Announcement

**Udog** · 10-05-2019, 06:54 AM

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

Odds to win the Stanley Cup next spring:

6-1— Tampa Bay, Toronto

7-1— Colorado, Vegas

10-1— Chicago, Dallas

12-1— Boston, St Louis

15-1— Nashville, Pittsburgh

18-1— San Jose

**********

Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Random stuff with the weekend here…….

13) Greetings from Las Vegas, America’s favorite city; had a long flight in Friday, complete with 20+ fired-up college students sitting behind me, drinking their way across America. It was a very loud five hours.

12) College football teams with best record vs spread:
5-0: UL-Lafayette, SMU, Auburn, Oklahoma State

11) College football teams with worst record vs spread:
0-5: Akron
0-4: FIU, Georgia Tech, Vanderbilt, Virginia Tech

10) Weird NFL schedule this Sunday; 10 games at 1PM ET, only two at 4:00 or 4:25, with Packers-Cowboys the feature game.

There used to be a rule that the Jets/Giants couldn’t play at the same time unless they were playing each other, to maximize ratings in NY/NJ, but that has gone by the boards.

9) Good program on HBO; 24/7: College Football, which features a different team each week, with Hard Knocks-type access to the head coach and players.

This week’s show featured an hour on the Florida Gators; next three weeks are Penn State, Arizona State and then Washington State.

8) Speaking of Washington State, they found a scapegoat for consecutive losses when defensive coordinator Tracy Claeys “resigned” (got fired) Friday.

Two weeks ago, Wazzu was unbeaten and Leach was playing up his quirky Pirate image with the media; then they blew a 49-17 lead at home to UCLA, got whacked at Utah LW and now fingers are being pointed. We live in a fickle society.

7) Mets fired manager Mickey Callaway, who went 163-161 in his two years in Flushing. There are now seven managerial openings in the major leagues.

6) NFL stuff:
— Colt McCoy will start at QB for the Redskins Sunday.
— Saquon Barkley, Sam Darnold are both out this week.
— Rams’ LB Clay Matthews broke his jaw Thursday, is out for a month.

5) Braves’ OF Ronald Acuna had 33 singles this year that went 300+ feet, a testament to both his power and his tendency not to hustle out of the batters’ box.

4) Sports Illustrated laid off half of its writing staff this week; TheMaven, which is now running SI, is expected to hire contract workers to fill out the writing staff after the layoffs.

3) College football stuff:
— Oklahoma suspended K Calum Sutherland, after an alleged incident with his girlfriend.
— Tennessee will start true freshman QB Brian Maurer against Georgia today.

2) Apparently when the Washington Redskins drafted QB Dwayne Haskins last April, coach Jay Gruden didn’t want the kid, which must make things awkward now, since by the time Haskins is deemed ready to start for Washington, Gruden is likely to have a different job.

1) Golden State Warriors’ star Draymond Green made only 29% of his jump shots LY, the worst %age in the NBA.

**Udog** · 10-05-2019, 07:08 AM

**Udog** · 10-05-2019, 07:10 AM

MLB
Weather Report

Saturday, October 5

**Udog** · 10-05-2019, 07:15 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Saturday, October 5

Minnesota @ NY Yankees

Game 951-952
October 5, 2019 @ 5:07 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
(Dobnak) 14.401
NY Yankees
(Tanaka) 16.762
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Yankees
by 2 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-180
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Yankees
(-180); Under

Tampa Bay @ Houston

Game 953-954
October 5, 2019 @ 9:07 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
(Snell) 15.337
Houston
(Cole) 18.120
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 3
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-300
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-300); Over

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, October 4

American League
Rays @ Astros (1-0)
Snell is 0-1, 4.50 in three opens since coming off the IL (6 IP); he is 2-2, 4.73 in six starts vs Houston- this is his first playoff start.

Cole was 5-0, 1.29 in six September starts; he is 15-0 in his last 19 starts, and is 0-2, 3.51 in four starts vs Tampa Bay, and 2-3, 3.72 in five playoff starts.

Rays won the Wild Card game Wednesday; they’re in playoffs for first time since 2013. Tampa Bay is 1-3 in the ALCS, winning their first one in 2008, losing the last three.

Houston is in playoffs for 4th time in five years; they won 2017 World Series, lost ALCS LY. Astros are 4-4 vs Tampa Bay this year; home side won six of the eight games.

Twins @ New York (1-0)
Dobnak is 2-1, 1.59 in nine MLB games (5 starts); he finished the four games he didn’t start. His first MLB start was September 3.

Tanaka is 1-1, 5.21 in his last four starts; he is 5-0, 2.27 in five starts vs Minnesota, and is 3-2, 1.50 in five playoff starts.

Twins lost their last 11 playoff games with NYY. Minnesota lost Wild Card game here in 2017, their only playoff appearance since 2010; they’re 2-5 vs NYY this year, with road team winning four of the seven games. Average total in the seven games is 13.6.

New York is in playoffs for 4th time in last seven years, after making it 17 of 18 years before that; they won three of last five trips to the ALDS.

MLB

Friday, October 4

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Trend Report
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New York Yankees
NY Yankees is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
NY Yankees is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
NY Yankees is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of NY Yankees's last 13 games at home
NY Yankees is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
NY Yankees is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Yankees's last 7 games when playing Minnesota
NY Yankees is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Minnesota
NY Yankees is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 8 of NY Yankees's last 10 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Minnesota Twins
Minnesota is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games
Minnesota is 18-7 ATS in its last 25 games on the road
Minnesota is 19-5 SU in its last 24 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games on the road
Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing NY Yankees
Minnesota is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
Minnesota is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Minnesota's last 10 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees

Houston Astros
Houston is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Houston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Houston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games at home
Houston is 5-13 ATS in its last 18 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games
Tampa Bay is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Houston
Tampa Bay is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 10-05-2019, 09:17 AM

MLB
Long Sheet

Saturday, October 5

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (101 - 62) at NY YANKEES (104 - 59) - 5:07 PM
JAKE ODORIZZI (R) vs. MASAHIRO TANAKA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 104-59 (+14.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY YANKEES are 24-6 (+14.7 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season.
NY YANKEES are 58-24 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
NY YANKEES are 41-12 (+17.8 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
NY YANKEES are 46-27 (+18.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MINNESOTA is 101-62 (+21.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 55-27 (+27.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
MINNESOTA is 23-12 (+10.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
MINNESOTA is 23-7 (+12.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday this season.
MINNESOTA is 67-38 (+18.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MINNESOTA is 79-44 (+21.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MINNESOTA is 44-19 (+21.7 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
ODORIZZI is 21-9 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 5-2 (+2.7 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
6 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.9 Units)

JAKE ODORIZZI vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
ODORIZZI is 7-9 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 4.95 and a WHIP of 1.204.
His team's record is 7-10 (-2.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-9. (-3.6 units)

MASAHIRO TANAKA vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
TANAKA is 5-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 2.27 and a WHIP of 1.009.
His team's record is 5-0 (+5.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-1. (+3.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TAMPA BAY (97 - 67) at HOUSTON (108 - 55) - 9:07 PM
BLAKE SNELL (L) vs. GERRIT COLE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 187-139 (+23.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 80-66 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 77-71 (+19.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 39-24 (+23.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SNELL is 20-9 (+13.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HOUSTON is 296-320 (-63.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday since 1997.
HOUSTON is 75-47 (-22.1 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 44-37 (-28.7 Units) against the money line in home games against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 38-35 (-21.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 19-20 (-18.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 4-4 (+1.3 Units) against HOUSTON this season
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.8 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

BLAKE SNELL vs. HOUSTON since 1997
SNELL is 2-2 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 4.73 and a WHIP of 1.485.
His team's record is 4-2 (+3.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.3 units)

GERRIT COLE vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
COLE is 0-2 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.51 and a WHIP of 1.091.
His team's record is 2-2 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-2. (-0.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 10-05-2019, 09:50 AM

951MINNESOTA -952 NY YANKEES
NY YANKEES are 18-5 SU (15.3 Units) vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.

953TAMPA BAY -954 HOUSTON
TAMPA BAY is 8-21 SU (-17 Units) vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.

Announcement

Saturday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 10/5

Saturday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 10/5

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