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**Udog** · 08-27-2018, 09:40 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Interesting point spreads for next weekend’s college football:

— Northwestern @ Purdue (-3) Thursday night

— Colorado State vs Colorado (-7.5) in Denver Friday night.

— Washington vs Auburn (-2.5) in Atlanta

— West Virginia (-9.5) vs Tennessee in Charlotte

— Michigan (-1.5) @ Notre Dame

— Miami (-3) vs LSU in Cowboys Stadium, Dallas

**********

Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend…….

13) There are two NFL handicapping contests at the Westgate in Las Vegas; in one you put up $1,500, pick five NFL games a week, and lot of people get prizes (30? 50?). First prize last year was right around $1M- they wound up with 2,748 entries, so $4,122,000 was in the pot.

This year, 1,768 people have signed up so far, with 13 days to go for more people to enter.

The second contest is winner-take-all, with a $5,000 entry fee. Last year, 94 people entered, so first prize was $470,000. This year, 64 people have entered, as of Saturday.

12) Golden Nugget in downtown Las Vegas also a contest, one where you pick seven games a week, but they can be college games, too. Entry fee is $1,000, and top 20 finishers get paid.

11) If you like to bet on sports, you should listen to SportsXradio, which is on 10-12 pm every weeknight here in the east. It is on radio station 720am in Las Vegas, or you can listen on sportsxradio.com. Shows are archived if you can’t listen to them live.

Why do I say this? They have a guy named Joe Lisi on Friday nights who knows a ton about college football- he pegged 17-point underdog Hawai’i as a SU winner at Colorado State. Host Ken Thomson is as sharp about sports as anyone in the country.

10) Nebraska will be starting a true freshman QB in Scott Frost’s first season coaching the Cornhuskers; Adrian Martinez was supposed to go to Tennessee, but when Butch Jones was told to take a hike, Martinez went elsewhere.

Martinez had an operation on his throwing shoulder and missed his senior year of high school ball; will be interesting to see him play next week.

9) Bad news for my A’s; Sean Manaea (shoulder) goes on the DL. All five members of the A’s starting rotation from the start of the season are now either hurt, or coming back from injury.

Oakland is 45-16 since June 16, but the Manaea injury is a problem.

8) Seattle Seahawks’ rookie punter Michael Dickson is getting rave reviews this summer; he has great hang time on his punts and stuck a couple of them inside the Minnesota 10-yard line in this weekend’s game. Dickson is an Australian who played college football at Texas.

7) Pirates’ pitcher Chris Archer wore neon green baseball shoes when he pitched in Milwaukee Sunday; kind of like Baylor’s basketball uniforms- very bright. Wonder if it distracted hitters at all.

6) They drew 3,000 fans in downtown Las Vegas for a Raiders watch party when the Silver and Black played in Green Bay last week; it’ll be fascinating to see how the Raiders’ move to the desert works out.

5) Toronto 1B Kendrys Morales has homered in seven straight games; the record is eight, held by many, including Dale Long, who wound up doing weekend sports on Channel 10 here in Albany.

4) Michigan Wolverines’ WR Tarik Black probably broke his foot Saturday at practice and is expected to miss an extended amount of time; he is an important part of their offense. Black also missed ten games last year with a foot injury.

3) Albany Great Danes’ basketball team has six international students; they have players from four different countries. No players from New York City, only 148 miles down the road.

2) Weird seeing Matt Holliday playing for Colorado again; when we started our fantasy baseball league (a keeper league) in 2005, the first three players I drafted were Holliday, Adam Dunn and Brandon Webb.

Holliday was totally awesome in ’07, knocked in 150 runs; in ’09, Colorado traded him to the A’s, who held on to him for half the season before dealing him to St Louis, in a horrific pair of trades that set the A’s back at least a couple years. Wish he had stayed in Colorado.

1) Odd thing: Holliday’s dad was at one time the baseball coach at Oklahoma State, but he got fired. When Holliday was on the A’s, Brett Anderson was his teammate; Anderson’s father was the guy who replaced Tom Holliday at OSU. Had to be at least a little awkward.

Then in 2012, when Frank Anderson left Oklahoma State, Holliday’s brother Josh replaced him, and remains the Cowboys’ baseball coach to this day.

**Udog** · 08-27-2018, 09:45 AM

MLB
Long Sheet

Monday, August 27

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WASHINGTON (65 - 66) at PHILADELPHIA (70 - 60) - 7:05 PM
STEPHEN STRASBURG (R) vs. ZACH EFLIN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 65-66 (-26.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 51-59 (-26.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 32-35 (-8.6 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
WASHINGTON is 29-29 (-12.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
WASHINGTON is 41-39 (-9.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
WASHINGTON is 51-43 (-7.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
WASHINGTON is 33-33 (-15.9 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
WASHINGTON is 31-33 (-9.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
WASHINGTON is 8-15 (-11.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 70-60 (+7.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 41-22 (+14.8 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 28-14 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 55-45 (+8.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
STRASBURG is 24-7 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 7-6 (+2.5 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.3 Units)

STEPHEN STRASBURG vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
STRASBURG is 10-2 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 2.48 and a WHIP of 0.896.
His team's record is 17-5 (+9.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 11-11. (-0.3 units)

ZACH EFLIN vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
EFLIN is 1-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 6.48 and a WHIP of 2.281.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

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NY METS (58 - 72) at CHICAGO CUBS (76 - 53) - 8:05 PM
NOAH SYNDERGAARD (R) vs. JON LESTER (L)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 57-72 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 9-20 (-11.2 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
NY METS are 38-48 (-9.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
NY METS are 41-84 (-39.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LESTER is 19-7 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
LESTER is 29-9 (+16.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday since 1997. (Team's Record)
LESTER is 41-15 (+22.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
LESTER is 107-41 (+42.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
NY METS are 450-468 (+34.3 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1771-1815 (-264.1 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 380-315 (-83.0 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 948-846 (-153.5 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 160-171 (-48.2 Units) against the money line in home games in August games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1307-1353 (-207.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 55-66 (-37.8 Units) against the money line in home games after shutting out their opponent since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 93-79 (-20.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 863-793 (-152.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 4-0 (+4.0 Units) against NY METS this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.1 Units)

NOAH SYNDERGAARD vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
SYNDERGAARD is 2-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 1.90 and a WHIP of 1.267.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.2 units)

JON LESTER vs. NY METS since 1997
LESTER is 6-2 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 3.52 and a WHIP of 1.323.
His team's record is 7-2 (+4.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-4. (-0.4 units)

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ARIZONA (72 - 58) at SAN FRANCISCO (65 - 67) - 10:15 PM
PAT CORBIN (L) vs. CHRIS STRATTON (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 9-7 (+3.9 Units) against ARIZONA this season
8 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.8 Units, Under=-0.7 Units)

PAT CORBIN vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
CORBIN is 8-7 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.14 and a WHIP of 1.129.
His team's record is 11-11 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 12-10. (+1.2 units)

CHRIS STRATTON vs. ARIZONA since 1997
STRATTON is 1-2 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 4.65 and a WHIP of 1.677.
His team's record is 4-2 (+3.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-1. (+4.0 units)

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CHI WHITE SOX (51 - 79) at NY YANKEES (83 - 47) - 7:05 PM
CARLOS RODON (L) vs. MASAHIRO TANAKA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 44-15 (+19.0 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 9-2 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in road games in August games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 34-40 (+5.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 420-431 (+36.1 Units) against the money line in road games after a win since 1997.
CHI WHITE SOX are 122-99 (+36.5 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1997.
RODON is 14-5 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in August games since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

CARLOS RODON vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
RODON is 1-3 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 7.11 and a WHIP of 2.316.
His team's record is 1-3 (-1.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-3. (-2.5 units)

MASAHIRO TANAKA vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
TANAKA is 4-0 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 2.23 and a WHIP of 1.268.
His team's record is 5-0 (+5.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-0. (+5.0 units)

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TORONTO (60 - 70) at BALTIMORE (37 - 94) - 7:05 PM
SAM GAVIGLIO (R) vs. DAVID HESS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 32-40 (-11.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
TORONTO is 136-146 (-31.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 46-40 (+7.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BALTIMORE is 37-94 (-48.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 17-40 (-19.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
BALTIMORE is 5-20 (-13.2 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 21-44 (-22.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
BALTIMORE is 17-44 (-19.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
BALTIMORE is 21-62 (-36.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BALTIMORE is 22-66 (-38.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BALTIMORE is 25-68 (-36.9 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
BALTIMORE is 12-36 (-23.4 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
BALTIMORE is 17-34 (-18.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
BALTIMORE is 24-38 (-16.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 12-1 (+11.1 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
8 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.9 Units)

SAM GAVIGLIO vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
GAVIGLIO is 1-0 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.68 and a WHIP of 1.022.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

DAVID HESS vs. TORONTO since 1997
HESS is 0-1 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 1.38 and a WHIP of 0.769.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.0 units)

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OAKLAND (79 - 52) at HOUSTON (80 - 50) - 8:10 PM
BRETT ANDERSON (L) vs. GERRIT COLE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 79-52 (+31.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 35-23 (+13.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
OAKLAND is 40-26 (+20.2 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
OAKLAND is 339-276 (+56.8 Units) against the money line in August games since 1997.
OAKLAND is 10-2 (+9.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday this season.
OAKLAND is 47-34 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
OAKLAND is 52-32 (+23.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
OAKLAND is 46-32 (+13.6 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
HOUSTON is 15-15 (-16.6 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -175 to -250 this season.
HOUSTON is 33-29 (-28.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
HOUSTON is 17-16 (-20.6 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
HOUSTON is 23-26 (-17.7 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 8-17 (-28.1 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents this season.
HOUSTON is 22-22 (-24.8 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
HOUSTON is 10-14 (-20.8 Units) against the money line in home games against left-handed starters this season.
HOUSTON is 52-39 (-19.4 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 32-30 (-14.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
HOUSTON is 2-8 (-13.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
COLE is 3-10 (-10.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 10-6 (-0.4 Units) against OAKLAND this season
10 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+5.9 Units)

BRETT ANDERSON vs. HOUSTON since 1997
ANDERSON is 1-2 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 6.00 and a WHIP of 1.800.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.4 units)

GERRIT COLE vs. OAKLAND since 1997
COLE is 2-1 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 2.84 and a WHIP of 1.074.
His team's record is 3-2 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.1 units)

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COLORADO (71 - 59) at LA ANGELS (63 - 68) - 10:05 PM
JON GRAY (R) vs. ODRISAMER DESPAIGNE (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 1-1 (+0.2 Units) against COLORADO this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

JON GRAY vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
GRAY is 1-0 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.714.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

ODRISAMER DESPAIGNE vs. COLORADO since 1997
DESPAIGNE is 3-0 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 1.83 and a WHIP of 1.118.
His team's record is 3-0 (+3.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.1 units)

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**Udog** · 08-27-2018, 09:48 AM

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, August 27

National League
Nationals (65-66) @ Phillies (70-60)
Strasburg is 0-3, 9.35 in his last four starts; over is 7-3 in his last ten. Team in his starts: 7-8, 4-2 away
5-inning record: 7-5-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-15

Eflin is 1-1, 6.19 in his last three starts; three of his last four starts went over. Team in his starts: 10-8, 6-2 home
5-inning record: 12-4-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-18

Nationals lost three of their last four games; they’re 3-9 in last 12 road series openers. Over is 9-4 in their last 13 games. Phillies lost six of their last eight games; they’re 12-8 in home series openers. Phils’ last three home games stayed under.

Mets (58-72) @ Cubs (76-53)
Syndegaard is 3-1, 4.68 in his last four starts; under is 8-4 in their last 12. Team in his starts: 12-6, 4-4 away
5-inning record: 11-5-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-18

Lester is 2-0, 0.77 in his last two starts; over is 9-2 in his last 11. Team in his starts: 19-7, 9-4 home
5-inning record: 14-8-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-26

Mets are 12-7 in their last 19 games; they’re 5-2 in last seven home series openers. 12-18 vs lefty starters- over is 5-3 in their last eight road games. Cubs won their last five games; they’re 11-11 in home series openers. Under is 8-2 in their last ten games.

Diamondbacks (72-58) @ Giants (65-67)
Corbin is 4-0, 2.97 in his last six starts; over is 3-1-1 in his last five. Team in his starts: 16-10, 8-4 road (won his last 6 starts)
5-inning record: 13-6-6 Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-25

Stratton is 0-3, 8.64 in his last five starts (over 4-1). Team in his starts: 11-9, 5-3 home
5-inning record: 9-8-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 9-20

Arizona is 7-3 in its last ten games, 15-6 in road series openers. Four of their last six games stayed under. Giants won three of their last four games; they’re 0-4 in last four home series openers, 24-26 vs lefty starters. Four of their last five home games stayed under.

American League
Chicago (51-79) @ New York (83-47)
Rodon is 4-0, 1.78 in his last seven starts; under is 4-2-1 in his road starts. Team in his starts: 7-6, 3-4 away
5-inning record: 5-4-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-13

Tanaka is 0-2, 4.76 in his last three starts; under is 4-1-2 in his last seven. Team in his starts: 13-8, 5-3 home.
5-inning record: 11-5-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-21

White Sox are 9-3 in their last 12 games, 6-16 in road series openers. Over is 4-1-3 in their last eight road games. New York won eight of its last nine games; they’re 15-7 in home series openers, 27-10 vs lefty starters- six of their last nine games went over.

Blue Jays (60-70) @ Orioles (37-94)
Gaviglio is 1-3, 6.12 in his last five starts (over 10-7-1). Team in his starts: 7-11, 2-7 away.
5-inning record: 6-8-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-18

Hess is 0-5, 6.82 in his last six starts; over is 5-3 in his last eight. Team in his starts: 2-11, 1-3 home
5-inning record: 3-7-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-13

Toronto won five of its last six games; they’re 11-10 in road series openers. Five of their last six road games went over. Orioles lost nine of their last ten games, are 6-15 in home series openers; under is 11-4 in their last 15 games.

A’s (79-52) @ Astros (80-50)
Anderson is 1-0, 0.67 in his last four starts (under 10-2). Team in his starts: 7-5, 5-3 away
5-inning record: 4-5-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-12

Cole is 1-1, 3.86 in his last three starts; under is 7-3 in his last ten. Team in his starts: 18-8. 9-3 home.
5-inning record: 14-6-6 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-26

A’s are 18-6 in their last 24 games, 11-10 in road series openers; under is 8-2 in their last ten road games. Houston won six of its last seven games; they’re 9-11 in home series openers- over is 5-1 in their last six games.

Interleague
Rockies (71-59) @ Angels (63-68)
Gray is 2-0, 3.41 in his last five starts; under is 5-2 in his last seven. Team in his starts: 15-9, 7-4 away
5-inning record: 12-10-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 10-24

Despaigne is 0-2, 9.00 in his two starts for the Angels (under 2-0). Team in his starts: 0-2, 0-0 home.
5-inning record: 0-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-2

Colorado won seven of its last ten games; they’re 15-6 in road series openers. Under is 6-2 in their last eight games. Angels lost their last six games; they’re 11-5 in last 16 home series openers. Three of their last four home games went over.

______________________________

Teams’ records in first five innings:
Team (road-home-total)- thru 8/26
Ariz 33-22-9……33-22-10……..66-44
Atl 30-28-10…..31-22-9………61-50
Cubs 25-26-13……31-27-8…….56-53
Reds 21-40-4……23-31-10….…44-71
Colo 32-22-14……33-23-8……64-46
LA 32-23-8…….31-25-14……64-48
Miami 22-32-9…..27-28-15…….49-60
Milw 26-31-9…..34-25-7…….60-56
Mets 30-29-4……26-27-15…..56-54
Philly 26-26-15…..32-20-10……58-46
Pitt 28-27-7……29-27-13……..57-54
StL 34-25-10……27-29-6………61-54
SD 20-39-10……20-34-9…….40-73
SF 29-30-12…..26-23-12……55-53
Wash 28-26-13..…29-25-10………57-51

Orioles 18-37-12……19-36-11……37-73
Boston 32-23-14……40-17-6……..72-40
W Sox 21-39-6…..…20-35-10……41-74
Indians 27-27-13……39-16-9……66-43
Det 21-33-9…..…30-30-11.……51-63
Astros 37-18-15……31-20-11…….68-37
KC 20-38-8…….25-32-10…..45-70
Angels 28-27-11……27-31-8……55-58
Twins 20-33-11……32-31-8…..52-64
NYY 33-21-11……40-19-7…….73-39
A’s 26-30-10……28-25-12…..54-55
Seattle 32-27-9……29-24-14…….61-49
TB 29-25-12……31-25-9……59-49
Texas 22-35-8…..25-35-7…….47-70
Toronto 18-34-11…23-30-15……41-64

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 8/26)
Ariz 28-63…….25-66…..…53
Atl 21-67……26-62………47
Cubs 12-64……..21-63……..33
Reds 15-66……..14-66……..29
Colo 21-67…….24-64.……..45
LA 22-63……..25-68..…..47
Miami 14-63……..19-69…….33
Milw 22-65…..…25-68…….47
Mets 25-62……..21-68……46
Philly 16-67……..21-63……37
Pitt 15-62……..19-70…….34
StL 23-69……..19-62…….42
SD 19-70……..17-64…….36
SF 13-69………21-64..…..34
Wash 24-67……..19-64……..43

Orioles 19-67……..19-65………38
Boston 19-68……25-64………44
White Sox 18-65……16-64…….34
Clev 18-66…….27-63……..45
Detroit 19-63……..20-69….…39
Astros 20-69…..…14-62………34
KC 16-66..…….21-65…….37
Angels 17-64…..….18-66…….35
Twins 15-62………15-68…….30
NYY 15-65……..28-65………43
A’s 18-68…..…..18-65…….36
Seattle 25-66………21-67…….46
TB 20-66..……20-64…….40
Texas 10-65……19-66…….…29
Toronto 16-63………14-67….….30

Interleague play- 2018
NL @ AL– 68-64 NL, favorites +$215
AL @ NL– 65-55 NL, favorites -$332
Total: 130-119 NL, favorites -$117

**Udog** · 08-27-2018, 09:54 AM

MLB

Monday, August 27

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Trend Report
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Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Toronto is 6-14 ATS in its last 20 games
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 9 games
Toronto is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games on the road
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Toronto's last 24 games when playing Baltimore
Toronto is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Toronto's last 15 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Baltimore Orioles
Baltimore is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Baltimore is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Baltimore's last 10 games
Baltimore is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Baltimore is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
Baltimore is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
Baltimore is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Baltimore's last 24 games when playing Toronto
Baltimore is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Baltimore's last 15 games when playing at home against Toronto

Chicago White Sox
Chi White Sox is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Chi White Sox is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games
Chi White Sox is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Chi White Sox is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games on the road
Chi White Sox is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
Chi White Sox is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
Chi White Sox is 3-15 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
New York Yankees
NY Yankees is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
NY Yankees is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Yankees's last 9 games
NY Yankees is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
NY Yankees is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
NY Yankees is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox
NY Yankees is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
NY Yankees is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 6 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox

Washington Nationals
Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 10 games
Washington is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Washington is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Washington is 7-15 ATS in its last 22 games when playing Philadelphia
Washington is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Washington's last 11 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games
Philadelphia is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games at home
Philadelphia is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games at home
Philadelphia is 15-7 ATS in its last 22 games when playing Washington
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 11 games when playing at home against Washington

New York Mets
NY Mets is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
NY Mets is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
NY Mets is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
NY Mets is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 6 games on the road
NY Mets is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
NY Mets is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Mets's last 9 games when playing Chi Cubs
NY Mets is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
NY Mets is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
Chicago Cubs
Chi Cubs is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Chi Cubs is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chi Cubs's last 10 games
Chi Cubs is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Chi Cubs is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games at home
Chi Cubs is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games at home
Chi Cubs is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Mets
Chi Cubs is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chi Cubs's last 9 games when playing NY Mets
Chi Cubs is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Mets
Chi Cubs is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Mets

Oakland Athletics
Oakland is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Oakland is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games
Oakland is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Oakland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Oakland's last 10 games on the road
Oakland is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Houston
Oakland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
Oakland is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Oakland's last 10 games when playing Houston
Oakland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston Astros
Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games
Houston is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Houston is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games at home
Houston is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Oakland
Houston is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing Oakland
Houston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Houston's last 10 games when playing Oakland
Houston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing at home against Oakland

Colorado Rockies
Colorado is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games
Colorado is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Colorado is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Colorado's last 8 games
Colorado is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Colorado is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games on the road
Colorado is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games when playing LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing LA Angels
Colorado is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
Los Angeles Angels
LA Angels is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
LA Angels is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
LA Angels is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
LA Angels is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
LA Angels is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Angels's last 6 games when playing Colorado
LA Angels is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games when playing at home against Colorado

Arizona Diamondbacks
Arizona is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Arizona is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games
Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Arizona is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing San Francisco
Arizona is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing San Francisco
Arizona is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
San Francisco Giants
San Francisco is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of San Francisco's last 12 games
San Francisco is 5-14 ATS in its last 19 games at home
San Francisco is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
San Francisco is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games at home
San Francisco is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Arizona
San Francisco is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing Arizona
San Francisco is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 08-27-2018, 10:00 AM

MLB
Weather Report

Monday, August 27

**Udog** · 08-27-2018, 10:06 AM

Ballpark Figures - Week 22
Joe Williams

Streaky Teams (entering Monday)

Wins and Losses Streak
Chicago Cubs 5-0 past five games overall
Chicago White Sox 9-3 past 12 games overall
Houston 5-0 past five games overall
L.A. Angels 1-8 past nine games overall
Tampa Bay 8-0 past eight games overall

Over/Under Streak
Atlanta Under 9-0 past nine games
Miami Under 4-0 past four games
Philadelphia Over 5-2 past seven games
St. Louis Under 7-3-1 past 11 games
San Francisco Under 10-4-1 past 15 games

Brave New World

The Atlanta Braves have been a friend to total bettors, hitting the 'under' in nine consecutive games. That includes seven straight road games, although they'll have to wait a while to extend that streak since they'll be opening up a new homestand against the Tampa Bay Rays starting on Tuesday. The under is 5-2 in Atlanta's past seven at home, too, so there is a good chance the run continues at SunTrust Park. They'll roll with RHP Julio Teheran for the series opener, opposed by RHP Ryne Stanek. The under has hit in three straight starts for Teheran since his last 'over' back on Aug. 5 at CitiField against the Mets. The under has also hit in five consecutive starts for Teheran at home dating back to June 23.

The Braves might find it difficult to cool off the Rays, who enter with eight consecutive victories. Atlanta won two of three against the Milwaukee Brewers to kick off their last homestand from Aug. 10-12, and they had a four-game sweep of the Miami Marlins Aug. 13-15 after that. However, they were left with a poor taste in their mouth after the Colorado Rockies broomed them in a four-game set to close out the homestand. The 'over' is 3-1 in Stanek's past four starts overall, and 3-1 in his past four on the road, too. The Rays are also a dismal 1-7 across Stanek's past eight assignments on the road, so Teheran and the Braves might be the play Tuesday evening in the interleague series opener.

In interleague play, the Rays have posted a 6-9 record in their previous 15 games against the NL this season, including 0-2 against the Braves back in a mini-set on May 8-9 at Tropicana Field. Atlanta hasn't been much better against the AL, going just 7-8 in 15 previous interleague battles this season.

Looking Ahead

Monday, Aug. 27

The Athletics head to Minute Maid Park to battle the Astros in a key American League West battle. The Astros are clinging to a 1 1/2-game lead in the AL West against the surprising A's. LHP Brett Anderson will take the ball for the A's, while the Astros counter with RHP Gerrit Cole. Oakland has won 17 of their past 22 games inside the division, while going 20-8 over the past 28 games on the road. In addition, Oakland is 22-9 in the past 31 road games vs. RHP, while going 40-19 in the past 59 overall against righties. The A's haven't fared well with Anderson on the bump lately, posting a 4-9 record across the lefty's past 13 against teams with a winning record.

The Astros have been stumbling at home lately, going 1-9 in their past 10 games at Minute Maid. They're just 1-4 in the past five against left-handed starters, while going 1-4 in their past five to kick off a new series, too. However, they are 4-0 in the past four vs. LHP, while going 5-0 in their past five games against AL West foes. Cole might be the guy to snap them out of their funk. While they are 0-4 in his past four against AL West clubs, and 1-4 in his past five overall, they have won seven of his past nine outings at home. Minute Maid has been a house of horrors for the A's lately, going 17-35 in the past 52 against the Astros overall, and 9-19 in the past 28 trips to the Gulf Coast.

The probable starters for Monday's series opener in San Francisco features Diamondbacks LHP Patrick Corbin facing Giants RHP Chris Stratton. Arizona has won four of their past five road games, while winning seven of the past 10 overall. They're 6-0 in Corbin's past six starts, and 7-1 in his past eight assignments on the road. In addition, they're an impressive 13-3 in the past 16 when Corbin is working on five days of rest. The Giants have struggled lately at home, winning just three of their past 12 against teams with a winning overall record. They're also 1-4 in their past five at home against a southpaw while posting a 1-6 mark in their past seven at AT&T Park against a team with a winning road record.

Weather Report

Precipitation will not be a problem during the short slate of games on Monday. However, winds will be a huge issue for the Mets and Cubs, as the wind will be blowing out to left-center field at a 16-19 mph clip. It's a battle of RHP Noah Syndergaard and LHP Jon Lester. The nder is 3-1-2 in Thor's past six road outings, while going 16-4-2 in his past 22 against winning teams. The under is 8-2 in Chicago's past 10, while going 19-7 in their past 26 vs. RHP. The over is 9-2 in Lester's past 11, and the wind could help add to that number.

Tuesday, Aug. 28

White Sox RHP James Shields will hit the road where he has been an absolute train wreck this season. The veteran is just 1-8 with a 6.12 ERA across 11 starts and one relief appearance over 67 2/3 innings while his opponent batting average is .271 with 16 homers allowed. Surprisingly, Shields is 2-0 with a 2.92 ERA in two starts against the Yankees since the start of the 2015 season.

Indians RHP Carlos Carrasco will take the ball from manager Terry Francona against the Twins. While he has posted an impressive 8-3 record in 11 starts and one relief appearance at home this season, he has a subpar 4.35 ERA over 62 innings while the opposition is hitting .273 against him. Cookie has struggled against the Twins, too, going 1-3 with a 4.56 ERA in five starts with a .275 opponent batting average across 25 2/3 innings.

Astros RHP Charlie Morton continues to roll right along with an 8-2 record, 3.00 ERA and .213 opponent batting average across 13 starts over 78 innings. He has struck out 100 batters in his 13 home outings, too. He hasn't been able to slay the A's, however, lasting just 9 1/3 innings in two starts with no decisions and a .263 opponent batting average.

Giants LHP Madison Bumgarner will host Diamondbacks RHP Clay Buchholz at AT&T Park. MadBum has been looking a lot like himself lately, going 3-2 with a 1.71 ERA in seven home outings with a .198 opponent batting average. He has served up just two of his nine homers at home, too, while striking out 42 batters across 47 1/3 innings. He's 1-1 with a 2.45 ERA in two outings against the Snakes this season, although they're hitting .333 against him in 11 innings with 15 hits and three walks.

Weather Report

The winds will be gusting out to right field from 11-14 mph at Progressive Field for the game between the Twins and Indians. The same holds true for the interleague battle between the Marlins and Red Sox, gusting 11-14 mph to right-center field. The Pirates and Cardinals will face a 10-13 mph wind blowing right to left, but no precip at least.

At Wrigley Field, the wind will be blowing out again from 11-14 mph, but the Mets and Cubs might be dodging the raindrops. Thunderstorms are forecast 40 percent or greater from first pitch through the overnight. The same holds true for the Tigers-Royals battle, with winds 13-16 mph blowing to center field. That is if the game is played, as there is a 50 percent or greater chance of thunderstorms for most of the day.

In Arlington, the Dodgers and Rangers will be blowing in from right-center field at 12-15 mph. It will be a hot wind, too, with temperatures forecast to be in the mid-90's. In the final game of the game, the D-Backs and Giants will face a 12-15 mph jetstream blowing out to straighaway center field.

**Udog** · 08-27-2018, 11:01 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Monday, August 27

Washington @ Philadelphia

Game 901-902
August 27, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
(Strasburg) 14.299
Philadelphia
(Eflin) 16.619
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 2 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-115
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-105); Over

NY Mets @ Chicago Cubs

Game 903-904
August 27, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Mets
(Syndrgrd) 16.879
Chicago Cubs
(Lester) 15.723
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Mets
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-140
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
NY Mets
(+120); N/A

Arizona @ San Francisco

Game 905-906
August 27, 2018 @ 10:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
(Corbin) 16.524
San Francisco
(Stratton) 15.198
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
-170
8
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(-170); Under

Chicago White Sox @ NY Yankees

Game 907-908
August 27, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago White Sox
(Rodon) 13.689
NY Yankees
(Tanaka) 17.552
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Yankees
by 4
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-230
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Yankees
(-230); Under

Toronto @ Baltimore

Game 909-910
August 27, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
(Gaviglio) 13.572
Baltimore
(Hess) 12.019
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-135
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-135); Under

Oakland @ Houston

Game 911-912
August 27, 2018 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oakland
(Andrson) 17.020
Houston
(Cole) 18.034
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-185
8
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-185); Under

Colorado @ LA Angels

Game 913-914
August 27, 2018 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
(Gray) 14.223
LA Angels
(Despaigne) 15.768
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Angels
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado
-160
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Angels
(+140); Over

**Udog** · 08-27-2018, 12:37 PM

Diamond Trends - Monday
Vince Akins

SU Play ON Trend of the Day:

-- The Athletics are 12-0 SU on the road after they hit multiple home runs and it is post All-Star break.

SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

-- The Phillies are 0-13 SU in the first game of a series with no rest off a game as a favorite in which they left 18+ men on base.

Hitter-Based Trend of the Day:

-- The Nationals are 0-10 SU on the road after a game in which Anthony Rendon had multiple hits. Washington was the underdog in only four of the ten losses.

Starter-Based Trend of the Day:

-- The Nationals are 0-10 OU when Stephen Strasburg starts as a favorite when they won both his last start against the current opponent and his last start.

**Udog** · 08-27-2018, 01:30 PM

MLB

Monday, August 27

Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers

Streaking: Brett Anderson, Oakland Athletics (3-3, 3.47, $298)

What a great run Brett Anderson is on right now for the A's. Keep in mind, any team could have had him as a member of their rotation for next to nothing - credit to the Athletics for seeing something that nobody else could see. The Under has cashed in nine of his last 10 starts and in his last four outings he owns an ERA of 0.68 and a WHIP of 0.525.

Anderson will need to be at his best Monday night as a +170 underdog in Houston against Gerrit Cole and the Astros.

Slumping: Chris Stratton, San Francisco Giants (8-7, 5.37 ERA, $449)

Giants' right-hander Chris Stratton is certainly feeling the grind of a long MLB season. After a solid first three months, Stratton has really struggled since the end of June. Over this stretch, which included a three-week long demotion to AAA, the Giants have lost all five of his big league starts and he owns an ERA of 8.89 and a WHIP of 2.0506.

Stratton will look to get things turned around tonight at home as a +160 underdog against Patrick Corbin and the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Kendrys Morales

Blue Jays' designated hitter Kendrys Morales will chase history tonight in Baltimore. Morales has hit a home run in seven straight games and will look to tie the major league record with a dinger against the Orioles.

O's starter David Hess has allowed at least one home run in five consecutuve starts, all four of his starts at Camden Yards this season, and 11 of his 13 starts overall in 2018. There will be a slight five mile per hour breeze blowing out to center field tonight, as well.

It's also worth noting that Morales homered in all three games of last week's three-game series between the Jays and Orioles at Rogers Centre in Toronto.

Online sportsbook Bookmaker.eu has released a home run line on Morales for tonight's game with Yes at +250 and No at -350. Obviously, hitting home runs is hard - but there is no fun in betting "No" in this spot. Root for history to be made and take "Yes" at +250.

The Windy City

It could be a windy evening in Wrigleyville as the forcast is calling for 16-18 mile per hour winds blowing out to left-center field tonight for the game between the Cubs and the visiting New York Mets.

This game does feature an elite pitching matchup of Noah Syndergaard taking on Jon Lester, but the wind will prove to be a major factor. If it wasn't for the terrific pitching matchup this total would be up around 11.5 or 12, instead we get a total of 10.5 which feels like a gift on a day like today.

The Cubs' offense is clicking on all cylinders right now with David Murphy setting the table at the top of the lineup. Today is one of those days when pop flies to left field end up in the home run basket. Take Over 10.5 for the full game and Cubs' team total Over 5.5 (+100).

**Udog** · 08-27-2018, 06:06 PM

Hot & Not Report

Week of August 27th

Last week this piece was all about looking ahead to the third week of the NFL preseason and unsurprisingly we saw some regression to the mean. We saw half of those long tenured coaches (New England, Green Bay, New Orleans, and Cincinnati) opt for rest with New England and Green Bay giving their starters just one final small tune-up with vanilla-game plans, while New Orleans and Cincinnati got the ATS job done in dominant fashion, largely due to their 2nd and 3rd teams.

On the other side of things, NFC teams at home hosting an AFC franchise ended up going 3-1 O/U against the closing line, although if you had got in on the low side of the Houston/L.A Rams game early last week (or say on Monday when this article comes out), you would've went 2-2 O/U.

Either way, using these trends and situations to help you isolate games is never a bad thing, but with garbage time of all garbage times coming (from a betting perspective) with the final week of the preseason here, it's time to shift back over to MLB this week as we enter the final month of the regular season.

Who's Hot

MLB teams in tight division races (AL West, NL West, NL Central)

September will be a very interesting month of baseball to consume as we've got some tremendous division races in numerous divisions. The bulk of those exist in the National League where no division leader enters Monday with more than a four-game lead, but we can't forget about the AL West race either with Houston looking to do everything they can to hold off Oakland. All of the teams involved in these races are playing some great baseball right now, so who can stay hot the longest?

Over in the NL Central we've got the Cubs, Cardinals and Brewers all fighting for that top spot, and the Cubs and Cardinals enter Monday on 7-3 SU runs respectively. Chicago and St Louis begin this week at home with very winnable series against the Mets and Pirates on tap, but for the division-leading Cubs, this also continues a long stretch of games without a day off.

Chicago had last Monday off, but after finishing the week with six straight games, they won't see another day off until Thursday September 14th. That's a stretch of 23 games in 23 days and outside of this series against the Mets, the rest of their contests come against some quality foes (Atlanta, Philly, Milwaukee (twice) and Washington) with the bulk of those games also being away from home. Fatigue could easily catch up with them at some point, so don't be surprised to see the NL Central race get quite a bit tighter in the upcoming weeks.

Over in the NL West, we've got division leader Arizona on a 7-3 SU run as well to start the week, a run that is matched by 2nd place Colorado. The L.A Dodgers are just one game off that mark (6-4 SU) as they trail Arizona by 2.5 games for 1st, and you'd better believe that this race could easily come down to the final day.

All three teams begin this week on the road with two of them (Colorado and L.A) involved in interleague play. Arizona visits San Francisco which should have some intensity too it, but I'm not really willing to step in front of any of these three teams at the moment. We will see how it all plays out – especially since Arizona concludes the week with a four-game series against the Dodgers in L.A – however, all three should be good bets at certain prices in certain spots, and of the three, riding with Colorado during the next week to 10 days might be the healthiest way to treat your bankroll.

Who's Not

The Baltimore Orioles against the Toronto Blue Jays (0-10 SU last 10 vs Toronto, 1-12 SU in season series)

The Baltimore Orioles have been a disaster the entire year, but they tend to at least be competitive in a game or two in nearly every series. The exception to that has been when the Toronto Blue Jays are on the other side of the field as Toronto has swept the Orioles in three consecutive series' and begin this week in Baltimore for a three-game set.

Now, the side note to this 0-10 SU run the Orioles are on against the Jays is that all 10 of those games were played north of the border, but in the lone series this year where Baltimore was the home team they were nearly swept as well. For whatever reason the Orioles just have no interest in even competing most nights against the Jays, but I do see this trend turning around somewhat this week. We've already seen a bit of reverse line movement in favor of Baltimore for tonight's series opener, and you've got to believe that at home they'll show a better form of themselves against the blue birds.

For Baltimore to turn this thing around, it's got to start with their pitching though. Toronto has scored 5 or more runs in eight of those 10 consecutive wins over Baltimore and the Orioles simply don't have the talent or depth in their lineup to consistently win games by putting up 6+. Yet, it's not like the Jays are playoff bound either as they will be making some significant changes this winter, but I do believe Baltimore will get some measure of revenge against Toronto in the final six meetings with the Jays this year (all six are in Baltimore) and it begins tonight with the Orioles snapping an eight-game losing streak.

**redheron** · 08-28-2018, 01:12 AM

Have you ever run a statistical results on the dunkel rating? I've watch and played it for 3 months and have done very well but I'm picking and choosing to what I was currently thinking most of of the time. I'm curious if anyone has tracked an entire season

Announcement

Monday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 8/27

Monday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 8/27

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