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**Udog** · 07-01-2019, 07:09 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Spreads for football games on August 30/31:

— Purdue (-9) vs Nevada

— Memphis (-6) vs Ole Miss

— Eastern Michigan (-5) vs Coastal Carolina

— South Carolina (-7.5) vs North Carolina

— Virginia Tech (-2.5) vs Boston College

— Florida State (-4.5) vs Boise State

**********

Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Happy Canada Day, everyone……

13) On Thursday, Nate Lashley was the #353 golfer in the world rankings; he was the last guy in the field in Detroit this week. Then he shot 25-under for the week and won $1,314,000 and a two-year exemption on Tour. Pretty good week.

In 2004, Lashley lost his parents and girlfriend in a plane crash; seven years later, he almost quit golf to become a real estate agent. The guy deserves some good stuff to happen.

12) Brooklyn Nets made the biggest splash in NBA free agency, throwing $164M at Kevin Durant, plus signing Kyrie Irving and DeAndre Jordan.

Durant has a torn achilles and is over 30; no guarantees they won’t look foolish pretty soon.

11) Knicks didn’t offer Durant a max contract, which actually makes sense; its the Knicks doing a sensible thing that doesn’t make sense.

10) Darren Collison has earned $43,343,141 in his NBA career, playing for five different teams in nine years, but he suddenly retired this week at age 31, citing religious reasons. He would’ve probably earned a contract of $10-12M for this season.

9) 76ers lost Jimmy Butler to Miami, JJ Redick to New Orleans, then gave Tobias Harris $180M over five years, which is astounding. Harris’ agent must still be drinking champagne.

8) Minnesota Twins are 53-30, have two All-Stars.

New York Mets are 38-47, have three All-Stars. Go figure.

7) Baseball stuff:
— Oakland put OF Stephen Piscotty (knee) on the IL.
— Braves put P Anthony Swarzak (shoulder) on the IL.

6) This is when you know a fan base is 100% spoiled: Red Sox’ GM Dave Dombrowski was getting roasted pretty good this weekend on social media, thanks to the failure of the Boston bullpen this season.

Red Sox made the playoffs last three years, won 108 games and World Series LY, you might want to take a deep breath and appreciate the four World Series you’ve won since 2004.

5) Biggest differential, NL home vs. road ERA

1. Dodgers 1.72 lower at home

2. Padres 1.55

4) Seattle Mariners got only one All-Star; Daniel Vogelbach over Domingo Santana is an odd choice, seeing how Santana has 14 more RBI and 28 more hits; Vogelbach has 22 more walks.

3) Neither Bryce Harper or Manny Machado is an All-Star, except on payday.

2) There are 31 first-time All-Stars, the most since 2016.

1) Happy Canada Day to our neighbors to the north.

**Udog** · 07-01-2019, 07:11 AM

Ballpark Figures - Week 15
Joe Williams

Canada Day

The Kansas City Royals and Toronto Blue Blues Jays square off in an afternoon game on Monday on Canada Day, the equivalent of July 4 in the United States. It's a battle between RHP Glenn Sparkman and LHP Clayton Richard, so the runs could be plentiful at Rogers Centre on the holiday.

Kansas City limps in with 20 wins over the past 69 on the road, but they're 4-1 in the past five road outings against a left-handed starting pitcher. However, they're just 2-11 in the past 13 games on astroturf, and 1-5 in the past six in Game 4 of a series. They're also 15-39 in the past 54 games inside the American League East. While they've had some success lately against southpaws, remember they're also 17-35 across the past 52 vs. LHP.

Toronto looks to rebound after losing Sunday's game. They're 3-8 across the past 11 games at home, while going 17-39 in the past 56 games overall. The Jays are also a dismal 17-35 in the past 52 games against a right-handed starting pitcher, and 2-9 in the previous 11 against RHP at home. Both teams have had a case of the Mondays, too. Kansas City is 6-22 in the past 28 games played on a Monday, while the Jays are a rough 3-13 in their past 16 on Monday.

As far as the total is concerned, the over is 7-3-1 in the past 11 games on the road, and 5-0 in the past five vs. LHP. They're also 6-2-1 in the past nine against American League East foes. The Jays have hit the over in four of their past five home outings, and 7-2 in the past nine vs. RHP. The over is also 13-4-1 in the past 18 games overall, while also going 4-1-1 in the past six meetings in Toronto.

Looking Ahead

Monday, July 1

There are just five evening games on Monday, but all of them are divisional battles.

The Cubs are 3-10 in the past 13 games on the road, and 3-9 in the past 12 on the road vs. RHP. The Pirates have won four home games in a row, and seven of the past 10 overall. They're also 4-0 in the past four at home vs. RHP. In this series, the Cubs have won four of the past five, while the under is 9-2 in the past 11 meetings, including 4-0 in the past four in Pittsburgh. The under is also 5-0 in Trevor Williams' past five outings against the Cubs.

The Brewers have won four of the past five inside the division, but they're 1-5 in the past six on the road. The Reds have won six of the past seven at home, and they're 8-3 in the past 11 against teams with a winning overall mark. However, they're also 2-8 in RHP Tyler Mahle's past 10 starts against winning teams, and 5-16 in his past 21 outings overall.

The Orioles have managed to win just 20 of their past 81 on the road, and they're a dismal 5-23 in the past 28 on astrotruf. The Rays have enjoyed playing on Mondays, going 22-5 in the past 27 on the day. RHP Ryne Stanek is the opener, and Tampa Bay is 19-7 in his past 26 starts at home, and 21-9 in his past 30 overall. The O's are 3-14 in their past 17 trips to St. Pete, and 2-7 in the past nine meetings overall. The over is 10-4 in the past 14 meetings, 7-1 in the past eight in St. Pete and 4-0 in Stanek's past four starts against the O's.

The Angels travel to meet the Rangers, and they're just 14-38 in the past 52 road games against winning teams, and 1-4 in the past five inside the division. Texas is 7-1 in the past eight at home vs. LHP, while going 5-0 in the past five starts by All-Star LHP Mike Minor. They're also 5-2 in his past seven starts overall at home. The Halos have won just once in the past five in Arlington, too. The under is 20-7 in the past 27 meetings, 5-2 in the past seven in Arlington and 4-0 in Minor's past four vs. LAA.

The Giants have won just two of the past nine starts by RHP Jeff Samardzija. They're also 5-11 in his past 16 on the road, and 6-20 in his last 26 against teams with a winning overall mark. San Francisco is also 1-4 in the past five vs. LHP, and 0-4 in the past four at home against southpaws. San Diego has won four of the past five overall, and five of the past six at home. They're also 4-1 in the past five at home against San Francisco. In this series, the under is 4-0 in the past four meetings in San Diego, and 7-3 in the past 10 meetings overall.

Weather Report
There are only four outdoor games on Monday, and only the Angels and Rangers will be affected by the elements. They'll be facing a stiff 10-13 mph wind blowing in from right field to home plate.

Tuesday, July 2

The Red Sox use LHP David Price against the Blue Jays, a team which has been brutal against southpaws. Boston has won 14 of the past 17 starts by Price against teams with a losing overall mark, and they're 30-12 across his past 42 starts overall. The Blue Jays have won just two of the past seven starts by RHP Trent Thornton, and they're 2-5 in his past seven at home, too. In addition, Toronto is just 3-8 in the past 11 at home, 8-22 in the past 30 against winning teams and 20-48 in the past 68 against left-handed starting pitchers. In this series the Red Sox are a perfect 5-0 in Price's past five against the Jays, while going 20-6 in the past 26 at Rogers Centre.

The New York Yankees and New York Mets renew acquaintances in their interleague rivalry, this time at Citi Field in Queens. The Yankees, fresh off an offensive show in London in their two-game sweep of the Red Sox, use LHP James Paxton against RHP Zack Wheeler of the Mets. The Yankees are 4-0 in their past four road games, and 23-7 in the past 30 against losing teams. They're also 37-14 in the past 51 against teams with a right-handed starting pitcher. They're 8-2 in Paxton's past 10 starts overall, too. The Mets have lost seven of the past eight games overall, and they're 2-5 in the past seven at home. They're 4-0 in Wheeler's past four home outings, but just 1-4 in his past five against winning teams.

The Cardinals and Mariners kick off an interleague series on Tuesday night at T-Mobile Park in Seattle. RHP Jack Flaherty takes the ball for the Cards, while RHP Matt Carasiti is the opener, with LHP Wade LeBlanc to follow. St. Louis has won just one of the past six, and they're 2-5 in Flaherty's past seven starts overall. They're also 3-8 in his past 11 road outings, and 1-5 in his past six interleague starts. The Mariners are 4-1 in the past five outings at home, but just 19-40 in the past 59 games overall. They're also 0-5 in the past five interleague home outings, and 7-19 in the past 26 interleague battles.

Weather Report
The Angels and Rangers will again be the first trouble spot of Tuesday's slate. They're again face a stiff 11-14 mph wind blowing in from right field into the face of the batters. It's the opposite for the Astros and Rockies, as they face a 10-13 mph wind blowing out to the left-center field power alley for their interleague series opener. The Twins and Athletics face a 9-12 mph wind blowing out to straightaway center field in Oakland. The good news is that there is no precipitation in the forecast.

**Udog** · 07-01-2019, 07:15 AM

Max Scherzer and the best (and worst) MLB pitchers to bet on in July
Marc Lawrence

Washington pitcher Max Scherzer is one of the top pitchers in the business and has a habit of throwing the ball exceptionally well during the month of July.

Independence Day Fireworks and the MLB All-Star game always go hand-in-hand during the month of July. It also signals the start of the second half of the MLB campaign. And as we’ve come to learn, the key to every team’s fortune lies with the pitching staff.

Can these pitchers sew up critical wins or will they unravel like a Salvation Army suit? Stay tuned. What we do know is that certain pitchers love hurling this time of the season while others tend to get lit up like a roman candle.

Listed below are hurlers that have enjoyed a two-to-one or better success ratio in team-starts over the course of the last three seasons during the month of July. On the flip side, we've also listed pitchers that struggle in July, winning 33% percent or less of their team-start efforts.

To qualify pitchers must have made a minimum of 10 starts, with at least one start each July over the last three years. And for your convenience alongside each record, we break down each pitcher’s greatest success, or greatest failure rate either home (H) or away (A) within his good or bad month.

Note: * designates a categorical repeat appearance by this pitcher (none this month), maintaining status quo from last season’s July list.

GOOD MONTH PITCHERS

Boyd, Matthew • Detroit Tigers • 8-4 (5-1 A)

The emerging ace was rumored to be in trade talks with the New York Yankees, but it appeared Detroit’s asking price was too high. He was on a 6-2 dog run until a recent 0-5 effort since mid-May reared its head. Boyd is distantly related to Hall Of Fame hurler Bob Feller.

Carrasco, Carlos • Cleveland Indians • 10-4 (5-2 A)

Out with a blood condition, no timetable for his return.

Chacin, Jhoulys • Milwaukee Brewers • 9-2 (5-0 H)

Chacin is having a very difficult season at 3-8 with a 5.60 ERA. His inability to spot pitches has really hurt him, allowing more walks and home runs after last year's 15-8 campaign. Let's see if July perks him up.

Cole, Gerrit • Houston Astros • 9-4 (5-2 A)

Cole is having a very good year with only one issue, but it still counts. Opposing batters are hitting just .211 against him, compared to .240 lifetime. His ERA is very close to his career norm of 3.38, but like most pitchers this season he's been plagued by the long ball, with 16 allowed after permitting 19 in all of 2018.

Hendricks, Kyle • Chicago Cubs • 8-4 (5-2 H)

Currently on the DL with a shoulder impingement, and Cubs officials have stated they will take their time to get Hendricks 100 percent healthy.

Hill, Rich • Los Angeles Dodgers • 9-3 (5-1 A)

This dude is 39 years old and a little crazy but is super effective. Nobody we've seen in recent years swears as much out loud as Hill, as you don't even have to be a lip reader to see that. However, the left-hander is ultra-competitive and has more variations of the curveball than an out of town salesman has singles going to a strip club. Unfortunately, Hill has a strained flexor tendon in his forearm and probably won't pitch this month.

Paxton, James • New York Yankees • 10-5 (6-2 A)

Because the Yankees have played so well, Paxton having an ERA a run higher than his career norm has been overlooked. He's catching too much of the plate and surrendering too many base-knocks. His worst outings are easy to tell, as his fly ball to groundball ratio is at least 2-to-1. Manager Aaron Boone is looking for a turn around in July.

Quintana, Jose • Chicago Cubs • 11-3 (6-0 A)

Quintana's been in a major slump and the Cubs really need him to come out of it. Almost nothing has worked for the 30-year of late and you can tell by his body language that if he allows a hit or a walk to start an inning, trouble is brewing. His inability to work inside, up and down the strike zone is hurting him.

Scherzer, Max • Washington Nationals • 11-4 (8-1 A)

Mad Max – the best hurler in MLB - is a regular on our monthly charts and he's back to mowing down batters after a sluggish start. Always known for great control and striking out hitters, Scherzer is at nearly an insane 8-to-1 for strikeouts to walks this season. Warning label: This guy is hotter than a firecracker!

Wacha, Michael • St. Louis Cardinals • 7-3 (5-1 H)

Its clear Wacha is not right this season, battling an assortment of injuries, all of which are all contributing to lackluster results so far. It's hard to determine when and if he will feel as close to 100 percent as possible, but maybe the heat of July will loosen everything up.

BAD MONTH PITCHERS

Bumgarner, Madison • San Francisco Giants • 4-10 (0-6 A)

Mad Bum has been an elite pitcher for a long time, but did you realize he's not had a winning season since 2016? Granted, the Giants are not close to their championship ways in the first part of this decade, but shouldn't he have a better record than 14-23 the last three years? Could be more of the same this month.

Leake, Mike • Seattle Mariners • 5-10 (2-5 H)

Mike Leake was never a great pitcher, as his 100-94 career record proves. At 31, he's lost something off the fastball and his breaking pitches no longer have the same bite. At this juncture, he's a back of the rotation hurler on a losing team, just like the one he's on in Seattle.

Matz, Steven • New York Mets • 4-12 (1-6 H)

The lefthander has never quite figured it out. At times Matz has looked devastating for innings at a time, then, he allows four or five runs and is yanked out of the game. In his five years with the Mets, he's given up better than a hit an inning and that is no recipe for success. Expect the negative numbers to continue.

Ray, Robbie • Arizona • 3-12 (1-7 A)

A super talented lefty who's never solved the mental part of the game. Ray averages 1.2 strikeouts an inning, which is high-level stuff for a starter. His problem is he can be sailing along for five or six innings, then, two walks, a single and home run allowed and suddenly Ray's given up a four-spot just like that. Focus has always been his undoing, particularly in July it seems.

Samardzija, Jeff • San Francisco Giants • 3-9 (1-4 A)

Samardzija's main attribute is that he's gotten paid along the way to still be pitching at 34 and making close to 20 million a year, despite having a 73-99 career record. Obviously, he's had a great agent. Samards use to have a decent sinker/slider mix, but at his current age, the velocity has dropped and too often he's tossing slop, while just trying to miss bats, without a great deal of success.

Teheran, Julio • Atlanta Braves • 5-10 (2-6 A)

Once thought of as an ace, the 28-year is just another pitcher who makes mistakes at the most critical times, which causes him and Atlanta to lose. His .225 batting average allowed this season is below what he's done in the past (.235), but too much nibbling has led to too many free passes and ultimately Teheran gets burned.

**Udog** · 07-01-2019, 07:17 AM

MLB
Weather Report

Monday, July 1

**Udog** · 07-01-2019, 07:17 AM

951Chicago Cubs -952 Pittsburgh
PITTSBURGH is 15-24 SU (-16.1 Units) with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL) in the current season.

953Milwaukee -954 Cincinnati
MILWAUKEE is 5-13 SU (-12.7 Units) in road games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better in the current season.

955San Francisco -956 San Diego
SAN DIEGO is 21-34 SU (-22 Units) vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the current season.

957Kansas City -958 Toronto
KANSAS CITY is 26-35 SU (-20.1 Units) vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the current season.

959Baltimore -960 Tampa Bay
BALTIMORE is 19-37 SU (-21.9 Units) vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better in the current season.

961La Angels -962 Texas
TEXAS are 25-11 SU (15.3 Units) vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse in the current season.

**Udog** · 07-01-2019, 07:20 AM

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, July 1

National League
Cubs (45-39) @ Pirates (39-43)
Alzolay allowed one run in 4.2 IP (87 PT) in his first MLB start. Team in his starts: 0-1
5-inning record: 1-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-1 Over/under: 0-1

Williams is 0-1, 7.05 in his last three starts; he is starts vs Chicago. Team in his starts: 7-4
5-inning record: 2-6-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-11 Over/under: 5-6

Cubs are 6-15 in last 21 road games, 0-5 in last five road series openers- under is 4-2-2 in their last eight road games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-1 last five road games.

Pittsburgh won its last four home games, is 4-8 in home series openers- their last three games stayed under. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 6-3 last nine games.

Brewers (45-39) @ Reds (38-43)
Houser is 0-2, 9.00 in three starts (8 IP). Team in his starts: 1-2
5-inning record: 1-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-3 Over/under: 1-2

Mahle is 0-3, 5.48 in his last four starts; he is starts vs Milwaukee. Team in his starts: 4-11
5-inning record: 4-10-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-15 Over/under: last four under

Brewers won three of last four games, are 5-7 in road series openers- their last five games stayed under. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-0 last five games.

Cincinnati won six of last seven home games; they’re 6-6 in home series openers- under is 8-2-1 in their last 11 home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-1 last five home games.

Giants (36-47) @ Padres (42-41)
Samardzija is 1-3, 7.17 in his last four starts; he is vs SD. Team in his starts: 7-9
5-inning record: 4-7-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-16 Over/under: over 9-4 last 13

Allen is 2-0, 1.38 in his first two MLB starts. Team in his starts: 2-0
5-inning record: 2-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-2 Over/under: 1-1

Giants lost six of last nine road games, are 8-5 in road series openers- over is 9-4 in their last 13 road games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 4-1 last five road games.

San Diego won five of last six home games; they’re 8-0 in last eight home series openers- over is 4-1-1 in their last six games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-2 last seven home games.

American League
Royals (29-55) @ Blue Jays (31-53)
Sparkman is 1-1, 5.60 in his last three starts. Team in his starts: 3-4
5-inning record: 3-3-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-7 Over/under: 4-3

Richard is 0-3, 9.16 in his last four starts; he is starts vs KC. Team in his starts: 2-5
5-inning record: 3-3-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-7 Over/under: 3-2-2

Royals lost six of last nine games; under is 6-4 in their last ten games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-3 last nine road games.

Toronto is 6-10 in its last 16 games; eight of their last 11 games went over. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-3 last seven games.

Orioles (24-59) @ Rays (48-36)
Yacabonis allowed five runs in 4.2 IP in two opens. Team in his starts: 0-2
5-inning record: 0-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-2 Over/under: 2-0

Morton is 0-2, 4.82 in his last three starts; he is vs Baltimore. Team in his starts: 10-7
5-inning record: 8-5-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-17 Over/under: 7-8-2

Baltimore lost 14 of last 18 games; they’re 2-11 in road series openers- over is 9-2 in their last 11 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-2 last eight games.

Rays won three of last four games, are 7-6 in home series openers; three of their last four games stayed under. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 4-1-1 last six home games.

Angels (42-43) @ Rangers (46-38)
Suarez is 2-1, 5.57 in four starts (21 IP). Team in his starts: 2-2
5-inning record: 2-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-4 Over/under: 2-1-1

Minor is 3-0, 1.93 in his last three starts; he is 1-0, 0.60 in two starts vs LAA this year. Team in his starts: 10-7
5-inning record: 5-9-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-17 Over/under: under 7-0 last seven

Angels lost their last three games, are 7-4 in last 11 road series openers- under is 6-3 in their last nine games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-2 last six road games.

Rangers won six of their last eight games; they’re 4-10 in home series openers- under is 7-3 in their last ten games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-2-1 last seven games.

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total)
Team (road-home-total)- thru 6/28
Ariz 15-45……9-36…….24
Atl 12-40…..14-38……26
Cubs 10-34……15-44…..25
Reds 14-41……12-33…..26
Colo 10-42…16-37…….25
LA 10-40……18-39……28
Mia 7-36……10-42…….17
Milw 14-36…..16-42…..30
Mets 17-46……9-33……26
Philly 8-37…..16-42…….24
Pitt 12-41…..9-35……..21
StL 10-38…..8-38……..18
SD 14-37……10-41…..24
SF 4-39……8-41……..12
Wash 13-39…..12-37……,25

Orioles 12-38…….15-37…..27
Boston 8-40……..11-38…….19
W Sox 9-41…….14-35……..23
Clev 12-34…..13-42……..25
Det 11-34……12-41……..23
Astros 14-39…..9-43………23
KC 10-40…..15-39……..25
Angels 15-42……10-36…….25
Twins 15-42……10-39……24
NYY 12-35……14-44……26
A’s 7-43…….10-38……17
Sea 10-43…..13-41…….23
TB 16-42…..12-36…….28
Texas 13-37…..14-41…….27
Toronto 10-40…..11-38…….21

Interleague play- 2019
NL @ AL– 40-35 NL, favorites -$1,420 over 37-33-2
AL @ NL– 35-26 NL, favorites -$869 over 36-26-2
Total: 75-61 NL, favorites -$2,289 Over 73-59-4

**Udog** · 07-01-2019, 07:24 AM

MLB

Monday, July 1

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Trend Report
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Kansas City Royals
Kansas City is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games
Kansas City is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Kansas City is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Kansas City is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Toronto
Kansas City is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing Toronto
Kansas City is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Kansas City is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Toronto is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Toronto's last 11 games
Toronto is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games at home
Toronto is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games at home
Toronto is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Kansas City
Toronto is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Kansas City
Toronto is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Kansas City
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing at home against Kansas City

Chicago Cubs
Chi Cubs is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Chi Cubs is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games on the road
Chi Cubs is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Chi Cubs's last 11 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games
Pittsburgh is 6-14 ATS in its last 20 games at home
Pittsburgh is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Pittsburgh's last 17 games at home
Pittsburgh is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Pittsburgh's last 11 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs

Baltimore Orioles
Baltimore is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games
Baltimore is 3-14 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baltimore's last 8 games
Baltimore is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
Baltimore is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Baltimore is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games on the road
Baltimore is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Tampa Bay
Baltimore is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Baltimore's last 14 games when playing Tampa Bay
Baltimore is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Baltimore is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Baltimore's last 8 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games
Tampa Bay is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games at home
Tampa Bay is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
Tampa Bay is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Baltimore
Tampa Bay is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Tampa Bay's last 14 games when playing Baltimore
Tampa Bay is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games when playing at home against Baltimore

Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
Milwaukee is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Milwaukee is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Milwaukee is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
Milwaukee is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Milwaukee's last 13 games when playing Cincinnati
Milwaukee is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Cincinnati is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of Cincinnati's last 24 games
Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Cincinnati is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cincinnati's last 11 games at home
Cincinnati is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
Cincinnati is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Cincinnati's last 13 games when playing Milwaukee
Cincinnati is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

Los Angeles Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Angels's last 6 games
LA Angels is 15-7 ATS in its last 22 games on the road
LA Angels is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Texas
LA Angels is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing Texas
LA Angels is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games when playing Texas
LA Angels is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Angels's last 7 games when playing on the road against Texas
Texas Rangers
Texas is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Texas is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Texas's last 7 games
Texas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Texas is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Texas's last 24 games at home
Texas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Angels
Texas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing LA Angels
Texas is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games when playing LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games when playing LA Angels
Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas's last 7 games when playing at home against LA Angels

San Francisco Giants
San Francisco is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
San Francisco is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games on the road
San Francisco is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Francisco's last 10 games when playing San Diego
San Francisco is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Diego
San Francisco is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Diego
San Diego Padres
San Diego is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
San Diego is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
San Diego is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
San Diego is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
San Diego is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Diego's last 10 games when playing San Francisco
San Diego is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Francisco
San Diego is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing at home against San Francisco

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 07-01-2019, 08:41 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Monday, July 1

Kansas City @ Toronto

Game 957-958
July 1, 2019 @ 1:07 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
(Sparkman) 14.850
Toronto
(Richard) 16.757
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 2
12
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-145
10 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-145); Over

Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh

Game 951-952
July 1, 2019 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Cubs
(Alzolay) 16.157
Pittsburgh
(Williams) 13.159
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago Cubs
by 3
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-125
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago Cubs
(-125); Under

Milwaukee @ Cincinnati

Game 953-954
July 1, 2019 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
(Houser) 16.554
Cincinnati
(Mahle) 14.779
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
-115
10
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(-115); Under

Baltimore @ Tampa Bay

Game 959-960
July 1, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
(Eshelman) 13.848
Tampa Bay
(Stanek) 15.029
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
N/A

LA Angels @ Texas

Game 961-962
July 1, 2019 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Angels
(Suarez) 15.941
Texas
(Minor) 14.115
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Angels
by 2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas
-140
10
Dunkel Pick:
LA Angels
(+120); Under

San Francisco @ San Diego

Game 955-956
July 1, 2019 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
(Smrdzja) 11.804
San Diego
(Allen) 14.944
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego
by 3
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Diego
-170
8
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego
(-170); Under

**Udog** · 07-01-2019, 08:46 AM

MLB
Long Sheet

Monday, July 1

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO CUBS (45 - 39) at PITTSBURGH (39 - 43) - 7:05 PM
ADBERT ALZOLAY (R) vs. TREVOR WILLIAMS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1835-1871 (-270.5 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 471-490 (-101.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 19-30 (-14.6 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1361-1394 (-206.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 885-813 (-157.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 121-122 (+8.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 35-26 (+14.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 17-9 (+9.9 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 56-49 (+15.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 673-600 (+63.2 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 91-84 (+13.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 2-1 (+0.3 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

ADBERT ALZOLAY vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
No recent starts.

TREVOR WILLIAMS vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
WILLIAMS is 1-4 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 3.69 and a WHIP of 1.421.
His team's record is 1-5 (-3.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-1. (+3.9 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (45 - 39) at CINCINNATI (38 - 43) - 7:10 PM
ADRIAN HOUSER (R) vs. TYLER MAHLE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 24-29 (-12.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 4-12 (-9.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 26-19 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CINCINNATI is 27-23 (+9.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MILWAUKEE is 147-110 (+25.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 107-99 (+21.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 20-9 (+12.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 109-74 (+26.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 41-70 (-23.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 428-458 (-102.5 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 6-3 (+2.2 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.5 Units)

ADRIAN HOUSER vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
No recent starts.

TYLER MAHLE vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
MAHLE is 0-1 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 2.53 and a WHIP of 1.874.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN FRANCISCO (36 - 47) at SAN DIEGO (42 - 41) - 10:10 PM
JEFF SAMARDZIJA (R) vs. LOGAN ALLEN (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SAMARDZIJA is 91-131 (-47.6 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
SAMARDZIJA is 36-60 (-32.4 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
SAMARDZIJA is 10-26 (-16.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 9-4 (+9.4 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 219-170 (+41.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday since 1997.
SAN DIEGO is 53-70 (-21.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 5-20 (-12.5 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 34-54 (-23.3 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 27-42 (-18.4 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 19-27 (-12.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 5-4 (-0.2 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.6 Units)

JEFF SAMARDZIJA vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
SAMARDZIJA is 7-3 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 3.54 and a WHIP of 1.121.
His team's record is 10-6 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 10-6. (+3.2 units)

LOGAN ALLEN vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS CITY (29 - 55) at TORONTO (31 - 53) - 1:07 PM
GLENN SPARKMAN (R) vs. CLAYTON RICHARD (L)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 29-55 (-16.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 7-20 (-11.6 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
TORONTO is 15-26 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
TORONTO is 164-182 (-53.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 10 to 10.5 since 1997.
TORONTO is 18-36 (-17.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 2-1 (+0.8 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

GLENN SPARKMAN vs. TORONTO since 1997
SPARKMAN is 0-0 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.250.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

CLAYTON RICHARD vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
RICHARD is 2-2 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 5.73 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BALTIMORE (24 - 59) at TAMPA BAY (48 - 36) - 7:10 PM
TOM ESHELMAN (R) vs. RYAN STANEK (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 2-3 (+0.8 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

TOM ESHELMAN vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
No recent starts.

RYAN STANEK vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
STANEK is 0-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 6.43 and a WHIP of 1.429.
His team's record is 3-2 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-1. (+3.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA ANGELS (42 - 43) at TEXAS (46 - 38) - 8:05 PM
JOSE SUAREZ (L) vs. MIKE MINOR (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 15-24 (-13.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
LA ANGELS are 11-19 (-10.7 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
LA ANGELS are 45-80 (-30.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 46-38 (+17.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 28-15 (+17.9 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
TEXAS is 13-5 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents this season.
TEXAS is 30-25 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TEXAS is 20-18 (+8.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
TEXAS is 26-18 (+10.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
TEXAS is 6-17 (-14.2 Units) against the money line in home games in July games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 5-5 (+1.0 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.9 Units)

JOSE SUAREZ vs. TEXAS since 1997
No recent starts.

MIKE MINOR vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
MINOR is 3-0 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 2.03 and a WHIP of 1.161.
His team's record is 4-1 (+3.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-4. (-3.3 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 07-01-2019, 01:48 PM

Diamond Trends - Monday
Vince Akins

SU Play ON Trend of the Day:

-- The Rangers are 17-0 SU as a favorite of more than 135 in the first game of a series when seeking same-season revenge for a loss.

SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

-- The Angels are 0-12 SU as a road dog when one game below 500.

Batter-Based Trend of the Day:

-- The Angels are 6-0 SU since Jul 22, 2018 as a dog off a home game in which Mike Trout struck out at least twice.

Starter-Based Trend of the Day:

-- The Rangers are 0-9 OU with Mike Minor when he threw over 100 pitches in his last start, staying under by an average of three runs per game.

**Udog** · 07-01-2019, 01:50 PM

by: Andrew Caley

STREAKING AND SLUMPING STARTERS

STREAKING

Logan Allen, San Diego Padres (2-0, 1.38, $254): John Cena be damned! Not only has Allen made the Majors, he is now our streaking starter. For those who don’t know Cena at one point bet Allen $1 he wouldn’t make the MLB as a motivational tacit, then personally paid him the $1 on the field during his first start.

Allen, another one of the Padres top prospects, has allowed just two runs on 11 hits in his first 13 innings of work. The rookie southpaw will look to keep it rolling when the Padres host the Giants tonight. San Diego is a -160 home favorite with a total of 8.

SLUMPING

Jeff Samardzija, San Francisco Giants (4-7, 4.52 ERA, $-48): It’s been a rough year for the Giants from top to bottom, and it’s been no different for Samardzija. The towering right-hander could be one of the pierces the Giants try to move, but he isn’t doing much to enhance his trade value.

Samardzija has been roughed up to the tune of a 7.88 ERA and a 1.62 WHIP over his last three starts. He and the Giants are currently +145 road dogs for Monday night’s matchup with the Padres. The total sits at 8.

3 STRIKES

CANADA DAY FIREWORKS

The Jays young bats have turned it around lately, bumping their average to .279, while plating 6.35 runs per game over their last 10, resulting in the Over going 7-3. And the Royals Glenn Sparkman and a sub par bullpen shouldn’t change that. While Toronto throws out Clayton Richard and maybe a worse bullpen. The Jays may not win, but we should get fireworks either way! Take the Over 10.5.

NOT HIS FAULT

The Pirates Trevor Williams takes the ball at home tonight against the visiting Cubs, which provides a bit of a sore spot for Williams. Despite pitching to a 3.68 ERA in six career starts against the Cubs, the Pirates are just 1-5 in those games. Williams is still shaking off the rust from an IL stint, giving up four home runs in his last two starts after giving up four in his previous nine. But he still has a nice WHIP of 1.19, so the signs are there. Expect him to get back on track tonight. While the Pirates lineup, that hits right-handers surprisingly well, will have a chance against Cubs rookie Adbert Alzolay. The home team has decent value as a +110 home dog.

MAHLE-ING THE BREWERS

There’s another NL Central showdown getting underway today as the Reds host the Brewers. Milwaukee is another team going with an opener today as Adrian Houser gets the ball, while Cincy counters with Tyler Mahle. While Mahle has a 2-8 record, he has pitched much better than that, particularly at home. He has a 4.35 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP overall this season and at home those numbers drop to 2.96 and a 1.13. Additionally, in two career starts against the Brewers, Mahle has allowed three earned runs on 13 hits while racking up 18 punchouts in 10.2 innings pitched. The Reds have good value at basically a Pick'em.

**BettorsChat** · 07-01-2019, 02:05 PM

Stats Plays of The Day

952 Pirates +110
Cubs are 16-21 since May 23, 2019
Pirates are 7-3 since Jun 19, 2019

954 Reds -105
Brewers are 9-17 since Apr 14, 2019 as a dog.
Brewers are 6-14 since Apr 14, 2019 as a road dog.
Brewers are 6-10 since Jun 14, 2019.
Reds are 6-1 since Jun 16, 2019 at home.

**Udog** · 07-01-2019, 03:47 PM

MLB's Top Money Teams (based on $100 moneyline wager per game):

1. Rangers (46-38) $1780
2. Twins (53-30) $1761
3. Dodgers (57-29) $1342
4. Yankees (54-28) $1226
5. White Sox (39-42) $1060
6. Braves (50-35) $1041

MLB's Worst Money Teams (based on $100 moneyline wager per game):

30. Orioles (24-59) $-1891
29. Red Sox (44-40) $-1745
28. Blue Jays (31-53) $-1698
27. Mets (38-47) $-1696
26. Royals (29-55) $-1579
25. Tigers (27-52) $-1417

**BettorsChat** · 07-02-2019, 09:41 AM

Originally posted by BettorsChat View Post

952 Pirates +110 WIN
Cubs are 16-21 since May 23, 2019
Pirates are 7-3 since Jun 19, 2019

954 Reds -105 LOSS
Brewers are 9-17 since Apr 14, 2019 as a dog.
Brewers are 6-14 since Apr 14, 2019 as a road dog.
Brewers are 6-10 since Jun 14, 2019.
Reds are 6-1 since Jun 16, 2019 at home.

1-1 +0.05

Announcement

Monday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 7/1

Monday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 7/1

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