Thursday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 9/5

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Thursday, September 5

Good Luck on day #248 of 2019!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

— A’s 6, Angels 0— Rookie C Murphy caught a shutout, hit a home run in his first big league game.

— Pirates 6, Marlins 5— Bryan Reynolds had a walk-off bloop single for the Bucs.

— Giants 9, Cardinals 8— Pillar’s two-run tater in 8th inning was the game-winner.

— Arizona 4, Padres 1— Rookie P Gallen tossed seven shutout innings.

— Reds 8, Phillies 5— Cincy’s Michael Lorenzen became the first player to earn a win, hit a HR and play in the field in the same game since Babe Ruth in 1921.

— Dodgers’ Joc Pederson hit five HR’s in a span of six AB’s, first time thats been done since Barry Bonds in 2001.


**********

Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud……

13) Ezekiel Elliott got a 6-year contract extension from the Cowboys worth more than $90M, with $50M+ in guarantees. Cowboys are 28-12 in regular season games when Elliott plays, and so he got paid.

12) Scary moment in Houston Tuesday night when Astros CF George Springer made a leaping catch in centerfield, but then stumbled and the back of his head hit the wall. Springer was in obvious pain and left the game.

11) Rhode Island is the 7th state with a mobile sports betting app; 13 states have sports betting, but the mobile app really increases betting handle.

I was sitting at a bar when we heard that Andrew Luck retired; imagine being able to grab your phone, jump into the betting app and trying to capitalize on that news? Would’ve been fun.

10) Football Outsiders Almanac projects the Miami Dolphins to be the NFL’s worst team; their projection is the worst one for any team since the 2012 Rams, who also had a new coach (Jeff Fisher) but they improved from 2-14 (under Steve Spagnuolo in 2011) to 7-8-1 that year.

What Miami is doing this seems similar to what the Raiders did LY, when they traded Khalil Mack and Amari Cooper for draft picks. Raiders finished 4-12 last year.

9) Speaking of the Raiders, my review of HBO’s Hard Knocks this summer:

— They didn’t show when guys get released, which is usually the most interesting part of the show; most of the late cuts get picked up somewhere else, anyway.

— Too much Jon Gruden; he’s gotten ton of airtime the last few years.

— Antonio Brown is finally healthy (His father was a great player in the Arena League– played for the Albany Firebirds)

Was reading an article that said that Gruden/Mike Mayock wanted no part of being in Hard Knocks, but this was owner Mark Davis’ doing. That probably explains why HBO wasn’t given very good access.

8) By the way, Raiders have already fined Antonio Brown $53,950 for missing mandatory preseason activities.

7) Washington QB Jake Haener has transferred to Fresno State, where he’ll play for Jeff Tedford, who was Aaron Rodgers’ college coach. He’ll sit this season out and then will be eligible to play two more years.

6) Michigan State lost its long snapper, a 5th-year senior; he’s being replaced by a freshman.

5) New York 4, Texas 1— Bronx is now 10-0 the last ten times Will Little umped the plate in one of their games.

4) Around 11pm Wednesday, someone wagered $30,000 on the Buffalo Bills over 6.5 wins this season; the Westgate SuperBook reacted by moving up Bills’ win total up to 7 wins.

3) TV guys totally missed this Monday night, but there was a play in the Notre Dame-Louisville game Monday night when ND quarterback Ian Book threw a pass away, with the ball going way out of bounds- it drilled a Louisville cheerleader in the face.

Turns out the young lady broke her nose and is seeing a specialist for treatment. Not good.

2) Something to keep in mind when handicapping September baseball; some of the teams that aren’t contending aren’t 100% trying to win; they have to take a look at their younger players, and some teams have innings limits on their pitchers.

Wednesday night in Arizona, San Diego took starting P Chris Paddack out of a 0-0 game in the sixth inning because he hit the 90-pitch mark; if the Padres were contending, no way he comes out there. But they don’t want Paddack overextending himself, so he came out.

1) I still disagree with teams who bat their pitcher 8th, and I’ve spent way too much time thinking about why they do it. It makes very little sense to me.

**********

Armadillo: Thursday’s extra list of 13: College football trends from outside the top 13 games of the week

Ohio U covered six of last seven tries as a road underdog; Bobcats ran ball for 278 yards in 41-20 win over a I-AA foe LW. Ohio has a senior QB, an OL with only 45 returning starts. Pittsburgh was held to 263 yards in its 30-14 loss to ACC rival Virginia LW; under Narduzzi, Panthers are 5-10-1 ATS as a home favorite. Last three years, ACC teams are 11-2 vs spread when playing a MAC opponent.

Old Dominion (+27) outscored Virginia Tech 28-7 in 4th quarter of 49-35 upset win LY; total yardage in game was 632-600, ODU. Monarchs lost 13 of 22 starters from LY; they’re 5-4 ATS as a road underdog. Tech was minus-4 in turnovers in its 35-28 loss at BC last week; under Fuente, Hokies are 9-5 ATS as home favorites. Last four years, ACC teams are 11-5 vs spread when they play a C-USA opponent.

UAB completed only 8-20 passes in its 24-19 win over I-AA Alabama State LW; Blazers are 2-3 ATS as a road favorite. UAB has a soph QB and an OL with only 30 returning starts. Akron is just 8-22 ATS in its last 30 games as a home underdog; Zips got waxed 42-3 at Illinois LW, giving up 207 yards on ground. Last four years, MAC teams are 15-8-1 ATS when playing a C-USA opponent.

Vanderbilt was outgained 481-225 at home in a 30-6 loss to Georgia LW; under Mason, Commodores are 13-11 ATS as a road underdog- they’re 6-3 ATS in last nine games outside the SEC. Purdue blew 24-7 halftime lead in LW’s 34-31 loss at Nevada; under Brohm, Boilers are 4-5 ATS as a home favorite. Last four years, SEC teams are 8-5 vs spread when playing a Big 14 opponent.

Iowa (-13) won 14-7 at Rutgers three years ago, in teams’ only meeting. Scarlet Knights won their opener 48-21 over UMass- they outgained Minutemen 548-307. Under Ash, Rutgers is 7-8 ATS as a road underdog. Hawkeyes covered five of last seven tries as a home favorite- they drilled Miami OH last week, outgaining Red Hawks, 465-245. Iowa has a senior QB but only four starters back on defense.

North Texas (-4) beat SMU 46-23 LY, ending its 3-game skid against the Mustangs; Mean Green beat a I-AA team 51-31 LW, but they gave up 456 yards. UNT has a senior QB (37 starts). SMU won its opener 37-30 at Arkansas State LW, gaining 508 TY. Mustangs are 7-4 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite. Last 6+ years, AAC teams are 15-13 vs spread when playing C-USA teams.

South Florida (+3) beat Georgia Tech 49-38 LY, despite giving up 419 YR- Tech doesn’t run the option anymore- they lost their opener 52-14 at Clemson LW, giving up 411 YR to the Tigers. Tech is 9-5 ATS in last 14 games as a home favorite. Over last decade, USF is 20-10 ATS as a road underdog. Bulls got hammered 49-0 by Wisconsin LW. AAC are 16-9 ATS in their last 25 games vs ACC opponents.

Tulsa hammered San Jose State 45-10 (-5) in last meeting in 2016; Golden Hurricane was held to 80 yards LW in its 28-7 loss at Michigan State- Tulsa had minus-73 YR. Last three years, Tulsa is 1-3 ATS as a road favorite. San Jose beat a I-AA team 35-18 LW; Spartans are 6-4-1 in last 11 games as a home underdog. Last three years, Mountain West teams are 10-0 vs spread when playing an AAC opponent.

Over last six years, UConn is 3-22 ATS outside its conference, 0-12 last three years. Illinois had 207 yards running, 194 passing in its 42-3 win over Akron LW; Illini has 10 starters back on defense, but a new QB. Over last five years, Illini is 3-0 ATS as a road favorite. UConn held off I-AA Wagner 24-21 LW, a red flag; Huskies are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as a home underdog. AAC teams are 8-5 ATS in their last 13 games vs Big 14 opponents.

Arkansas State (-7.5) beat UNLV 27-20 at home LY; Rebels ran ball for 310 yards, though. Last three years, ASU is 8-9 ATS on road. Red Wolves lost their opener 37-30 at home to SMU LW. UNLV hammered a I-AA team LW; Rebels are 10-21 ATS in their last 31 home games, 9-15 under Sanchez. Last three years, Mountain West teams are 8-3-1 vs spread when playing a Sun Belt opponent.

San Diego State beat a I-AA team 6-0 LW, gaining only 238 TY with 14 first downs- not good. Last three year, Aztecs are 3-1 as road underdogs- they’ve got a senior QB and an OL with 69 returning starts. UCLA lost 24-14 at Cincy LW, completing 8-26 passes, gaining only 218 yards. Last five years, Bruins are 8-15 as a home favorite. Last three years, Mountain West teams are 13-10 ATS when playing a Pac-12 opponent.

Trap game for Wyoming after they beat Missouri LW as 18-point dogs. Wyoming (-16) drilled Texas State 45-10 in last meeting two years ago, but that was with Josh Allen at QB. Cowboys are 3-6 ATS in last nine non-league games. TSU lost 41-7 at Texas A&M LW; they’re 4-10 ATS in last 14 games as a home underdog. Last three years, Mountain West teams are 8-3-1 vs spread when playing a Sun Belt opponent.

Central Florida (-13) waxed Florida Atlantic 56-36, gaining 545 TY. last three years, UCF is 7-2 ATS as a road favorite. Knights have a senior who transferred from Notre Dame- their OL has 75 returning starts. FAU was down 28-0 after 8:10 at Ohio State LW; Owls covered only once in their last eight tries as a home underdog. Last 6+ years, AAC teams are 15-13 vs spread when playing C-USA teams.

[Udog]

MLB
Weather Report

Thursday, September 5

[Udog]

951PHILADELPHIA -952 CINCINNATI
PHILADELPHIA is 14-27 SU (-16.5 Units) vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better in the current season.

953SAN FRANCISCO -954 ST LOUIS
ST LOUIS are 38-32 SU (12.2 Units) in home games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the current season.

955MIAMI -956 PITTSBURGH
MIAMI is 75-99 SU (-33.9 Units) in road games against right-handed starters in the last 3 seasons.

957CHICAGO CUBS -958 MILWAUKEE
MILWAUKEE is 22-46 SU (-27.8 Units) vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the current season.

959WASHINGTON -960 ATLANTA
WASHINGTON is 55-33 SU (19.6 Units) vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the current season.

961CHI WHITE SOX -962 CLEVELAND
CLEVELAND is 51-28 SU (24.1 Units) vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the current season.

963DETROIT -964 KANSAS CITY
DETROIT is 33-57 SU (-30.2 Units) vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the current season.

965LA ANGELS -966 OAKLAND
OAKLAND is 66-41 SU (20.9 Units) in home games in the second half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

967TEXAS -968 BALTIMORE
TEXAS are 9-21 SU (-15.5 Units) vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season in the current season.

969TORONTO -970 TAMPA BAY
TAMPA BAY is 4-14 SU (-12.6 Units) in home games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse in the second half of the season in the current season.

971MINNESOTA -972 BOSTON
BOSTON is 16-40 SU (-27.9 Units) vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.

973SEATTLE -974 HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 29-18 SU (13.2 Units) in home games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the current season.

[Udog]

MLB
Dunkel

Thursday, September 5


Philadelphia @ Cincinnati

Game 951-952
September 5, 2019 @ 12:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
(Vargas) 14.849
Cincinnati
(Gray) 16.466
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 1 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
-160
9
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(-160); Over

Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland

Game 961-962
September 5, 2019 @ 1:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago White Sox
(Lopez) 12.756
Cleveland
(Plesac) 14.932
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 2
12
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
-200
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-200); Over

San Francisco @ St. Louis

Game 953-954
September 5, 2019 @ 1:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
(Webb) 14.363
St. Louis
(Hudson) 15.481
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-180
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(-180); Under

Detroit @ Kansas City

Game 963-964
September 5, 2019 @ 1:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
(Boyd) 12.233
Kansas City
(Sparkman) 14.990
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 2 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
-125
9
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(+105); Over

LA Angels @ Oakland

Game 965-966
September 5, 2019 @ 3:37 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Angels
(Suarez) 16.223
Oakland
(Bassitt) 14.898
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Angels
by 1 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oakland
-190
10
Dunkel Pick:
LA Angels
(+165); Under

Texas @ Baltimore

Game 967-968
September 5, 2019 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas
(Allard) 14.516
Baltimore
(Means) 12.846
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas
by 1 1/2
12
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Texas
N/A

Miami @ Pittsburgh

Game 955-956
September 5, 2019 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
(Hernandez) 13.668
Pittsburgh
(Agrazal) 15.134
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 1 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
-140
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(-140); Over

Toronto @ Tampa Bay

Game 969-970
September 5, 2019 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
(Thornton) 15.498
Tampa Bay
(Pruitt) 16.950
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-210
9
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(-210); Under

Minnesota @ Boston

Game 971-972
September 5, 2019 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
(Perez) 16.721
Boston
(Eovaldi) 15.460
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 1 1/2
13
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-145
11 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(+125); Over

Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee

Game 957-958
September 5, 2019 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Cubs
(Quintana) 14.996
Milwaukee
(Anderson) 13.485
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago Cubs
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-120
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago Cubs
(-120); Under

Washington @ Atlanta

Game 959-960
September 5, 2019 @ 7:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
(Strasburg) 17.399
Atlanta
(Fried) 15.864
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-120
9
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-120); Under

Seattle @ Houston

Game 973-974
September 5, 2019 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
(Gonzales) 14.726
Houston
(Miley) 16.349
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-270
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-270); Under

[Udog]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, September 5

National League
Phillies (72-66) @ Reds (65-75)
Vargas is 0-2, 5.13 in six Phllly starts; he is 1-2, 6.30 in five starts vs Cincy. Team in his starts: 2-4
5-inning record: 2-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-6 Over/under: 2-4

Gray is 4-0, 0.98 in his last six starts; he is 0-0, 4.76 in one start vs Philly. Team in his starts: 7-1 last eight
5-inning record: 16-7-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-27 Over/under: under 3-1 last four

Phillies won five of last eight road games; under is 8-5 in their last 13 road games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 7-3 last ten games.

Cincy lost six of its last eight games; under is 4-2 in their last six games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-2 last six games.

Giants (69-72) @ Cardinals (78-61)
Webb is 1-0, 4.40 in three starts. Team in his starts: 2-1
5-inning record: 2-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-3 Over/under: 1-2

Hudson is 4-0, 1.37 in his last four starts; he is 1-0, 3.52 in three games (1 start) vs SF. Team in his starts: 19-8
5-inning record: 13-9-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 10-27 Over/under: under 6-2 last eight

Giants lost seven of their last nine games; under is 6-3 in their last nine road games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 7-4-1 last 12 games.

St Louis won 11 of its last 14 games; over is 7-5 in their last 12 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 6-3 last nine games.

Marlins (49-89) @ Pirates (61-78)
Hernandez is 1-1, 5.32 in his last four starts. Team in his starts: 5-7
5-inning record: 3-7-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-12 Over/under: 5-6-1

Agrazal is 2-2, 7.23 in his last four starts. Team in his starts: 5-5
5-inning record: 4-4-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-10 Over/under: 4-5-1

Miami lost seven of their last nine games; under is 5-3-1 in their last nine road games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 5-1-3 last nine games.

Pittsburgh won nine of its last 12 games; under is 10-8-1 in their last 19 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 7-5-1 last 13 games.

Cubs (75-63) @ Brewers (71-67)
Quintana is 4-1, 2.52 in his last six starts; he is 2-2, 6.86 in five starts vs Milwaukee this year. Team in his starts: 16-10
5-inning record: 15-9-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-26 Over/under: under 4-1-1 last six

Anderson is 1-2, 11.91 in his last three starts; he is 0-1, 7.00 in two starts vs Chicago this year. Team in his starts: 10-12
5-inning record: 10-8-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-22 Over/under: under 5-2 last seven

Cubs won six of last eight games; they’re 4-10 in last 14 road series openers- under is 6-0 in their last six games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-1 last six games.

Milwaukee won four of last six games; they’re 4-12 in last 16 home series openers- under is 6-0 in their last six games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-2 last seven games.

Nationals (78-59) @ Braves (86-54)
Strasburg is 2-0, 2.02 in his last four starts; he is 3-0, 3.93 in three starts vs Atlanta this year. Team in his starts: 18-10
5-inning record: 13-10-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-28 Over/under: over 7-2 last nine

Fried is 6-0, 4.53 in his last eight starts; he is 0-1, 5.19 in three games (2 starts) vs Washington. Team in his starts: won last eight
5-inning record: 14-10-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-26 Over/under: 16-8-2

Washington won 10 of last 13 games; they’re 10-1 in last 11 road series openers- over is 8-2-1 in their last 11 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 5-1-1 last seven games.

Braves won their last six games; they’re 5-1 in last six home series openers- under is 7-2-1 in their last 10 home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 12-4-1 last 17 games.

American League
White Sox (61-78) @ Indians (81-59)
Lopez is 1-3, 9.53 in his last four starts; he is 1-0, 3.29 in two starts vs Cleveland this year. Team in his starts: 12-16
5-inning record: 12-13-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 11-28 Over/under: 15-13

Plesac is 1-2, 5.87 in his last three starts; he is 0-1, 1.29 vs Chicago this year. Team in his starts: 12-5
5-inning record: 7-6-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-17 Over/under: over 5-2 last seven

White Sox lost eight of their last nine games; over is 6-1 in their last seven games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 6-5 last 11 games.

Cleveland is 9-12 in its last 21 games; over is 5-0 in their last five games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 6-5-1 last 12 home games.

Tigers (40-97) @ Royals (51-89)
Boyd is 1-1, 6.16 in his last three starts; he is 1-2, 6.97 in four starts vs KC this year. Team in his starts: 9-19
5-inning record: 13-11-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-28 Over/under: last five over

Sparkman is 0-2, 8.40 in his last three starts. Team in his starts: lost last eight
5-inning record: 5-11-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 10-18 Over/under: 10-8

Tigers lost nine of last ten games; over is 8-3 in their last 11 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 4-1 last five games.

Kansas City is 6-4 in its last ten games; over is 5-1-1 in their last seven games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-2-1 last nine games.

Angels (65-75) @ A’s (80-58)
Suarez is 0-4, 9.41 in his last five starts. Team in his starts: 4-8
5-inning record: 3-7-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-12 Over/under: over 3-1 last four

Anderson is 1-1, 4.76 in his last three starts; he is 2-0, 0.00 in two starts (13.2 IP) vs LAA this year. Team in his starts: 17-10
5-inning record: 14-11-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-27 Over/under: last four under

Angels lost 15 of last 18 road games; under is 8-5 in their last 13 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 4-1 last five games.

Oakland is 12-6 in its last 18 games; under is 4-1 in their last five games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-1 last five games.

Rangers (68-72) @ Orioles (46-93)
Allard is 2-0, 1.50 in his last two starts. Team in his starts: 4-1
5-inning record: 2-2-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-5 Over/under: 2-3

Means is 2-0, 1.93 in his last two starts. Team in his starts: 10-12
5-inning record: 12-10 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-22 Over/under: 10-12

Rangers lost three of last four games; they’re 3-7 in last 10 road series openers- under is 9-2 in their last 11 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under is 10-1 in last 11 games.

Baltimore lost four of last five games; they’re 2-9 in last 11 home series openers- over is 4-2-1 in their last seven games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 3-0 last three games.

Blue Jays (55-85) @ Rays (82-59)
Thornton is 0-2, 5.14 in his last four starts. Team in his starts: 8-18
5-inning record: 15-7-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-27 Over/under: over 10-3 last 13

Pruitt is 2-0, 4.78 in 11 games (1 start). Team in his starts: 1-0
5-inning record: 0-0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-1 Over/under: 0-1

Blue Jays lost five of last six games; they’re 4-12 in last 16 road series openers- under is 3-0-1 in their last four games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-1 last five games.

Tampa Bay won six of last seven games; they’re 4-8 in last 12 home series openers- over is 6-3 in their last nine home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 3-0 last three games.

Twins (86-53) @ Red Sox (75-64)
Perez is 1-1, 5.95 in his last four starts; he is 2-2, 5.68 in seven starts vs Boston. Team in his starts: 14-10
5-inning record: 15-8-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-24 Over/under: over 5-1 last six

Eovaldi is 0-0, 6.90 in seven starts; he is 3-3, 5.50 in six starts vs Minnesota. Team in his starts: 6-1
5-inning record: 3-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-7 Over/under: 5-1-1

Twins won nine of last 11 games; over is 5-3 in their last eight games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-2 last eight games.

Red Sox won seven of last ten games; under is 7-1 in their last eight home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 4-1 last five games.

Mariners (58-82) @ Astros (90-50)
Gonzales is 2-2, 4.94 in his last four starts; he is 0-4, 7.50 in six games (5 starts) vs Houston. Team in his starts: 15-14
5-inning record: 16-11-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 11-29 Over/under: under 5-1 last six

Miley is 2-0, 3.14 in his last three starts; he is 3-0, 2.33 in five starts vs Seattle this year Team in his starts: 20-8
5-inning record: 16-9-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-28 Over/under: 10-18

Mariners lost seven of their last nine games; they’re 10-14 in road series openers- under is 8-1-1 in their last ten games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-1 last six games.

Houston won nine of last 12 games; they’re 19-3 in home series openers- under is 4-0 in their last four games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-1 last five games.

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total)
Team (road-home-total)- thru 8/30
Ariz 21-71……17-64……38
Atl 21-69…..21-67……42
Cubs 17-66……25-67…..42
Reds 24-65……25-68…..49
Colo 16-69……26-66……42
LA 19-66……23-70……42
Mia 11-63……20-70…..31
Milw 21-66…..24-68…..45
Mets 25-60……21-66…..46
Philly 17-62…..21-69……38
Pitt 24-70…..16-65……40
StL 17-68…..18-64…….35
SD 18-64……21-68…..39
SF 10-67……14-65……24
Wash 22-68…..20-63……42

Orioles 19-67…….23-68..….42
Boston 19-68…….23-67……42
W Sox 16-66…….18-68…….34
Clev 20-68…..18-67……..38
Det 21-68……17-63……..38
Astros 26-67…..17-68……..43
KC 19-68…..23-68……..42
Angels 24-69……15-66…….39
Twins 27-66……18-68……45
NYY 21-66……26-71……47
A’s 17-65…..18-68…….35
Sea 17-67…..17-69…….34
TB 24-70…..21-65…….45
Texas 16-69…..23-66…….39
Toronto 17-68…..19-69…….36

Interleague play- 2019
NL @ AL– 75-55 NL, favorites -$1,213 under 61-60-3
AL @ NL– 64-58 NL, favorites -$1,296 over 66-54-7
Total: 139-113 NL, favorites -$2,509 Over 126-115-10

[Udog]

MLB

Thursday, September 5

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Trend Report
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Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games
Cincinnati is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games at home
Cincinnati is 16-7 ATS in its last 23 games when playing Philadelphia
Cincinnati is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Cincinnati is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 8 games when playing Philadelphia
Cincinnati is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Cincinnati is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Philadelphia Phillies
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
Philadelphia is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
Philadelphia is 7-16 ATS in its last 23 games when playing Cincinnati
Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 8 games when playing Cincinnati
Philadelphia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Philadelphia is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati

Cleveland Indians
Cleveland is 15-8 ATS in its last 23 games
Cleveland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Cleveland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games
Cleveland is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games at home
Cleveland is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home
Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 9 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
Chicago White Sox
Chi White Sox is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games
Chi White Sox is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chi White Sox's last 7 games
Chi White Sox is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Chi White Sox is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games on the road
Chi White Sox is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Chi White Sox is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chi White Sox's last 9 games when playing on the road against Cleveland

Kansas City Royals
Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas City's last 7 games
Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Kansas City is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas City's last 7 games at home
Kansas City is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Detroit
Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Kansas City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit
Detroit Tigers
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Detroit is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Detroit's last 13 games
Detroit is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games on the road
Detroit is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games on the road
Detroit is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Kansas City
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City
Detroit is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing on the road against Kansas City

St. Louis Cardinals
St. Louis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
St. Louis is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games
St. Louis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
St. Louis is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games at home
St. Louis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Francisco
St. Louis is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 7 of St. Louis's last 10 games when playing San Francisco
St. Louis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 8 of St. Louis's last 11 games when playing at home against San Francisco
San Francisco Giants
San Francisco is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
San Francisco is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
San Francisco is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
San Francisco is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games on the road
San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis
San Francisco is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Francisco's last 10 games when playing St. Louis
San Francisco is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 8 of San Francisco's last 11 games when playing on the road against St. Louis

Oakland Athletics
Oakland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Oakland is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games
Oakland is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games at home
Oakland is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games at home
Oakland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Angels
Oakland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Oakland's last 12 games when playing LA Angels
Oakland is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Angels
Los Angeles Angels
LA Angels is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
LA Angels is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
LA Angels is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
LA Angels is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
LA Angels is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 8 of LA Angels's last 12 games when playing Oakland
LA Angels is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games when playing on the road against Oakland

Baltimore Orioles
Baltimore is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Baltimore is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Baltimore is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 7 games at home
Baltimore is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Texas
Baltimore is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Texas
Baltimore is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Texas
Baltimore is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Texas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games when playing at home against Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Baltimore's last 12 games when playing at home against Texas
Texas Rangers
Texas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Texas's last 11 games
Texas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Texas is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Texas's last 7 games on the road
Texas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Texas is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Baltimore
Texas is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Texas is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 6 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Texas's last 12 games when playing on the road against Baltimore

Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Pittsburgh is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games at home
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Pittsburgh is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games at home
Pittsburgh is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Miami
Pittsburgh is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
Miami Marlins
Miami is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Miami is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Miami is 1-16 SU in its last 17 games on the road
Miami is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Pittsburgh
Miami is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Miami is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh

Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Tampa Bay is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Tampa Bay is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games at home
Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Tampa Bay is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
Tampa Bay is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing Toronto
Tampa Bay is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
Tampa Bay is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Toronto
Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Toronto is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
Toronto is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Toronto is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games on the road
Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Toronto is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing Tampa Bay
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Toronto is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay

Boston Red Sox
Boston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Boston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Boston's last 8 games at home
Boston is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota
Boston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Boston's last 8 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Minnesota Twins
Minnesota is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
Minnesota is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
Minnesota is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
Minnesota is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games on the road
Minnesota is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Boston
Minnesota is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Boston
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Minnesota's last 8 games when playing on the road against Boston

Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Milwaukee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 7 games
Milwaukee is 8-17 ATS in its last 25 games at home
Milwaukee is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 8 games at home
Milwaukee is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Chi Cubs
Milwaukee is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Milwaukee's last 13 games when playing Chi Cubs
Milwaukee is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
Milwaukee is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Milwaukee's last 23 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
Chicago Cubs
Chi Cubs is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Chi Cubs is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games
Chi Cubs is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Chi Cubs is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games on the road
Chi Cubs is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Milwaukee
Chi Cubs is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Chi Cubs's last 13 games when playing Milwaukee
Chi Cubs is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Chi Cubs is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Chi Cubs's last 23 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee

Atlanta Braves
Atlanta is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Atlanta's last 16 games
Atlanta is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Atlanta's last 10 games at home
Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing Washington
Atlanta is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Washington
Atlanta is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Washington
Washington Nationals
Washington is 15-8 ATS in its last 23 games
Washington is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Washington is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games
Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Washington is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Washington is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Atlanta

Houston Astros
Houston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Houston is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games
Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Houston is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games at home
Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games when playing Seattle
Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Houston's last 12 games when playing at home against Seattle
Seattle Mariners
Seattle is 15-8 ATS in its last 23 games
Seattle is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games
Seattle is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Seattle is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games on the road
Seattle is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Houston
Seattle is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing Houston
Seattle is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
Seattle is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Seattle's last 12 games when playing on the road against Houston


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[BettorsChat]

Stats Plays of The Day

951 PHILADELPHIA +140
Phillies are 6-1 since Aug 13, 2019 as a dog.
Reds are 9-16 since Aug 11, 2019.

954 ST LOUIS -185
Giants are 4-11 since Aug 18, 2019.
Cardinals are 16-3 since Jul 13, 2019 as a home favorite.
Cardinals are 34-16 since Jul 13, 2019.

956 PITTSBURGH -145
Marlins are 19-43 since Jun 25, 2019.
Marlins are 16-43 since Jun 25, 2019 as a dog.
Pirates are 9-3 since Aug 23, 2019.

968 BALTIMORE -115
Rangers are 10-23 since Jun 29, 2019 on the road.
Orioles are 5-3 since Aug 11, 2019 at home.
Orioles are 4-2 since Aug 11, 2019 as a home dog.

[Udog]

MLB
Long Sheet

Thursday, September 5

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PHILADELPHIA (72 - 66) at CINCINNATI (65 - 75) - 12:35 PM
JASON VARGAS (L) vs. SONNY GRAY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 62-85 (-24.5 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 11-21 (-14.2 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
GRAY is 9-0 (+9.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season. (Team's Record)
GRAY is 13-4 (+9.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
CINCINNATI is 65-75 (-8.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CINCINNATI is 17-37 (-20.9 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
CINCINNATI is 27-37 (-12.9 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
GRAY is 33-38 (-22.0 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 4-2 (+1.5 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.0 Units)

JASON VARGAS vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
VARGAS is 1-2 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 6.30 and a WHIP of 1.651.
His team's record is 3-2 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-4. (-3.4 units)

SONNY GRAY vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
GRAY is 0-0 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 4.76 and a WHIP of 1.235.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

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SAN FRANCISCO (67 - 72) at ST LOUIS (78 - 61) - 1:15 PM
LOGAN WEBB (R) vs. DAKOTA HUDSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 6-24 (-18.3 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 78-61 (+5.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 45-26 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
ST LOUIS is 64-47 (+8.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ST LOUIS is 46-21 (+18.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
ST LOUIS is 28-9 (+17.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
HUDSON is 19-8 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
HUDSON is 13-1 (+12.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 67-72 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 24-19 (+10.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 37-34 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 15-6 (+15.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 50-48 (+10.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-3 (+0.1 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

LOGAN WEBB vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
No recent starts.

DAKOTA HUDSON vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
HUDSON is 1-0 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.800.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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MIAMI (49 - 89) at PITTSBURGH (61 - 78) - 7:05 PM
ELIESER HERNANDEZ (R) vs. DARIO AGRAZAL (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 13-36 (-19.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 27-74 (-26.7 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 109-107 (+10.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 28-21 (+8.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
PITTSBURGH is 30-17 (+14.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 3-2 (+0.4 Units) against MIAMI this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.9 Units)

ELIESER HERNANDEZ vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
No recent starts.

DARIO AGRAZAL vs. MIAMI since 1997
AGRAZAL is 0-0 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

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CHICAGO CUBS (75 - 63) at MILWAUKEE (71 - 67) - 7:10 PM
JOSE QUINTANA (L) vs. CHASE ANDERSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1865-1895 (-269.9 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 22-28 (-11.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 27-39 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 11-21 (-12.4 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 214-236 (-55.7 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 10-19 (-10.3 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 38-41 (-8.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1385-1411 (-202.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 144-123 (-27.0 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 20-11 (+8.2 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
MILWAUKEE is 113-81 (+21.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 83-71 (+16.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 45-35 (+14.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 38-17 (+15.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 71-67 (-6.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 86-107 (-34.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Thursday since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 8-7 (+0.0 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
10 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+5.8 Units)

JOSE QUINTANA vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
QUINTANA is 8-4 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 2.65 and a WHIP of 0.996.
His team's record is 11-5 (+5.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-11. (-8.2 units)

CHASE ANDERSON vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
ANDERSON is 4-5 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 3.28 and a WHIP of 1.063.
His team's record is 6-7 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-8. (-5.8 units)

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WASHINGTON (78 - 60) at ATLANTA (86 - 54) - 7:20 PM
STEPHEN STRASBURG (R) vs. MAX FRIED (L)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 160-140 (-24.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 97-88 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 38-43 (-19.7 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 86-54 (+20.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 38-21 (+12.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
ATLANTA is 65-42 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ATLANTA is 65-44 (+13.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ATLANTA is 54-31 (+15.3 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
ATLANTA is 37-24 (+14.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
FRIED is 20-6 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
FRIED is 16-5 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
FRIED is 16-4 (+10.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season. (Team's Record)
FRIED is 12-1 (+11.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
WASHINGTON is 90-78 (+26.3 Units) against the money line in road games in September games since 1997.
STRASBURG is 29-11 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
STRASBURG is 41-15 (+21.2 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
STRASBURG is 34-17 (+15.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 6-6 (+0.8 Units) against ATLANTA this season
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.7 Units)

STEPHEN STRASBURG vs. ATLANTA since 1997
STRASBURG is 14-11 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 4.06 and a WHIP of 1.297.
His team's record is 17-16 (-8.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 16-16. (-2.3 units)

MAX FRIED vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
FRIED is 0-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 4.69 and a WHIP of 1.825.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

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CHI WHITE SOX (61 - 78) at CLEVELAND (81 - 59) - 1:10 PM
REYNALDO LOPEZ (R) vs. ZACH PLESAC (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 42-80 (-27.5 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 61-78 (+6.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 29-30 (+7.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 34-42 (+9.6 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
CLEVELAND is 172-133 (-28.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 57-50 (-25.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 27-27 (-22.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 122-94 (-21.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 92-78 (-29.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 8-7 (+6.6 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
8 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.1 Units)

REYNALDO LOPEZ vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
LOPEZ is 1-3 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.537.
His team's record is 1-4 (-2.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-2. (+0.8 units)

ZACH PLESAC vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
PLESAC is 0-1 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 0.714.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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DETROIT (40 - 97) at KANSAS CITY (51 - 89) - 1:15 PM
MATT BOYD (L) vs. GLENN SPARKMAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 40-97 (-37.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 17-49 (-26.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
DETROIT is 11-25 (-13.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 19-43 (-19.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
DETROIT is 29-78 (-33.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
DETROIT is 29-67 (-21.5 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
DETROIT is 23-40 (-13.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
DETROIT is 25-43 (-15.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 12-4 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in home games in September games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 40-32 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 40-32 (+11.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 51-89 (-21.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 323-451 (-112.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
KANSAS CITY is 16-33 (-15.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 9-9 (+0.2 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
9 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-1.0 Units, Under=-0.8 Units)

MATT BOYD vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
BOYD is 4-9 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 6.62 and a WHIP of 1.576.
His team's record is 8-10 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-11. (-6.2 units)

GLENN SPARKMAN vs. DETROIT since 1997
No recent starts.

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LA ANGELS (65 - 75) at OAKLAND (80 - 58) - 3:37 PM
JOSE SUAREZ (L) vs. CHRIS BASSITT (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 65-75 (-17.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 27-39 (-16.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
LA ANGELS are 31-44 (-15.5 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
LA ANGELS are 55-97 (-34.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 80-57 (+18.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 45-24 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
OAKLAND is 21-8 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in home games in September games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 67-44 (+19.4 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 25-11 (+14.0 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
OAKLAND is 47-33 (+11.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
OAKLAND is 88-47 (+28.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 42-13 (+23.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 211-186 (+38.2 Units) against the money line in road games in day games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 11-5 (+6.0 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
8 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-1.1 Units, Under=-0.9 Units)

JOSE SUAREZ vs. OAKLAND since 1997
No recent starts.

CHRIS BASSITT vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
BASSITT is 2-2 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 7.36 and a WHIP of 1.690.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-0. (+4.0 units)

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TEXAS (68 - 73) at BALTIMORE (46 - 93) - 7:05 PM
KOLBY ALLARD (L) vs. JOHN MEANS (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 2-1 (+0.7 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

KOLBY ALLARD vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
No recent starts.

JOHN MEANS vs. TEXAS since 1997
MEANS is 0-0 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 0.833.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

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TORONTO (55 - 85) at TAMPA BAY (82 - 59) - 7:10 PM
TRENT THORNTON (R) vs. AUSTIN PRUITT (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 35-58 (-19.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TAMPA BAY is 172-131 (+21.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 106-65 (+26.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 128-120 (+28.5 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
TAMPA BAY is 39-32 (-12.1 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 22-18 (-12.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 8-4 (-0.1 Units) against TORONTO this season
6 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.6 Units, Under=-0.6 Units)

TRENT THORNTON vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
THORNTON is 0-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 11.11 and a WHIP of 2.557.
His team's record is 0-3 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

AUSTIN PRUITT vs. TORONTO since 1997
PRUITT is 0-0 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 12.26 and a WHIP of 1.907.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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MINNESOTA (86 - 53) at BOSTON (75 - 64) - 7:10 PM
MARTIN PEREZ (L) vs. NATHAN EOVALDI (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 86-53 (+19.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 47-24 (+21.6 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
MINNESOTA is 55-32 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MINNESOTA is 69-37 (+22.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MINNESOTA is 36-17 (+14.3 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
BOSTON is 75-64 (-19.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BOSTON is 35-33 (-19.2 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
BOSTON is 161-145 (-50.3 Units) against the money line in home games in September games since 1997.
BOSTON is 20-24 (-13.7 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
BOSTON is 41-33 (-14.2 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
BOSTON is 24-35 (-18.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON is 9-16 (-10.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 3-2 (+0.8 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.8 Units)

MARTIN PEREZ vs. BOSTON since 1997
PEREZ is 2-2 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 5.68 and a WHIP of 1.816.
His team's record is 2-5 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-5. (-4.1 units)

NATHAN EOVALDI vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
EOVALDI is 3-3 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 5.50 and a WHIP of 1.306.
His team's record is 3-3 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-3. (-0.2 units)

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SEATTLE (58 - 82) at HOUSTON (90 - 50) - 8:10 PM
MARCO GONZALES (L) vs. WADE MILEY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 16-50 (-27.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
HOUSTON is 42-15 (+17.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
MILEY is 34-14 (+18.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MILEY is 17-4 (+12.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MILEY is 28-9 (+20.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SEATTLE is 71-79 (+5.4 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 28-24 (+8.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 101-96 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 4-9 (-12.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 41-35 (-27.3 Units) against the money line in home games against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 63-49 (-19.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 12-1 (+10.4 Units) against SEATTLE this season
7 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.3 Units)

MARCO GONZALES vs. HOUSTON since 1997
GONZALES is 0-4 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 6.65 and a WHIP of 1.826.
His team's record is 0-5 (-5.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-2. (+0.6 units)

WADE MILEY vs. SEATTLE since 1997
MILEY is 3-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 3.40 and a WHIP of 1.260.
His team's record is 6-1 (+5.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-3. (+0.8 units)

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[Udog]

First 5 innings:
Reds -.5 -120
Cards -.5 -120
A's -.5 -125


These all have last bats and a strong starter advantage. Early starts, though, can change everything. We'll see........

[Udog]

Diamond Trends - Thursday
Vince Akins

SU Play ON Trend of the Day:

-- The Cardinals are 16-0 SU as a 130-plus favorite when playing a team that is behind them in the standings.

SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

-- The Giants are 0-17 SU in the last game of a series as a road dog after a one-run win as a road dog.

OU Trend of the Day:

-- The Blue Jays are 13-0 OU in the first game of a series with rest as a road dog off a road game in which they had fewer team-left-on-base than their opponent.

Starter-Based Trend of the Day:

-- The Nationals are 13-0 SU in franchise history with Stephen Strasburg on the road after August when he threw at least 75 pitches in his last start. In these thirteen starts, Strasburg has allowed an average of 1.08 runs and struck out an average of 8.23 batters in an average of 6.46 innings of work.

[Udog]

By: Rohit Ponnaiya



STREAKING AND SLUMPING STARTERS

STREAKING

Sonny Gray, Cincinnati Reds (10-6, 2.80, $694): The Cincinnati starter is still Reds-hot (see what we did there?). Over Gray's last 12 games he's had 11 quality starts and last month he was practically unhittable. In August, Gray went 4-0 with a 0.74 ERA while holding opponents to a batting average of .142 through six starts.

Gray and the Reds are hosting the Phillies in afternoon action. Cincy is 7-0 in Gray's last seven starts at home and 7-1 over his previous eight starts overall. The Phillies will start Jason Vargas. Philadelphia is 2-4 in Vargas' six starts with the team, while he has has struggled with a 5.18 ERA. The Reds are -160 favorites.

SLUMPING

Matthew Boyd, Detroit Tigers (7-10, 4.58 ERA, $-945): Boyd was one of the few Tigers players that looked like he deserved to be in the big leagues, but even he is going through a rough spell lately. Over his last five starts he has an ERA of 8.00 while giving up 13 homers through 27 innings. The Tigers are just 3-13 in Boyd's last 16 starts.

Boyd and the Tigers are on the road today but are surprisingly not underdogs. They're playing another terrible team in the Kansas City Royals and another struggling starter in Glenn Sparkman. Sparkman is 3-10 with a 5.86 ERA and Kansas City is 0-8 in his last eight starts. Detroit is -124 and has been a road favorite just twice this season, losing both times.



3 STRIKES

CHASE THE ACE (AT HOME ANYWAY)

Milwaukee's Chase Anderson has been roughed up in two of his last three starts giving up five runs in four innings against the Cubs and 10 runs in under three innings versus the Nationals. That said, both of those games happened on the road where he has been atrocious all season going 1-2 with a 5.88 ERA, 1.63 WHIP and a batting average allowed of .301 in 12 games.

At home, Chase has been much better going 5-2 with a 3.63 ERA, 1.04 WHIP and a BAA of .206 through 15 outings.

Anderson and the Brewers are +110 underdogs at home against the Cubs today. The Cubs have been playing well recently but are still 11 games under .500 on the road this season while the Brewers are 8-3 over the last 11 meetings between the two sides in Milwaukee.

LEAVING THEIR HITTING HALOS AT HOME

Let’s start this by saying that it sucks that Mike Trout has wasted another amazing season playing for the Angels. Moving on. The Angels have really stunk on the road for most the last month or so, going just 3-15 in their last 18 road games, plating just 3.89 runs per game in the process.

The Halos continue their series in Oakland against the A’s, another place where they haven’t had much success. The Angels are 0-5 in the last five meetings in this matchup and 3-8 in the last 11 games in Oakland. Consider the A’s on the runline this afternoon.

NOT SO TROPICAL ROAD TRIP

Even though they won their last series there, the Blue Jays have been historically bad when playing at Tropicana Field. Get this. Toronto is just 36-75 in their last 111 games visiting the Rays. Just 36 of 111 games! And the Rays haven’t been that good the whole time.

Trent Thornton gets the ball for the Jays tonight as they face the Rays as +170 underdogs. Thornton's been roughed up by the Rays this season, allowing 14 runs in just 11.1 innings pitched. This feels like a Rays runline at home night.

[Udog]

First 5 innings:
Reds -.5 -120
Cards -.5 -120
A's -.5 -125


These all have last bats and a strong starter advantage. Early starts, though, can change everything. We'll see........

Reds -.5 -120 L
Cards -.5 -120 W
A's -.5 -125 L

-1.45

5-5 -1.10 for Sep.

July: 24-11-8 +11.35
August: 28-24-3 +0.08

I can't get any traction at all since July 31! Come on playoffs!