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**Udog** · 10-14-2018, 09:54 AM

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

Top 6 picks in Week 6 of Westgate SuperBook NFL handicapping contest (3,123 entries)

1) Steelers +2.5 (1,092)

2) Patriots -3.5 (1,004)

3) Jaguars -3 (838)

4) Bears -3 (799)

5) Colts +2.5 (773)

6) Falcons -3.5 (766)

Season record: 13-15-2

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Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a college football Saturday

13) Michigan State 21, Penn State 17— To paraphrase Bill Raftery, Spartans coach Mark Dantonio has onions; MSU tried a fake FG with 5:31 left, down 17-14- it didn’t work, but they got the ball back and didn’t just play for tying FG- they threw a GW TD pass with 0:19 left.

If you remember, Michigan State beat Notre Dame a few years back by scoring a TD on a fake FG in OT. You can’t play scared and be a great coach.

12) Tennessee 30, Auburn 24— Vols snapped an 11-game SEC losing streak, ending a six-game skid vs Auburn- their last win over the Tigers was in 1999.

Auburn is 1-3 in SEC play and obviously, they haven’t played Alabama yet; Auburn has fired coaches for less- they canned Gene Chizik in 2012, two years after he won a national title.

11) Virginia Tech 22, North Carolina 19— What is a quarterback? You can use all the numbers you want, but the essence of what a QB is/should be was summed up by Hokies’ QB Ryan Willis, who led an 18-play, 98-yard drive that wound up with Tech scoring the game-winning TD with 0:19 left in Chapel Hill.

Willis scrambled for a first down on 4th-and-7 when their situation looked hopeless- thats what good QB’s do, whatever needs to be done.

10) Florida 37, Vanderbilt 27— Vandy was up 21-3 in 2nd quarter- Florida turned ball over three times, but Gators stormed back to win- they had 576-336 yardage edge, ran 92 plays compared to 58 for the Commodores. Gators were 12-19 on third down, Vanderbilt 3-12.

In 2nd quarter, there was war of words between two head coaches while a Vandy player was hurt; benches almost emptied. After the game, the coaches talked for 20-30 seconds and all seemed peaceful then.

9) Northwestern 34, Nebraska 31 OT— Cornhuskers’ season from hell continues; they’re 0-6 for the first time ever, losing game here when they led 31-21 with 3:00 left- Northwestern tied game with 0:12 left in regulation.

Clayton Thorson threw for 455 yards for the Wildcats. Dating back to last year, Nebraska has now lost ten games in a row. Rough start to the Scott Frost era in Lincoln.

8) Maryland 34, Rutgers 7— Scarlet Knights threw 17 passes in this game; seven of them were caught, five by Maryland defenders, only two by Rutgers receivers. This is not good.

Rutgers lost its last six games (1-4 vs spread), five of them by 21+ points.

7) Upsets of the Week:
Tennessee (+14.5) 30, Auburn 24
Liberty (+9.5) 22, Troy 16
Texas Tech (+7.5) 17, TCU 14
LSU (+7) 36, Georgia 16
Kansas State (+7) 31, Oklahoma State 12
UCLA (+7) 37, California 7

6) Eastern Michigan 28, Toledo 26— Eagles led 28-3 at the half, hung on for dear life as they snapped a 4-game losing skid- EMU’s last four games were decided by total of 11 points.

5) Central Florida 31, Memphis 30— Tigers were driving for winning FG in last minute, but after WR caught pass to the UCF 35 with 0:38 left, he strutted around for few seconds before realizing he had to line up again, because Memphis had no timeouts left. He had to sprint to other side of field and it took a few seconds.

Finally Memphis got lined up, but left tackle moved before the snap, which resulted in both a 10-second runoff and the 5-yard penalty- things unraveled from there- they never even got a FG try off.

4) Oregon 30, Washington 27 OT— Huskies missed a 37-yard FG on last play of regulation, Oregon scored TD in OT and improved to 5-1. Teams combined to go 15-31 on third down, as offenses controlled the day, while a kicker ruined Washington’s day.

3) Iowa State 30, Oklahoma State 14— ISU coach Matt Campbell makes $3.5M a year; I hope Cyclone fans are enjoying this, because Campbell is about to get a really big raise, whether it is from a bigger-$$$ school or an NFL team— this guy is really good.

I’ve never been to Iowa, but people in Ames seem happier when they win than most people when they win. Fans at Iowa State were really, really happy after this game.

2) Dodgers 4, Brewers 3— Justin Turner hit the GW homer in the 8th inning.
Astros 7, Red Sox 2— Justin Verlander allowed two hits in six IP; imagine that, a starting pitcher actually finishing the sixth inning. Revolutionary.

1) Ole Miss 37, Arkansas 33— Razorbacks led 30-17 with 8:00 left in third quarter, but let this game slip away and lost their sixth game in a row.

Rebels gained 613 yards on a rainy night in Little Rock, averaged 11.1 yds/pass attempt.

**Udog** · 10-14-2018, 10:03 AM

MLB
Long Sheet

Sunday, October 14

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HOUSTON (107 - 59) at BOSTON (111 - 56) - 7:05 PM
GERRIT COLE (R) vs. DAVID PRICE (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 5-3 (+0.4 Units) against BOSTON this season
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.9 Units)

GERRIT COLE vs. BOSTON since 1997
COLE is 2-1 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 4.32 and a WHIP of 1.080.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.4 units)

DAVID PRICE vs. HOUSTON since 1997
PRICE is 6-2 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.06 and a WHIP of 1.005.
His team's record is 7-3 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-3. (+2.9 units)

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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, October 14

American League
Houston @ Boston (Houston leads series, 1-0)
Cole is 4-0, 2.70 in his last six starts; over is 6-3 in his last nine. Team in his starts: 25-8, 13-4 road
Cole is 1-0, 3.46 in two starts vs Boston this year.
5-inning record: 19-8-6 Allowed run in 1st inning: 9-34

Price is 1-2, 9.00 in his last three starts; over is 6-2 in his last eight. Team in his starts: 22-9, 12-4 home
Price is 1-0, 3.65 in two starts vs Houston this year; he is 2-9, 5.82 in 18 career playoff games (10 starts)- the two wins were both in relief.
5-inning record: 17-8-6 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-31

Houston is 12-2 in its last 14 games; they won their four playoff games by combined score of 28-8. Red Sox won four of their last six games; they scored 29 runs in their last four games.

Red Sox are in playoffs for third year in row; they won World Series in 2013. Astros won their first WS title LY, in their second try (’05); they’re in playoffs for third time in four years.

MLB
Weather Report

Sunday, October 14

MLB

Sunday, October 14

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Trend Report
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Houston Astros
Houston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Houston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Houston's last 11 games
Houston is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston's last 9 games on the road
Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Boston
Houston is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games when playing Boston
Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Houston's last 19 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston Red Sox
Boston is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Boston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Boston's last 10 games
Boston is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Boston is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Boston's last 8 games at home
Boston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Houston
Boston is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games when playing Houston
Boston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
Boston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Boston's last 19 games when playing at home against Houston

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**Udog** · 10-14-2018, 12:10 PM

MLB
Dunkel

Sunday, October 14

Houston @ Boston

Game 951-952
October 14, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
(Cole) 15.875
Boston
(Price) 19.250
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 3 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-125
8
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(+105); Over

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Sunday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 10/14

Sunday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 10/14

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