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Sunday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 10/6

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  • Sunday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 10/6

    Trends and Indexes

    Sunday, October 6

    Good Luck on day #279 of 2019!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  • #2
    Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

    Top six picks for Week 5 in Westgate Super Contest:

    6) Ravens -3 (757)-

    5) Packers +3.5 (781)-

    4) Patriots +15.5 (783)-

    3) Buccaneers +3.5 (800)-

    2) Vikings -5.5 (951)-

    1) Bears -5.5 (1,299)-

    2019 record: 13-11


    **********

    Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a college football Saturday…….

    13) Virginia Tech 42, Miami 35— Hokies led 28-0 when Miami scored a 44-yard TD on the last play of the first half; Hurricanes tied game 35-all when they scored a TD with 3:16 left in the game, but missed the go-ahead PAT.

    Tech then drove 63 yards on five plays for a TD and their first ACC win in three tries.

    Miami is 1-3 vs I-A teams, with all four games decided by 7 or fewer points.

    12) Navy 34, Air Force 25— Trends are fun and all, but under is now 33-9-1 in the last 43 games between the service academies. This game went over by a decent amount.

    11) Speaking of the academies, Army (23-1) scored the first TD of the day, so if you bet them to score the day’s first TD, a prop bet at the SouthPoint, your day started out very well.

    10) Texas (-11) 42, West Virginia 31— Mountaineers scored with 0:48 left, pushing the spread; over last 11 years, Texas is now 0-10-1 ATS the week before playing Oklahoma.

    This game was closer than the score indicates; WVU outgained the Longhorns 463-407, but they were only 4-14 on 3rd down, Texas was 10-18— Mountaineers turned ball over four times (-3).

    9) Florida 24, Auburn 13— Rough day for Auburn’s freshman QB Nix, who was 11-27/145 passing with three INT’s. Florida kept the Tigers in the game by losing five fumbles (-2 in TO’s). Gators outgained Auburn 382-241, teams combined to convert only 6-29 on third down.

    8) Iowa State 49, TCU 24— Cyclones have covered their last eight October games.

    7) Upsets:
    — Virginia Tech (+14) 42, Miami 35
    — Stanford (+13) 23, Washington 13
    — Texas Tech (+10) 45, Oklahoma State 35
    — Georgia State (+7) 52, Arkansas State 38
    — Central Michigan (+6) 42, Eastern Michigan 16
    — Oregon State (+6) 48, UCLA 31
    — Ball State (+5) 27, Northern Illinois 20

    6) SMU 43, Tulsa 37 OT— Mustangs were down 30-9 after the 3rd quarter, but won in OT after tying the game with 1:02 left in regulation. Rough night for Tulsa’s kicker, who missed three FG’s and an extra point.

    5) Louisville 41, Boston College 39— Total yardage was 664-563, Louisville; they kicked a 41-yard FG with 1:13 left for the win. BC QB Grosel completed only 9-24 passes, but threw three TD’s. Eagles lost three of their last four games— they lost last two by total of five points.

    4) Arizona 35, Colorado 30— Total yardage was 496-487 Colorado, but they kicked three FG’s and scored three TD’s, while Arizona scored five TD’s.

    Not sure why Colorado fired Mike MacIntyre as coach LY, but they did; I’m thinking they made a mistake, but thats their business, not mine.

    3) Oregon State 48, UCLA 31— Beavers led this game 21-0 after 6:01 of play; UCLA is now 1-4, and they trailed 49-17 in the one game they won.

    2) Cincinnati 27, UCF 24— Knights turned ball over four times (-3); Gabriel was 25-46/297 passing but threw three INT’s- Davis caught 13 balls for 170 yards for UCF, in a losing cause.

    1) There are a few teams that are so terrible you should never even think about wagering on them; UMass, Rutgers, Georgia Tech, Vanderbilt, UNLV.

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    • #3
      Commercial Photography
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-06-2019, 11:02 AM.

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      • #4
        MLB
        Weather Report

        Sunday, October 6


        Commercial Photography

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        • #5
          955LA DODGERS -956 WASHINGTON
          WASHINGTON is 76-46 SU (26.1 Units) vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the current season.

          957ATLANTA -958 ST LOUIS
          ST LOUIS are 22-10 SU (14.9 Units) in home games with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (NL) in the current season.




          MLB
          Dunkel

          Sunday, October 6



          Atlanta @ St. Louis

          Game 957-958
          October 6, 2019 @ 4:10 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Atlanta
          (Soroka) 17.058
          St. Louis
          (Wainwrght) 15.452
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Atlanta
          by 1 1/2
          7
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Atlanta
          -120
          8
          Dunkel Pick:
          Atlanta
          (-120); Under

          LA Dodgers @ Washington


          Game 955-956
          October 6, 2019 @ 7:45 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          LA Dodgers
          (Ryu) 17.319
          Washington
          (Scherzer) 18.384
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Washington
          by 1
          9
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Washington
          -115
          8
          Dunkel Pick:
          Washington
          (-115); Under





          MLB
          Long Sheet

          Sunday, October 6


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          LA DODGERS (107 - 57) at WASHINGTON (95 - 70) - 7:45 PM
          HYUN-JIN RYU (L) vs. MAX SCHERZER (R)
          Top Trends for this game.
          LA DODGERS are 146-106 (-21.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
          RYU is 15-22 (-13.4 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
          RYU is 9-20 (-17.0 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
          RYU is 5-15 (-13.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
          LA DODGERS are 22-5 (+15.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday this season.
          LA DODGERS are 76-35 (+21.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
          WASHINGTON is 177-150 (-19.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
          WASHINGTON is 47-49 (-18.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
          WASHINGTON is 92-71 (-15.6 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
          WASHINGTON is 20-24 (-15.9 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.
          WASHINGTON is 108-95 (-12.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
          WASHINGTON is 43-45 (-16.4 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
          WASHINGTON is 93-84 (-25.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
          SCHERZER is 8-11 (-16.4 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

          Head-to-Head Series History
          WASHINGTON is 4-5 (-0.1 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
          6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.9 Units)

          HYUN-JIN RYU vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
          RYU is 2-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 1.35 and a WHIP of 0.840.
          His team's record is 3-2 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-4. (-4.4 units)

          MAX SCHERZER vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
          SCHERZER is 5-5 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 2.98 and a WHIP of 1.103.
          His team's record is 5-9 (-4.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-3. (+3.5 units)

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          ATLANTA (98 - 66) at ST LOUIS (92 - 72) - 4:10 PM
          MIKE SOROKA (R) vs. ADAM WAINWRIGHT (R)
          Top Trends for this game.
          ATLANTA is 8-14 (-10.1 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off this season.
          ATLANTA is 32-45 (-25.8 Units) against the money line in playoff games since 1997.
          ST LOUIS is 92-72 (+4.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
          ST LOUIS is 20-10 (+10.0 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
          ST LOUIS is 36-22 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
          ST LOUIS is 73-56 (+4.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
          ST LOUIS is 280-186 (+63.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
          WAINWRIGHT is 207-121 (+47.9 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
          WAINWRIGHT is 68-36 (+20.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)
          WAINWRIGHT is 12-1 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in home games in day games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
          WAINWRIGHT is 100-53 (+32.7 Units) against the money line after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
          ATLANTA is 98-66 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
          ATLANTA is 47-34 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
          ATLANTA is 36-16 (+21.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday over the last 2 seasons.
          ATLANTA is 43-36 (+15.9 Units) against the money line in road games in day games over the last 3 seasons.
          ATLANTA is 75-52 (+12.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
          ATLANTA is 60-37 (+13.3 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
          ATLANTA is 46-34 (+11.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
          ST LOUIS is 26-38 (-22.7 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 3 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          ATLANTA is 5-3 (+2.3 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
          4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.7 Units)

          MIKE SOROKA vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
          SOROKA is 1-0 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 0.69 and a WHIP of 0.923.
          His team's record is 1-1 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

          ADAM WAINWRIGHT vs. ATLANTA since 1997
          WAINWRIGHT is 9-4 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 3.87 and a WHIP of 1.393.
          His team's record is 10-4 (+4.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-4. (+4.9 units)

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




          MLB
          Armadillo's Write-Up

          Sunday, October 6


          Braves @ Cardinals (1-1)
          Soroka is 2-0, 2.81 in his last three starts; he is 1-0, 0.69 in two starts vs St Louis. This is his first playoff appearance.

          Wainwright is 5-1, 3.22 in his last six starts, but allowed 11 runs in 9.1 IP in his last two; he is 9-4, 3.63 in 19 games (14 starts) vs Atlanta and is 4-4, 3.03 in 24 playoff games (12 starts).

          Atlanta is in playoffs for 2nd year in a row after a 4-year absence; they lost their last seven appearances in the NLDS, dating back to 2002. Atlanta’s seven relievers allowed six runs in Game 1, while getting only 14 outs; Foltynewicz was dominant in seven IP as they evened series Friday.

          St Louis is in the playoffs for first time in four years, after making it every year from 2011-15. Cardinals are 4-4 in eight games with Atlanta this year, 1-2 in this ballpark- they scored only one run in innings 1-7 in first two games of this series.

          Dodgers (1-1) @ Nationals
          Ryu is 2-0, 1.29 in his last three starts; he is 2-1, 1.35 in five starts vs Washington, and is 2-2, 4.11 in seven career playoff starts.

          Scherzer threw a scoreless 8th inning Friday; he is 1-2, 5.96 in his last four starts, and is 5-4, 2.76 in 14 games (12 starts) vs LA. Scherzer is 4-5, 3.78 in 18 career playoff games (14 starts).

          Dodgers are 5-4 vs Washington this year, 2-2 in games games played here. LA is in playoffs for 7th year in a row, losing the World Series the last two years.

          Washington won the Wild Card game Tuesday, then scored only four runs when they split the two games in LA; they’re in playoffs for fifth time in eight years. Nationals lost in NLDS last four times they were in playoffs, three times in a 5th game.




          MLB

          Sunday, October 6


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Trend Report
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          St. Louis Cardinals
          St. Louis is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
          St. Louis is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games
          St. Louis is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta
          St. Louis is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta
          The total has gone OVER in 15 of St. Louis's last 22 games when playing Atlanta
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
          St. Louis is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Atlanta
          St. Louis is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Atlanta
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
          Atlanta Braves
          Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
          Atlanta is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
          Atlanta is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
          Atlanta is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing St. Louis
          Atlanta is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing St. Louis
          The total has gone OVER in 15 of Atlanta's last 22 games when playing St. Louis
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing St. Louis
          Atlanta is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
          Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing on the road against St. Louis

          Washington Nationals
          Washington is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
          Washington is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
          Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
          Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
          Washington is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Dodgers
          Washington is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing LA Dodgers
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing LA Dodgers
          Washington is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
          Washington is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
          Los Angeles Dodgers
          LA Dodgers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
          LA Dodgers is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games
          LA Dodgers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
          LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
          LA Dodgers is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington
          LA Dodgers is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing Washington
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games when playing Washington
          LA Dodgers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
          LA Dodgers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-06-2019, 11:02 AM.

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