday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 10/10

Thursday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 10/10

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