Announcement

**Udog** · 09-23-2019, 07:52 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Top six picks for Week 3 in Westgate Super Contest:

6) Colts -1.5 (674)- W
5) Ravens +6.5 (794)- W
4) Steelers +6.5 (934)- W
3) Lions +6 (937)- W
2) Seahawks -4 (974)- L
1) Rams -3 (1,474)- W

2019 record: 12-6

**********

Armadillo: Monday's Den; Wrapping up an NFL Sunday……

Packers 27, Broncos 16:
— Denver is 0-3 for the first time since 1999.
— Since 2012, Broncos are 6-13 ATS as a road underdog.
— Denver still doesn’t have a sack or a takeaway this year.

— Packers had six sacks, three takeaways (+3).
— Broncos were 8-15 on third down, Green Bay 2-9
— SouthPoint has a prop bet; Packers (8-1) were first team to score a TD Sunday.

Lions 27, Eagles 24:
— Detroit is 2-0-1, its best start since a 4-0 start in 2011.
— Jamal Agnew returned a kickoff 100 yards for a TD.
— Marvin Jones caught six passes for 101 yards.

— Eagles covered only twice in last ten games as a home favorite.
— Philly has trailed all three of its games at halftime, outscored 50-23.
— Eagles dropped seven passes, were called for offensive interference three times.

Chiefs 33, Ravens 28:
— Lamar Jackson was only 22-43 passing, ran for only 46 yards.
— Jackson is 8-2 as a starter, with both losses in Kansas City.
— Ravens tried a drop kick/onside kick that didn’t work but was cool to watch.

— Total yardage was 503-452 Chiefs.
— KC ran 54 plays; only nine of them were on third down.
— Chiefs are 10-6 ATS last 16 games as a home favorite.

Bills 21, Bengals 17:
— Bengals lost first two road games by total of five points.
— Cincy covered eight of last ten games as road underdogs.
— Zac Taylor is 3rd Bengal HC in row to start his Cincy career 0-3.

— Bills led 14-0 at half, needed TD with 1:50 left for the win.
— Josh Allen’s first 12 completions went to nine different receivers.
— Buffalo won five of last six series games, five of which were decided by 4 or fewer points.

Colts 27, Falcons 24:
— Atlanta had four turnovers (-2), has 10 in three games (-5).
— In three games, Falcons have thrown ball 123 times, run it only 54 times.
— Atlanta is now 0-11 ATS in last 11 games vs AFC foes, 1-8 ATS in last nine games as road underdogs

— Brissett threw for 310 yards, averaging 8.1 yards/attempt.
— Indy has converted 19-35 third down plays this season.
— Last 2+ years, Colts are 6-3-1 ATS as a home favorite.

Vikings 34, Raiders 14:
— Oakland is 0-6 ATS in its last six games on artificial turf.
— Raiders were 3-11 on 3rd down, after being 16-28 in first two games.
— Last 2+ years, Oakland is 3-13-1 ATS as road underdog.

— Vikings ran ball for 211 yards, have 581 RY in three games.
— Dalvin Cook is first player in Vikings history to rush for 100+ yards in each of the team’s first three games of a season.
— Minnesota covered 16 of last 21 games vs AFC opponents; they’re 21-5-1 ATS in last 27 games as a HF.

Patriots 30, Jets 14:
— Jets lost last four visits to Foxboro by combined score of 135-26.
— NYJ gained 101 yards on 46 plays, had only six first downs.
— Jets are 0-3 for the first time since 2003.

— NE covered 13 of its last 15 games as a home favorite.
— Patriots won first three games by combined score of 106-17.
— First TD NE allows this year comes on a muffed punt recovered by the Jets in end zone.

Cowboys 31, Dolphins 6:
— Miami lost a fumble in red zone when they trailed only 10-6 near end of 1st half.
— Dolphins have been outscored 68-0 in second half of games.
— 2020 NFL Draft begins April 23rd in Las Vegas.

— Cowboys are 3-0 for first time since 2008.
— Dallas scored 35-31-31 points in their first three games.
— Cowboys converted 18-31 third down plays this season.

Giants 32, Bucs 31:
— Daniel Jones threw for two TD’s, ran for two more in his first NFL start.
— Shepard/Engram both had 100+ receiving yards.
— This was Giants’ first win when trailing by 18+ points at the half since 1949.

— Bucs in first half: 39 plays, 345 yards, 3 TD’s, 3 FG’s, led 28-10 at half.
— Bucs in 2nd half: 39 plays, 178 yards, one FG.
— Tampa Bay missed two PAT’s, and then a 33-yard FG on the last play of the game.

Panthers 38, Cardinals 20:
— Kyle Allen’s 2nd NFL start: 19-26, 261 yards, four TD’s.
— McCaffrey ran for 153 yards, including a 76-yard TD run.
— Carolina had a 14-yard edge in field position.

— Murray was sacked 8 times, averaged just 2.5 yards/pass attempt.
— Cardinals have been outscored 48-16 in first half of their games.
— Arizona is 14-19-1 ATS in their last 34 home games.

49ers 24, Steelers 20:
— Rudolph was 14-27/174 passing, with TD passes of 76-39 yards.
— Steelers were 3-12 on third down, 49ers were 6-11.
— Total yardage was 436-239, SF.

— 49ers won despite turning ball over four of first five times they had ball.
— SF is now 4-12 ATS in last 16 games as a home favorite
— Niners scored 17 points on three drives that started in Pitt territory.

Saints 33, Seahawks 27:
— Saints scored their first two TD’s on a punt return and fumble return.
— NO is 15-8-1 ATS in last 24 games as a road underdog.
— Bridgewater is now 18-11 as a starting QB.

— Seattle’s first 8 drives: 42 plays, 265 yards, 7 points.
— Seattle’s last 4 drives: 34 plays, 244 yards, 20 points.
— Seahawks are 4-9-1 in last 14 games as a home favorite.

Texans 27, Chargers 20:
— Watson threw for 351 yards, averaged 9.4 yards/attempt.
— Houston has converted 19-38 third down plays this year.
— Texans covered five of last six tries as a road underdog, are 12-8-1 ATS in last 21 games where spread was 3 or fewer points.

— Chargers in first half: 34 plays, 204 yards, 17 points.
— Chargers in second half: 37 plays, 162 yards, 3 points.
— Chargers are 5-10 ATS as a home favorite in Carson.

Rams 20, Browns 13:
— LA in 16 first half drives this year: one TD, five FG’s. No bueno.
— Under McVay, LA is 9-5 ATS as a road favorite
— LA had 3 turnovers (-2), missed a FG, still got a road win. Muy bueno.

— Four trips to red zone, Cleveland scored only 13 points.
— Browns are 7-16-1 ATS in last 24 games as a home underdog
— Cleveland is only 11-39 on third down this season.

**Udog** · 09-23-2019, 07:54 AM

MLB
Weather Report

Monday, September 23

**Udog** · 09-23-2019, 07:57 AM

951PHILADELPHIA -952 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 22-7 SU (16.3 Units) vs. an NL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season in the current season.

953MIAMI -954 NY METS
NY METS are 29-17 SU (14.8 Units) vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season in the current season.

955ST LOUIS -956 ARIZONA
ARIZONA is 26-6 SU (19.4 Units) in home games as an underdog of +100 to +150 over the last 2 seasons.

957BALTIMORE -958 TORONTO
BALTIMORE is 35-56 SU (-29.8 Units) vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the current season.

959BOSTON -960 TAMPA BAY
BOSTON is 20-44 SU (-29 Units) vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.

**Udog** · 09-23-2019, 07:58 AM

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, September 23

National League
Phillies (79-75) @ Nationals (85-69)
Eflin is 1-1, 2.78 in his last four starts; he is 2-1, 1.89 in three starts vs Washington this year. Team in his starts: 10-16
5-inning record: 10-15-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 10-26 Over/under: 12-14

Corbin is 3-1, 3.91 in his last four starts; he is 0-0, 4.50 in two starts vs Philly this year. Team in his starts: 19-12
5-inning record: 16-12-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-31 Over/under: 13-17-1

Philly lost three of last four games; they’re 12-13 in road series openers- under is 6-2 in their last eight games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 5-2 last seven games.

Washington split its last 12 games; they’re 11-5 in last 16 home series openers- under is 10-4-1 in their last fifteen games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 7-1-1 last nine games.

Marlins (54-101) @ Mets (81-74)
Smith is 1-5, 6.75 in his last six starts; he is 1-0, 3.27 in two starts vs NYM this year. Team in his starts: 16-15
5-inning record: 8-17-6 Allowed run in 1st inning: 9-31 Over/under: 9-16-6

Matz is 2-2, 4.39 in his last five starts; he is 1-1, 4.02 in three starts vs Miami this year. Team in his starts: 15-13
5-inning record: 10-12-6 Allowed run in 1st inning: 10-28 Over/under: 13-13-2

Miami lost nine of last 12 games; they’re 7-17 in road series openers- over is 5-3-2 in their last ten road games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-2 last six games.

Mets won four of last five games; they’re 11-13 in home series openers- under is 5-2 in their last seven games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-1 last five games.

Cardinals (89-67) @ Diamondbacks (80-76)
Wainwright is 4-0, 0.67 in his last four starts; he is starts vs Arizona. Team in his starts: 18-11
5-inning record: 14-12-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-29 Over/under: 11-17-1

Young is 1-1, 4.60 in his last three starts. Team in his starts: 7-7
5-inning record: 7-3-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-14 Over/under: 6-8

Cardinals won their last five games; they’re 11-14 in road series openers- under is 5-2-1 in their last eight road games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 9-5-1 last 15 games.

Arizona won 12 of last 17 home games; they’re 14-10 in home series openers- over is 4-1-1 in their last six games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-3 last eight home games.

American League
Orioles (51-105) @ Blue Jays (63-93)
Bundy is 0-1, 5.56 in his last four starts; he is 1-0, 2.12 in three starts vs Toronto this year. Team in his starts: 9-20
5-inning record: 15-12-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 10-29 Over/under: over 4-1 last five

Buchholz is 0-2, 9.88 in his last three starts; he is starts vs Baltimore. Team in his starts: 4-6
5-inning record: 2-7-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-10 Over/under: 4-6

Orioles split their last 12 games; they’re 5-5 in last 10 road series openers- over is 4-2 in their last six games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 8-3-1 last 12 games.

Toronto is 7-5 in its last 12 games; they’re 8-15 in home series openers- over is 7-3 in their last ten games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 8-4-1 last 13 games.

Red Sox (81-74) @ Rays (92-64)
Chacin is 0-1, 4.91 in three starts (7.1 IP). Team in his starts: 2-1
5-inning record: 2-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-3 Over/under: 2-1

Snell is 2-0, 1.50 in his last five starts; he is starts vs Boston. Team in his starts: 11-10
5-inning record: 8-10-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-21 Over/under: over 5-2-1 last eight

Red Sox lost four of last six games; under is 6-3 in their last nine road games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-1 last five games.

Tampa Bay won won seven of last eight home games; their last six games went over. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 8-2 last 10 games.

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total)
Team (road-home-total)- thru 9/5
Ariz 21-71……18-68……39
Atl 21-69…..25-71……46
Cubs 18-67……25-70…..43
Reds 24-67……27-73…..51
Colo 17-72……26-66……43
LA 20-67……25-73……45
Mia 13-66……20-70…..33
Milw 21-67…..25-71…..46
Mets 26-64……21-66…..47
Philly 17-66…..21-70……38
Pitt 25-71…..18-67……43
StL 17-68…..20-70……37
SD 19-68……21-68…..40
SF 10-71……15-66……25
Wash 22-69…..21-67……43

Orioles 20-71…….23-69..….43
Boston 20-69…….24-69……44
W Sox 16-71…….18-68…….34
Clev 20-69…..21-71……..41
Det 21-71……18-65……..39
Astros 26-70…..17-69……..43
KC 19-68…..24-72……..43
Angels 26-72……15-67…….41
Twins 28-71……18-68……46
NYY 21-66……27-75……48
A’s 17-66…..19-71…….36
Sea 19-71…..17-69…….36
TB 24-70…..22-70……46
Texas 17-73…..24-67…….41
Toronto 18-71…..19-71…….37

Interleague play- 2019
NL @ AL– 82-62 NL, favorites -$1,422 under 67-66-5
AL @ NL– 66-66, favorites -$2,100 over 71-58-8
Total: 148-128 NL, favorites -$3,522 Over 137-125-13

**Udog** · 09-23-2019, 08:02 AM

MLB

Monday, September 23

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Trend Report
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Washington Nationals
Washington is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games at home
Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 9 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Philadelphia is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Philadelphia is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Philadelphia is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing Washington
Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 9 games when playing on the road against Washington

Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Toronto is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Toronto's last 10 games
Toronto is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Toronto is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
Toronto is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Baltimore
Toronto is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Baltimore
Toronto is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Toronto is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Toronto is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Baltimore Orioles
Baltimore is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Baltimore is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games
Baltimore is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games on the road
Baltimore is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Toronto
Baltimore is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Toronto
Baltimore is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Baltimore is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Baltimore is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto

Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Tampa Bay is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games
Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing Boston
Tampa Bay is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Boston
Tampa Bay is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Boston
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 10 games when playing at home against Boston
Boston Red Sox
Boston is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
Boston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Boston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Boston is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
Boston is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Boston is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Boston's last 10 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay

New York Mets
NY Mets is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
NY Mets is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Mets's last 8 games
NY Mets is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
NY Mets is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games at home
NY Mets is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
NY Mets is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Miami
NY Mets is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami
NY Mets is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
NY Mets is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Miami
Miami Marlins
Miami is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
Miami is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games
Miami is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Miami is 4-20 SU in its last 24 games on the road
Miami is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Mets
Miami is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Mets
Miami is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
Miami is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Mets

Arizona Diamondbacks
Arizona is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games
Arizona is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Arizona is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games at home
Arizona is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis
Arizona is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing St. Louis
Arizona is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Arizona's last 10 games when playing at home against St. Louis
St. Louis Cardinals
St. Louis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
St. Louis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of St. Louis's last 23 games on the road
St. Louis is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
St. Louis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing Arizona
St. Louis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 7 of St. Louis's last 10 games when playing on the road against Arizona

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**Udog** · 09-23-2019, 09:54 AM

MLB
Long Sheet

Monday, September 23

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PHILADELPHIA (79 - 75) at WASHINGTON (85 - 69) - 7:05 PM
ZACH EFLIN (R) vs. PAT CORBIN (L)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 68-76 (-20.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 42-32 (+9.1 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 893-941 (+19.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
PHILADELPHIA is 469-472 (+52.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 85-69 (-4.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 83-71 (-25.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 102-94 (-17.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 127-104 (-9.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 17-23 (-13.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 9-5 (+4.4 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
8 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

ZACH EFLIN vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
EFLIN is 3-2 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 3.41 and a WHIP of 1.485.
His team's record is 3-3 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (-0.3 units)

PAT CORBIN vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
CORBIN is 4-2 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 3.38 and a WHIP of 1.145.
His team's record is 6-2 (+2.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-5. (-2.7 units)

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MIAMI (54 - 101) at NY METS (81 - 74) - 7:10 PM
CALEB SMITH (L) vs. STEVEN MATZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 17-54 (-23.3 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 2-20 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
NY METS are 81-74 (-6.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 15-17 (-18.5 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -175 to -250 over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 117-119 (-33.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 145-154 (-53.9 Units) against the money line in home games in September games since 1997.
NY METS are 397-407 (-118.7 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 11-4 (+4.7 Units) against MIAMI this season
8 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.6 Units)

CALEB SMITH vs. NY METS since 1997
SMITH is 2-0 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 2.38 and a WHIP of 1.059.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+1.8 units)

STEVEN MATZ vs. MIAMI since 1997
MATZ is 4-3 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 2.83 and a WHIP of 1.160.
His team's record is 7-4 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-2. (+5.8 units)

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ST LOUIS (89 - 67) at ARIZONA (80 - 76) - 9:40 PM
ADAM WAINWRIGHT (R) vs. ALEX YOUNG (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 108-132 (-38.0 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1997.
ARIZONA is 80-76 (+3.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 55-48 (+6.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ARIZONA is 37-34 (+7.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ST LOUIS is 89-67 (+9.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 39-25 (+9.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
ST LOUIS is 28-20 (+9.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
ST LOUIS is 84-73 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 13-2 (+12.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday this season.
ST LOUIS is 43-35 (+12.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
WAINWRIGHT is 206-120 (+48.7 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
WAINWRIGHT is 18-6 (+11.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
WAINWRIGHT is 56-32 (+24.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1997. (Team's Record)
WAINWRIGHT is 98-61 (+30.7 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
WAINWRIGHT is 18-5 (+13.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)
WAINWRIGHT is 37-13 (+21.3 Units) against the money line in September games since 1997. (Team's Record)
ARIZONA is 79-77 (-17.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 18-29 (-15.6 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 52-54 (-15.9 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against ARIZONA this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)

ADAM WAINWRIGHT vs. ARIZONA since 1997
WAINWRIGHT is 9-4 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 2.56 and a WHIP of 1.198.
His team's record is 9-4 (+5.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-11. (-10.4 units)

ALEX YOUNG vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
No recent starts.

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BALTIMORE (51 - 105) at TORONTO (63 - 93) - 7:07 PM
CHANDLER SHEPHERD (R) vs. CLAY BUCHHOLZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 98-220 (-74.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 24-61 (-24.8 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 45-111 (-33.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 20-55 (-28.2 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 59-147 (-65.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 57-147 (-63.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 28-70 (-30.5 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 48-85 (-31.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 21-39 (-16.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 7-14 (-10.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
BUCHHOLZ is 16-30 (-24.0 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 7-9 (+0.2 Units) against TORONTO this season
7 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.5 Units, Under=-0.6 Units)

CHANDLER SHEPHERD vs. TORONTO since 1997
SHEPHERD is 0-0 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 1.250.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

CLAY BUCHHOLZ vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
BUCHHOLZ is 10-6 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 4.21 and a WHIP of 1.381.
His team's record is 13-8 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 12-8. (+3.7 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (81 - 74) at TAMPA BAY (92 - 64) - 7:10 PM
JHOULYS CHACIN (R) vs. BLAKE SNELL (L)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 81-74 (-25.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BOSTON is 34-38 (-19.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
BOSTON is 56-49 (-13.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BOSTON is 23-27 (-13.7 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
BOSTON is 43-37 (-17.7 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
BOSTON is 28-41 (-20.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON is 13-22 (-11.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
TAMPA BAY is 182-136 (+23.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 24-7 (+17.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 73-70 (+16.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 35-23 (+20.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SNELL is 19-9 (+12.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BOSTON is 102-64 (+27.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
CHACIN is 51-41 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHACIN is 25-14 (+12.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 11-7 (+3.9 Units) against BOSTON this season
11 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.4 Units)

JHOULYS CHACIN vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
CHACIN is 0-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 6.43 and a WHIP of 1.571.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.3 units)

BLAKE SNELL vs. BOSTON since 1997
SNELL is 5-3 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 3.02 and a WHIP of 1.283.
His team's record is 5-4 (+1.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-4. (+0.7 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 09-23-2019, 11:30 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Monday, September 23

Philadelphia @ Washington

Game 951-952
September 23, 2019 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
(Eflin) 16.174
Washington
(Corbin) 15.253
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 1
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-200
9
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+170); Over

Baltimore @ Toronto

Game 957-958
September 23, 2019 @ 7:07 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
(Shepherd) 13.734
Toronto
(Buchholz) 16.239
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 2 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-180
10 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-180); Under

Miami @ NY Mets

Game 953-954
September 23, 2019 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
(Smith) 14.794
NY Mets
(Matz) 17.645
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Mets
by 3
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Mets
-230
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Mets
(-230); Under

Boston @ Tampa Bay

Game 959-960
September 23, 2019 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
(Chacin) 15.848
Tampa Bay
(Snell) 14.770
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-185
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(+165); Under

St. Louis @ Arizona

Game 955-956
September 23, 2019 @ 9:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
(Wainwrght) 17.913
Arizona
(Young) 14.485
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 3 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-145
9
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(-145); Under

**Udog** · 09-23-2019, 11:31 AM

Diamond Trends - Monday
Vince Akins

SU Play ON Trend of the Day:

-- The Nationals are 11-0 SU as a favorite of more than 120 after a game as a road favorite in which they scored in at most two separate innings.

SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

-- The Marlins are 0-14 SU after a come-from-behind win.

OU Trend of the Day:

-- The Nationals are 11-0 OU in the first game of a series with no rest as a 140+ favorite after a game as a road favorite in which they had six or fewer hits.

Starter-Based Trend of the Day:

-- The Mets are 7-0 SU with Steven Matz as a home favorite when they lost in his last start. In these six starts, Matz has allowed an average of 2.00 runs in 6.57 inning of work and has a WHIP of 0.90.

**Udog** · 09-23-2019, 01:39 PM

By: Rohit Ponnaiya

STREAKING AND SLUMPING STARTERS

STREAKING

Adam Wainwright, St. Louis Cardinals (13-9, 3.83 ERA, $576): Wainwright, like most Cardinals starters, has been on fire recently. In September he's gone 4-0 with a 0.33 ERA and a WHIP of 0.93. Tonight, Wainwright and the Cards will look to build on their three-game lead in the NL Central as they head to Arizona to face the Diamondbacks.

St. Louis is a -147 fave on the road but it is worth mentioning that Wainwright has struggled in away starts this year. In 14 games on the road he's 4-6 with a 6.03 ERA and a BAA of .292.

SLUMPING

Clay Bucholtz, Toronto Blue Jays (1-5, 6.48 ERA, $-9): Bucholtz hasn't been effective since making the move to the Great White North but he's been especially poor lately. In September he's gone 0-2 in three starts with an ERA of 9.22 and a BAA of .381.

His last start was against the Orioles last Wednesday and he was lucky to escape with a no-decision after he gave up seven runs in 3 2-3 innings. He gets a rematch against the Orioles today and the Jays are -135 faves at home. With the Over hitting in each of the last three games between these sides, backing the O9.5 today makes a lot of sense.

3 STRIKES

RECOVERING AT A SNELL'S PACE

Tampa Bay's Blake Snell might be ready to pitch some significant innings today after getting only two innings of work last week against the Dodgers. He was very effective in those two innings, striking out four batters and not allowing a single batter to reach base.

Snell is recovering from arthroscopic surgery on his elbow which kept him out of the lineup for about a month and a half. Prior to his surgery he was beginning to recover the form that made him the AL Cy Young winner in 2019, with the Rays going 4-0 over his last four starts while Snell recorded an ERA of 1.64.

Tampa Bay is a -200 favorite at home against the Red Sox tonight. The Rays are 4-0 in Snell's last six starts against the BoSox and are 6-1 in the previous seven meetings in the head to head.

OVER TRENDS ABOUND

Staying with the Red Sox-Rays game, if you're betting the total keep in mind that umpire Chris Conroy has been an absolute Over machine. Games Conroy has called have gone 17-9-1 to the Over this season, including 10-2-1 over his last 13 contests.

The Over has also gone 5-0-1 in the last six meetings between Boston and Tampa Bay. And it just so happens that the O/U is an identical 5-0-1 in Tampa Bay's last six games and Bostons' last six games. The O8.5 might be worth a look.

2019 SEASON TRENDS

As the regular season winds down now is a good time as any to take a look at trends that have made bettors money in 2019:

Best Under Bet - The Cincinnati Reds have been the best Under bet this year, both at home and away. They've gone 90-59-7 to the Under for a rate of 60.4 percent.

Best Over Bet - Another NL Central doormat, the Pirates, have been the most reliable Over bet going 90-60-6 to the Over. They've hit Overs at an even more impressive rate at home going 45-25-4 OU. On the road the Yankees have been the top Over bet, with the Over cashing in 64.3 percent of their away contests.

Best Runline Bet - The Yankees have also been the best team to back on the runline as a favorite. They've gone 75-56 as a fave on the RL.

Best Money Team - The Athletics have been the best money team making bettors $2504 based on $100 units. The Dodgers have been the best money team at home earning $1745, while the Twins have been the best money team on the road banking $2487.

The worst money team? The Tigers who lost bettors $3859 this season. The second worst were the defending champion Red Sox who sit at $-2578.

**Udog** · 09-23-2019, 01:50 PM

MLB's Most Profitable Teams (based on $100 unit per game):

1. A's (94-62) $2504
2. Braves (96-61) $1980
3. Yankees (102-55) $1919
4. Twins (96-60) $1821
5. Dodgers (100-56) $1066
6. Giants (75-81) $1046

MLB's Least Profitable Teams (based on $100 unit per game):

30. Tigers (46-109) $-3859
29. Red Sox (81-74) $-2578
28. Royals (57-100) $-2118
27. Orioles (51-105) $-2070
26. Padres (70-86) $-2036
25. Angels (70-86) $-1829

**Udog** · 09-23-2019, 04:45 PM

First 5 innings:
Nationals -.5 -140
Orioles +.5 +110
Red Sox +.5 +135

**Udog** · 09-23-2019, 09:23 PM

First 5 innings:
Nationals -.5 -140 W
Orioles +.5 +110 W
Red Sox +.5 +135 L

+1.10

16-12-2 +1.90 for Sep.

Jul: 24-11-8 +11.35
Aug: 28-24-3 +0.08

Announcement

Monday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 9/23

Monday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 9/23

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