Announcement

**Udog** · 09-06-2018, 09:18 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

— Red Sox 9, Braves 8— Atlanta led this game 7-1 in 8th inning.

— Rockies 5, Giants 3— Trevor Story hit three homers for Colorado.

— In last 16 years, Miami/Cleveland have both gone over their season win over/under only four times each.

— Colts/Eagles have gone over 11 times each; New England has gone over 12 times.

— Le’Veon Bell forfeits roughly $853,000 if he isn’t in Steelers’ camp by 5:00 Saturday.

— Angels recommended Tommy John surgery for Shohei Ohtani, who then homered twice against Texas. Maybe he’s just a DH?

**********

Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: College trends for non-top 13 games

13) Michigan is 5-9 vs spread in its last 14 games when laying 20+ points; they’re 3-6 vs spread coming off a loss. Since 2013, Western Michigan is 14-6 as a road underdog.

12) Eastern Michigan covered 10 of its last 11 games as road underdogs; Purdue covered seven of its last eight games as home favorites- they’re 7-3 when laying 10+ points.

11) Under Mason, Vanderbilt is 4-8 as a home favorite. Last two years, Nevada is 4-7 as a road underdog- they covered two of last eight non-league games.

10) Since 2009, Kansas is 13-29-2 as a road underdog, 6-12 when getting less than 10 points. Jayhawks are 5-13 vs spread in last 18 non-league games. Since 2013, Central Michigan is 5-8 as home favorites.

9) East Carolina lost to a I-AA team LW; they’re 3-6 in last nine games as a home underdog, 8-17-1 when coming off a loss. since 2013, North Carolina is 6-2 as road favorites.

8) Since 2008, Temple is 29-14 vs spread out of conference; they were 0-3 as home favorites LY, after going 8-3 from 2014-16. Since 2015, Buffalo is 5-8-1 as road underdogs. Under is 10-2 in Buffalo’s last 12 road games.

7) Last two years, Bowling Green is 0-8 vs spread in non-MAC games; they’re 1-5 as home underdogs under Jinks. Falcons are 5-10 in last 15 games as an underdog. Since 2010, Maryland is 4-6 as road favorites; they’re 18-31 coming off a win, but are 8-3 when laying 10+ points.

6) Missouri covered five of its last six games when laying double digits; they’re 6-5 as home favorites under Odom. Under Bohl, Wyoming is 11-7 as a double digit underdog.

5) Since 2015, Indiana is 8-4 vs spread outside the Big 14: they were 5-1 vs spread as favorites LY. Virginia is 5-6 as road underdogs under Mendenhall; they’re 5-4 in non-ACC games.

4) Under Stoops, Kentucky is 7-13-2 when a double digit underdog; since 2016, they’re 6-3 as road underdogs. Since 2016, Florida is 6-4 as a home favorite. Under is 11-7 in their last 18 home games.

3) Since 2015, Minnesota is 5-11 as home favorites; they crushed New Mexico State 48-10 LW. Fresno State was 4-0 as road underdogs LY, after being 2-10 in 2015-16. Bulldogs were 10-4 LY in Bedford’s first season as coach, after going 1-11 the year before.

2) Since 2011, Arkansas is 0-5 as road favorites; their last cover as a road favorite was in 2010. Colorado State allowed 43-45 points in losing its first two games this season; they covered six of last eight games when getting double digits.

1) Underdogs covered last five Cincinnati-Miami OH games; Miami is 6-8 as home favorites under Martin. Since 2015, Bearcats are 8-4 as road underdogs.

**Udog** · 09-06-2018, 09:20 AM

MLB
Long Sheet

Thursday, September 6

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SAN DIEGO (55 - 86) at CINCINNATI (59 - 81) - 6:40 PM
ERIC LAUER (L) vs. LUIS CASTILLO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 23-46 (-16.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
SAN DIEGO is 144-179 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 23-24 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
SAN DIEGO is 15-7 (+14.7 Units) against the money line after getting shut out over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 23-21 (+14.3 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss this season.
CINCINNATI is 413-375 (-81.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

ERIC LAUER vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
LAUER is 1-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 1.400.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

LUIS CASTILLO vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
CASTILLO is 0-1 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 5.90 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

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CHICAGO CUBS (82 - 57) at WASHINGTON (69 - 71) - 7:05 PM
KYLE HENDRICKS (R) vs. STEPHEN STRASBURG (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1777-1819 (-262.9 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 58-53 (-15.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1313-1355 (-203.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 96-82 (-21.0 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 865-794 (-152.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
HENDRICKS is 28-27 (-13.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HENDRICKS is 7-12 (-12.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season. (Team's Record)
CHICAGO CUBS are 26-9 (+11.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 69-71 (-27.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 20-24 (-10.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
WASHINGTON is 33-36 (-21.2 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 35-35 (-20.2 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
WASHINGTON is 44-43 (-11.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
WASHINGTON is 55-48 (-9.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
WASHINGTON is 33-35 (-11.7 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
WASHINGTON is 35-38 (-11.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
WASHINGTON is 12-20 (-12.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

KYLE HENDRICKS vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
HENDRICKS is 3-2 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 2.85 and a WHIP of 1.183.
His team's record is 6-2 (+4.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-2. (+4.0 units)

STEPHEN STRASBURG vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
STRASBURG is 2-2 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 1.48 and a WHIP of 0.884.
His team's record is 5-2 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-4. (-1.7 units)

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ATLANTA (76 - 63) at ARIZONA (75 - 64) - 9:40 PM
ANIBAL SANCHEZ (R) vs. ZACK GREINKE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 11-22 (-11.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
SANCHEZ is 11-25 (-14.7 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ARIZONA is 169-136 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 23-11 (+11.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 121-93 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 96-72 (+13.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
GREINKE is 61-26 (+21.4 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 since 1997. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 45-12 (+21.7 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -175 to -250 since 1997. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 141-76 (+45.9 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 107-54 (+37.5 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 71-32 (+28.6 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
ATLANTA is 76-62 (+14.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 96-91 (+24.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 26-21 (+17.3 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 39-29 (+16.0 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
ATLANTA is 47-43 (+21.3 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 25-18 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
ATLANTA is 58-41 (+17.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ATLANTA is 36-26 (+8.7 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
ATLANTA is 103-85 (+29.6 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
ATLANTA is 20-12 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ARIZONA is 26-28 (-11.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
ARIZONA is 902-804 (-102.3 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
ARIZONA is 16-19 (-10.8 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
ARIZONA is 635-580 (-79.6 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters since 1997.
ARIZONA is 22-36 (-18.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ARIZONA is 13-19 (-10.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against ATLANTA this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)

ANIBAL SANCHEZ vs. ARIZONA since 1997
SANCHEZ is 4-1 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 3.71 and a WHIP of 1.125.
His team's record is 6-2 (+4.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-4. (-1.1 units)

ZACK GREINKE vs. ATLANTA since 1997
GREINKE is 4-2 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 2.60 and a WHIP of 0.914.
His team's record is 6-4 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-4. (+1.9 units)

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CLEVELAND (79 - 60) at TORONTO (63 - 76) - 7:05 PM
SHANE BIEBER (R) vs. SAM GAVIGLIO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 79-60 (-16.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 21-24 (-19.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
CLEVELAND is 34-31 (-10.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CLEVELAND is 46-40 (-17.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CLEVELAND is 60-44 (-13.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CLEVELAND is 44-34 (-9.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
TORONTO is 49-44 (+6.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CLEVELAND is 34-13 (+18.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 63-76 (-11.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TORONTO is 32-43 (-14.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
TORONTO is 83-103 (-24.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 57-81 (-28.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 2-1 (+2.1 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

SHANE BIEBER vs. TORONTO since 1997
No recent starts.

SAM GAVIGLIO vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
No recent starts.

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**Udog** · 09-06-2018, 09:22 AM

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, September 6

National League
Padres (55-86) @ Reds (59-81)
Lauer is 0-2, 8.44 in his last four starts under is 6-3-2 in his last 11. Team in his starts: 6-13, 2-7 away
5-inning record: 8-9-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-19

Castillo is 2-2, 5.24 in his last four starts (over 3-1). Team in his starts: 14-13, 8-4 home
5-inning record: 12-14-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-27

Padres lost three of their last four games; they’re 10-13 in road series openers. Under is 5-1 in their last six games. Cincinnati lost six of its last eight games; they’re 11-11 in home series openers. Over is 3-1 in their last four home games.

Cubs (82-57) @ Nationals (69-71)
Hendricks is 3-1, 2.42 in his last four starts; under is 7-1 in his last eight. Team in his starts: 14-14, 5-8 away
5-inning record: 11-11-6 Allowed run in 1st inning: 14-28

Strasburg is 1-0, 3.00 in his last two starts; over is 4-1 in his last five. Team in his starts: 9-8, 4-6 home
5-inning record: 8-6-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-17

Cubs split their last eight games; they’re 14-9 in road series openers. Over is 3-1 in their last four games. Washington lost five of its last seven games; they’re 6-1 in last seven home series openers. Over is 9-3 in its last 12 home games.

Braves (76-63) @ Diamondbacks (75-64)
Sanchez is 0-2, 4.02 in his last five starts; under is 4-1-1 in his last six. Team in his starts: 10-9, 6-4 away
5-inning record: 7-9-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-19

Greinke is 1-1, 2.57 in his last two starts; under is 10-2 in his last 12. Team in his starts: 16-12, 8-6 home
5-inning record: 17-7-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 9-28

Braves lost six of their last eight games; they’re 8-2 in last ten road series openers. Their last seven road games stayed under. Arizona lost four of its last five games; they’re 2-8 in last ten home series openers. Arizona’s last 11 games stayed under the total.

American League
Indians (79-60) @ Blue Jays (63-76)
Bieber is 2-0, 4.50 in his last five starts; under is 5-1-1 in his last seven. Team in his starts: 10-5, 5-2 away
5-inning record: 9-5-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-15

Estrada is 0-2, 15.64 in his last two starts; over is 6-3 in his last nine. Team in his starts: 11-13, 5-7 home
5-inning record: 9-11-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-24

Indians split their last eight games; they’re 9-5 in last 14 road series openers. Under is 5-2-1 in their last eight games. Toronto lost seven of its last ten games; they’re 13-10 in home series openers. Three of their last four games stayed under.

______________________________

Teams’ records in first five innings:
Team (road-home-total)- thru 9/5
Ariz 37-24-10……34-23-10……..71-47
Atl 30-28-10…..34-27-10………64-55
Cubs 29-29-13……32-28-9…….61-57
Reds 22-44-5……25-32-10….…47-76
Colo 34-26-14……34-23-10……67-50
LA 34-24-8…….33-29-15……68-53
Miami 23-33-9…..31-30-15…….54-63
Milw 30-33-9…..36-26-7…….66-59
Mets 33-30-8……26-27-15…..59-55
Philly 27-28-15…..34-24-10……61-52
Pitt 31-29-8……32-27-13……..63-56
StL 36-25-11……30-31-7………66-56
SD 21-40-10……25-35-9…….46-75
SF 29-31-14…..27-25-15……56-56
Wash 29-28-13..…29-30-11……58-58

Orioles 19-42-12……21-37-11……40-79
Boston 36-28-14……41-18-6……..77-46
W Sox 23-40-6…..…24-38-10……47-78
Clev 27-27-13……44-19-10……..71-46
Det 25-37-10…..…30-30-11.……55-67
Astros 37-18-15……37-21-14…….74-38
KC 21-40-8…….29-33-10…..50-73
Angels 30-29-14……28-32-8……58-61
Twins 22-40-11……32-31-8…..54-71
NYY 33-24-11……42-23-8………75-46
A’s 26-32-11……32-27-13…..58-59
Sea 34-30-10……32-24-14…….66-52
TB 33-28-13……31-25-9……63-52
Texas 22-35-8…..28-39-8…….50-74
Toronto 19-39-11…24-32-15……43-71

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 9/5)
Ariz 29-70…….26-68…..…55
Atl 21-67……30-72………51
Cubs 14-71……..22-66……..36
Reds 18-72……..16-69……..34
Colo 23-73…….26-67.…….49
LA 22-65……..27-76..…..49
Miami 14-65……..21-75…….35
Milw 25-71…..…25-71…….50
Mets 27-71……..21-68……48
Philly 17-70……..22-69……39
Pitt 16-68……..21-74…….37
StL 25-72……..20-68…….45
SD 19-72……..19-69…….38
SF 15-72………21-70..…..36
Wash 25-70……..21-70…….46

Orioles 21-73……..20-68……..41
Boston 19-75……25-66………44
White Sox 19-68……20-71…….39
Clev 18-66…….29-72……..46
Detroit 24-72……..20-69….…44
Astros 20-69…..…17-72………37
KC 16-69..…….22-70…….38
Angels 19-71…..….18-68…….37
Twins 16-71………15-68…….31
NYY 16-68……..29-72………45
A’s 18-71…..…..21-72…….39
Seattle 28-72………22-70…….50
TB 22-74..……20-64…….42
Texas 10-65……20-74…….…30
Toronto 18-69………15-70….….33

Interleague play- 2018
NL @ AL– 71-67 NL, favorites +$100
AL @ NL– 69-61 NL, favorites +$218
Total: 140-128 NL, favorites +$318

**Udog** · 09-06-2018, 09:24 AM

MLB

Thursday, September 6

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Trend Report
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San Diego Padres
San Diego is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 6 games
San Diego is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
San Diego is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
San Diego is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
San Diego is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
San Diego is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
Cincinnati is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games
Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Cincinnati is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
Cincinnati is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing San Diego
Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Diego
Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing at home against San Diego

Chicago Cubs
Chi Cubs is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Chi Cubs is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games
Chi Cubs is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Chi Cubs's last 16 games on the road
Chi Cubs is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Chi Cubs is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games when playing Washington
Chi Cubs is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington Nationals
Washington is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Washington is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games
Washington is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Washington is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games at home
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs
Washington is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs

Cleveland Indians
Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Cleveland is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Cleveland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games
Toronto is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
Toronto is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Toronto is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Toronto's last 12 games at home
Toronto is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland

Atlanta Braves
Atlanta is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Atlanta is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Atlanta's last 18 games
Atlanta is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games on the road
Atlanta is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
Atlanta is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Atlanta is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Atlanta's last 9 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona Diamondbacks
Arizona is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games at home
Arizona is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Arizona is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Arizona is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Arizona is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Arizona's last 9 games when playing at home against Atlanta

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**Udog** · 09-06-2018, 09:27 AM

MLB
Weather Report

Thursday, September 6

**Udog** · 09-06-2018, 09:29 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Thursday, September 6

San Diego @ Cincinnati

Game 901-902
September 6, 2018 @ 6:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Diego
(Lauer) 14.650
Cincinnati
(Castillo) 13.536
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
-150
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego
(+130); Under

Chicago Cubs @ Washington

Game 903-904
September 6, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Cubs
(Hendrcks) 13.757
Washington
(Strasburg) 16.363
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 2 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-110
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-110); Over

Atlanta @ Arizona

Game 905-906
September 6, 2018 @ 9:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
(Sanchez) 15.153
Arizona
(Greinke) 17.071
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
-155
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(-155); Over

Cleveland @ Toronto

Game 907-908
September 6, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
(Bieber) 14.450
Toronto
(Gaviglio) 16.495
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
-155
9
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(+135); Over

**Udog** · 09-06-2018, 02:25 PM

MLB

Thursday, September 6

Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers

Streaking: Kyle Hendricks, Chicago Cubs (11-10, 3.77 ERA, $-906)

Kyle Hendricks had a very rough first half of the season, but he is really starting to round into the Kyle Hendricks we've been accustomed to seeing over the last few years. He's still down over nine units in starter earnings on the season, but has team wins in eight of his last 10 outings and looked tremendous in his last two starts - allowing only one run and eight hits in 13 innings of work.

"The Professor" gets the ball today as a +100 underdog in D.C. against Stephen Strasburg and the Nationals.

Slumping: Eric Lauer, San Diego Padres (5-7, 5.01, $-488)

Like most things with the San Diego Padres this season, Eric Lauer hasn't been great. He does happen to be coming off a five inning, no-hit performance against the Rockies in his last start, so we did have to get a bit creative for the Slumping Starting Pitcher with only four games on today's board.

In Lauer's last three starts against non-NL West opponents he owns a team win/loss record of 0-3, an ERA of 11.45, and a WHIP of 2.09. Lauer and the Padres will face a team outside their division this evening as +135 underdogs in Cincinnati against Luis Castillo and the Reds.

Pitchers Duel in D.C.

Tonight's game between the Cubs and Nationals is a battle between Kyle Hendricks and Stephen Strasburg that should go rather quickly.

As mentioned above in the Streaking Starting Pitcher section, Hendricks is really rounding into form and comes into tonight's start with an ERA of 1.35, a WHIP of 1.10, and an opponent's on-base percentage of .289 in his last three starts.

Strasburg has had great success against the Cubs with an ERA of 0.96 and a WHIP of 0.75 in his last four starts against the Northsiders.

Today's full game total of 8.5 seems high so look at the Under (-110), and Under 4.5 (-120) for the first five innings.

Snake Bite

We discussed in the Double-Play Picks section above that Zack Greinke is very good when pitching at Chase Field in Phoenix. The D-Backs are big favorites tonight for a reason, after all.

If you like the Diamondbacks to win tonight, and the -170 moneyline is a bit out of your acceptable range, definitely take the -1.5 runline into consideration. In Arizona's last 22 wins at home they have covered the -1.5 in 20 of them, with an average margin of victory of 4.6818.

You can get the -1.5 at around +135 and it presents decent value. You could also find some value with the D-Backs to have the most hits in the game at -110.

**Udog** · 09-06-2018, 02:53 PM

Diamond Trends - Thursday
Vince Akins

SU Play ON Trend of the Day:

-- The Reds are 8-0 SU as a home favorite after a game as a road dog in which they struck out at least ten times and it is post All-Star break.

SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

-- The Cubs are 0-11 SU when their line is within 20 cents of pickem after a win as a road dog in which they never trailed and it is post All-Star break.

Hitter-Based Trend of the Day:

-- The Reds are 9-0 SU as a favorite off a game as a dog in which Jose Peraza had multiple hits. Castillo has three of the nine wins, producing a quality start in each.

Starter-Based Trend of the Day:

-- The Diamondbacks are 8-0 SU since 2017 with Zack Greinke at home when they allowed five or fewer runs and lost in his last start.

Announcement

Thursday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 9/6

Thursday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 9/6

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