Tuesday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 10/8

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Tuesday, October 8

Good Luck on day #281 of 2019!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

Interesting spreads for this week’s college football:

— Oklahoma (-10) vs Texas

— Iowa State (-9.5) @ West Virginia

— Washington State @ Arizona State (-2.5)

— Washington (-5.5) @ Arizona

— Cincinnati (-7) @ Houston

— Penn State (-3.5) @ Iowa


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Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but……

13) 49ers 31, Browns 3— Monday at the Mirage Casino here in Las Vegas, someone wagered $120K to win $52K on the 49ers’ money line in this game. Good night for that guy.

— Mayfield completed 8-22 passes for 100 yards; a WR did drop an easy TD that turned into an INT when game was 14-3, but still, he had a miserable night.
— Total yardage was 446-180; luckily for TV networks, only one more primetime game for the overrated Browns.

12) Patrick Mahomes tweaked his ankle Sunday night when one of his own linemen stepped on the ankle while he was pass blocking.

Colts’ defense blitzed on 41.9% of Kansas City’s dropbacks, and they were effective.

11) Redskins fired coach Jay Gruden early Monday morning, which won’t help anything; he was 35-49-1 in Washington, with one playoff appearance.

Washington’ problem is that their owner is horrendous and he meddles; here are the Redskins’ head coaches since Daniel Snyder bought the ball club in 1999:

1994-2000: Norv Turner 50-60-1
2001: Marty Schottenheimer 8-8
2002-03: Steve Spurrier 12-20
2004-07: Joe Gibbs 31-36
2008-09: Jm Zorn 12-20
2010-13: Mike Shanahan 24-41
2014-19: Jay Gruden 35-49-1

Bill Callahan is the Redskins’ interim coach; he also replaced Jon Gruden as the Raiders’ coach when Gruden jumped to the Buccaneers.

10) Steelers kicked off to start overtime Sunday, which is very unusual, since a TD on the first possession ends the game. Ravens punted on their first drive, so it didn’t come into play, and Mike Tomlin was celebrating like they won the game when Baltimore punted, but Steelers fumbled and lost the game anyway.

Will be interesting to see how the Pittsburgh media deals with Tomlin if he has his first losing season as a head coach- they’re 1-4 right now, with the 3rd-string QB starting for a while.

9) Oregon State executed a drop kick/onside kick against UCLA Saturday; was pretty cool to see, and it worked like a charm. Beavers led 21-0 before first quarter was half over.

8) With Devlin Hodges expected to start at QB for the Steelers in LA Sunday, Paxton Lynch, a former 1st round draft pick of the Broncos, is going to be Hodges’ backup.

7) Quote of the Day, part II:
“I (bleep)ing love this!!!!”
Younger guy sitting in front of me the other night in the Aria sportsbook; he was just sitting there taking in all the action, when a couple of his bets won, he started yelling. Good stuff.

6) Blue Ribbon Basketball’s preseason top 6 teams:
Michigan State, Kentucky, Kansas, Duke, Florida, Louisville

5) Tampa Bay 10, Astros 3— Rays drew 32,251 for a 1:00 playoff game, and the TV guys were raving about what a great crowd it was. These teams play Game 4 at 4;30 tomorrow, will be interesting to see what they draw for that game.

4) Cardinals 5, Braves 4 (10)— Molina tied game with an 8th inning single, then won it with a sac fly in the 10th. Decisive Game 5 is Wednesday in Atlanta.

3) Tennessee Titans cut kicker Cairo Santos Monday, after he went 0-4 on field goals in their ugly 14-7 home loss to Buffalo Sunday; they’re expected to sign former Bears’ K Cody Parkey to replace Santos.

2) Kansas Jayhawks fired their offensive coordinator Sunday after only six games; you wonder what thats all about. The new OC has a small-college background- the NAIA team he coached LY averaged 55 ppg and 540.3 yards/game.

Jayhawks rank 101st nationally in scoring, 102nd in yards gained, 104th in passing and 116th in first downs per game.

Remember that college assistant coaches are equal parts tacticians/recruiters; players win games, and Kansas is obviously behind its Big X opponents in talent level.

1) Michael D. Smith posted this on Twitter Sunday:

2004 draft class ranked by career passing yards:
56,545 Ben Roethlisberger
56,537 Eli Manning
56,121 Philip Rivers
24,887 Matt Schaub
6,271 JP Losman
2,370 Luke McCown
929 Jim Sorgi
718 Craig Krenzel
342 John Navarre
195 Cody Pickett
136 Matt Mauck
53 Larry Fitzgerald

[Udog]

[Udog]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, October 8

American League
Astros (2-1) @ Rays
Verlander is 6-1, 1.83 in his last seven starts; he is 6-3, 2.87 in 10 starts at the Trop, and is 14-7, 3.05 in 26 playoff games (25 starts).

Bullpen game for Tampa Bay; hard to handicap bullpen games.

Houston is in playoffs for 4th time in five years; they won 2017 World Series, lost ALCS LY. Astros are 5-5 vs Tampa Bay this year; home side won eight of the ten games, including all three games in this series.

Rays won the Wild Card game last Wednesday; they’re in playoffs for first time since 2013. Tampa Bay is 1-3 in the ALCS, winning their first one in 2008, losing the last three.




MLB

Tuesday, October 8

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Trend Report
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Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Tampa Bay is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games
Tampa Bay is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
Tampa Bay is 14-6 ATS in its last 20 games when playing Houston
Tampa Bay is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Houston
Tampa Bay is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing Houston
Tampa Bay is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Houston
Tampa Bay is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing at home against Houston
Houston Astros
Houston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games
Houston is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Houston is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Houston's last 14 games on the road
Houston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
Houston is 6-14 ATS in its last 20 games when playing Tampa Bay
Houston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
Houston is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Houston is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay


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[Udog]

MLB
Dunkel

Tuesday, October 8


Washington @ LA Dodgers

Game 915-916
October 9, 2019 @ 8:37 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
(Strasburg) 18.454
LA Dodgers
(Buehler) 17.250
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-150
7
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(+130); Over

[Udog]

MLB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, October 8

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HOUSTON (109 - 56) at TAMPA BAY (98 - 68) - 7:07 PM
JUSTIN VERLANDER (R) vs. DIEGO CASTILLO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 45-35 (-12.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 70-45 (-8.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
HOUSTON is 17-18 (-12.2 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss this season.
TAMPA BAY is 188-140 (+24.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 116-70 (+28.8 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 78-72 (+19.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 21-14 (+8.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 5-5 (+1.5 Units) against HOUSTON this season
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.8 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

JUSTIN VERLANDER vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
VERLANDER is 11-4 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.01 and a WHIP of 1.090.
His team's record is 15-6 (+6.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-13. (-8.1 units)

DIEGO CASTILLO vs. HOUSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

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[Udog]

MLB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, October 8

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HOUSTON (109 - 56) at TAMPA BAY (98 - 68) - 7:07 PM
JUSTIN VERLANDER (R) vs. DIEGO CASTILLO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 45-35 (-12.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 70-45 (-8.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
HOUSTON is 17-18 (-12.2 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss this season.
TAMPA BAY is 188-140 (+24.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 116-70 (+28.8 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 78-72 (+19.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 21-14 (+8.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 5-5 (+1.5 Units) against HOUSTON this season
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.8 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

JUSTIN VERLANDER vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
VERLANDER is 11-4 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.01 and a WHIP of 1.090.
His team's record is 15-6 (+6.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-13. (-8.1 units)

DIEGO CASTILLO vs. HOUSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

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